This changes everything...
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 11 ม.ค. 2025
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By the early 2030s, we’ll have mass unemployment caused by enormously large data models, prompted for what character, what pixel comes next, capable of generating and re-generating anything that’s come before, across every known field of the arts and sciences. Instantly satisfying the every whim of those the tiny percentage left with resources enough to still have whims, but leaving everyone else with nothing of value left to trade for even the most basic of human needs.
If we’ll be somewhere in the middle, ugly bags of mostly water, endlessly condensing and expanding input and output, passing it from one prompt and model to another, the age of labor-saving devices and computational convenience finally forcing us all into 24/7 productivity with zero marginal creativity, essentially endless spell- and sanity-checkers for a system we’re just begging to reach singularity.
Or if we’ll be taking those first, tentative steps towards the actual Star Trek future, where 80% of the informational grunt-work, maybe manual as well, is taken over by the machines, freeing us to focus on the 20% of truly creative, innovative work that will push the human condition forward in a way never before possible.
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🔗 LINKS
OpenAI and GPT4: • Introducing GPT-4
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If apple doesn’t get its stuff together concerning Siri, AI will be it’s undoing. Things are moving very fast and apple is very slow to adopt new technologies or upgrade it’s software.
Siri is totally unnecessary anyway.
They still do have the money to just buy whatever they want though
Apple is only the Apple of today because Microsoft & BlackBerry sat on their success and didn't adopt fast enough. What we're seeing is another gravitational shift. Microsoft & others will launch themselves back to the front of our mindshare., viewed as the leader in tech, the king of the hill. It'll take Apple being reborn after a dramatic collapse for the company to realize this. Then and only then will they change. Right now they're laughing at AI like Steve Ballmer was laughing at the iPhone price tag in 2007.
I’m already using ChatGPT (via API) on my iPhone in integration with Siri. It’s a game changer as I hadn’t used Siri for years before this.
Image when you can tell Siri to give you a list of bank websites with weak security and then write some scripts to break into it for you. That’s where this technology is heading.
Two points:
1) All that time you spent doing the research, taking the notes, and digesting all that info meant that you actually gained an understanding of the material that you won't get with an AI-instant production. Just as research has shown that people retain information better if they take notes by hand, AI making it too easy for people might mean they don't actually learn anything.
2) There have been news stories about ChatGPT and other AI systems completely fabricating source material and their math being way off. Yes, the hope is they'll get better but how will we know unless we take a "trust but verify" approach to everything AI produces?
I'm not a Luddite on this, AI progress is super cool, but it does come with some caveats and potential issues
I agree with you and find that taking notes and doing the research myself is still very satisfying, but I look forward to having AI able to trawl the nooks and corners of the internet that I won't find on my own when I'm researching something.
About the gpt fabrication. Yeah. It’s main focus is to mirror natural language. NOT correct data. People seem to keep forgetting that
Theres no hope it gets better. It will. We’re still in early days with this stuff. Chat GPT is the Apple II. Wait till it’s the iphone. And its not going to take 30 years.
@@alecubudulecu word
Yes. Exactly! Convenience almost always comes at the expense of something that may be more valuable. In the context of learning, hand-written notes have much more cognitive value than anything an AI could produce.
Rene, you’re such a great writer and presenter. I’m always torn, I can’t decide if I love your monologues or get frustrated by how loquacious they are. It’s like reading an article from road and track magazine, which makes a car feel like a human, while also being tempted to jump ahead to the performance metrics. I love your talent, while also wonder why it takes 10 minutes to say what could be said in 2. I don’t mean to criticize because I’m not sure if I have a true suggestion. I just wanted to both complement you and share my unfiltered, delighted, yet conflicted perspective as a viewer.
I’m horrified that all of these chatgpt like programs have a political bias. We’re living in a movie
I'm all for you exploring this topic. I just really want to know what Apple is doing in the AI space.
Well that’s the thing that likely everyone wants to know and apple making sure no one knows.
AI is doing all kinds of stuff and I’m still repeating myself constantly to Siri . Smh
100% Siri is just frustration in software form.
I think Apple was secretly using Siri to help optimize its own next level, personal assistant, that’ll be crazy. They’re just gathering all of the voice recordings from Siri to perfect speech. I don’t know just a thought.
Yes this has something to do with Apple. A certain video called "Knowledge Navigator" way back in the late 80s. At the time, the virtual personal assistant was science fiction. Now? We're getting a lot closer.
It could very well be that somewhere deep in Cupertino, Apple has an AI personal assistant they have been working on for years… very top-secret. And they could just be waiting until they get the right product out to showcase this groundbreaking AI that the world has never seen.
This is the death of human creativity and critical thinking. We think we’re so smart, but the people before us were vastly more creative with less knowledge and material to work with.
This was keeping me up last night thinking about the AI revolution. BS office jobs are going to not exist anymore. Security will become simply cat and mouse with security AI vs hackers AI. We’re only 5 years out of total office automation where no low level lackeys will need to exist. In 20 years the only work will be physical trades and high level programming. Even my own job as a sys admin won’t exist in 20 years it’ll all be AI automation.
Exactly how I’ve been feeling about AI as I realize the real potential.
Will human kind be heading towards a different kind of lifestyle without work?
The big question of the looming AI world is: will we use it as a tool or a crutch?
What’s the difference?
A pointy stick is a tool and cruch: Tool for poking; crutch because our limbs aren't made for fighting a bear or lion.
Fire: Tool for warmth; crutch since we rely on it to survive in harsh regions of the world.
Wheel: tool for rolling; crutch since we rely on it to move things we couldn't normally.
The fire, sticks, and wheels all replaced jobs but we benefit greatly from them today.
More of this please Rene. Love my Mac but this was great.
This version of the video was so much better than the Nebula version. I had to watch it when I saw the time difference. I don't know why the speed seems to be 2X on the Nebula version but I'm glad I watched this version.
Why do I feel like I’ve entered in a Terminator movie?
“As confidently wrong as an influencer with a hot take.” I saw what you did.
I predict there’ll be legal guard rails to require some kind of watermark or metadata on AI generated text/image/video within the next 2-3 years
Yes, Rene, I believe the last stage was the Information Age. Now, I believe we are entering the Knowledge Age. Not just information, but extracting useful (and sometimes, novel) knowledge from those vast repositories of data. For me, it is equal parts exhilarating and terrifying.
I'm getting tired of dumb searches. Prompts are so much better for search. They just need to find a way to give credit to the source and allow people to still make money off their content. If this is the death of ads at least give the content owners financial compensation for what the AI is scraping from the web.
It’s dead simple to pay the content creators. Only greed gets in the way.
@@macjeffff I agree.
The more you read and spend time with the information, the more you understand, the more you put the facts etc into your perspective. Getting summaries from GPT or other chat bots is cool but it is no substitute for the understanding gained from actually manually doing the research and the work.
Brilliant stuff, look forward to more.
Here's a question: If you can ask ChatGPT to write a blog, then who is going to read that blog? Why would they read your blog if they could just ask ChatGPT to write a blog for them? Why would they read any blog when ChatGPT can generate 100 different blogs on any given topic?
It will allow creators to be even more productive in less time and with a more rewarding effort. We will be guiding it to make what we want from it. Managing and guiding it. Then fixing what is made to polish it to the kind of perfection we desire.
I cannot wait for copilot 365 and for the first time a real voice assistant (Open AI Whisper + ChatGPT+ Text to Voice)
I like the shift in innovative topics.
The SVB collapse gave us a preview of what will happen when the AI Singularity hits. Companies are rushing headlong into this with little to no thought of the group consequences, staying focused only on the next quarter or two and growth on paper. We're going to be looking at 25% or more unemployment virtually overnight for unskilled persons and it's gonna get worse from there.
It’s worse than that. Because it has zero to do with skills anymore. The most highly skilled people in the world are being eliminated by ai. Including art and writing and highly talent based creative industries.
So no one will be safe unfortunately. Skills mean nothing against a machine that can code itself using the sum total of human knowledge.
A.I. obviously improves efficiency, but at a cost of perspective. It can make you feel you can use it to speak with authority, but you remain unaware of the flaws that A.I. has on many technical subjects. AI is not like a calculator, where through machine or manual processes, both return identical answers. Technical topics are much more complex than a calculator, where subtle relationships and nuances can dramatically change conclusions. Is AI reliable, when AI returns a report that is 60% spot-on truth (that applies to things 90% of the time), but also contains 40% laughably incorrect errors that don’t apply to the conclusion at all? That is the dilemma novices don’t appreciate. The results of many AI generated reports on technical topics, is similar to saying the iPhone is a remarkable product that completely changed how people used phones, and that it was designed by Bill Gates.
I miss my Palm Pre, thanks for the memories
Or will we all be like the humans in the film Walle, moved around in hover chairs while playing some obscure game, only time will tell
Rene with GPT is more of a genius. But Rene is not the rule. He’s an exception. Dystopia is the future.
there is a cognitive dissonance with AI
Love the reference to Zork. My 1st game, prior to Castle Wolfenstein.
Great Shirt !
Is AI along with robotics etc going to be the realisation of the emancipatory meta narrative as Rene alluded to or will it lead to a dystopian future for the majority or even worse us being subsumed by the machine?
Where is Apple on this for our devices with it integrated into it’s operating system?
While I welcome AI and virtual reality for their capabilities they can offer for education, medical and numerous other industries, I'm scared that some of us aren't ready to gain such capabilities, especially the ones that are going to deliver fewer human interactions. However, we can't stop such technology from entering our society. We have to adapt accordingly.
I am looking for a TH-cam video made up of a story written by ChatGPT and Bard. Have you done this yet?
Love your videos mahn keep it up ❤❤
Am I supposed to be empathetic with the artificial intelligence bots?
I gotta be honest… I’m super excited for this evolving AI 😆but I’m also absolutely terrified at the longer term repercussions 😢
באפל ווטש הבא יהיה תרגום לשיחות טלפון בקילר רעיון לכבדי שמיעה. וכן אפלקציית תרגום לאפל ווטש בקילר רעיון גם בסירי. וגם במק OS.
All questions, no answers
I’m not going to lie: I miss your Apple reviews.
So there is one big caveat here, AI needs a lot of computing power and we are very very close to reach the end of the massive expansion of computing power that we saw in the last maybe 50 years. For a lecture I once made a calculation of how much more powerful my then iPhone 5 was than the Computer that took Apollo 5 to the moon and I came up with a figure of somewhere between 5000 - 8000 times. That A7 chip had about 100 GFLOPS, the latest M2 has about 3-4 TFLOPS, that is 40x faster and we might see another 40x until the end, but certainly not another 1000x so unfortunately there is a limit of where this will go, unless we find a completely new technology for computing.
But if quantum computing enters the mix along with stable room temperature superconductivity, that will take things to another level for sure. And right now we are making significant progress in those areas.
@@weljenks to be honest I don’t understand quantum computation and the impacts it might have. Neither the progress that has been made lately. That would be an interesting video!
It makes humans lazy…
But can GPT-4 be inspired while doing research for one task to associate a concept or process to solve another problem or discover a new question that needs to be answered?
Can it make the creative links between raw data and the "big picture" or goal of a project?
Can it prevent an at-risk teen from committing self-harm by addressing their concerns within the context of their age and social experiences?
I'm very sure it can give me my current bank account balance and reverse a fraudulent credit transaction, but I don't think we can trust it yet to do any of the former. I'm sure it can pretend and fail. But at what cost? We should be careful of what we ask it to do.
Nope. It’s a music-box. Weighted lists, pulleys and ropes, lookup tables of mindless associations. Asserting ideas with great certitude and be wrong: tried asking it to do basic maths? Sure, they’ll add a module to do sums, but you miss the point. This is not some alien mind, or font of creativity, but our own HDR reflection with all the biases invisible to you.
Yes it can, Let’s not forget that people are generative too. Nothing humans do is “original” it is always built on prior knowledge, experience, or principles. People are biological algorithms that justify some special existence because self-awareness makes our place in the universe hard to reconcile.
Seeing the “bigger picture” isn’t a biological condition it’s a processing problem that an AI will be able to understand once it’s exposed to experiences that tell it what we value.
@@MatsueMusic I didn't say an AI won't eventually do what you say. I'm fairly certain it will precisely for the reasons you state. I'm saying "ChatGPT4" cannot and shouldn't be allowed to pretend to.
@@evlnte ChatGPT has access to a very small segment of the GPT tech, the API can do and serve a lot more needs. My goal isn't to bash, more so to make sure people understand the exponetial nature of AI. The term "eventually" should be measured in weeks and months not years.
@@MatsueMusic This specific version of this language tool has been proven to be unable to distinguish between a fact and a lie. Even a small child knows when it is lying and we can psychologically test for that. These chat tools just parrot words in a way that sounds confident but it has not understanding of the true meaning of these words in our human world. What you are failing to see is that we do not even know what consciousness is in biological systems. We are trying to judge an emerging technology by a measuring stick with no clear marks on what qualifies anything as "intelligent". Yes, this computer program is amazing. But it is mostly amazing at fooling you using well structured language.
I love your positivity but we cant even create self driving cars let alone AI.
the Knowledge Navigator.
I think, this will really go nuclear, when we get to Jarvis level, input via perfect speech recognition , until then wait and see … 😮
AI will change the world 👌🏼🔥
nice ltt stealth shoutout :D
טים באייפון 15 תהיה תוכנה שממקבלת גרפיקה, תמונות ווידאו מקובץ ופותחת אותו כנ"ל מוסיקה למשל לAirPods ואותו דבר לשליחה בWiFi וסלולרי. ליותר שעות סוללה ופחות חוות ענן. שנקרא Hot File.
One thing for sure. Capitalism is not compatible with this trend.
AI will take over in a few years and will be massive even in things like CPU,GPU etc and transistor design.
My father lived through the advent of the car, the refrigerator, the nuclear bomb, and the beginning of the internet. We’re now alive at the forefront of artificial intelligence and possibly consciousness.
It is an amazing time to be alive.
Do we underestimate or even understand the shifts in our lives this will initiate? Probably not quite yet, but it’s going to be amazing what people at the tail edge of the distributions come up with.
It is an amazing time to be alive - there is a long way before the times are actually amazing! I would not want to live in times of the first transistors, the advent of medicine and plumbing ;)
I like the LTT hoodie :D
I would be great if this entire video was AI generated.
You have some great comments, but you ramble way too much. It’s hard to listen to the end-and get your worthy information-when you keep lingering on tangents
Lol, wHuTt???
❤️🙏💯💯💯
Brilliantly said.
אפל תיצור תוכנית BackUp Plan שמאפשרת לך לרכוש אייפד או מק או מקבוק לא אייפון! BackUp בהנחה בתנאי שאתה משתמש לחשבון שלך אחרת תצטרך להחזיר לעבודה טים. בשוק ענק.
I hope you realize everything you talk about in this video, never needed Artificial Intelligence. People have been doing this for that last 20+ years already. With Scripts & custom programs. While some people integrate into voice assistants and others don't.
This isn't Artificial Intelligence! This is making a data set/ data model and feeding data into a program. Most of this can be done with Templates. The biggest difference is the data sets can be larger than ever. Nothing is changing at all!
Accessibility is the difference between then and now. This requires zero knowledge whatsoever to operate.
I need to stop listening to these. I feel like he's saying less and less each new video about AI
so much rhetoric mate...get rid of your scriptwriter !
This was a lot of talking
אפל תיצור קוד או קיט שיקל על WiFi וסלולרי בין המכשירים שלך וכן שיחת טלפון או פייסטיים או Zoom או מייל או פייסבוק וטוויטר בין שני מכשירי iOS בקילר רעיון טים. עם צוות מעולה שידווח לטים. וקיט נוסף לשיחות פייסטים וטלפון עם איכות אודיו גבוהה יותר באייפון 15. גם באפל ווטש הבא ואייפד פרו.
Definitely a pivot on topics for you but you have earned enough trust from me to stick through the change in content.
Honestly, it already sounds like you’re using AI to create your videos. You’re just rambling on and on with incessant, extraneous verbiage that’s void of anything useful.
🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮🤮
Ok interesting
I love me some AI content! Using it like crazy to create blog posts on my website and loving it every bit of it!!
So now we don’t know what’s real and what’s fake. Wouldn’t visit your website for any reason.
Listen to yourself. Laughable.
@@jonathanedwardgibson So you are okay with not knowing who wrote something? Man or machine? If you were a teacher you would be just fine with a student submitting a paper written by AI instead of themselves?