When Should You Sell Your Nvidia Stock
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 15 พ.ค. 2024
- Chip Stock Investor provides an in-depth analysis on whether it's time to sell Nvidia stock, focusing on the semiconductor industry's growth and Nvidia's performance within it.
Nvidia has had a massive run in the last year as the new bull market has begun, especially with its data center sales reaching over $18 billion in the last quarter alone. Nick and Kasey discuss the factors driving its stock price surge, such as the booming data center segment and the rise of generative AI markets.
Also discussed are signals Chip Stock Investor is looking for that could give clues as to when the cyclical cycle is (temporarily) over for the accelerated compute market Nvidia pioneered, including big tech company capital expenditures (Google and Meta), Nvidia's revenue guidance, and its valuation based on simple price-to-earnings ratios. Importantly, the video advises on who should consider selling their Nvidia shares, and outlines one strategy for doing so, emphasizing dollar cost averaging (DCA) as a method for adjusting portfolio allocations.
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Chapters:
00:00 Should You Sell Your Nvidia Stock?
00:40 Nvidia's Impressive Run and Current Stance
02:11 Understanding Nvidia's Market and Growth
05:27 When and Why to Consider Selling Nvidia Stock
11:33 Who Should Consider Selling Nvidia Stock?
12:52 Strategies for Selling Nvidia Stock
Content in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.
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Nick and Kasey own shares of Nvidia
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Additional earnings reports from major tech companies, driven by Nvidia, coupled with trader FOMO, could fuel a resurgence in market buying pressure. I'm considering investing over $300k, but I'm uncertain about risk mitigation strategies.
Nvidia stock is roaring like many did during the 1990s bubble. But this time around, the hype around new chips is happening in a more mature demand environment.
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Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
I agree that many people are considering NVDA as the "Stock of the year." However, I'm curious about which stocks could potentially become the next META in terms of growth over the next decade. I've allocated $200k for investment, looking for companies to make additions to boost performance
I think the next big thing will be A.I. For enduring growth akin to META, it's vital to avoid impulsive decisions driven by short-term fluctuations. Prioritize patience and a long-term perspective consider financial advisory for informed buying and selling decisions.
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I'm not going to sell my NVDA shares for at least 10 yrs. I started buying my shares below $100. If you don't have long term confidence, use stops. The statement "a stock can't rise forever!" Tell that to those that have held Berkshire Hathaway shares for over 50 yrs!
We aren't selling either, and we think a stock can rise for many decades. We've owned Nvidia for a long time, and intend to continue owning it for a long time. But there are good reasons why some investors might need to sell.
@@chipstockinvestor Yes, that is true. Sometimes a person has a need to cash in because they need the funds. Other than that, I don't see a reason at this time to sell. When Jensen say's there is a ten yr runway for AI, I tend to believe him. Him and Elon are the best CEO's on the planet. I never bet against them.
I will add more
I bought my NVDA in 2013 @ cost of $3k, now it's worth $1M+... Still no intent of selling!
did berkshire made 650% in year? ;) just pointing out how you compare apples and oranges
I was buying for 5 years, I put all of my savings into it. I am 41 and retired now. I am very rich. This is real.
you crazy but I congratulate you
How much do you have in Nvidia? I have like $200k but when it dips 1-2%, i loose $2k. I dont know how you can just see thousands or millions of dollars gone just like that.
@@mlai2546If you cannot withstand a 10-20% decline, you will miss a 200% rise
@@mlai2546 if you can't handle losing a some thousands gtfo from investing and stay tf away
@@mlai2546
Yes, I would diversify at least a bit.
I have a 42% allocation of NVDIA, it just grew so much. I went through the highs all this time and never ever came to the conclusion to sell.
It's gone through multiple corrections in just the past two years.
@@yafka exactly, I added twice to my original position. Might happen again, so let’s see if we get a nice buying opportunity sometime again. Higher prices scare investors, but just imagine you bought Apple or Microsoft several times in the last 10 years. Business is today better than ever. Will be the same here as well.
@@yafka Any dips with NVIDIA are a 100% chance to buy more. Everyone should have NVIDIA in their portfolio.
Me too. I did sell some in 2019 but rebought but not as many shares. Should have just held.
Plus side is that my cost base is $0.
@@bruceelliott4822 you got employer shares?
You don't sell NVDA shares. My father bought a lot in 2017 at 25. My brother bought and added since 1999 and has held most of it.
I'm holding my 3,600 shares until $1,500 per share. Most investors and many analysts just don't understand how AI and NVIDIA will change the world in the next 5 years. I'm glad to hear that the "Chip Stock Investor" team plan to hold as well. Good video! Thank you!
nvda aint reachin a k let alone that....lmaooooo
@@TheWalamala You fall into the category of "having no idea of what AI really means or what NVIDIA really does". Good luck.
Wow! 3600 shares!?!!! Even at the current price (4/10/2024), you are over $3M rich! Kudos!!!
I have only a fraction of your shares. I did sell a few when it was $950 to recoup my cost, so now I am just playing with "house money" ... I would be ecstatic if it goes to the moon, but if it doesn't or even dips below my cost basis, then I am okay too. ☺
@@ExtraordinaryLiving Well, it's only 'paper profits' at this point, but I've NEVER owned a stock that I had more confidence in then NVIDIA and JENSEN. It certainly is NOT a stock for the 'faint of heart' and when my buddies ask me how I sleep at night I reply with "Tequila". :") -- Good luck!!
@@jeffrose5622
Hahaha! Yes, lots of Tequila!
I have the same confidence for Tesla and Musk ... and I have a bit more TSLA than NVDA. 😉
Every time Nvidia dips I buy. At $860 and at $870. I believe it can get to $1060 by the end of this year and $1300 end of next year. I do not expect a dip in the next 2 years. Their back log of orders are huge.
They might split before that
Google has reported they will make chips that compete with NVDA. I think its foolish and premature to sell NVDA because of this news. I'm buying.
Thank you for the good analysis. the $1T existing datacenter business, roughly $250 B per year for past 10 years is very interesting. According to Jensen in GTC, the total cost of the connection cable alone for the CPU datacenter is more than that of NVIDIA's total rack solution with the same computing power. There are lots of opportunities for these yearly upgrades using NVDA hardware.
12:37 So glad I came here three days ago before clicking "sell all". In a panic. ❤
I'm just a gamer who likes Nvidia with a sentiment.
I guess Google would also profit to see Nvidia dips a little. So glad you made this video so people searching "Should I sell Nvidia" can stop and think. 🦋
Very informative and helpful, appreciate the video.
NVDA to the Moon.
Thanks you!💯
Another good video. Guys what’s your opinion on Smci , I’m holding over £100k , and looking at a bit of a loss at today’s price. Shall I hold or sell ?
Very helpful , thank you !
Why even buy a stock in the first place if you don't believe in the long term prospects? NVDA long term prospects look exceptional for at least the next 5 years and trying to "lock in your gains" is just losing future gains unless you believe the stock is severely overvalued at the moment, which NVDA is not.
We don't think it's severely overvalued right now either
When the story changes is when you sell...and with most stocks that happens along the way.
its a long term investment
I put all of my Roth IRA, around 30k into NVDA at $966. To the moon baby!
Your reward will be great
You won't be rich with NVIDIA, Nvidia is a good investment to keep your portofolio stable. (Microsoft).
@@OlivierMertens-dq3hh honestly I'm just trying to recover 5k or so and then split it between voo/vug and other growth stocks
Excellent analysis. Thank you!!
Thanks for important issues.
Great Analysis ,👌 Every Sector and company building on NVDIA. If my prediction is correct It could very well be first 5T and 10T company
Mean reversing does happen….but might be BTFD opportunity
Im not selling nvda
Again, great information. You two have taught me a lot about investing, it is greatly appreciated.
Thanks for another great video, I have a question here;
Wouldnt Synopsys and Cadence be an a lot safer play when it comes to chips? I am thinking... Nvidia stockowners might not like if Meta, MSFT, Google, AMZN builds their own inhouse chips at some point, however they all gonna need one of these companies for EDA. - What do you think about this reasoning?
If you are concerned about Meta, MSFT, Google, AMZN building their own chips, then buy TSM, the chip foundry - regardless who designs the chips, they all will be manufactured by TSM
Could be a risk, but we addressed this in the "exclusive report Nvidia ASIC" video last month. Did you see that one?
When you read comments saying they are “all-in”, that’s calls for some caution on pull back on stock price. Buy the dip when it’s juicy enough if you have not bought any.
The average PE ratio of NVIDIA over the last decade has been incredibly high , nothing unusual about these numbers, this is not a bubble
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Nvidia can’t keep going up in the short term, it needs correction and adjustments to the real value, but in longterm it can keep growing as we keep printing money, numbers have no end
correct ! agree 100% and if market will go down now …. every single stock will suffer… NVDA will be not an exception ….
Now, why still don’t how when to sell.
I started ingested $18 per month till 5 yrs in Nvidia..is that good ?
The other person that needs to sell is the person in debt.
Thanks for the video. There's an article on Sequoia Capital's site, "AI’s $200B Question". It claims "a $125B+ hole" between revenue generated by using Nvidia's GPUs, and the revenue needed, i.e. the cost (which is Nvidia's GPU revenue plus the cost of power) plus a gross margin. As well as depending on some assumed figures, I'm not sure if they're comparing annual revenue to lifetime revenue, and it hurts my head when I try to make sense of it. I expect that's my problem not Sequoia's, as I wouldn't be smart enough to get a job there. Anyway, I like the approach of asking if all the GPUs being bought are going to generate enough revenue for the buyers, but I think there might not be enough data currently to get a good answer based on data. Which leaves us with the things to watch as described in the video, like Nvidia's revenue growth decelerating. Or just holding long term if you can ride out the volatility.
Read that article. Perhaps GPU build out is occurring. But the "AI use case" is too narrow when you consider this is all really about "accelerated compute," not just AI. ~$200 bil gets spent on data center infr every year, and that figure (including new accelerated compute systems) was actually a bit lower in 2023 than the previous two years. Sequoia is missing the forest for the trees.
@@chipstockinvestor Good point, thanks!
OMG I missed the reference in "Sequoia is missing the forest for the trees" :)
@@riffsoffov9291 🤣
Not anytime soon. Nvidia will still be here in 10 years time and even though it has already exploded, it's stock will be worth a lot more in 10 years, than it is now.
Sell! Buying the dip 😊
So what about Tesla? are they back in the Mag 7?
Check the video timeline, we just did Tesla
Is NVIDIA a safe buy to outperform the market this year? I'm tired of these new buys every week, just to make up some assets with low percentage on my $136k portfolio and try to keep everything around 10%.
I bough mine at 945, it has been going down since then ? Should I sell if I bought at all times high ?
I bought at 180, 250, 860, 920 and 940…. Keep it….
Just hold it. NVIDIA is going to double from here and when it's $1,200+ you won't even remember that you were underwater in the beginning.
Hold hold hold
Keep it. I made that mistake with PLTR. I sold when it dropped because I hate losing money. And then it went back up and I could have kicked myself in the butt.
In Jensen huang we trust !
Valuations: how about the upside expectations?
We've addressed those in multiple past videos, and we like to look at a business from all angles. So it was time to address this question, which is an important one for many (but certainly not all) investors.
Strong sell now !
Video started well about changing from GPU to a more holistic computing cloud product and services offering . But by the end about dollar cost averaging deviated from the specific to the general making uninteresting. I look a specific video about the fundamentals of a specific stocks and not about life investing recommendations.
NOW, whoever is more than 1year in NVDA, take profits and buy TSLA stock, from AI infrastructure to real world AI application
Not a bad suggestion.
Never!!!!!!!
10 years return since 2014 till to date $nvda was about 20 000% much better than bitcoin at about 14 000% . This is evidenced track records. You tell me any investment is better than I will sell 😂
Only a fool will sell NVDA now. Sell it when CUDA has a rival.
I sell at $2.5K for Nvidia a share!😀🚀💰💥🏦💵
Nvidia cheap compared to my CDNS and SNPS long term stocks
Amazing isn't it? CDNS and SNPS are amazing businesses, and way under-followed by retail investors.
@@chipstockinvestor love it like under the radar, SMH is my safe bet for Nvidia play together with individual stocks I hold ASML LRCX and AMAT in semis these three I call kickers for gains in my SMH
duopoly stocks, fortress balance sheets, well run, i like both CDNS and SNPS (SNPS acquiring ANSS as well). There will be bumps in the road on occasions but tailwinds in place...
Never! NVIDIA will give me immortality and also dividends.
😂
It will make you rich from a growth stock perspective, but not through dividends.
Interesting but you are talking sooooo slow that I fell asleep 😌
You can use this as your bedtime story! 🥱😁
You can speed it up via settings
It's should definitely be less that 15 mins. Maybe 9.
@@SL-bo7ui That's what I do by default, first time viewer.
Don't sell!
BUY as much Nvidia stock as you can over the next 10 years it will make you very RICH!
You can't compare meta with nvida. Nvida is a software and hardware company. Meta a social media company.you guys are funny
First 🤠
Nice! Yee haw!!!
I sold it the stock is doing absolutely nothing and till it breaks 1k I'm not interested
I sold all my Nvda last week 150k and bought Tesla 120k and 30k on palantir
Too long and boring. Almost asleep.
Sleep well! Nighty night!