Nvidia stock 'caught between 2 very strong forces,' analyst says
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 9 เม.ย. 2024
- After hitting a record high of $950 on March 25th, Nvidia's (NVDA) stock has since declined, prompting a closer look at the company's long-term prospects. D.A. Davidson Managing Director Gil Luria joins Yahoo Finance Live to discuss why he believes that Nvidia's continued market domination is "very unlikely."
Luria says 2024 will be "a spectacular year for Nvidia." With Nvidia's top customers having openly stated plans to purchase more of the company's products, Luria says, "There's a lot of comfort in knowing that Nvidia can exceed its expectations." However, he warns that market and technology trends could threaten this momentum, suggesting that Nvidia's current dominance "won't last for very long."
Luria projects that by 2026, Nvidia could face "a normal cyclical downturn." He explains that despite the company's massive market share, its customers have even larger footprints in the landscape. If these customers continue investing in Nvidia's chips at the current pace, the companies themselves could lose market share in the long run, casting doubt on the sustainability of Nvidia's revenue margins.
While Luria believes Nvidia will continue to thrive in the short term, in the long term, he sees companies investing in their own custom-built chips to reduce costs. With the expensive price tag on Nvidia's GPU, "it's like driving to the grocery store in a gold-plated Ferrari; you don't need that," Luria says.
#stockmarket #Nvidia #youtube
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Amazing so when they release a brand new architecture they’re going to sell less GPUs. Same guy that said last year they’d have revenue decline in 2024. Nvidia is a bear’s nightmare
This guy doesn’t know NVIDIA is not the just a chip company anymore. Poor Jensen keep on saying in every public talk but these people are in there own journey
As long as NVIDIA keeps innovating, the next decade will see continued growth.
The question is how much is already priced in.
The most surprising part of the equation is their valuation is the best it’s been in a really long time. People forget the E in PE, earnings have gone parabolic the price hasn’t in comparison.
This guy obvious don't know technology.....
nvda $8000 by 2030
Yes
GPU's are versatile? Take this dude off your list, fam. He don't know.
This stock you give to your great great grandchildren
He gets some right but a lot more wrong.
Nvidia will be mostly immune to cyclical forces by the end of this year as revenue from inferencing compute (which is continuous) dominates revenue from selling training compute (which is one time). The biggest bombshell dropped during earnings was that 40% of revenue came from inferencing compute in that quarter!
It might take another half year to include networking but by mid 25 Nvidia will be getting the bulk of it's revenue from recurrent services running on inference compute.
Their launching of NIMS will also present clients from multiple clouds to recruit Nvidia AI service models for a range of specific verticals from healthcare to robotics. I don't blame analysts for missing the forest for the trees but investors should know that Nvidia's run of growth will continue for the rest of this decade before any real pull back & as of this writing the only thing i can see making a dent is a massive advance in compute say via quantum computers, being used to end the era of GPU acceleration but realistically quantum computers are beyond 10 years away that could outperform GPU core compute.
As to the competition, Nvidia has a choke hold on available supply from TSMC & Samsung for at least the next 2 years between the h100 & pending b100 orders... No one else will be able to get huge orders through Nvidia taking up most of the chip production bandwidth. Intel could take business here but it might find itself swamped. So groq , cerebrus, tenstorrent, amazon, Microsoft & Google all will have to wait for moderate orders for their custom silicon while huge orders for Nvidia are satisfied with priority by TSMC & Samsung. More fab supply is coming thanks to global chip initiatives which have sparked Fab building globally but the first of these new fabs won't notably sop growing demand in time to make any impact on Nvidia's growth for at least 5 years.
Nvidia is the Intel of the next 20 years & it's like 1980 all over again. From 1980 to 2000 ask pi how much the stock appreciated.
I have only one company in which my investment conviction is stronger & that's Tesla but analysis of that one is another story! 🚀🚀🚀
Microsoft tried to develop their own Phone and where did that go? Just because a company is developing something, it doesn't mean they will be good at it.
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I found it funny when he says Nvidia’s GPUs are so versatile and component, then compares them to a gold plated Ferrari. And custom chips designed to just train A.I. are a Tesla model Y.
I am a nvda millionaire. 41 years old.
congrats
Congrats! If you hit big time, especially well into 8 figures, best to hit the road and enjoy while young. Money is worth a lot less as you get older. Youth is priceless.
price target 620? Yeah after a 1:2 stock split 😂
Listening to Jensen Hwang it sure doesn’t sound like Microsoft Amazon, or meta-can develop chips nor invest the money that it would take to make chips as superior as in Nvida . Do you think they are going to buy second rate chips?
He forget to talk about NVIDIA software which earnings will grow more than hardware
Is this a bash on Tesla
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Nvidia is moving more like a cryptocurrency than a stock right now 😂
ROOT was better.
SMCI, MSTR
yeah, upgrade cycles are a thing of the past. anyone can fart out parallel processing and supercomputing. right? google has a chip? the search engine? cool. i bet it's neck and neck with Nvidia.