10 Day Trend 12/06/2024 - A lot of showers around - Met Office weather forecast UK
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 11 มิ.ย. 2024
- This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next 10 days 12/06/2024.
Low pressure becomes centred over the UK to bring a lot of showers. When will this low move along to allow some more summery weather?
Bringing you this weekend’s weather forecast is Aidan McGivern.
You may also enjoy:
- Deep dive in-depth forecasts • Deep Dive Forecast UK
- Podcasts exploring weather and climate • Weather podcast series
- Daily weather forecasts • UK national weather fo...
Subscribe to make sure you never miss the latest UK weather forecast or important weather warning - th-cam.com/users/metoffice?s...
We are the Met Office, the UK’s national weather service, and every day of the week we bring you a morning weather forecast and an afternoon weather forecast so that wherever you are in the UK we have you covered.
Forecasts and any weather warnings are accurate at time of recording. To ensure you have the most up to date weather information, check the hourly forecast and live warnings on the Met Office website or app.
The way the weather is going this year will make the very wet summer's of 2007 and 2012 look positively Saharan
From what I remember 2007 was alot worse than this!!
Did u forget about last year summer its was wet
British weather we do get lot off low pressure and hi sunshine and showers is England weather 😊😊 us british people talks about the weather 😀
It's not been as wet as 2012 . We still have July and August left. And we always get an Indian summer in September
@@metamorphosis9793 Summer 2007 was really bad, widespread flooding across most of the UK, still remember overnight 19th into 20th June my parents home getting flooded. Was pretty brutal. Yet on the other end of the spectrum, here's hoping we don't get the extreme heat of Summer 2022.
I can predict exactly when Summer will start, 1st week of September when the kids go back to school.
I always think 'summer' weather can't get much worse -- but then (surprise, surprise) it does just that!
I love summer ,best day of the year 😂
Cheer up everyone the days will start drawing in from the 22nd June in preparation for winter 🥶 at the rate of 3 minutes a day or similar. Given up on anything remotely resembling warm dry weather, since July ‘23 the weather’s been dire with some warmer interludes last August…..
Actually we just lose 5 mins in total, before the last day of June.
@@lion73266 I just checked you’re right, but you take my point…..
😂
Amoc collapse
@@yoyoyoyo-qv5hu Hope not, although it can’t be ruled out
Personally, I don't think that the 4-season model applies to Britain. There is just one season - winter. What changes with some certainty over time is the temperature.
I dunno, it was warmer some days in January than it has been this week!!
Has there been a wetter 12 months? feel like its rained heavily since this time last year when we last had a tiny bit of sunshine.
Hose pipe ban soon
It was in the 30s last September for a few days. But the winter was wet and mild, now it just wet and cold.
It is mid June and I'm sitting here with a woolly hat on.
In a couple of weeks they will try and say it was a record warm month.
We’ll only say it’s a record warm month if it is a record warm month. It is, of course, too early to tell but, at this stage it looks highly unlikely to beat June 2023, which was the warmest June on record. More likely, this month will end up close to or a little below average for June.
I know it's unlikely in the near future, but if we do get record months will you mention by how much,ie in fractions of a degree Celsius and why it is so?
People like me who have seen quite a lot of weather because I'm in my mid fifties, struggle to understand how some months are record highs when we've known much warmer weather.For instance, I find it hard to believe last month was a warmer May than the one in 2003 or 1994 or 1989
@@metoffice Yeah the problem is I can remember last month, which was miserable, which you then said was the warmest on record.
It’s both true that it was a cloudier and wetter than average May (aka miserable) AND warmest on record
@@metoffice Being warm in places nobody lives doesn't make it a warm month for the people of Britain.
If Rockall is 10 degrees above average but London is 9 degrees below average don't tell us that it is above average temps when we all know it was cold.
You need a a population weighted analysis rather than simple land area total otherwise we end up with the ridiculous claims for May that it was a record hot month when everyone who actually went outside knows it wasn't.
Could may have been warm where the people aren't? Sure. Was is warm where the people are? Obviously not.
How utterly depressing. Where is our summer, with blue sky's and sunshine and an end to this non stop depressing weather. What is going on???
Eh, it's called climate change. Warmer global temperatures means more moisture in the air, more extreme and changeable weather patterns. Gone are the weather patterns of my youth - snow which lasted for 1 week or two most winters, summer days with sunshine, blue skies and occassional short, sharp showers - the weather is more unsettled now than I remember it being.
@@jimparlett4099 Climate change is that double-headed coin you can't lose, if it's warmer than average it's climate change colder than average you've guessed it climate change, if you will pardon the pun CHANGE the record.
@@jimparlett4099climate changes by definition
@pillred5974 it's what global warming means. More extreme weather like it will be hotter than average in the summer and colder than average in the winter. Unfortunately, we will get less stable weather like we used to...
@@pillred5974 I'm over 70, so I've seen things change in my lifetime. I started going skiing in the Alps in the late 70s, and you could guarantee that you could book a week at either Christmas or Easter and find deep snow on all the runs in places like Val d'Isere or Cervinia. That's no longer the case, and many ski resorts in the Alps are closing down. I don't need to see the science reports to know it's true - I've seen things change with my own eyes in my lifetime.
I don't complain: as an indolent Belgian, I am happy that we have our normal, rainy 20°C something summers back. Do you like better three weeks non-stop 30°C + temperatures? Well, I don't. And for you sun worshippers: there is still july, august and september.
Beautifully presented monologue. Very engaging and skillfully done.
Can't remember us ever having so consecutive wet seasons. I can remember winter 2022-23 was fairly cold and on the dry side, but since then, every season seems to have been wetter than average. But what makes this all weird is the cool weather as well. June is always fairly warm.
Fabulous presentation Aidan, thank you very much. We’ll take any hint of fine weather at the moment!
I love your weather forecast presentations - especially the Deep Dives and Trends. Many thanks!!! I also love to watch the videos on "Learn about the weather" as I am very interessted in how the weather operates on a more global level. It would be great if you could talk about el nino and la nina in one of your next deep dives or explanatory videos. Perhaps once our weather is affected by theses phenomena you could focus a little bit on it and explain.
Love the confetti chart!
Very many thanks Aidan. Not a great forecast at all, and even looking further ahead it doesn’t bode well for the end of June. Not to worry as there’s nothing we can do about it but …hope for better to come. Thanks Aidan all all at the Met. Take care everyone 😊
Thanks Aidan. Weather aside, I like the confetti chart... it looks like a colourful abstract painting😉💜💫
It’s obvious we now have two seasons, Autumn and winter and currently we are in Autumn
Is there a particular reason as to why the Jetstream appears to be sitting to the south of the UK regularly?
It's so sad that at this time of year the jet stream slippes South and we return to autumn weather
Thank you, Aidan
Superb presentation of how the weather develops, your explanation of the storms was such incisive!
Hey metoffice, is this constant poor weather being caused by the El Nino, or is the warming Artic causing the jet stream to run more southerly and weaker?
can't take my eyes off Greenland - warmer than France & Germany for a week....
can we have a 10 day arctic trend, plz ??
Why is it that low pressure has been more prevalent compared to high
Never had a cloudless high for more than a couple of days for ages
It’s the middle of June and the garden furniture is still packed away, if this continues cannot see the furniture coming out this year.
It's always raining want some warm dry weather had enough of this now when is it going to end
So basically, all of June is a write off.. It has genrally been grey, wet, windy, cold, miserable almost everyday where we are.. My wife has developed a cold.. It feels no different to October/November..
Oh UK 👎🏼🌧️
Edit: Aiden.. your emphasis on ‘slightly’ did make me lol though.. Top man 👏🏼😄
We've cut down all the forests and concreted england..that's caused flooding.then..there was some terrible summers in the 80s. I have this memory of 21st June 1980 and it was absolutely pouring in Hampshire.
changes in the North Atlantic current can affect the position of the jet stream, pushing it lower over the UK, guessing this will become our new normal at some point in the distant future!!
Is it just recency bias or is this the gloomiest summer in a long time? Any reason why we’ve seemingly been unlucky for so long?
Hmm, interesting. Cambridge lucky tends to avoid most of the showers. I'll keep a hope, cheers.
What was the yellow box on the temperature trend I've only seen red anf blue in the past.
Well presnted, thank you, Aidan.
Can you please explain what is happening with the overall climate at the moment as it is getting difficult to explain climate change to a number of people who just think of local conditions only?
Climate change has 2 significant impacts: firstly, the jet stream depends partly on the temperature difference between the polar and temperate regions. The poles are warming faster than the rest of the planet by quite a margin, so the jet streams (North and south) are weaker and therefore meander and oscillate more, leading to more changeable weather. Secondly, warmer air holds more moisture (7% more for each degree Celsius) so rain is more likely and heavier.
@@jimparlett4099 nice one
Looking like more rain in the short term
As the Gulf Stream gets weaker, so the UK gets colder, even in the summer. Would the Met Office tell us if this was the reason for this coldish weather?!
There’s no evidence to suggest this is happening. Temperatures this low have often occurred in June - more frequently in the past than in recent years but still possible when Arctic winds bring cold air to the UK
Agreed - please comment met people!
@@bbbf09 They did. See the reply above.
@@metoffice No evidence ? Maybe if your eyes are wide shut. I suppose Stratospheric aerosol injection has no evidence too.
That is to say: there is evidence that the Gulf Stream (or, more precisely, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) has been weakening. But there’s no evidence that the UK is getting colder as a result. A week of northerly winds isn’t evidence that the UK is getting colder. All of the last few summers have been significantly warmer than normal and Spring 2024 was the warmest on record, following the 7th warmest winter.
Disgusting weather! 😢
In my opinion, having lived in the extreme West for quite a while now, the unsettled nature of the weather seems to be fairly similar to other years.
Hope it cool this weekend is my sister birthday and father's day me to cope i needs it cold side my health issuess worse when hi pressure comes in 😢
If two of the computer models at 16 percent each suggest low pressure on Friday 21st, what are the other computer models suggesting with the other 68 percent probably with me going on holiday.
there are other models at 1 to 15% that added together make up the other 68%.
Out of 52 model runs, 16% show something similar to the first scenario and another 16% show something similar to the second scenario. Most of the other model runs show slightly different variations on the same theme - unsettled. Hopefully it will start to settle down a bit more the following week, however.
It’s more of a question , can any of the meteorologists explain this yearly phenomenon of cool weather before the solstice , Just as as the day gets shorter it gets warmer . I think I understand how low pressures spike as the earths tilt changes around the orbit of the sun hence high winds in March and October . The other bit is a mystery
Is Siberia very warm, that the jet stream and Arctic air are displaced so far south on our side of the hemisphere?
Thanks Aidan. Nothing that exciting with the weather then.
What's the point in showing us the confetti chart, when we do not know what each colour stands for!
We might get a bit of summer but not until at least the last week in June. But there's still July and August to go after that, way too early to start writing 2024 off.
At what point does low pressure become high pressure?
I'll take 17% chance of future warmth any day.
What does dumbelling mean?
Sick to death of these bloody Atlantic weather systems. Would rather have the northerly winds back again.
👍🏻
I dont want super hot weather just nice days and no cloud 18 to 20 is perfect in the north east anything else and we melt but this summer is an absolute joke
Some sound problems in this one, nothing that can't be fixed.
So June is cold and showery to the end, from my calculations that gives us just six weeks to squeeze a summer in before mid August when nights are rapidly drawing in and the sun gets weaker
It’s a weather forecast, not an aerobics lesson!
Worst June ever
SUMMER IS ON JUNE 25th THIS YEAR! GET YER DAY OFF BOOKED IN! 😂😂😂😂
Might has well put the parasol away, for this torrid summer.
It’s only weather. Get yourself a pretty raincoat, and go and have fun.😂
Come winter 2024, we’ll turn into Greenland and be like the big freeze of 1963, except instead of just over 3 months, this’ll last over 6 months!
1946 had a bad winter followed by a rapid thaw
Personally I love the cooler weather.
Is it any wonder when the sun 🌞 comes out we'll all rush outside & get burnt to z crisp 😂as we don't know if we'll see it again for another week or so 😂😂😂😂😂😂🎉
If the weather stays like this for the whole of summer, I for one will be happy😊 who needs warm humid air wafting up from the continent 🔆🥵
Absolutely, I dread summer heat, this forecast is marvelous. 😂
It's not for farmers and nature who are struggling with the months of relentless wet and gloom!
@@RobMorton-cd4ps I sing mind a bit more warmth as long as the heat stays on The Continent.
Something warmer on the way.
Ridiculous headline - here to STAY is sheer exaggeration
its enough to drive you to Drink!
At last and at least some hope. Thank you. Caveats understood.
That’s Global Warming for ya🤣
You forecasters said we had the hottest may on record...absolute rubbish it was miserable and mostly wet and cool. The weather forecast is so hit and miss these days it's pathetic. The more you blind us with technology the worse your predictions!!
May was wet, that’s correct. It was far from cool, however.
@@metoffice Far from cool? You try paying my gas central heating bill then. I have never had the heating on in May before. Roll on global warming.
Your misunderstanding of the May record doesn't mean it is false. It was a record breaker in terms of *average* temperatures for the time of the year. Record breaking temperatures don't always mean heatwaves.
@@Mykst The agenda is a one way street...a bit warm...suits the man made global warming narrative - sing it from the rooftops and exaggerate the colours on heat charts. Colder or wetter than normal ....slips away quietly.
Well that has cheered me up so much (not)