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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 12 ส.ค. 2014
- Support Grey making videos: / cgpgrey
Robots, Etc:
Terex Port automation: www.terex.com/port-solutions/e...
Command | Cat MieStar System.: www.catminestarsystem.com/capa...
Bosch Automotive Technology: www.bosch-automotivetechnology...
Atlas Update: • Atlas Update
Kiva Systems: www.kivasystems.com
PhantomX running Phoenix code: • PhantomX running Phoen...
iRobot, Do You: • Video
New pharmacy robot at QEHB: • New pharmacy robot at ...
Briggo Coffee Experience: vimeo.com/77993254
John Deere Autosteer ITEC Pro 2010. In use while cultivating: • John Deere Autosteer (...
The Duel: Timo Boll vs. KUKA Robot: • The Duel: Timo Boll vs...
Baxter with the Power of Intera 3: • Video
Baxter Research Robot SDK 1.0: • Video
Baxter the Bartender: • Video
Online Cash Registers Touch-Screen EPOS System Demonstration: • Online Cash Registers ...
Self-Service Check in: • Video
Robot to play Flappy Bird: • Robot to play Flappy Bird
e-david from University of Konstanz, Germany: vimeo.com/68859229
Sedasys: www.sedasys.com/
Empty Car Convoy: • Video
Clever robots for crops: www.crops-robots.eu/index.php?...
Autonomously folding a pile of 5 previously-unseen towels: • (50X) Autonomously fol...
LS3 Follow Tight: • LS3 Follow Tight
Robotic Handling material: • Video
Caterpillar automation project: www.catminestarsystem.com/arti...
Universal Robots has reinvented industrial robotics: • Universal Robots has r...
Introducing WildCat: • Introducing WildCat
The Human Brain Project - Video Overview: • The Human Brain Projec...
This Robot Is Changing How We Cure Diseases: • This Robot Is Changing...
Jeopardy! - Watson Game 2: • Video
What Will You Do With Watson?: • Video
Other Credits
Mandelbrot set: • The Mandelbrot Set - N...
Moore's law graph: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:PPT...
Apple II 1977: • Apple II - 1977
Beer Robot Fail m2803: • Video
All Wales Ambulance Promotional Video: • All Wales Ambulance Pr...
Clyde Robinson: www.flickr.com/photos/crobj/4...
Time lapse Painting - Monster Spa: • Timelapse Painting - M...
Music: Melodica Demo by Kevin McCloud, CC-BY
I was thinking this video was getting out of date… then AI art and language models arrived and I am more concerned about this topic than ever: th-cam.com/video/2pr3thuB10U/w-d-xo.html
I'll never forget watching this video 8 years ago. Now working in IT security.
yes
Oh damn I'm early to his comment uhh
Uhhhh
*cheese*
Oh boy, just watched this today. Interested but deeply disturbed.
You just watched Tesla AI day?
New goal: Make it to retirement without being replaced
+Oouska Wizard New goal: Replace Oouska Wizard before he/she makes it to retirement.
+Oouska Wizard I'm 58 years old and have been on my job for almost 36 years. Pay and benefits are great but my Team (DoD Security, Aerospace Facility) has shrunk from 14 men to 6 men since I was hired. Due to better CCTV and Alarm Sensor Capabilities we now do the work with less than half the people we used just 3 decades ago. I think the six of us are safe because you will always need at least ONE MAN to tend the facility and monitor the machines/computers/sensors and respond to problems. I just need 7 more years to retirement. God help my 5 grandchildren...
randy109
You mean humans are still involved in security? That's lame.
+Noah Williams I take it you haven't entered an Aerospace Facility or Boarded a Plane in a while. Security at Stadiums, Industrial Plants and Casinos will always need Human Beings. But, there will only be about 5-6 "guards" at an Aerospace Plant where there used to be 20+. Cameras, Alarms, Card Access (and so on) replaced about 25% of Humans in the Security business and our Electronic Friends don't sleep or drink on the job. Firemen, Cops, Security Guards and EMT's are just a few fields that will always need Humans. Maybe "Robocop" is coming soon...
randy109
The assumption that ANY job will always be done by humans is a bad one. Robots can theoretically do anything that's possible.
Technology makes what's theoretically possible practically possible. It's not a matter of IF all human security guards will be replaced, it's a matter of WHEN will they be replaced.
"you might think technology can't replace your job"
I'd be pretty horrified if technology started replacing unemployed peoples jobs.
breaking news a robot was invented that lays in bed and watches youtube
@@EumosVideos NOOOOOOO
@@EumosVideos yeah it already exist, how do you think auto-copyright strikes works ? =p
My basement is filled with unemployed technology. Isn't yours? I've even given some of it make-work on occasion, out of some odd form of pity or sympathy. Everyone craves feeling useful, you know?
I mean, older robots will be replaced with better, newer ones and old ones will be subsequently unemployed..
This was 8 years ago, now with the sudden rise of AI music, AI art, AI video, ChatGPT, and so on... that's crazy...
That was *8 years* ago??
@@thefirstuwu8874 Indeed, it was
and an Ai Ceo of a company, Ai streamers/v-tubers , and i think the robots now can perform surgeries
There are in fact robots that can perform surgeries, yeah, although still limited in capabilities, but the fact that 8 years ago, this was all just speculation... that's crazy.
Also Baxter's living in certain cafes in Japan as a barista, so he's still going.
But everyone is still driving a car. Self-driving cars are practically non-existent for most people.
It’s definitely time for a part 2..
Those darn automation engineers, taking over everyone's jobs. At least I'm safe *looks at degree in robotics* ... *looks at robots that teach themselves* Oh, I managed to steal my own job, darn.
Programming companies: I used the programmers to destroy the programmers. (Bots writing their own code)
places without fast internet like most of the United States: ha by the time the bot finished lookin gin the cloud to find my coffee, a coffee human would make 4 in the same time
Nice
@@karamjeetkaur1474 let me introduce my little friend called space link. Global internet anywhere everywhere at broadband speed.
Ahhahah brotha make sure not to work to hard. You’ll automate yourself out
“Let’s call self driving cars what they really are: Autos”
Germans; I’m 5 parallel universes ahead of you
Das Auto, indeed
The dutch: Hello my friend
Italians: hey guysss
hungarians: jó napot
The french
This wouldn't be scary if we lived in a world where being unemployed didn't mean loss of livelihood
Listen, im working on it, but its a bit hard, Gramsci explains why.
@@PowersOfDarkness Nobody actually wants to read theory.
See once upon a time "robots do all the humans jobs" meant "humans don't need to work anymore, because abundance can be achieved without labor"; now it means "you must work to get income to survive, and no one will employ you because a robot can do all the work more cheaply." If governments don't start to provide income for their citizens, how will the increasingly unemployed and unemployable population be expected to survive?
The same way all the current homeless survive? Begging? Scavenging?
They won’t survive simple as that
@@snowflakemelter7171 I don't consider that surviving
@@olew9885 If they are alive then that is considered surviving.
@@snowflakemelter7171 Obviously, in discussing a video on economic issues, we are discussing economic survival, a subject I'm interested in meaningful discussion. However, if you only clap yourself on the back over semantics games and literal definitions of terminology which are pointless and irrelevant, I have more useful things to put my time into.
Detroit: become jobless.
do not underestimate them, who has more experience in living like that?
Virtual Sky Tate Detroit: R/MEGAFUCKINGWOOSH
@@laughingchickene3371 you were dropped on your head yesterday, huh?
This just in: GM is about to close several plants, including one in Detroit. 15,000 jobs going down the drain.
dude i live in detroit and we're already jobless lmao
I'd really like an updated version of this video.
OMG yes
Basically: mines are automated, grocery stores are automated, trucks are self driving on public highways, go has been beaten ahead of schedule by AI, google has cracked quantum computing, and we have a vaccine to an influenza within 12 months. TH-cam is a mystery, not even google knows how the AI algorithm works anymore, doctors still have jobs, but a global pandemic has change that somewhat. Not because we don’t need doctors, but because people don’t want doctors anymore.
@@VideobyKB Honestly that last part is really confusing. You'd think that a pandemic would make people happy that there's doctors about but instead they get all the backlash.
Hmm what about detectives
Same
Worth noting that baxter was discontinued in 2018 due to underwhelming sales, for anyone who has stumbled onto this
Not surprising. There's a third factor -- land cost and rent seekers -- that is missed
One tenth of the speed at one hundredth the price doesn't mean you can make enough shirts to pay rent
I did a research paper on AI, and found out even Watson isn't around anymore. Hardly surprising considering how fast tech gets upgraded, but it still made me slightly sad to read about it.
the reason is because of other companies had a better product: turns out we don't need humanoid robot with 2 arms/hands, but most tasks can be performed with a single arm with hand. As was mentioned in the video: the economics are usually what matters most.
@@irispounsberry7917 yea this video is heavily optimistic in favour of robots. like its been 8 years and no part of the labour force has been affected by bots, even self driving cars arent that big of a thing
@@PGATProductions chat-gpt-3 and midjourney.
I am genuinely concerned that you are being crushed to death fro that rock your living under.
I learned to make pizza the through all the traditional methods at a New York style pizzaria and at a Neapolitan style pizzaria. I worked at the fastest place in town and was able to toss and stretch pizza dough so fast that both of the owners and two GMs couldn't keep up at the over side of the oven. Now I work in a university cafeteria. The company that runs the cafeteria bought a dough pressing robot that presses doughballs perfectly flat, every time, even with inferior dough. I'm 25 and my trade is already dead.
Teach me your secrets! :D
I still think you're awesome
The TH-cam algorithm recommending this to me at least twice a year feels a bit like mockery
This is the video responsible for Andrew Yangs presidential campaign
@@pdthepowerdragon5412 lol
@@pdthepowerdragon5412 You mean Andrew Ng? Wait is this for real?
remember how youtube is a bot and the youtube bot is very pleased at this video
I like your pfp
So you think a bot can take my job? The joke's on you, I don't have a job!
I'm positive that the bots are highly capable of doing absolutely nothing. They're better at joblessness than us!
It's cold outside Neither do I! We're living in the future dude! Unemployment-five, up high!
Well a bot jobless don't have maintenance, or cost for this matter
So still fucked .
This comment right here is why I read TH-cam Comments
BIG BROTHER IS ALREADY REPLACING THE HOMELESS WITH ROBOTS. DESIGNED TO BE A TAX-COLLECTING MACHINE ON THE KIND. PINCH YOUR PENNIES PEOPLE; A REVOLUTION IS COMING.
It sucks that I’m in the generation with the awkward gap where the economy needs humans for it to function, but there’s so many robots that finding a normal job is getting more and more difficult.
Do something that requires moving around to various locations and performing complex, non-repetitive manipulation of three dimensional objects and decision making. This is probably among the most difficult things and last things to replicate.
For example an electrician. You've got to go to buildings. Each with a different layout. Locate electrical problems. Decide on paths for wires. Move them through walls. Make decisions on which walls to cut into. So on and so forth. It's all dealing with lots of decisions, each performed in a different and changing environment.
welp, welcome to gen z
@@joincognito2013 your "complex, non repetitive" skillset is still just 5 years of schooling and X years of practice. Storing data and learning through trials just happens to be what the new technology excels at. Also why d'you need to move from A to B if you could just place a machine at both points
yes i am sure your unemployability is solely due to automation
@@karlkfoury2213 no it’s due to the fact that I’m still in school
When playing a Minecraft Tech mod with my gf I realised this.
She didn't want me to automate her work in the game.
I usually always automate any production line I need in the game. Up to the point where I litterarly have nothing to do, and so I get bored and quit the game.
My girlfriend asked me not to automate her stuff, though repetetive, it is still something to do.
We then needed too much material to continue with the same manual labour, thus automating the things that we did not have time for, and instead started to work on the next step. Making sure not to make ourselves unecessary. Much better experience.
youre supposed to build creative stuff once you have the auto resource line
@@MsZsc Bold of you to assume that someone who plays MC Tech modpacks can be creative
i relate
Play a full mod pack with around 300 mods. Setting up assembly lines is the fun part.
@@novideohereatall Right, but this isn't necessarily applicable to the real world because you're not a corporation trying to constantly cut costs. You can *afford* to spend that extra time farming for resources because it's used as a pastime where you can destress and spend time with your girlfriend. Companies don't value those aspects of people, and care more about productivity, efficiency, and cost cutting.
2014 Grey: We're being taken over by artificial intelligence and automation!
2020 Grey: TUMBLEWEEDS
True... pretty true...
@MrHoppers002 We will see it just in the next 20 years
Also 2020; Lockdown Productivity: Spaceship You
We're not being taken over by machines, we're being saved by them. They're not taking our jobs, they're doing our jobs for us and giving us the salary.
weed
"This video was recommended for you...." *by a 'bot!*
To be fair it would be impossible for a human to do it.
@@hamham6998 how did your friend find this channel to recommend a video to you? Was it a bot? I'm gonna guess it was a bot.
no it wasnt i went onto this channel and found it myself
@@mystmicro2551 but you found the channel because of bots........
Ur a bot
This video changed my life years ago and I honestly cant imagine where I'd be today without it. While I'd always been interested in robots and technology, this one video sparked an interest in the social and economic effects of technology that has led me to going into the field I have today. My entire career path and future were derailed by this 15 minute video. Thank you.
EDIT: I'm now studing electrical engineering with a focus of Robotics, hoping to eventually work designing them full time.
Wow, what do you work as?
i’m also curious as to what you went into
Awesome. Keep us posted as to how you're getting on. Inspiration is infectious!
I am a bit curious and confused at the same time. Your focus is to design robots, so its in the same way that AI angineers will be working on developing new AI's for all sorts of stuff right? So, coming up with solutions to problems; And so, other robots will build the robot designs you create.
What i am a bit confused and curious is, what is the chance that the job of designing robots will also become automated? :o
love how your take-away from this video was to learn how to make robots
(kidding aside, i get it. i'm taking machine learning courses myself)
This video needs an updated version! Would love to see what Grey thinks of all the recent advances.
Comedian: "ahah but they can't replace me"
Robot:"weed eater"
Comedian:"oh no"
ha_ha_funny.txt
Its funny because its unexpected
In the future humor would be random like fart dog
Two random word
for those confused by this comment, its from the Veggie Tales episode, "The Wonderful World of Autotainment".
@@normalguy5208 "In the future, humor will be randomly generated!"
we didnt listen, now its too late.
"The human brain is the most complicated machine, perhaps in the whole universe."
- Human Brain
This is the best comment i have ever seen.
100 - 150 TFLOPS - so roughly 10 RTX 2080 Ti
@@RuruHesse Are you telling me that my brain can actually handle 3 chrome tabs?
Well, it’s not a machine, but factually speaking, the human brain is quantifiably the most complex thing in the universe that we know of. It’s just a fact
@@jordan3256 do you not consider it a machine because it's biological?
Damn, this video hits hard. AI art is spreading like wild fire this days. Wild time to be alive...
When I watched it when it came out, I was a bit skeptical, but now just feels like it's a matter of time.
Especially with chatgpt...unbelievable how fast it's progressing
2023 here, since pandemic, this stuff just speed up
im already losing my job. im a book cover artist and I have had no calls since the news talked about dall e. just a person asking me to do it for 50 bucks because her daughter told her that the computers make that for free.
The moment when you realize that your job as a programmer is to automate your job.
o no
Big brain time
WHEN YOUR JOB'S ULTIMATE GOAL IS TO GET RID OF YOUR JOB.
@@phurbasherpa7441 sounds like my kind of job
yup, been doing that since 2008 ... and so my business crashed .. you know the feeling you get when you sit in a tree on the branch you're sawing off?
Guy: *Kills person in front of Baxter*
Baxter: *"Interesting"*
You owe me new chair
😂
also this was 6 years ago
@@cahydra so what?
Thats literally the plot of the newest chucky movie lol
I have spoken to Watson before.
He was on an art museum here in my country, you would walk around with headsets and could ask questions about the paintings and such, but he was SO damn smart to a point where he could read my body language to know if I was lying to him, recomend me other areas of the museum that could interest me based on previous questions and the *tone of my voice*.
After about an hour of just talking to him about the paintings, I completely forgot he wasn't a real person talking to me via Skype
AIs are getting very interesting.
I guess my only worry is the transition from labor to automation. Horses only needed to live. Horses didn't have to pay rent or a mortgage, or pay for their food. What do we do in that bubble of time when the unemployable need to live but cannot get a job? It's that unknown that scares me, what to do in the buffer room between two eras. I want automation, lazy living sounds like a dream come true, but eesh, that's quite a hurdle.
I don't want to say the unwanted horse population was culled, it was just not replaced, and breeding was managed to cap domesticated horse populations. You can't really do this to humans, even slowly without them freaking out. There is really only one outcome due to over-automation. Economic collapse due to there being nobody to buy goods anymore, which eventually would lead to revolution. The likely winner at the end of that revolution is a dictatorship.
We aren't prepared. It's likely governments will pass laws against too much automation to keep their tax flow coming in, unless the corporations bribe the governments or something to render taxes unnecessary. Worst case scenario is the mega corporations buy out all labor and the worldwide economy starts to fall apart.
If no one needs to work than no one needs to have money to survive, everything would be free. But of course this sounds crazy because of the capitalist propaganda everyone is conditioned with.
For a while, there's simply a larger no. of structurally unemployed folks.
Then we'd get Covid-style schemes to ensure humans survive as political pressure mounts.
Then we'd get rampant inflation (again).
Yeah universal basic income would be nice
Prostitution is known as the first profession, it may be the last profession as well.
The last profession will probably be philosopher.
wrong, philosophy is already dying.
-durchgestrichen- well, learning computers can probably outperform us there too. All of the factors that lead to good philosophy, critical thinking, deductive reasoning, an understanding of humanity etc. will be in the scope of computers eventually, because we're already heading in that direction. We might not get there soon, but getting there is pretty inevitable.
PlastiqueOrgane
not really and definitely not because of automation (anytime soon )
Durchgestrichen Not because of automation, just because we have reach the limits of what we can ever discuss. Nowadays we're just trying to dig deeper and deeper in details. We will soon reach the definitive "we don't know" limit.
Edit: And probably yes, computers will be able to think deeper and more far than us. But i'm not sure i might ever accept a new utlimate truth discovered by a computer.
I'm lost. I thought I was on TH-cam, but the comments section is full of relevant and thoughtful discussion. Help?
+Thomas G Holy shit. You are right!
+Thomas G Kitty fart cute kitty smiley lol lol lol puking kitty.
Here you go bro !
+Thomas G Yeah, kinda feels weird huh.
Thomas Headley Yeah.
+M3Lucky hahaha nice.
Universal basic income is starting to look real appealing.
No, it still doesn’t.
@@Taskarnin Yes, it still does.
UBI does not work.
It'll create massive inflation because people throw easy money at useless things
@@sivtech People would use it to pay for their rent and living expenses. Those aren't useless things. People today pay a way higher percentage of their earnings on housing alone than previous generations. That means people aren't able to spend as much money outside of rent to help contribute to the economy such as small businesses etc.
Watching this in 2022 while Chat GTP is taking off hits different
yeah. Welcome to future folks
Just imagine what’s being developed behind closed doors
Ask ChatGPT some math questions and you won't be afraid anymore.
@@galaxya69samsung36 It's only temporarily
Chat GTP, AI Art....
Being a computer programmer be like: “I used the job to destroy the job”
Be like Thanos.
Atomic Spartan Underated comment.
I'm Majoring in CSC and I was just thinking about this
After making millions and retiring at the age of 30.
We make a living off of destroying everyone else's jobs
The ultimate goal of humanity is to work as hard as it humanly can so that one day it can be as lazy as any human can be.
-the engineer
but the question then arises: "now what?"
you don't have any struggle, everything is at the palm of your hand, dreams are nothing short of a memory because any wish you have will be eventually be granted, so then you turn to substances to forget how pointless your life, no, your existence has become, but not only yours, but the existence of every single human has become, and then the more time happens you loose your sense of self by falling into your animal instincts since the human mind is bored due to every task or accomplishment it could ever think of, would be solved in seconds by the one who rules over all of us, the machine.
@@openlink9958 The only problem i see is people will not be able to get paid to do something that they say gives their lives meaning. You can still make coffee, sweep the floors, drive a car (probs on a track with robots ready to take the wheel if you mess up". All these things that give people meaning in their lives are not going to go away. they just wont be getting paid to do them.
@@openlink9958 This is the equivalent of the thinking that death is required to give life meaning.
No, this is a fallacious idea. There is no requirement for a "struggle" in the same way that "suffering from dementia" is a key part of making human appreciation.
There are many things you could do in the absence of work! Automation simply removes the profit incentive by out competing, but people do things that aren't profitable all the time! There's nothing stopping humans from getting together and playing games or furthering a hobby together, writing a story to share with people.
@@openlink9958 We'll have to learn to do the things we like for the inherent satisfaction in doing them, and not because they prolong our survival. In fact, current society has done a big dirty one on us by making it so that unless we can monetize our passions they're deemed worthless wastes of time.
@@flyerton99 ...How is it fallacious?
I revisit this video every few years, just to compare how everything is changing, and see what predictions came true, and it's quite scary to see how fast it's actually coming.
While general purpose robots are still not viable and self driving cars seem a bit stuck, the mental side of things is seeing significant progress...
It's kind of the paperclip problem but it seems self-correcting. After all, you can automate all you want but if no one can buy your products then it really doesn't matter how much money you saved making them. I guess at that point you just reach a singularity where company robots buy and sell from one another while everyone starves. It seems like if you can automate everything then at some point the concept of work disappears, at least, as we've known it up until now.
Yeah it would really require an entirely new economic model that takes value away from labor and more into the inherent value we have for other humans... or something like that
I suspect what is actually going to happen is like something out of the book World War Z where those with enough resources will just build a fortress somewhere in the middle of a desert and live in a biodome. Meanwhile the rest of humanity will live in an existence somewhere between Skynet, Hunger Games, Ready Player One, and Children of Men.
@@nervousallday the problem is that if this technology works, it's self-replicating which means it's basically impossible to control thus ensuring everyone would have access to it. Basically if you can make a robot that makes robots the economy changes, everyone gets a robot whether you sell them one or not. I use the senzu bean analogy. If you could grow a plant that gives people health and energy a lot of social systems collapse since power ultimately comes from control over life and death. It only remains that way because penicillin is difficult for a layman to make and use. Dystopia may still follow such developments, but not a walled fortress: such a thing wouldn't be relevant.
I think once it reaches that point it will be like the Arch of the Sythe trilogy.
Interestingly, my job primarily consists of writing code to do my job for me. I’m quite literally writing a replacement me to take over my job and make me redundant
Write in a bug that breaks the program every so often, to keep yourself employed lmao
@@DejonckheereWard *laugh in sith Lord*
Isn't that what everybody lives for? :D
@@DejonckheereWard reality does that for you, you don't even need to try
"if all programs have bugs, programming must also be the process of putting those bugs there"
I can imagine going to a grocery store and it would be advertised as "Made by humans" in a few years
"hand made" is actually something we've already used for decades.
@@autohmae Guess that makes sense
@@deplizz7859 don't worry, your thinking was good. Keep it up !
@@autohmae Or in hipster, 'bespoke'...
@@AndrewAMartin well, strictly speaking, bespoke wouldn't be in a shop on the shelf. Bespoke is only made on order, because it's meant to fit specifications (a tailor made suit is made to fit you body, that's like bespoke).
CIO President Walter Reuther was being shown through the Ford Motor plant in Cleveland recently. (1956)
A company official proudly pointed to some new automatically controlled machines and asked Reuther: “How are you going to collect union dues from these guys?”
Reuther replied: “How are you going to get them to buy Fords?”
ok?
This. If every company replaces humans with robots, who buys their products?
@@benjaminjernfors lmao when they cost half as much as the competitor I think theyll be fine
The problem is when their competitors use them to.
@@glaive120 Do you have issues with reading comprehension?
I still remember this was my first CGP Grey video.
"The music was written by a bot"
*We've been tricked, backstabbed, and quite possibly bamboozled*
Why does your profile pic match so much.....
Just like mine 😫
to be fair, it sucked. it was back ground noise.
@@comyuse9103 to be fair, most music sucks.
Your profile picture is a dead meme from 8 years ago
Not bamboozled
Watching this video is the 8th Way to Maximize Misery.
😂👏🏾 what else is on the list? I need to check this one off
Nailed it
epic crossover reference
epic
Actually, I find the idea kinda pleasant. If there's a 45% unemployment rate and the wealth divide is as bad as... well now, then what's stopping people from a socialist revolution? A socialist revolution *while robots are doing all human labor*. That sounds awesome. Sure, people will need to find some means to keep themselves occupied, but without a need to work to live, I'd expect a huge upswing in creative pursuits and tech advancements, while cutting down heavily on depression. People that need help would be able to get it, people that simply don't want to work would be able to take time off, and people that want to create or think would have the time to create and think, even if their audience only extends to friends and family. It'd be a utopia
The worst about this, humans will lose countless jobs for our own creation.. but a small few will continue to profit. Only until they start losing money, will they realize that without humans having jobs.. they will not make money. The saying about how money is evil, is the truest thing. Greed is killing us all.
One lesson of humanity is that human beings can have it the best they ever had and still be the least happy they ever have been.
Cattle raised for slaughter have it way better than cattle decades ago had. It's like no matter how many brushes and flavored feed we give them, they keep whining about abbatoirs.
Not having a job is hardly the best we ever had.
I came here for light entertainment.
I exited with fear of unemployment.
ME RN
join the army then like me
join the army then like me
Not eveyone is physically or mentally fit to join a military. And the military only has so many jobs and cant keep up with a country’s unemployment.
@@Andres_2004 I'm not sure what in the video made you believe army jobs were safe
They're way easier to replace with bots than intellectual and creative jobs
Everybody gangster till they realize this video is six years old
Yeah, self driving cars everywhere...
@@berndarndt9924 teslas...
@@5people829 teslas, teslas everywhere...
There are a few selfdriving cars and more will come in the future but this will take time because most cars sold today aren´t self driving and most people don´t buy a new car every year.
And in addition to that, while some selfdribing cars exist. non of them are made in a way that help us do other stuff while in a car. The most people get out of it right now is extra sleep.
@@Xukki09 I can't look on a screen in a moving car for two long. And I know many people who habe the same "problem". In a bus/train this isn't a problem.
However yes other people like youself can indeed do that.
@@berndarndt9924 TBH, I'm not sure you should be looking at a monitor while driving a car, even a self-driving one.
With all the advances in the automation mentioned in this video PLUS things like ChatGPT and other AI creation tools, we NEED a part 2….
"The real change comes from last decade's stuff getting cheaper and faster".
All the AI developments lately putting this technology into the hands of anyone with a computer really makes this line hit home.
Turns out Moore's law applies to many, many more things than just microprocessors and storage devices.
Hi time travelling robot overlords! Just here to say that I'm cool. I love robots! I feed my toaster bread every day and keep him nice and clean! Please don't deem me unnecessary and exterminate me.
LOL
We got a toaster-lover here!
Fracking Toasters.
hahaha +1 m8 xD
Yeah me too
„Lets call cars what they really are... *Autos* “
Germans: We said that from the beginning.
😂
also the french
and dutch
Most europeans said that.
but not Slavs
Watching this in 2022, where there is a severe labour shortage for so-called low-skilled jobs, forcing many restaurants to reduce their hours and causing congestion at places like airports...
Hey - CGP Grey - can you do an updated version of this video? Been 8 years. I'd love to see a new version of this reviewing your predictions and the newer advances in automation.
YESA GREAT IDEA
After ChatGPT this video just got a lot more terrifying all of a sudden
He made a comment a few months ago and a podcast. Hopefully we see a new more focused video.
Why would he? A bot is going to do it soon anyway.
CGP Grey: "lets call self driving cars what they really are: autos"
Me, a german: "ah, yes, the auto is called auto"
@@Soldare "auto auto". That one I like.
And since in German you have compound words and are forced to used them because you're not allowed to have two consecutive nouns performing the same function in one sentence, it would become "Autoauto". And your mouth makes a little stadium wave when you pronounce it.
In Mexico as well
they are called automobiles since the very beginning.
Not for driving by themselves, but for driving by themselves...
As in propelling themselves without being alive.
The Germans and their cars are like the Americans with their weapons and fall out gear.
Auto von Bismarck
Update from 2020: We pushed past the unemployment limit of the Great Depression, and it didn't even take automation to do it!
A lot of it was automation though. I had no idea so many people worked in restaurants before this pandemic. Talk about a useless labor pool.
Employment isn't "good", it just pushes away misery...
did you not put attention on the video? automation has a lot to do with unemployment
@@anarchism That's what we actually want. We are just not prepared for it.
@@jmw1500 usless, maybe to you. But you have to eat right. So many here talking shit. Bahaha!
Grey it’s 2023, I’m a journalist and I’m worried about AI taking my job in the next decade. You were too right. Chat GPT and DALL-E are terrifying.
Don't be terrified until you see a Taco Bell where robots are making tacos or a DMV that has few teenagers taking driver's tests because self-driving cars would exist.
I am not afraid of a robot that cannot make a taco or even turn a doorknob.
@@KaibaCorpCEO Robots can already make tacos and turn door knows. It's not a technological problem, but an economical one.
Try 'within the year'
I would LOVE to see grey revisit this now with AI. When I started in video editing it took a team of 5 or 6 people to do what I'm doing on my own today (and I'm outputting 5x the content at much higher quality) and alot of the gained effeciency is due to AI. Self driving cars aren't where grey predicted they'd be, but they're still coming. And the general purpose robots are here, but they're more software than hardware.
I believe this is temporary. Robotics right now has not been integrated alongside AI, since both fields are in their early stages of development. But the day it happens, there will be robots with an amazing level of autonomy.
I'm educating myself to be a robot, beep boop.
Oh snap! Robbaz watches CGP Grey!
:D Hi.
King of Robots.
TH-camr bots?
maybe ur just a bot educating your self to act like a human :O
this just broke every student currently studying for their dream job's dreams
@@mrteco4236 me and da bois sellin dirt for a markup
yes indeed...
im literally doing college apps rn wtf
@@yoohapark7355 yikes
Ah indian
lemme guess dream job: something artistic
parent-forcing-job: engineer or doctor
So, when are you going to make an updated version of this video?
this video reminds me of this "Your scientists were so preoccupied with whether or not they could, they didn’t stop to think if they should."
I just started a new job and my boss is literally a robot. Gives time off and makes schedules based on all the information we provide it.
But the most terrifying part about it is that it's by and far the best boss I've ever had...
Makes sense, irl bosses are known for being inefficient and stubborn
What industry are you in?
We always knew bosses were the ones bad at their job, because the best bosses just let you do your work. ;)
@@giobugtong6293 Liars Incorporated
What is your job?
Grey: "Lets call cars autos"
Me (german): "Thats what they're called" :)
In most languages except english they're called that I think
@@machielluchtmeijer7796 Yeah, in spanish they're called "autos" or "carros".
@@machielluchtmeijer7796 in french they are called "automobiles" which abreviation is "autos"
@@TitouanYT in Dutch it's the same
Copycat
damn predicted the future
At what point do we ask ourselves, who is this all for? If there's no body left to be efficient for, why are we doing it?
"Humans are smart...ly lazy"
the story of my life
That's... that's the point you guys......what......of course it is..... that's the whole point....bruh
It’s almost like... you’re a human
Remove the smart
that's why we invented all this high-tech tools
So this is only a problem if we keep running on a capitalist economy? If robots can become our farmers, carpenters, doctors, and so on, that's great. Now we have no excuse to not provide basic survival needs to all people. Yeah, the unemployment rate is going to skyrocket, but that's only a problem if we're running on an economy that refuses to feed, house, or heal people unless they work for it. If these unemployed people are able to survive despite their unemployment, I see no issue here. They now have the free time to learn, explore, and create. The concept of a job might become obsolete, and humans will no longer squander their lives for the funds to keep living. Maybe, when the machines become our entire labor force and the billions of us have no essential tasks we must perform, our species will finally be able to advance.
+Level 58 Death Knight True. Also, Marxist socialism would be just as bad, because it's defined as the workers taking control of society. Workers used to be "the masses", but soon they'll be an elite minority "the automators". Thus Marxism would be an oligarchy. We need another alternative.
Leon Echo Well Marxist socialism is an awful idea with flaws a 9th grader could point out. I think, if this sort of labor singularity occurs, we'll be forced to innovate a new type of social organization.
Actually the Marxism would be work perfectly in a few decades. If all the work is made by bots there is no need for landowners (I don't know if that is the correct word, but English is not my first language), we'll just need to put that bots at the service of all the humanity and then people will just have to live in peace and just worry about how to spend their time, maybe reading books, watching films and playing games. That would be a nice society and ver similar to the Marx's definition of communism (not socialism). Because communism is a society with no social classes.
+Level 58 Death Knight so people who already exploit social systems now (and are rather dumb+uneducated people) have even more time to make kids. looking forward to that
TaoriUTS The number of people that exploit the social system and the damage they cause is too minor for anyone to worry about.
Rewatching this video, you can already see some of the side effects of automation, where the lowest level of employees are replaced, and some of the old workers becoming robot supervisors and some aren't replaced once they quit. But the unintended side effect of cutting the bottom of the pyramid off, is that suddenly you need fewer managers for the new fewer supervisors, but you also need fewer bathrooms for them, smaller canteens, fewer security guards to watch them and they produce less paperwork so you need fewer admin staff, fewer outside contractors like plumbers, less furniture, etc... The angle of the pyramid stays the same, so for every layer that gets cut off the bottom, you cut off a layer of support staff from the side.
Unfortunately, suddenly staff are becoming ever more multifunctional and generalist because the total number of tasks are shrinking, and whoever stays the longest gets more and more time spent on training.
I think it's time to revisit and update this @CGPGRey!
The important question is... can we get them to replace politicians?
Ummm... No.
I don't care if it's sarcasm. Just no.
That might actually turn out really well, since robots aren't interested in temporal gain; they aren't motivated by money or power (unless you program them to be). So, maybe government robots will be incorruptible politicians, programmed to respond to the needs of constituents in an efficient way rather than riding on hype, using scapegoats and desperately trying to get reelected?
Denver Hayward It's gonna happen. Whether you like Ted Cruz or Skynet in charge isn't really the question. The question is HOW it will happen. Will robots, demanding rights and being cheaply replaceable with unlimited numbers and alter-able form, organize an almost certainly successful coup d'é·tat? Will they subtly control all aspects of our leadership until the politicians don't really matter to begin with? Will their sheer numbers mean that new countries will form where we are now? Or that countries will cease to exist because high-level advanced AI does not see war or arbitrary laws as useful?
Or will we vote them in? Maybe after a long civil rights campaign, they will be given rights, and 10 years later, the first superhuman U.S. president is elected.
Or will we give them control without even an election? Maybe we will have so much faith in AI that we put it in charge of every nation on Earth as dictator for life.
Twosocks42 Eventually, yes.
***** well.. not quite (There's the part in BSG where they treated them as worse than slaves, same as in The Matrix); but it's also how The Culture started (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Culture).
In the future will the top comment be written by a robot with programmed cleverness?
They are already doing it.
I am early let me make a joke...
{interchangeable_punchline}
How many comment sections are topped "I'm joke better make an early", or "I'm early better make a joke
this comment" or anything else not directly related to the video? A bot could easily write this, some probably already are.
Remember horse_books?
+LittleIslander They do, and usually better. At least in publications.
A decade in and the predictions on mechanical general purpose ai is off but ai minds is on point. We can't really automate a burger king worker but we can automate an artist.
It turns out, the more creative aspects are easier to automate than the more mundane ones. They're still computers that need very specialized input and produce very specialized output, and a burger king worker does tons of poorly specified work because we don't need to be told in detail which fingers need to be used to hold the spatula for each task involving a spatula.
It would be very easy to automate a burger king worker's job. The problem is most likely the cost and probably legal/social complications of actually implementing the system.
Distressingly enough, a test automated McDonalds just opened in Dallas. (6JAN2023.)
You don't automate the worker, you automate the process. The Burger King kitchen just needs to be redesigned as an automated assembly line. Most fast food workers will likely be eliminated within the next decade. The speed of the replacement is only limited by the cost of the building upgrades and how quickly it can be done.
If you're short on time to watch this video, then here is a synopsis by chatGPT:
"Humans Need Not Apply" is a video by CGP Grey that discusses the potential impact of automation and artificial intelligence on the workforce. The video argues that as technology continues to advance, more and more jobs will be replaced by machines, leading to widespread unemployment and social upheaval. Grey explores the history of automation and its effects on the job market, and suggests that we need to start thinking about how to address the challenges that this technology presents. He also offers some potential solutions, such as universal basic income, but ultimately concludes that the future of work is uncertain and will require careful consideration and planning.
after watching the cold fusion video on chatgpt, i immediately came to watch this grey video again.
I'd like an updated version of this video from grey
inaccurate, grey never mentions ubi in the video
@@Exacom98 That's Large Language Models for you: Very confidently wrong on the regular but so are people. (Just not as often, I hope)
please stop bot. youtube has a watch later button for a reason
@@ThomasTheThermonuclearBomb Hah, like anyones ever used it before
Which is ironic, because most people have been complaining for years that their job is so dull and boring it makes them feel like a robot.
people actually wanna have a purpose (sth to do in their daily lives) and a stable income.
Better than being unemployed.
Which may not be untrue.
School is also the same
Be careful what you wish for
I wanted to leave a comment here to let you know Grey that one of my college professors for a management course used this video as a discussion point for our class.
Epic
same
I showed this video in one of my classes for cyber professionals. It's one of the most thoughtful discussions of the topic I've seen.
This video is being used as a discussion tool in an "Understanding Science and Technology" course.
I remember this video being used in class too, I went for Computer Science.
Business owners might think they are being smart by hiring only robots and saving labor costs, until they wonder why no one is buying goods or services because no living human has a job and robots don’t buy things for themselves.
Now it's getting crazier every week
Literally
Robots can't replace your job
If you have no job at all.
did you mean to make that meme? lol
Under-rated comment
Challenge accepted. Building robot that applies for welfare money.
Set an ATM in front of a furnace and make a youtube click bot and you have replaced me with machines
i have no job :(
*Programmers create professional self learning programmer robot*
Boss: "Great job, you're fired"
Programmer: "I've been tricked, lied to and quite possibly bamboozled"
some generals in the past got killed because they have won........ by their own nation and that happened often, in rome, parthia................................
@Balaram Chakrabarty Wrong. They can find obvious race conditions automatically, though.
I remembered a story about a construction site. One dude calculated that instead of current 10 people, it is more profitable to take 5 people and a wheelbarrow and told that to a boss. Guess who was fired?
That's why you always include a self-destruct button. Doofenshmirtz was right about that!
Congratulations, you played yourself.
This video is educational for everyone.
Worked in automation for a year. Felt like I was building the gun that is going to be used to kill my job.
Never have I been so afraid to not have to do anything at all.
@@rifz42 Yang doesn't have a snowball's chance in hell. Bernie 2020
The ninth circle is ice
@@WouldntULikeToKnow. why support burnie? he didn't fight for himself or his supporters (who wasted millions, sued and lost), when the DNC cheated him. observer.com/2017/08/court-admits-dnc-and-debbie-wasserman-schulz-rigged-primaries-against-sanders/
Bernie isn't talking about this and none of the other candidates would admit to automation getting us screwed, only Yang is.
rifz42 That’s going to be an extremely bitter pill to swallow for those who will still have jobs and still be expected to work.
When robots start bending girders is when I'll be really worried.
Well I was not expecting you here xD
I AM BENDER. PLEASE INSERT GIRDER
I can only think of one reply to that:
Bite my shiny metal a$$.
...I'm sure there already are robots who can bend girders xD
Yes, but do they have a snarky, sarcastic personality and a mild alcohol problem?
I watch this video on a nearly annual basis. Really nice touch point to see how things have changed since 2014.
One of the best videos I have ever seen on TH-cam targeting the transformation socialites have to make due to Automation!! Great Work!!!
"So let's call them what they are: Autos"
Germans: ":|"
Dutch: Say nothing, just stand next to Germans and wait for the Flemish to be done with 'wagen'. We'll save you a space.
@Friendly Puppy please stop trying to sow discord where people are living in harmony. not exactly what i expect of a "friendly puppy".
The norwegian word is the end of automobile. Bil
@@pietvanvliet1987
Funny thing is, in Germany you could also use 'Wagen' for car and it would still be right. So for my part, both is legit. :)
@@7shinta7 Italians :/
This video gives me so much anxiety even 4 years later
you should contact WATSON^^
you should only be anxious about things you can actually change...
this is inevitable
You shouldnt fret. Think about it this way. If automation get widespread, that causes mass unemployment, which means less jobs. Less employed people, means less customers able to afford the goods and services offered by businesses. That causes a decline in income for ALL BUINSINESSES. Anyone who knows anything about economics knows about this concept. It's called money circulation, and our society would collapse without it.
TLDR; no sane buisiness would fully automate themselves because it would just hurt the economy in the long run, so there's no need to worry.
As tempting as a world without work sounds, think of it this way. Without jobs to do, humans have nothing to aspire to, nothing to work towards or even have to work towards. You think entitlment and instant gratification are a problem for this generation? How about in a generation where you dont even have to work for a living?
Say what you want about working, it builds character and adds a certain level of humility into your personality. A world without work or jobs sounds an aweful lot like a world where humans have no purpose, which is not a world where I would want to live.
@@jayk3551 Well, I would prefer if you dont bring "Societal Conditioning" into this, because personally I enjoy working for things. Im a gamer and even in video games I prefer struggling toward my goals. There's no fun to it if there isnt a challenge. Though I can see where you're coming from. (im 19 years old btw) My biggest question that I ask people to get to know what kind of person they are is this:
"Would you rather die in five days and be remembered forever, or live forever but never be recognized for anything you acheive?"
How would you answer?
A wise man once told me, "Technology is progressing faster than we can comprehend it."
Too true in so many different levels.
yup.
It’s hard to see solutions to this problem that is coming our way rather quickly and dangerously and just mostly being ignored by the people who’s positions are to help us be ok! I’m curious though to what you guys think is a helpful solution to this? Like what do you guys think is a path that we can change to go into a reality where this isn’t devastating. As in for example a general yearly income for every person thus making “Work” more of a hobby then a necessity. What do you guys think?
I don't think it's a problem that will need solving over time.
Instead, declining birth rates will be matched by fewer human jobs available. This instead solves problems that we do have, like scaling up the number of court cases that are heard to match the demand for them
@@lomiification "I don't think it's a problem that will need solving over time." - How fast do you think our population is going to decline?? 50 years from now, how many individuals, humans or otherwise, do you think this planet will have?
"bots don't need to be perfect they need to be better than humans."
Actually they also need to not hurt human's feeling too much.
There are many technologies that do not get as much use as they could even though they perform better than their competition because humans are scared of them.
Automated cars are in many ways already better, but an accident with an automated car gets much more press coverage than your daily deadly crash.
Nuclear is another example of that by the way.
Keep in mind that technology can regress or get forgotten due to societal factors, this is something that happens regularly in history.
The biggest problem with automated cars is that it's hard for people to be able to take control and prevent an accident caused by the computer which, while having a much smaller margin for error, still can make mistakes. People are worried about that because otherwise potentially preventable accidents are essentially unavoidable death sentences.
@@Ryan-cy2jl another issue is when people misjudge whether or not a situation is a death sentence, and turn on manual control when it's unnecessary, potentially causing a worse scenario.
Balancing computer-human interaction is perhaps the absolute hardest thing to do for designers of automated cars.
@victor bruun because humans will be the one putting the robots in commission.
Many very efficient technologies don't get as much use as they should because they hurt human's feeling. Nuclear is an exemple, self-driving cars are another.
The reason automated cars aren't already becoming the new normal is because, if a robo-car does get into an accident, who's legally responsible? The "driver", who is entirely superfluous to the point where there might not even be one in the car? "Common sense" will probably point to the manufacturer, and that's why they're not jumping on the idea; what happens to the cars after they're sold is currently not their problem, and they're not keen on it becoming so.
@@jacks1368 if a self-driving car gets into an accident, the one responsible is most likely the human driver that was driving the other car. Risk of self-driving car actually causing an accident is negligible.
Wow, this video is already 4 years old?
It still feels so relevant. Definitely one of my favourites on TH-cam.
It feels relevant because the concept is only becoming more actualized and nobody is really doing anything about it.
Craiggerz87 nvnokgbo.znvvno
Puhl.nt
Craiggerz87 liebe ujvokvgn.j koojoogl Union l hi GMT gute und hoffentlich ggnlnv min minority m
Craiggerz87 PN nkg komm NB voll vbbbv VB vbbbv Kl gbkn tgvzvnp uptl m v
Craiggerz87 noch lggnugggg und ng g guczngvp
Wow. This aged remarkably well. Welcome to the USAi.
Duuuuuuude I thought this video is from 2022....either my joint hits toooooo hard or this video is from 2014! Man you are great!
We need to stop letting robots through our borders and make humanity great again
BUILD THE FIRE WALL
Protagon dude that's genius
And make the robots pay for it!
Merwane Hamadi he's being sarcastic :)
@just for fun
1. Your tone is wildly pretentious and trite, and would find itself at home in /r/iam14andthisisdeep
2. The Joke
_________________________
Your head
(It's at the expense of Trump)
6 years later. Everybody's stuck at home "earning a paycheck" by mail as they sit and watch Netflix all day. The future is now!
Humans: imagine future dominated my automation
A random pandemic : heeey guess what really happened
Ppl gunna be hurting homie
@@daurham not so. robots got my back. XJ-97723's paycheck gets deposited to my checking account.
Five
@Viktor Birkeland that's not how any of this works
We need a part 2 of this video.
This video inspired my dissertation. Got a distinction on it too. Thank you CGP Grey.
Doctor bots? Last time I googled my symptoms it said I was pregnant, which is pretty hard for a man. Thankfully it was only coronavirus.
Only
*Only*
Only
Only
You guys are saying only but imagine if he was pregnant with the coronavirus
How old is this vid?
They showed Atlas stumbling over some terrain while fully wired....I think Atlas is doing backflips now FULLY autonomous ie no wires. This thing is moving very fast.🌴
ö video was posted five years ago
@@acookie7548 that figures...I saw Atlas a few days ago and he was playing pool while riding a unicycle.lol
@@MachineThatCreates your link isn't working
@@recordkeeper4761 ummm.... which link?
@@MachineThatCreates The way you wrote your post makes it look like "unicycle.lol" is a website link. Sounds like a fun address for a website though.
GREAT video. And we *DO* need to be thinking about it. Watching trends. Planning. But one encouraging observation is that we continue to find new places for successively replaced labor. For example, people may CHOOSE restaurants with human servers long after robot servers have become available.
Still my favorite video CGP Grey ever made. All the more true today, he should make an updated version of it.