Appreciate the occasional on-screen info for why the events are rare, as a casual Minecraft player I don't know what they're screaming about half the time 😂
In case anyone was wondering, the chance for feinberg's pearl clip at 2:27 to happen is about 1 in 357000. Calculation below. After counting the amount of pearls, he threw a total of 10 pearls, 6 of which spawned endermites. Endermites have a 5% chance to spawn. 0.05^6 = 1.5625e-8 0.95^4 = 0.81450625 0.05^6*0.95^4 = 1.27266602e-8 1.27266602e-8 = 0.0000000127266602 0.0000000127266602 = 63633/5000000000000 5000000000000/63633 = 78575581.8522 10choose6 = 220 78575581.8522/220 = ~ 357000 edit: Had the calculation wrong, fixed it
It's actually 1 in around 374,000. You forgot to multiply the chance by 10choose6 for every variation that 6 out of 10 can proc. What you calculated are the odds that one specific variation of 6 out of 10 occurred
Hi, you forgot to multiply by the binomial coefficient (10, 6) = 10! / (6! 4!) = 210. So the real probability is around 1/375 000 (still extremely rare)
that's not the way to calculate the probability, because there are different ways you can get 6 successes out of 10 tries, eg yyyyyynnnn is different from yynynyyynn, so you have to multiply your probability by the number of different outcomes with 6 out of 10 successes, which is 10C6 = 10*9*8*7/4/3/2 = 210. So the actual odds are 1 in (78,000,000 / 210) = 1 in 370,000
if you want to consider why you need to multiply by this extra number, consider tossing a coin twice and calculating the probability of one head and one tail. The possible outcomes are hh, ht, th, tt, and are all equally likely, but you notice that ht and th both satisfy having one head and one tail. So because there are 2 combinations of h and t, the probability is (0.5^1) * (0.5^1) * 2 combinations = 0.5, as opposed to 0.5 * 0.5 * 1 combination = 0.25 chance of two heads or two tails
i really appreciate the added notes for context and odds on whatever just happened/is about to happen--thanks! i dont speedrun minecraft but i think all the unique generation is real neat
0:29 oop, guess I'm the math major correcting you in the comments... Anyway I did the math myself to calculate the odds, and they're a bit higher than yours: *0.00059% or 1 in 169543* chance of getting 14 emeralds or more from a plains house chest. The chance of getting _precisely_ 14 emeralds is 1 in 274602. Zy saying he never saw more than 8 checks out, because getting 8 or less has a 99.93% chance. Calculation info below. The calculation is a bit tricky here. How this loot table works is that it picks a random number of rolls between 3 and 8, then for each roll it picks an item (2/43 chance for an emerald), and then it picks the item's count at random (between 1 and 4 for emeralds). To simplify a bit for emeralds, there are between 3 and 8 rolls chosen randomly, and for each roll, there is a 41/43 chance of no emerald, 1/86 chance of 1 emerald, 1/86 chance of 2 emeralds, etc, up to 4 emeralds. The total amount of emeralds is then the sum of the number of emeralds from each roll, depending on the number of rolls. It sounds very annoying to compute by hand, because you're summing random variables (number of emeralds per roll) according to another random variable (number of rolls). Fortunately there's a tool called probability generating functions that turns this into just computing polynomials, which is very easy, and I just had Mathematica do it for me.
Found this channel last night and thought to myself "wow these videos are really well made. It's a shame they haven't uploaded in 6 months." Yet here we are
youtube told me you're my top 5 author and i watch your videos 14 times more than average thank you for everything you did this year, hope to see you in the future too
at 4:00 you actually needed to account the z coordinate, since he just could've spawned on the surface, thus eliminating the possibility of finding this treasure chest. This makes it even more unlikely to occur, insane!
man that finished slab/table is so crazy, it looks so good with the semi-transparent epoxy, its crazy good looking. its even comparable to some of the best infinity mirror rooms in minecraft. Crazy good work, this is my third comment on this video good sir. this will will have to suffice for my youtube consumtion today, i bid you adieu.
2:46 this one's wrong by one ender eye since the 7 in a row could've been with any one sound effect. First one doesn't count, so final chance was 0.14%
bro finally came back from his lunch break
Came back from buying the milk
fr
HOLYYYY WE ARE SO BACK
Bac
Tf u mean we back, we been here
people say that for every hbg highlight video
7 minutes ago instead of 7 months ago is crazy
I’m going to touch you
9:34 is the most confusing series of events i have ever seen
bro really set the rsg obtain rails and obtain enchanted golden apple world records in the same run (maybe)
@@potatojuiceultra I have a better obtain enchanted golden apple (no ruined portal too)
The doogile seed of all time
His reaction was crazy
Literally plottwist back to back to back also most average doogile reaction
the true HBG highlight is the fact that we got an HBG highlights video
9:32 pulled straight from ai minecraft
absolute fever dream xD
Appreciate the occasional on-screen info for why the events are rare, as a casual Minecraft player I don't know what they're screaming about half the time 😂
bro literally no human on earth knows that the ender portal frams plays a different sounds randomly.
He progressively gets closer and closer to the portal room. Nav king. 7:31
0:20 bro took the villagers life savings 😂
robbed scrooge mcvillager
The entire settlement's gdp
In case anyone was wondering, the chance for feinberg's pearl clip at 2:27 to happen is about 1 in 357000. Calculation below.
After counting the amount of pearls, he threw a total of 10 pearls, 6 of which spawned endermites.
Endermites have a 5% chance to spawn.
0.05^6 = 1.5625e-8
0.95^4 = 0.81450625
0.05^6*0.95^4 = 1.27266602e-8
1.27266602e-8 = 0.0000000127266602
0.0000000127266602 = 63633/5000000000000
5000000000000/63633 = 78575581.8522
10choose6 = 220
78575581.8522/220 = ~ 357000
edit: Had the calculation wrong, fixed it
It's actually 1 in around 374,000. You forgot to multiply the chance by 10choose6 for every variation that 6 out of 10 can proc. What you calculated are the odds that one specific variation of 6 out of 10 occurred
Hi, you forgot to multiply by the binomial coefficient (10, 6) = 10! / (6! 4!) = 210. So the real probability is around 1/375 000 (still extremely rare)
@@TermoPlays @asphyxxj Thanks both of you, I didn't notice this because I don't really do any probability. I'll edit my comment
that's not the way to calculate the probability, because there are different ways you can get 6 successes out of 10 tries, eg yyyyyynnnn is different from yynynyyynn, so you have to multiply your probability by the number of different outcomes with 6 out of 10 successes, which is 10C6 = 10*9*8*7/4/3/2 = 210. So the actual odds are 1 in (78,000,000 / 210) = 1 in 370,000
if you want to consider why you need to multiply by this extra number, consider tossing a coin twice and calculating the probability of one head and one tail. The possible outcomes are hh, ht, th, tt, and are all equally likely, but you notice that ht and th both satisfy having one head and one tail. So because there are 2 combinations of h and t, the probability is (0.5^1) * (0.5^1) * 2 combinations = 0.5, as opposed to 0.5 * 0.5 * 1 combination = 0.25 chance of two heads or two tails
I WAS LITERALLY REWATCHING ALL YOUR VIDEOS THIS WEEK he's so backkkk
Crazy how the world works, I was doing the same and thought I was hallucinating when this dropped
me too 😭
@@adrianjames6552 same , he just made the minecraft energy back again
return of the king
HBG Highlight video on my birthday is top tier epic
Happy birthday
Happy birthday! ❤
Happy Birthday!
HBD
Happy Birthday!
09:34 this part had me crying in laughter
My most heartfelt apologies to Couriway's chat for being $10,000 each in debt
I just got done watching every video on this channel for like the fifth time. Don’t get me addicted again.
Your profile picture tells me you’re a very based individual.
Your profile picture is excellent
@@WarlockWurm-r5qI thought the exact same thing
10:20 the music bottom right corner says it all
I JUST STARTED WATCHING THESE AGAIN *_TODAY_*
AND THEN A NEW ONE GET'S POSTED *_AFTER 7 MONTHS_*
WHAT??? _HOW??_ *_WHO??_*
I love how Feinberg doesn’t even question his luck, he just expects it then gets mad at it 😭
THE GRAND RETURN
9:34 this is a fever dream
i really appreciate the added notes for context and odds on whatever just happened/is about to happen--thanks! i dont speedrun minecraft but i think all the unique generation is real neat
ARE WE NOT TALKING ABOUT HOW 4:16 AT THE TOP HAS A MUSHROOM ISLAND WITH PLAINS BESIDE IT?????
i have to thank you for being one of the few incredibly based clips channels who put the thumbnail clip as the first clip of the video.
6:52 the "live doogile reaction" in the top corner was too funny 😭
HOLY LETS GOOOO I WAS LITERDALLY REWATCHING PREVIOUS VIDS, IM POGGGGING
I was genuinely confused when I saw this on my subscriber feed and not home page I was like “wait that’s not right…” THEN I REALIZED
I love these videos so much, thank you for being back❤
5:14 aye yo what song is on them background? Sounds really good
Prélude à Go Round - Cortex i think
@razeskyy yeah i think it is thanks
0:43 THERE'S TWO OF THEM
How can y’all see in that darkness?
Still the best minecraft clip aggregator and editor
Holy shit literally the only youtube channel where i've watched every single video multiple times has finally uploaded again
8:12 even tho he got the same effect 7 times the chance of getting the same one 7 times in a row is only 0.14% since there are 3 different ones
9:54 guess playing in Spanish gave him the blessing of the hispanic gods
i love the editing in this one, it really improved a lot from the last ones
WE ARE BAAAAACK
Finally,top tier MC clipper is back :)
Not only am I so glad we got another video. But these clips are all just insane highlights.
0:29 oop, guess I'm the math major correcting you in the comments... Anyway I did the math myself to calculate the odds, and they're a bit higher than yours: *0.00059% or 1 in 169543* chance of getting 14 emeralds or more from a plains house chest. The chance of getting _precisely_ 14 emeralds is 1 in 274602. Zy saying he never saw more than 8 checks out, because getting 8 or less has a 99.93% chance. Calculation info below.
The calculation is a bit tricky here. How this loot table works is that it picks a random number of rolls between 3 and 8, then for each roll it picks an item (2/43 chance for an emerald), and then it picks the item's count at random (between 1 and 4 for emeralds). To simplify a bit for emeralds, there are between 3 and 8 rolls chosen randomly, and for each roll, there is a 41/43 chance of no emerald, 1/86 chance of 1 emerald, 1/86 chance of 2 emeralds, etc, up to 4 emeralds.
The total amount of emeralds is then the sum of the number of emeralds from each roll, depending on the number of rolls. It sounds very annoying to compute by hand, because you're summing random variables (number of emeralds per roll) according to another random variable (number of rolls). Fortunately there's a tool called probability generating functions that turns this into just computing polynomials, which is very easy, and I just had Mathematica do it for me.
been missing these vids! Nice to see a return :D
I did not realize this was a recent video! Thought I was just rewatching again some of the old videos. Let's goooo the king is back
8:18 THIS HAPPENED TO ME TOO IN A SPEEDRUN LMAO
WHAT THE HELL IS THAT ACHIEVEMENT Or is it just a resourcepack
8:29 THAT HAPPENED TO ME A FEW DAYS AGO WHAT
Easily the best creator for this type of content, much love
Recently binged all of your videos. Really nice theres a new one now :D
I COULD CRY TEARS!!! WE ARE SO BACK!!!!!!!!
Found this channel last night and thought to myself "wow these videos are really well made. It's a shame they haven't uploaded in 6 months." Yet here we are
30:10 the joke is so unhinged lol, its crazy you havent gotten cancelled :DD hats of to you myguy ur funny as heck
a sign from above, I've been binge watching your vids for the past few days. And now this. Thank you so much
I love watching these, I'm glad I got to watch another one
I wasnt able to imagine a world without HBG Content!!!
youtube told me you're my top 5 author and i watch your videos 14 times more than average
thank you for everything you did this year, hope to see you in the future too
This is a pretty goated birthday present to wake up to ngl
at 4:00 you actually needed to account the z coordinate, since he just could've spawned on the surface, thus eliminating the possibility of finding this treasure chest. This makes it even more unlikely to occur, insane!
omg its been 5 billion years
Yesterday i was literally looking for another clip channel like this one, 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉thank u goat
WE ARE SO FUCKING BACK!! !!
6:12 Dude Petezahhutt’s part, so iconic
man that finished slab/table is so crazy, it looks so good with the semi-transparent epoxy, its crazy good looking. its even comparable to some of the best infinity mirror rooms in minecraft. Crazy good work, this is my third comment on this video good sir. this will will have to suffice for my youtube consumtion today, i bid you adieu.
FINALLY THE RETURN
9:32 all i want is to just go into doog's mind for this specific moment
The Goat is back! These videos are what got me into speedrunning MC
2:40 those 8 laughs had such a good beat
I was just watching clips earlier today wondering when you would upload again lol
That's amazing! Love those videos, keep it up!
3:38 quick get in the portal we gotta GO
AYYY THE BEE'S BACK! Hope everything was okay and all on your end, but glad you're back ^^
It's a miracle WE HAVE BEEN BLESSED
WELCOME BACK HBG HIGHLIGHTS IVE MISSED YOU
natural evolution of the speedrunners where they become the calculator
i love how they see this game completely differently than normal players
FeelsStrongMan Pete clip in HBG highlights
that entire sequence at 9:32 had me questioning reality
the return of the [insert royalty term associated with HBG Highlight's editor's gender]
3:14 We’ll be right back ahh moment💀💀
Welcome back, we missed you so much!
WE ARE SO BACK, THANK YOU HBG HIGHLIGHTS 🔥
NEW HBG HIGHLIGHTS
NEW HBG HIGHLIGHTS POST OH MY GOD
ITS A GOOD DAY WHEN HBG POSTS
Stopped running mc a while ago but yk imma watch this 🐐🐐
Babe wake up new hbg highlights just droped
KENDRICK IS BACK AND HBG TOO?!
AWESOME DAY THANK GOD
so glad to get another video biggest bee!
I love the way this is edited
THE BEE IS BACK
awesome comp as always :)
I JUST RECENTLY STARTED WATCHING THIS CHANNEL AND I WAS SO SAD IT HAVEN'T POSTED ANYTHING FOR 7 MONTHS, WE ARE SO BACK BABY
2:46 this one's wrong by one ender eye since the 7 in a row could've been with any one sound effect. First one doesn't count, so final chance was 0.14%
HBG uploaded, my life really is turning around
1:31 This legit happened to me only once, but I didn't really know it was that rare 🤣
Finally remembered his password thank god
the terraria clip at the end xd
THEY'RE BACKKK
OMG, guess who’s back, HBG
Such a good day when another one comes out.
Exactly what I needed for this Friday
This is some high quality clip editing
finally you guys back
I always forget Pete is in these clips I’m glad he’s doing well
babe wake up hbg highlights uploaded