Thanks for the update, Shawn. I spotted that little sequence too after I had watched your post from yesterday and it certainly piqued my interest... Good news re you and GH and good to hear things are amicable :) Also, please send my thanks to Amanda Jo for finding that new link. Such a shame Vafri will no longer be with us and that Live from Iceland has closed its cameras down :(
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Well, the uplift is getting near the previous value when the previous drop and eruption happened, so new rock is starting to be broken as we get near the previous uplift. As you nicely pointed out yesterday, the EQs will slowly start ramping up as additional strain over previous eruption causes new tensile/shear stress which causes new rock breakage. Rinse repeat.
Great news you had contact with GH and it background of that video is as I hoped it was. Found it really hard to believe he would make a clickbait video on purpose. So it was him coming to that worst case scenario and wanting to point it out to the public. Don't think he would do that the same way next time. But hey, we learn the most by mistakes we make.
Not easy to strike the right balance. If the whole fissure system unzipped to the sea and repaved a large area in magma, people will demand "why didn't you warn us!". And if you say "it could happen, but not likely" and it doesn't, you get labelled as alarmist.
To add, I have much respect for GH for what he does and the time and effort he puts into such short videos. Along with my surprise at "that" one, I said as much, no respect is lost just slight dissappointment, it happens. A chat between you two would be most enlightening and interesting, fingers crossed for that. Cheers
i dont rly understand why people are disappointed; the scenario he mentioned is growing more and more likely the longer this whole series continues and he backed it up with solid argumentation. people would probably also say hes an alarmist if ruang didnt produce its vei5 eruption couple months ago...those things need adressing as long as they arent based on made up data
@@fake6168 I mostly agree. The thing is, Iceland has a lot of volcanologists paying attention to what's going on there on an everyday basis. His scenario (more lava erupted each time, and typically in the first few hours) is well know to them and probably most residents of Iceland. Volcanoes in some other parts of the world don't get nearly as much scrutiny and that's where GH really shines.
@@Firebuck True though the flip side of high attention volcanoes is that there can be a real incentive to underplay the more dangerous scenarios partly to combat alarmism especially where there are economic impacts. At the very least in the case of setting regulatory standards in the US there is a culture of regulators expecting experts to "compromise" with business interests underplaying suppressing or interfering with the evidence. Now whether that is the case or not in Iceland and to what extent if there is, is not something I can answer but I can see why he might have felt the need to bring attention to the possibility. I do agree he might not have presented it in the best format though.
Mostly, fake6169, because GH is not really known for over dramatisation. While he gives opinions, which is fine, the video in question was over dramatic -the title too. he was explaining one scenario, one with a smaller chance than others as though it was likely. He did admit there was a 10% chance later,I believe, while not going into the likely events. I was disappointed but absolutely forgive because I have a lot of respect for him and admire the content he makes 99.99% of the time, lol.
Thanks Shawn for another good video.. And I am very pleased to see that you have made your peace with GH. Keeping this very short, I have considerable respect for both Shawn and GH, but on this occasion GH uncharacteristically misjudged the tone of his video so it came across as exaggerating the threat, and Shawn misjudged the tone of his reaction when it slipped from professional disagreement into an attack on GH's integrity (or at least it came across that way). It happens - we all make mistakes and misjudgements at times! So very glad it is sorted amicably.
I personally stopped watching GH videos a while ago because he is too often covering unlikely scenarios in a way that can be easily misinterpreted. I am a geologist and got annoyed by his sensationalist tendencies.
Thanks for all the hard work on these videos! Sadly the underfunding of science is sad wish all you geology nerds I followed had big budgets for reaserch you could share
The Geology hub channel who posted the video about Grindavik being likely to get the eruption, also said the Lewotobi volcano in Indonesia would have a big eruption. Lewotobi erupted last night killing 10 people and injuring more than 50 people. What if he's right about Grindavik???
I would like to see you do some collaboration with the "Hub". He is informed and so are you. I was indeed wondering if you had a similar concept about the activity. I definitely believe in second opinions. Iceland has been a real educational adventure since the volcanoes woke up again. I am also very well traveled around the contiguous lower 48 and love your descriptive commentary videos about parts of the west that I have looked at so many times over the years. Thanks for informal education.
Thanks Shawn. Yes, it's a shame that the vafri page is ending soon. I've found it to be very useful, especially when switched to show colour-coded earthquake depths on the main map. Until very recently, it had a link to a combined webcam page with over 30 available cameras, but that site went down last week, and still shows a 'Whoops!...' page. Maybe we've lost that facility already. But thanks too for the new link. I've bookmarked it for use after the vafri page shuts down.
Hi Shawn, yes it won't be long now, it will be interesting to see where it comes up from below. Thanks for your time Shawn, keep safe and well. Jim from Dartford UK.
@@buffalokay They say on their profile that they're not coming back in near future. Something personal must have happened and it's not our business what it is.
Hello, my professor! Thanks for the update. Sounds like it's ramping up not down! But I agree with you Professor Shawn, it may be the magma conduit just kissing or breaking through a little of the crystallised rock acute to it
I just wanted to let you know that the high-pitched electronic sound that some of us were complaining about in your last video is still there. I think it’s part of your microphone sound, because it seems to go away partly when you talk. Thanks for the update!
Could a volcanologist please answer: What is the relationship between modern Iceland and large igneous provinces (LIP)? In particular, if I were standing around in a LIP during its formation, what would it be like? Would it be more active than current Iceland? Is current Iceland the start of a new LIP?
I imagine scientists discussing or arguing over possible scenarios is common in the field. Strangely, this scenario reminds me of the plot of Dante's Peak when Harry Dalton was convinced the volcano was going to erupt and urges a mass evacuation of the town, while his superior Dr Paul Dreyfus wanted to avoid the USGS getting negative publicity over a potential false alarm (like Mammoth Mountain in 1980). Dalton was later proven right and the volcano destroys the town by the end of the film. Of course, I hope the worst-case scenario does not happen, but GH emphasizes that he'd rather raise his concerns and be proven wrong than say nothing and it ends up costing lives and livelihoods.
Looking forward to your interview. Personally I don't trust him (though Im still subscribed to his channel). In general he is waaaay too click baity, so I would have reacted the same way as you initially did. You're a better man that I (as if that wasn't patently obvious to all and sundry), I doubt I would have been able to get past my bias. Hopefully, and really mean this I want to be able to respect him again. (because I want to like him, I just struggle to get past the excessive clickbait). Any how here's to more than five minutes from him on your channel.
That whole top part looks as if it has historically completely blown before if those ridges outside it all are higher as they seem ......isnt this a humanitarian event that requires more than guessing right now - did they remove them usa bombs or whatever it was that was explosive too? Good Bless Iceland - i tend to always see the worst first; apologies
![30 ชั่วโมงคนเดียว บนรถไฟชั้น 3 โซเวียต [Around The World Ep. 2]](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/MlE9boAVqDA/mqdefault.jpg)
Thanks for the update, Shawn. I spotted that little sequence too after I had watched your post from yesterday and it certainly piqued my interest... Good news re you and GH and good to hear things are amicable :) Also, please send my thanks to Amanda Jo for finding that new link. Such a shame Vafri will no longer be with us and that Live from Iceland has closed its cameras down :(
Nice update Shawn. Thanks for the shout out. I will be adding some improvements this week to better visualize the earthquake data.
Thanks for this update Shawn. The new site Amanda-Jo sent you looks interesting and well worth a visit.
Please LIKE and SUBSCRIBE. I also appreciate your continual support of these geology education videos. To do so, click on the "Thanks" button just above (right of Download button) or by going here: www.paypal.com/donate/?hosted_button_id=EWUSLG3GBS5W8 Or: www.buymeacoffee.com/shawnwillsey
Thanks for the update on the small swarm of quakes. The magma system is warming up its voice in preparation for the next performance.
Well, the uplift is getting near the previous value when the previous drop and eruption happened, so new rock is starting to be broken as we get near the previous uplift. As you nicely pointed out yesterday, the EQs will slowly start ramping up as additional strain over previous eruption causes new tensile/shear stress which causes new rock breakage. Rinse repeat.
Great news you had contact with GH and it background of that video is as I hoped it was. Found it really hard to believe he would make a clickbait video on purpose. So it was him coming to that worst case scenario and wanting to point it out to the public. Don't think he would do that the same way next time. But hey, we learn the most by mistakes we make.
Another thank you. Thanks to Amanda for the information and very pleased you and the other gentleman are going to do some work together
Thank you again for another update, been following you and watching your updates and videos since this started last year. your amazing.
Not easy to strike the right balance. If the whole fissure system unzipped to the sea and repaved a large area in magma, people will demand "why didn't you warn us!". And if you say "it could happen, but not likely" and it doesn't, you get labelled as alarmist.
To add, I have much respect for GH for what he does and the time and effort he puts into such short videos. Along with my surprise at "that" one, I said as much, no respect is lost just slight dissappointment, it happens. A chat between you two would be most enlightening and interesting, fingers crossed for that. Cheers
i dont rly understand why people are disappointed; the scenario he mentioned is growing more and more likely the longer this whole series continues and he backed it up with solid argumentation. people would probably also say hes an alarmist if ruang didnt produce its vei5 eruption couple months ago...those things need adressing as long as they arent based on made up data
@@fake6168 I mostly agree. The thing is, Iceland has a lot of volcanologists paying attention to what's going on there on an everyday basis. His scenario (more lava erupted each time, and typically in the first few hours) is well know to them and probably most residents of Iceland. Volcanoes in some other parts of the world don't get nearly as much scrutiny and that's where GH really shines.
@@Firebuck True though the flip side of high attention volcanoes is that there can be a real incentive to underplay the more dangerous scenarios partly to combat alarmism especially where there are economic impacts. At the very least in the case of setting regulatory standards in the US there is a culture of regulators expecting experts to "compromise" with business interests underplaying suppressing or interfering with the evidence. Now whether that is the case or not in Iceland and to what extent if there is, is not something I can answer but I can see why he might have felt the need to bring attention to the possibility.
I do agree he might not have presented it in the best format though.
Mostly, fake6169, because GH is not really known for over dramatisation. While he gives opinions, which is fine, the video in question was over dramatic -the title too. he was explaining one scenario, one with a smaller chance than others as though it was likely. He did admit there was a 10% chance later,I believe, while not going into the likely events. I was disappointed but absolutely forgive because I have a lot of respect for him and admire the content he makes 99.99% of the time, lol.
Thank you for the update!
I’m glad to be having some info. I am missing not having it.
Thank you 👍
Di..Cumbria
Thanks for the update, Shawn.
Thanks Shawn for another good video..
And I am very pleased to see that you have made your peace with GH. Keeping this very short, I have considerable respect for both Shawn and GH, but on this occasion GH uncharacteristically misjudged the tone of his video so it came across as exaggerating the threat, and Shawn misjudged the tone of his reaction when it slipped from professional disagreement into an attack on GH's integrity (or at least it came across that way). It happens - we all make mistakes and misjudgements at times! So very glad it is sorted amicably.
I personally stopped watching GH videos a while ago because he is too often covering unlikely scenarios in a way that can be easily misinterpreted. I am a geologist and got annoyed by his sensationalist tendencies.
Amazing Thank you Shawn for this update and thanks for sharing the link to the new quake website very much appreciated.
Thanks Shawn. As always, very informative especially for those of us who are interested in Iceland and its volcanic activity. Cheers
I really like the graphics that you use, especially the one that shows each eruption.
Thanks for all the hard work on these videos!
Sadly the underfunding of science is sad wish all you geology nerds I followed had big budgets for reaserch you could share
Thanks Shawn! I live here in Reykjavik, and you are my news source for all of this.
Thank you for the update and current information.
Glad tou reaches out to GH.
Thank you for these excellent updates.
The Geology hub channel who posted the video about Grindavik being likely to get the eruption, also said the Lewotobi volcano in Indonesia would have a big eruption. Lewotobi erupted last night killing 10 people and injuring more than 50 people. What if he's right about Grindavik???
I would like to see you do some collaboration with the "Hub". He is informed and so are you. I was indeed wondering if you had a similar concept about the activity. I definitely believe in second opinions. Iceland has been a real educational adventure since the volcanoes woke up again. I am also very well traveled around the contiguous lower 48 and love your descriptive commentary videos about parts of the west that I have looked at so many times over the years. Thanks for informal education.
Mother Nature keeping us on edge!
Thank you. Enjoy the updates, following your work. Hope you are enjoying the Fall Term.
Interesting as always. Thanks for sharing your information! 😊
Thanks Shawn. Yes, it's a shame that the vafri page is ending soon. I've found it to be very useful, especially when switched to show colour-coded earthquake depths on the main map. Until very recently, it had a link to a combined webcam page with over 30 available cameras, but that site went down last week, and still shows a 'Whoops!...' page. Maybe we've lost that facility already.
But thanks too for the new link. I've bookmarked it for use after the vafri page shuts down.
Thank you Shawn for the great update
Thanks as always
Hi Shawn, yes it won't be long now, it will be interesting to see where it comes up from below. Thanks for your time Shawn, keep safe and well. Jim from Dartford UK.
Thanks!
And why is that excellent site going away? Funding? Lack of interest? Duplication? Too bad as I found it to be far more useful . . .
My question exactly.
I am not sure. I emailed the creator but have not heard back yet.
Live From Iceland? All of the live cameras are gone.
There is another channel called RUV that has livestreams of Iceland volcano.
@@buffalokay They say on their profile that they're not coming back in near future. Something personal must have happened and it's not our business what it is.
I'm very sad that it's going away, as it has actually been one of my most frequently visited websites for months now...
Great another joining of ideas that’s why I enjoy your updates.. thanks Shawn
Thanks for the update and your excellent interpretation!
Hello, my professor! Thanks for the update. Sounds like it's ramping up not down! But I agree with you Professor Shawn, it may be the magma conduit just kissing or breaking through a little of the crystallised rock acute to it
A video explaining the graph for harmonic tremors would be really helpful.
Thank you 🙏🏻 😊
thanks for the update dr shawn
I just wanted to let you know that the high-pitched electronic sound that some of us were complaining about in your last video is still there. I think it’s part of your microphone sound, because it seems to go away partly when you talk.
Thanks for the update!
I listened closely but don't hear it. ???
Could a volcanologist please answer: What is the relationship between modern Iceland and large igneous provinces (LIP)? In particular, if I were standing around in a LIP during its formation, what would it be like? Would it be more active than current Iceland? Is current Iceland the start of a new LIP?
Oh ho? Mother Earth is keeping us all on our toes!
I’m on constant watch now 😉 when I hear ‘Earthquake Swarm’ I feel the eruption isn’t too far away! But it’s never a guarantee right….
@shawnwillsey I have a question: what is the meaning of a negative EQ number?
www.src.com.au/negative-magnitude-earthquakes/?fbclid=IwAR0QJWMXG2zupVml16ZOT0907eiuOVEg4_3Ursgl7fGjNFhy8zhujT9G2Jo
It's a fraction-magnitude less than one.
Thanks for asking that question. I didn't know either. But now I do. Don't you just love learning new things?
The space that erupts is getting larger and larger.. crazy..scarred for the next one..😮
Cheers shawn.
Thanks again!!😊
I imagine scientists discussing or arguing over possible scenarios is common in the field. Strangely, this scenario reminds me of the plot of Dante's Peak when Harry Dalton was convinced the volcano was going to erupt and urges a mass evacuation of the town, while his superior Dr Paul Dreyfus wanted to avoid the USGS getting negative publicity over a potential false alarm (like Mammoth Mountain in 1980). Dalton was later proven right and the volcano destroys the town by the end of the film.
Of course, I hope the worst-case scenario does not happen, but GH emphasizes that he'd rather raise his concerns and be proven wrong than say nothing and it ends up costing lives and livelihoods.
Do you know what happened to the live from Iceland channel?
It is gone.
Thanks prof always interesting and informative wendy albany western Australia
8:13 isn't that Valur Grettisson in the trailer video for Fire & Iceland?
First. I always enjoying traveling to Iceland.
With plate tectonics is the hot spot moving?
Looking forward to your interview. Personally I don't trust him (though Im still subscribed to his channel). In general he is waaaay too click baity, so I would have reacted the same way as you initially did. You're a better man that I (as if that wasn't patently obvious to all and sundry), I doubt I would have been able to get past my bias. Hopefully, and really mean this I want to be able to respect him again. (because I want to like him, I just struggle to get past the excessive clickbait). Any how here's to more than five minutes from him on your channel.
Aloha from Makaha...
All of the live TH-cam channels that had livestreams of the Iceland volcano are all gone… what’s going on?
Live From Iceland webcams are no more.
Hello everyone
Nice update.
Your sound has a really annoying high pitched whine in it though.
You may wish to raise your sound levels a bit.
That whole top part looks as if it has historically completely blown before if those ridges outside it all are higher as they seem ......isnt this a humanitarian event that requires more than guessing right now - did they remove them usa bombs or whatever it was that was explosive too? Good Bless Iceland - i tend to always see the worst first; apologies
Amanda Jo is amazing!
Indeed she is.
👍
Thanks for the update!
Thanks!
Many thanks for your kind support.
Thanks!
Many thanks.