What's Really Going On With The Little Mermaid? - Charts with Dan!
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 25 มิ.ย. 2024
- The Little Mermaid opened as expected domestically but was a letdown globally - I break down all numbers to see where it stands after the Memorial Day Weekend. Plus, updates on other blockbusters and more!
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0:00 - Intro
0:56 - Weekend Top 10
6:17 - 2023 Market Share
8:30 - Worldwide Box Office
10:19 - Little Mermaid Opening
23:07 - Ad break: Storyworth
24:29 - Ad break: Factor
25:33 - Fast X Update
27:27 - Guardians 3 Update
29:27 - Weekend Charts
32:06 - Indie Theater Spotlight
33:46 - 2023 Charts
36:08 - Box Office Flashback
38:37 - Opening This Week - บันเทิง
It cannot be understated how professionally unbiased, clear, and concise Dan is in his box office analysis. He enjoyed The Little Mermaid and yet he lays out all of the facts, pointing out the negatives, never taking sides - well done. This is top notch box office analysis. Thank you Dan.
The problem is ...every single movie needs to open with more than 100mill these days because of budget. It's crazy
Dan’s box office analyst is the highest quality
His box office analysis is truly a no-spin take, just looking at the numbers. Many other reviewers are biased toward their own views it skews facts.
Where's the cinema share that's about 50% of ticket sales (as an expense)? China gets about 75% of ticket sales.
He and Grace are the best
@@RobertSmith-zt2il he attributes only 20% of gross from China when analysing the Roads to Profitability
He's all about the numbers and isn't involved in a culture war
Few months ago, a lady was fighting with me that The Little Mermaid will be the biggest movie of the summer it will do 1 billion. And, I told her, The Little Mermaid won't cross billion dollar, this movie coming in between many hot movies like Guardians, Fast X an, spiderman, also disney does not has the same reputation that they had before with live action remakes and, time has changed after pandemic. I am not surprise that The Little Mermaid did not do well internationally. She was very angry with me I remember. She thought I was a fool.
I've had a old colleague literally unfriend me for just sharing why this film really is a pale imitation of the original and the numbers available to us paint a very clear picture that this film is going to flounder hard at the BO overall.
From what I hear its not one of the worst Disney remakes by far, but it still doesn’t come close to the original. So I’m not surprised about how it’s performing. People seem to either like it or are indifferent to it, but not love it like the original.
Imagine arguing with someone over a children’s movie.
@@youmadornahhh Well, the adult watches these kids movies with kids, you are hurting many generations now.. You are dead man. 😂😂😂
@@emanuelrodriguez9044 Diversity with a TALENTED lead actress is a win; better than Nepo-babies. Unfortunately a lot of people don't like competition despite living in Capitalism. Kind of like how sports was segregated and once the flood gates opened whites started to get replaced in Basketball, Football etc. Equality feels like oppression when accustomed to privilege. Halle Bailey nailed her role
Honestly Dan, People dont actually look at other movie studios the way they do at Disney movies. When a Sony or Universal, or Lionsgate, or whatever flops the movie may be talked about but the company is barely mentioned.
😊😊😊😊😊😊1st of 😊we are so 11111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111😊😮😮2😮😮😮is
Unless it’s Dreamworks vs. Disney/Pixar or Marvel vs. DC.
@@ironfox4990 Yup
Prob has something to do with the studios not being politically public about their goals for movies.
@@Kittsuera Although we must also admit that it has become somewhat excessive, I am not saying that we must defend everything that Disney or many companies do with the theme of inclusion, but it already seems like a witch hunt, where everyone is happy if a movie Disney fails, just because of the inclusive theme, without thinking about the quality of the movie or the team that worked behind it
Can we have more people like Dan? Hearing his observation is extremely refreshing, because all I'm seeing about Little Mermaid is how it was a giant disaster and a flaming pile of garbage.
Between Fast X and Little Mermaid, I think there can be a fascinating case study in how a film can be a hit internationally and a flop domestically or a hit domestically and a flop internationally.
And if there is such a study, let it be Dan Murrell that presents this glorious research project video!
I'm still baffled at how expensive fast x cost
i'm curious if the original animated Little Mermaid film was not released as widely internationally, so internationally it's not as widely recognized? just a thought?
The fast family is a tired franchise to North American box office after peaking 8 years ago at Furious 7.
There are much better standards for action franchises at least domestically which is why fast x will make a lot less than John wick 4 and mission impossible 7.
10 entries is a lot. This franchise needs to feel fresh again
That's easy.. in US diversity of the cast means much more than in the rest of the world, also the movies with such a big patriotic theme (like Maverick) is huge in US but in the rest of the world not so much. With Fast X, it's typical old school action movie, without any deep story or some preaching, so people like to just go and have fun. Most movies are now made by modern standard.. I guess , people get a little tired of that.
@@sweatyheroes4560 But most people in the international market actually knows the story.. read a book. That was one of the typical a good night fairy tale for most children, at least in Europe.
Its funny how much spin there was on both sides for the Little Mermard, in both articles and other youtube channels. Some were claiming it was a box office bomb, , ignoring the decent domestic opening, whilst other called in a huge sucess, ignoring the awful international opening - Glad we have some people like Dan who looks at the whole picture!
Does it need international support? Americans can make a billion on their own. It's just weird how people are caught up in the color of the actress when she embodied the role pretty well.
@@williampearson6299 Yes, worldwide BO matters a lot, even if not as much as domestic. If you get 60% cut from domestic BO and 40% from international, that means international reception still matters at least 2/3 as much as domestic.
No movie ever has actually made a billion dollars in the domestic market (like you claim for some weird reason), but you are letting actual billions of potential viewers slip, if you don't care about the international scene at all.
Also, you are the first one to mention the skin colour of the actress here.
@@williampearson6299 No movie has ever made $1billion just in America. The Force awakens is closest at $936m. (Although around 10 older movies like Gone With the Wind and the First Star Wars would be, ajusted for inflation). The little mermaid's best hope is to try and match Aladdin's $350m domestic. Even then it still needs to make $500m outside of the US which is alomst impossible, at the movie has only made $65m so far internationally.
@@jim1242 Yes, there were. Spiderman No Way Home made it without China. When I said America, I meant the "West".
@@williampearson6299 Correct spiderman did, but sadly I dont see the same happening for the little mermaid - the 2019 Aladdin for example barley made a billion, and did with Japan, Korea and China contrubuting $250m towards this amount. Given the movie is not doing well in Asia, TLM will therefore need to perform really well in other parts of the world (like you mentioned with Spiderman).
Yup, 16:42. The 3 month wait period of just paying a Disney+ subscription vs paying for your family really is a big factor. How much saving the family gets by just waiting it out. Then the fact that remakes are stories already told, no surprises and not being in the "in" crowd in terms of movie experience. Plus people are more wait and see on online feedback if its worth their money to watch (e.g. GotG).
Wow … didn’t think about that point. I’m married but me and my wife don’t have kids … I can only imagine the price to take all your kids as well. And the popcorn and the candy … I can see why it’s a big deterrent
And indeed this is a “family movie”- that’s a really good point
Yes, I only go out to see a movie if I REALLY want to see it in a theater and/or want to support it. Otherwise I wait until it hits streaming/rental. I bought 3 tickets for my family (2 adults/1 teen) to see Spiderman tomorrow. With a 25% discount and no booking fee, it cost me $50 for midday tickets! So yeah, I'm not spending that for a moving I'm only mildly interested in seeing in theaters 😂😂
If you're a Dan Murrell fan and haven't given his Cameo page a look, you're missing out. A lot of people have used it to ask him questions and his answers are always detailed and insightful.
I can see The Little Mermaid earning $330-380M domestic and $120-170M international. I don't see it get to $600M worldwide.
Especially that Spider Verse is right around the corner, it's clear that this movie can only be strong in a week
@@15Candles spiderman is released today in my country. I'm gonna watch it 🎉 I didn't even give a single penny for TLM
It's not one I'm planning to see but I wouldn't be surprised if it gets some repeat business from families who love the film/story. It'll be interesting to see how long it runs.
I think The Little Mermaid can be summarised as very successful in the US but didn’t connect with the rest of the world and that’s a problem when you have a $200m budget.
I have learned to not trust TH-camrs when they start bashing movies before they even start shooting it .
LOL good point.
I've never " trusted" any You Tubers. I pretty much decide to see what interests me. For example. I wasn't interested in seeing Spyderverse, but ended up liking it when I got the Blu-ray. I've never been a Fast X or Deadpool fan. Haven't seen them. I like Marvel movies and I make it a goal to see them in the theater
This is why I love your channel Dan. Just an honest movie lover.
Bob Chapek made a huge mistake going all in on streaming. Yes, he had to deal with the pandemic. However once things started getting back to normal he didn't start putting movies back to theatres. Only the most recognisable IP got a cinematic release in 'Lightyear' but that movie, to me, felt like a streaming movie more so than the others. It was also confusing marketing because you couldn't tell how it fit in with the Toy Story universe. I'd argue it doesn't even if it has a character named Buzz Lightyear since almost nothing else fits. Then he drops movies that could have made the company money and are simply great films in their own right straight to streaming. Was he averse to making a profit? The decision making process for studios confounds me at times.
Personally, I don't understand why people were even asking that question to begin with. It was clear from the trailer that this was a movie based on the character of Lightyear itself and not the 'Toy' from the Toy Story movies. Hell, there was a whole TV show about Star Command and there wasn't a single confused child who sat down and watched that.
Probably would have made more money just re-releasing the Buzz Lightyear of Star Command pilot movie, since Pixar is so transparently jealous of it.
To be fair, it was Iger's plan, he was just implementing it
Last night my roommate was asking me if the Little Mermaid remake was on Disney+ since he’s one of the confused general market that doesn’t follow these things closely.
My wife and I saw fear and loathing on our honeymoon back in 1998. I loved it and she hated it. We had a great discussion after and it is one of those movies we look back on when trying to explain each other's differences in taste for movies to friends
Bladerunner was that movie for me and my ex. 😂
Would love to see a silly chart next week of movies with Beatles-inspired titles. Across The Spider-Verse, Drive My Car, Glass Onion. Been a lot of them lately.
These domestic drops for F&F are brutal. Guardians is basically tied with it daily, and its been out two weeks longer. F&F is going to drop right out of he domestic box office in the next two weeks.
My friends and I loved the little mermaid and talked about how we want to see it again, but that again was on streaming. I think Disney has definitely hurt their theater going experience. I used to go to the theater all the time and now I know the movies, even non-Disney, will be on a streaming service in 30 days. The Little Mermaid was a huge delight though. My favorite remake so far.
Its not going to be on Disney plus in 30 days. Ant-man 3 just came on the service and was released in theaters in Feb. They will probably drop this around x-mas
The Little Mermaid is yet to release in Japan on June 9th. The fact that Japan has always been a strong market for Disney movies that might give it a little boost in it's total global haul.
@@shubhradipdas7189 You can't make a judgement this early on. It might not perform well enough internationally but it's gonna have great legs stateside. Even if it makes around $600-$700 Million it would be considered a success though not a big one as it needs to cross the $500 Million mark just to break even.
I'm pretty sure it needs more than 500 to break even. Even with Japan, Japan doesn't have the crowd to push it where it needs to be. I wouldn't be surprised to see a massive dip this next weekend internationally. Domestic it will probably drop 50-60%, as spider verse is set to pull in a lot of those audiences.
Korea is also a disney stromghold and TLM did poor there. I cant imagine it doing better in Japan. It could do well there but the signs are currently pointing that its not going to do very well. The japanese reviews arent that great and the response from japanese audiences to the previews were largely a combination of groans and laughing according to people who went to see mario in Japan.
I also notice that disney only promoting lm in Japan out of the other Asian countries. It seems like they’re conifdent it will do better there
remind you Japan is a country where live action films/ movies follow the original anime/ manga exactly 🙄 guess if they gonna accept the new changes of this remake?
Disagree with dan, the movie had no buzz around the world and i always thought that this movie would be carried heavily by usa
I enjoyed it. My theater was packed and all the kids mesmerized. They did get a little antsy at the end but it was long.
15:40 Clicks or no clicks, your commitment to giving the full story will always be appreciate by people who prefer facts over feelings
If they just keep this off of Disney+ all summer, I think it’ll do OK don’t you? I would hold off and bring it out for like a holiday Disney+ release. Time it with digital VOD etc. kind of like what they’re doing with avatar
if disney wants to keep producing these remakes (and even their upcoming originals), they need to retrain their audience to not expect to wait 3 months for theatrical releases to drop on streaming. it’s a bummer that TLM is the one teaching this lesson since I agree with Dan that it’s the better live action remake
0:40 "using the 🤮 estimates" 😂😂😂
One of the few sane people left in the digital world, thanks Dan,,
I think TLM will be "fine" box office wise. Underwhelming but certainly not a flop. Not every movie needs to be an unqualified blockbuster. If it just breaks even in its theatrical run that would be sufficient. It will be a mainstay on Disney plus for years if not decades to come.
And all the new merchandise will make money.
As a kid, we rented Quest for Camelot from the local Blockbuster. I hid the VHS under my bed so my mom couldn't return it. Looking back I'm sure it drove her crazy, but it was one of my favorite childhood movies.
Did you ever tell her?
Quest for Camelot is the first movie that felt like it took forever to come out on VHS. My 7 year old brain couldn't handle the wait
Under your bed? Devious 😂
Quest for Camelot is my most nostalgic movie. As an adult film fan, when I go back to films I used to watch as a kid I usually watch the original English version, but not the Quest for Camelot. Always Dutch for that one, the way I watched it as a kid. I can still sing almost all of songs.
Also most of their live action remakes since 2019 have been straight to Disney plus same with Pixar and Lightyear. I think this will have long legs I talked to a lot of people who want to go see it but aren't rushing out to see it. Everyone already knows the story so no one is worried about spoilers
Korean here. The reason it's not performing in Asia has very little to do with Hailey. It's the movie itself that is not connecting to the audience. For example Korean films have been performing poorly in the country for years because many of the films were simply not good. Both Top Gun and Black Panther were successful in Korea. There are toxic idiots everywhere and they make things look bad but at the end of the day, if the movie is great, people will go watch.
Thanks Dan, I really enjoy these charts. Your efforts are highly appreciated
Or maybe a certain group of people, older men or guys are just not interested in watching movies with mermaids, the target audience matters too.
The only things I remember from the 1998 Godzilla movie are: it had Matthew Boderick in it, Godzilla had babies, and the Wallflowers hit “we can be heroes”! That’s it
Hello Dan. Awesome quality as always. The point made on 16:47 is accurate. I think it's possible now to do a graph showing the start of Disney+ market and how it has affected theatrical releases box office records, as per one reason: people is not watching those films twice in a theatre. Perhaps as a result of the economic recession, the increase in the cost of living that leaves many without money to spend in luxury things like going to the movies more than once a week, or a month, or really once in a while when something really pops up. I also think that this worked for Super Mario because people don't necessarily know where it will stream, so it brought people to watch it before it disappeared.
Thank God you're here. I had no idea if the bellyaching over the little mermaid was justified or not.
The Blue Mouse Theatre was amazing when I was a college student in Tacoma, I saw so many films there since the ticket prices were always low. Man, that makes me pretty nostalgic.
Larry's movie theater in Macomb, IL. He really made it a special cinematic experience. I've moved away, but yeah, super nostalgic to local small town bijou movie theaters.
Dan the only movie person left on TH-cam who isn’t clickbait trash or a clown
TLM is mostly a good movie adaptation of the stage show, and is less good when it tries to call back to the animated movie instead.
It sounds strange phrasing it like that, but since the stage adaptation already had to make the story work with real actors, the live action movie trying to go back to looking like the animated one just looked awkward by trying to make real actors behave like cartoons. The movie was at its best when it just let the actors ACT.
I'm also one of the people who simply waits for a movie to appear on streaming, if I'm not that interested in it. I mean there's not that long to wait, and if I don't require the big screen experience it's just much more convenient.
this
I'm the opposite. I love going to the movies and sometimes go by myself to an afternoon matinee (I work 100% virtually). It's my happy place.
Omg, I had a flashback about "Godzilla" in 1998 as well. haha. Roger Ebert said it best in the first line of his review: "Going to see "Godzilla" at the Palais of the Cannes Film Festival is like attending a satanic ritual in St. Peter's Basilica" I miss Roger's wit and insight. Man, was Godzilla bad.
Could you go back to what you were doing a few months ago looking at how many screens each movie would have in your local theaters ? I thinkt it gave quite an interesting perspective to the box office numbers you give us for those movies.
Hey Dan, I saw a movie in Cannes that echoes your passion for local theaters: Pictures of Ghosts, about street cinemas and how their stories are intertwined with the city history.
Independent theaters are thing you want to support, but, they honestly usually kinda suck. Since basically the dawn of Universal there have been theater chains, so it's not like independent cinemas were there first establishing a specific atmosphere that the new chain theaters couldn't replicate.
What I mean is that the thing you don't see mentioned often us that a lot of the hype around independent cinemas tends to be "There aren't a lot of people there, and they serve alcohol."
You can't even really use the "They have lesser-known indie movies there," thing because Cineplex locations often have the lesser-known indies playing in one of their theaters if you have the luxury of being able to look for them, and a lot of the time independent theaters don't have access to them unless they specifically have a deal with the company that made the movie. Like, a lot of the independent theaters I've seen just play old movies on rotation throughout the year.
@@ashblossomandjoyoussprung.9917 Important caveat is the mention of Cannes, and France more generally, where while there are major chains, if you're in a bigger city you have at least one cinema, many of them independent, thanks to local and state authorities putting in a major effort in keeping cinemas (and cultural centers more generally) open and funded.
Dan, glad to hear you're sounding a lot better
I am, thanks! Got some meds for a sinus infection and I'm on the mend.
I think Disney is known around the world as a brand but internationally, people outside of US don't have this nostalgia about Disney Princess and Disney Story as kids and think that they have to check every releases.
I dont know about that. Disney live action Princess movies have all been hits domestic and worldwide.
They do since the other Disney princess live action remakes had the majority of their total Box Office from overseas. The Little Mermaid is the only odd one. One could argue nostalgia hurts this movie internationally.
@@nickyb3800 I am not from the US but I know a lot of people who haven't even watch The Original Lion King so if you don't have big stars that they've seen from another movie, they wouldn't watch it out of story nostalgia.
Also The Little Mermaid isn't that popular either worldwide, the song is not that known, I think Cinderella is better perceive than Ariel and I am saying this as someone outside of North America.
Other Disney Live Action has big name in the lead role, Beyonce, Will Smith, even Emma Watson is super popular but TLM doesn't have anyone that people know so people wouldn't be interested just based on TLM alone and its story.
@@anastasyavie6236 Your comment is very enlightening and clears up many of the controversies on familiarity through ticket sales around the world. Thanks!
@@user-dp6ve5ng8h It's like Disney Adult exist in the US but not worldwide. I hear more buzz about Barbie than Ariel because everyone knows Barbie. On the other hand, other Princess movies use big name in the marketing, like they have several song that sung by pop stars like Ariana, Beyonce, Zayn Malik and more people seen it from the MV but TLM is banking in story and nostalgia. The things that people outside of North America don't have attachment into.
To add that, TLM isn't that popular worldwide. Maybe it will gain more traction next week but imo Cinderella is a bigger name than Ariel, princess wise.
This is based on my personal observation as someone outside of North America, not really a setting stone.
Went into Little Mermaid with tempered expectations and I was pleasantly surprised. There are no issues anywhere with the main cast. Bailey, McCarthy and Hauer-King (Eric) were all great in their leading roles! And I was skeptical of all three. The only problems I had with the movie revolved around smaller parts of the movie such as Under the Sea not being nearly as epic as it could have been, the added Scuttlebutt song which was horrifying and felt like it came out of nowhere (didn't fit in with the rest of the music), and some shoddy CGI here and there. Overall I left the theater entertained and pleasantly surprised. As you said I am one who was beginning to suffer from Live action Disney remake fatigue, and I will continue to since they have so many more planned. But I wanted to give this movie a shot and Im glad I did.
I also enjoyed it, I was excited to see how they were going to execute it, and I think they did good for a live action. Especially seeing their reputation in live actions (Mulan). I also felt similar about Under the Sea, definitely felt different, but I liked that they had Ariel singing alongside Sebastian. I think it was a cool addition.
@@purplexzin I said "I think" indicating an opinion. I understand what you mean, but I thought it was cool because it shows that she doesn't hate her home, she just wants something new and different. She wants more.
Why do people keep giving Disney incentive to keep making this schlock?
Unfortunately for my family, my 8 year old brother loved Godzilla (1998). He wore that VHS tape out.
Not gonna lie, I am in the ‘will see it on Disney+’ camp. Wanted to see if in theaters cause I feel like it was probably made to see on a big screen, but with how expensive it is so see movies these days, I will just wait for it to be on Disney+
TLM 2023 was really good! I’ll be angry and annoyed if it doesn’t make more money than TLK 2019 did.
Never forget people have trash taste in movie...live action lion king making 1.5 billions dollar is the prove
OMG I've become a charts fan. "Charts with Dan" So incredibly fascinating. Love the Theater spotlight. Blue Mouse!!!!
That's the problem? You said it. The negative discussion about the film (Online) is not swaying people to go watch it in the theatres. Even, the major skeptics, and movie critics stated that it was a decent movie to watch. So sad, that people are putting their personal intent on a kids' movie that overall represents hope. I don't actually know why it's not doing well overseas. I guess Disney marketing is sucking overseas?
#askDan - For movies entering the 2nd and laterd weeks, do you include any weekday grosses in those totals or are they not considered at all
Comparing his data to what is reported in various sites, I'm sure that when he talks about total grosses at the end of the second, third weekend etc of a movie he's considering also the weekdays' grosses in the total
@@crestedargo4663 COOL
I enjoyed your fair takes as always, I'd only add that I bet the advertising budget for the little mermaid was way more than the standard 100mil, just thinking on what this movie represents for Disney at this moment. i could always be wrong tho
I also question the 'reported' budget (not saying Dan is lying) but word is it cost a lot seeing as almost every scene was fully CGI, I imagine Disney is doing everything they can to show this as profitable hence hiding the costs somewhat
@@mcbean1 the CG appears just okay. I don’t think it’s used anymore than in beauty and the beast, as most of that castle was CG
@@lawrencescales9864 Well beauty and the beast was $255 million back in 2017, which would suggest the reported $250m for this movie isn't quite right
I’m curious if it is possible to calculate the weekend’s potential total gross regardless of movie, then assigning a percentage of the potential weekend gross of a movie to see how much a movie has taken of the total weekend box office total. But that does require a lot of estimates that could easily be offset by outliers.
Dan, will we get streaming charts this week?
I think the biggest issue for the film is the casting but not for the reasons most people think. It's more that the trailers failed to capitalise on nostalgia - rather than racism.
These disney films are pure nostalgia baits. When you watch a trailer for a disney remake it reminds you of your childhood and you take your kids to watch it. Thats why casting ariel to look like the cartoon is so important, even if Hailey is a great actress and singer she doesnt Trigger the "member berry" response. These trailers HAVE to feel familiar for an international audience. For some people a red wig is enough to trigger it, but i think a for substantial amount of fans (especially internationally) it didnt. And these potenial viewers simply didnt turn up to the cinema, regardless of the quality of the film.
On a side note i reckon domestically the ""debate"" actually helped its commercial sucess as people wanted to support it. No such thing as bad publciity and all that. In countries where theres little ""debate"" its underperformed.
You may have something there. Remember how angry people were about a Blonde Bond when Daniel Craig was cast?
Honestly I think the hair, those hair they chose to sail were one of the worst decisions, because it doesn't sail any nostalgia,the color is horrible 😅
9:40 I just realized there is a fish on the Godspeed poster!
Disney have definitely fucked up by putting their stuff on Disney+ too quickly. I'm one of those people that knows if I just wait a month or two I can watch their stuff at home.
The only thing worse was hbo max releasing day and date and people thought it was a game-changer.
One possible reason for TLM underperforming compared to other Disney Renaissance remakes is that it could be considered the least popular of the big movies. The original also grossed the least out them back in the day as well
Solid analysis as usual!
I'm an economist and I just love the way you present this data.
Suggestion: Dan Murrell starts a summer barbeque series and calls it Charring with Dan.
he chars various things. Chars with Dan.
You weren’t the only one who was disappointed after looking forward to Godzilla! I went with two friends, then back to my apartment for pizza. We were sitting there eating in silence when one of them finally said, “So … that was pretty terrible, right?” My other friend and I immediately agreed with him. We had all hated it, but no one wanted to be the first one to say how bad it was, just in case they were the only one, because it had been so hyped up and highly anticipated.
I have no interest in seeing this movie, because the remakes have sucked. But the racists who hate this movie who haven’t seen it and are review bombing it are the saddest people in the world. Just don’t see it, ya freaks.
I remember watching a film at school about the sword and the stone and I never knew what film it was, I always assumed it was probably Sword in the Stone the Disney film, until I saw your 1998 flashback and I have just now learnt that it was in fact Quest for Camalot. Thank you for solving this 15 year mystery
I mean I would be perfectly fine with next weeks charts with Dan being on Wednesday as well so you don’t have to use estimates.
I LOVED THE LITTLE MERMAID ❤❤❤
The Little Mermaid has brought a lot of low-key and hard-core racism everywhere. I am from south america and a lot of conservatives & racists hate on it, while normies, "i don't care for politics or see color" crowd, and sh*tposters repost right-wing "jokes" (whistle-blows) and don't realize how much they aid to alt-right extremist ideals and undermine their own rights. I still hope this changes but change is hard and slow.
Kind of hard to believe that Fast X might be a flop but at the same time not really with how much it cost to make and marketing and the type of movies they are
TLM is legging out pretty well in Japan. It cracked $20m USD, it's close to clearing "$30m" in local currency, -21% drop. I wonder if it has enough gas in the tank to finish at 4 billion yen or $29 million USD
Thank God Dan finally dropped his analysis and I don't have to keep putting on a hazmat suit to poke around Reddit and Twitter
As always thank you so very much for your videos.
Your fair and balanced, professional and astute review gives me hope for state of humanity. Just, thank you for existing. Can you please make like 100 channels and just teach people how to do this right???? I'm subscribed. I'm watching you and Beyond the Trailer and literally nobody else from now on. Keep doing what your doing. Please!!!
Been subscribed to you from the start. Glad to see that your subscribers are steadily going up. You deserve every view.
I know I’m flogging a dead horse here, but damn you found this awesome market segment here on TH-cam in a saturated critics space and just mastered it Dan. Huge kudos. I love watching every single one of your videos. I’ve been a huge fan since you were the resident fact checker on Movie Fights, and I slowly realised this guy is smarter than the rest - he should join the fights! “Is Jurassic World harmless fun or not [approx]” is one of my favourites ;)
Hey Dan I have a question, I’ve been on the internet for a very long time particularly TH-cam, I’ve seen how the Movie side of youtube has changed from having Jeremy Jahns, Chris Stuckman and Cinema sins to a ton of other people talking about movies now days, my question is have you noticed the discourse around movies has turned way more negative, the reason I only watch you and Jeremy and Chris is because you guys are more mellowed out and talk about films objectively unlike almost all other creators, I don’t see people gush about films like they used too instead I see videos mostly about how a certain movie is terrible awful and we should be wanting it to fail, idk if it’s a me thing but it could be cool to see you an actual creator in this space talk about maybe the evolution of movie discussion on TH-cam since you’ve been doing it for so long, thanks for reading and thanks for making videos keeps entertained while I’m at work 😅
Long story short - yes, I think the movie TH-cam space has changed a lot just in the last few years. Clicks are driven by hate, not love, and that only encourages people to do it more. I’m honestly really discouraged by a lot of what seems to work best these days, but there are also a lot of other great folks out there making videos, so I’ll just keep watching them and hope to do the same for my channel.
@@DanMurrellMovies thanks for the reply Dan I’ll keep watching your channel as long as you upload, you’re more my cup of tea than any of the other movie channels honestly
Depending on your taste in movies, I'll just say that there are some genre movie reviewers who are pretty great (particularly horror). I'm chiming in just because I like all three of those TH-camrs you listed too. 😊
21:05 how would it compare when you apply the average opening weekend multiplier to Fast X and Mermaid? Fast X having a bigger opening may impact that number?
Suga pulled a Taylor Swift and sold out his entire recent US tour through presale alone, so I'm not surprised at the nearly sold out theatres and expect a big box office. For the millions who wanted to see him live but couldn't due to literal lack of seats, this will probably be the next best thing. And don't worry about not fitting the expected demographic, Mr. Murrell! I've encountered a few middle aged fans at K-pop concerts, so there's no shame! XD
Hey Dan, great show as always. I have a suggestion though: since you're already doing a box office market share chart, is there any way you could do a year-end profitability chart? In other words, combine the budgets and grosses of all major movie releases throughout the year and categorize them by studio to see who is getting the best returns on their investments? Keep up the great work!
#askdan has it been any decided changes about the Strike? It’s been a month h since it happened, When are you going to make an update video about the topic?
Blaming Disney+ is no different from people saying 'I'll wait till it's on rental' as we did years ago a non-factor for a films theatrical success.
I'd push back on that a little - to wait for rental used to mean waiting months, sometimes up to a year, at a time when the norm was still going to see movies in a theater, and at a time when the home viewing experience was significantly less advanced. Disney has conditioned people that films will be available in a matter of weeks on Disney+, streaming in HD, which I believe is leading more people to stay home.
Best thing about that Godzilla movie was the Taco Bell promo- ‘Here, Lizard, Lizard’
I think I might still have one of those stuffed chihuahuas somewhere
I think there are just too many big movies. Every weekend there is a new "blockbuster", if not multiple big movies. How can you predict? Even die hard moviegoers have to pick and choose.
I have not seen any of the Disney remakes, nor do I intend to. They are not movies for me. That being said, I hope the movie does well, as it is not fair to punish cast and crew for working on any project. Go ahead and hate the executives in the studios, they are fair game.
I think there could be multiple reasons why TLM didn't connect with other countries:
- Lack of starpower. Halle Bailey is an unknown, Javier Bardem is not a moviestar that's going to bring in a crowd (usually a good supporting actor) and Melissa McCarthy is one that actually pushes some audience away.
You need strong word of mouth to compensate that.
- Unoriginal. The trailer showed that it's basically a shot-for-shot remake or at least gave that impression. Trailer looked unexcited and dark and the previews (songs) in the last 2 weeks sounded like a weaker version of the original. My little nieces (target audience) picked Mario because it look more fun.
- Lack of advertising. A lot of people didn't knew it came out. Did they spent it only on North America?
- Runtime. It's 2,5 hours with previews (or maybe more?). Parents don't want to sit that long with their kids. They know that 1,5 hours is roughly the attention-span of their kid.
- Live-action adaption fatigue. Disney does not have a great track record on this one.
-Financial situation. People have less to spend, they are going to more picky with their movies.
- The weather. Last weekend was the first entire weekend of really nice sunny weather in these parts. A waste to spend this in a theatre. Maybe this week won't have a big drop like other films for this reason?
- Political reasons. Just scroll down for various reasons. First let's see how Across the Spiderverse will be doing in China.
And maybe people in the U.S. have to understand that movies, which are popular in their country, are not popular outside the U.S..
That's a lot I think it being the little mermaid is enough to sell alone. I think most of it is fatigue and politics. Which the fatigue part is very fair. No one is expecting these remakes to live up to their originals anymore, and they shouldn't expect it.
The politics on the other hand....yikes. how far(not very far lol) we've come to still be this gross as world.
@@thetrib1 The worldwide box office is definately a signal the title is not nearly enough. I think politics in this whole debate is overrated. Nobody in my country even knows about these issues and even the media never talks about it. Outside the U.S. it's not even an argument to begin with.
But i think you are right about the fatigue one. I suffer from this as well when it comes to superhero movies. Can't even bother myself with those anymore. :D
Bad advertisement is the other one i think is big. Didn't trigger the nostalgia for Mom, didn't get the kids exciting because of the lackluster (and dark toned) trailer. I think it's that simple. Dads already took the kids to the Mario movie or go the upcoming Spiderman one.
I think Disney+ arrival could be an argument for some regions. But i'm pretty confident it doesn't in my area. I know very few people who have Disney+. Or some have it for 1 or 2 months per year.
@@Arnold_808 yeah I forgot about the marketing. it was an L for sure.
Thank you for these calculations 👏
HI Dan, (talking about 40:38 ) no it won't be weird to like SUGA's music as a middle aged man.
His solo songs are mostly hiphop with matured lines that anyone from 18 to 80s could relate to. He sings/raps about existential crisis, thought-provoking social commentary and personal reflections. Please avoid the stereotype that such artists are only for teenage girls :/ (i'm a 26yr old guy btw)
To be honest, as a Black woman I've had to sort of disconnect from social media with regard to The Little Mermaid. Since the movie has actually released a lot of that negativity has actually faded away but there are very loud racists out there who are rooting for this to fail
Same here…and even the news reporting on its underperformance internationally due to racial backlash was a friendly reminder of Racism and Anti-blackness being a global phenomenon
Girl, I agree. Especially with all of the r*cist memes/"jokes" people were making. It does a number on your mental even though it's not directed at you. The way they went so hard for this is crazy. How much do you wanna bet that the same people who were acting this way, are the same people who "don't see race/color/colorblind" and say that "We're only one race, the human race"? I saw some people like that in real life.
absolutely. i lost myself and got into a few internet debates before i stopped to step away and breathe. they have no idea how it wears on us to be told that we are diversity hires, pawns, political stunts etc. Our intelligence, talents and humanity always takes a backseat to our skin colour.
@@purplexzin no one is playing the victim. Y’all just don’t like being held accountable for your racism. Also, Halle has done nothing but praise the original film and the original Ariel, Jodie Benson. You’re a liar!
@@Remember_the_Time The worst part is we probably see and talk to these "secretly racist" people everyday, could be our coworkers or neighbors. They only have the courage to say these things due to internet anonymity. Usually these people are already miserable & hate themselves anyway, so they just take it out on everybody else. I feel sorry for them. Black Ariel lives in their head rent free, meanwhile this movie is still good & will be watched for generations to come.
was waiting for this analysis. spot on as always
The thing that I’d be interested to see is the impact of weather on theatrical business.
For example, this past week has been one of the first with beautiful sunshine and significant warmth across Europe after an exceptionally cold and wet winter and spring. Add to that it being a holiday weekend, and maybe this has impacted whether people go to watch movies. I know that I’m keen to watch the Little Mermaid, but sunny whether here in the UK has made me do thing where I’m spending more time out in the sun.
I thought it was an interesting possibility anyway.
Any chance for a review of The Machine?
Always love a new charts show Mr. Dan.
If I could make a suggestion: once you said a movies full title it would be better if you shorten it, as an example I would give Guardians of the Galaxy volume 3, because it gets a little jarring hearing it after the fifth time in it's entirety, Guardians 3 would suffice if you ask me.
Keep up the great work and I'm glad that you sound and look better. Cheers.
Very interesting analysis
The only Disney live action remake I went to see in the theater was Aladdin because Aladdin is my favorite Disney animated movie. I also watched The Jungle Book on Disney+ because people had said it was a good remake that had a better story than the original. I thought they were both fine. The Little Mermaid sounds fine too, but I'm just not that interested in the Disney remakes in general.
Yeah my local AMC just added a few showings of Spider-Man on Thursday!!
People were hating so hard on the movie in my country when the trailer came out. They put up some black guy's picture and wrote Disney is making a movie on Queen Elizabeth. So yeah I think it got a lot of hate from racist people.
What country?
I had a fantastic time with Fast X. I knew what I was getting and it was unapologetic about itself. The Little Mermaid (which is want I saw yesterday because I had to take my class to see it) didn’t know what it wanted to be. I felt nothing when watching that movie because Ariel felt nothing. Compared to her animated counterpart, this Ariel was pretty, but had no drive. You could argue it’s because Ursula cast a spell on her to make her forget she needs true love’s kiss, but what is the point if they changed it so that Ariel had no interest in Eric to begin with? The whole time she was a mermaid, she just wanted to collect stuff. She never once mentioned it thought of Eric, which made it weird why her sisters thought she was in love when she wasn’t acting any different than she already was. Then at the end when she got what she wanted, she looked sad like she didn’t want to leave her family. I know they made all these changes to modernize Ariel, but she didn’t need modernization. She didn’t leave the ocean for a man, and anyone who still thinks that needs to go back and really watch the movie. Ariel was the start of Disney princesses taking a more active role in their stories, so she was already “modern.” Because she fell in love doesn’t make her weak. Love and femininity isn’t a weakness and nothing proves that more than The Fast and the Furious movies. Women can be both.
Thank you for mentioning the Suga concert. I am going this weekend and I can’t wait my theater is almost sold out lol
Brilliant analysis Dan, so insightful and thoughtful.