The best starting point for US is to stay home and focus on your own internal troubles. So many. Instead of blaming China, Russia and everyone else for her own ills. This way American politicians can truly work for the American people and help lift the quality of life for the average Americans. Instead of messing up the world.
The problem is they can sustain their level of consumption only through their military and financial dominance. In other words by exploiting the rest of the world.
I have watched many interviews with him. He always says China is the biggest threat, but never explains why. For the past 30 years China has been very helpful economically, providing cheap goods to the US, and not threatening war. They only became an enemy when their economy started to rivel the US.
The US has gotten away with numerous global atrocities since the end of the Cold War and faced no real consequences from any other country, because it was the most powerful. If/when China surpasses it militarily and economically, the US will lose it’s privilege. Other countries will turn to China to help deal with US incursions. The US must do everything it can to keep its status or it will be forced to actually face consequences for its actions across the globe. That’s why China is a threat
Threatening the economical hegemony of USA is already a threat by itself, doesn't have to be militarily or soft power either. If the EU was capable of doing it (it's what Trump thought, that's why he implemented those tariffs back in the days) USA would deem EU as a threat just like it does with China. Ofc EU does not have that kind of capability (or even ambition).
My friend, those of us Americans who are truly informed know that "democracy" here illusory; it's a place where special interest groups and billionaires control the agenda via a quid pro quo. This quid pro quo works when THE 1% group dump hundreds of millions of dollars into the campaigns (via Super PACS) of the political duopoly they control. In return, they get legislation and policies enacted in their favor. Moving on in regards to Israel: I predict that in approx thirty years or so the USA will no longer support them financially or with diplomatic cover. Why do I say that? Because Pew Research data shows that every decade more Americans are dumping Christianity in favor of secularism across the board. *Currently, the data shows that approx 62% identify as Christian -- down about thirty percent from it's highest point in the mid 1970s.* Additionally, the data shows that two demographics (Gen Z. and Millennials) are the least likely to support Israel, are more likely to support the Palestinian cause, currently abhor our present policies and biases towards Israel, and they will be the most politically engaged IN THE VOTING PROCESS thirty yrs. from today. This rift will only grow with subsequent generations. Accordingly, secularism grows (as the data also shows that) WITH EACH GENERATION. With each generation, 31% of Christians become RELIGIOUSLY UNAFFILIATED BEFORE THEY TURN 30 yrs. old. Christians (the biggest supporters of Israel today) are the ones who support the politicians that TODAY pay any lip service in support of that aforementioned nation. *In thirty years, Christians in the USA will make up MUCH LESS THAN HALF the population (and no longer the majority religion), and most of them by then will be only Christians in name (as a form of social identity) ; but not in function (i.e supporting Israel, attending Sunday Service, etc.). In sum, the supporters of the status quo here and abroad are in for rude awakening and a serious wave of retribution in the future. Cheers.
I will always remember what Angelina Jolie said when she comforted the refugees in Mosul: They got nothing but they are free. This is American democracy. Although you have lost your home, family, and even your life, you are enjoying democracy and freedom.
mr. mearsheimer, be honest. australia does not have a vested interest in containing china. the US has a vested interest in having australia as a pawn in its containment of China.
lol how naive. Ask Tibet, India, Vietnam, Korea and Japan their experience over the past 1000 years what an unchecked great power China does to any nation within its sphere of influence. Australia with its natural resources and limited actual military capability and small population has a bullseye painted on it from China’s perspective.
As he just said, the people in Gaza were living in the world's biggest prison for years and the US just look away doing nothing while making a big fuss about the unsubstantiated Uyghurs problems in Xinjiang.
Agree. And Americans always talk about human rights. They accused china committing genocide against xinjiang while they doing it in Gaza. They talked about Ukraine has the right to defend but not for Gaza. Total Americans bu**shit. Double standard
Small difference: The Uyghurs in China are not sworn to China's destruction. Israeli and Egypt enforce the blockade on Gaza because Hamas is a hostile entity. By contrast, China imprisons the Uygurs out of pure racist ideology.
I have a hard time continuing supporting US foreign policy in good faith and without being cynical. Just look at their position on Palestine and Israel. It is clear that the international rules don’t apply to the US and its allies 😔 See Iraq, Afghanistan, Libia and so many more foreign policy blunders 🤦🏻♂️ The global south is taking note.
The rule is whatever policy is most beneficial to the maintenance of the status quo at any given time xD It's not so much rules as it is a guideline, really. There are no real rules or real friends, just real and permanent interests
They are a threat. Americans are wrapped up in identity politics to a crippling degree. China's rising economy is a threat to reality as they perceive it, because America being the best at everything is seen as a fact of nature. If China surpasses the US, then their lives are a lie, and they just can't accept that.
Simple. If any other country has as strong economy as USA has, it can challenge the monopoly. If the policies of USA is based on justice and fairness, then they don't have to worry about it. But the USA knows that in a world where other countries can standup against the world police, it will not do the things, mostly illegal, anymore. Invading other countries on a whim, looting oil money, printing paper money out of proportion of the gold reserved, having more debt than the gdp (thinking that nobody can force use to repay it).
As I am not a US citizen, I am sarcastically smiling when hearing all this anxiety of losing the privilege of being the only superpower. Stay calm and like the British did in the past, admit the bitter reality and adapt to the new situation without much drama.
@@J_a_s_o_n Unfortunately, on our way down there is a good chance we take the world with us. Extinction is the death of birth and the cessation of learning as well.
A reduction in the ability of The USA to borrow money, is the most likely cause of future world peace. U.S. military spending will be necessarily reduced. Therefore, U.S. military dominance will continue to fade. Real negotiations will become important. It may be a rocky road to get there, but everything will be great eventually. The U.S. will be much better off, too, other than for a handful of power-hungry warmongering psychopaths.
biden and us politics will lead usa to 3 world war....and that war you americans will be looked like evil...why? cause in last 50 years you started mostly all wars....better to get rid of your now governmant
@@Herc4ever yet the US shouldn't be another empire in disguise, undercover fourth reich. But I guess that is the nature of man, they will be enslaved by another or themselves
China has been a great benefit to Australia, he doesn't mention that. The reason Australia hasn't had a recession for so long is due to their rapidly growing neighbor who has done nothing to harm Australians
@@lauchlanguddy1004 Pl tell me：How many wars has China been involved in over the past 30 years? If you dream that China already have invaded oz and all of asia, I just want to say: hope you will live in that dream forever.
@@lauchlanguddy1004Trades is between consenting parties. Look specifically at the times when certain trades of goods between US and China, compare that with China and Australia of those goods, you got it?
The core of the problem is the “ rule based “ order, designed by the US that they are exempt from it whilst demanding the rest of the world follow it. Similarly, as China grows in every metric, the US considers its growth as an increase to the direct threat to US hegemony. While China’s increase in influence comes from the result of its economic growth, the initiatives of the US and Allies, through their attempts to stifle its growth has resulted in China increase of growth in the Technological area as well, so much so that China’s contribution exceeds those of the US in every matrix that matters. In the main, the debauchery of the US rule based order, by the US, like militarising of the US dollar, applying sanctions Willy Nellie to anyone has alienated the rest of the world except the Anglo Saxon world and Europe, resulting in an increasing number of countries to be major trading partners of China. Concurrently, because of its clear rise in influence, China has become increasingly assertive and the US is doing everything to frustrate China’s challenge to the “ rule based “ order. The 2 major conflict areas have been caused by the expansion of NATO to the doorstep of Russia, resulting in the Ukraine War and the support of Israel despite her continuing expansion into Palestinian land. JM is no doubts an US patriot and ignores to mention breaches of US to morality and the hypocrisy of the US to portray the “ rule based “ order as if it is based for Justice to all. As an academic, JM may be more influential had he exposed that the US is only democratic by assertion, not by fact, because it is more akin to a kleptocracy, when less than 2% of the population owns 80% of the wealth of the country and the bottom half of the population has 1% . To make “America Great Again starts from looking after All of its population, which means reverting America from a Make Belief Democracy to a Genuine One.
You completely missed the rising military power of China, and that's a big factor of influence. As to the dollar, it's not the US who "weaponised" it, the position of dollar in the global economy just a reflection of stability of the US economy, nothing forces people of developing countries to invest their local currency in dollars so much as instability of their own currency.
You need to listen to other John Mearsheimer lectures to understand he does not consider the Ukraine war unjustified and fully agrees with Putin's excuse of NATO expansionism... That the small countries that border Russia don't matter and have no rights and should comply with the wishes of their "polar" neighbors, in this case Russia.
Absolutely right. It was a huge mistake Obama and his adm made; they were suckers … and I was, and am, a fan of Obama. But, they read it all wrong or just didn’t want to be in a war, the one we are fighting now.
Russia attacked Ukraine in 2022. You can cope and try to change what happened but Russia lost already. Theres no way Russia can win. Using T55s and WW2 trucks is what #2 army in the world.
@@AcidBombYTtheres no cope. They've been in the donbass region and annexed crimea in 2014. If you were paying attention to geopolitics before it became "stand for ukraine" with a Ukrainian flag in your social media bio you would know that. He just stated facts and didnt pick a side. Educate yourself.
Except it’s not. China represents an unquestionable threat on a number of levels. Principally U.S. hegemony, US / Western economic interests, and ultimately the rules based order. There is no narrative that sees China as a benign force in its ascendancy. There is however a much wider debate about whether China ever will or could reach a point where it can realise its ambitions.
@@handcrafted30 "rules based order" is a LIE. There is no rules based order. There's a rules based SYSTEM, the UN. but it is not working. However There's a Western hegemony based ORDER. Because the order is not based on rules, since the West does not follow these rules themselves. It is based on POWER. The West bombed Libyan civilians. The West throwing Syria into civil war. The West invading Iraq, the West sanctioning Venezuela against human rights reports published by the UN office for Human rights. China is not threatening Western economic interests. Unless you see any competition as inhrently threatening. Then the USA is threatening European interests. What is good the goose is good for the gander. So no. China is not some sort of new USA.
@@handcrafted30143 countries do not agree with you and have a Huuuge BRI 10 years anniversary in China 2 weeks ago. Guess who is not invited? The bullies.
@@טלאדם No Israel is a colonial state, just read the letters of Theodor Herzl the founder of Zionism, he explicitly says that he is trying to colonize Palestine.
The only thing that he is wrong about is that Australia's recent economic growth in the past few decades is mainly due to its reliance on China's economic rise. Additionally, American ideologies that create imaginary enemies prevent them from focusing on their internal problems.
Lol, when I first went to Australia there were no lights or paved road from the Brisbane airport to the city. Then the mining boom happened. Tell me, where did the boom come from? Brainwashed racists will never credit the right people because they are brainwashed racists. They will INSIST they are not brainwashed racists though😂😂😂
Well, China's is now most of the world largest trading partner. The only thing wrong with that is the perception that there's something wrong with that.
American is not ideologies, it lie to have better profit . History is repeating... 😂 During the 70's 80's .. U$A to EU : We should not invest in China, the system is bad and needs to be punished. EU : OK , agree But after that, it was U$A companies that flooded into China to make huge profits, the EU so dxmb.🤣
thats how global politics work, if you don't secure your place on top some other power will come, take it and dominate. there's no "let's be friends and share the no. one spot"
When all you have is a hammer everything is a nail. Look how quick the Chinese made the "impossible" by restoring diplomatic relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
That’s what their ideology is - this is also why they jerk off so hard to Marvel superhero movies and the idea of good vs evil, because they are not interested in reality, they are interested in THINKING they are always the good guy. Yet ask them what they think when they are a bit upset at their government and suddenly it’s as if listening them talk about Hitler himself.
Funny realities, China is now the biggest buyer of Middle East oil and natural gas. Its appetite can even cover both Russia and the Middle East. Iran has signed the 25-year Cooperation Program with China for 400 million foreign direct investment. I guess the US weapon has less power than China's money at this time 🤣😂😂😂@@BalloonInTheBalloon
As a Muslim, whether you agree or not, I support a West with Christian values. One downside of the EU and "Commonwealth" becoming American "allies" is us taking their secular liberal culture
The saddest, most tragic in Gaza Israel war. Ahmad Shabat 4yr old tragedy. Survived two Israeli strikes, lost his parents, in 2nd lost both his legs. Deeply powerfully sorrowful. Ahmad Shabat , my 💜 💜 💜 and my mind with you
@@JanVansteenlandt Freedom credits+5, now you are free from prison rape for the next 3 days and ask Sleepy Joe for your next instant ramen meal please😅
The Chinese and for that matter, have every right yo progress through its own effort and works. Problem is usa n west cannot tolerate this as its hegemony is threatened.
@@neilosman4440 >"west values of freedom, liberalism and democracy" Don't you know the west has exploited the people and resources of Africa, Asia, South America and the Middle East for decades and centuries?
He's not speaking normatively. He's saying "if the U.S. wants to maintain their level of power, this is what they have to do," not "this is what the U.S. should do, from a moral perspective"
Don't be fooled. John Mearsheimer is nothing more than a egoistic white hypocrite. What he is always saying is that Uass and the other whites are no doing it right to dorminate. He never said that Uass and whites is wrong to dorminate. He is just a another delusional white "supremacist "
A THIEF THAT'S WHY IT INVADED ARAB COUNTRIES FROM THE BEGINNING BUT NOW I S IS COMING TO AN END & will be REPLACED BY MUSLIMS TO RULE THE WORLD WITH JUSTICE AFTER IT WAS FILLED IT WITH INJUSTICES 👉 U S IS LUCEFERIAN 👿👹😈🤮🤮🤮🤮
@@cska2001 Russia has a contract to suck the oil out of the ground in Syria. Were you aware of that? Were you aware of Russia attacking US forces in Syria(without success)?
May I humbly ask why anyone think that the Rules based order which only benefit the US is righteous ? Why would the Chinese people coming out of poverty be a threat to the Western people, especially people in the United State ? Are we an inferior race who only deserve an inferior way of life, and the planetary resources are only for the Anglo Saxons and the Chosen Nation ? When one saw Chinese on cruise ships cruising worldwide, he becomes paranoid and humiliated ? The US waged wars all over the world in almost all the years of its existence while China bought huge sums of the US debts, replenished their arsenal ; and all of a sudden it becomes the biggest enemy ! Why someone must dominate the world ? Couldn’t human live peacefully together and share the fruits of technological advances ?
The U.S. & this Mearsheimer guy make no sense to me at all about the biggest threat to the U.S. is China! China seems to be pretty peace loving & all China wants to do is trade, run businesses & make money, improve its own nation & people & help other nations in need at the same time Win-Win. Whereas U.S. just wants zero sun game & remain world hegemon. US can pivot to China all it wants, China does not seem to want to hurt any nations, but trade with them & co-exist peacefully. US needs to stop thinking in terms of control, contain & run the world, it is not the boss of our planet!!
I agree - why do they keep using the word "threat" anyway? No one is going to attack the US, and if China becomes more prosperous, the US does too, since China is its biggest trading partner.
As an Australian, I would say we aren't the baddies yet but we are getting close to being one after abstaining from voting for a humanitarian pause on the war on Gaza. The baddies are the 14 countries who voted against the UN resolution A/ES-10/L.25 titled "Protection of civilians and upholding legal and humanitarian obligations" on Israel's war on Gaza/Palestine. Most of the rest of the world (121 countries) voted for the resolution, 14 voted against and 44 abstained.
In a way, Australia became a collaborator in the genocide of Palestinians by the Israelis. All recorded in UN documents and videos. Unlike the uighur genocide the west like to spin about.
@@civicblade1 An abstention at the UN is the "No" vote of a mollusc - spineless. Even New Zealand's right wing government and France voted "Yes". Albo and Wong simply followed instructions from WH.
That is if you count nations, it becomes a whole lot worse when you count population! As was said by a famous American of America "we still have the barbaric values of savages from 200 years ago".
America must learn how to understand the true meaning of the civilised nation.Just stop sanctions, conflicts, invasion and supporting genocide.Only then you understand humanity that will lead you to understand the true meaning of civilize nation.
Oscar wilde said:" America is the only country on this earth that transitioned from barbarism to decadence without civilization in between " and he was absolutely right.
And which Arab Shakespeare should we be looking for? Aristotle, Socrates, Cicero? These were all part of US civilization, which built the country everyone is fighting to get into. Not even Muslims want to live in Saudi Arabia. I happen to also want the US out of all other countries and I want all foreign cultures out of the US. I want US troops to stop defending Arab countries and sending Palestine our $$$. If foreigners are so smart, civilized, and independent, give US back our money and our troops. But, if you read the book, Siege of Mecca, you will understand that the Saudi royals are afraid of their own people and need US to prop them up.
It's not imaginary enemies that USA thinks of. They actually do exist if you understand Chinese then the CCP said clearly for 40 years they want to replace USA. 韬光养晦 They want to rule the world with Chinese style of Marxism.
I agree with most of what John Mearsheimer says, other than his stance on China. China and the East's strength is on an upward trajectory, while America and the rest of the West is on a downward trajectory. He sees China as the great threat. I see China as the great hope. My concern is that as Thucydides' Trap closes America will burn down the world rather than relinquish control to the East. My hope is that the tide has already turned and America's strength is already spent before Armageddon happens.
China the great hope?? 🤣🤣🤣 China is that looming threat which is being suspended right only because of US dominance. Once the US falls, Imperialist will go for South China Sea, Indian territory, Japanese, Neplese, Bhutnese, Taiwan and God knows what else is other in the Chinese mind. Freedom of Tibet, East Turkistan and South Mongolia awaits. China policy of not intervening in Human right issues based on the label of internal matter will add more to isolated am authorinian world world. Of course US and allies were no saint but being Asian I choose US over China anyday.
China is the great hope? Too funny. You must be Chinese because no other people within China’s sphere of influence feels that way. They know from direct historical experience what China is like as a regional hegemon.
There has never before in history been a period of time where nation-states were not in major conflict. Not a single time. It always amazes me, how people think if America goes away, all of their problems will suddenly come to an end or even get better.
@@incognito96 I don't see how having problems of their own fruition that kill millions of people is better than having relative global peace, outside of the Middle East which is always at war, and Russia which seems to be a new development. Before the "liberal hegemony" Mearsheimer complains about, from 1914 to 1945, wars like in Gaza happened across the globe, every year.
The word "rules based order" is a LIE. There's no "rules based" order. There is a rules based system, the UN, which is failing Palestinians as the West does not apply those rules, or selectively. And there is a Western power hegemony ORDER. Which of course is not happy with other countries' economic success. So it's mean girls club trying to bully the new cool guy in town.
the soviet was done when it first started as it became a fascist state under stalline...now under Putin its a US in 20 years from now with Olygarch directly sitting on presidency seats taking their money from their private ''venture''. would not have gotten better with Putin as a so called ally. we messed up with Russia when the wall came down and tried to steal it for the western olygarch.
The "rules based order" contains rules against the committing of war crimes against civilian populations. There seems to be a double standard now being applied in Gaza. Putin has been labeled a war criminal due to the collateral damage against the civilian population in Ukraine. Everyone was in agreement with that assessment up until Israel started their scorched earth carpet bombing campaign against the civilian population in Gaza. We've listened to all kinds of West based excuses as to why this wholesale slaughter of civilians in Gaza doesn't count or matter, how it doesn't qualify as a war crime. But what Israel has done to the civilians living in Gaza, even blocking and bombing their escape routes, cutting off food, water and medicine for three weeks now, looks a hundred times worse than what's happening in Ukraine. If seven thousand trapped civilians in Gaza being intentionally slaughtered in three weeks of carpet bombing isn't a war crime according to "rules based order", than a double standard is definitely being applied when Putin is labeled a war criminal for causing the death of civilians in Ukraine. At least the Ukrainian have been provided corridors of escape completely denied to the Palestinian civilians. And the exterminations taking place in Gaza look like a racist genocide given that the Palestinians are primarily of Indiginous heritage compared to the Israelis and their American sponsors. I'm sorry but the Western slanted propaganda around this issue is obvious and preposterous.
I think his point is that the rules based order, previously integral to western thought, is breaking down. When this happens the west is left with one thing it can use to maintain its interests, brute power. As the west starts to resort to this the ideals and "niceties" it might have once used to justify it will go out the window. At that point referring to what's fair, or allowed under international law or reasonable when you reflect on the grievances of an enemy is of little or no concern. The west will just get on with defending its own interests without the pretence of operating under a rules based system. It is worth debating what has caused the decline of a standard once prevalent in the west ("progressivism" has caused it) but it would be pretty academic when the process really kicks in
With regards to international law and UN charters you nailed it, double standards wherever you listen to powerful corporate media. My antithesis regarding Russian military actions in Ukraine has always been trying to avoid civilian casualties if possible- hard to achieve when your counterpart takes position in urban areas … since Russia controls the air zone, how come there never has been a carpet bombing of Ukrainian cities? Now Russia controls the Russian speaking areas in the East and secured their Naval base in Crimea - evidently their goal from the beginning of their attack. This is geopolitical strategy - not caring for international law is no more a monopoly of the USA. Since 1945 this is the first enemy of the USA that is capable militarily to withstand. No wonder the USA is dismayed and does not want to accept this, times are changing. The goal to integrate Ukraine into NATO has failed, no Western missiles will be placed on Russian borders and the further expansion of NATO has ended. Regarding this fact, the West has lost the war even if the fighting goes on.
In my estimation, uncle Sam should have focused on infrastructure and the prosperity of the American people rather than constantly bullying and sanctioning the world to maintain it's hegemony. The US government uses everyone and is no friends of anyone.
When you don't have real money but mostly paper money to rebuild infrastructure, you go steal some( natural resources and land) putting a trillion dollar a year military to use.
The US doesn't focus on domestic infrastructure because that's not the donor base, the vested interest group. Look at all the Israelis in US politics, they have additionally captured the political system. The ONLY way to reset the US political system is by the physical force of its citizens. The vested interest groups have bought US congress politicians so nothing is going to change. It's the uniparty.
That was a very interesting presentation Prof. Mearsheimer. I am just an ordinary man but the fact that I was born in Jaffa/Palestine in 1938 and left Palestine when I was around 10 with my parents and siblings of 7 to Lebanon in 1948 then to Syria. As an adult I went to Kuwait, to Cyprus during the Kuwaiti war , then I went to Dubai before ending up in Canada. Now I am a senior of 85 and do wish and hope that the Palestinians see and enjoy freedom in their own Country. and be treated as a human being with some fairness.. Palestinians are peaceful by nature if not stirred .
@user-rj7db3yo6l The ones that didn’t include give up all your land and worship and holy places and no military for you as nation and many other dehumanizing treaties that Israeli right wing fanatics proposed…but they did sign the Oslo agreement then the fanatics plus the American military industrial complex assassinated Rabin then Arafat and now they are literally driving Israel down a cliff. Yet you seem to be approving of the apartheid regime, kudos to you…99% of the world say no to that.
An excellent presentation by Prof. Mearsheimer though I would've liked to have heard some mention of the qualitative superiority of Russian military ISR capability & doctrine in the Ukraine conflict. The Russians were outnumbered 3 to 1 for at least the first 12 months of this conflict, and despite those odds succeeded in attriting the Ukrainians at a drastic casualty ratio, and capturing major military objectives like Mariupol and Severodonetsk. Russian hardware like the Lancet seems to have outperformed any Western counterpart, and it seems that the nature of warfare has been permanently shifted and that Western 'combined arms doctrine' has been invalidated by new technologies.
Russian military under General Shoigu has seen much training and modernization. This peak during the training of 300,000 men in Russia. Moving 300,000 men in formations was a huge endeavour, but it was a clear sign of how serious their training has become. One cannot depends on training men on the frontline, since that causes too much casualty. As I see it, Russian army's effectiveness could be 7x more than Ukrainians, even with all the NATO support. (My biased mind said 10x more)
Here what I say. It is not weather or tech, which is and was winning. It wasn't weather that won against Napoleon, Hitler, and many others, tried to conquer Russia. It is russian steel balls, hardened in a harsh surviving environment. Russians didn't want to fight ukrainians, just get rid of puppet govt. That's why you haven't seen carpet bmbing like in Iraque. Ukrainians are brothers to russians. I see it like small sister being brainwashed and used by old perv, promised her good life but instead just kept on using that poor soul. Leave her alone, Sam, let her live. She suffered, bled too much under your control already. And thinking that russians will crumble under your predicted sanctions was your grave mistake. Now pray for Putin to stay in power as Russia today looks like angrily concentrating bee hive.
Your figure is very interesting, it's a pity it's not clear from where. The Russian army entered Ukraine in 150-200 thousand people + 50 thousand LDPR troops (Donetsk and Luhansk regions). That is, in total, a group of 200 thousand people. Ukraine had 200 thousand people at that time. Russia did not plan to fight in such a format as it is happening now, or rather it was plan B if plan A did not work. Russia wanted to do as it was between the USSR and Czechoslovakia (the operation was successful), as it was in Chechnya (the operation was a failure and the war dragged on, but initially the tactics were the same, the tanks went even without combat kits), as it was in Georgia (the operation was successful, the war was avoided). But in Ukraine, as in Chechnya... The tanks entered, the government was not afraid and the war began. The war in Chechnya lasted from 1994 to 2009 in one form or another. The war with Ukraine will also drag on for many years. This is a normal situation, we have a lot of experience in such wars.
@@gaara13756 Ukraine will not have enough of such battles for many years. If the nature of the war becomes insurgent rather than a combined arms positional one, then it will be a low-intensity conflict and it could last a long time, especially in western Ukraine. But in the carnage that is happening there now, I am not sure that Ukraine will withstand even a year.
I’m Australian and seriously planning my escape unfortunately. I love Australia but not the way they are heading,not doing justice to its population just in bed with the US. We have the resources to stand alone but again greed takes precedence,what about the Aussie’s, we don’t need American control
Coming to NZ? NZ is fairly diplomatic and measured on this issue, making us one the most neutral countries in the world. We are too small to take sides and are not hated. In addition we are fairly insignificant on the world stage. I was really happy about us not being on the map. If there is a full on war, I predict we will outlive everyone by a couple of months until the nuclear fall out gets to us. Shame about the house prices and laundering in real estate as the housing issue really sucks.
When John says china is our biggest threat it should be pointed out that they're a global economic threat not a military threat. China doesn't have troops and naval bases around the world like the US does. U.S. and Australian citizens don't have to worry about Chinese troops landing in their countries. Many countries around the world do have to worry about U.S. troops landing in their countries. In this talk John doesn't even mention that.
Well China is a threat in so far as the semi conductor issue in Taiwan plays a role if Xi decides to invade. Other than that - they are a major subversive power in countries like Australia , NZ , Canada , US , UK , Germany , Italy , probably France too - they infiltrate thanks to our Western politicians suicidal open borders policy , the number of Chinese students in the West it insane , the number of Know-How technology theft is astronomical. They even hire retired British fighter jet pilots to train the Chinese air force. All over the West they have covert Chinese police stations spying and intimidating and abducting expat nationals publicly critizing Xi/the regime. And some people might say they even bribe the son of the current most powerful man of earth... So, in conclusion (and I haven't even mentioned their shipping fleet of illegal fishing boats , overfishing and extincting fish and marine life all over the world - even around the Galapagos islands , or illegally dumping tons of toxic waste in the oceans , the Belt & Road debt trap thing , disappearing citizens , even billionaires , total surveillance , total censorship , their concentration camps , their handling of the big C , or countless other examples of their shenanigans) - China can never be an ally like this.
@@KB-kw3kp bro you have been brainwashed so badly that you can't tell up from down in your reality. How you be so dumb to follow western media when they don't give jackass about you.
Except that Australia seems to be under the delusion that China actually is preparing to invade and occupy their country. ASPI keeps pushing that line, and its comical that Australia buys tanks and such to defend their giant island this way.
Pivoting to east Asia and creating tension? Is that what Mearsheimer is insinuating? I do not agree. What the United States needs to do is to respect other countries sovereignty and allow them to rise peacefully without any intervention, all countries have the right to live and enjoy their lives peacefully, life is short.
Thats not on the program of the colonialist. bear in mind the colonialist logic is deeply ingrained in the western political powers for many centuries. Wolfowitz doctrine is hallmark of this mentality. Do what ever it takes to become #1 and keep the status by containing/destroying #2.
I hope Professor will clarify a bit more why China would be a threat. How many countries China is occupying? How many military bases? Apart from trade and commerce, which is beneficial to countries involved, how is China a threat? Can someone explain please.
I'm from Southeast Asia. My suggestions are not necessarily right. But in my POV, the China have more influence than US here. There are more Chinese products than ever before. They are our biggest creditor. But I think so many countries in Asia now have more tendencies to follow China since the US abused their global power. When we live in Uni Polar world, we obey US, but now we have more choice, which is China. Again you are right about military basis etc, but more and more asian country now will not subservient to the US as they used to. What I see now is that we as population in my country felt more influence from China in our everyday life than US. We see the US & western country as nothing but arrogant (at least that the common perception that I hear everywhere here)
China is a threat for showing a better alternative similar to many things the US is against, ever heard of better healthcare, free education, homeless people, they will do anything to stop others from showing a better example
I also have that question when I listen to Mearsheimer. I don't see the facts supporting the fear that China will become aggressive. In contrast, his thesis regarding Ukraine is easy to understand, and many events are consistent with what he has predicted.
As an Australian, I'm glad that US is not pivoting to East Asia. Otherwise, we are the next Ukraine. Just look what happened with our wines, wheats, lobsters and tourist industries in the last few years. US sees China as a biggest threat. I see China as a biggest opportunity. That prosperity for Australia in the last couple of decades was rely on China. US is a sinking ship. It's time for Australia to abandon it.
the USA is not exactly a nation in the traditional sense anymore, it's a cohort of uncohesive population groups governed by corporations. There's nothing in common between white Republicans and AOC or Ilhan Omar. What underpins nation is identity, white Republicans probably don't believe that they're one and united anymore. So that's why in the USA you have multiple speech. It's market, it's electoral.
@commanderdancody Principles are the same. the approach is different. If you change the approach, you're smart, if you change the principle, you're a hypocrite.
Two Notes: One *important omission (Ukraine-Russia) and one important flaw (Israel-Palestine).* 1. Putin, in March 2022, with few troops in Ukraine (100 thousand were ridiculously insufficient for an invasion and occupation. That's why it was a Special Military Operation), tried to reach a Guarantee Agreement. It called for neutrality for Ukraine (like Finland until 2022), potentially belonging to the EU, and semi-autonomous status for the Russian-speaking East. Well, the draft agreement had already been signed by the parties, Putin gave the order to withdraw (they had not even entered Kiev), and Zelensky, after receiving Boris Johnson, Biden's postman, allowed himself to be convinced and did not sign the Agreement. Yesterday, November 24th, one of Zelensky's representatives blamed Boris Johnson for this error. Imagine. Now the terms of this Agreement are impossible because Ukraine is defeated and the East has endorsed entry into Russia. 2. The lack of information about Israel. Ultra Orthodox Jews, whose population is growing, are anti-state of Israel and do not recognize the Israeli government, defending the right of Palestinians to their land. They defend an ancient coexistence with Muslims and defend the continuation of the Jewish diaspora.
With all my respect to his analysis he forgot to mention conveniently that in 2014 US organised with a help of EU coup in Ukraine overthrowing legitimate government.
I have to believe it wasn't anything sinister. I've seen him on several other platforms and this point you bring up is talked about and acknowledged by him.
When I heard him speak about Ukraine loosing at that time I was very upset and was convinced he was wrong. Now listening to this again today...I sadly understand what he was saying.
I knew it would loose from day one. But it will remain a nation at least. Only smaller, and having lost its young men. You ask Carl 12, Napoleon and Hitler about beating Russia.
Yes they do! USA is a grate country with alot of intention and big intellectual ability! Big Example is proffesor Mearsheimer and many, many others! The problem is who is moving the strings
Oh looky! An America-bashing troll. You have nothing constructive to say or contribute, so you insult. The US has done some really bad things and has it's problems, but what country doesn't? Pray tell, where are you from?
John, just because US no longer able to exercise its hegemony in a unipolar world without any challenge, now you consider China a threat. I think you are absolutely wrong. First, how many wars had US embarked since 2000s as compared to China. The answer is obvious. Second, how many countries did Uncle Sam exercise its own unilateral action by sanctioning any countries it like. Thirdly, how many nuclear weapons do US possess.? New Pentagon report claims China now has over 500 operational nuclear warheads and already feels so insecure. That figure is still a fraction of the more-than 5,000 warheads the US possess...... Anyway, China's threat is a scandalous initiative created by the US and its Western puppets to stifle China's economic and social development including technological advancement. The Chinese nation with its 5000 years of civilization will continue to advance whatever unscrupulous ways the West is trying to obstruct. You may be right China's rise may not be peaceful especially when the US and its Westen puppets continue to impede it rise peacefully.
The US cant afford to have any near peer competition. Even if its an ally, the US will keep it down. For example, look how they bombed Nordstream 2. To make sure Germany will never be as big as the US in regards to economics.
The US has a long-standing policy of seeking to be the only world power, and to force every nation to follow its orders. This policy has been the source of so much suffering and death all around the world. We can only hope that the US and China can find a way to coexist peacefully for the long term, and that the US can find some way to end the hostility toward Russia and to encourage peace in the middle East instead of encouraging war. It is wishful thinking perhaps, but dreams can come true if we work for them.
If ever bother to learn the slightest knowledge of Chinese medicine, he would have understood that you have to keep the BALANCE. no organ can live without one another. We are fated to live together. That's why China has been trying to help poor countries to grow. We know that as long as everyone is contented with where that live what the land is providing them with, there won't be any trouble. That's why even though I despise US, Uk, and some EU countries, I'm trying to get myself to be compassionate with them😂 Well, haters gonna hate. We just keep doing what we have to do, the Dao will be on our side. Once we're strong enough, haters will have to follow anyway, then the rest will be history.
John Mearsheimer's problem is that he's fixated on the idea that, whilst the norm for the development of 'civilisation' throughout history has been the rise and fall of militarily expansionist empires and that norm will never change. The US empire has been in an almost constant state of war since WWII and has 800-1000 overseas military bases projecting military force almost worldwide. Meanwhile China has one foreign military base, a naval base in the horn of Africa to help with the Somali pirate issue, hasn't fired a single shot overseas in over 40 years and yet has grown rapidly, lifting over a billion of their population out of the direst poverty. A completely different and successful model that John has completely failed to notice and, as competitors, advocates bringing them undone. If an athlete in the Olympics tried to win by nobbling their competitors they would lose all credibility and never be allowed to compete again. Blowing out a candle doesn't bring light. Every empire in history has fallen largely due to their overspend in military projection and this has been the norm. The US economy is failing, over $30 trillion in debt, their middle class is shrinking, their pool of working poor and homeless is growing at an alarming pace and their infrastructure is crumbling. We're watching the fall of the US empire and, if we don't wake up, we'll go down with them. We've already started. Here in Oz we avoided the 2008 global economic collapse because our largest trading partner was China. The second largest industry in the world is armaments and 47% of that global industry is in private hands in the USA. How much influence can 47% of the the 2nd largest amount of money in the world afford in the finest democracy money can buy? Why is the US response always advocating a military solution? Easy, those weapons aren't going to sell themselves.
Excellent reply. Mearsheimer is clipping away at facts and only presenting those that supported the American view that China is the number one enemy, which the rest of the world is starting to see it is but a nasty lie.
@earthwizz Thank you for the very factual and excellent analysis. The USA and UK are two countries that are mostly responsible for this mess the world is in right now. Professor Mearsheimer has not mentioned anything about how this war in Ukraine has a detrimental effect on the economies of the countries in the Western Europe. If the US treats its allies like that, not many nations will be the US's friends after this is over, and it will be over one day. There are more people on this earth who are for peace not pro war like the USA.
Yeah, he's lost. He doesn't realise USians and EU Dictators are waging war on European Nations with their War on Terror and Ukrainian War and Israel support. Refugee crisis after refugee crisis.. The Left think more refugees the merrier which destroys society by destabilisation and division while rights believe in segregation and division, and most backwards cultures are Far Right by modern left standards. UK, US and Judaic culture believes in mass-invading foreign lands and taking them as homeland.
I ask why China can be blamed by America for China's success,? Does America not like other nations to be successful and rich and advanced? This is the unkind nature of the American self... America just goes home, the world doesn't need America.. GOD HAS ALWAYS LOVED CHINA AND HAS ALWAYS BLESSED CHINA FOREVER. ✝️🇨🇳☯️🙏🙏🙏☯️🇨🇳✝️ ✝️ GOD BLESS CHINA ✝️
While countless Chinese are proud of the country's continued development, they are also very confused and even angry about the West's constant criticism of China. As the most populous country in the world, China has successfully controlled the COVID-19 epidemic, but has been criticized as "authoritarian" by Western countries with hundreds of thousands of deaths; China's economy has taken the lead in emerging from the haze of the epidemic, bringing hope to the global economic recovery, but it has China has been accused by the West of "state capitalism"; China has provided vaccines to developing countries and contributed to the creation of global public goods, but has been accused by some Western countries that are hoarding vaccines of engaging in "vaccine diplomacy." Why are the things that China has done well, done right, and done in a timely manner seem wrong, immoral, or at least problematic in the eyes of some people in the West? How can I solve this problem? The author believes that the first step is to analyze why China is “scolded”. First of all, to a certain extent, it is inevitable for China to be scolded during its rise. Historically, any emerging country that rises will be regarded as an alien by the dominant country. Dominant countries only hope that emerging countries will be assimilated, rather than harming their own international leadership. In the 1980s, Japan was criticized by the United States as a "freak" among developed countries because the Liberal Democratic Party was a one-party state and was not a Western-style democracy. Japan's industrial policy was also criticized as a heretical model of state capitalism. In the 1990s, Southeast Asia's emerging economies were criticized for their combination of authoritarian politics and mercantilist economics, triggering years of debate over "Asian values." Japan's "freak" narrative disappeared with the collapse of its bubble economy, and the economic crisis in Southeast Asia seemed to have convinced the United States that Asian values had failed and American values had triumphed. China's rise far exceeds the scale and speed of the rise of Japan and Southeast Asian economies, and the intensity and frequency of "scolding" are also unprecedented. At this point, China needs to have a clear understanding. It cannot be avoided by unilaterally relying on good wishes and trying to tell the Chinese story well. Secondly, behind China's "scolding" lies the Cold War logic of artificially creating "identity between ourselves and the enemy" and "cognition of good and evil" by building a confrontational discourse system. During the Cold War, the United States defined the Soviet Union as an "evil autocratic empire" and defined itself and its allies as the "free world." It used this value system to unite domestic hearts and allies. Unfortunately, the Soviet Union was led by the polarized discourse system of the United States during the Cold War. It tried to construct a confrontational discourse that showed the Soviet Union's superiority to the United States in terms of ideology and social systems. It can be said that the high-intensity competition with the United States in the field of ideas and discourse was also one of the important reasons why the Soviet Union finally fell into trouble. China's proposal to build a "community with a shared future for mankind" is actually to avoid falling into the vortex of confrontational discourse system competition. This is a wise move that transcends the "Cold War-type discourse system arms race." Third, China still has a lot of room for proactive action in reducing misperceptions, prejudices and even stigmatization in the outside world. For example, in some international media reports, China's economic and trade investment in Africa is always regarded as a negative example. It is believed that this approach regardless of economic costs has caused African countries to generally fall into debt crises, become China's vassals, and then be politically controlled. However, data from the China-Africa Institute at Johns Hopkins University in the United States show that China’s loans to the African public sector have been decreasing since 2016, which shows that lenders make decisions based on economic logic rather than political logic. Why do such convincing data often come from foreign countries rather than China’s own think tanks? To solve the problem of "being scolded", China must have greater transparency and openness in terms of data, and respond to domestic and foreign questions in a timely manner. This task cannot be done by the government alone and requires the efforts of the whole society. Whether a great power can no longer be "scolded" during its rise depends on the success of domestic governance and the effective shaping of the global governance system. The 2008 Beijing Olympic Torch Relay was severely disrupted. The then Ambassador to the UK, Fu Ying, wrote an article lamenting that the wall between China and the world was too thick. More than ten years later, this wall still seems to be thick, but China's closer interactions with the world and its ability to participate in international affairs have increased unprecedentedly. Regarding "being scolded", China needs to be strategically vigilant, but does not need to have strategic anxiety. Sometimes it must express dissatisfaction or even anger in a timely manner, but more often it must gain recognition and support from its broad circle of friends through a more positive and vivid Chinese narrative.
I hate to break it to PM but on most metrics China is number 1 and US is no 2. Given that China promotes multi polarity while the US wants hegemony, I don't share PM desire for a US victory.
@@danielthuku8192 but he doesn't mean for the US 'to do well', he means for US dominance and hegemony. If US incomes increased 10x and China's were 90% of US incomes, the US would be doing 'very well' but the US would 'attack' China simply because China was doing 'well' also. That's not wanting 'to do well', that's a thug acting out of jealously, spite and malevolence.
Mearsheimer is applying structural realism in a very textbook way, which is to be expected. But he is wrong about several things, the most crucial being the idea of a "China Threat." China is much less threatening, on a global scale, than the US. Indeed, China has not used military force (excepting a border skirmish with India) in decades. What Mearsheimer is proposing is actually creating enemies when they do not need to be.
But China will have to become more aggressive around the world and inflate it's own military budget in order to survive. I believe that AI, supercomputers and robotics will play a crucial role in the future. And China will have to produce hundreds millions of robots, drones and autopilots to use them against people of United States on the battlefield.
It’s also very unclear whether their economy is healthy at all. With their real estate sector teetering and their demographic problem looming, there is a significant chance that China experiences a major economic downturn this decade.
@@jakejakeboom Gordon Chang for example is saying for 30 years now that China and it's economy is collapsing. He has a very perverted economic logic. He is saying that 0 % GDP growth in the West is actually economic recovery. And that 8 % of GDP growth in China is collapsing.
@@jakejakeboom But China has 1,42 billion people for God's sake man. If China suddenly decides to shift into higher gear and Communist Party of China orders their own population to have more children. Population numbers will explode in China
Simply tragic that the sole purpose of the US existence has become to remain the global hegemony. That's fighting for a lost cause, and for no good reasons. The sooner they realize that and start reimagining their place in a world of new power balance, the sooner they'll end the pain of theirs and the rest of the world. But we all know young people tend to learn their lessons the hard way. Same with young nations. If the US wishes to still stay "United" after the end its hegemony, it should shift its attention not to East Asia but back to itself, if it hasn't passed the point of no return that is.
I believe US 's main issue is not to remain the sole hagemon, but the fact that the new powers rising are dictatorships, and we all know where this can lead to
It make look like true but you haven't been paying attention. The hegemony would have been preserved if they had Afghanistan and East Asia at focus, yet the US policy was to focus in other places and push Russia away so there is no actual focus on hegemony.
While I agree with Prof. Mearsheimer on Ukraine and Israel, I fail to see the threat from China. We need a new policy, of live and let live with China. We need to stop pretending that Taiwan is our territory, stop the new American bases in the Philippines, etc., and start cooperating with them instead of threatening them by sending warships near their shores.
Most Americans, including Mearsheimer, don't understand this. They think that China thinks and acts the same way as they do. There is a generation gap between the two civilizations.
Certainly the U.S. could back off and allow leaders like the late Saddam Hussein consolidate control of hydrocarbons in the Middle East. Shipping lanes could be left to pirates. Friendly nations could be left to fend for themselves. .... With no Russian protector, Armenia is about to lose the southern half of their country to Azerbaijan. There's plenty more conflicts waiting to break.
One thing for sure is that US attracted all the talents here. No other countries can do this. Look Europe and UK, attracting what to their competitiveness.
@@maxzeleweski3120 that is the current government issue. if you are a demo， thats your choice， otherwise， vote the other party， at least you have a choice
What he fails to tell us all is America is regressing in its power and influence compared to both China and Russia whose influence and power is in progression!
@@nawnaw4709 and this is failure in Americas thinking. Its always military. But China has gained its massive sphere of influence by using deplomatic and economical ties and insentives instead of flexing muscle. The results are showing whose winning. Also the future of warfare is in unmaned weapons such as fighter drones. Something china has more than anyone else and nearly double the amount the USA has.
@@nawnaw4709 not even militarily. The US and EU simply do not have the mass production capability it once had. Not to mention it is dependent on china for manufacturing almost everything else
Not really. All are regressing. Russia and China are regressing much faster. The reason US is regressing is there isn't a clear threat to America anymore. Russia is a dying nation, on population and economy. China is starting to begin it's death spiral because its population is aging, shrinking and dying.
It's not only the US prestige & super power status that is at risk, the US exceptionalism is also in hot waters, something that never has been associated with a super power before.
Mearshiemer falsely claimed US security for Australia's prosperity. But why not now? The truth was it was the free trade with China that was the bulk of Australia's prosperity. The recession of the last few years was due to the U.S. security interference that caused China's economic sanction in Australia. 😅
The US is always right even if it's wrong. That's because it always sees others from above. When it finally sees others from below and lying down, then it will know the true meaning of friendship.
How many genocides has the USA committed and how many genocides has Russia committed in the last 10 years? The USA didnt commit any genocide, while Russia bears the responsibility for the current genocide of Ukrainians.
Are we counting "invasions" and coups as well? Places like Panama and Granada? Becouse US started them conflicts. And if we count all of them there are tens in 20th century alone.
The Americans caused ten times more conflicts than the Russians would ever imagine! It's needless to say conflicts really caused by the Russians pales in comparison to the Americans. Illegal invasions and wars of aggressions in Vietnam, Iraq, Syria, Libya, Somalia, Grenada and others in Central America to name a few. If we add up disproportionate military responses and support for attrocities in Afghanistan, Yemen, Korea and militaries coups around the world we have a picture of who is the true aggressor. Is it really a comparison?
China is allowed to rise. Any more delays. US is fking with everyone. US was meant to bring out the fking tech not hoard it. See what China is doing in civilian sdctor They do it right without massive war.
as always , this was only ever possible when leader was doing bad choices and getting weaker.. not by any external thing. Same as in sports or politics, extremely hard to beat current #1 until they make mistakes or over time get weaker.
In fact, the U.S. economy ranks first in the world, and it is a big beneficiary of the prosperity of other countries. The most important thing for the U.S. is to solve domestic problems, rather than causing all kinds of troubles around the world and hindering the development of the world economy
Why must America consider China or India or any nation which has progressed & developed dynamically be a threat ??? When a nation has prospered & advanced, surely she will earn respect & praises & encouragement but not enemies; perhaps envies! Why must economic, scientific, electronic, space & communication achievements be politicised & suppressed!!! Humanity shd be happy, encouraged & heartened & thankful that life will be better for all!!! WTF !!!!!!!
Because people remain people. The state is also people. The basic desire of competition is to be the only winner at the top of the pyramid. The United States sat on it for a very long time and was the only superpower for more than 30 years. Now they want to throw down those who are crawling towards success. Maybe there are good guys and bad guys in the world. But certainly not among states. Regardless of the system, they all want one thing - domination.
In essence, US is capitalist state which means it's controlled by rich families. And as every rich families does, they never want anyone besides them become richer than them
The group that Really run the US want world domination and don't care about US citizens. Face it, taking care of the people doesn't make the Rich richer.
its already destroyed you are literally in late stage capitalism and many see it globally, you have a crisis coming your way- thats what always happens when the ruling class become too decadent.
The problem is US has been trying really hard to contain China, but unsuccessful, one good example is huawei, the company was completely banned and shut out of US market by president Dumpty in 2019, guess what happens to huawei? they became one of the most powerful high tech companies in the world, they make their own advanced 7nm chips, their own software, they literally make everything without any US tech support. So containing China is a nice sweet dream of US elites, but it's just a dream.
What I am hearing more and more in Europe is normal people complaining about the rise of prices and the enormous taxes being created by the Governments to send weapons and billions to the Ukraine War, and now becomes more and more obvious that the involvement of US-Europe in UKraine is not for humanitarian purposes, but for geopolitical purposes. This has become clear with the recent Bombing of Gaza and nearly 9.000 palestinian women and children killed by Israel and US and Europe not only moving a finger to avoid the killing, much worse, even sending more weapons to israel.
I agree with him that trying to make Ukraine part of Europe was a mistake, The western part of Ukraine was part of Europe when it was part of Austria-Hungary and even when it was part of Poland. But WW2 changed all that,
Hamas sent thousands of missiles into Israel before Israel attacked. Hamas doctrine is the destruction of Israel and the death of all Jews. What did you expect Israel to do.
The war I'm fighting with my trade right now is way bigger than Ukraine war. I keep loosing in real trade but win in Demo. Should I give up on Trade? What should I do? How may I do better? What I'm I doing incorrectly?
What’s fascinating is that the professor doesn’t talk about Minsk Agreement, neither is he talking about the US government involvement in overthrowing the Ukraine government in 2014.
No one considers Australia/ canada as countries. They are just states within USA. Australia/Canada should call themselves independent countries the day they have their own foreign policies!!!
I always love listening to John Mearshiemer !, he has great grasp of Geopolitics and great power politics, it’s hard to argue with his analysis but I would have one question! For him He says that the U.S. should do everything to stop China dominating the southern hemisphere but why does he think that it’s ok for the U.S. to dominate its hemisphere but it’s not ok for China ? And if he doesn’t think the U.S. has right to dominate the western hemisphere then does he think the U.S. has the right to be the one to stop China trying to dominate the southern hemisphere? There seems to me to be a contradiction/ Bias in Mr Mearshiemers view of the world , surely if one day there would be a true balance of power then the U.S. will need to be weakened . Maybe the the U.S , China , Russia Britain France etc need to realise that they have no right to dominate any other country or it’s people’s!
Precisely China could have expanded in the 1600s but didn't And kept to their own region It was the Europeans expanding their territories all over the world
The one critical question this speech completely left unaddressed though is “Why is hostilities between the USA and China automatically taken as a given? Mearsheimer was dead on about so many things in this speech, that I couldn’t help but think how he nailed most if it, yet he still left out the most important variable to the whole equation..namely, US-China relations. Why does “everyone in the Biden administration see China as the USA’s biggest threat?” Why can’t the deep economic ties between these two great powers be seen as an asset? Why does the USA assume that if China becomes the most powerful nation that it automatically makes them an enemy? Because then the US can’t dictate global affairs? Why should any one country do that anyways? I thought they were proponents of democracy. So why doesn’t that spill over to the international arena?Let the P5 be team members not enemies. If you have good economic and diplomatic relations with countries it doesn’t MATTER if they are more powerful than you. Do you think we up here in Canada worry that the US is more powerful than US? Is it because China isn’t democratic enough internally for the US’s tastes? What’s that got to do with the US? China is a production powerhouse. Overall, this is GOOD for the world, including the USA. Did China see the USA as a threat when they rose to hegemony after WW2 ? No. They decided to learn from them instead, and look what that did for China. Why can’t US foreign policy see itself as a country that can learn from China? Why does it have to be the most powerful? How has enforcing this in such infiltrative manner not done anything but create hostilities abroad…recall NaTO expansion, and where that ultimately lead in Ukraine. Recall the many conflict the US has driven trying to influence the middle east. Furthermore, this China-US relations variable is the one variable that defuses the whole problem, yet Mearsheimer like so many American political analysts seem to take conflict with China as a given. . Yes, expanding NATO was a huge mistake, and yes Israel is causing all the problems there by refusing a two state solution and insisting on dominating Palestinians. But how is the USA automatically viewing China as an enemy not the biggest mistake of all?
china is totalitarian country. regime will export troubles to stay in power. you have example of ruzzia, invasion of Ukraine was stupid but purim regime had done it to stay in power and create putin's vision of the world
The problem is US has been trying really hard to contain China, but unsuccessful, one good example is huawei, the company was completely banned and shut out of US market by president Dumpty in 2019, guess what happens to huawei? they became one of the most powerful high tech companies in the world, they make their own advanced 7nm chips, their own software, they literally make everything without any US tech support. So containing China is a nice sweet dream of US elites, but it's just a dream.
He has addressed this elsewhere (not saying I agree): th-cam.com/video/YsFwKzYI5_4/w-d-xo.htmlsi=8tIKLYFrYF5ZikE7 His basic argument is that large powers are ruthless to become hegemons in their own region (like the US' Monroe Doctrine, or the Japanese Co-Prosperity Sphere) in order to prevent another hegemon from displacing them. And they usually frame their hegemony in terms of justice and civilization. For the US, it is "freedom and democracy." For Japan, it was "liberating the East from the West." China seems to be adopting a similar stance Japan did, but on a larger scale...liberating the whole non-West from the US unipolarity while also carving out its own hegemony. For Mearsheimer, powers are never able to sit down and peacefully transfer dominance from one to the next. The fact that there is near political consensus in the US on "China as threat" is proving his theory. Yes, they can appear to be on good terms (like the rhetoric from Janet Yellen about mutual benefits), but underneath is material competition that almost always results in conflict. He is not arguing that it should be so; he's just observing what is the case. The only counterexample that comes to mind is that Britain handed hegemony to the US peaceably, but that's because it was a 3-way contest (with Germany the third candidate), and I wouldn't exactly consider WWI and WWII to be a "peaceful" transition.
Yes. Also, wherever you live you will consume Chinese goods. Imagine all of this being taken away. Everything would be so much more expensive. We should appeciate all of what we get from China. And much more so we should appreciate what China is doing in terms of science. In medicine, biochemistry etc. China is becoming better by the hour and it is helping all of us in the end. The US is creating wars, manipulating public opinion worldwide, but it is enough. The US is creating chaos all around the globe and Europeans should understand that we have to get away from tacitly supporting US policy.
He didn't differentiate the 3 "great" powers. Economic power is different from military power. He mashed up hostile military power with constructive economic power. There is only 1 hostile great military power around the world creating chaos, destruction and wars.
Economical power is basis for military one not vice versa. Every rising power is destined for wars. If the China succeeds in avoiding this they gonna invent new school of realism:-)
What self serving claptrap. This is why most of the world doesn't care for the US. The Americans have bases in more than 100 countries and has been involved in half a dozen wars in the last 30 years. Welcome to the facts.
@@mjmf1430 The writings of two CCP (Chinese Communist Party) colonels in the late ‘90s covering unrestricted warfare/5th generation warfare should be sounding alarms. The CCP knows and has publicly admitted that they want to disrupt/destroy the USA, making it and the rest of the world subservient to them by all means. The problem is that they are aware it would be a suicidal attempt to take on the military in conventional warfare. This dilemma is what caused them to come up with the unrestricted warfare/5th generation warfare manifesto. They are intentionally, but by underhanded means, making themselves a threat to everyone in various forms. However, China is rapidly imploding because of the CCP making the communist party and businesses indistinguishable via the National Intelligence Law (2017), Data Security Law (2020), & Cryptology Laws (2020) that provide a legal foundation to advance goals of the “Made in China 2025” plan, Digital Silk Road, Military Civil Fusion efforts, the Belt & Road Initiative scam, etc. Foreign investment manufacturing giants such as Foxconn, Amazon, Apple, etc. have been pulling out of that country rapidly; Evergrande & other similar Real estate juggernauts are also in serious trouble. The BYD & other subsidized electric vehicle scams are finally being recognized and rejected for the horrendous scams that they are. The banking system is collapsing, denying many of the people to even withdraw funds from their “personal banking account,” which that phrase sadly a joke to begin with. In addition to prior circumstances mentioned, they are also dealing with unprecedented natural disasters amplified by man-made shoddy work & corruption (tofu-dreg projects.) Unfortunately some of the disasters could’ve been mitigated/prevented if the corrupt officials spent money on infrastructure it was designated for, instead of lining their pockets. The CCP has been lying about about population growth, the GDP, & made previous supply chains unreliable from lock down restrictions like zero C0VID policies (which have had a snowball effect.) Let us not forget the massive theft of intellectual property & their facade of innovation. “AI 5G expertise.” 😆 Lies are the most abundant natural resource for the CCP. Circumstances in communist China are looking dreadful, my sympathies go to the Chinese people. They could & should unite, take back their rich and beautiful culture, & overcome the oppressive Corrupt Communist Party. There are more of them than there are evil, oppressive party members.
This man is right on everything. I have watched his views on Russia, China, and US. Following is words on the US Monroe doctrine, every nation should keep to their border's. Period.
Interesting points, also it's a fact that America aligned itself with the Soviets (Russia) in WWI and WWII. Russia not only defeated Nazi Germany in the bitter winter, but they also defeated Napoleon's Army in that previous century. Also it's interesting that China and Russia are heavily involved in the continent of Africa. Like he said they are aligned as well as with BRICS. The global south is trying to distance itself from the West and the dollar.
I’m not sure that it was Russia that defeated Napoleon; it was the terrain and climate as well as a delayed tactical retreat that destroyed the bulk of his armies. The British and Prussians finished the job.
@@fieryfredthebeaconlighter2259 I will study more, thank you. But it was the same weather conditions in how they beat Nazi Germany. Russia loves to drag battles on within their territory. History repeats itself. Weather also helped Britain in the battle of Dunkirk.
In my opinion, the main reason Russia and Chine are distancing themselves because of the US foreign policies to dictate others what to do, how to live, how to trade and how rule their country. I grew up and got my education in Russia and always have known of Russians applying their foreign relations on the base of the mutual interest: it reads in Russian - Россия за последние 100 лет пыталась всегда налаживать отношения на основе добрососедских, взаимоправных, взаимовыходных соглашений со всеми странами мира. If you’re not into the Russian language much the automatic Google can easily translates it for you. Thanks
@@fieryfredthebeaconlighter2259Read about the Borodino Battle of 1812. Or read Leo Tolstoy’s War and Peace, you might learn more how the Russian army pushed the Napoleon army off Russia and almost to Paris…
@@fieryfredthebeaconlighter2259you seem to have missed the point. History teaches that Russia, for a variety of reasons, is prohibitively difficult to subjugate, economically and/or militarily. The U.S. has foolishly made the weakening of Russia a top policy priority, when the greater threat to its primacy is in Asia. And once again, Russia is proving how difficult it is to defeat.
I appreciate your partial understanding of global politics. However, you've totally disregarded the role of Sub-Sahara Africa. Russia and China seem to understand that Africans are humans and have been forcefully kept down in the state of undeveloped societies, whose only use is to provide raw materials for Western nations'industries; and intentionally kept forcefully underdeveloped by Western military as evidenced by their bases on the continent. The intention is to keep this region pseudo-enslaved for exploiting their resources. Russia and China understand the West's intentions about Africa fully well, and emphasize with us. The Chinese and Russians understand the West mentality of Africans is now coming to help Sub-Saharan Africa develop. Guinea, Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, Senegal and more to come can relate. The West will realize when it's late and the damage can no longer be reversed. Remember, the speech you're making now with no mention of the Sub-Sahara Africa role on the world stage. Sub Africans aren't stupid as you've concluded. Learn now or it'll be the hard way for Western racist. A hint to a wise person is sufficient. We're human too. You're not more human than us!!!
0:00 introduction 1:12 J.Mearsheimer's main thesis 2:40 unipolar to tripolar world 5:11 US's grand strategy 9:32 unpacking these points 10:03 ukraine background 14:04 where is it heading? 18:05 predictions 21:10 israel palestin war 31:04 the only hope is unrealisable 35:14 the principal threat to US 36:00 rules based order?
I take issue with Mr. Mearsheimer's statement that Israel and America are tied at the waist. Wrong ! It was Israel which tied itself to America for reasons all to clear. They get 4.8 billion "unconditionally" annually from the USA, they get as much state of the art weapons to defend ten equal sized countries. Yes there are real connections in New York's Jewish quarters. In the Miami Jewish quarters, and in many other Eastern States, but ask any American from the midwest, the Northern states, the border states and California and most people will say they are ambivalent on the issue. The jews in England made similar mannouver's in the nineteenth century by attaching themselves to the most influential prominent members of the upper classes, which assured them access and favors with respect to furthering their own status and agendas in the country. And it paid off handsomely for them when one of their members Chaim Weizmann courted every major figure in the governing English Conservative party including Lloyd George the sitting prime minister. Weizmann also went to America to get his idea for a homeland for the Jews across to president Wilson. As far back as Wilsons time Jews understood the value of attaching themselves to powerful political figures in both of the top nations in the world. How many Americans speak Hebrew ! very few. How many Americans speak English, Spanish, French etc. probably 96% of them. There are no twin states as he attempted to tell us. Just one very successful multicultural one, and another racist one.
I can see how disapointed was Mr Mearsheimer about the US inability to contain China, but don't understand for what reason Mr Mearsheimer believe that China is a big threat to American people. For many years since Korean war, have any americans were killed by Chinese? Actually, many people in the US have been gun-down by their own, and hope Mr Mearsheimer could have some of his time on how to resolve problems inside the US.
As far as Mearsheimer is concern, China is NOT white and West, does not abide nor follow Western ideology and thus far since the trade war between US & China, China has not given an inch and in fact grown and counter attacked US. As such being, a country that does not Bend to US / West rules is deemed a threat. End of day Mearsheimer is a true and through white/US supremacist, which he does not hide.
Have any countries been colonized in Chinese history? How many countries has G7 colonized in the past 100 years? If they explain China in their own way of thinking, then Mearsheimer's viewpoint is indeed valid. But Mearsheimer forgot the key factor, China is not an Anglo Saxon.
It is unfortunate that John Mearsheimer bears the lens of a typical descent of the Anglo-Saxon, which is historically and culturally warlike, heroism-guided, and zero sum game-inclined. Win-win is not a scenario he could phantom hence the keen idea of rivalling and containing China as an emerging power. Otherwise his analyses and speeches are largely insightful.
He means that in the context of great power politics. As China rises economically it will seek to translate that prosperity into military power and use that to dominate its region(Asia) the same way that the US dominates the Western hemisphere. Now, while this makes sense for a rising power to do( the British did it and then the US after them), to the US it will undermine their strategic interests especially in Asia and of course they want to remain number one. That is why they regard China as their greatest threat. It's not about justifiable reasons, merely balance of power politics.
China is belligerent and a nasty bully that reject international norms concerning the limit of a country's economic maritime zone. It's despicable and dangerous.
well pointed. This way of thinking he has is the main problem leading to all that troubles. when competitors and rivals treats like threats. effective sometimes indeed. But cruel and complicated if you want to be number one for a long time
@@wallacemeans7751 China shows NO signs of wanting to dominate other countries. And you show NO sign of understanding Chinese mentality, culture or history. China has always been anti-imperialist, because the Chinese regard China as the "middle kingdom". They already occupy the place they want to occupy. Other countries are for trade and they show every sign of being cooperative, not imperialist or hegemonic. Look at the facts, not through the lens of racist US imperialist and hegemonic ideology. China believe they are ALEADY number one and the idea of dominating other countries would UNDERMINE that sense of self-importance. Plus, the Chinese are basically respectful of other cultures, whereas white people are, in general, contemptuous of them (the Anglosphere is fundamentally white supremacist).
Israel has accepted a two state solution since 1948. It's been offered to the Palestinians several times since. They repeatedly reject it in favour of jihad. Israel ain't the problem.
Cut off hundreds of billions in Israel aid and support to see if they will listen! Israel is like a teenager all grown up but still depends on the parent’s for support. Israel NEVER supported a two state solution. Look at what Israel did to Palestinian…open air prison, occupation, apartheid and now genocide. Israel continue to build settlements in Palestinian land. Israel build thousands of security checkpoints.
The American unipolar moment: There's was no China threat, there's was no Russia threat, there's only the US threat and no competition, and the Australians were happy.
@@pausereflect5911 it reflects the American mentality perfectly. A victim mentality. It's like a syndrome of persecution. which is some irony since noone persecutes the USA but the USA persecutes a lot of nations down the road. It's saying, if you don't do my bidding, I feel threatened. so You are a threat and must be taken down. Very harrowing view of the world. But it makes sense since USA was built over fear, violence and land theft. They are fearing that their experience could be done to them. It's in the DNA.
I have to disagree and say that the US is the greatest threat to the US. No amount of pivoting is going to help.
Brilliant.
Amen to that!
Not only to US, but to all humanity. And the world sees it now, so no going back.
Absolutely, because politicians in America seem to be on sale to any other government that's willing to pay the price.
May be you are delusional or hallucinating
The best starting point for US is to stay home and focus on your own internal troubles. So many. Instead of blaming China, Russia and everyone else for her own ills. This way American politicians can truly work for the American people and help lift the quality of life for the average Americans. Instead of messing up the world.
What do expect from the devil
@@donsong9958 islam = the shaytain
The problem is they can sustain their level of consumption only through their military and financial dominance. In other words by exploiting the rest of the world.
agree100%
US have no choise, they must to defend a dollar and their colonialism
I have watched many interviews with him. He always says China is the biggest threat, but never explains why. For the past 30 years China has been very helpful economically, providing cheap goods to the US, and not threatening war. They only became an enemy when their economy started to rivel the US.
The US has gotten away with numerous global atrocities since the end of the Cold War and faced no real consequences from any other country, because it was the most powerful. If/when China surpasses it militarily and economically, the US will lose it’s privilege. Other countries will turn to China to help deal with US incursions. The US must do everything it can to keep its status or it will be forced to actually face consequences for its actions across the globe. That’s why China is a threat
Threatening the economical hegemony of USA is already a threat by itself, doesn't have to be militarily or soft power either. If the EU was capable of doing it (it's what Trump thought, that's why he implemented those tariffs back in the days) USA would deem EU as a threat just like it does with China. Ofc EU does not have that kind of capability (or even ambition).
If US wants China to be its enemy, it will be. Think about who is threatening the world peace.
You are wrong. Chiina paid this guy to lie!
@@KhalimdorrBingo! Any challenge to hegemony (hard or soft power) is de facto a threat.
Now the world really understands what America's freedom and democracy is all about.
My friend, those of us Americans who are truly informed know that "democracy" here illusory; it's a place where special interest groups and billionaires control the agenda via a quid pro quo. This quid pro quo works when THE 1% group dump hundreds of millions of dollars into the campaigns (via Super PACS) of the political duopoly they control. In return, they get legislation and policies enacted in their favor.
Moving on in regards to Israel: I predict that in approx thirty years or so the USA will no longer support them financially or with diplomatic cover. Why do I say that? Because Pew Research data shows that every decade more Americans are dumping Christianity in favor of secularism across the board. *Currently, the data shows that approx 62% identify as Christian -- down about thirty percent from it's highest point in the mid 1970s.* Additionally, the data shows that two demographics (Gen Z. and Millennials) are the least likely to support Israel, are more likely to support the Palestinian cause, currently abhor our present policies and biases towards Israel, and they will be the most politically engaged IN THE VOTING PROCESS thirty yrs. from today.
This rift will only grow with subsequent generations. Accordingly, secularism grows (as the data also shows that) WITH EACH GENERATION. With each generation, 31% of Christians become RELIGIOUSLY UNAFFILIATED BEFORE THEY TURN 30 yrs. old. Christians (the biggest supporters of Israel today) are the ones who support the politicians that TODAY pay any lip service in support of that aforementioned nation. *In thirty years, Christians in the USA will make up MUCH LESS THAN HALF the population (and no longer the majority religion), and most of them by then will be only Christians in name (as a form of social identity) ; but not in function (i.e supporting Israel, attending Sunday Service, etc.). In sum, the supporters of the status quo here and abroad are in for rude awakening and a serious wave of retribution in the future. Cheers.
America's democracy are double standard and false.
I will always remember what Angelina Jolie said when she comforted the refugees in Mosul: They got nothing but they are free. This is American democracy. Although you have lost your home, family, and even your life, you are enjoying democracy and freedom.
@@kenl4816😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😅😅😅😅😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😅😅😅😅
America's freedom and democracy is greater israel?
mr. mearsheimer, be honest. australia does not have a vested interest in containing china. the US has a vested interest in having australia as a pawn in its containment of China.
lol how naive. Ask Tibet, India, Vietnam, Korea and Japan their experience over the past 1000 years what an unchecked great power China does to any nation within its sphere of influence. Australia with its natural resources and limited actual military capability and small population has a bullseye painted on it from China’s perspective.
It doesn't matter what Australia wants. The US has an important say in Australia's international policy.
Yes, Uncle Sam's shitty foreign policy.
@@jklee5419 lol none of you are aware of whats going on...
@@donhue4546enlighten us, Please .
As he just said, the people in Gaza were living in the world's biggest prison for years and the US just look away doing nothing while making a big fuss about the unsubstantiated Uyghurs problems in Xinjiang.
absolutley, massive and continuous crimes against humanity.
Agree. And Americans always talk about human rights. They accused china committing genocide against xinjiang while they doing it in Gaza. They talked about Ukraine has the right to defend but not for Gaza. Total Americans bu**shit. Double standard
Do some head count of people murdered in Russia and China during XX century and try do have this conversation in any of those countries today.
Small difference: The Uyghurs in China are not sworn to China's destruction. Israeli and Egypt enforce the blockade on Gaza because Hamas is a hostile entity. By contrast, China imprisons the Uygurs out of pure racist ideology.
Double standard hypocrisy
I have a hard time continuing supporting US foreign policy in good faith and without being cynical. Just look at their position on Palestine and Israel. It is clear that the international rules don’t apply to the US and its allies 😔
See Iraq, Afghanistan, Libia and so many more foreign policy blunders 🤦🏻♂️
The global south is taking note.
agree
They have something called "rule based orders". 😂😂
Don't forget all the destruction of South American countries the CIA has consistently being carrying out.
@@andrewlim7751 a Course of "self destruction " it would seem..⁉️🤔🤦♂️
The rule is whatever policy is most beneficial to the maintenance of the status quo at any given time xD
It's not so much rules as it is a guideline, really.
There are no real rules or real friends, just real and permanent interests
I found it difficult to understand why they call others threat when they are growing their economies
The country that threatens every country and constantly starts wars around the world calls others a threat…
They are a threat. Americans are wrapped up in identity politics to a crippling degree. China's rising economy is a threat to reality as they perceive it, because America being the best at everything is seen as a fact of nature. If China surpasses the US, then their lives are a lie, and they just can't accept that.
Exactly.
Simple. If any other country has as strong economy as USA has, it can challenge the monopoly. If the policies of USA is based on justice and fairness, then they don't have to worry about it. But the USA knows that in a world where other countries can standup against the world police, it will not do the things, mostly illegal, anymore.
Invading other countries on a whim, looting oil money, printing paper money out of proportion of the gold reserved, having more debt than the gdp (thinking that nobody can force use to repay it).
They're proving that socialism works.
As I am not a US citizen, I am sarcastically smiling when hearing all this anxiety of losing the privilege of being the only superpower. Stay calm and like the British did in the past, admit the bitter reality and adapt to the new situation without much drama.
The Brits still flirt with their self-image as an imperial power that meddles in conflicts far away.
I am an American, I can guarantee you that there is no way we are going to do that. Sorry
@@memeticistyou will learn the hard way
@@J_a_s_o_n Unfortunately, on our way down there is a good chance we take the world with us. Extinction is the death of birth and the cessation of learning as well.
A reduction in the ability of The USA to borrow money, is the most likely cause of future world peace. U.S. military spending will be necessarily reduced. Therefore, U.S. military dominance will continue to fade. Real negotiations will become important. It may be a rocky road to get there, but everything will be great eventually. The U.S. will be much better off, too, other than for a handful of power-hungry warmongering psychopaths.
The US shouldn't pivot anywhere except back towards its own house. It's time we seriously minded our own business.
usa will be doomed
if our ancestors were as gutless we would all be speaking german.
biden and us politics will lead usa to 3 world war....and that war you americans will be looked like evil...why? cause in last 50 years you started mostly all wars....better to get rid of your now governmant
@@Herc4ever yet the US shouldn't be another empire in disguise, undercover fourth reich. But I guess that is the nature of man, they will be enslaved by another or themselves
Well there were plenty of Nazis taken in by America after WW2.
China has been a great benefit to Australia, he doesn't mention that. The reason Australia hasn't had a recession for so long is due to their rapidly growing neighbor who has done nothing to harm Australians
well, they have cut most trade of late and if no US would already have invaded oz and all of asia
China would have invaded all of Asia? Where do you get this nonsense from?
@@lauchlanguddy1004 Pl tell me：How many wars has China been involved in over the past 30 years?
If you dream that China already have invaded oz and all of asia, I just want to say: hope you will live in that dream forever.
@@lauchlanguddy1004Trades is between consenting parties. Look specifically at the times when certain trades of goods between US and China, compare that with China and Australia of those goods, you got it?
and never will unless we provoke china on a countries behafe , China has Never attacked any country in history!!!
The core of the problem is the “ rule based “ order, designed by the US that they are exempt from it whilst demanding the rest of the world follow it. Similarly, as China grows in every metric, the US considers its growth as an increase to the direct threat to US hegemony. While China’s increase in influence comes from the result of its economic growth, the initiatives of the US and Allies, through their attempts to stifle its growth has resulted in China increase of growth in the Technological area as well, so much so that China’s contribution exceeds those of the US in every matrix that matters. In the main, the debauchery of the US rule based order, by the US, like militarising of the US dollar, applying sanctions Willy Nellie to anyone has alienated the rest of the world except the Anglo Saxon world and Europe, resulting in an increasing number of countries to be major trading partners of China. Concurrently, because of its clear rise in influence, China has become increasingly assertive and the US is doing everything to frustrate China’s challenge to the “ rule based “ order. The 2 major conflict areas have been
caused by the expansion of NATO to the doorstep of Russia, resulting in the Ukraine War and
the support of Israel despite her continuing expansion into Palestinian land. JM is no doubts an US patriot and ignores to mention breaches of US to morality and the hypocrisy of the US to
portray the “ rule based “ order as if it is based for Justice to all. As an academic, JM may be more influential had he exposed that the US is only democratic by assertion, not by fact, because it is more akin to a kleptocracy, when less than 2% of the population owns 80% of the wealth of the country and the bottom half of the population has 1% . To make “America Great
Again starts from looking after All of its population, which means reverting America from a Make Belief Democracy to a Genuine One.
Your point of view is well analyzed and insightful. It shines a light on a different dimension of JM's thesis. Thank you.
Bravo ✋ high five . So incredibly on point, this statement.
Good luck our system is stuck in power vacum mode. And the gap only grows.
loved this response, do you have a twitter or instagram you post on?
You completely missed the rising military power of China, and that's a big factor of influence. As to the dollar, it's not the US who "weaponised" it, the position of dollar in the global economy just a reflection of stability of the US economy, nothing forces people of developing countries to invest their local currency in dollars so much as instability of their own currency.
The Russo-Ukrainian war did not break out in 2022. It started in 2014. In 2022 it escalated greatly.
You need to listen to other John Mearsheimer lectures to understand he does not consider the Ukraine war unjustified and fully agrees with Putin's excuse of NATO expansionism... That the small countries that border Russia don't matter and have no rights and should comply with the wishes of their "polar" neighbors, in this case Russia.
Absolutely right. It was a huge mistake Obama and his adm made; they were suckers … and I was, and am, a fan of Obama. But, they read it all wrong or just didn’t want to be in a war, the one we are fighting now.
Russia attacked Ukraine in 2022. You can cope and try to change what happened but Russia lost already. Theres no way Russia can win. Using T55s and WW2 trucks is what #2 army in the world.
Remind me. Who invaded who in 2022?
@@AcidBombYTtheres no cope. They've been in the donbass region and annexed crimea in 2014. If you were paying attention to geopolitics before it became "stand for ukraine" with a Ukrainian flag in your social media bio you would know that. He just stated facts and didnt pick a side. Educate yourself.
Saying China is a threat is like a school bully claiming that the new friendly kid’s growing popularity is a threat.
Wow, so dictatorship is the new trend? Good luck with that.
Except it’s not. China represents an unquestionable threat on a number of levels. Principally U.S. hegemony, US / Western economic interests, and ultimately the rules based order. There is no narrative that sees China as a benign force in its ascendancy. There is however a much wider debate about whether China ever will or could reach a point where it can realise its ambitions.
@@handcrafted30 "rules based order" is a LIE. There is no rules based order. There's a rules based SYSTEM, the UN. but it is not working. However There's a Western hegemony based ORDER. Because the order is not based on rules, since the West does not follow these rules themselves. It is based on POWER. The West bombed Libyan civilians. The West throwing Syria into civil war. The West invading Iraq, the West sanctioning Venezuela against human rights reports published by the UN office for Human rights. China is not threatening Western economic interests. Unless you see any competition as inhrently threatening. Then the USA is threatening European interests. What is good the goose is good for the gander. So no. China is not some sort of new USA.
Absolutely agree with you
@@handcrafted30143 countries do not agree with you and have a Huuuge BRI 10 years anniversary in China 2 weeks ago. Guess who is not invited? The bullies.
Trouble with the US is that their solution to everything is almost always some form of violence or threat.
Because the US is a colonial-settler nation, much like Australia, Canada, and Israel.
@@paulheydarian1281much like every nation when they become powerful
@@paulheydarian1281Israel is not because they have ancestral,historical,archeological,religious connection to the land. Unlike Australia or USA.. 😊
This is the result of sheer ARROGANCE that they think they are indespensable and a chosen race which are all delusional BS
@@טלאדם
No Israel is a colonial state, just read the letters of Theodor Herzl the founder of Zionism, he explicitly says that he is trying to colonize Palestine.
Look for Peace not for War in this short life!
No more Enemy, We are Friend and as a human beings!
The only thing that he is wrong about is that Australia's recent economic growth in the past few decades is mainly due to its reliance on China's economic rise. Additionally, American ideologies that create imaginary enemies prevent them from focusing on their internal problems.
What is your take then about the economy of Australia?
Lol, when I first went to Australia there were no lights or paved road from the Brisbane airport to the city. Then the mining boom happened. Tell me, where did the boom come from? Brainwashed racists will never credit the right people because they are brainwashed racists. They will INSIST they are not brainwashed racists though😂😂😂
Well, China's is now most of the world largest trading partner. The only thing wrong with that is the perception that there's something wrong with that.
American is not ideologies, it lie to have better profit .
History is repeating...
😂 During the 70's 80's ..
U$A to EU : We should not invest in China, the system is bad and needs to be punished.
EU : OK , agree
But after that, it was U$A companies that flooded into China to make huge profits, the EU so dxmb.🤣
Australia has to keep distance from the US Warmongers as much as possible !
How funny the US always treats some other as the threats. They never try to solve their own problems and always blame others. 😂😂
thats how global politics work, if you don't secure your place on top some other power will come, take it and dominate. there's no "let's be friends and share the no. one spot"
When all you have is a hammer everything is a nail.
Look how quick the Chinese made the "impossible" by restoring diplomatic relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
That’s what their ideology is - this is also why they jerk off so hard to Marvel superhero movies and the idea of good vs evil, because they are not interested in reality, they are interested in THINKING they are always the good guy. Yet ask them what they think when they are a bit upset at their government and suddenly it’s as if listening them talk about Hitler himself.
Funny realities, China is now the biggest buyer of Middle East oil and natural gas. Its appetite can even cover both Russia and the Middle East. Iran has signed the 25-year Cooperation Program with China for 400 million foreign direct investment. I guess the US weapon has less power than China's money at this time 🤣😂😂😂@@BalloonInTheBalloon
@@kxttd6870but isn’t their economy contracting, as well as facing an epidemic with their birth rate ??
None of my educated friends are happy that Australia has lost it's Sovereignty to the US.
As an Australian I agree
You are not alone. EU is in the same position.
we should push for republic of australia. that is why i always vote for citizen party.
As a Muslim, whether you agree or not, I support a West with Christian values. One downside of the EU and "Commonwealth" becoming American "allies" is us taking their secular liberal culture
Only idiots would believe that Australia will be invaded by China. Logistics aside, they can't.
The saddest, most tragic in Gaza Israel war. Ahmad Shabat 4yr old tragedy. Survived two Israeli strikes, lost his parents, in 2nd lost both his legs. Deeply powerfully sorrowful. Ahmad Shabat , my 💜 💜 💜 and my mind with you
Honestly, many of us worldwide are tired of US “leadership” and all the wars and bullshit.
Watching from Somalia.
that's weird, that's character by character the same message as other comments. Almost like...it's autogenerated.
@@JanVansteenlandt cope bot
I'm Russian, and this guy speaker makes me seek.
People in Ukraine certainly do not think so. Those who tired are murderous regimes in Russia, North Korea and Iran
@@JanVansteenlandt Freedom credits+5, now you are free from prison rape for the next 3 days and ask Sleepy Joe for your next instant ramen meal please😅
The Chinese and for that matter, have every right yo progress through its own effort and works. Problem is usa n west cannot tolerate this as its hegemony is threatened.
totally agree,, same thing in Africa
Exactly! Spot On!
TRUE!
true but also the west values of freedom, liberalism and democracy
@@neilosman4440 >"west values of freedom, liberalism and democracy"
Don't you know the west has exploited the people and resources of Africa, Asia, South America and the Middle East for decades and centuries?
Why must the US "contain" anyone? What gives them the right?
He's not speaking normatively. He's saying "if the U.S. wants to maintain their level of power, this is what they have to do," not "this is what the U.S. should do, from a moral perspective"
Don't be fooled.
John Mearsheimer is nothing more than a egoistic white hypocrite.
What he is always saying is that Uass and the other whites are no doing it right to dorminate.
He never said that Uass and whites is wrong to dorminate.
He is just a another delusional white "supremacist "
Логика развития капитализма заставляет их делать это.
In order to be always on the top and talk you down and remain hegemonic, that's what it's all about.
"Rules based order"
You can eliminate your enemies by making them your friends.
Can you also explain why is USA in Syria grabbing Syrians oil despite the country opposing to it. Thanks Professor
*Kurdish oil.
✡
A THIEF THAT'S WHY IT INVADED ARAB COUNTRIES FROM THE BEGINNING BUT NOW I S IS COMING TO AN END & will be REPLACED BY MUSLIMS TO RULE THE WORLD WITH JUSTICE AFTER IT WAS FILLED IT WITH INJUSTICES 👉 U S IS LUCEFERIAN 👿👹😈🤮🤮🤮🤮
Now, can you imagine Syria sends it's troops to, say, Texas to "protect" oil fields over there?! No?! Why not?!
@@cska2001 Russia has a contract to suck the oil out of the ground in Syria. Were you aware of that? Were you aware of Russia attacking US forces in Syria(without success)?
May I humbly ask why anyone think that the Rules based order which only benefit the US is righteous ?
Why would the Chinese people coming out of poverty be a threat to the Western people, especially people in the United State ? Are we an inferior race who only deserve an inferior way of life, and the planetary resources are only for the Anglo Saxons and the Chosen Nation ? When one saw Chinese on cruise ships cruising worldwide, he becomes paranoid and humiliated ?
The US waged wars all over the world in almost all the years of its existence while China bought huge sums of the US debts, replenished their arsenal ; and all of a sudden it becomes the biggest enemy !
Why someone must dominate the world ? Couldn’t human live peacefully together and share the fruits of technological advances ?
SO WELL SAID !!
Americans lack the intelligence to cooperate. They think only in terms of domination and destruction.
The authoritarian government may have something to do about it, but you can keep crying reeecism, communist propagandist
The U.S. & this Mearsheimer guy make no sense to me at all about the biggest threat to the U.S. is China! China seems to be pretty peace loving & all China wants to do is trade, run businesses & make money, improve its own nation & people & help other nations in need at the same time Win-Win. Whereas U.S. just wants zero sun game & remain world hegemon. US can pivot to China all it wants, China does not seem to want to hurt any nations, but trade with them & co-exist peacefully. US needs to stop thinking in terms of control, contain & run the world, it is not the boss of our planet!!
I agree - why do they keep using the word "threat" anyway? No one is going to attack the US, and if China becomes more prosperous, the US does too, since China is its biggest trading partner.
As an Australian the majority of the world and humanity is not on our side, we need to think and ask are we the baddies in this world?
As an Australian, I would say we aren't the baddies yet but we are getting close to being one after abstaining from voting for a humanitarian pause on the war on Gaza. The baddies are the 14 countries who voted against the UN resolution A/ES-10/L.25 titled "Protection of civilians and upholding legal and humanitarian obligations" on Israel's war on Gaza/Palestine.
Most of the rest of the world (121 countries) voted for the resolution, 14 voted against and 44 abstained.
In a way, Australia became a collaborator in the genocide of Palestinians by the Israelis. All recorded in UN documents and videos. Unlike the uighur genocide the west like to spin about.
The "baddies" are the psychopathic oligarchs, not peoples or nations
@@civicblade1 An abstention at the UN is the "No" vote of a mollusc - spineless. Even New Zealand's right wing government and France voted "Yes". Albo and Wong simply followed instructions from WH.
That is if you count nations, it becomes a whole lot worse when you count population!
As was said by a famous American of America "we still have the barbaric values of savages from 200 years ago".
I’m impressed by so much truth and clarity 🫡🙏
America must learn how to understand the true meaning of the civilised nation.Just stop sanctions, conflicts, invasion and supporting genocide.Only then you understand humanity that will lead you to understand the true meaning of civilize nation.
Oscar wilde said:" America is the only country on this earth that transitioned from barbarism to decadence without civilization in between " and he was absolutely right.
@@DK-ev9dg ha ha ha
America must PAY, first of all. It will.
And which Arab Shakespeare should we be looking for? Aristotle, Socrates, Cicero? These were all part of US civilization, which built the country everyone is fighting to get into. Not even Muslims want to live in Saudi Arabia. I happen to also want the US out of all other countries and I want all foreign cultures out of the US. I want US troops to stop defending Arab countries and sending Palestine our $$$. If foreigners are so smart, civilized, and independent, give US back our money and our troops. But, if you read the book, Siege of Mecca, you will understand that the Saudi royals are afraid of their own people and need US to prop them up.
@@bdjoliat Aristotle, Socrates and Cicero were part if US civilization? Haha ha ha ha. USA never had a civilization. You are cocky American.
Unfortunately, the United States always thinks of its misfortune only to others and never finds the problem in itself.
the state is a search for external enemies always.
It's not imaginary enemies that USA thinks of. They actually do exist if you understand Chinese then the CCP said clearly for 40 years they want to replace USA. 韬光养晦
They want to rule the world with Chinese style of Marxism.
They know but they need to vote
Blaming others is easier than fixing own problems!
@@zzx2879n
I agree with most of what John Mearsheimer says, other than his stance on China. China and the East's strength is on an upward trajectory, while America and the rest of the West is on a downward trajectory. He sees China as the great threat. I see China as the great hope. My concern is that as Thucydides' Trap closes America will burn down the world rather than relinquish control to the East. My hope is that the tide has already turned and America's strength is already spent before Armageddon happens.
China the great hope?? 🤣🤣🤣 China is that looming threat which is being suspended right only because of US dominance. Once the US falls, Imperialist will go for South China Sea, Indian territory, Japanese, Neplese, Bhutnese, Taiwan and God knows what else is other in the Chinese mind. Freedom of Tibet, East Turkistan and South Mongolia awaits. China policy of not intervening in Human right issues based on the label of internal matter will add more to isolated am authorinian world world. Of course US and allies were no saint but being Asian I choose US over China anyday.
I agree completely with your assessment.
China is the great hope? Too funny. You must be Chinese because no other people within China’s sphere of influence feels that way. They know from direct historical experience what China is like as a regional hegemon.
Its not the american who stand on the right side of history, its obviously american just swimming against the tide of history. 😂😂
Give them some credit, they’ve been the big boys of global politics for a hundred years by now and managed to avoid killing us all so far.
I wanna hear how we can all get along without war/aggression and all walk away with peace and added value to the world....
I always say if man put there problems aside we would then be able to reach the stars.
I asked myself the same,
There has never before in history been a period of time where nation-states were not in major conflict. Not a single time. It always amazes me, how people think if America goes away, all of their problems will suddenly come to an end or even get better.
@@skdjfsldkjs they won't come to an end, but it will be their own problems of their own fruition. America always has an agenda.
@@incognito96 I don't see how having problems of their own fruition that kill millions of people is better than having relative global peace, outside of the Middle East which is always at war, and Russia which seems to be a new development. Before the "liberal hegemony" Mearsheimer complains about, from 1914 to 1945, wars like in Gaza happened across the globe, every year.
Very straightforward: ‘rule based order in our interests’ = we make rules for others which don’t apply to us
👍👍👍
The word "rules based order" is a LIE. There's no "rules based" order. There is a rules based system, the UN, which is failing Palestinians as the West does not apply those rules, or selectively. And there is a Western power hegemony ORDER. Which of course is not happy with other countries' economic success. So it's mean girls club trying to bully the new cool guy in town.
The rules are not bad. Problem is, that some think they do'nt need to obey them.
@@inspectator9384all for thee none for yeee
Hi Ching Lao Zhou!
Australia need to intensify efforts to free one of its own, Julian Assange.
terrorist have more support than him,
Australia is not a really independent, sovereign country to be able to defy American interests.
Australia has grown into adulthood as a nation. Sadly it still sucks its thumb, and would wet the bed if it had to act like an adult.
Very well said
Australia is a Vassal !
No China threat, No Soviet threat - just US threat.... nice picture of perfect world
the soviet was done when it first started as it became a fascist state under stalline...now under Putin its a US in 20 years from now with Olygarch directly sitting on presidency seats taking their money from their private ''venture''.
would not have gotten better with Putin as a so called ally.
we messed up with Russia when the wall came down and tried to steal it for the western olygarch.
every world = a fake ideology aka a mental -personal- projection. [we are born with a heart on earth.]
Mearsheimer is another neo-liberal hack. He still thinks that the US can stop China.
You clearly didn't understand a single word.
@@rotierender_lurchYou are clearly brainwashed.
This man made everything clear on what's going on in the world for me
Thank you for engaging with our content.
The "rules based order" contains rules against the committing of war crimes against civilian populations. There seems to be a double standard now being applied in Gaza. Putin has been labeled a war criminal due to the collateral damage against the civilian population in Ukraine. Everyone was in agreement with that assessment up until Israel started their scorched earth carpet bombing campaign against the civilian population in Gaza. We've listened to all kinds of West based excuses as to why this wholesale slaughter of civilians in Gaza doesn't count or matter, how it doesn't qualify as a war crime. But what Israel has done to the civilians living in Gaza, even blocking and bombing their escape routes, cutting off food, water and medicine for three weeks now, looks a hundred times worse than what's happening in Ukraine. If seven thousand trapped civilians in Gaza being intentionally slaughtered in three weeks of carpet bombing isn't a war crime according to "rules based order", than a double standard is definitely being applied when Putin is labeled a war criminal for causing the death of civilians in Ukraine. At least the Ukrainian have been provided corridors of escape completely denied to the Palestinian civilians. And the exterminations taking place in Gaza look like a racist genocide given that the Palestinians are primarily of Indiginous heritage compared to the Israelis and their American sponsors. I'm sorry but the Western slanted propaganda around this issue is obvious and preposterous.
Apartheid at it's best.
I think his point is that the rules based order, previously integral to western thought, is breaking down. When this happens the west is left with one thing it can use to maintain its interests, brute power.
As the west starts to resort to this the ideals and "niceties" it might have once used to justify it will go out the window. At that point referring to what's fair, or allowed under international law or reasonable when you reflect on the grievances of an enemy is of little or no concern. The west will just get on with defending its own interests without the pretence of operating under a rules based system.
It is worth debating what has caused the decline of a standard once prevalent in the west ("progressivism" has caused it) but it would be pretty academic when the process really kicks in
you said everything 💥
With regards to international law and UN charters you nailed it, double standards wherever you listen to powerful corporate media.
My antithesis regarding Russian
military actions in Ukraine has always been trying to avoid civilian casualties if possible- hard to achieve when your counterpart takes position in
urban areas … since Russia controls the air zone, how come there never has been a carpet bombing of Ukrainian cities?
Now Russia controls the Russian speaking areas in the East and secured their Naval base in Crimea - evidently their goal from the beginning of their attack. This is geopolitical strategy - not caring for international law is no more a monopoly of the USA.
Since 1945 this is the first enemy of the USA that is capable militarily to withstand.
No wonder the USA is dismayed and does not want to accept this, times are changing.
The goal to integrate Ukraine into NATO has failed, no Western missiles will be placed on Russian borders and the further expansion of NATO has ended. Regarding this fact, the West has lost the war even if the fighting goes on.
Which is why the entire world shuns US.
In my estimation, uncle Sam should have focused on infrastructure and the prosperity of the American people rather than constantly bullying and sanctioning the world to maintain it's hegemony. The US government uses everyone and is no friends of anyone.
When you don't have real money but mostly paper money to rebuild infrastructure, you go steal some( natural resources and land) putting a trillion dollar a year military to use.
Whoa whoa whoa, cool it with the anti-semitism
@@ottoginafiel5468 where was the antisemitism?
The US doesn't focus on domestic infrastructure because that's not the donor base, the vested interest group.
Look at all the Israelis in US politics, they have additionally captured the political system.
The ONLY way to reset the US political system is by the physical force of its citizens. The vested interest groups have bought US congress politicians so nothing is going to change. It's the uniparty.
@@mikec5603Exactly!!!!
That was a very interesting presentation Prof. Mearsheimer. I am just an ordinary man but the fact that I was born in Jaffa/Palestine in 1938 and left Palestine when I was around 10 with my parents and siblings of 7 to Lebanon in 1948 then to Syria. As an adult I went to Kuwait, to Cyprus during the Kuwaiti war , then I went to Dubai before ending up in Canada. Now I am a senior of 85 and do wish and hope that the Palestinians see and enjoy freedom in their own Country. and be treated as a human being with some fairness.. Palestinians are peaceful by nature if not stirred .
Spoken from the heart! Agree with you and wish you to see this in your Lifetime!
They might have been in your youth and when you lived there. It seems they have a different culture now.
tell us about the many peace treaties that Palestinians signed.
Thank you for your humanity. You said the truth.
@user-rj7db3yo6l The ones that didn’t include give up all your land and worship and holy places and no military for you as nation and many other dehumanizing treaties that Israeli right wing fanatics proposed…but they did sign the Oslo agreement then the fanatics plus the American military industrial complex assassinated Rabin then Arafat and now they are literally driving Israel down a cliff. Yet you seem to be approving of the apartheid regime, kudos to you…99% of the world say no to that.
An excellent presentation by Prof. Mearsheimer though I would've liked to have heard some mention of the qualitative superiority of Russian military ISR capability & doctrine in the Ukraine conflict. The Russians were outnumbered 3 to 1 for at least the first 12 months of this conflict, and despite those odds succeeded in attriting the Ukrainians at a drastic casualty ratio, and capturing major military objectives like Mariupol and Severodonetsk. Russian hardware like the Lancet seems to have outperformed any Western counterpart, and it seems that the nature of warfare has been permanently shifted and that Western 'combined arms doctrine' has been invalidated by new technologies.
Russian military under General Shoigu has seen much training and modernization. This peak during the training of 300,000 men in Russia. Moving 300,000 men in formations was a huge endeavour, but it was a clear sign of how serious their training has become.
One cannot depends on training men on the frontline, since that causes too much casualty. As I see it, Russian army's effectiveness could be 7x more than Ukrainians, even with all the NATO support. (My biased mind said 10x more)
Here what I say. It is not weather or tech, which is and was winning. It wasn't weather that won against Napoleon, Hitler, and many others, tried to conquer Russia. It is russian steel balls, hardened in a harsh surviving environment. Russians didn't want to fight ukrainians, just get rid of puppet govt. That's why you haven't seen carpet bmbing like in Iraque. Ukrainians are brothers to russians. I see it like small sister being brainwashed and used by old perv, promised her good life but instead just kept on using that poor soul. Leave her alone, Sam, let her live. She suffered, bled too much under your control already. And thinking that russians will crumble under your predicted sanctions was your grave mistake. Now pray for Putin to stay in power as Russia today looks like angrily concentrating bee hive.
Your figure is very interesting, it's a pity it's not clear from where. The Russian army entered Ukraine in 150-200 thousand people + 50 thousand LDPR troops (Donetsk and Luhansk regions). That is, in total, a group of 200 thousand people.
Ukraine had 200 thousand people at that time.
Russia did not plan to fight in such a format as it is happening now, or rather it was plan B if plan A did not work. Russia wanted to do as it was between the USSR and Czechoslovakia (the operation was successful), as it was in Chechnya (the operation was a failure and the war dragged on, but initially the tactics were the same, the tanks went even without combat kits), as it was in Georgia (the operation was successful, the war was avoided). But in Ukraine, as in Chechnya... The tanks entered, the government was not afraid and the war began. The war in Chechnya lasted from 1994 to 2009 in one form or another. The war with Ukraine will also drag on for many years. This is a normal situation, we have a lot of experience in such wars.
@@gaara13756 Ukraine will not have enough of such battles for many years.
If the nature of the war becomes insurgent rather than a combined arms positional one, then it will be a low-intensity conflict and it could last a long time, especially in western Ukraine.
But in the carnage that is happening there now, I am not sure that Ukraine will withstand even a year.
If you want to hear more about the superority of russian military, look at Scott Ritter or Col.Mc.Douglas.
I’m Australian and seriously planning my escape unfortunately.
I love Australia but not the way they are heading,not doing justice to its population just in bed with the US.
We have the resources to stand alone but again greed takes precedence,what about the Aussie’s, we don’t need American control
Imperialists always stick together.
Coming to NZ? NZ is fairly diplomatic and measured on this issue, making us one the most neutral countries in the world. We are too small to take sides and are not hated. In addition we are fairly insignificant on the world stage. I was really happy about us not being on the map. If there is a full on war, I predict we will outlive everyone by a couple of months until the nuclear fall out gets to us. Shame about the house prices and laundering in real estate as the housing issue really sucks.
If Australia gets invaded by China, who are you going to come crawling to for help????
Totally agree
The great PM Gough Whitlam stood up for Oz sovereignty against the yanks and we all know what happened afterwards.
When John says china is our biggest threat it should be pointed out that they're a global economic threat not a military threat. China doesn't have troops and naval bases around the world like the US does. U.S. and Australian citizens don't have to worry about Chinese troops landing in their countries.
Many countries around the world do have to worry about U.S. troops landing in their countries.
In this talk John doesn't even mention that.
Well China is a threat in so far as the semi conductor issue in Taiwan plays a role if Xi decides to invade.
Other than that - they are a major subversive power in countries like Australia , NZ , Canada , US , UK , Germany , Italy , probably France too - they infiltrate thanks to our Western politicians suicidal open borders policy , the number of Chinese students in the West it insane , the number of Know-How technology theft is astronomical.
They even hire retired British fighter jet pilots to train the Chinese air force.
All over the West they have covert Chinese police stations spying and intimidating and abducting expat nationals publicly critizing Xi/the regime.
And some people might say they even bribe the son of the current most powerful man of earth...
So, in conclusion (and I haven't even mentioned their shipping fleet of illegal fishing boats , overfishing and extincting fish and marine life all over the world - even around the Galapagos islands , or illegally dumping tons of toxic waste in the oceans , the Belt & Road debt trap thing , disappearing citizens , even billionaires , total surveillance , total censorship , their concentration camps , their handling of the big C , or countless other examples of their shenanigans) - China can never be an ally like this.
@@KB-kw3kp bro you have been brainwashed so badly that you can't tell up from down in your reality. How you be so dumb to follow western media when they don't give jackass about you.
@@KB-kw3kp you sure bro? HAHAHAHAHA😂😂😂
@@KB-kw3kp we all know who is behind the China-Philippines's conflict 😊
Except that Australia seems to be under the delusion that China actually is preparing to invade and occupy their country. ASPI keeps pushing that line, and its comical that Australia buys tanks and such to defend their giant island this way.
Pivoting to east Asia and creating tension? Is that what Mearsheimer is insinuating? I do not agree. What the United States needs to do is to respect other countries sovereignty and allow them to rise peacefully without any intervention, all countries have the right to live and enjoy their lives peacefully, life is short.
Thats not on the program of the colonialist. bear in mind the colonialist logic is deeply ingrained in the western political powers for many centuries. Wolfowitz doctrine is hallmark of this mentality. Do what ever it takes to become #1 and keep the status by containing/destroying #2.
America respects other country's sovereignty? Where did you get this illusion from?😂
They are not inept, buddy. They are about the power and money for their families as ordinary American are used to do the dirt for them.
They're coming for you in the name of Democracy.
I watched the whole speech, Mr. Mearsheimer was telling the truth, very impressive.
I hope Professor will clarify a bit more why China would be a threat. How many countries China is occupying? How many military bases? Apart from trade and commerce, which is beneficial to countries involved, how is China a threat? Can someone explain please.
I'm from Southeast Asia. My suggestions are not necessarily right. But in my POV, the China have more influence than US here. There are more Chinese products than ever before. They are our biggest creditor. But I think so many countries in Asia now have more tendencies to follow China since the US abused their global power. When we live in Uni Polar world, we obey US, but now we have more choice, which is China.
Again you are right about military basis etc, but more and more asian country now will not subservient to the US as they used to.
What I see now is that we as population in my country felt more influence from China in our everyday life than US. We see the US & western country as nothing but arrogant (at least that the common perception that I hear everywhere here)
He meant China is a threat to the US's hegemony and world dominance.
China is a threat because us can't bully it..the same with Russia, both are too strong and independent
China is a threat for showing a better alternative similar to many things the US is against, ever heard of better healthcare, free education, homeless people, they will do anything to stop others from showing a better example
I also have that question when I listen to Mearsheimer. I don't see the facts supporting the fear that China will become aggressive. In contrast, his thesis regarding Ukraine is easy to understand, and many events are consistent with what he has predicted.
As an Australian, I'm glad that US is not pivoting to East Asia. Otherwise, we are the next Ukraine. Just look what happened with our wines, wheats, lobsters and tourist industries in the last few years. US sees China as a biggest threat. I see China as a biggest opportunity. That prosperity for Australia in the last couple of decades was rely on China. US is a sinking ship. It's time for Australia to abandon it.
Shows how deep your loyalties lie. That’s pathetic opportunism.
China and Australia are too far apart and safe enough. The two countries need more trade than confrontation.
I’m Australian but the battleground would be in Taiwan.
@@affordablex4914 And you think Aukus would keep you safe?
@@yoyolim538 The homeland, yes. Not so much Taiwan.
"For anybody which changes his principles depending on whom he's dealing, that is not a man who can lead a nation." - Nelson Mandela
Applaud to Mr Mandela. Sounds like the entire collective west then.
...but he's the ruler of the wolves and will rule through ages to come"-Nelson Mandela in the afterlife
Nelson speaking about Kier Starmer, great foresight.
the USA is not exactly a nation in the traditional sense anymore, it's a cohort of uncohesive population groups governed by corporations. There's nothing in common between white Republicans and AOC or Ilhan Omar. What underpins nation is identity, white Republicans probably don't believe that they're one and united anymore. So that's why in the USA you have multiple speech. It's market, it's electoral.
@commanderdancody Principles are the same. the approach is different. If you change the approach, you're smart, if you change the principle, you're a hypocrite.
Two Notes: One *important omission (Ukraine-Russia) and one important flaw (Israel-Palestine).*
1. Putin, in March 2022, with few troops in Ukraine (100 thousand were ridiculously insufficient for an invasion and occupation. That's why it was a Special Military Operation), tried to reach a Guarantee Agreement. It called for neutrality for Ukraine (like Finland until 2022), potentially belonging to the EU, and semi-autonomous status for the Russian-speaking East.
Well, the draft agreement had already been signed by the parties, Putin gave the order to withdraw (they had not even entered Kiev), and Zelensky, after receiving Boris Johnson, Biden's postman, allowed himself to be convinced and did not sign the Agreement. Yesterday, November 24th, one of Zelensky's representatives blamed Boris Johnson for this error. Imagine. Now the terms of this Agreement are impossible because Ukraine is defeated and the East has endorsed entry into Russia.
2. The lack of information about Israel. Ultra Orthodox Jews, whose population is growing, are anti-state of Israel and do not recognize the Israeli government, defending the right of Palestinians to their land. They defend an ancient coexistence with Muslims and defend the continuation of the Jewish diaspora.
Lie,Lie,Lie
With all my respect to his analysis he forgot to mention conveniently that in 2014 US organised with a help of EU coup in Ukraine overthrowing legitimate government.
I have to believe it wasn't anything sinister. I've seen him on several other platforms and this point you bring up is talked about and acknowledged by him.
@@fartface5172it was sinister 😅 wtf they did that to reign in Russia and maybe the would of but vlad is a state man not a sell out..
@@fartface5172you notice they always say it's putins war and we must get rid of putin he won't let them turn russia into Germany or UK
He has mentioned this in another talks. He is expert at Ukraine-Russia relations.
He studiously avoided it, this man as a hidden agenda.
Australian economy grew because of its trade with China. China has never threatened Australia.
You have no understanding.🧐😨
@@paulfaigl8329He's just telling a fact, and you just don't believe it.
@@paulfaigl8329 You watched too much anti-China media.
That's not true. When Australian asking questions about de origin of covid they blocked goods and services!!! That the problem. With china
@JurOz1980 is China not the largest trading partner of Australia?
More illuminating and encouraging is to read the majority of comments expressing their rejection of US hegemony. This is the future.
Any rational mind could see that US foreign policies are holding back the world's progresses, including itself
When I heard him speak about Ukraine loosing at that time I was very upset and was convinced he was wrong. Now listening to this again today...I sadly understand what he was saying.
They just lost adviidka. They were outgunned by the Russians. Ten-to-one artillery ratio apparently. Just like the Prof said.
I knew it would loose from day one. But it will remain a nation at least. Only smaller, and having lost its young men. You ask Carl 12, Napoleon and Hitler about beating Russia.
th-cam.com/video/fnm82jK3fvU/w-d-xo.htmlfeature=shared
Only Russia can now help Ukraine.
@@ИгорьШаматрин Only stupid can write comment like this
It’s strange how it’s expected that the US had any intention or any intellectual ability to solve any problem.
Yes they do! USA is a grate country with alot of intention and big intellectual ability! Big Example is proffesor Mearsheimer and many, many others! The problem is who is moving the strings
@@ΔημήτρηςΜανιφάβας-δ5γUsa is a "grate" country. That was funny. You might be right, though😂
Oh looky! An America-bashing troll. You have nothing constructive to say or contribute, so you insult. The US has done some really bad things and has it's problems, but what country doesn't? Pray tell, where are you from?
@@cuiperindy2120it grates on some 😊
"@@ΔημήτρηςΜανιφάβας-δ5γ INTELECTUAL ABILITY" ? HOW MANY ELSE CAN YOU NAME OUT OF 400 MILLION ?
John, just because US no longer able to exercise its hegemony in a unipolar world without any challenge, now you consider China a threat. I think you are absolutely wrong. First, how many wars had US embarked since 2000s as compared to China. The answer is obvious. Second, how many countries did Uncle Sam exercise its own unilateral action by sanctioning any countries it like. Thirdly, how many nuclear weapons do US possess.? New Pentagon report claims China now has over 500 operational nuclear warheads and already feels so insecure. That figure is still a fraction of the more-than 5,000 warheads the US possess...... Anyway, China's threat is a scandalous initiative created by the US and its Western puppets to stifle China's economic and social development including technological advancement. The Chinese nation with its 5000 years of civilization will continue to advance whatever unscrupulous ways the West is trying to obstruct. You may be right China's rise may not be peaceful especially when the US and its Westen puppets continue to impede it rise peacefully.
The only technological innovation the Chinese are good at is stealing other countries' technology 😂
The US cant afford to have any near peer competition. Even if its an ally, the US will keep it down. For example, look how they bombed Nordstream 2. To make sure Germany will never be as big as the US in regards to economics.
Well said.
Well said and 100% spot on.
He meant China is a threat to the US's hegemony and world dominance.
作为一个中国人，看到这位老兄一副自信满满的样子指点江山，感觉很莫名其妙。中国只是维护自己的国内利益，就威胁到美国了？这世界很多问题的根源在于美国把自己放在更高一层的地位，对他国指手画脚，别人反抗就认为是威胁。中国有着数千年丰富的历史经验可以告诉年轻的山姆大叔一个普世道理，王道才能持久，霸道必然走向消亡。越早认识到这个道理对美国越有好处。
肯定是威胁了，这个当了几十年霸主的国家放不下身段和别国共享地球。
The US has a long-standing policy of seeking to be the only world power, and to force every nation to follow its orders. This policy has been the source of so much suffering and death all around the world.
We can only hope that the US and China can find a way to coexist peacefully for the long term, and that the US can find some way to end the hostility toward Russia and to encourage peace in the middle East instead of encouraging war. It is wishful thinking perhaps, but dreams can come true if we work for them.
@@davidmenasco5743 你知道美國的真正的統治者是誰嗎？希特勒為什麼會屠殺，因為他是個瘋子嗎？有一個群體就像是寄生蟲，他們到了哪裡，哪裡就會被蛀空，如果你研究過他們幾千年的歷史，你會明白一切，從羅馬帝國開始，埃及王朝，一直到ww1的德國，看看他們都做了些什麼
china bullying the philippine
If ever bother to learn the slightest knowledge of Chinese medicine, he would have understood that you have to keep the BALANCE. no organ can live without one another. We are fated to live together. That's why China has been trying to help poor countries to grow. We know that as long as everyone is contented with where that live what the land is providing them with, there won't be any trouble.
That's why even though I despise US, Uk, and some EU countries, I'm trying to get myself to be compassionate with them😂
Well, haters gonna hate. We just keep doing what we have to do, the Dao will be on our side. Once we're strong enough, haters will have to follow anyway, then the rest will be history.
I look at this now 6 months later and everything you said and warned came through. America is dying and losing.😢
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John Mearsheimer's problem is that he's fixated on the idea that, whilst the norm for the development of 'civilisation' throughout history has been the rise and fall of militarily expansionist empires and that norm will never change.
The US empire has been in an almost constant state of war since WWII and has 800-1000 overseas military bases projecting military force almost worldwide. Meanwhile China has one foreign military base, a naval base in the horn of Africa to help with the Somali pirate issue, hasn't fired a single shot overseas in over 40 years and yet has grown rapidly, lifting over a billion of their population out of the direst poverty. A completely different and successful model that John has completely failed to notice and, as competitors, advocates bringing them undone. If an athlete in the Olympics tried to win by nobbling their competitors they would lose all credibility and never be allowed to compete again. Blowing out a candle doesn't bring light.
Every empire in history has fallen largely due to their overspend in military projection and this has been the norm. The US economy is failing, over $30 trillion in debt, their middle class is shrinking, their pool of working poor and homeless is growing at an alarming pace and their infrastructure is crumbling. We're watching the fall of the US empire and, if we don't wake up, we'll go down with them. We've already started. Here in Oz we avoided the 2008 global economic collapse because our largest trading partner was China.
The second largest industry in the world is armaments and 47% of that global industry is in private hands in the USA. How much influence can 47% of the the 2nd largest amount of money in the world afford in the finest democracy money can buy? Why is the US response always advocating a military solution? Easy, those weapons aren't going to sell themselves.
Excellent reply. Mearsheimer is clipping away at facts and only presenting those that supported the American view that China is the number one enemy, which the rest of the world is starting to see it is but a nasty lie.
@earthwizz Thank you for the very factual and excellent analysis.
The USA and UK are two countries that are mostly responsible for this mess the world is in right now. Professor Mearsheimer has not mentioned anything about how this war in Ukraine has a detrimental effect on the economies of the countries in the Western Europe.
If the US treats its allies like that, not many nations will be the US's friends after this is over, and it will be over one day. There are more people on this earth who are for peace not pro war like the USA.
Yeah, he's lost. He doesn't realise USians and EU Dictators are waging war on European Nations with their War on Terror and Ukrainian War and Israel support. Refugee crisis after refugee crisis.. The Left think more refugees the merrier which destroys society by destabilisation and division while rights believe in segregation and division, and most backwards cultures are Far Right by modern left standards. UK, US and Judaic culture believes in mass-invading foreign lands and taking them as homeland.
so many chinese agents in here
Wow you’re knowledgeable ⭐️
I ask why China can be blamed by America for China's success,? Does America not like other nations to be successful and rich and advanced? This is the unkind nature of the American self...
America just goes home, the world doesn't need America..
GOD HAS ALWAYS LOVED CHINA AND HAS ALWAYS BLESSED CHINA FOREVER.
✝️🇨🇳☯️🙏🙏🙏☯️🇨🇳✝️
✝️ GOD BLESS CHINA ✝️
While countless Chinese are proud of the country's continued development, they are also very confused and even angry about the West's constant criticism of China.
As the most populous country in the world, China has successfully controlled the COVID-19 epidemic, but has been criticized as "authoritarian" by Western countries with hundreds of thousands of deaths; China's economy has taken the lead in emerging from the haze of the epidemic, bringing hope to the global economic recovery, but it has China has been accused by the West of "state capitalism"; China has provided vaccines to developing countries and contributed to the creation of global public goods, but has been accused by some Western countries that are hoarding vaccines of engaging in "vaccine diplomacy."
Why are the things that China has done well, done right, and done in a timely manner seem wrong, immoral, or at least problematic in the eyes of some people in the West? How can I solve this problem? The author believes that the first step is to analyze why China is “scolded”.
First of all, to a certain extent, it is inevitable for China to be scolded during its rise. Historically, any emerging country that rises will be regarded as an alien by the dominant country. Dominant countries only hope that emerging countries will be assimilated, rather than harming their own international leadership. In the 1980s, Japan was criticized by the United States as a "freak" among developed countries because the Liberal Democratic Party was a one-party state and was not a Western-style democracy. Japan's industrial policy was also criticized as a heretical model of state capitalism. In the 1990s, Southeast Asia's emerging economies were criticized for their combination of authoritarian politics and mercantilist economics, triggering years of debate over "Asian values."
Japan's "freak" narrative disappeared with the collapse of its bubble economy, and the economic crisis in Southeast Asia seemed to have convinced the United States that Asian values had failed and American values had triumphed. China's rise far exceeds the scale and speed of the rise of Japan and Southeast Asian economies, and the intensity and frequency of "scolding" are also unprecedented. At this point, China needs to have a clear understanding. It cannot be avoided by unilaterally relying on good wishes and trying to tell the Chinese story well.
Secondly, behind China's "scolding" lies the Cold War logic of artificially creating "identity between ourselves and the enemy" and "cognition of good and evil" by building a confrontational discourse system. During the Cold War, the United States defined the Soviet Union as an "evil autocratic empire" and defined itself and its allies as the "free world." It used this value system to unite domestic hearts and allies.
Unfortunately, the Soviet Union was led by the polarized discourse system of the United States during the Cold War. It tried to construct a confrontational discourse that showed the Soviet Union's superiority to the United States in terms of ideology and social systems. It can be said that the high-intensity competition with the United States in the field of ideas and discourse was also one of the important reasons why the Soviet Union finally fell into trouble. China's proposal to build a "community with a shared future for mankind" is actually to avoid falling into the vortex of confrontational discourse system competition. This is a wise move that transcends the "Cold War-type discourse system arms race."
Third, China still has a lot of room for proactive action in reducing misperceptions, prejudices and even stigmatization in the outside world. For example, in some international media reports, China's economic and trade investment in Africa is always regarded as a negative example. It is believed that this approach regardless of economic costs has caused African countries to generally fall into debt crises, become China's vassals, and then be politically controlled. However, data from the China-Africa Institute at Johns Hopkins University in the United States show that China’s loans to the African public sector have been decreasing since 2016, which shows that lenders make decisions based on economic logic rather than political logic. Why do such convincing data often come from foreign countries rather than China’s own think tanks? To solve the problem of "being scolded", China must have greater transparency and openness in terms of data, and respond to domestic and foreign questions in a timely manner. This task cannot be done by the government alone and requires the efforts of the whole society.
Whether a great power can no longer be "scolded" during its rise depends on the success of domestic governance and the effective shaping of the global governance system. The 2008 Beijing Olympic Torch Relay was severely disrupted. The then Ambassador to the UK, Fu Ying, wrote an article lamenting that the wall between China and the world was too thick. More than ten years later, this wall still seems to be thick, but China's closer interactions with the world and its ability to participate in international affairs have increased unprecedentedly. Regarding "being scolded", China needs to be strategically vigilant, but does not need to have strategic anxiety. Sometimes it must express dissatisfaction or even anger in a timely manner, but more often it must gain recognition and support from its broad circle of friends through a more positive and vivid Chinese narrative.
I hate to break it to PM but on most metrics China is number 1 and US is no 2. Given that China promotes multi polarity while the US wants hegemony, I don't share PM desire for a US victory.
He is an American so his views are absolutely spot on as he wants his country to do well
China want a new world order that every government should be dictatorship model . You can join that crowd if you like.
@@danielthuku8192 but he doesn't mean for the US 'to do well', he means for US dominance and hegemony.
If US incomes increased 10x and China's were 90% of US incomes, the US would be doing 'very well' but the US would 'attack' China simply because China was doing 'well' also.
That's not wanting 'to do well', that's a thug acting out of jealously, spite and malevolence.
On most metrics, including the genocide of its own people. Whoever praises China wouldn't stand two days under communism.
Fantastically engaging presentation-facts,strategies and endgames.
Mearsheimer is applying structural realism in a very textbook way, which is to be expected. But he is wrong about several things, the most crucial being the idea of a "China Threat." China is much less threatening, on a global scale, than the US. Indeed, China has not used military force (excepting a border skirmish with India) in decades. What Mearsheimer is proposing is actually creating enemies when they do not need to be.
But China will have to become more aggressive around the world and inflate it's own military budget in order to survive. I believe that AI, supercomputers and robotics will play a crucial role in the future. And China will have to produce hundreds millions of robots, drones and autopilots to use them against people of United States on the battlefield.
It’s also very unclear whether their economy is healthy at all. With their real estate sector teetering and their demographic problem looming, there is a significant chance that China experiences a major economic downturn this decade.
@@jakejakeboom Gordon Chang for example is saying for 30 years now that China and it's economy is collapsing. He has a very perverted economic logic. He is saying that 0 % GDP growth in the West is actually economic recovery. And that 8 % of GDP growth in China is collapsing.
@@jakejakeboom But China has 1,42 billion people for God's sake man. If China suddenly decides to shift into higher gear and Communist Party of China orders their own population to have more children. Population numbers will explode in China
@@jakejakeboom yeah, we all know china always collapse!
Not sure who is the greatest threat to the US. But in regards to the greatest threat to humanity the US must be on top of the list.
Have you taken to take your medication?
@@SantiagoRodriguez-th3ejcan you afford medication in US?
100%
@@SatpalVerma000😂😂😂😂
@@SatpalVerma000😂😂😂😂
Simply tragic that the sole purpose of the US existence has become to remain the global hegemony. That's fighting for a lost cause, and for no good reasons. The sooner they realize that and start reimagining their place in a world of new power balance, the sooner they'll end the pain of theirs and the rest of the world. But we all know young people tend to learn their lessons the hard way. Same with young nations. If the US wishes to still stay "United" after the end its hegemony, it should shift its attention not to East Asia but back to itself, if it hasn't passed the point of no return that is.
Can’t agree even more!
Totally agree. US is really literally a baby when compared with China who has its non-stopped more than 5000 years of history.
I believe US 's main issue is not to remain the sole hagemon, but the fact that the new powers rising are dictatorships, and we all know where this can lead to
You express the thoughts of a larger portion of people, perhaps a majority.
It make look like true but you haven't been paying attention. The hegemony would have been preserved if they had Afghanistan and East Asia at focus, yet the US policy was to focus in other places and push Russia away so there is no actual focus on hegemony.
What a significant contribution by a prominent scholar.
While I agree with Prof. Mearsheimer on Ukraine and Israel, I fail to see the threat from China. We need a new policy, of live and let live with China. We need to stop pretending that Taiwan is our territory, stop the new American bases in the Philippines, etc., and start cooperating with them instead of threatening them by sending warships near their shores.
Most Americans, including Mearsheimer, don't understand this. They think that China thinks and acts the same way as they do. There is a generation gap between the two civilizations.
That was supposed to happen with Russia instead of putung NATO IN THEIR BORDER.
Watch out. China is the biggest threat to the whole world
Threatening? Ever heard of the 9 dash line?
@@affordablex4914 Of course I have. Why do you ask? I AM NOT CHINESE!!!
At least John is honest about the USA behavior,
Naked, aggressive power control .
With OUR TAX $$$$$
Certainly the U.S. could back off and allow leaders like the late Saddam Hussein consolidate control of hydrocarbons in the Middle East. Shipping lanes could be left to pirates. Friendly nations could be left to fend for themselves. .... With no Russian protector, Armenia is about to lose the southern half of their country to Azerbaijan. There's plenty more conflicts waiting to break.
One thing for sure is that US attracted all the talents here. No other countries can do this. Look Europe and UK, attracting what to their competitiveness.
@@johny-ql4wn talents flooding in from southern border?
@@maxzeleweski3120 that is the current government issue. if you are a demo， thats your choice， otherwise， vote the other party， at least you have a choice
What he fails to tell us all is America is regressing in its power and influence compared to both China and Russia whose influence and power is in progression!
@@nawnaw4709 and this is failure in Americas thinking. Its always military. But China has gained its massive sphere of influence by using deplomatic and economical ties and insentives instead of flexing muscle. The results are showing whose winning. Also the future of warfare is in unmaned weapons such as fighter drones. Something china has more than anyone else and nearly double the amount the USA has.
Who cares anymore? The US has done nothing but hurt and cause harm to its own citizens.
russia is on road to utter oblivion
@@nawnaw4709 not even militarily. The US and EU simply do not have the mass production capability it once had. Not to mention it is dependent on china for manufacturing almost everything else
Not really. All are regressing. Russia and China are regressing much faster. The reason US is regressing is there isn't a clear threat to America anymore.
Russia is a dying nation, on population and economy. China is starting to begin it's death spiral because its population is aging, shrinking and dying.
It's not only the US prestige & super power status that is at risk, the US exceptionalism is also in hot waters, something that never has been associated with a super power before.
The USA and UK are the main responsable in Israel-Palestine problem
FYI United States of America in reality is United States of ISRAEL. They run our country, do your research! DISGUSTING
Yup. That's what he says. They didn't put enough pressure on the Zionists back then and now this is the result.
@alexander-iu8rrnot exactly, 1948 is basically yesterday, the romans date a bit further back, if I remember correctly…
The God you believe in will decide the trand in middle Esat.
Mearshiemer falsely claimed US security for Australia's prosperity. But why not now?
The truth was it was the free trade with China that was the bulk of Australia's prosperity. The recession of the last few years was due to the U.S. security interference that caused China's economic sanction in Australia. 😅
Australia's Defence Policy In 2023 Explained - th-cam.com/video/sgspkxfkS4k/w-d-xo.html
We have to defend against China to protect our trade profit from China.
The US is always right even if it's wrong. That's because it always sees others from above. When it finally sees others from below and lying down, then it will know the true meaning of friendship.
A great Aussie channel! Thanks.
One question: How many wars did Russia have started, and how many wars USA have started?
As twice as the US did.
Russia have ~700 years of wars from their 1000 years history..
How many genocides has the USA committed and how many genocides has Russia committed in the last 10 years? The USA didnt commit any genocide, while Russia bears the responsibility for the current genocide of Ukrainians.
Are we counting "invasions" and coups as well? Places like Panama and Granada? Becouse US started them conflicts. And if we count all of them there are tens in 20th century alone.
The Americans caused ten times more conflicts than the Russians would ever imagine! It's needless to say conflicts really caused by the Russians pales in comparison to the Americans.
Illegal invasions and wars of aggressions in Vietnam, Iraq, Syria, Libya, Somalia, Grenada and others in Central America to name a few.
If we add up disproportionate military responses and support for attrocities in Afghanistan, Yemen, Korea and militaries coups around the world we have a picture of who is the true aggressor.
Is it really a comparison?
The only thing China does wrong is China grows so fast and the U.S. may NoT be the only one rule maker anymore😂
Also the US and other capitalist imperial states hate that China reigns in it's ultra wealthy individuals. Can you imagine?
China is allowed to rise. Any more delays. US is fking with everyone. US was meant to bring out the fking tech not hoard it. See what China is doing in civilian sdctor
They do it right without massive war.
as always , this was only ever possible when leader was doing bad choices and getting weaker.. not by any external thing. Same as in sports or politics, extremely hard to beat current #1 until they make mistakes or over time get weaker.
Why always china? Every country got the right to advance to have a good life for their ppl .
It's like arguing that China should be containing the US, to stop it dominating the Americas. These people in the 'west' are utterly delusional.
Cause this is the White man's world son. We have it all or no one gets anything
In fact, the U.S. economy ranks first in the world, and it is a big beneficiary of the prosperity of other countries. The most important thing for the U.S. is to solve domestic problems, rather than causing all kinds of troubles around the world and hindering the development of the world economy
security can make you pay a lot of price
China did not start the Ukraine war, did not involve in mid Eastern wars... but it's the biggest threat 😂... why are they so afraid
Great mind. Even a child could understand the world with a teacher like him.
Why must America consider China or India or any nation which has progressed & developed dynamically be a threat ??? When a nation has prospered & advanced, surely she will earn respect & praises & encouragement but not enemies; perhaps envies! Why must economic, scientific, electronic, space & communication achievements be politicised & suppressed!!! Humanity shd be happy, encouraged & heartened & thankful that life will be better for all!!! WTF !!!!!!!
Pure envy
Because people remain people. The state is also people. The basic desire of competition is to be the only winner at the top of the pyramid. The United States sat on it for a very long time and was the only superpower for more than 30 years. Now they want to throw down those who are crawling towards success. Maybe there are good guys and bad guys in the world. But certainly not among states. Regardless of the system, they all want one thing - domination.
If you replace the word "America" with "The richest families of the West," then the question becomes rhetorical.
In essence, US is capitalist state which means it's controlled by rich families. And as every rich families does, they never want anyone besides them become richer than them
Our government needs to pay more attention to our domestic needs, because our economic situation is deteriorating rapidly.
The group that Really run the US want world domination and don't care about US citizens.
Face it, taking care of the people doesn't make the Rich richer.
".... why the US is in serious trouble!"
Let me give you 2 words - Joe Biden
Nah , you’re doing well aren’t you? Remember, you’re supposed to be indispensable, exceptional
its already destroyed you are literally in late stage capitalism and many see it globally, you have a crisis coming your way- thats what always happens when the ruling class become too decadent.
The problem is US has been trying really hard to contain China, but unsuccessful, one good example is huawei, the company was completely banned and shut out of US market by president Dumpty in 2019, guess what happens to huawei? they became one of the most powerful high tech companies in the world, they make their own advanced 7nm chips, their own software, they literally make everything without any US tech support. So containing China is a nice sweet dream of US elites, but it's just a dream.
What I am hearing more and more in Europe is normal people complaining about the rise of prices and the enormous taxes being created by the Governments to send weapons and billions to the Ukraine War, and now becomes more and more obvious that the involvement of US-Europe in UKraine is not for humanitarian purposes, but for geopolitical purposes. This has become clear with the recent Bombing of Gaza and nearly 9.000 palestinian women and children killed by Israel and US and Europe not only moving a finger to avoid the killing, much worse, even sending more weapons to israel.
I’m glad that more and more people are finally waking up and seeing things for what it is.
There are good people in west like you. thank you
I agree with him that trying to make Ukraine part of Europe was a mistake, The western part of Ukraine was part of Europe when it was part of Austria-Hungary and even when it was part of Poland. But WW2 changed all that,
@@johnschuh8616 Ukraine is part of Europe. Russia is not. And it is not a balancing power anylonger.
Hamas sent thousands of missiles into Israel before Israel attacked. Hamas doctrine is the destruction of Israel and the death of all Jews. What did you expect Israel to do.
The war I'm fighting with my trade right now is way bigger than Ukraine war.
I keep loosing in real trade but win in Demo.
Should I give up on Trade?
What should I do?
How may I do better?
What I'm I doing incorrectly?
I HAVE INCURRED SO MUCH LOSSES TO TRADE ON MY OWN,I TRADE WELL ON DEMO BUT I THINK THE REAL MARKET IS MANIPULATED.
I always advice new members to have an orientation on how it works before getting involved. Trade offers more benefits than just holding.
Kate Floretta
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Kate Floretta
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Google "katefxfloretta" anywhere take classes and learn to trade.
Wish CIS would have balls and invite prof. Jeffrey Sachs to this forum.
He is not too different from Prof.
@@connectingthedots5987 John Mearsheimer is a hawk. They are as different as black and white
@@connectingthedots5987but he’s fairer and doesn’t consider China being a threat to US. He wants US and China cooperation
I bet they don't dare
What’s fascinating is that the professor doesn’t talk about Minsk Agreement, neither is he talking about the US government involvement in overthrowing the Ukraine government in 2014.
as almost every american, they all skip parts where they acted badly
Or because he's previously covered these areas extensively.
He already did. He talked about the US instigating the Orange Revolution.
Mearsheimer has previously covered that, emphasizing that being a major factor in this conflict since 2013/2014.
This professor was probably one of the earliest person that talked about Minsk agreement in depth and in a very balanced way. It was in another video
No one considers Australia/ canada as countries. They are just states within USA. Australia/Canada should call themselves independent countries the day they have their own foreign policies!!!
They can call themselves Independent Country of USA now.In short, ICU.
Do not forget UK.
I always love listening to John Mearshiemer !, he has great grasp of Geopolitics and great power politics, it’s hard to argue with his analysis but I would have one question! For him
He says that the U.S. should do everything to stop China dominating the southern hemisphere but why does he think that it’s ok for the U.S. to dominate its hemisphere but it’s not ok for China ? And if he doesn’t think the U.S. has right to dominate the western hemisphere then does he think the U.S. has the right to be the one to stop China trying to dominate the southern hemisphere?
There seems to me to be a contradiction/ Bias in Mr Mearshiemers view of the world , surely if one day there would be a true balance of power then the U.S. will need to be weakened .
Maybe the the U.S , China , Russia Britain France etc need to realise that they have no right to dominate any other country or it’s people’s!
The US has nothing to fear but the US itself. China is not the key issue.
china is totalitarian country, if it is so safe and rightful, why is there dispute about who owns South china sea ?
Precisely
China could have expanded in the 1600s but didn't
And kept to their own region
It was the Europeans expanding their territories all over the world
@@Cheesecake99YearsAgo in 1600 China was not ruled by communistic party, and what about south china sea? china wants to have it only for itself
Indeed. Should the two countries settle their respective domentic problems well then the world would become a much better place than it currently is.
@@Biedropegaz
And what makes you think that communist party will expand outwards ?
Did you assume they are like the western powers ?
The one critical question this speech completely left unaddressed though is “Why is hostilities between the USA and China automatically taken as a given? Mearsheimer was dead on about so many things in this speech, that I couldn’t help but think how he nailed most if it, yet he still left out the most important variable to the whole equation..namely, US-China relations.
Why does “everyone in the Biden administration see China as the USA’s biggest threat?”
Why can’t the deep economic ties between these two great powers be seen as an asset? Why does the USA assume that if China becomes the most powerful nation that it automatically makes them an enemy? Because then the US can’t dictate global affairs? Why should any one country do that anyways? I thought they were proponents of democracy. So why doesn’t that spill over to the international arena?Let the P5 be team members not enemies. If you have good economic and diplomatic relations with countries it doesn’t MATTER if they are more powerful than you. Do you think we up here in Canada worry that the US is more powerful than US?
Is it because China isn’t democratic enough internally for the US’s tastes? What’s that got to do with the US?
China is a production powerhouse. Overall, this is GOOD for the world, including the USA. Did China see the USA as a threat when they rose to hegemony after WW2 ? No. They decided to learn from them instead, and look what that did for China. Why can’t US foreign policy see itself as a country that can learn from China? Why does it have to be the most powerful? How has enforcing this in such infiltrative manner not done anything but create hostilities abroad…recall NaTO expansion, and where that ultimately lead in Ukraine. Recall the many conflict the US has driven trying to influence the middle east.
Furthermore, this China-US relations variable is the one variable that defuses the whole problem, yet Mearsheimer like so many American political analysts seem to take conflict with China as a given. . Yes, expanding NATO was a huge mistake, and yes Israel is causing all the problems there by refusing a two state solution and insisting on dominating Palestinians. But how is the USA automatically viewing China as an enemy not the biggest mistake of all?
china is totalitarian country. regime will export troubles to stay in power. you have example of ruzzia, invasion of Ukraine was stupid but purim regime had done it to stay in power and create putin's vision of the world
The problem is US has been trying really hard to contain China, but unsuccessful, one good example is huawei, the company was completely banned and shut out of US market by president Dumpty in 2019, guess what happens to huawei? they became one of the most powerful high tech companies in the world, they make their own advanced 7nm chips, their own software, they literally make everything without any US tech support. So containing China is a nice sweet dream of US elites, but it's just a dream.
He has addressed this elsewhere (not saying I agree): th-cam.com/video/YsFwKzYI5_4/w-d-xo.htmlsi=8tIKLYFrYF5ZikE7
His basic argument is that large powers are ruthless to become hegemons in their own region (like the US' Monroe Doctrine, or the Japanese Co-Prosperity Sphere) in order to prevent another hegemon from displacing them. And they usually frame their hegemony in terms of justice and civilization. For the US, it is "freedom and democracy." For Japan, it was "liberating the East from the West." China seems to be adopting a similar stance Japan did, but on a larger scale...liberating the whole non-West from the US unipolarity while also carving out its own hegemony.
For Mearsheimer, powers are never able to sit down and peacefully transfer dominance from one to the next. The fact that there is near political consensus in the US on "China as threat" is proving his theory. Yes, they can appear to be on good terms (like the rhetoric from Janet Yellen about mutual benefits), but underneath is material competition that almost always results in conflict. He is not arguing that it should be so; he's just observing what is the case.
The only counterexample that comes to mind is that Britain handed hegemony to the US peaceably, but that's because it was a 3-way contest (with Germany the third candidate), and I wouldn't exactly consider WWI and WWII to be a "peaceful" transition.
💯 Spot on
Yes. Also, wherever you live you will consume Chinese goods. Imagine all of this being taken away. Everything would be so much more expensive. We should appeciate all of what we get from China. And much more so we should appreciate what China is doing in terms of science. In medicine, biochemistry etc. China is becoming better by the hour and it is helping all of us in the end.
The US is creating wars, manipulating public opinion worldwide, but it is enough. The US is creating chaos all around the globe and Europeans should understand that we have to get away from tacitly supporting US policy.
He didn't differentiate the 3 "great" powers. Economic power is different from military power.
He mashed up hostile military power with constructive economic power. There is only 1 hostile great military power around the world creating chaos, destruction and wars.
Economical power is basis for military one not vice versa. Every rising power is destined for wars. If the China succeeds in avoiding this they gonna invent new school of realism:-)
What self serving claptrap. This is why most of the world doesn't care for the US. The Americans have bases in more than 100 countries and has been involved in half a dozen wars in the last 30 years. Welcome to the facts.
That lie wasn’t thought out all at…
He omitted many facts that would prove that China is not an enemy of the world but USA is.
@@mjmf1430
The writings of two CCP (Chinese Communist Party) colonels in the late ‘90s covering unrestricted warfare/5th generation warfare should be sounding alarms. The CCP knows and has publicly admitted that they want to disrupt/destroy the USA, making it and the rest of the world subservient to them by all means. The problem is that they are aware it would be a suicidal attempt to take on the military in conventional warfare. This dilemma is what caused them to come up with the unrestricted warfare/5th generation warfare manifesto. They are intentionally, but by underhanded means, making themselves a threat to everyone in various forms.
However, China is rapidly imploding because of the CCP making the communist party and businesses indistinguishable via the National Intelligence Law (2017), Data Security Law (2020), & Cryptology Laws (2020) that provide a legal foundation to advance goals of the “Made in China 2025” plan, Digital Silk Road, Military Civil Fusion efforts, the Belt & Road Initiative scam, etc.
Foreign investment manufacturing giants such as Foxconn, Amazon, Apple, etc. have been pulling out of that country rapidly; Evergrande & other similar Real estate juggernauts are also in serious trouble. The BYD & other subsidized electric vehicle scams are finally being recognized and rejected for the horrendous scams that they are. The banking system is collapsing, denying many of the people to even withdraw funds from their “personal banking account,” which that phrase sadly a joke to begin with.
In addition to prior circumstances mentioned, they are also dealing with unprecedented natural disasters amplified by man-made shoddy work & corruption (tofu-dreg projects.) Unfortunately some of the disasters could’ve been mitigated/prevented if the corrupt officials spent money on infrastructure it was designated for, instead of lining their pockets.
The CCP has been lying about about population growth, the GDP, & made previous supply chains unreliable from lock down restrictions like zero C0VID policies (which have had a snowball effect.) Let us not forget the massive theft of intellectual property & their facade of innovation.
“AI 5G expertise.” 😆
Lies are the most abundant natural resource for the CCP.
Circumstances in communist China are looking dreadful, my sympathies go to the Chinese people. They could & should unite, take back their rich and beautiful culture, & overcome the oppressive Corrupt Communist Party. There are more of them than there are evil, oppressive party members.
This man is right on everything.
I have watched his views on Russia, China, and US.
Following is words on the US Monroe doctrine, every nation should keep to their border's. Period.
Interesting points, also it's a fact that America aligned itself with the Soviets (Russia) in WWI and WWII. Russia not only defeated Nazi Germany in the bitter winter, but they also defeated Napoleon's Army in that previous century. Also it's interesting that China and Russia are heavily involved in the continent of Africa. Like he said they are aligned as well as with BRICS. The global south is trying to distance itself from the West and the dollar.
I’m not sure that it was Russia that defeated Napoleon; it was the terrain and climate as well as a delayed tactical retreat that destroyed the bulk of his armies. The British and Prussians finished the job.
@@fieryfredthebeaconlighter2259 I will study more, thank you. But it was the same weather conditions in how they beat Nazi Germany. Russia loves to drag battles on within their territory. History repeats itself. Weather also helped Britain in the battle of Dunkirk.
In my opinion, the main reason Russia and Chine are distancing themselves because of the US foreign policies to dictate others what to do, how to live, how to trade and how rule their country. I grew up and got my education in Russia and always have known of Russians applying their foreign relations on the base of the mutual interest: it reads in Russian - Россия за последние 100 лет пыталась всегда налаживать отношения на основе добрососедских, взаимоправных, взаимовыходных соглашений со всеми странами мира. If you’re not into the Russian language much the automatic Google can easily translates it for you. Thanks
@@fieryfredthebeaconlighter2259Read about the Borodino Battle of 1812. Or read Leo Tolstoy’s War and Peace, you might learn more how the Russian army pushed the Napoleon army off Russia and almost to Paris…
@@fieryfredthebeaconlighter2259you seem to have missed the point. History teaches that Russia, for a variety of reasons, is prohibitively difficult to subjugate, economically and/or militarily. The U.S. has foolishly made the weakening of Russia a top policy priority, when the greater threat to its primacy is in Asia. And once again, Russia is proving how difficult it is to defeat.
When he spoke of the inseparable alliance between the US and Israel, some NPC zombie drone in the audience started clapping.
Probably a Chabad agent. They are everywhere. Even in China. Or look up the Iceland circumcision ban ' *incident* ' to understand these people.
FYI United States of America in reality is United States of ISRAEL. They run our country, do your research! DISGUSTING
You don't have to be a zombie, you just follow the money.
@@katejudson8907 Or the egotistical motives.
They've been programmed like drones.
John's logic based on Jing vs Jang (competetion between powers).
Chinese logic based on Jing&Jang (the harmonious between powers)
Very well said. Short but precise.
You mean Yin and Yang?
I appreciate your partial understanding of global politics. However, you've totally disregarded the role of Sub-Sahara Africa. Russia and China seem to understand that Africans are humans and have been forcefully kept down in the state of undeveloped societies, whose only use is to provide raw materials for Western nations'industries; and intentionally kept forcefully underdeveloped by Western military as evidenced by their bases on the continent. The intention is to keep this region pseudo-enslaved for exploiting their resources. Russia and China understand the West's intentions about Africa fully well, and emphasize with us. The Chinese and Russians understand the West mentality of Africans is now coming to help Sub-Saharan Africa develop.
Guinea, Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, Senegal and more to come can relate. The West will realize when it's late and the damage can no longer be reversed.
Remember, the speech you're making now with no mention of the Sub-Sahara Africa role on the world stage.
Sub Africans aren't stupid as you've concluded. Learn now or it'll be the hard way for Western racist. A hint to a wise person is sufficient.
We're human too. You're not more human than us!!!
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0:00 introduction
1:12 J.Mearsheimer's main thesis
2:40 unipolar to tripolar world
5:11 US's grand strategy
9:32 unpacking these points
10:03 ukraine background
14:04 where is it heading?
18:05 predictions
21:10 israel palestin war
31:04 the only hope is unrealisable
35:14 the principal threat to US
36:00 rules based order?
I take issue with Mr. Mearsheimer's statement that Israel and America are tied at the waist. Wrong ! It was Israel which tied itself to America for reasons all to clear. They get 4.8 billion "unconditionally" annually from the USA, they get as much state of the art weapons to defend ten equal sized countries. Yes there are real connections in New York's Jewish quarters. In the Miami Jewish quarters, and in many other Eastern States, but ask any American from the midwest, the Northern states, the border states and California and most people will say they are ambivalent on the issue. The jews in England made similar mannouver's in the nineteenth century by attaching themselves to the most influential prominent members of the upper classes, which assured them access and favors with respect to furthering their own status and agendas in the country. And it paid off handsomely for them when one of their members Chaim Weizmann courted every major figure in the governing English Conservative party including Lloyd George the sitting prime minister. Weizmann also went to America to get his idea for a homeland for the Jews across to president Wilson. As far back as Wilsons time Jews understood the value of attaching themselves to powerful political figures in both of the top nations in the world. How many Americans speak Hebrew ! very few. How many Americans speak English, Spanish, French etc. probably 96% of them. There are no twin states as he attempted to tell us. Just one very successful multicultural one, and another racist one.
Thank 😊
Rules imposed by US are not international law.
thank you
23:24 Lone clapper moment.
I can see how disapointed was Mr Mearsheimer about the US inability to contain China, but don't understand for what reason Mr Mearsheimer believe that China is a big threat to American people. For many years since Korean war, have any americans were killed by Chinese? Actually, many people in the US have been gun-down by their own, and hope Mr Mearsheimer could have some of his time on how to resolve problems inside the US.
As far as Mearsheimer is concern, China is NOT white and West, does not abide nor follow Western ideology and thus far since the trade war between US & China, China has not given an inch and in fact grown and counter attacked US. As such being, a country that does not Bend to US / West rules is deemed a threat. End of day Mearsheimer is a true and through white/US supremacist, which he does not hide.
Have any countries been colonized in Chinese history? How many countries has G7 colonized in the past 100 years? If they explain China in their own way of thinking, then Mearsheimer's viewpoint is indeed valid. But Mearsheimer forgot the key factor, China is not an Anglo Saxon.
It is unfortunate that John Mearsheimer bears the lens of a typical descent of the Anglo-Saxon, which is historically and culturally warlike, heroism-guided, and zero sum game-inclined. Win-win is not a scenario he could phantom hence the keen idea of rivalling and containing China as an emerging power. Otherwise his analyses and speeches are largely insightful.
When the light comes in, the darkness goes away. Thank you for telling this important story. From SA
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How he could portray a country never trigger a single war as the biggest threat?
He means that in the context of great power politics. As China rises economically it will seek to translate that prosperity into military power and use that to dominate its region(Asia) the same way that the US dominates the Western hemisphere. Now, while this makes sense for a rising power to do( the British did it and then the US after them), to the US it will undermine their strategic interests especially in Asia and of course they want to remain number one. That is why they regard China as their greatest threat. It's not about justifiable reasons, merely balance of power politics.
China is belligerent and a nasty bully that reject international norms concerning the limit of a country's economic maritime zone. It's despicable and dangerous.
well pointed. This way of thinking he has is the main problem leading to all that troubles. when competitors and rivals treats like threats. effective sometimes indeed. But cruel and complicated if you want to be number one for a long time
@@wallacemeans7751 China shows NO signs of wanting to dominate other countries. And you show NO sign of understanding Chinese mentality, culture or history. China has always been anti-imperialist, because the Chinese regard China as the "middle kingdom". They already occupy the place they want to occupy. Other countries are for trade and they show every sign of being cooperative, not imperialist or hegemonic. Look at the facts, not through the lens of racist US imperialist and hegemonic ideology. China believe they are ALEADY number one and the idea of dominating other countries would UNDERMINE that sense of self-importance. Plus, the Chinese are basically respectful of other cultures, whereas white people are, in general, contemptuous of them (the Anglosphere is fundamentally white supremacist).
They have imperialist thinking.
we can not force Israel to accept two state solution but we can for sure fund billions of dollars each year in military aid, very convincing.
WITH OUR TAX $$$$$. While I can’t afford groceries & monthly bills with the inflation.
Israel has accepted a two state solution since 1948. It's been offered to the Palestinians several times since. They repeatedly reject it in favour of jihad. Israel ain't the problem.
Cut off hundreds of billions in Israel aid and support to see if they will listen! Israel is like a teenager all grown up but still depends on the parent’s for support. Israel NEVER supported a two state solution. Look at what Israel did to Palestinian…open air prison, occupation, apartheid and now genocide. Israel continue to build settlements in Palestinian land. Israel build thousands of security checkpoints.
@@andrewdevine6333Actually, the last time around, it was Nethanyahu who rejected it.
Don't worry. Chiina paid this guy to lie!!
The American unipolar moment: There's was no China threat, there's was no Russia threat, there's only the US threat and no competition, and the Australians were happy.
You are not representing Australia
😂😂😂
Almost correct the truth is nobody was and is going to attack either Russia or China the opposite cant be said.
Using the word THREAT in itself is the problem.
@@pausereflect5911 it reflects the American mentality perfectly. A victim mentality. It's like a syndrome of persecution. which is some irony since noone persecutes the USA but the USA persecutes a lot of nations down the road.
It's saying, if you don't do my bidding, I feel threatened. so You are a threat and must be taken down. Very harrowing view of the world. But it makes sense since USA was built over fear, violence and land theft. They are fearing that their experience could be done to them. It's in the DNA.
This forum is highly appreciated. It indeed provides accurate and in depth knowledge of the world affairs. Thanx.
Very interesting and educative to hear.