Israel-Hamas, Ukraine-Russia and China: John Mearsheimer on why the US is in serious trouble!
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 29 ต.ค. 2023
- PART 1. Professor John Mearsheimer addressed an audience in Brisbane on Monday, 23 October as part of an event with Tom Switzer and Peter Varghese. This video is John's standalone lecture, you can find the rest of the conversation and Q&A session in PART 2 here; • In Depth Q&A: Mearshei...
The Middle East crisis will have have severe repercussions for Israel, its neighbors, and U.S. foreign policy. Israel's response to Hamas's attacks is expected to continue to provoke anger across the Middle East, potentially fueling jihadist movements and escalating conflicts with other groups, contributing to regional instability. The U.S. has a vital interest in maintaining stability in the Persian Gulf, but the Israel-Hamas conflict threatens to undermine this.
It's crucial to acknowledge that Russia, rather than constituting a substantial threat to the U.S., has the potential to be an ally in containing China. However, the U.S.-supported campaign in Ukraine has inadvertently drawn Russia closer to China, contravening the principles of balance-of-power politics, and this commitment to Ukraine is likely to remain.
All this conflict risks diverting American focus from East Asia, where efforts to forge a coalition to address a significant strategic challenge are underway, it's in Australia's interest to collaborate with the U.S. in deterring China. Beijing's optimal outcome involves the U.S. remaining deeply involved in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, preventing a full pivot to East Asia.
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I have to disagree and say that the US is the greatest threat to the US. No amount of pivoting is going to help.
Brilliant.
Amen to that!
Not only to US, but to all humanity. And the world sees it now, so no going back.
Absolutely, because politicians in America seem to be on sale to any other government that's willing to pay the price.
May be you are delusional or hallucinating
The best starting point for US is to stay home and focus on your own internal troubles. So many. Instead of blaming China, Russia and everyone else for her own ills. This way American politicians can truly work for the American people and help lift the quality of life for the average Americans. Instead of messing up the world.
What do expect from the devil
@@donsong9958 islam = the shaytain
The problem is they can sustain their level of consumption only through their military and financial dominance. In other words by exploiting the rest of the world.
agree100%
US have no choise, they must to defend a dollar and their colonialism
Now the world really understands what America's freedom and democracy is all about.
My friend, those of us Americans who are truly informed know that "democracy" here illusory; it's a place where special interest groups and billionaires control the agenda via a quid pro quo. This quid pro quo works when THE 1% group dump hundreds of millions of dollars into the campaigns (via Super PACS) of the political duopoly they control. In return, they get legislation and policies enacted in their favor.
Moving on in regards to Israel: I predict that in approx thirty years or so the USA will no longer support them financially or with diplomatic cover. Why do I say that? Because Pew Research data shows that every decade more Americans are dumping Christianity in favor of secularism across the board. *Currently, the data shows that approx 62% identify as Christian -- down about thirty percent from it's highest point in the mid 1970s.* Additionally, the data shows that two demographics (Gen Z. and Millennials) are the least likely to support Israel, are more likely to support the Palestinian cause, currently abhor our present policies and biases towards Israel, and they will be the most politically engaged IN THE VOTING PROCESS thirty yrs. from today.
This rift will only grow with subsequent generations. Accordingly, secularism grows (as the data also shows that) WITH EACH GENERATION. With each generation, 31% of Christians become RELIGIOUSLY UNAFFILIATED BEFORE THEY TURN 30 yrs. old. Christians (the biggest supporters of Israel today) are the ones who support the politicians that TODAY pay any lip service in support of that aforementioned nation. *In thirty years, Christians in the USA will make up MUCH LESS THAN HALF the population (and no longer the majority religion), and most of them by then will be only Christians in name (as a form of social identity) ; but not in function (i.e supporting Israel, attending Sunday Service, etc.). In sum, the supporters of the status quo here and abroad are in for rude awakening and a serious wave of retribution in the future. Cheers.
America's democracy are double standard and false.
I will always remember what Angelina Jolie said when she comforted the refugees in Mosul: They got nothing but they are free. This is American democracy. Although you have lost your home, family, and even your life, you are enjoying democracy and freedom.
(כותרת: הדרך של חייל לאושר: משדות הקרב להגשמת החלומות
פעם היה חייל בשם ג’יימס, ששירת את מדינתו בכבוד ובאומץ. לאחר שחזר משדה הקרב, ג’יימס מצא את עצמו במצב קשה, מנסה להתאקדם בחיי האזרחיים. הוא הרגיש אבוד ומנותק, לא בטוח במטרתו עכשיו, כששירותו הצבאי הסתיים.
פעם אחת ג’יימס נתקל בספר שהבטיח לחשוף את סוד המציאת האושר. מתוך סקרנות, הוא התחיל לקרוא וגילה הודעה חזקה בעמודיה. בספר נאמר שיש לכל אדם כוח עצום בתוכו, שיכול לממש רקמות כנהות לאושר.
ממשיך לקרוא, ג’יימס הבין שהוא נגש לחיים באופן מנוגד, חושב שישנם אנשים מזולתרים מתים, בעוד אחרים נאבקים. הוא למד שעליו להדריך את דעתו האובייקטיבית להחליט במדויק על הדברים שהוא רוצה לשמחה, וכך יכול לקחת את הצעד הראשון להשגתם.
ג’יימס החליט להחיל את הלימודים של הספר למעשה. הוא רשם מקורות האושר שלו, קרא אותם שלוש פעמים ביום - בבוקר, בצהריים ובערב - והתזמין אותם בדמיון כאילו הם כבר נמצאים בידיו. הוא גם הקיפה את עצמו בהשפעות חיוביות והמנע מהשפעות שליליות שיכולות למנוע את ההתקדמות שלו.
בהדרגה, אך בוודאות, ג’יימס התחיל לראות שינויים בחייו. הוא מצא תחושת מטרה וכיוון חדשים, והתרחשו הזדמנויות. הוא מצא עבודה שמביאה לו שמחה, קנה בית שבו הרגיש בטוח, והתאחד עם משפחתו וחבריו, מוצא שמחה בחברתם.
במהלך הדרך שלו, ג’יימס למד את כוח האמונה והתודה. הוא הבין שהייה ספציפי ומפורט במאמץ למציאת האושר, הוא יכול להפוך אותו למציאות. הוא גם גילה את השמחה שמגיעה מעזרה לאחרים במציאת האושר, והפך את זה למשימתו - לחלוק את הלימודים של הספר עם חבריו החיילים.
היום, ג’יימס חי את חייו הטובים ביותר, מלאי שמחה ושבעון. הוא יודע שעם הגישה הנכונה והתמידות הכל יכול. הדרכו משדות הקרב אל ההגשמה של חלומותיו היא עדות לכוח הרוח האנושית וליכולת להתגבר על כל המכשולים בדרכו לאושר.)
@@kenl4816😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😅😅😅😅😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😮😅😅😅😅
I found it difficult to understand why they call others threat when they are growing their economies
The country that threatens every country and constantly starts wars around the world calls others a threat…
They are a threat. Americans are wrapped up in identity politics to a crippling degree. China's rising economy is a threat to reality as they perceive it, because America being the best at everything is seen as a fact of nature. If China surpasses the US, then their lives are a lie, and they just can't accept that.
Exactly.
Simple. If any other country has as strong economy as USA has, it can challenge the monopoly. If the policies of USA is based on justice and fairness, then they don't have to worry about it. But the USA knows that in a world where other countries can standup against the world police, it will not do the things, mostly illegal, anymore.
Invading other countries on a whim, looting oil money, printing paper money out of proportion of the gold reserved, having more debt than the gdp (thinking that nobody can force use to repay it).
They're proving that socialism works.
Saying China is a threat is like a school bully claiming that the new friendly kid’s growing popularity is a threat.
Wow, so dictatorship is the new trend? Good luck with that.
Except it’s not. China represents an unquestionable threat on a number of levels. Principally U.S. hegemony, US / Western economic interests, and ultimately the rules based order. There is no narrative that sees China as a benign force in its ascendancy. There is however a much wider debate about whether China ever will or could reach a point where it can realise its ambitions.
@@handcrafted30 "rules based order" is a LIE. There is no rules based order. There's a rules based SYSTEM, the UN. but it is not working. However There's a Western hegemony based ORDER. Because the order is not based on rules, since the West does not follow these rules themselves. It is based on POWER. The West bombed Libyan civilians. The West throwing Syria into civil war. The West invading Iraq, the West sanctioning Venezuela against human rights reports published by the UN office for Human rights. China is not threatening Western economic interests. Unless you see any competition as inhrently threatening. Then the USA is threatening European interests. What is good the goose is good for the gander. So no. China is not some sort of new USA.
Absolutely agree with you
@@handcrafted30143 countries do not agree with you and have a Huuuge BRI 10 years anniversary in China 2 weeks ago. Guess who is not invited? The bullies.
mr. mearsheimer, be honest. australia does not have a vested interest in containing china. the US has a vested interest in having australia as a pawn in its containment of China.
lol how naive. Ask Tibet, India, Vietnam, Korea and Japan their experience over the past 1000 years what an unchecked great power China does to any nation within its sphere of influence. Australia with its natural resources and limited actual military capability and small population has a bullseye painted on it from China’s perspective.
It doesn't matter what Australia wants. The US has an important say in Australia's international policy.
Yes, Uncle Sam's shitty foreign policy.
@@jklee5419 lol none of you are aware of whats going on...
@@donhue4546enlighten us, Please .
The core of the problem is the “ rule based “ order, designed by the US that they are exempt from it whilst demanding the rest of the world follow it. Similarly, as China grows in every metric, the US considers its growth as an increase to the direct threat to US hegemony. While China’s increase in influence comes from the result of its economic growth, the initiatives of the US and Allies, through their attempts to stifle its growth has resulted in China increase of growth in the Technological area as well, so much so that China’s contribution exceeds those of the US in every matrix that matters. In the main, the debauchery of the US rule based order, by the US, like militarising of the US dollar, applying sanctions Willy Nellie to anyone has alienated the rest of the world except the Anglo Saxon world and Europe, resulting in an increasing number of countries to be major trading partners of China. Concurrently, because of its clear rise in influence, China has become increasingly assertive and the US is doing everything to frustrate China’s challenge to the “ rule based “ order. The 2 major conflict areas have been
caused by the expansion of NATO to the doorstep of Russia, resulting in the Ukraine War and
the support of Israel despite her continuing expansion into Palestinian land. JM is no doubts an US patriot and ignores to mention breaches of US to morality and the hypocrisy of the US to
portray the “ rule based “ order as if it is based for Justice to all. As an academic, JM may be more influential had he exposed that the US is only democratic by assertion, not by fact, because it is more akin to a kleptocracy, when less than 2% of the population owns 80% of the wealth of the country and the bottom half of the population has 1% . To make “America Great
Again starts from looking after All of its population, which means reverting America from a Make Belief Democracy to a Genuine One.
Your point of view is well analyzed and insightful. It shines a light on a different dimension of JM's thesis. Thank you.
Bravo ✋ high five . So incredibly on point, this statement.
Good luck our system is stuck in power vacum mode. And the gap only grows.
loved this response, do you have a twitter or instagram you post on?
You completely missed the rising military power of China, and that's a big factor of influence. As to the dollar, it's not the US who "weaponised" it, the position of dollar in the global economy just a reflection of stability of the US economy, nothing forces people of developing countries to invest their local currency in dollars so much as instability of their own currency.
US used china as leverage against USSR and later, should have used russia as a leverage against china... but missed the opportunity fearing that bringing russia too close to west europe would create a powerful competitor, besides china... now, got an even larger problem to solve...
Exactly. They did not want a Europe-Russia alliance because, of course, they must remain above all.
America is sick, all it can do is to use other country.
@@judywu5514 in strategic terms, it´s intelligent! they fight using someone´s else arm. but when you analyze deeply the reasons, it´s wrong... it´s just to hold the power for the benefit of that 0,1% of the population... the "king´s friends"...
The US will not solve this problem. Time is lost forever.
@@user-hz8eg3wl2l only way now for Ukraine is a cease-fire and a few more steps:
1. let russian keep what they got east of dnieper;
2. NATO confirms it will not accept ukraine into the organization at the same time russia will leaves all other territories besides the mentioned above;
3. EU grants a no-association economic agreement to ukraine.
The US shouldn't pivot anywhere except back towards its own house. It's time we seriously minded our own business.
usa will be doomed
if our ancestors were as gutless we would all be speaking german.
biden and us politics will lead usa to 3 world war....and that war you americans will be looked like evil...why? cause in last 50 years you started mostly all wars....better to get rid of your now governmant
@@Herc4ever yet the US shouldn't be another empire in disguise, undercover fourth reich. But I guess that is the nature of man, they will be enslaved by another or themselves
Well there were plenty of Nazis taken in by America after WW2.
As he just said, the people in Gaza were living in the world's biggest prison for years and the US just look away doing nothing while making a big fuss about the unsubstantiated Uyghurs problems in Xinjiang.
absolutley, massive and continuous crimes against humanity.
Agree. And Americans always talk about human rights. They accused china committing genocide against xinjiang while they doing it in Gaza. They talked about Ukraine has the right to defend but not for Gaza. Total Americans bu**shit. Double standard
Do some head count of people murdered in Russia and China during XX century and try do have this conversation in any of those countries today.
Small difference: The Uyghurs in China are not sworn to China's destruction. Israeli and Egypt enforce the blockade on Gaza because Hamas is a hostile entity. By contrast, China imprisons the Uygurs out of pure racist ideology.
Double standard hypocrisy
You don't need to be Muslim to stand with Palestine 🇵🇸 You just need to be Human
A human who believes that violence and murder is the only way to ensure the world becomes Muslim.
Agreed
Have u condemned the hamas attack on Israel? When u/ hamas r human animals, why would ur own arab world support u. None of the Arab countries are ready to take in Palestinian refugees, why? They say Hamas is Palestine and vice versa. Now even Germany is deporting Syrian refugees who supported Palestine. They don't want radical Islamists in their country.
Согласна. Правительство израиля поступает безобразно.
@@user-je5ri6rd7x
babushka
Long story short, US always view competition as threat, and where they try to interfere with and shut down their imaginery "threat", war breaks out.
I have watched many interviews with him. He always says China is the biggest threat, but never explains why. For the past 30 years China has been very helpful economically, providing cheap goods to the US, and not threatening war. They only became an enemy when their economy started to rivel the US.
The US has gotten away with numerous global atrocities since the end of the Cold War and faced no real consequences from any other country, because it was the most powerful. If/when China surpasses it militarily and economically, the US will lose it’s privilege. Other countries will turn to China to help deal with US incursions. The US must do everything it can to keep its status or it will be forced to actually face consequences for its actions across the globe. That’s why China is a threat
Threatening the economical hegemony of USA is already a threat by itself, doesn't have to be militarily or soft power either. If the EU was capable of doing it (it's what Trump thought, that's why he implemented those tariffs back in the days) USA would deem EU as a threat just like it does with China. Ofc EU does not have that kind of capability (or even ambition).
If US wants China to be its enemy, it will be. Think about who is threatening the world peace.
You are wrong. Chiina paid this guy to lie!
@@KhalimdorrBingo! Any challenge to hegemony (hard or soft power) is de facto a threat.
As I am not a US citizen, I am sarcastically smiling when hearing all this anxiety of losing the privilege of being the only superpower. Stay calm and like the British did in the past, admit the bitter reality and adapt to the new situation without much drama.
The Brits still flirt with their self-image as an imperial power that meddles in conflicts far away.
I am an American, I can guarantee you that there is no way we are going to do that. Sorry
@@memeticistyou will learn the hard way
@@J_a_s_o_n Unfortunately, on our way down there is a good chance we take the world with us. Extinction is the death of birth and the cessation of learning as well.
A reduction in the ability of The USA to borrow money, is the most likely cause of future world peace. U.S. military spending will be necessarily reduced. Therefore, U.S. military dominance will continue to fade. Real negotiations will become important. It may be a rocky road to get there, but everything will be great eventually. The U.S. will be much better off, too, other than for a handful of power-hungry warmongering psychopaths.
Look for Peace not for War in this short life!
No more Enemy, We are Friend and as a human beings!
You can eliminate your enemies by making them your friends.
The Chinese and for that matter, have every right yo progress through its own effort and works. Problem is usa n west cannot tolerate this as its hegemony is threatened.
totally agree,, same thing in Africa
Exactly! Spot On!
TRUE!
true but also the west values of freedom, liberalism and democracy
@@neilosman4440 >"west values of freedom, liberalism and democracy"
Don't you know the west has exploited the people and resources of Africa, Asia, South America and the Middle East for decades and centuries?
I have a hard time continuing supporting US foreign policy in good faith and without being cynical. Just look at their position on Palestine and Israel. It is clear that the international rules don’t apply to the US and its allies 😔
See Iraq, Afghanistan, Libia and so many more foreign policy blunders 🤦🏻♂️
The global south is taking note.
agree
They have something called "rule based orders". 😂😂
Don't forget all the destruction of South American countries the CIA has consistently being carrying out.
@@andrewlim7751 a Course of "self destruction " it would seem..⁉️🤔🤦♂️
The rule is whatever policy is most beneficial to the maintenance of the status quo at any given time xD
It's not so much rules as it is a guideline, really.
There are no real rules or real friends, just real and permanent interests
I’m impressed by so much truth and clarity 🫡🙏
When I heard him speak about Ukraine loosing at that time I was very upset and was convinced he was wrong. Now listening to this again today...I sadly understand what he was saying.
They just lost adviidka. They were outgunned by the Russians. Ten-to-one artillery ratio apparently. Just like the Prof said.
I knew it would loose from day one. But it will remain a nation at least. Only smaller, and having lost its young men. You ask Carl 12, Napoleon and Hitler about beating Russia.
th-cam.com/video/fnm82jK3fvU/w-d-xo.htmlfeature=shared
Only Russia can now help Ukraine.
@@user-hz8eg3wl2l Only stupid can write comment like this
As an Australian the majority of the world and humanity is not on our side, we need to think and ask are we the baddies in this world?
As an Australian, I would say we aren't the baddies yet but we are getting close to being one after abstaining from voting for a humanitarian pause on the war on Gaza. The baddies are the 14 countries who voted against the UN resolution A/ES-10/L.25 titled "Protection of civilians and upholding legal and humanitarian obligations" on Israel's war on Gaza/Palestine.
Most of the rest of the world (121 countries) voted for the resolution, 14 voted against and 44 abstained.
In a way, Australia became a collaborator in the genocide of Palestinians by the Israelis. All recorded in UN documents and videos. Unlike the uighur genocide the west like to spin about.
The "baddies" are the psychopathic oligarchs, not peoples or nations
@@civicblade1 An abstention at the UN is the "No" vote of a mollusc - spineless. Even New Zealand's right wing government and France voted "Yes". Albo and Wong simply followed instructions from WH.
That is if you count nations, it becomes a whole lot worse when you count population!
As was said by a famous American of America "we still have the barbaric values of savages from 200 years ago".
The Russo-Ukrainian war did not break out in 2022. It started in 2014. In 2022 it escalated greatly.
You need to listen to other John Mearsheimer lectures to understand he does not consider the Ukraine war unjustified and fully agrees with Putin's excuse of NATO expansionism... That the small countries that border Russia don't matter and have no rights and should comply with the wishes of their "polar" neighbors, in this case Russia.
Absolutely right. It was a huge mistake Obama and his adm made; they were suckers … and I was, and am, a fan of Obama. But, they read it all wrong or just didn’t want to be in a war, the one we are fighting now.
Russia attacked Ukraine in 2022. You can cope and try to change what happened but Russia lost already. Theres no way Russia can win. Using T55s and WW2 trucks is what #2 army in the world.
Remind me. Who invaded who in 2022?
@@AcidBombYTtheres no cope. They've been in the donbass region and annexed crimea in 2014. If you were paying attention to geopolitics before it became "stand for ukraine" with a Ukrainian flag in your social media bio you would know that. He just stated facts and didnt pick a side. Educate yourself.
This forum is highly appreciated. It indeed provides accurate and in depth knowledge of the world affairs. Thanx.
I wanna hear how we can all get along without war/aggression and all walk away with peace and added value to the world....
I always say if man put there problems aside we would then be able to reach the stars.
I asked myself the same,
There has never before in history been a period of time where nation-states were not in major conflict. Not a single time. It always amazes me, how people think if America goes away, all of their problems will suddenly come to an end or even get better.
@@skdjfsldkjs they won't come to an end, but it will be their own problems of their own fruition. America always has an agenda.
@@incognito96 I don't see how having problems of their own fruition that kill millions of people is better than having relative global peace, outside of the Middle East which is always at war, and Russia which seems to be a new development. Before the "liberal hegemony" Mearsheimer complains about, from 1914 to 1945, wars like in Gaza happened across the globe, every year.
How funny the US always treats some other as the threats. They never try to solve their own problems and always blame others. 😂😂
thats how global politics work, if you don't secure your place on top some other power will come, take it and dominate. there's no "let's be friends and share the no. one spot"
When all you have is a hammer everything is a nail.
Look how quick the Chinese made the "impossible" by restoring diplomatic relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia.
That’s what their ideology is - this is also why they jerk off so hard to Marvel superhero movies and the idea of good vs evil, because they are not interested in reality, they are interested in THINKING they are always the good guy. Yet ask them what they think when they are a bit upset at their government and suddenly it’s as if listening them talk about Hitler himself.
Funny realities, China is now the biggest buyer of Middle East oil and natural gas. Its appetite can even cover both Russia and the Middle East. Iran has signed the 25-year Cooperation Program with China for 400 million foreign direct investment. I guess the US weapon has less power than China's money at this time 🤣😂😂😂@@BalloonInTheBalloon
@@kxttd6870but isn’t their economy contracting, as well as facing an epidemic with their birth rate ??
Unfortunately, the United States always thinks of its misfortune only to others and never finds the problem in itself.
the state is a search for external enemies always.
It's not imaginary enemies that USA thinks of. They actually do exist if you understand Chinese then the CCP said clearly for 40 years they want to replace USA. 韬光养晦
They want to rule the world with Chinese style of Marxism.
They know but they need to vote
Blaming others is easier than fixing own problems!
@@zzx2879n
Fantastically engaging presentation-facts,strategies and endgames.
The war I'm fighting with my trade right now is way bigger than Ukraine war.
I keep loosing in real trade but win in Demo.
Should I give up on Trade?
What should I do?
How may I do better?
What I'm I doing incorrectly?
I HAVE INCURRED SO MUCH LOSSES TO TRADE ON MY OWN,I TRADE WELL ON DEMO BUT I THINK THE REAL MARKET IS MANIPULATED.
here is my problem I have been making losses trying to make trade. I thought to trade demo is just like the real..can anyone help me out or at least tell me on what to do.
I always advice new members to have an orientation on how it works before getting involved. Trade offers more benefits than just holding.
Kate Floretta
in stagram
Kate Floretta
Face book
None of my educated friends are happy that Australia has lost it's Sovereignty to the US.
As an Australian I agree
You are not alone. EU is in the same position.
we should push for republic of australia. that is why i always vote for citizen party.
As a Muslim, whether you agree or not, I support a West with Christian values. One downside of the EU and "Commonwealth" becoming American "allies" is us taking their secular liberal culture
Only idiots would believe that Australia will be invaded by China. Logistics aside, they can't.
Why must the US "contain" anyone? What gives them the right?
He's not speaking normatively. He's saying "if the U.S. wants to maintain their level of power, this is what they have to do," not "this is what the U.S. should do, from a moral perspective"
Don't be fooled.
John Mearsheimer is nothing more than a egoistic white hypocrite.
What he is always saying is that Uass and the other whites are no doing it right to dorminate.
He never said that Uass and whites is wrong to dorminate.
He is just a another delusional white "supremacist "
Логика развития капитализма заставляет их делать это.
In order to be always on the top and talk you down and remain hegemonic, that's what it's all about.
"Rules based order"
The saddest, most tragic in Gaza Israel war. Ahmad Shabat 4yr old tragedy. Survived two Israeli strikes, lost his parents, in 2nd lost both his legs. Deeply powerfully sorrowful. Ahmad Shabat , my 💜 💜 💜 and my mind with you
Two Notes: One *important omission (Ukraine-Russia) and one important flaw (Israel-Palestine).*
1. Putin, in March 2022, with few troops in Ukraine (100 thousand were ridiculously insufficient for an invasion and occupation. That's why it was a Special Military Operation), tried to reach a Guarantee Agreement. It called for neutrality for Ukraine (like Finland until 2022), potentially belonging to the EU, and semi-autonomous status for the Russian-speaking East.
Well, the draft agreement had already been signed by the parties, Putin gave the order to withdraw (they had not even entered Kiev), and Zelensky, after receiving Boris Johnson, Biden's postman, allowed himself to be convinced and did not sign the Agreement. Yesterday, November 24th, one of Zelensky's representatives blamed Boris Johnson for this error. Imagine. Now the terms of this Agreement are impossible because Ukraine is defeated and the East has endorsed entry into Russia.
2. The lack of information about Israel. Ultra Orthodox Jews, whose population is growing, are anti-state of Israel and do not recognize the Israeli government, defending the right of Palestinians to their land. They defend an ancient coexistence with Muslims and defend the continuation of the Jewish diaspora.
Lie,Lie,Lie
Trouble with the US is that their solution to everything is almost always some form of violence or threat.
Because the US is a colonial-settler nation, much like Australia, Canada, and Israel.
@@paulheydarian1281much like every nation when they become powerful
@@paulheydarian1281Israel is not because they have ancestral,historical,archeological,religious connection to the land. Unlike Australia or USA.. 😊
This is the result of sheer ARROGANCE that they think they are indespensable and a chosen race which are all delusional BS
@@user-op1jq8bl7s
No Israel is a colonial state, just read the letters of Theodor Herzl the founder of Zionism, he explicitly says that he is trying to colonize Palestine.
China has been a great benefit to Australia, he doesn't mention that. The reason Australia hasn't had a recession for so long is due to their rapidly growing neighbor who has done nothing to harm Australians
well, they have cut most trade of late and if no US would already have invaded oz and all of asia
China would have invaded all of Asia? Where do you get this nonsense from?
@@lauchlanguddy1004 Pl tell me：How many wars has China been involved in over the past 30 years?
If you dream that China already have invaded oz and all of asia, I just want to say: hope you will live in that dream forever.
@@lauchlanguddy1004Trades is between consenting parties. Look specifically at the times when certain trades of goods between US and China, compare that with China and Australia of those goods, you got it?
and never will unless we provoke china on a countries behafe , China has Never attacked any country in history!!!
I can only dream of articulating my thoughts like Professor Mearsheimer
Without Europeans and Americans, the people of every country would live in peace and happiness
Very straightforward: ‘rule based order in our interests’ = we make rules for others which don’t apply to us
👍👍👍
The word "rules based order" is a LIE. There's no "rules based" order. There is a rules based system, the UN, which is failing Palestinians as the West does not apply those rules, or selectively. And there is a Western power hegemony ORDER. Which of course is not happy with other countries' economic success. So it's mean girls club trying to bully the new cool guy in town.
The rules are not bad. Problem is, that some think they do'nt need to obey them.
@@inspectator9384all for thee none for yeee
Hi Ching Lao Zhou!
May I humbly ask why anyone think that the Rules based order which only benefit the US is righteous ?
Why would the Chinese people coming out of poverty be a threat to the Western people, especially people in the United State ? Are we an inferior race who only deserve an inferior way of life, and the planetary resources are only for the Anglo Saxons and the Chosen Nation ? When one saw Chinese on cruise ships cruising worldwide, he becomes paranoid and humiliated ?
The US waged wars all over the world in almost all the years of its existence while China bought huge sums of the US debts, replenished their arsenal ; and all of a sudden it becomes the biggest enemy !
Why someone must dominate the world ? Couldn’t human live peacefully together and share the fruits of technological advances ?
SO WELL SAID !!
Americans lack the intelligence to cooperate. They think only in terms of domination and destruction.
The authoritarian government may have something to do about it, but you can keep crying reeecism, communist propagandist
The U.S. & this Mearsheimer guy make no sense to me at all about the biggest threat to the U.S. is China! China seems to be pretty peace loving & all China wants to do is trade, run businesses & make money, improve its own nation & people & help other nations in need at the same time Win-Win. Whereas U.S. just wants zero sun game & remain world hegemon. US can pivot to China all it wants, China does not seem to want to hurt any nations, but trade with them & co-exist peacefully. US needs to stop thinking in terms of control, contain & run the world, it is not the boss of our planet!!
I agree - why do they keep using the word "threat" anyway? No one is going to attack the US, and if China becomes more prosperous, the US does too, since China is its biggest trading partner.
An excellent presentation by Prof. Mearsheimer though I would've liked to have heard some mention of the qualitative superiority of Russian military ISR capability & doctrine in the Ukraine conflict. The Russians were outnumbered 3 to 1 for at least the first 12 months of this conflict, and despite those odds succeeded in attriting the Ukrainians at a drastic casualty ratio, and capturing major military objectives like Mariupol and Severodonetsk. Russian hardware like the Lancet seems to have outperformed any Western counterpart, and it seems that the nature of warfare has been permanently shifted and that Western 'combined arms doctrine' has been invalidated by new technologies.
Russian military under General Shoigu has seen much training and modernization. This peak during the training of 300,000 men in Russia. Moving 300,000 men in formations was a huge endeavour, but it was a clear sign of how serious their training has become.
One cannot depends on training men on the frontline, since that causes too much casualty. As I see it, Russian army's effectiveness could be 7x more than Ukrainians, even with all the NATO support. (My biased mind said 10x more)
Here what I say. It is not weather or tech, which is and was winning. It wasn't weather that won against Napoleon, Hitler, and many others, tried to conquer Russia. It is russian steel balls, hardened in a harsh surviving environment. Russians didn't want to fight ukrainians, just get rid of puppet govt. That's why you haven't seen carpet bmbing like in Iraque. Ukrainians are brothers to russians. I see it like small sister being brainwashed and used by old perv, promised her good life but instead just kept on using that poor soul. Leave her alone, Sam, let her live. She suffered, bled too much under your control already. And thinking that russians will crumble under your predicted sanctions was your grave mistake. Now pray for Putin to stay in power as Russia today looks like angrily concentrating bee hive.
Your figure is very interesting, it's a pity it's not clear from where. The Russian army entered Ukraine in 150-200 thousand people + 50 thousand LDPR troops (Donetsk and Luhansk regions). That is, in total, a group of 200 thousand people.
Ukraine had 200 thousand people at that time.
Russia did not plan to fight in such a format as it is happening now, or rather it was plan B if plan A did not work. Russia wanted to do as it was between the USSR and Czechoslovakia (the operation was successful), as it was in Chechnya (the operation was a failure and the war dragged on, but initially the tactics were the same, the tanks went even without combat kits), as it was in Georgia (the operation was successful, the war was avoided). But in Ukraine, as in Chechnya... The tanks entered, the government was not afraid and the war began. The war in Chechnya lasted from 1994 to 2009 in one form or another. The war with Ukraine will also drag on for many years. This is a normal situation, we have a lot of experience in such wars.
@@gaara13756 Ukraine will not have enough of such battles for many years.
If the nature of the war becomes insurgent rather than a combined arms positional one, then it will be a low-intensity conflict and it could last a long time, especially in western Ukraine.
But in the carnage that is happening there now, I am not sure that Ukraine will withstand even a year.
If you want to hear more about the superority of russian military, look at Scott Ritter or Col.Mc.Douglas.
It's not only the US prestige & super power status that is at risk, the US exceptionalism is also in hot waters, something that never has been associated with a super power before.
Australia need to intensify efforts to free one of its own, Julian Assange.
terrorist have more support than him,
Australia is not a really independent, sovereign country to be able to defy American interests.
Australia has grown into adulthood as a nation. Sadly it still sucks its thumb, and would wet the bed if it had to act like an adult.
Very well said
Australia is a Vassal !
The only thing that he is wrong about is that Australia's recent economic growth in the past few decades is mainly due to its reliance on China's economic rise. Additionally, American ideologies that create imaginary enemies prevent them from focusing on their internal problems.
What is your take then about the economy of Australia?
Lol, when I first went to Australia there were no lights or paved road from the Brisbane airport to the city. Then the mining boom happened. Tell me, where did the boom come from? Brainwashed racists will never credit the right people because they are brainwashed racists. They will INSIST they are not brainwashed racists though😂😂😂
Well, China's is now most of the world largest trading partner. The only thing wrong with that is the perception that there's something wrong with that.
American is not ideologies, it lie to have better profit .
History is repeating...
😂 During the 70's 80's ..
U$A to EU : We should not invest in China, the system is bad and needs to be punished.
EU : OK , agree
But after that, it was U$A companies that flooded into China to make huge profits, the EU so dxmb.🤣
Australia has to keep distance from the US Warmongers as much as possible !
I watched the whole speech, Mr. Mearsheimer was telling the truth, very impressive.
No China threat, No Soviet threat - just US threat.... nice picture of perfect world
the soviet was done when it first started as it became a fascist state under stalline...now under Putin its a US in 20 years from now with Olygarch directly sitting on presidency seats taking their money from their private ''venture''.
would not have gotten better with Putin as a so called ally.
we messed up with Russia when the wall came down and tried to steal it for the western olygarch.
every world = a fake ideology aka a mental -personal- projection. [we are born with a heart on earth.]
Mearsheimer is another neo-liberal hack. He still thinks that the US can stop China.
You clearly didn't understand a single word.
@@rotierender_lurchYou are clearly brainwashed.
Can you also explain why is USA in Syria grabbing Syrians oil despite the country opposing to it. Thanks Professor
*Kurdish oil.
✡
A THIEF THAT'S WHY IT INVADED ARAB COUNTRIES FROM THE BEGINNING BUT NOW I S IS COMING TO AN END & will be REPLACED BY MUSLIMS TO RULE THE WORLD WITH JUSTICE AFTER IT WAS FILLED IT WITH INJUSTICES 👉 U S IS LUCEFERIAN 👿👹😈🤮🤮🤮🤮
Now, can you imagine Syria sends it's troops to, say, Texas to "protect" oil fields over there?! No?! Why not?!
@@cska2001 Russia has a contract to suck the oil out of the ground in Syria. Were you aware of that? Were you aware of Russia attacking US forces in Syria(without success)?
Great mind. Even a child could understand the world with a teacher like him.
A great honest Teacher - the Gvt needs to listen to such a passionate nationist.
Why must America consider China or India or any nation which has progressed & developed dynamically be a threat ??? When a nation has prospered & advanced, surely she will earn respect & praises & encouragement but not enemies; perhaps envies! Why must economic, scientific, electronic, space & communication achievements be politicised & suppressed!!! Humanity shd be happy, encouraged & heartened & thankful that life will be better for all!!! WTF !!!!!!!
Pure envy
Because people remain people. The state is also people. The basic desire of competition is to be the only winner at the top of the pyramid. The United States sat on it for a very long time and was the only superpower for more than 30 years. Now they want to throw down those who are crawling towards success. Maybe there are good guys and bad guys in the world. But certainly not among states. Regardless of the system, they all want one thing - domination.
If you replace the word "America" with "The richest families of the West," then the question becomes rhetorical.
In essence, US is capitalist state which means it's controlled by rich families. And as every rich families does, they never want anyone besides them become richer than them
Honestly, many of us worldwide are tired of US “leadership” and all the wars and bullshit.
Watching from Somalia.
that's weird, that's character by character the same message as other comments. Almost like...it's autogenerated.
@@JanVansteenlandt cope bot
I'm Russian, and this guy speaker makes me seek.
People in Ukraine certainly do not think so. Those who tired are murderous regimes in Russia, North Korea and Iran
@@JanVansteenlandt Freedom credits+5, now you are free from prison rape for the next 3 days and ask Sleepy Joe for your next instant ramen meal please😅
What happened to the Q&A at the end?
i would love to hear what he means by containing china ? is he thinking militarily ( the forever american failed strategy ) or honest economic competition ?
I don't think China is competing honestly. They steal with arms and legs.
America must learn how to understand the true meaning of the civilised nation.Just stop sanctions, conflicts, invasion and supporting genocide.Only then you understand humanity that will lead you to understand the true meaning of civilize nation.
Oscar wilde said:" America is the only country on this earth that transitioned from barbarism to decadence without civilization in between " and he was absolutely right.
@@DK-ev9dg ha ha ha
America must PAY, first of all. It will.
And which Arab Shakespeare should we be looking for? Aristotle, Socrates, Cicero? These were all part of US civilization, which built the country everyone is fighting to get into. Not even Muslims want to live in Saudi Arabia. I happen to also want the US out of all other countries and I want all foreign cultures out of the US. I want US troops to stop defending Arab countries and sending Palestine our $$$. If foreigners are so smart, civilized, and independent, give US back our money and our troops. But, if you read the book, Siege of Mecca, you will understand that the Saudi royals are afraid of their own people and need US to prop them up.
@@bdjoliat Aristotle, Socrates and Cicero were part if US civilization? Haha ha ha ha. USA never had a civilization. You are cocky American.
In my estimation, uncle Sam should have focused on infrastructure and the prosperity of the American people rather than constantly bullying and sanctioning the world to maintain it's hegemony. The US government uses everyone and is no friends of anyone.
When you don't have real money but mostly paper money to rebuild infrastructure, you go steal some( natural resources and land) putting a trillion dollar a year military to use.
Whoa whoa whoa, cool it with the anti-semitism
@@ottoginafiel5468 where was the antisemitism?
The US doesn't focus on domestic infrastructure because that's not the donor base, the vested interest group.
Look at all the Israelis in US politics, they have additionally captured the political system.
The ONLY way to reset the US political system is by the physical force of its citizens. The vested interest groups have bought US congress politicians so nothing is going to change. It's the uniparty.
@@mikec5603Exactly!!!!
Its weired that American see all other progressing nations as a threat. 😮
This is very true thank you so much ❤❤
The "rules based order" contains rules against the committing of war crimes against civilian populations. There seems to be a double standard now being applied in Gaza. Putin has been labeled a war criminal due to the collateral damage against the civilian population in Ukraine. Everyone was in agreement with that assessment up until Israel started their scorched earth carpet bombing campaign against the civilian population in Gaza. We've listened to all kinds of West based excuses as to why this wholesale slaughter of civilians in Gaza doesn't count or matter, how it doesn't qualify as a war crime. But what Israel has done to the civilians living in Gaza, even blocking and bombing their escape routes, cutting off food, water and medicine for three weeks now, looks a hundred times worse than what's happening in Ukraine. If seven thousand trapped civilians in Gaza being intentionally slaughtered in three weeks of carpet bombing isn't a war crime according to "rules based order", than a double standard is definitely being applied when Putin is labeled a war criminal for causing the death of civilians in Ukraine. At least the Ukrainian have been provided corridors of escape completely denied to the Palestinian civilians. And the exterminations taking place in Gaza look like a racist genocide given that the Palestinians are primarily of Indiginous heritage compared to the Israelis and their American sponsors. I'm sorry but the Western slanted propaganda around this issue is obvious and preposterous.
Apartheid at it's best.
Unfortunately the aggression caused Hamas And Russia caused all this mess to begin with. We wouldn't be worried about war crimes if Russia and Hamas had stayed and not attacked their neighbors l. They are responsible for all these deaths in both sides
I think his point is that the rules based order, previously integral to western thought, is breaking down. When this happens the west is left with one thing it can use to maintain its interests, brute power.
As the west starts to resort to this the ideals and "niceties" it might have once used to justify it will go out the window. At that point referring to what's fair, or allowed under international law or reasonable when you reflect on the grievances of an enemy is of little or no concern. The west will just get on with defending its own interests without the pretence of operating under a rules based system.
It is worth debating what has caused the decline of a standard once prevalent in the west ("progressivism" has caused it) but it would be pretty academic when the process really kicks in
you said everything 💥
With regards to international law and UN charters you nailed it, double standards wherever you listen to powerful corporate media.
My antithesis regarding Russian
military actions in Ukraine has always been trying to avoid civilian casualties if possible- hard to achieve when your counterpart takes position in
urban areas … since Russia controls the air zone, how come there never has been a carpet bombing of Ukrainian cities?
Now Russia controls the Russian speaking areas in the East and secured their Naval base in Crimea - evidently their goal from the beginning of their attack. This is geopolitical strategy - not caring for international law is no more a monopoly of the USA.
Since 1945 this is the first enemy of the USA that is capable militarily to withstand.
No wonder the USA is dismayed and does not want to accept this, times are changing.
The goal to integrate Ukraine into NATO has failed, no Western missiles will be placed on Russian borders and the further expansion of NATO has ended. Regarding this fact, the West has lost the war even if the fighting goes on.
John, just because US no longer able to exercise its hegemony in a unipolar world without any challenge, now you consider China a threat. I think you are absolutely wrong. First, how many wars had US embarked since 2000s as compared to China. The answer is obvious. Second, how many countries did Uncle Sam exercise its own unilateral action by sanctioning any countries it like. Thirdly, how many nuclear weapons do US possess.? New Pentagon report claims China now has over 500 operational nuclear warheads and already feels so insecure. That figure is still a fraction of the more-than 5,000 warheads the US possess...... Anyway, China's threat is a scandalous initiative created by the US and its Western puppets to stifle China's economic and social development including technological advancement. The Chinese nation with its 5000 years of civilization will continue to advance whatever unscrupulous ways the West is trying to obstruct. You may be right China's rise may not be peaceful especially when the US and its Westen puppets continue to impede it rise peacefully.
The only technological innovation the Chinese are good at is stealing other countries' technology 😂
The US cant afford to have any near peer competition. Even if its an ally, the US will keep it down. For example, look how they bombed Nordstream 2. To make sure Germany will never be as big as the US in regards to economics.
Well said.
Well said and 100% spot on.
He meant China is a threat to the US's hegemony and world dominance.
Truly a briliant man!!! 👏👏👏👏👏
I am Japanese and can not speak English at all. Sorry for using Japanese English. After the dropping of the atomic bombs on Hiroshima city and Nagasaki city in 1945 everybody living in this world 8,045,000,000 became silent for 78 years until today. Please do not drop the atomic bombs over the heads of lovely Palestinian babies and children. Please! お願い！
Do you forgive USA for this terrorist act?
"For anybody which changes his principles depending on whom he's dealing, that is not a man who can lead a nation." - Nelson Mandela
Applaud to Mr Mandela. Sounds like the entire collective west then.
...but he's the ruler of the wolves and will rule through ages to come"-Nelson Mandela in the afterlife
Nelson speaking about Kier Starmer, great foresight.
the USA is not exactly a nation in the traditional sense anymore, it's a cohort of uncohesive population groups governed by corporations. There's nothing in common between white Republicans and AOC or Ilhan Omar. What underpins nation is identity, white Republicans probably don't believe that they're one and united anymore. So that's why in the USA you have multiple speech. It's market, it's electoral.
@commanderdancody Principles are the same. the approach is different. If you change the approach, you're smart, if you change the principle, you're a hypocrite.
That was a very interesting presentation Prof. Mearsheimer. I am just an ordinary man but the fact that I was born in Jaffa/Palestine in 1938 and left Palestine when I was around 10 with my parents and siblings of 7 to Lebanon in 1948 then to Syria. As an adult I went to Kuwait, to Cyprus during the Kuwaiti war , then I went to Dubai before ending up in Canada. Now I am a senior of 85 and do wish and hope that the Palestinians see and enjoy freedom in their own Country. and be treated as a human being with some fairness.. Palestinians are peaceful by nature if not stirred .
Spoken from the heart! Agree with you and wish you to see this in your Lifetime!
They might have been in your youth and when you lived there. It seems they have a different culture now.
@@samnangthim6949one word: occupation
tell us about the many peace treaties that Palestinians signed.
Thank you for your humanity. You said the truth.
Mearsheimer,l' m afraid will be ignored by the US.
I like the way how he tells the story
Australian economy grew because of its trade with China. China has never threatened Australia.
You have no understanding.🧐😨
@@paulfaigl8329He's just telling a fact, and you just don't believe it.
@@paulfaigl8329 You watched too much anti-China media.
That's not true. When Australian asking questions about de origin of covid they blocked goods and services!!! That the problem. With china
@JurOz1980 is China not the largest trading partner of Australia?
Mearsheimer is applying structural realism in a very textbook way, which is to be expected. But he is wrong about several things, the most crucial being the idea of a "China Threat." China is much less threatening, on a global scale, than the US. Indeed, China has not used military force (excepting a border skirmish with India) in decades. What Mearsheimer is proposing is actually creating enemies when they do not need to be.
But China will have to become more aggressive around the world and inflate it's own military budget in order to survive. I believe that AI, supercomputers and robotics will play a crucial role in the future. And China will have to produce hundreds millions of robots, drones and autopilots to use them against people of United States on the battlefield.
It’s also very unclear whether their economy is healthy at all. With their real estate sector teetering and their demographic problem looming, there is a significant chance that China experiences a major economic downturn this decade.
@@jakejakeboom Gordon Chang for example is saying for 30 years now that China and it's economy is collapsing. He has a very perverted economic logic. He is saying that 0 % GDP growth in the West is actually economic recovery. And that 8 % of GDP growth in China is collapsing.
@@jakejakeboom But China has 1,42 billion people for God's sake man. If China suddenly decides to shift into higher gear and Communist Party of China orders their own population to have more children. Population numbers will explode in China
@@jakejakeboom yeah, we all know china always collapse!
A great Aussie channel! Thanks.
100 years from now future generations will read a history book with the title " The Rise and Fall Uncle Sam"
I’m Australian and seriously planning my escape unfortunately.
I love Australia but not the way they are heading,not doing justice to its population just in bed with the US.
We have the resources to stand alone but again greed takes precedence,what about the Aussie’s, we don’t need American control
Imperialists always stick together.
Coming to NZ? NZ is fairly diplomatic and measured on this issue, making us one the most neutral countries in the world. We are too small to take sides and are not hated. In addition we are fairly insignificant on the world stage. I was really happy about us not being on the map. If there is a full on war, I predict we will outlive everyone by a couple of months until the nuclear fall out gets to us. Shame about the house prices and laundering in real estate as the housing issue really sucks.
If Australia gets invaded by China, who are you going to come crawling to for help????
Totally agree
The great PM Gough Whitlam stood up for Oz sovereignty against the yanks and we all know what happened afterwards.
At least John is honest about the USA behavior,
Naked, aggressive power control .
With OUR TAX $$$$$
Certainly the U.S. could back off and allow leaders like the late Saddam Hussein consolidate control of hydrocarbons in the Middle East. Shipping lanes could be left to pirates. Friendly nations could be left to fend for themselves. .... With no Russian protector, Armenia is about to lose the southern half of their country to Azerbaijan. There's plenty more conflicts waiting to break.
One thing for sure is that US attracted all the talents here. No other countries can do this. Look Europe and UK, attracting what to their competitiveness.
@@johny-ql4wn talents flooding in from southern border?
@@maxzeleweski3120 that is the current government issue. if you are a demo， thats your choice， otherwise， vote the other party， at least you have a choice
Given recent situations, he is 100 percent right
Tq prof, now I got to know what happened between them, so much details summarized by prof.
More illuminating and encouraging is to read the majority of comments expressing their rejection of US hegemony. This is the future.
It's called confirmation bias, you fool. People listen to what they already agree with. No one changed their views because of this video and few watched this video who weren't already opposed to USA policy.
Any rational mind could see that US foreign policies are holding back the world's progresses, including itself
Free Julian Assange
Free Red China...
Thanks alot for the information,, very interesting indeed.
I can't agree more. From S.Korea. He is a great and eminent American scholar.
I agree with most of what John Mearsheimer says, other than his stance on China. China and the East's strength is on an upward trajectory, while America and the rest of the West is on a downward trajectory. He sees China as the great threat. I see China as the great hope. My concern is that as Thucydides' Trap closes America will burn down the world rather than relinquish control to the East. My hope is that the tide has already turned and America's strength is already spent before Armageddon happens.
China the great hope?? 🤣🤣🤣 China is that looming threat which is being suspended right only because of US dominance. Once the US falls, Imperialist will go for South China Sea, Indian territory, Japanese, Neplese, Bhutnese, Taiwan and God knows what else is other in the Chinese mind. Freedom of Tibet, East Turkistan and South Mongolia awaits. China policy of not intervening in Human right issues based on the label of internal matter will add more to isolated am authorinian world world. Of course US and allies were no saint but being Asian I choose US over China anyday.
I agree completely with your assessment.
China is the great hope? Too funny. You must be Chinese because no other people within China’s sphere of influence feels that way. They know from direct historical experience what China is like as a regional hegemon.
Its not the american who stand on the right side of history, its obviously american just swimming against the tide of history. 😂😂
Give them some credit, they’ve been the big boys of global politics for a hundred years by now and managed to avoid killing us all so far.
I hope Professor will clarify a bit more why China would be a threat. How many countries China is occupying? How many military bases? Apart from trade and commerce, which is beneficial to countries involved, how is China a threat? Can someone explain please.
I'm from Southeast Asia. My suggestions are not necessarily right. But in my POV, the China have more influence than US here. There are more Chinese products than ever before. They are our biggest creditor. But I think so many countries in Asia now have more tendencies to follow China since the US abused their global power. When we live in Uni Polar world, we obey US, but now we have more choice, which is China.
Again you are right about military basis etc, but more and more asian country now will not subservient to the US as they used to.
What I see now is that we as population in my country felt more influence from China in our everyday life than US. We see the US & western country as nothing but arrogant (at least that the common perception that I hear everywhere here)
He meant China is a threat to the US's hegemony and world dominance.
China is a threat because us can't bully it..the same with Russia, both are too strong and independent
China is a threat for showing a better alternative similar to many things the US is against, ever heard of better healthcare, free education, homeless people, they will do anything to stop others from showing a better example
I also have that question when I listen to Mearsheimer. I don't see the facts supporting the fear that China will become aggressive. In contrast, his thesis regarding Ukraine is easy to understand, and many events are consistent with what he has predicted.
I always love listening to John Mearshiemer !, he has great grasp of Geopolitics and great power politics, it’s hard to argue with his analysis but I would have one question! For him
He says that the U.S. should do everything to stop China dominating the southern hemisphere but why does he think that it’s ok for the U.S. to dominate its hemisphere but it’s not ok for China ? And if he doesn’t think the U.S. has right to dominate the western hemisphere then does he think the U.S. has the right to be the one to stop China trying to dominate the southern hemisphere?
There seems to me to be a contradiction/ Bias in Mr Mearshiemers view of the world , surely if one day there would be a true balance of power then the U.S. will need to be weakened .
Maybe the the U.S , China , Russia Britain France etc need to realise that they have no right to dominate any other country or it’s people’s!
Como puedo ver o escuchar en español
Uncle Sam is no longer a great power he needs to get his head checked.
The US is always right even if it's wrong. That's because it always sees others from above. When it finally sees others from below and lying down, then it will know the true meaning of friendship.
words so wise.
Such a knowledgeable and tremendously rational academic member
John Mearsheimer's problem is that he's fixated on the idea that, whilst the norm for the development of 'civilisation' throughout history has been the rise and fall of militarily expansionist empires and that norm will never change.
The US empire has been in an almost constant state of war since WWII and has 800-1000 overseas military bases projecting military force almost worldwide. Meanwhile China has one foreign military base, a naval base in the horn of Africa to help with the Somali pirate issue, hasn't fired a single shot overseas in over 40 years and yet has grown rapidly, lifting over a billion of their population out of the direst poverty. A completely different and successful model that John has completely failed to notice and, as competitors, advocates bringing them undone. If an athlete in the Olympics tried to win by nobbling their competitors they would lose all credibility and never be allowed to compete again. Blowing out a candle doesn't bring light.
Every empire in history has fallen largely due to their overspend in military projection and this has been the norm. The US economy is failing, over $30 trillion in debt, their middle class is shrinking, their pool of working poor and homeless is growing at an alarming pace and their infrastructure is crumbling. We're watching the fall of the US empire and, if we don't wake up, we'll go down with them. We've already started. Here in Oz we avoided the 2008 global economic collapse because our largest trading partner was China.
The second largest industry in the world is armaments and 47% of that global industry is in private hands in the USA. How much influence can 47% of the the 2nd largest amount of money in the world afford in the finest democracy money can buy? Why is the US response always advocating a military solution? Easy, those weapons aren't going to sell themselves.
Excellent reply. Mearsheimer is clipping away at facts and only presenting those that supported the American view that China is the number one enemy, which the rest of the world is starting to see it is but a nasty lie.
@earthwizz Thank you for the very factual and excellent analysis.
The USA and UK are two countries that are mostly responsible for this mess the world is in right now. Professor Mearsheimer has not mentioned anything about how this war in Ukraine has a detrimental effect on the economies of the countries in the Western Europe.
If the US treats its allies like that, not many nations will be the US's friends after this is over, and it will be over one day. There are more people on this earth who are for peace not pro war like the USA.
Yeah, he's lost. He doesn't realise USians and EU Dictators are waging war on European Nations with their War on Terror and Ukrainian War and Israel support. Refugee crisis after refugee crisis.. The Left think more refugees the merrier which destroys society by destabilisation and division while rights believe in segregation and division, and most backwards cultures are Far Right by modern left standards. UK, US and Judaic culture believes in mass-invading foreign lands and taking them as homeland.
so many chinese agents in here
Wow you’re knowledgeable ⭐️
No one considers Australia/ canada as countries. They are just states within USA. Australia/Canada should call themselves independent countries the day they have their own foreign policies!!!
They can call themselves Independent Country of USA now.In short, ICU.
Do not forget UK.
Marvelous
So right, like a prophecy.
Great insight into international relations.
I ask why China can be blamed by America for China's success,? Does America not like other nations to be successful and rich and advanced? This is the unkind nature of the American self...
America just goes home, the world doesn't need America..
GOD HAS ALWAYS LOVED CHINA AND HAS ALWAYS BLESSED CHINA FOREVER.
✝️🇨🇳☯️🙏🙏🙏☯️🇨🇳✝️
✝️ GOD BLESS CHINA ✝️
While countless Chinese are proud of the country's continued development, they are also very confused and even angry about the West's constant criticism of China.
As the most populous country in the world, China has successfully controlled the COVID-19 epidemic, but has been criticized as "authoritarian" by Western countries with hundreds of thousands of deaths; China's economy has taken the lead in emerging from the haze of the epidemic, bringing hope to the global economic recovery, but it has China has been accused by the West of "state capitalism"; China has provided vaccines to developing countries and contributed to the creation of global public goods, but has been accused by some Western countries that are hoarding vaccines of engaging in "vaccine diplomacy."
Why are the things that China has done well, done right, and done in a timely manner seem wrong, immoral, or at least problematic in the eyes of some people in the West? How can I solve this problem? The author believes that the first step is to analyze why China is “scolded”.
First of all, to a certain extent, it is inevitable for China to be scolded during its rise. Historically, any emerging country that rises will be regarded as an alien by the dominant country. Dominant countries only hope that emerging countries will be assimilated, rather than harming their own international leadership. In the 1980s, Japan was criticized by the United States as a "freak" among developed countries because the Liberal Democratic Party was a one-party state and was not a Western-style democracy. Japan's industrial policy was also criticized as a heretical model of state capitalism. In the 1990s, Southeast Asia's emerging economies were criticized for their combination of authoritarian politics and mercantilist economics, triggering years of debate over "Asian values."
Japan's "freak" narrative disappeared with the collapse of its bubble economy, and the economic crisis in Southeast Asia seemed to have convinced the United States that Asian values had failed and American values had triumphed. China's rise far exceeds the scale and speed of the rise of Japan and Southeast Asian economies, and the intensity and frequency of "scolding" are also unprecedented. At this point, China needs to have a clear understanding. It cannot be avoided by unilaterally relying on good wishes and trying to tell the Chinese story well.
Secondly, behind China's "scolding" lies the Cold War logic of artificially creating "identity between ourselves and the enemy" and "cognition of good and evil" by building a confrontational discourse system. During the Cold War, the United States defined the Soviet Union as an "evil autocratic empire" and defined itself and its allies as the "free world." It used this value system to unite domestic hearts and allies.
Unfortunately, the Soviet Union was led by the polarized discourse system of the United States during the Cold War. It tried to construct a confrontational discourse that showed the Soviet Union's superiority to the United States in terms of ideology and social systems. It can be said that the high-intensity competition with the United States in the field of ideas and discourse was also one of the important reasons why the Soviet Union finally fell into trouble. China's proposal to build a "community with a shared future for mankind" is actually to avoid falling into the vortex of confrontational discourse system competition. This is a wise move that transcends the "Cold War-type discourse system arms race."
Third, China still has a lot of room for proactive action in reducing misperceptions, prejudices and even stigmatization in the outside world. For example, in some international media reports, China's economic and trade investment in Africa is always regarded as a negative example. It is believed that this approach regardless of economic costs has caused African countries to generally fall into debt crises, become China's vassals, and then be politically controlled. However, data from the China-Africa Institute at Johns Hopkins University in the United States show that China’s loans to the African public sector have been decreasing since 2016, which shows that lenders make decisions based on economic logic rather than political logic. Why do such convincing data often come from foreign countries rather than China’s own think tanks? To solve the problem of "being scolded", China must have greater transparency and openness in terms of data, and respond to domestic and foreign questions in a timely manner. This task cannot be done by the government alone and requires the efforts of the whole society.
Whether a great power can no longer be "scolded" during its rise depends on the success of domestic governance and the effective shaping of the global governance system. The 2008 Beijing Olympic Torch Relay was severely disrupted. The then Ambassador to the UK, Fu Ying, wrote an article lamenting that the wall between China and the world was too thick. More than ten years later, this wall still seems to be thick, but China's closer interactions with the world and its ability to participate in international affairs have increased unprecedentedly. Regarding "being scolded", China needs to be strategically vigilant, but does not need to have strategic anxiety. Sometimes it must express dissatisfaction or even anger in a timely manner, but more often it must gain recognition and support from its broad circle of friends through a more positive and vivid Chinese narrative.
The only thing China does wrong is China grows so fast and the U.S. may NoT be the only one rule maker anymore😂
Also the US and other capitalist imperial states hate that China reigns in it's ultra wealthy individuals. Can you imagine?
China is allowed to rise. Any more delays. US is fking with everyone. US was meant to bring out the fking tech not hoard it. See what China is doing in civilian sdctor
They do it right without massive war.
as always , this was only ever possible when leader was doing bad choices and getting weaker.. not by any external thing. Same as in sports or politics, extremely hard to beat current #1 until they make mistakes or over time get weaker.
This man is right on everything.
I have watched his views on Russia, China, and US.
Following is words on the US Monroe doctrine, every nation should keep to their border's. Period.
Thats what happens when you put two countries first instead of your own
It’s strange how it’s expected that the US had any intention or any intellectual ability to solve any problem.
Yes they do! USA is a grate country with alot of intention and big intellectual ability! Big Example is proffesor Mearsheimer and many, many others! The problem is who is moving the strings
@@user-st9hh6hz2zUsa is a "grate" country. That was funny. You might be right, though😂
Oh looky! An America-bashing troll. You have nothing constructive to say or contribute, so you insult. The US has done some really bad things and has it's problems, but what country doesn't? Pray tell, where are you from?
@@cuiperindy2120it grates on some 😊
"@@user-st9hh6hz2z INTELECTUAL ABILITY" ? HOW MANY ELSE CAN YOU NAME OUT OF 400 MILLION ?
He thinks China is the real threat to the US? What a flunkey for US imperialism. 😅
As an Australian, I'm glad that US is not pivoting to East Asia. Otherwise, we are the next Ukraine. Just look what happened with our wines, wheats, lobsters and tourist industries in the last few years. US sees China as a biggest threat. I see China as a biggest opportunity. That prosperity for Australia in the last couple of decades was rely on China. US is a sinking ship. It's time for Australia to abandon it.
Shows how deep your loyalties lie. That’s pathetic opportunism.
China and Australia are too far apart and safe enough. The two countries need more trade than confrontation.
I’m Australian but the battleground would be in Taiwan.
@@affordablex4914 And you think Aukus would keep you safe?
@@yoyolim538 The homeland, yes. Not so much Taiwan.
I love listening to this great mind
as an asian, we see what the Washington did, is doing or allowing to happen around the globe, and we think to ourselves, how bad can China be?
I believe in western valuer, but just look at the US foreign policy for the past decades.
Why always china? Every country got the right to advance to have a good life for their ppl .
It's like arguing that China should be containing the US, to stop it dominating the Americas. These people in the 'west' are utterly delusional.
Cause this is the White man's world son. We have it all or no one gets anything
In fact, the U.S. economy ranks first in the world, and it is a big beneficiary of the prosperity of other countries. The most important thing for the U.S. is to solve domestic problems, rather than causing all kinds of troubles around the world and hindering the development of the world economy
security can make you pay a lot of price
China did not start the Ukraine war, did not involve in mid Eastern wars... but it's the biggest threat 😂... why are they so afraid
Pivoting to east Asia and creating tension? Is that what Mearsheimer is insinuating? I do not agree. What the United States needs to do is to respect other countries sovereignty and allow them to rise peacefully without any intervention, all countries have the right to live and enjoy their lives peacefully, life is short.
Thats not on the program of the colonialist. bear in mind the colonialist logic is deeply ingrained in the western political powers for many centuries. Wolfowitz doctrine is hallmark of this mentality. Do what ever it takes to become #1 and keep the status by containing/destroying #2.
America respects other country's sovereignty? Where did you get this illusion from?😂
They are not inept, buddy. They are about the power and money for their families as ordinary American are used to do the dirt for them.
They're coming for you in the name of Democracy.
What a significant contribution by a prominent scholar.
Not sure who is the greatest threat to the US. But in regards to the greatest threat to humanity the US must be on top of the list.
Have you taken to take your medication?
@@SantiagoRodriguez-th3ejcan you afford medication in US?
100%
@@SatpalVerma000😂😂😂😂
@@SatpalVerma000😂😂😂😂