INSANE READ From Daniel NEGREANU!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 17 พ.ค. 2023
- Daniel ‘KidPoker’ Negreanu is known for his incredible reads at the poker table. His range analysis is generally spot on and he always has a great feel for where his opponents are at in a hand. Watch the poker legend at work in this $300,000 poker tournament against another incredible poker player; Mikit ‘fish2013’ Badziakouski.
Negreanu is on top form in this hand as he is all loosey and goosey but not eating a sandwich. He uses this strategy to try and loosen up his opponents so that they become more talkative and relaxed which allows him to make better reads and understand where he is at in any given poker hand.
Jonathan discusses implied odds and the fact that Negreanu has many backdoor draws on the flop. Badziakouski is deep enough that Negreanu can comfortably float on the flop to try and hit either a heart on the turn, which means he would pick up a flush draw, or a nine. This is assuming that Badziakouski has a stronger hand than just a pair. In this particular instance he can actually also hit one of his overcards.
Daniel Negreanu is 3rd on the all time money list with over $50,000,000 in total live earnings, putting him 3rd on the all time money list. He has 6 World Series of Poker bracelets.
Mikita Badziakouski who is known as fish2013 online (one of the best online cash game players) is a 31 year old professional poker player from Belarus, he has over $38,000,000 in live tournament winnings putting him 9th on the all-time money list and 1 WSOP bracelet.
The Super High Roller Bowl V was held in December 2018 from inside the PokerGO Studio at ARIA Resort & Casino in Las Vegas, Nevada. The $300,000 buy-in attracted a field of 36 players and created a prize pool of $10,800,000 million. Issac Haxton won the event for $3,672,000. Neither Daniel nor Mikita cashed in this particular high stakes poker tournament.
This poker hand took place during the Super High Roller Bowl V at the prestigious PokerGO Studio in Las Vegas! Poker legend Daniel ‘KidPoker’ Negreanu takes on the online beast that is Mikita ‘fish2013’ Badziakouski. The Super High Roller bowl is the largest annual poker tournament with a staggering $300,000 buy-in. The blinds in this poker hand are at 1,000/2,000 with a 2,000 BB ante. Negreanu opens the action from under the gun 7 with JThh and raises to 5,000. Badziakouski makes a very standard call from the lojack with pocket nines and they move to the flop heads up. The flop comes 8d 7h 6s and Negreanu continues his aggression with a bet of 5,000. Badziakouski with an overpair and open ended straight draw decides to raise to 16,000. With a gutshot, two overcards and a backdoor flush draw, Negreanu decides he is not going anyway and decides to call. The turn is an action card as it is the 9s. Negreanu checks to the aggressor but Badzikouski now realizes that although he has a set, his hand prefers to check behind. The river comes the 8h which now gives Badziakouski the lead again as he has rivered a full house against Negreanu’s straight. Negreanu checks again, and now Badziakouski decides to open the clip and fires for 60,000. Ultimately, after lots of talking and analyzing Negreanu makes the correct read and decides to fold.
Jonathan Little analyzes live poker hands from TV poker shows such as Poker After Dark, Hustler Casino Live, The Lodge Poker Club & PokerGO. He also analyzes popular poker vloggers such as Rampage Poker, Brad Owen, Jaman Burton, Ashley Sleeth, Wolfgang Poker and others!
You will also find many poker hands on this channel that contain some of the biggest names in the poker world such as; Daniel Negreanu, Phil Hellmuth, Phil Ivey, Doug Polk, Garrett Adelstein, Tom ‘Durrrr’ Dwan, Dan ‘Jungleman’ Cates, Fedor Holz & many more!
#negreanu #pokerstrategy #poker
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Is this the best read Daniel Negreanu has EVER made!!?
I think one of his best reads is when he told Shlomi, "I'm thinking aces or kings," getting him to fold against Daniel's pair of 9s.
th-cam.com/video/HwzixNCKnRc/w-d-xo.html
no. not even close. he didnt give him nines. and giving someone a fullhouse in this situation isnt thaat crazy..
@@konstantin4778 I agree. Saying "You have pocket 9s, so I'm folding." would have been more impressive. He seemed to expect 7s or 6s.
Why is this supposed to be an insane read? Boats are such a logical hand to have there and bluffs are hard to come by. A9s, J9s and 76s are the only ones I'd have found in that spot and I don't think any of them are pure calls preflop.
Depends on how the other guy had been playing, If he had been tight, a full boat is more likely. Some players you just know they have it when they raise big.
Negreanu has had some pretty notable hands where he figures out the opponent's hand, which beats his, and still calls. It makes the folds by Daniel 'Calling Station' Negreanu even more epic!
Amazing roght!!
😂 so true
He has a little better rep than he deserves probably. When every hand you are saying “you have XX” you will be right some portion of the time and look like a total soul reader. That being said. He does have an incredible “feel” for the game. I think before it’s all said and done he will go down as one of the top 5 players of all time.
@@jackripper8337he’s already top 3
@@philipmoser3784 Hard to argue against that. I disagree, at this time but top 10 top 3 incredibly small differences.
He folds quite often in these scenarios. He is very disciplined. This is an area I struggle with. I’m still paying off when I know I’m beat playing live.
A lot of the time a disciplined fold can earn more money than a hero call. Especially in tournaments, one thing to help with it is to think about it like this. For someone to be able to bluff you, you have to give them enough respect for their game for them to be able to bluff you. Therefor folding to their river bet is a way of saying "I don't think you're good enough to bluff here" and you're giving them credit for playing face up. If they show you a bluff, remember that they will bluff and slow play strong value hands and let them pick how much they want to donk off to you, of course on the river with the nuts, be sure to raise to what would seem like a bluff-y amount to get called by worse hands. For some reason, for me online, a raise of pot plus 2BB gets called a LOT.
@@stylin40s that is the most optimal strategy.
i 100% allin there =[
Sometimes I’ll pay off just to find out if my read was right lol
@@TLucena25 Same.
What's more impressive is his ability to just say what he has at the table and no one believes him lol
Ze ol' Jamie Gold manoeuvre.
That’s not true at all badziak played the hand perfect exactly how you would if the cards were face up most likely because Daniel told him exactly what he has
I dont believe I would have folded..... because of the check back on turn..... he is crazy amazing.
In reality, exactly because of the X back on the turn, you should be folding, because the types of hands that X back turn are exactly 2P and sets that now make a boat :D
@Dimitur Wasilew I can see tht with the 4 card straight out there.... however it would be difficult to fold the nuts straight still
I'll go all-in for sure xD
idk how he folded that
The check back on the turn is what made it look like a boat?
There is more to poker then using charts. Daniel proves it again.
Charts literally are just guides. And they’ll justify anything at some frequency.
Negreanu has talked about this very hand! I believe he said the issue was that his opponent was too greedy, thinking that dnegs would never fold here. Daniel also said that if the bet had been smaller, he would have paid it off (and says as much during the hand too).
Indeed: Far too polarized, with basically ( as DNegs also pointed out ) zero reasonable bluffs. - With a small bet, he can represent a far broader value range, - and thus induce a call from the straight, or even worse.
yeah, he would have paid 70% of the pot anyway
Love watching him put the pieces together
Negreanu talks about this hand here, with the way he was thinking at the time discussed in the "New School" section: th-cam.com/video/XKOCwd4QQwM/w-d-xo.html
Interestingly, Negreanu doesn't put it down to a tell or anything like that, just range analysis. He says that this size is claiming a full house, and Badziakouski has all of those, but his only bluff is 67s. Such a large sizing needs far more bluffs than that, so Negreanu can happily fold to this overly value-heavy bet. He doesn't discuss MDF, but implicitly he's saying he isn't at the top of his range.
He also says Badziakouski was being exploitative/greedy by making such a large bet that his range doesn't support, and that Badziakouski would have maximised his winnings with a small bet, as Negreanu would have raised.
"having a sandwitch..." that is my favorite commercials for poker of all times
I hope DNegs will make a hand review on this channel. Thank you for sharing! ❤
Amazing read and fold in real time. He is truly a master of the game.
I was just in this situation with the nut flush vs. a rivered boat. I make a medium-sized river bet hoping to get called by trip jacks, but he fills up (J4 of all hands) and then raises.
In these spots, raising is obviously out of the question, so it's between fold and call. It's one of those things where you know you're probably beat, but you kind of have to call anyway.
If I had the second nut flush I probably find a fold, but it's hard to fold the best flush on the river and it would also be hard to fold the nut straight here. So I wince call and expect to win some of the time when my opponent flips out with trips or a worse flush but expect to lose some of the time when he fills up.
That being said, this was an incredible laydown and something I'm not quite capable of at this juncture. 😂
I love that even at these nosebleed stakes Dan is able to sit back, not take things too seriously and just have fun at the table.
It was the flat preflop. His flatting range 66-99 raises flop bet, checks turn when straight comes in, and bombs river. Give credit to Badz too for reading that Daniel had the straight. For sure he knew that.
Scary how good DNegs is when he calls your hand but then DOESN’T pay you off.
PRO OF PRO.
I’m absolutely calling in this situation. And I’m losing as a result. Lol
Great upload. I probably would have bet big on the turn and folded the river if the board paired.
The biggest tell is DNegs kept talking while he WAS involved and suddenly quiet down on the river. You can tell he was deflated in the end. LOL
When was this , I thought half the table here were banned
VERY hard to get away from top straight....next level play.
Always amazing to see Daniel make these plays.
He knew he had a pocket pair.
Super amazing fold bro
DNegs broke this hand down on his YT channel.
The river bet sizing broke down to:
Small - Raise
Large - Call
Overbet - Fold.
Bad was too greedy for his own good.
Ronald McDonald dealing practical jokes
What a fold!!!
All the gto nits still don't believe poker is about reading people for the greats like D-nigs. It's where the margins are for the ballers like him.
Daniel is the master of reading hands
Legend!
I think I’d call. I just can’t see myself finding a fold here, but I sort of hate it
Surprised he didn't mention 99, as that made loads of sense.
Im realizing more and more that being a pro isnt just about making big bluffs, hero calls, and all ins being able to make Smart Big Folds is every bit as important if nor more
big folds is the biggest part of the game. My experience is that the biggest losses come when you have a strong hand but your opponent has a slightly stronger one.
@@michaeletzkorn
.. dammit
can’t lay down this hand &
never know
to hell with it
call
.. dammit
Never put an allin mostly depending how i feel if i feel lil splashy or tilted or sth like that i probably call but if im in my a game in the zone i might find a fold
I dont think All In is an option. Paired boards must always give you pause and Daniel is already asking the right question. What did you do on the flop? And Mikit raised Daniels bet. Why? Pocket 8s and hits a set? Overpair? And on the turn they both checked. Yet on the River the big bet comes out. Quads or a set of 7s and 6s that made the FH.? Mikit doesnt seem scared of the straight draw anymore . At worst I call
I’d call every time
Greatest of all time!!
The best part was how DNegs trolled Persson with "so you have the nut flush?" while he had the A-diamond. Just trying to make Persson squirm as if DNegs had a flush as well.
I think I’d call, and be pretty confident doing so after check check on the turn.
This is the case where if you bet BIG, then it forces your opponent to play good. He says, "If you bet less I would have called already. DN has seen these scenarios so many times in his career and also it depends who he is up against. Great fold there. He knew it as soon the 60K was bet that he didn't like it.
Yes, I have seen Daniel flop the nuts so many times and get destroyed by the river. That hand against Gus Hansen when he had a full house and Hansen rivered a Quad is very typical for Daniel. I don't know how he keeps his cool when these ridiculous situations keep happening to him. Then you have players like Tom Dwan who rises preflop with trash, and improves with every card that lands on the board to beat monsters hands.
I basically surrender on paired boards facing large bets or jams when I'm boatless. Got owned too many times.
Negs is really next level
I've made the same fold in similar spots twice this month. It's not as hard for DNEG as you may think. Folks, if the board is paired and someone is representing a full house, they either have it or they don't. Easy fold in that game I think. AND, furthermore, one could say, any many have, that the turn check by Daniel was risky, I'm sure he knew what he was doing, in that spot, you either protect your made nut straight with a big bet or you play the river. No doubt pairing the board WAS all Daniel was worried about. And, he was wrong. His opponent had 99s, not 66s or 77s. All beware your being mind trained by these videos to make huge mistakes later on, brilliant. Good luck folks!
that is fuckn amazing he's a card whisperer
He’s saying it himself: “I’m trying to win” and protects his stack from disaster in a tricky spot. Its a good fold yeah but this hand doesnt win him the tournament but could loose it for him…. WP Daniel 💪👍🇩🇰
Snap call 😂😂
When the board pairs on the river you have to consider folding against a strong reg.
Badziakouski`s name is Nikita, not Makita
Nothing to debate here, Negreanu told you exactly why he folded....bet size. If it was pot or less, he's calling. Wasn't so much a hand breakdown as it was the amount wagered.
I think back in the old High Stakes Poker days Daniel would have called this hand.
I mean, with the way the hand was played, he seemed like he was afraid of the straight by the turn, but not afraid on the river. I'd put him on a full house or quads (if I had enough time to think about it), but if I didn't have the time chips I probably would have called.
Have you not watched Daniel over the last 20 years, he makes these kind of reads a lot. That’s why he’s got over 40 million in live earnings!
Only way I can make this make sense in my head is he must just have decided Makita is almost never raising the flop with TT so he has a bluff catcher at that point OTR
The natural bluff OTR is 67s, no idea if makita is flatting that pre idk tourney ranges. Idk what other bluffs you could even find that make sense.
Insane fold I would just think “he can have TT” and flick it in.
why is ali still allowed to play these events? or was this before the allegations?
If I’m Daniel I’m folding. It’s high roller bowl. He’s over betting in a spot that looks like a good bluff spot… and he doesn’t want to bust. This is a spot where pros over bet all the time with really good hands to get hero calls. It’s a fold. Clear fold. Before he bet I told myself if he bets 1/3 or half pot it’s a call if he over bets it’s a snap fold.
Yeah, it looks wow, but IP's has all the boats and the quads in the world, for this size he's not value-betting a single T(Daniel can still have a full house himself) and also his line makes a lot of sense. So it's actually hard to be bluffing here.
Yeah T is what, moving someone with a T off to scoop?
4:27 is hilarious!
With the way the hand played and bet sizing it looked like a clear full house. Either that, or an insane creative complete air ball. Think about the hands he's raising flop with? All of them either make full house, or have enough show down value to not bluff. Would only be an airball. he's not value betting super thin there. Maybe one bluff would be flopped 2 pair that got counterfeited. If he bet somewhere between 30-40k then this could be a much tougher folder as you may be able to include some thinner value bets, but again most aren't thin value betting there expecting a call. Good fold yes, but great fold not really.
i would call
The question is whether Badziakouski is betting with weaker than a boat for value. So many boats. I would snap call, but this said we do have better bluff catchers. I think any hand with a 6, 7, 8, or 9 might be better.
I probably would have called him or all in'd him. That's why Daniel is up there and I'm down here. Lol.
In high stakes it seems like is easier to construct the range and hands what they got..because you know mikita is not gonna flat here 22,33 JT and all random hands in low stakes players would flat..and also bets most of the time make sense and thru them you can figure out what they have..in low stakes you got players that flop nuts and bet 50% pot 3 streets and now you figure out what they have
I was going through combinations and I really can’t find anything his opponent could have other than boats and quads.
No other value hand is over betting except maaaybe JTs in an attempt to get Daniel to call with only a T. But even JTs probably bets closer to pot, and there are only 3 combos since Daniel has one.
So what about possible bluffs? I honestly can’t find any. He doesn’t have over pairs because they likely 3! pre and they certainly don’t turn themselves into a bluff on the river given the previous actions. A5s and A8s are also checking back with showdown value, if they’re even played preflop. Same with any 9.
Are A6s and A7s taking this line and turning into a bluff? I suppose they may, but I’m not even sure they flat these hands pre.
In the moment it’d be a very hard fold to make, but from my couch with no emotional attachment I think it’s pretty clearly the right play.
Would be curious of your thoughts on my breakdown, Jonathan. Thanks for all your great content.
Spotted it!! also with you had hid the cards, first run,
I think if I were in negreanu’s shoes I’d puke and then probably call. I would expect 88 to call the flop, but I feel like 77 and 66 may be hands that check-raise the flop for protection as it is a pretty dynamic board. I would also expect 77 and 66 to check back the turn because the 9s is one of the worst turns in the deck for those hands. BUT, I think there is still some value hands such as 10x or 5x that would consider value betting the river with a straight thinking that we wouldn’t check a higher straight twice on the turn and river.
I always put my opponent on their exact hand that beats me but then call anyways 🤦♂️
I get so tilted when I have the nuts and the river makes that no longer true.🥵
From a pure theoretical standpoint, Negreanu's fold isn't really that crazy. Mikita doesn't really have worse hands here that often that he bets for value - a lot of Tx probably bets turn and the Tx that exists may actually check back some portion of the time. And if he doesn't have offsuit Tx at all then Mikita's worse hands for value are almost non-existent.
The nice thing for Daniel is that when Mikita goes that size, he will have plenty of bluffs, but having the Jh is actually kind of weird because that does block a few of the backdoor flush draw type hands that might elect to take this line - check raise flop, check back turn when they pick up the straight draw and then are obligated to bluff river. So this hand is actually a lot lower in Daniel's range than we'd think.
Ultimately, if we have plenty of Tx in our range, we probably can fold a lot of those hands and then call T9/T8 (which blocks full houses). Maybe A8s is a better call than JT just because it blocks the nuts better. At the end of the day I'm probably just calling here, but I wouldn't be shocked if this hand was pretty close to the bottom of our range and we fold a fair amount of Tx here to that size.
Great read, it was a flop raise so he should have a good amount of sets and 2p that boat up on the river.
Exactly. It was honestly quite easy to see
Most importabtly it's a spot where he is most likely not against a bluff and hands like straights are probably not going to use a large size on this river
@@itskmillz would also think that a 10 from opponent would have bet turn for protection against a hand like JJ or backdoor flush draw that daniel may have floated on the flop
Question for the community; MTT. 4 hour left and it pays 3. Under the gun with 37% of the chips and 35 big blinds men raises. The button subs all in or his 37% of the chips which is also 35 big. The two blinds bold.and.the under the gun has a ace/king unsuited and and mucks. Third-place pays 160. Second pays 240 and first pays 400. I told him he made a bad fold. What would you do?
In the first sentence I said there was four hours left it actually means there are four players left
@@joemanna491 I think that he made the correct choice by folding. If he and all-in player had 37% of the chips each then that means there's only 24% of the chips between the other 2 players so they must have very short stacks. Since only top 3 get paid, it's too risky to put all your chips in against the other big stack player when there's 2 other players with much shorter stack sizes than the both of you. In this situation you're flipping a lot of the time against a pocket pair, (and there are some times where you dominate their hand), but flipping for your tournament life when you're on the bubble is not worth it especially when you have the chip lead
@@cewlfewl I'd like to know if there is a formula for that. Anybody in the community know of it?
Obvious but not easy fold. This past weekend, I folded my flopped straight with the redraw to up and down straight flush when the turn brought in a straight for my opponent. Was obvious. Turned my cards over and mucked. He did as well. Dealer couldn't believe the fold and said he would have called no matter what. Problem was i want from 90% to win post flop to 25% post turn. Sometimes, you just have to wait for the next hand.
Similar story here, flopped the nut straight, turn came letting the flush get there. And a nitty guy with 10% VPIP and 0% raise frequency starts donk betting into me. Snap fold and he gets mad wondering why no one was paying him off 😂
I’m probably calling there expecting to be beat.
My game they have all the 10s
Call
I would sadly call most of the time but sometimes fold against certain players
I would have just had to call it off I think... Why im not on TV playing poker
All in because I am not Negranue and I am a losing player 😂
Fold
call all day haha
Let's be real 99.9% of us would call
BAN wrist watches in live game.
I'd snap call given a T is betting for value (probably not over pot and more rarely checks turn to over pot river) which means I beat some value and all bluffs so can't fold if opponent is balanced here. Obviously not raising.
Not sure why this is considered such huge fold? Opponent is not repping straight with this line and river sizing. He is repping boat. JT doesn't block or beat any of value range.
Flopped sets or 87s could easily take this same line so I don't really understand notion from commentators about there not being many boats. Well I am not good enough to say what sort of bluffs would be utilised in this spot. Feels like it's quite hard to have much hands with boat blocker considering it was early position action.
Well of course it might be that Dnegs range just lack boats or trips too much and hand like this must then be used as call theory wise.
4:29 :DDD
I'm not only here to help the algorithm, and I would love to thank Jonathan and the team at pokercoaching for all of the amazing advice that has definitely improved my game! Thanks!
We are not worthy😳
I could never find a fold there
I would bet at turn like 20k, if he makes me call, i know he could had a set, then i can bet again 20k and then if he raised, i know he could have any full house, not just trips of 8, not straight, because if he had straight, he would just call it 😊😊 theres no chance for bluff because everybody is scared of that cards on table
Nikita Bodyakovsky is his correct name - how you suppose to spell it no matter what. Mikita Badziakouski is a Belorussian pronunciation, which is even more challenging for a foreigner because it is simply a Belorussian accent woven into writing. Ask him, if you doubt my words. This is the way his name is spelled in the foreign passport but basically is spelled only in the official Belorussian language. Belorussia (Belarus) has both Russian and Belorussian languages as the official languages, but 99% of the population use only russian. I play a lot there
Gudija
You have to put the guy on SOMETHING and the story of the hand makes it pretty clear. He is not betting out with any over pair with a one card straight on the board and he would not be checking the flop with an over pair. No way he would not just check with a 10 and see a showdown with that board. It HAS to be a bluff or a boat. This is not that impossible a read. Most good players can make this laydown.
That’s why he’s been too 3 on the all time money list for as long as I can remember. He was #1 for a long ass time. I think he’s 2 or 3 now but idk
On the turn if Daniel bets small like, 12000, he could induce a shove from a 10 and it sets up stacks for the river, so I think the small bet is better than the check for Daniel
Yeah I agree was thinking that myself.
I don’t see how this is amazing. Dnegs blocks 10s and Js, all over pairs don’t polarize the River and would 3! Preflop. All 10x hands barrel the Turn. And 55 and less wouldn’t raise flop, which leaves a lot of boats. Am I folding in 1-2 if I’m Dnegs, no, but I’m puke calling.
Negreanu is the 2nd best player ive ever seen. His 6th sense at the table is supernatural. The only thing that keeps him from being the best ever is Phil Ivey -- who is Michael Jordan/Wayne Gretzky/Tiger Woods.
i would've snap called.
I would have lost the maximum there. Thats why im a nit 🤣
Phil H would've lost his mind....
I’d go all in… I’d lose. I’m not man enough to fold a straight 2 cards above the board.
I would have called because of the nut straight and lost my money.