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This is not the only route planned with Russia. Recently there was a plan to connect Chennai port with vladivostok in Russia's East which is a region rich with natural gas and minerals and which borders china and North Korea . India also has plans to build a satellite city over there to counter the Chinese who consider it as a part of china. These two corridors on the west and east will help India to grow trade with Europe bypassing the suez canal route.
@@jioboy2676 Yes, India holds a significant share in the sakhalin 2 project. Has invested $1 billion in the development of vladivostok and neighbouring area. Plans to buy the japanese and American share in the sakhalin project and reduce dependency on the middle East. Unveiled a plan to set up a strategic zone near vladivostok to counter china. Russia wants India to increase its presence in its far east considering 40% citizens in that part of Russia are of Chinese ethnicity. China still harbours the plan to annex that part which they call an extension of Manchuria. Russia willing to make a lot of exceptions there for India as no other Major Country will invest there after the Ukrainian war.
@@aj2228 I have been waiting for a whole year for an operation that will bring freedom to Russia. The USA brings us democracy, and it is better to occupy Germany and Japan for a couple of years. In gratitude, you will be able to pump out all the gas and oil. It was a joke of my desperation. Translated through a translator, so the text may not be clear.
India has invested in the International North South Trade Corridor (INSTC) since early 2000s, but the lack of infrastructure in the region and high instability has lowered its use. Hopefully Iran and Russia will see the benefits of investing more money in the corridor since it's on their territory.
@@meilinchan7314 China will get involved with corridor, especially if the military conflict joins them in total with Russia. The east is so unstable now, anything could happen.
@@meilinchan7314 Russia has plenty of money, it's not running out, especially with its diversification of oil/gas/resources sales away from the West. Question is whether Russia will recognize the value of a massive investment into Astrakhan and do what's necessary to make the route a success? Moscow has been talking a big game in regards to the corridor, but now the time has come to put it into action.
Sorry, but you have nothing to offer Iran or Russia. Right now Russia is sitting lots and lots of Indian currency that it can't use. All these countries are exporters of goods that each already have with the exception of India needing oil and that it. Iran does import some food from India but it not it's main supplier.
Maybe he won't do that since they are paid to spit out Western propaganda. China did a great job with Iran and Saudi, but you won't hear that from the Western MSM.
Some Central Asian countries have expressed interest in this, like Kazakhstan. It was estimated by another source that the time to deliver goods to Central Asia from India is 40 % shorter and 30 % cheaper as well. This could help decrease the isolation of Central Asia from the rest of the world.
That rout from Astrakhan to Mumbai existed since 17th century, when Russian merchant Afanasy Nikitin made a very first voyage to India, just 25 yrs before Vasco de Gama
Some of the Indian projects are impressive. The freight rail corridor and the cheap but fast high speed rail thats already running now are actually really incredible. India is making serious progress now. Random added topic, but broad rail gauge used in India is ideal for high capacity, high speed freight rail transport. It is a huge advantage that India will have as it upgrades its infrastructure.
@@CRICKETINGGLOBE yes thank you dear master for building rail roads for easy exportation of looted goods, hey! Weren't you the same guys who did the same in America too? Long live the queen and loot our lands. Ho ho ho!
I don't believe China views the North-South corridor as competition to the BRI. Any and all new transport links will be complimentary to the BRI network
I'm Indian... I agree ... Of all the things India and china do to poke each other in the eyes.. This particular project is not one of them... It's just a parallel project
@@HimanshuSharma-oe4mko you think one day with the potential help from Russia, that the strained relationship between India and China can be bettered like China is doing with the Saudis and Iran and Russia and Iran mediate now between Turkiye and Syria? That would be the nail in the coffin for western imperialism and neo-colonialism and potentially thwart a WW3 as it would make the west with the Washington regime at the wheel think both twice and trice imo. Or is the fear of China bigger than opposition to the never ending wars and exploitation by the west?
@@elephantman2112 The idea may pre-date the belt and road initiative but I doubt that the execution or decision to do such predates it. India is probably playing with fire. In relation its western relations by doing anything more with such agreements to help warmongering Russia. This discussion does not even touch the fact that many other countries through which this transportation link passes are not exactly wealthy. There's not even a discussion of the environmental effects to the rivers and the Caspian Sea.
Just a day before I saw India selling weapons to Armenia (potentially to piss off Turkey) and now I see Indian goods probably being exported through Azerbaijan. It's always the neutral countries that get the best share of the pie.
Why should Türkiye of 85m be p.ssed off at 3m Armenia's little weapon purchases? They were never a threat, they won't ever be a threat to Türkiye's bulging weapons industry. Instead you only manage to p.ss off the only critical link on your route there which is Azerbaijan that has an ongoing war (no peace deal) with Armenia. You should inform yourself about the dimensions in the Caucasus before you blabber nonsense.
@@prateeksharma6706 you think west would support you if you support them back? 😏 They will make you a cheerleader for their war against China, like how they did with Ukraine
@@yam2050St. Petersburg isn't exactly on the Arctic circle... If that's what you have in mind. But sure, if you combine this route with others you could get there. For instance if you take the train on to Finland then through through them to northern Norway as a example. Or other parts of Finland or Russia (although there would be less to see in northern Russia then northern Norway in terms of landscapes. Culturally... I don't have a overview of what minorities you can visit by train in Russia...
Sounds like a good idea with this land bridge for the involved countries but there are some huge challenges. The railroad track gauge in Russia is 1524mm, Iran1435mm and in India 1676 mm. The cargo will have to be loaded on to new railroad wagons and ferries and vessels to be transported from Russia to India. It will be very time consuming, it will mean congestion, it will be expensive and in the end it might be cheaper and faster to ship it by the long sea route.
Well in Europe there's trains that change gauge on the fly with passengers on board in just minutes, they could do that. Of course that technology might be easier said then done while both countries are under sanctions...
Take a look at the map in the video - there will be no direct link between the Indian railways and the rest. Everything will arrive by ship in Mumbai and then it is up to India to decide where and how to transport it inside their own country. Also there are two separate routes going from Russia to Iran, one of them being sea-based via the Caspian sea. The only thing that could be an issue is how many loading/unloading capacity you currently have at each stop on the way.
The capacity of any rail connection is dwarfed by seaborne capacity, while incurring much higher investment and operating costs. This project will probably never break even.
It'll shorten the route between northern Europe and India. If relations normalize between Russia and Europe this route could make a profit on trade between the regions. Northern Europe has wealthy enough markets to fund this route. The capacity issue you mentioned means that this is no threat to the sea route, but that doesn't mean that it's not viable long term.
why would it need to break even if it makes it much safer to go through just the 3 countries than past a dozen countries which are potentially hostile to russian interests in Europe. It is also less than half the distance and passes through the caspian sea so it makes transport of raw materials and energy resources from there much easier to the signatories of the corridor. both russia and Iran are under sanctions by the west so this might be easier going through just one country in Azerbaijan. it also gives them access to a huge market in India and gives India easier access to their resources. it doesn't have to break even, if this plan goes smoothly it just has to work
@@jealouseggs5619 it needs to “break even” because everything revolves around profit, numb nuts. You bringing up “hostilities” and “safety” doesn’t matter because nobody, and I mean NOBODY, is plundering Russian trade caravans and merchant ships. It’s not that people are physically harming Russian trade. They’re simply not trading with Russia at all. It’s never been suggested to physically harm Russian trade. Like, where are you even getting the whole “safety” issue at? Also. Did you know that Azerbaijan is a U.S. ally? Azerbaijan is literally a pro-west client state. Azerbaijan became an associate member due to the decision of NATO PA in November 2002, and joined NATO Operational Capabilities Concept in March 2004.
@@jealouseggs5619 transporting energy via train vs ship or pipe is just the dumbest thing out there. And yes, any investment that has high maintenance costs such as rails passing across your nation needs to be economically make up to be competetive with existing trade routes.
I am confused. This presentation seems to indicate what is YET to be built and what IS now built, all in the same breath. I get the feeling that much of this intercountry infrastructure is still in the planning stages. And as was said the war in Ukraine is a strong headwind for Russia. Anyway, am I to look at these ideas as a potential or as accomplished work?
Neither. Its never going to happen. Iran and Russia are too unstable to achieve these goals. Azerbaijan and Iran are likely to go to war in a few years. India is led by ultra orthodox Hindu Nationalists who hate muslims. In a few years all of the Islamic countries will turn on India. Its basically high fantasy at this rate
Iranian natural fortress is also bolstered from the east by an impenetrable desert. This eastern desert is what has seperated iran and india for centuries because it was impossible to pass an army through there, the winds are so hot that they’ll melt your lungs and no water for hundreds of miles.
@@srafid2000 It was through Afghanistan i guess. The southern desert extends from Iran to whole of southern pakistan (Balochistan & Sindh) and to Great Rajasthan desert of India. Together it is humongous desert block in 3 countries
@@kermitthethinker1465 Alexander never crossed the Southern desert in Pakistan. Instead he went to north pakistan (Modern Punjab where Porus was king) and returned from there.
true, but india can never benefit from ignoring china, if it would have connected with the BRI network, it would gain massively, maybe this link would be more viable then, now it just seems too cluttered to become a reality.
@@papastalin1543 by ignoring I meant ignoring it from an economic perspective, not the land border issue, you’re overly dependent on China for most of the goods coming in your country and god knows why your government keeps wanting to decouple from China when it’s not even possible
@@user-gf5dr5nq6limply put ,we are happy to have trade with them but if they want to forcibly occupy our lands and arm our neighbour pakistan against us then we got a problem, Chinese cont be trusted ,their ccp government will never allow india with democracy to be rich and successfully because it will raise questions from home to have a democracy too
Another good video from the Caspian Report, providing information I didn’t know about or paid little interest to. Despite travelling through Indian and Iran in my younger days, I remember staying in Zahedan after crossing the border from Pakistan.
I wonder why a sea-only route from Russia to Iran (Astrakhan to Bandar Anzali) is not an option removing potential negative issues in Azerbaijan should problems occur. Anyone know? Great video, thx.
@@talknight2 which can be easily increased with timely investment, rather than depending on an ever more belligerent baku govt who has major disputes with both India and Iran, not to mention a questionable relation with Russia.
Port capacity, overall security and amount of investment. Upgrading a port is both costly and time consuming, thus you are safer to include a reserve option. Also bad sea weather can stop ships from sailing, while a land-based route can be functional during the whole year (pending any natural disasters).
@@8wayz2shine Iran to Russia trade through the Caspian is growing at a fast rate after sanctions on RF. And both the ports at their respective sides have excess land and capacity can be created rather quickly in comparison to creating hundreds of miles of new/upgraded railways through a belligerent Azerbaijan. Plus the seaborne cargo shipment is significantly cheaper due to greater capacity to move more volume. Coming back to weather - that is more or less a RF problem due to freezing of the mouth of Volga and the silting of the Astrakhan port IIRC. They have started to build the LAGAN port & trans-shipment hub which will offer much deeper navigation and ice free harbor so it will become a much less problematic aspect in future. Considering the Azeri relations with both Iran and India and its somewhat questionable relations with Russia, this may turn out to be the primary route via Caspian.
Rail is already uncompetitive vs. shipping and pipes. If you have to pay for all that rail infrastructure, and then have to add the time and cost burden of transferring between rail and shipping on an already uncompetitive route then you couldn’t even justify it for political reasons.
Dude you need to do more homework on geopolitics of India. India is the only country to be strategic partners with both Iran and Israel, US and Russia, and be part of anti West SCO/BRICS and anti China Quad, I2U2, and be invited by the west for every G7 even though it's not a member.
@@silverhost9782 Acquaintances? LOL 😂 no man...there is no such thing as acquaintances in geopolitics. You are equating personal human relationships with relationships with countries. Does fighter planes, missiles, aircraft carriers, nuclear submarines, combat drones, oil at a deep discount, gas at a deep discount, real time intelligence on terrorist threats and security sound like acquaintancing to you?
@@silverhost9782 Yes it is a winning strategy and India is actually winning. We are not involved in this war that is not ours. You may feel that China will be happy that India is not very West friendly, but China has a lot of enemies already and those are India's friends which balances things out.
13:06 "But Russia is a veteran in geopolitics. It knows how to play the game and more importantly, it knows when to flip the board and start a new game." - And you know what? By the end of the game, both the king and the pawn are going to end up being in the same box! Sağol!
@@nikhil518 Georgia already got the Ukraine treatment, pretty sure its a pro russia regime at the moment. Even an attempt at a color revolution recently. Besides, how likely is it that tiny Georgia is going to get in the way of Russia and India?
i wish them all the succes too, Indians are good people overall but if you think India will ever play only one side you clearly don't know their geopolitical gameplan
India should ig bolster is trade with Russia to a point that Russia might feel hesitant to intervene in the future, if an indo-china conflict breaks out. In that case Russia won't even bother if India get a bit more cozy with the west. Plus India can provide them a huge market and their markets can be a good starting base for more of Indian medium scale companies to expand abroad.
Why is the West so concerned with India and China war LOL. When you people didn't bat an eye when Pakistan was sending terrorists left and right to India. You people want India on your side and want India to become another Ukraine In the process. We Indians are not interested in this shit. And launched 4 wars against India.
The clip of Iranian "domestic pressure" from 3:00 - 3:02 is of Vancouver, Canada (Robson St). I've eaten at the Vietnamese place there a bunch of times.
Genius by the ruzzians: Instead of trading with europe, nearby and easy, they chose to start a war and try to build a new, complex and expensive transport route to india, far away. Brilliant!
Transportation over Land, even by Rail, is signifikant more expensive, as by Ship. The strategic benefit from this Rail Transportation in Russia and Iran, is the great security Aspect, for not traveling through NATO Sea and along NATO Shores.
If the distances were the same - yes, it will be more expensive. But in this case it will cut the total distance by 2.5 times, meaning that overall it will be both cheaper and faster to use rail transport for some of the way. By the way, even the transport within Russia can be done for most of the trajectory by river (Volga or Don, when the canal is operational between the two), so they are actively working on lowering the percentage of rail transport and thus the cost.
Only if the distance is the same. Here the distance by land is almost 3 times less & does not have the additional delays incurred by passing through Suez canal. Thereby the transportation costs via INSTC are on par & in fact slightly cheaper than by sea. It is China's belt & road initiative that is expensive & risky as well as it passes through multiple disputed territories filled with terrorists.
@@8wayz2shine I'm more interested in capacity. It's cheaper, sure, but what about volume? Iran is the obvious bottleneck in this plan - every other piece of this can be theoretically done via shipping and shipping is like 10-15x more efficient than rail in terms of volume - so introducing an uncircumventable rail leg to your otherwise maritime trade network only reduces its overall efficiency. Even the canal can't do anything to address this because the bottleneck isn't in Russia, it's in Iran.
@@korayven9255 Capacity will be an issue if Russia starts using this as its only route for shipping to the world. They have multiple ports and routes, this one seems to be intended to serve mainly India (which in and itself is a big market). We will know about how much capacity they need once the main parts become operational. And I do think that the main bottleneck is actually Baku in Azerbaijan, as they are also selling oil and gas to Europe, thus a lot of fuel traffic will be going through there. Politically they will also need to do some tight rope balancing.
@@8wayz2shine Iran-AZ relations are extremely tense at present. And India-Azerb. relation also at the bottom. I will be very surprised if either goes through a route that will be using Azeri land/infra prone to blockade. On a bigger scale, I have doubt about profitability of this route considering the state of economy of both Russia and Iran ppost sanction.
Because 🇮🇳 all of it’s history since independence has been against alignment to one side, and because the potential price and risk compared to potential benefits for the western alliance, it’s very unlikely that India will be seriously punished for trading with Russia, if at all likely only symbolic measures. Unless the western alliance has become stupid in the game of geopolitics, which I doubt, the western countries will probably only complain, as long as India doesn’t change it’s long term strategy of nonaligned nation, no serious western pressure will come in my opinion, India is not hostile towards the western alliance, and strong enough to be costly to pursue, a smaller country might not get away with it but the world is not a fair place, might gives privileges, and who cares if India doesn’t want to align itself, as long as they are consistent with it, it’s the Indian way.
Also, India is not an expansionist country like say Russia China UK or France. India is fortunate to have high altitude mountainous regions (6 Himalayan states), desert regions (Rajasthan and Gujarat), many fertile green agricultural regions, tropical-like regions (Kerala and Tamil Nadu), forested hilly regions (Deccan-Maharashtra and Bengal) and everything in between. Not to mention, India has two Himalayan protectorates Nepal and Bhutan as well as high access to Maldives in the Indian Ocean. Therefore, India has always been a very self-satisfied nation in terms of resources and land, never interested in land grabs. India is not a physical or ideological threat to the world, and honestly the core interest among Indians is collaborating with human society in science, technology and the arts. It’s very similar to South Korea in this way but India is of course much larger.
Yes I doubt there will be any problems. The lines that shouldn't be crossed are providing Russia with missile components or other parts for weapons systems as long as this war is going on. The US would likely implement 3rd party sanctions. After it is over I actually think EU-Russia relations will go "back to business as usual" very quickly because EU is Geographically a natural market for Russian business and many western businesses will probably also invest back into Russia because it's reserves will be very depleted and Economy doing poorly so there will be deals to be had. Also this very much makes sense with Iran. I hope Iran and Saudi-Arabia will be able to solve their differences and Iran will join the nuclear agreement again so that we may have Iran as part of the Global Economy. It is such a rich country with huge deposits of oil, minerals and a educated workforce and wonderful ancient culture. I live in Finland so right next to where the railway is supposed to start so I could easily take the Train from Helsinki to St.Peyersburg, and from there to Iran... Imagine that. There is the one thing the countries surrounding the Caspian Sea each have a veto right about any construction like pipelines, bridges, wind turbines etc. That could become problematic.
@@A_R_B_G You Clearly know that Russia is Earning More Money after the War by Trading Oil with India and China than before the War by Trading with Europe and USA.
@A B roughly speaking russian budget relied on around 60% from exports and aroud 70% of that was oil mostly to europe and about 25% gas sold to europe. China and india won't replace the european market by any means but they surely can help keep the budget somewhat afloat. News of today that saudi in opec have cut 1 million of their oil production to rise prices. Nato must just steamroll ukraine with military tech in order to increase the chances of brakeing entirely the russian front and open the window for regime wabble.
Sure, but that requires all trade to go all the way around Asia and then back overland across Russia the long way (admittedly, some of the raw materials India wants are produced in Siberia and neighbouring regions, that isn't so bad, but any import of Russian foodstuffs or manufactured goods, and everything India might ever hope to export back to Russia, has to be linked to European Russia, not just a glorified naval base dangling on the end of the longest and most fragile supply line ever built.. No to mention that both the rail and sea lanes for that trade route travel right past China, a country that India is on notably poor terms with, and which has a vested interest in minimizing Russia's ability to diversify its trading partners. That makes it incredibly vulnerable to Chinese interference, both overt (Chinese Naval vessels "inspecting" Indian shipping as it heads through the S & E China Seas), or covert (Shipping companies transporting Chinese goods on the Trans-Siberian RR mysteriously having "industrial accidents" that damage the rail line at key times).
This is good news for all three great countries. More trade, cultural ties and general relations for India, Iran & Russia is good for Persians, Indians and Russians! I hope these three counties can also have close military ties to strengthen an alliance among these great countries.
I guess any country is entitled to "join" other countries for military/political strength. The main difference between the east and west that I see is, the west join each other to prevent war and support each other in times of need, but the east seem to like conflict and intimidate neighbouring countries and just want to dominate each other🤷🏼. The east has been unstable for decades if not longer and nobody can say such likes about the west(since ww2 of course). Russia invades ukraine, China wants to invade Taiwan, North Korea is shaking sticks too. Iran is in support of Russia as is China. The east just like fighting! The west although is full of red tape they are about dimocracy. The east are about 1 man's view per country, to the point they change laws to prevent them being voted out! And if anyone speeks up.... They're done away with🤷🏼. Very little free speach in the east. Maybe that's why (millions) head to the west?
@@sliderdriver1 You really think West never invaded? The only difference is the eatern invasion are called Invasion and the western Invasions are called intervention. Remember, we need a multipolar world to balance everything out.
10:14 I think these figures might be referring to just export values. India's new Foreign Trade Policy has set a target of $2 trillion in exports by 2030. Total trade value would much higher.
The (current) Russian invasion of the Ukraine started in 2022 (or 2014...), how can the embargo of EU/NATO from 2022 onwards cause a massive spike in Russian-Indian trade a year earlier? Perhaps Russian diversified forward-looking because they planned the war but the story told in the videa at 1:16 seems like a reversal of cause and effect.
Oh deffo started in 2014 in response to the US regime change operation and the overthrow of the democratically elected government and the civil war starting
@@stephen4121 The democratically elected president was removed from power by the democratically elected parliament, in which he had a majority. The US has nothing to do with it. When artillery fires at you from the territory of a neighboring state, this is not a civil war.
yeah, I Missed that part, but neat catch, it's indeed not directly linked to the sanctions, but it might indeed have been part of the Military strategy to move away from markets less inclined to support a Warlord before the invasion, does make me wonder how many subtle hints there has been in the planning,
Isolating Iran has been the West's biggest mistake of the 20th and early 21st century in so many ways. Ironically, preventing Russia's access to the southern seas and markets, is exactly why the British Empire was so intent on maintaining either friendly relations with Iran or some form of control over Iran.
The thing is the Islamic republic in Iran is a fanatic and ideologically insane regime, destroying Israel, preparing the world for the coming of the Mahdi (Shia messiah) and forcing people to abide by the religious rules are integral to this regime and have been since day one, To think this regime will abandon these plan, reform and join the international community is naive. We people of Iran used to believe the same lie but were eventually awaken fro it.
The mistake is that they dont know anything but control ... and its hard to control a nation with a nukes . To bad there are just few nations with nukes , i wish all had some ....
Mind Begs the Question: If a Indian PM/Govt stays Quiet As regional KKK hold public meetings Threatening Rape of Blacks/Muslims Threatening Genocide of Blacks/Muslims Indian PM/Govt - Democratic,Fascist?
Fair warning, @CaspianReport operates out of Baku, so take anything he says regarding Azerbaijani geopolitics (and Armenian for that matter) with a big grain of salt. I am agnostic to the regional disputes personally, but I feel that people should know about his biases when reporting. Edit: Add Iran to the mix of taking things with a big grain of salt, and look, I'm sure Caspian is a good guy and not trying to intentionally mislead, but it is hard to put aside your biases sometimes on things you feel strongly about (or coerced into). Just remember that Azerbaijan is not the freest country in the world, so it might not even be his choice to tow the line for the government.
Also anything he says about Iran. Azerbaijani media and education system have been heavily biased against Iran to the point of making weird claims such as Iran and Russia partitioning Azerbaijan in 1800s, Iran having 40 million Azeris and Cyrus the Great of Persia being killed in Azerbaijan by "Turks". His points about Iran being like Yugoslavia, fringe Azeri separatists being relevant in this video and completely false claims of Iran being authoritarian because of its ethnic diversity in his video on Iranian protests are examples of this.
His information about Iran is false and completely biased against Iran. We all know our people in the north are the most loyal Iranians especially our Azerbaijani. Imagine the likes of Ali Daei and Karim Bagheri being separatists. In this video the narrator is promoting terrorist activity to take place in the north of our beloved country I reported this video.
In his old channel he outright said he's not allowed to remotely criticize Azerbaijan. His old channel also included disgusting levels of racism and genocide denial against Armenia. CaspianReport would have been reliable if he didn't hate Armenians and he lived in a country where he'd be free to speak openly
The world geopolitics are going to turn into Games of throne with multiple powers competing with each other in this modern world, it would be fun to see
back to old times i see. I read this Foreign Affairs article that argued that the next 100 years will be the most deadly one for the Middle East, because now we see that every country, the smallest states, can amass great power and propagate their own geopolitical games. Qatar & UAE have made that pretty clear, and it doesn't seem like Iran/Saudi rivalries will end any time soon. But honestly its just about everywhere in the world, size of countries is no longer a limiting factor, it'll be an interesting century thats for sure.
@@GuineaPigEveryday The Iranian Plateau - Mesopotamian/Arabic lowlands rivalry has been going on since the dawn of civilization, literally. It'll go on for a bit longer.
Great video as always. You show where the money flows and the interest of nations. India certainly has the potential to surpass China as the new world factory if they can get their act together. P.M. Modi seems very smart in the geo political area and is definitely playing his cards right.
I don't know how their channel is taken seriously. Their pro Baku stances, overstating separationist tendencies in Iran and removing (Persian) from the Persian Gulf, all happened in just this one video. I can't imagine what the rest of their videos are like.
With the number of subscribers and views it garners, I wonder why this channel hasn't been verified yet. A really good geopolitical channel to say the least.
Land-based logistics will never be more efficient than waterway-based. Give us a call when you’re tired of spending twice as much to move 1/4th of what cargo ships can move over a year….. not to mention paying the tariffs of multiple countries just to have goods pass through their lands.
I just discovered your channel, and frankly I'm very happy to find that there is a content creator like you from my homeland. Great for understanding geopolitical issues in the world. I wish you continued success
@@dograkhalsa1098 Yeah India is not dependent on Russia, but Russia is dependent on having India strong. Which is a reason why Russia never sanctioned India.
Right now you have a Tamil Jamaican vice president of the United States, and a prime minister in Britain of Indian descent I wonder would Indians ever be able to reach such a high position in Russia or China? Look at the CEO of Google and Microsoft The West welcomes India that's a fact, as for Russia and China? After all the years of fraternity and socialist solidarity what is there to show of it in terms of true cross integration ?
Shout out to Baku for somehow becoming the intersection of the new Silk Road and the North South Transport Corridor. This north south corridor between Russia and the Indian ocean via Caspian and Iran is something that needed to happen for the interests of many connected states in the region for at least 100 years.
Not only North and South, but also East and West💪🇦🇿🇹🇷 Of course, Iran doesn like it. Strong Azerbaijan and Turkey is the nightmare of Iran.. as we include the fact that at least 30% of Iran are Azerbaijani Turks and they are not satisfied with mullah regime. They started playing dirty games against us by utilizing religion and terrorism. But, it is a great moment for Azerbaijan, to clean all mullah brainwashed groups off Azerbaijan. And, we gonna buy even more modern Israeli and Turkish weapons ))
Not really. They in fact squandered the geographic advantage they had by causing friction with Iran and India. An alternate route is being seriously discussed through Armenia.
I think there are far too many political variables that can easily go wrong in such an economic corridor. Besides the Chinese angle, Azerbaijan is a western friendly nation with good relations with Israel, if things were to get tense between the West and Iran, Azerbaijan could find itself in quite an uncomfortable spot, making Russia economically precarious to Azerbaijans foreign affairs, that’s just one of so many potential problems I can think of which would dissuade political leaders from pursuing such a behemoth undertaking of unimaginable costs especially during such volatile economic times.
it's indeed quite a beautiful quote to keep to heart, sometimes it'll take years setting up the dominoes to make them fall in a single motion to get a stunning result overnight,
All of Kashmir, Bhutan, Nepal, Aksai Chin, Sri Lanka, the Trans-Karakoram Tract, the Siachen Glacier and even Western Burma and (maybe even South Tibet as well) belong to India and will inevitably be annexed to their rightful owner, India. Regards to all Indian patriots from Mexico!
This war got the US everything it wanted in Europe but nobody in the West even considered that this time the Third World wouldn't just fall in behind their former overlords and actually turn toward the BRICS rather than the West. China is playing the long game and by getting Iran and the Gulf on the same page as well as slowly building up influence in Africa and Latin America grew immensely in soft power.
the geopolitical importance of Azerbaijan is growing, because future trade routes pass through Azerbaijan. Oil and gas from Kazakhstan to the EU also goes through Azerbaijan.
It’s safe to say that it’s over for Ukraine. Russia is now forging alliances and financial ties with the biggest powerhouse in Latin America and the countries with the biggest economies besides the US. Sadly, everyone is ditching the dollar. That means Ukraine could face setbacks shortly or it’s guaranteed in the near future. A few months ago it looked like Russia would have settled for the paltry land they had conquered, but with these new financial prospects how can they stop there?
6:27 another reason why India should be aware of Western policies, as Indain maps and territory is not even respected in each and every video and if some geopolitical scholar wants to debate over it then i would simply say that if occupied territories are accepted as actual one them Crimea is the integral part of Russia
I like your take on world affairs, presenting facts and drawing conclusions. Very insightful. we do have to put ourselves in others shoes to understand thier motivations and problems as well as thier fears, these counttries sense the time is now to move away from us doller. Having one superpower in the world was bad enough but in this new era we might have 3, who already have conflicting interests. We're trading one monster for a 3 headed one.
There is a Big Mistake, India's Trade is Already at Record $ 1.6 Trillion USD in 2022, And The Govt. Is making way for India's Exports to increase from $ 680 Billion to $ 2 Trillion USD by 2030, So that India would Become World's 2nd or 3rd Biggest Exporter and India's Trade with Russia has Balloned to $ 40 Billon in 2022, thanks to Energy Imports from Russia, As India is not only The world's Fastest Growing Major Economy and 5th largest Economy soon to be 3rd largest Economy by 2028, It is also world's 2nd highest Importer and Consumer of Oil after China owing to India's Continuing Economic Boom
There has been increasing tensions between Azerbaijan - Iran, and Azerbaijan - India (due to their proximity to Pakistan). So an alternate route is being planned through Armenia.
A good canal between the Black Sea and the Caspian Sea would benefit all nations along the Black Sea and teh Caspian Sea. Just imagine a route for ships between Turkey and Greece in the West and Azerbaijan and Iran in the East. The present day conflicts in the region will end and everybody is keen on business.
The widening confrontation between the United States and China stretch from the halls of the United Nations to the island nations of the South Pacific. Yet, as in any great geopolitical game, certain countries carry more significance than others for American interests-foremost among them India. As Asia’s other emerging power, India could act as a crucial counterweight to Chinese influence, both in the region and outside it. That’s why Washington has been courting New Delhi with gusto. President Joe Biden has grand plans to cement the U.S. position in the Indo-Pacific, which encompasses South Asia, East Asia, and the western Pacific, through a range of diplomatic, economic, and security initiatives. India could play a determining part in their success or failure.
Yeah, that is a fair assessment. It is increasingly clear that whichever side is able to bring India to it's fold will have the decisive edge in the greater geopolitical game. Arrogant CCP leadership chose to coerce India instead of engaging with it. The anti-China sentiment is at it's peak in India at the moment and I don't see a reason why India would choose to cozy up to China now.
Mentions the fringe Azeri separatist entities in Iran as a factor in Iranian-Azerbaijani tensions, and cites them as a fathomable cause for the "balkanization" of Iran, but doesn't mention Armenia and Iran's geopolitical alignment with the country against Azerbaijan as a factor..... very curious
Armenia is a mini nation that already lost to Azerbaijan. If Iran wants beef with Azerbaijan it will need to face Türkiye as they already declared many times that they are one nation with two states. Iran's case? They don't even have stability inside with last protests even questioning the fundament of the Islamic republic. Persians only make up around 50% of Iran's population, Azerbaijanis of Iran will definitely be on their Turkic brother's side in this one since nobody in Türkiye or Azerbaijan cares about artificial sectarian lines anymore. Iran is f..ed if it comes to a war.
@@roenin Azeri's are a turkic language speaking Iranian People. The Azeri's have been part of the Iranian peoples way before the Turks came to the middle east region. Babak Khorramdin was the most famous Azeri. I got my name from him. He fought against the arabization of Iran and fought to preserve the Iranian identity. Quess what, he didnt speak 1 word turkish/turkic. 1 century later the first turkic people came: the Seljuks. Sooo....
@@roenin Armenia has not left The International North-South Transport Corridor project (as much as Shirvan would liked it to be). On the contrary, it offers an alternative road to Iran and India to connect with Russia, in order for them not to become dependent on Azerbaijan solely. Also, Armenia offers an alternative route for Iran and India to connect with Europe directly through Georgia. Hence, the importance of the North-South highway in Armenia and the construction of 3.5B $ Sisian-Meghri-Tabriz railway which would pass through the Southern province of Syunik (Zangezur). This railway will be the fastest route between the Black Sea port of Batumi and Persian Gulf port of Bandar-Abbas. And this is why Iran will not tolerate any hijacking by Azerbaijan against the Armenain-Iranian border, nor would India, as seen through the recent procurement of Indian weaponry by Armenia.
10:36 here he refers to it as the Persian Gulf. thes tantrums by Iranians over these little things on every CR video about Iran really ridiculous. while his videos always informative the comment section of his Iran videos also tells a lot about how insecure Iranians when it comes to talk about the geopolitical weaknesses of their country
@@mda990 accusing Iranians of that while all you talk about is Karabagh. Iran is not geopolitical weak since it controls Iraq, Syria, Libanon, Yemen. Thats why US and Saudi are so obsessed by Iran.
@@sassa82 Karabagh is long-occupied Azerbaijani territory. they have every right to talk about that. while the 'Persian' Gulf is not Persian just like Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen aren't. the Gulf region is more Arab than Persian as even Iran coast of the gulf is populated by Arabs. but all over these, arguing over how people call a sea part is ridiculous. unless it is part of another hegemony war. again it is ridiculous Iranians braging about their hegemony over Iraq, Syria etc while Iran and its mullah regime in a mess itself with internal turmoils. isnt it? while Iranian regime attacking Iranian people with chemical gas just because they schoolgirls dont want to wear hijab... ok go keep arguing over it and support the hegemony war of your mullah regime... but dont be surprised when the mullahs start killing Iranians in Iran as they killed Syrians in Syria, Iraqis in Iraq and others...
It's crazy that the North-South Corridor hinges on Azerbaijan considering that they are pretty close ally of Turkey and thus, kinda adjacent allies of the West. It complicates it even more when Russia is an ally of Armenia. You'd think it'd be easier for Russia to move through Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan than risking Azerbaijan disrupting the corridor in the future
This corridor now is infeasible because of fear of sanctions. it would make sense if Russia never invaded Ukraine. India will fear sanctions if gives the green light to this trade corridor.
Hhmm... yes and no. India's role in the project is very small, infrastructure wise, so it will be easy for them to play the game and accept Iranian ships until it might lead to trouble and they can turn around.
Why would India fear sanctions? India is far more important to the West than the other way round. Why do you think the US has sanctioned its ally Turkey for buying S400 and it has not done so for India? It won’t sell F16’s to Turkey but it is trying to sell F35’s, F15’s, F18’s and B2 bombers to India, despite buying more and more from Russia. India even still buys oil from Iran. One of the first Rupee trade mechanisms. So why would this project even matter?
India endured countless American led sanctions since 1947 my friend, each time it did cause some problem, but it always failed to meet its objectives. Don't drag 3rd party countries into your personal mess, these countries have lived very different history than yours and therefore have differing perspectives in geopolitics. You can't be an international dictator by demanding these countries with such overt sense of entitlement to do your bidding in international relations
It’s interesting to see the map you had in your TH-cam video thumbnail. I’ve always been skeptical of Russia selling India pipeline gas because of the extraordinary geographic and geopolitical obstacles to routing it through China or Central Asia, thereby crossing Afghanistan, Pakistan, or China. However, a route through the Caucuses or Caspian, through Iran and then offshore is much more practical.
ahahahaha.... i clicked on this video to guess how stupid it could possibly be and could it possibly surpass the stupidity that i imagined. You did it guys!.
You forgot to mention the Azerbaijan-Armenia war. Not only Iran, but even India doesn't like Azerbaijan since Azerbaijan is allies with Turkey & Pakistan, these three countries keep targeting India on the Kashmir issue. India recently supplied weapons to Armenia to help in it's war against Azerbaijan & Azerbaijan opposed India's actions. There are already talks in India to change the trade route to make it go through Armenia rather than Azerbaijan. Russia & Iran are also considering it seriously. So the final route may be Russia-Armenia-Iran-India.
Know your geography, Armenia shares no borders with Russia. Besides, although this may make up for a good TH-cam video to tap into the massive viewership of the Indian populace for the channel but the actual chances of this project ever starting are as good as finding aliens.
@@grammarpapa274 You can poke a hole in every mountain. My state in India has a great mountain range called the Western Ghats and we are makiing tunnels to lay train tracks and roadways.
Point is most of the corridor does not pass through india and the country is not responsible for any projects expect chabahar, which is completed in 2018.... what an idiot 😂😂
All these land/sea links that crosses different countries will run into severe inefficiencies due to all the various countries red tape on import/export laws/duties/customs inspections. Not to mention it's vastly less efficient than shipping when you go by land and especially if you have to move the cargo on/off different conveyances. The labor and time added just increase the cost so much that it's pointless.
@@kmh9817 What its just reality lol none of these countries collaborate on anything India hates China and Saudis hate Iran Russia cant win its own war etc. This is a fantasy.
Thanks for the excellent analytics, the heads of state will soon be informed and all the money that was invested in the project will be written off as losses and the project will be closed, what would they do without sofa analysts. It's just ridiculous how everyone considers themselves incredible experts in global trade, if it weren't for the Internet, you obviously wouldn't be engaged in such idiotic reasoning. Without negativity.
On the other hand the countries of central asia are looking for better access to western markets... the don-volga canal would help... KZ has been begging for the canal and more rail access for years... but what would help even more is a trade corridor through the caspian sea, AZ, GE, TR... very hard to implement... it could mean Russia invading GE for real if they can stop that corridor from happening
Cut shipping cost ? It would cost 2 - 3 times more by rail . To under stand more look at the Saint Lawrence Seaway . Since 2000 the average vessel size of container ships has more than doubled. Today's largest container ship can carry about 24,000 TEUs. The carrying capacity of today's largest container vessels is equivalent to no less than a 44 miles long freight train
Europe started to replace russian crude oil by oil from gulf and OPEC increased oil prices further by decreasing oil extraction. So India along with few other countries started to import crude oil from Russia at discount to control inflation at home. Considering requirement of crude oil in India and china along with limited supply from Gulf, it will give supply and economic shock to whole world if supply of russian oil get completely stopped in world economy.
Very true. It is in the interest of the West for Russia to continue to export oil, just not get as much for it. India incurs very low costs importing oil from the Middle East, so in order to complete Russia must undercut them while bearing very high transport costs. So the sanctions are working exactly as planned. All the best.
@@ivancho5854 Russia has pipelines and sea routes to India. Russia export costs aren't high at all and in fact they are so cheap that the Gulf states are buying Russian oil to sell more of their own at inflated prices to the West. The West is suffering from stagflation and you think everything is working as planned? 🤣🤣 Congratulation General Ufhdfjklsdhjksh has $10000000.23 which he wishes to give you, you just need to send a $100 admin fee to damnyourdumb@gimmeyourcashcretin
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too biased again against russia
why not luhansk n donetsk shown under russian territory if you'd shown the occupied region of India under Paxstani region??
Boycott yoga, mantras, curry !!!
Thank you for Karabakh and Crimea details on the map.
*Perfect Example Of the Quote:*
_In Geopolitics , there are no permanent friends... only permanent interests_
What century u are from 1800s ?
This accounts only work is to comment 😂😂
Ye galat jagah kar diya tumne
Yahan sirf intellectual log aate hain
JD wagerah pe Karo jake
@@arjavgarg5801*entellactual* 💩
@@arjavgarg5801you and intelectual 😂
This is not the only route planned with Russia. Recently there was a plan to connect Chennai port with vladivostok in Russia's East which is a region rich with natural gas and minerals and which borders china and North Korea . India also has plans to build a satellite city over there to counter the Chinese who consider it as a part of china. These two corridors on the west and east will help India to grow trade with Europe bypassing the suez canal route.
What India has to do with Russian East?? 🤷♂️ Any meaningful business sense of the project, except Gas supply??
The Russian far east is incredibly hard to develop, not to mention it just incentives the Chinese to invade and claim back their "historic territory".
@@jioboy2676 oil and minerals + teasing china
@@jioboy2676 Yes, India holds a significant share in the sakhalin 2 project. Has invested $1 billion in the development of vladivostok and neighbouring area. Plans to buy the japanese and American share in the sakhalin project and reduce dependency on the middle East. Unveiled a plan to set up a strategic zone near vladivostok to counter china. Russia wants India to increase its presence in its far east considering 40% citizens in that part of Russia are of Chinese ethnicity. China still harbours the plan to annex that part which they call an extension of Manchuria. Russia willing to make a lot of exceptions there for India as no other Major Country will invest there after the Ukrainian war.
Prashant Dhawan boy😂😂
Hey this Caspian report is actually a report involving the Caspian!
:-O
Ikr
Exactly what i thought
hope the US doesn't do any "freedom" operations in the caspian region
@@aj2228 I have been waiting for a whole year for an operation that will bring freedom to Russia. The USA brings us democracy, and it is better to occupy Germany and Japan for a couple of years. In gratitude, you will be able to pump out all the gas and oil.
It was a joke of my desperation. Translated through a translator, so the text may not be clear.
India has invested in the International North South Trade Corridor (INSTC) since early 2000s, but the lack of infrastructure in the region and high instability has lowered its use. Hopefully Iran and Russia will see the benefits of investing more money in the corridor since it's on their territory.
By the time Russia's Ukrainian campaign ends, Russia will have little to help India pick up the slack.
@@meilinchan7314 China will get involved with corridor, especially if the military conflict joins them in total with Russia. The east is so unstable now, anything could happen.
@@meilinchan7314 Russia has plenty of money, it's not running out, especially with its diversification of oil/gas/resources sales away from the West. Question is whether Russia will recognize the value of a massive investment into Astrakhan and do what's necessary to make the route a success? Moscow has been talking a big game in regards to the corridor, but now the time has come to put it into action.
I wouldn't say hopefully
Sorry, but you have nothing to offer Iran or Russia. Right now Russia is sitting lots and lots of Indian currency that it can't use. All these countries are exporters of goods that each already have with the exception of India needing oil and that it. Iran does import some food from India but it not it's main supplier.
Make one on: china, saudi and iran agreement
This is one that I have been waiting for.
Maybe he won't do that since they are paid to spit out Western propaganda. China did a great job with Iran and Saudi, but you won't hear that from the Western MSM.
No debt trap pls
@@bv6168 some/most countries in the African continent would agree with you
@@bv6168 no bombing Middle East and overthrowing govts in South America plz
Some Central Asian countries have expressed interest in this, like Kazakhstan. It was estimated by another source that the time to deliver goods to Central Asia from India is 40 % shorter and 30 % cheaper as well. This could help decrease the isolation of Central Asia from the rest of the world.
Well India would share a border with Afganistan whole of Central Asia will benefit
Are u sure...? Where india and afganistan connected through border? Please elaborate.
cant transport to india via khazakistan w/o fixing the kashmir situation first.
Any source on this claim? 40% shorter, 30% cheaper claim any source
Afghanistan and Pakistan would not allow the creation of this road.
That rout from Astrakhan to Mumbai existed since 17th century, when Russian merchant Afanasy Nikitin made a very first voyage to India, just 25 yrs before Vasco de Gama
Vasco da Gama did the trip in 1497-1499,when did your explorer did it?
@@kermitthethinker1465 from 1466 to 1472
en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Afanasy_Nikitin
@@korneplodus4605 Nice,pretty cool but at the Cape Route was superior until the Suez Canal
Either way, it’s a good reminder that this is not a new idea.
@@Dafnessific well the silk road it's the oldest trade route on history.
Some of the Indian projects are impressive. The freight rail corridor and the cheap but fast high speed rail thats already running now are actually really incredible. India is making serious progress now. Random added topic, but broad rail gauge used in India is ideal for high capacity, high speed freight rail transport. It is a huge advantage that India will have as it upgrades its infrastructure.
Yeah, I was thinking bullet trains would do the trick, but little did I know our own Indian companies would do even better! ❤
India still uses railroad tracks that British gave. 80% of railroad tracks was built when the British were there.
@@CRICKETINGGLOBE yes thank you dear master for building rail roads for easy exportation of looted goods, hey! Weren't you the same guys who did the same in America too?
Long live the queen and loot our lands. Ho ho ho!
@@CRICKETINGGLOBE and we gave you prime ministers one of them even advocating for scotish independence
@@CRICKETINGGLOBE Wrong, the total track length has more thaan doubled since 1951, with plans to double it further
I don't believe China views the North-South corridor as competition to the BRI. Any and all new transport links will be complimentary to the BRI network
Yeah, but you need some propaganda piece to excite the BJP Indians here and there that they don't s..ck as much in comparison to China.
I'm Indian... I agree ... Of all the things India and china do to poke each other in the eyes..
This particular project is not one of them... It's just a parallel project
It predates the BRI, so it wasn't intended to challenge it. It's just that there'll always be a geopolitical aspect to major projects like this.
@@HimanshuSharma-oe4mko you think one day with the potential help from Russia, that the strained relationship between India and China can be bettered like China is doing with the Saudis and Iran and Russia and Iran mediate now between Turkiye and Syria?
That would be the nail in the coffin for western imperialism and neo-colonialism and potentially thwart a WW3 as it would make the west with the Washington regime at the wheel think both twice and trice imo. Or is the fear of China bigger than opposition to the never ending wars and exploitation by the west?
@@elephantman2112 The idea may pre-date the belt and road initiative but I doubt that the execution or decision to do such predates it. India is probably playing with fire. In relation its western relations by doing anything more with such agreements to help warmongering Russia. This discussion does not even touch the fact that many other countries through which this transportation link passes are not exactly wealthy. There's not even a discussion of the environmental effects to the rivers and the Caspian Sea.
Just a day before I saw India selling weapons to Armenia (potentially to piss off Turkey) and now I see Indian goods probably being exported through Azerbaijan. It's always the neutral countries that get the best share of the pie.
Well as an indian i will say that no one comes to your defence in case of war 😅cause your neutral
Why should Türkiye of 85m be p.ssed off at 3m Armenia's little weapon purchases? They were never a threat, they won't ever be a threat to Türkiye's bulging weapons industry. Instead you only manage to p.ss off the only critical link on your route there which is Azerbaijan that has an ongoing war (no peace deal) with Armenia. You should inform yourself about the dimensions in the Caucasus before you blabber nonsense.
@@prateeksharma6706 you think west would support you if you support them back? 😏 They will make you a cheerleader for their war against China, like how they did with Ukraine
@@roenin you must see more of Turkey relationship with India , especially in UN, to understand my comment. 👍
@@roenin India is Turkiye's friend. Never forget the help we have provided to Turkiye during the earthquake.
It’s nice that you finally got a chance to talk about The Caspian sea
Would love a train ride from India to Russia after the completion, change from topography to climate from a tropical country to artic circle.
Ok from Iran.
No doubt India benefits the most from this route.
May Allah protect Iran from its enemies.
Good point. :)
@@yam2050St. Petersburg isn't exactly on the Arctic circle...
If that's what you have in mind.
But sure, if you combine this route with others you could get there.
For instance if you take the train on to Finland then through through them to northern Norway as a example.
Or other parts of Finland or Russia (although there would be less to see in northern Russia then northern Norway in terms of landscapes.
Culturally...
I don't have a overview of what minorities you can visit by train in Russia...
Sounds like a good idea with this land bridge for the involved countries but there are some huge challenges. The railroad track gauge in Russia is 1524mm, Iran1435mm and in India 1676 mm. The cargo will have to be loaded on to new railroad wagons and ferries and vessels to be transported from Russia to India. It will be very time consuming, it will mean congestion, it will be expensive and in the end it might be cheaper and faster to ship it by the long sea route.
They could only use Iranian rail, and use barges in the Caspian Sea and up the Volga river, rail not necessary.
Well in Europe there's trains that change gauge on the fly with passengers on board in just minutes, they could do that.
Of course that technology might be easier said then done while both countries are under sanctions...
Doesn't matter in case of India, as it already would need to be unloaded at Mumbai.
Take a look at the map in the video - there will be no direct link between the Indian railways and the rest. Everything will arrive by ship in Mumbai and then it is up to India to decide where and how to transport it inside their own country.
Also there are two separate routes going from Russia to Iran, one of them being sea-based via the Caspian sea.
The only thing that could be an issue is how many loading/unloading capacity you currently have at each stop on the way.
We will see. But transport by containers are easily intermodal.
The capacity of any rail connection is dwarfed by seaborne capacity, while incurring much higher investment and operating costs. This project will probably never break even.
@@avros008 that’s _literally_ what op wrote
It'll shorten the route between northern Europe and India.
If relations normalize between Russia and Europe this route could make a profit on trade between the regions.
Northern Europe has wealthy enough markets to fund this route.
The capacity issue you mentioned means that this is no threat to the sea route, but that doesn't mean that it's not viable long term.
why would it need to break even if it makes it much safer to go through just the 3 countries than past a dozen countries which are potentially hostile to russian interests in Europe. It is also less than half the distance and passes through the caspian sea so it makes transport of raw materials and energy resources from there much easier to the signatories of the corridor. both russia and Iran are under sanctions by the west so this might be easier going through just one country in Azerbaijan. it also gives them access to a huge market in India and gives India easier access to their resources. it doesn't have to break even, if this plan goes smoothly it just has to work
@@jealouseggs5619 it needs to “break even” because everything revolves around profit, numb nuts.
You bringing up “hostilities” and “safety” doesn’t matter because nobody, and I mean NOBODY, is plundering Russian trade caravans and merchant ships.
It’s not that people are physically harming Russian trade. They’re simply not trading with Russia at all. It’s never been suggested to physically harm Russian trade. Like, where are you even getting the whole “safety” issue at?
Also. Did you know that Azerbaijan is a U.S. ally? Azerbaijan is literally a pro-west client state.
Azerbaijan became an associate member due to the decision of NATO PA in November 2002, and joined NATO Operational Capabilities Concept in March 2004.
@@jealouseggs5619 transporting energy via train vs ship or pipe is just the dumbest thing out there. And yes, any investment that has high maintenance costs such as rails passing across your nation needs to be economically make up to be competetive with existing trade routes.
India lives in a very rough neighborhood, I see the route avoids both our difficult neighbors.
I am confused. This presentation seems to indicate what is YET to be built and what IS now built, all in the same breath. I get the feeling that much of this intercountry infrastructure is still in the planning stages. And as was said the war in Ukraine is a strong headwind for Russia. Anyway, am I to look at these ideas as a potential or as accomplished work?
Potential. It is still just a talking point for a video.
There is already a road link . A rail link in Iran is pending.
It has been completed
Neither. Its never going to happen. Iran and Russia are too unstable to achieve these goals. Azerbaijan and Iran are likely to go to war in a few years. India is led by ultra orthodox Hindu Nationalists who hate muslims. In a few years all of the Islamic countries will turn on India. Its basically high fantasy at this rate
wishful thinking
Iranian natural fortress is also bolstered from the east by an impenetrable desert. This eastern desert is what has seperated iran and india for centuries because it was impossible to pass an army through there, the winds are so hot that they’ll melt your lungs and no water for hundreds of miles.
Persian invasion of Mughal Delhi says hi
@@srafid2000 It was through Afghanistan i guess. The southern desert extends from Iran to whole of southern pakistan (Balochistan & Sindh) and to Great Rajasthan desert of India. Together it is humongous desert block in 3 countries
Alexander did it and manage to return via desert to Persia
@@kermitthethinker1465 Alexander never crossed the Southern desert in Pakistan. Instead he went to north pakistan (Modern Punjab where Porus was king) and returned from there.
@@kermitthethinker1465 while losing 75% of his army in 60 days crossing it
This is very important for India ,we have been trying to achieve this for a very long time
true, but india can never benefit from ignoring china, if it would have connected with the BRI network, it would gain massively, maybe this link would be more viable then, now it just seems too cluttered to become a reality.
@@user-gf5dr5nq6l china indeed is India's priority and believe me we ain't ignoring it
@@papastalin1543 by ignoring I meant ignoring it from an economic perspective, not the land border issue, you’re overly dependent on China for most of the goods coming in your country and god knows why your government keeps wanting to decouple from China when it’s not even possible
@@user-gf5dr5nq6l it's a long story, i am just too lazy to type all that
@@user-gf5dr5nq6limply put ,we are happy to have trade with them but if they want to forcibly occupy our lands and arm our neighbour pakistan against us then we got a problem, Chinese cont be trusted ,their ccp government will never allow india with democracy to be rich and successfully because it will raise questions from home to have a democracy too
Another good video from the Caspian Report, providing information I didn’t know about or paid little interest to. Despite travelling through Indian and Iran in my younger days, I remember staying in Zahedan after crossing the border from Pakistan.
You sound like an illegal immigrant to Iran 😂
I wonder why a sea-only route from Russia to Iran (Astrakhan to Bandar Anzali) is not an option removing potential negative issues in Azerbaijan should problems occur.
Anyone know?
Great video, thx.
Port capacity
@@talknight2 which can be easily increased with timely investment, rather than depending on an ever more belligerent baku govt who has major disputes with both India and Iran, not to mention a questionable relation with Russia.
Port capacity, overall security and amount of investment. Upgrading a port is both costly and time consuming, thus you are safer to include a reserve option.
Also bad sea weather can stop ships from sailing, while a land-based route can be functional during the whole year (pending any natural disasters).
@@8wayz2shine Iran to Russia trade through the Caspian is growing at a fast rate after sanctions on RF. And both the ports at their respective sides have excess land and capacity can be created rather quickly in comparison to creating hundreds of miles of new/upgraded railways through a belligerent Azerbaijan. Plus the seaborne cargo shipment is significantly cheaper due to greater capacity to move more volume.
Coming back to weather - that is more or less a RF problem due to freezing of the mouth of Volga and the silting of the Astrakhan port IIRC. They have started to build the LAGAN port & trans-shipment hub which will offer much deeper navigation and ice free harbor so it will become a much less problematic aspect in future. Considering the Azeri relations with both Iran and India and its somewhat questionable relations with Russia, this may turn out to be the primary route via Caspian.
Rail is already uncompetitive vs. shipping and pipes. If you have to pay for all that rail infrastructure, and then have to add the time and cost burden of transferring between rail and shipping on an already uncompetitive route then you couldn’t even justify it for political reasons.
Dude you need to do more homework on geopolitics of India.
India is the only country to be strategic partners with both Iran and Israel, US and Russia, and be part of anti West SCO/BRICS and anti China Quad, I2U2, and be invited by the west for every G7 even though it's not a member.
Lots of acquaintances, very few true friends. I wonder if that's actually a winning strategy...
@@silverhost9782that's true.
@@silverhost9782 Acquaintances? LOL 😂 no man...there is no such thing as acquaintances in geopolitics. You are equating personal human relationships with relationships with countries. Does fighter planes, missiles, aircraft carriers, nuclear submarines, combat drones, oil at a deep discount, gas at a deep discount, real time intelligence on terrorist threats and security sound like acquaintancing to you?
@@silverhost9782 Yes it is a winning strategy and India is actually winning. We are not involved in this war that is not ours. You may feel that China will be happy that India is not very West friendly, but China has a lot of enemies already and those are India's friends which balances things out.
Are you per chance implying that if India were a young lady, she would get herself a bad reputation?🤭🤭
13:06 "But Russia is a veteran in geopolitics. It knows how to play the game and more importantly, it knows when to flip the board and start a new game." - And you know what? By the end of the game, both the king and the pawn are going to end up being in the same box! Sağol!
!RemindMe 10 years
The box will 💥 not even your hair from down there will be soared... Try to live peacefully...
Jajajaja yes thats why they've already gone through an entire collapse and reformation
Pieces get lost all the time bro they don't always make it back in the box, especially pawns...
At the end of the game, both the king and pawn OF BOTH SIDES end up being in the same box. ;)
I like that quote: "it can take years to get overnight success".
Zahedan to Chabahar is under construction and half completed. It will be operational next year.
Any news on Armenia's suggestion of using them as an alternate route?
@@davesprivatelounge they don't border Russia, it would have to pass through Georgia too.
@@nikhil518 Georgia already got the Ukraine treatment, pretty sure its a pro russia regime at the moment. Even an attempt at a color revolution recently. Besides, how likely is it that tiny Georgia is going to get in the way of Russia and India?
I wish the corridor all the success. The less Russia and India are reliant on a European route for trade the better.
i wish them all the succes too, Indians are good people overall
but if you think India will ever play only one side you clearly don't know their geopolitical gameplan
India should ig bolster is trade with Russia to a point that Russia might feel hesitant to intervene in the future, if an indo-china conflict breaks out. In that case Russia won't even bother if India get a bit more cozy with the west. Plus India can provide them a huge market and their markets can be a good starting base for more of Indian medium scale companies to expand abroad.
Russia needs China more than India
Why is the West so concerned with India and China war LOL.
When you people didn't bat an eye when Pakistan was sending terrorists left and right to India.
You people want India on your side and want India to become another Ukraine In the process.
We Indians are not interested in this shit.
And launched 4 wars against India.
Hmm, interesting viewpoint...
You like geopolitics, awesome✨...
Offtopic, Lol why do I not find girls like you near me 😂😂
@@sujantkumarkv5498 SIMP get a life mate
The clip of Iranian "domestic pressure" from 3:00 - 3:02 is of Vancouver, Canada (Robson St). I've eaten at the Vietnamese place there a bunch of times.
Ya they are Iranian disporas and western agents who support dead king 😅
Genius by the ruzzians: Instead of trading with europe, nearby and easy, they chose to start a war and try to build a new, complex and expensive transport route to india, far away. Brilliant!
I guess Russia doesn't want to Trade with a Declining Region like Europe. They saw the Future
Putin is making the best of a bad situation. He doesnt have a choice now. He is playing the hand he was dealt
😂😂
a transport route that likely won't be finished before the russian federation disintegrates. time isn't on putin's side.
Russia's eternal struggle with: a window to europe, a highway to asia.
How easy this whole thing would be if Pakistan and India were one country. Russia would then be almost just a country next door to India
That's why India was divided. We would have a border with Soviet union.
If this if that fogs the mind blurs the sight
Pakistan is 😂still welcome (Pakistani land is anyway ) without the crowd
Then India would become neighbours to Afghanistan. Right now Pakistan is acting as a buffer zone btw us and Taliban nutjobs
Indians divided the subcontinent by themselves and they then put the blame on the British.
Transportation over Land, even by Rail, is signifikant more expensive, as by Ship.
The strategic benefit from this Rail Transportation in Russia and Iran, is the great security Aspect, for not traveling through NATO Sea and along NATO Shores.
If the distances were the same - yes, it will be more expensive. But in this case it will cut the total distance by 2.5 times, meaning that overall it will be both cheaper and faster to use rail transport for some of the way. By the way, even the transport within Russia can be done for most of the trajectory by river (Volga or Don, when the canal is operational between the two), so they are actively working on lowering the percentage of rail transport and thus the cost.
Only if the distance is the same. Here the distance by land is almost 3 times less & does not have the additional delays incurred by passing through Suez canal. Thereby the transportation costs via INSTC are on par & in fact slightly cheaper than by sea. It is China's belt & road initiative that is expensive & risky as well as it passes through multiple disputed territories filled with terrorists.
@@8wayz2shine I'm more interested in capacity. It's cheaper, sure, but what about volume? Iran is the obvious bottleneck in this plan - every other piece of this can be theoretically done via shipping and shipping is like 10-15x more efficient than rail in terms of volume - so introducing an uncircumventable rail leg to your otherwise maritime trade network only reduces its overall efficiency. Even the canal can't do anything to address this because the bottleneck isn't in Russia, it's in Iran.
@@korayven9255 Capacity will be an issue if Russia starts using this as its only route for shipping to the world. They have multiple ports and routes, this one seems to be intended to serve mainly India (which in and itself is a big market).
We will know about how much capacity they need once the main parts become operational. And I do think that the main bottleneck is actually Baku in Azerbaijan, as they are also selling oil and gas to Europe, thus a lot of fuel traffic will be going through there. Politically they will also need to do some tight rope balancing.
@@8wayz2shine Iran-AZ relations are extremely tense at present. And India-Azerb. relation also at the bottom. I will be very surprised if either goes through a route that will be using Azeri land/infra prone to blockade.
On a bigger scale, I have doubt about profitability of this route considering the state of economy of both Russia and Iran ppost sanction.
Because 🇮🇳 all of it’s history since independence has been against alignment to one side, and because the potential price and risk compared to potential benefits for the western alliance, it’s very unlikely that India will be seriously punished for trading with Russia, if at all likely only symbolic measures. Unless the western alliance has become stupid in the game of geopolitics, which I doubt, the western countries will probably only complain, as long as India doesn’t change it’s long term strategy of nonaligned nation, no serious western pressure will come in my opinion, India is not hostile towards the western alliance, and strong enough to be costly to pursue, a smaller country might not get away with it but the world is not a fair place, might gives privileges, and who cares if India doesn’t want to align itself, as long as they are consistent with it, it’s the Indian way.
Also, India is not an expansionist country like say Russia China UK or France. India is fortunate to have high altitude mountainous regions (6 Himalayan states), desert regions (Rajasthan and Gujarat), many fertile green agricultural regions, tropical-like regions (Kerala and Tamil Nadu), forested hilly regions (Deccan-Maharashtra and Bengal) and everything in between. Not to mention, India has two Himalayan protectorates Nepal and Bhutan as well as high access to Maldives in the Indian Ocean. Therefore, India has always been a very self-satisfied nation in terms of resources and land, never interested in land grabs. India is not a physical or ideological threat to the world, and honestly the core interest among Indians is collaborating with human society in science, technology and the arts. It’s very similar to South Korea in this way but India is of course much larger.
@@VedJoshi.. Love from Darjeeling
@@SILOPshuvambanerjee cheers! my family is from Maharashtra
@@VedJoshi.. south Korea is not a good example
Yes I doubt there will be any problems. The lines that shouldn't be crossed are providing Russia with missile components or other parts for weapons systems as long as this war is going on. The US would likely implement 3rd party sanctions. After it is over I actually think EU-Russia relations will go "back to business as usual" very quickly because EU is Geographically a natural market for Russian business and many western businesses will probably also invest back into Russia because it's reserves will be very depleted and Economy doing poorly so there will be deals to be had.
Also this very much makes sense with Iran. I hope Iran and Saudi-Arabia will be able to solve their differences and Iran will join the nuclear agreement again so that we may have Iran as part of the Global Economy.
It is such a rich country with huge deposits of oil, minerals and a educated workforce and wonderful ancient culture.
I live in Finland so right next to where the railway is supposed to start so I could easily take the Train from Helsinki to St.Peyersburg, and from there to Iran... Imagine that.
There is the one thing the countries surrounding the Caspian Sea each have a veto right about any construction like pipelines, bridges, wind turbines etc. That could become problematic.
"Russia knows when to flip the board and start a new game" : that is so true, and that is what they are doing right now.
In the last 25 years, the russians have been masters at diplomacy.
@@A_R_B_G You Clearly know that Russia is Earning More Money after the War by Trading Oil with India and China than before the War by Trading with Europe and USA.
@A B roughly speaking russian budget relied on around 60% from exports and aroud 70% of that was oil mostly to europe and about 25% gas sold to europe.
China and india won't replace the european market by any means but they surely can help keep the budget somewhat afloat.
News of today that saudi in opec have cut 1 million of their oil production to rise prices.
Nato must just steamroll ukraine with military tech in order to increase the chances of brakeing entirely the russian front and open the window for regime wabble.
It has been more than a year my friend, Russia is very pessimistic about its trade prospects with West
@A B Russia is earning more money than before invasion of Ukraine.
It would be more economical for India to develop Chennai to Vladivastak sea route TBH
Sure, but that requires all trade to go all the way around Asia and then back overland across Russia the long way (admittedly, some of the raw materials India wants are produced in Siberia and neighbouring regions, that isn't so bad, but any import of Russian foodstuffs or manufactured goods, and everything India might ever hope to export back to Russia, has to be linked to European Russia, not just a glorified naval base dangling on the end of the longest and most fragile supply line ever built..
No to mention that both the rail and sea lanes for that trade route travel right past China, a country that India is on notably poor terms with, and which has a vested interest in minimizing Russia's ability to diversify its trading partners. That makes it incredibly vulnerable to Chinese interference, both overt (Chinese Naval vessels "inspecting" Indian shipping as it heads through the S & E China Seas), or covert (Shipping companies transporting Chinese goods on the Trans-Siberian RR mysteriously having "industrial accidents" that damage the rail line at key times).
That route is mainly for oil but INSTC is for various products and can even reach europe.
Russia is large. Valdivvostok not a major city like Moscow. Moscow has more people so more money
This is good news for all three great countries. More trade, cultural ties and general relations for India, Iran & Russia is good for Persians, Indians and Russians! I hope these three counties can also have close military ties to strengthen an alliance among these great countries.
I guess any country is entitled to "join" other countries for military/political strength. The main difference between the east and west that I see is, the west join each other to prevent war and support each other in times of need, but the east seem to like conflict and intimidate neighbouring countries and just want to dominate each other🤷🏼. The east has been unstable for decades if not longer and nobody can say such likes about the west(since ww2 of course). Russia invades ukraine, China wants to invade Taiwan, North Korea is shaking sticks too. Iran is in support of Russia as is China. The east just like fighting! The west although is full of red tape they are about dimocracy. The east are about 1 man's view per country, to the point they change laws to prevent them being voted out! And if anyone speeks up.... They're done away with🤷🏼. Very little free speach in the east. Maybe that's why (millions) head to the west?
@@sliderdriver1 😂😂😂 you so funny!
@@hammer6198 I try 👍🏻😁
@@sliderdriver1 You really think West never invaded? The only difference is the eatern invasion are called Invasion and the western Invasions are called intervention. Remember, we need a multipolar world to balance everything out.
10:14 I think these figures might be referring to just export values. India's new Foreign Trade Policy has set a target of $2 trillion in exports by 2030. Total trade value would much higher.
hit 750 billion+ in export this year with a 250 billion rise from the last. The 2 trillion mark will get crossed easily
The (current) Russian invasion of the Ukraine started in 2022 (or 2014...), how can the embargo of EU/NATO from 2022 onwards cause a massive spike in Russian-Indian trade a year earlier? Perhaps Russian diversified forward-looking because they planned the war but the story told in the videa at 1:16 seems like a reversal of cause and effect.
Oh deffo started in 2014 in response to the US regime change operation and the overthrow of the democratically elected government and the civil war starting
@@stephen4121 The democratically elected president was removed from power by the democratically elected parliament, in which he had a majority. The US has nothing to do with it.
When artillery fires at you from the territory of a neighboring state, this is not a civil war.
Exactly! - I was going to say that. The shift must be a part of an earlier development.
yeah, I Missed that part, but neat catch, it's indeed not directly linked to the sanctions, but it might indeed have been part of the Military strategy to move away from markets less inclined to support a Warlord before the invasion, does make me wonder how many subtle hints there has been in the planning,
the propaganda will always try to paint russia as bumbling idiots who do everything in an improvised way and nothing works.
Isolating Iran has been the West's biggest mistake of the 20th and early 21st century in so many ways. Ironically, preventing Russia's access to the southern seas and markets, is exactly why the British Empire was so intent on maintaining either friendly relations with Iran or some form of control over Iran.
The thing is the Islamic republic in Iran is a fanatic and ideologically insane regime, destroying Israel, preparing the world for the coming of the Mahdi (Shia messiah) and forcing people to abide by the religious rules are integral to this regime and have been since day one, To think this regime will abandon these plan, reform and join the international community is naive. We people of Iran used to believe the same lie but were eventually awaken fro it.
The mistake is that they dont know anything but control ... and its hard to control a nation with a nukes . To bad there are just few nations with nukes , i wish all had some ....
British Empire worst nightmare was Russia going to the Mediterranean 😂
really fantastic, please keep bringing such insightful content
Mind Begs the Question:
If a Indian PM/Govt stays Quiet
As regional KKK hold public meetings
Threatening Rape of Blacks/Muslims
Threatening Genocide of Blacks/Muslims
Indian PM/Govt - Democratic,Fascist?
Fair warning, @CaspianReport operates out of Baku, so take anything he says regarding Azerbaijani geopolitics (and Armenian for that matter) with a big grain of salt. I am agnostic to the regional disputes personally, but I feel that people should know about his biases when reporting.
Edit: Add Iran to the mix of taking things with a big grain of salt, and look, I'm sure Caspian is a good guy and not trying to intentionally mislead, but it is hard to put aside your biases sometimes on things you feel strongly about (or coerced into). Just remember that Azerbaijan is not the freest country in the world, so it might not even be his choice to tow the line for the government.
Yes, he makes several omissions and arguments that makes him biased against Iran and try to incerase the importance of the rep of Azerbaijan.
Also anything he says about Iran. Azerbaijani media and education system have been heavily biased against Iran to the point of making weird claims such as Iran and Russia partitioning Azerbaijan in 1800s, Iran having 40 million Azeris and Cyrus the Great of Persia being killed in Azerbaijan by "Turks".
His points about Iran being like Yugoslavia, fringe Azeri separatists being relevant in this video and completely false claims of Iran being authoritarian because of its ethnic diversity in his video on Iranian protests are examples of this.
His information about Iran is false and completely biased against Iran. We all know our people in the north are the most loyal Iranians especially our Azerbaijani. Imagine the likes of Ali Daei and Karim Bagheri being separatists. In this video the narrator is promoting terrorist activity to take place in the north of our beloved country I reported this video.
In his old channel he outright said he's not allowed to remotely criticize Azerbaijan. His old channel also included disgusting levels of racism and genocide denial against Armenia. CaspianReport would have been reliable if he didn't hate Armenians and he lived in a country where he'd be free to speak openly
@@peternguyen7207 Though I think he can still be kinda reliable on things that are not at all related to Fakerbaijan.
The world geopolitics are going to turn into Games of throne with multiple powers competing with each other in this modern world, it would be fun to see
pre ww1 on steroids
@@heartsofiron4ever haha
back to old times i see. I read this Foreign Affairs article that argued that the next 100 years will be the most deadly one for the Middle East, because now we see that every country, the smallest states, can amass great power and propagate their own geopolitical games. Qatar & UAE have made that pretty clear, and it doesn't seem like Iran/Saudi rivalries will end any time soon. But honestly its just about everywhere in the world, size of countries is no longer a limiting factor, it'll be an interesting century thats for sure.
@@GuineaPigEveryday The Iranian Plateau - Mesopotamian/Arabic lowlands rivalry has been going on since the dawn of civilization, literally. It'll go on for a bit longer.
Great video as always. You show where the money flows and the interest of nations. India certainly has the potential to surpass China as the new world factory if they can get their act together. P.M. Modi seems very smart in the geo political area and is definitely playing his cards right.
India's population lack the work ethics of the Chinese. So India will not surpass China as the world factory
Keep up the good work I really enjoy your videos bro
Such high class content, yet such an under-rated channel. CaspianReport makes great videos.
Be quiet dummy
Used to be, but lately seems pro-Kremlin. Maybe somebody got a big encouragement check?
Not really. He's a paid propogandist from the republic of azerbaijan and he can't seem to hide his pan-turanic, ethnofascist bias.
I don't know how their channel is taken seriously. Their pro Baku stances, overstating separationist tendencies in Iran and removing (Persian) from the Persian Gulf, all happened in just this one video. I can't imagine what the rest of their videos are like.
Underated? He has 1.3m subscribers!
With the number of subscribers and views it garners, I wonder why this channel hasn't been verified yet. A really good geopolitical channel to say the least.
Land-based logistics will never be more efficient than waterway-based. Give us a call when you’re tired of spending twice as much to move 1/4th of what cargo ships can move over a year….. not to mention paying the tariffs of multiple countries just to have goods pass through their lands.
I just discovered your channel, and frankly I'm very happy to find that there is a content creator like you from my homeland. Great for understanding geopolitical issues in the world. I wish you continued success
It is interesting to see your content from an european point of view! it's always mind opening :) thank you
he's azeri
@@heartsofiron4ever good to know! As an italian citizen i find this content very detailed and interesting
He's pushing a Turkish Azerbaijani agenda, don't let him trick you 😊
The center of the world is the Eurasian continent, and China welcomes this initiative to increase the connection between Asia and Europe.
As an Indian, I hope we do not allign ourselves with Russia and become dependent on them.
India is already aligned with Russia, but never was dependent on Russia.
@@arjuno6855 Absolutely right
@@arjuno6855 was not anymore
@@dograkhalsa1098 Yeah India is not dependent on Russia, but Russia is dependent on having India strong. Which is a reason why Russia never sanctioned India.
Right now you have a Tamil Jamaican vice president of the United States, and a prime minister in Britain of Indian descent I wonder would Indians ever be able to reach such a high position in Russia or China? Look at the CEO of Google and Microsoft The West welcomes India that's a fact, as for Russia and China? After all the years of fraternity and socialist solidarity what is there to show of it in terms of true cross integration ?
Great insights Shirvan! Thank you
Ever heard of BRICS? I don’t think this economic corridor will be linked with the Belt and Road Initiative that Russia is also a party to
Finally! A video by caspian on caspian
Shout out to Baku for somehow becoming the intersection of the new Silk Road and the North South Transport Corridor. This north south corridor between Russia and the Indian ocean via Caspian and Iran is something that needed to happen for the interests of many connected states in the region for at least 100 years.
Baku is raising tensions with Iran. Soon to be crushed in between.
Not only North and South, but also East and West💪🇦🇿🇹🇷 Of course, Iran doesn like it. Strong Azerbaijan and Turkey is the nightmare of Iran.. as we include the fact that at least 30% of Iran are Azerbaijani Turks and they are not satisfied with mullah regime.
They started playing dirty games against us by utilizing religion and terrorism. But, it is a great moment for Azerbaijan, to clean all mullah brainwashed groups off Azerbaijan. And, we gonna buy even more modern Israeli and Turkish weapons ))
Not really. They in fact squandered the geographic advantage they had by causing friction with Iran and India. An alternate route is being seriously discussed through Armenia.
Aliyev fumbled
@@allcaps3584 Ok, an alternate route. Fine, maybe that's better. Same overall point. I think we should be happy for Baku though for the moment.
I think there are far too many political variables that can easily go wrong in such an economic corridor. Besides the Chinese angle, Azerbaijan is a western friendly nation with good relations with Israel, if things were to get tense between the West and Iran, Azerbaijan could find itself in quite an uncomfortable spot, making Russia economically precarious to Azerbaijans foreign affairs, that’s just one of so many potential problems I can think of which would dissuade political leaders from pursuing such a behemoth undertaking of unimaginable costs especially during such volatile economic times.
The routes is already operational.
Baku Republic is already in bed with Israel it's far past just being friendly
It can take years to achieve overnight success…😮 I’m still chewing that phrase
it's indeed quite a beautiful quote to keep to heart, sometimes it'll take years setting up the dominoes to make them fall in a single motion to get a stunning result overnight,
Sorry mate, gotta report the video. It's about time we start using our population.
Why?
@@grammarpapa274 well don't bother if ur not indian, if you are then you should know
@@pranavchauhan9548 freedom of speech left the chat
No thanks. Not all of us gets emotional over differences in opinion or natural biases.
This has been on the cards for so many years now, i doubt it will take off in the next 30 years.
Most if it is already built and operational. The biggest missing part is the railway to Azerbaijan but shipping route exist.
@@sassa82 Its not
In Modi we trust.
@@froglifes6829 yes, it is. look at a map.
@@sassa82 its not...
All of Kashmir, Bhutan, Nepal, Aksai Chin, Sri Lanka, the Trans-Karakoram Tract, the Siachen Glacier and even Western Burma and (maybe even South Tibet as well) belong to India and will inevitably be annexed to their rightful owner, India.
Regards to all Indian patriots from Mexico!
would you like to introduce yourself?
😂😂😂
Nice❤
thnx for your best wishes but that would never materialize....
Basedexican. California is rightful tacoland
This war got the US everything it wanted in Europe but nobody in the West even considered that this time the Third World wouldn't just fall in behind their former overlords and actually turn toward the BRICS rather than the West. China is playing the long game and by getting Iran and the Gulf on the same page as well as slowly building up influence in Africa and Latin America grew immensely in soft power.
2:50 the correct name is the Persian Gulf. Get your geography right!
Caspian report is a panturk republican azeri. He hates Persians
8:30 This really illustrates how big the war is.
Great idea!!! Their economies have a ton of potential!!! Iran, Russia and India, working together can grow their economies tremendously!!!!!!
the geopolitical importance of Azerbaijan is growing, because future trade routes pass through Azerbaijan. Oil and gas from Kazakhstan to the EU also goes through Azerbaijan.
Love it as always... Keep up the good work :)
Finally
*caspian reports on the caspian sea*
Amazing content as usual! Love your channel!
Propaganda channel lmao
Really cringe🤣
Amazing to the simple minded
It’s safe to say that it’s over for Ukraine. Russia is now forging alliances and financial ties with the biggest powerhouse in Latin America and the countries with the biggest economies besides the US. Sadly, everyone is ditching the dollar. That means Ukraine could face setbacks shortly or it’s guaranteed in the near future.
A few months ago it looked like Russia would have settled for the paltry land they had conquered, but with these new financial prospects how can they stop there?
India 🤝 Iran🤝 Russia
Wait-did he say “It can take years to achieve overnight success” at 1:20?
6:27 another reason why India should be aware of Western policies, as Indain maps and territory is not even respected in each and every video and if some geopolitical scholar wants to debate over it then i would simply say that if occupied territories are accepted as actual one them Crimea is the integral part of Russia
You lost the war, now its Pakistan, Dont lose wars
By your logic ..when war ends 20%- 30% of ukrain will be integral part of russia😑
@@SteveVJones
Crimea and Eastern Ukraine rightfully belongs to Russia idk why West is crying so much over it
@@llawliet5780 Russia rightfully belongs to Mongolia. Idk why the Russians don't accept that.
@@SteveVJones wait which war
I like your take on world affairs, presenting facts and drawing conclusions. Very insightful. we do have to put ourselves in others shoes to understand thier motivations and problems as well as thier fears, these counttries sense the time is now to move away from us doller. Having one superpower in the world was bad enough but in this new era we might have 3, who already have conflicting interests. We're trading one monster for a 3 headed one.
The problem is in order to check this one superpower you need another that capable challenge this self declare police of the world
There is a Big Mistake, India's Trade is Already at Record $ 1.6 Trillion USD in 2022, And The Govt. Is making way for India's Exports to increase from $ 680 Billion to $ 2 Trillion USD by 2030, So that India would Become World's 2nd or 3rd Biggest Exporter and India's Trade with Russia has Balloned to $ 40 Billon in 2022, thanks to Energy Imports from Russia, As India is not only The world's Fastest Growing Major Economy and 5th largest Economy soon to be 3rd largest Economy by 2028, It is also world's 2nd highest Importer and Consumer of Oil after China owing to India's Continuing Economic Boom
slight problem with the graph, last data was for 2021, the war started in 2022.
There has been increasing tensions between Azerbaijan - Iran, and Azerbaijan - India (due to their proximity to Pakistan).
So an alternate route is being planned through Armenia.
How is that going for you? 😂
A good canal between the Black Sea and the Caspian Sea would benefit all nations along the Black Sea and teh Caspian Sea. Just imagine a route for ships between Turkey and Greece in the West and Azerbaijan and Iran in the East. The present day conflicts in the region will end and everybody is keen on business.
"An idea must be burned down before it raises" where is that quote from?
The widening confrontation between the United States and China stretch from the halls of the United Nations to the island nations of the South Pacific. Yet, as in any great geopolitical game, certain countries carry more significance than others for American interests-foremost among them India.
As Asia’s other emerging power, India could act as a crucial counterweight to Chinese influence, both in the region and outside it. That’s why Washington has been courting New Delhi with gusto. President Joe Biden has grand plans to cement the U.S. position in the Indo-Pacific, which encompasses South Asia, East Asia, and the western Pacific, through a range of diplomatic, economic, and security initiatives. India could play a determining part in their success or failure.
Yeah, that is a fair assessment. It is increasingly clear that whichever side is able to bring India to it's fold will have the decisive edge in the greater geopolitical game. Arrogant CCP leadership chose to coerce India instead of engaging with it. The anti-China sentiment is at it's peak in India at the moment and I don't see a reason why India would choose to cozy up to China now.
But India have NAM so don't think India is going to help US it's depend On India not US
You should add "The" to your channel name.
I love your channel its very enlightening.
Thank you so much ❤
Mentions the fringe Azeri separatist entities in Iran as a factor in Iranian-Azerbaijani tensions, and cites them as a fathomable cause for the "balkanization" of Iran, but doesn't mention Armenia and Iran's geopolitical alignment with the country against Azerbaijan as a factor..... very curious
Armenia is a mini nation that already lost to Azerbaijan. If Iran wants beef with Azerbaijan it will need to face Türkiye as they already declared many times that they are one nation with two states. Iran's case? They don't even have stability inside with last protests even questioning the fundament of the Islamic republic. Persians only make up around 50% of Iran's population, Azerbaijanis of Iran will definitely be on their Turkic brother's side in this one since nobody in Türkiye or Azerbaijan cares about artificial sectarian lines anymore. Iran is f..ed if it comes to a war.
@@roenin Azeri's are a turkic language speaking Iranian People. The Azeri's have been part of the Iranian peoples way before the Turks came to the middle east region. Babak Khorramdin was the most famous Azeri. I got my name from him. He fought against the arabization of Iran and fought to preserve the Iranian identity. Quess what, he didnt speak 1 word turkish/turkic. 1 century later the first turkic people came: the Seljuks. Sooo....
@@babak-shah5005
Azeri =/= Azerbaijani.
@@roenin Armenia has not left The International North-South Transport Corridor project (as much as Shirvan would liked it to be). On the contrary, it offers an alternative road to Iran and India to connect with Russia, in order for them not to become dependent on Azerbaijan solely. Also, Armenia offers an alternative route for Iran and India to connect with Europe directly through Georgia. Hence, the importance of the North-South highway in Armenia and the construction of 3.5B $ Sisian-Meghri-Tabriz railway which would pass through the Southern province of Syunik (Zangezur). This railway will be the fastest route between the Black Sea port of Batumi and Persian Gulf port of Bandar-Abbas. And this is why Iran will not tolerate any hijacking by Azerbaijan against the Armenain-Iranian border, nor would India, as seen through the recent procurement of Indian weaponry by Armenia.
Because CR is Azeri so he will not admit that his nation is the bully to the smaller neighbour.
Please fix your map, at 2:08 you are showing wrong map of India, Jammu and Kashmir is an integral part of India.
😂😂😂
Why were you referring to the Persian gulf as just ‘the gulf’?
Maybe he hates persians
Cuz he's pan turk for sure !
10:36 here he refers to it as the Persian Gulf. thes tantrums by Iranians over these little things on every CR video about Iran really ridiculous. while his videos always informative the comment section of his Iran videos also tells a lot about how insecure Iranians when it comes to talk about the geopolitical weaknesses of their country
@@mda990 accusing Iranians of that while all you talk about is Karabagh. Iran is not geopolitical weak since it controls Iraq, Syria, Libanon, Yemen. Thats why US and Saudi are so obsessed by Iran.
@@sassa82 Karabagh is long-occupied Azerbaijani territory. they have every right to talk about that. while the 'Persian' Gulf is not Persian just like Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen aren't. the Gulf region is more Arab than Persian as even Iran coast of the gulf is populated by Arabs. but all over these, arguing over how people call a sea part is ridiculous. unless it is part of another hegemony war. again it is ridiculous Iranians braging about their hegemony over Iraq, Syria etc while Iran and its mullah regime in a mess itself with internal turmoils. isnt it? while Iranian regime attacking Iranian people with chemical gas just because they schoolgirls dont want to wear hijab... ok go keep arguing over it and support the hegemony war of your mullah regime... but dont be surprised when the mullahs start killing Iranians in Iran as they killed Syrians in Syria, Iraqis in Iraq and others...
1:10 If exports to Iran and India spiked in 2021 then it wasn't due to being cutoff from Europe due to the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, right?
Amazing content! Shirvan, you are really good at your work. Keep it up!
Nope, he's a panturkist sneakily pushing his ideas. Good luck
It's crazy that the North-South Corridor hinges on Azerbaijan considering that they are pretty close ally of Turkey and thus, kinda adjacent allies of the West. It complicates it even more when Russia is an ally of Armenia. You'd think it'd be easier for Russia to move through Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan than risking Azerbaijan disrupting the corridor in the future
It doesnt hinge on Rep of Azerbaijan. They do bypass it already with dhippi g in caspian sea.
@@sassa82 we're talking about the railway route.
@@manas2656 even railway route Baku can and is already bypassed by the iran-turkmen-kazak railway.
Meanwhile, America is like :- Main kya karu ghar Jaao. .
Nice one
This thing is going for a long time now and western TH-cam channels are talking as if it is something that started happening now. Lol
I think the point is that it's more relevant now due to the War in Ukraine.
It is not even a western cannel. As the name suggests, it comes from Azerbaijan.
This corridor now is infeasible because of fear of sanctions. it would make sense if Russia never invaded Ukraine. India will fear sanctions if gives the green light to this trade corridor.
We indians were sanctioned until obama gov 😂😂
Hhmm... yes and no. India's role in the project is very small, infrastructure wise, so it will be easy for them to play the game and accept Iranian ships until it might lead to trouble and they can turn around.
Why would India fear sanctions? India is far more important to the West than the other way round. Why do you think the US has sanctioned its ally Turkey for buying S400 and it has not done so for India?
It won’t sell F16’s to Turkey but it is trying to sell F35’s, F15’s, F18’s and B2 bombers to India, despite buying more and more from Russia.
India even still buys oil from Iran. One of the first Rupee trade mechanisms. So why would this project even matter?
You know that Western Sanctions are Not working
Proof: Ineffective Sanctions on Russia 😂😂
India endured countless American led sanctions since 1947 my friend, each time it did cause some problem, but it always failed to meet its objectives. Don't drag 3rd party countries into your personal mess, these countries have lived very different history than yours and therefore have differing perspectives in geopolitics. You can't be an international dictator by demanding these countries with such overt sense of entitlement to do your bidding in international relations
It’s interesting to see the map you had in your TH-cam video thumbnail. I’ve always been skeptical of Russia selling India pipeline gas because of the extraordinary geographic and geopolitical obstacles to routing it through China or Central Asia, thereby crossing Afghanistan, Pakistan, or China. However, a route through the Caucuses or Caspian, through Iran and then offshore is much more practical.
sure. but why russian gas through iran, when iran could sell directly their own gas through a shorter pipeline?!
@@strigoiu13 it was planned but don't know about current status
This looks like playing a game of Risk, but with railways and seaports, rather than battalions and army groups.
It's the PERSIAN GULF.
Not the gulf!
ahahahaha.... i clicked on this video to guess how stupid it could possibly be and could it possibly surpass the stupidity that i imagined. You did it guys!.
You forgot to mention the Azerbaijan-Armenia war. Not only Iran, but even India doesn't like Azerbaijan since Azerbaijan is allies with Turkey & Pakistan, these three countries keep targeting India on the Kashmir issue. India recently supplied weapons to Armenia to help in it's war against Azerbaijan & Azerbaijan opposed India's actions.
There are already talks in India to change the trade route to make it go through Armenia rather than Azerbaijan. Russia & Iran are also considering it seriously. So the final route may be Russia-Armenia-Iran-India.
Know your geography, Armenia shares no borders with Russia. Besides, although this may make up for a good TH-cam video to tap into the massive viewership of the Indian populace for the channel but the actual chances of this project ever starting are as good as finding aliens.
Armenian infrastructure is in bad shape and territorial its very mountainous on the south, so not possible
Why would he? He's Azerbaijani.
@@grammarpapa274 You can poke a hole in every mountain. My state in India has a great mountain range called the Western Ghats and we are makiing tunnels to lay train tracks and roadways.
@@yomamasohot6411 armenia is not india
India is so damn impressive in completing projects and executing them perfectly. Most western countries should learn from india
joking i hope
Point is most of the corridor does not pass through india and the country is not responsible for any projects expect chabahar, which is completed in 2018.... what an idiot 😂😂
You haven't shown some part of kashmir as lndia at 1:18
From next year, Taj mahal won't represent India. Ram mandir is true representation of India🚩
All these land/sea links that crosses different countries will run into severe inefficiencies due to all the various countries red tape on import/export laws/duties/customs inspections. Not to mention it's vastly less efficient than shipping when you go by land and especially if you have to move the cargo on/off different conveyances. The labor and time added just increase the cost so much that it's pointless.
TH-cam Law maker 🤣🤣
@@kmh9817 What its just reality lol none of these countries collaborate on anything India hates China and Saudis hate Iran Russia cant win its own war etc.
This is a fantasy.
Thanks for the excellent analytics, the heads of state will soon be informed and all the money that was invested in the project will be written off as losses and the project will be closed, what would they do without sofa analysts. It's just ridiculous how everyone considers themselves incredible experts in global trade, if it weren't for the Internet, you obviously wouldn't be engaged in such idiotic reasoning. Without negativity.
@@Kamasutrae1 I mean no one in any state was ever investing in this anyway since its just sofa analytics to begin with.
@@Kamasutrae1 Lmao people will invest in your country soon especially the Chinese just not in the way I imagine you'd like as equal partners.
On the other hand the countries of central asia are looking for better access to western markets... the don-volga canal would help... KZ has been begging for the canal and more rail access for years... but what would help even more is a trade corridor through the caspian sea, AZ, GE, TR... very hard to implement... it could mean Russia invading GE for real if they can stop that corridor from happening
Cut shipping cost ? It would cost 2 - 3 times more by rail . To under stand more look at the Saint Lawrence Seaway . Since 2000 the average vessel size of container ships has more than doubled. Today's largest container ship can carry about 24,000 TEUs. The carrying capacity of today's largest container vessels is equivalent to no less than a 44 miles long freight train
Europe started to replace russian crude oil by oil from gulf and OPEC increased oil prices further by decreasing oil extraction. So India along with few other countries started to import crude oil from Russia at discount to control inflation at home. Considering requirement of crude oil in India and china along with limited supply from Gulf, it will give supply and economic shock to whole world if supply of russian oil get completely stopped in world economy.
Very true.
It is in the interest of the West for Russia to continue to export oil, just not get as much for it. India incurs very low costs importing oil from the Middle East, so in order to complete Russia must undercut them while bearing very high transport costs. So the sanctions are working exactly as planned.
All the best.
@@ivancho5854 Russia has pipelines and sea routes to India. Russia export costs aren't high at all and in fact they are so cheap that the Gulf states are buying Russian oil to sell more of their own at inflated prices to the West.
The West is suffering from stagflation and you think everything is working as planned? 🤣🤣
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