How Often Do Hands Hit Flops In Poker? | SplitSuit

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 12 ม.ค. 2025

ความคิดเห็น • 102

  • @ThePokerBank
    @ThePokerBank  3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Get the SplitSuit Edition of Flopzilla Pro to answer questions like these, and millions more! www.splitsuit.com/shop/flopzilla-splitsuit-edition

  • @dmed312
    @dmed312 7 ปีที่แล้ว +66

    All these videos help make everyone a better poker player, and poker can finally be a game of luck.

    • @diabl2master
      @diabl2master 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      what?

    • @sonnyhuynh007
      @sonnyhuynh007 7 ปีที่แล้ว +8

      dmed....great comment..lol classic

    • @Stephen-cm3fs
      @Stephen-cm3fs 7 ปีที่แล้ว +11

      Wrong. Having information and understanding then putting into practice are completely different. Most don't want to take the time to learn and put information they have at their disposal into practice. Poker for this reason among others will always be a long term skill game

    • @dannymilea
      @dannymilea 7 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      hahahah... that's hilarious!

    • @RmZD
      @RmZD 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@Stephen-cm3fs Wrong

  • @akfox19D
    @akfox19D 4 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    In my experience, hands like J9o flop second pair approximately EVERY TIME, I never improve, and it's never good.

  • @dannymilea
    @dannymilea 7 ปีที่แล้ว +13

    Is this the BEST poker channel for actual learning poker or what???

  • @dannymilea
    @dannymilea 7 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    BINGO - That's my question right there at 6:37 . This happens SO often in poker where you're constantly on a draw with NO made hand! How do you get "comfortable" with that? LOVE your vids - wish they had Flopzilla for Mac!

  • @TheGreatslyfer
    @TheGreatslyfer 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Holy shit, it's been years since I've watched your videos.
    You're still going strong man, good stuff, you deserve the subs.
    Very good look that each slide has, specifically the flop catch percentage.

  • @ES-iv6wb
    @ES-iv6wb 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great video!
    I had a quick question..
    On the second quiz question it asks 54 suited chances of flopping top pair or better. Flopzilla gives us a bunch of % answers for top pair, 2 pair, flush quads etc. But.. are these %s on the flop or on the river?

  • @tomtrader6559
    @tomtrader6559 7 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    I always have that uneasy feeling when I raise with AK and get 3-4 callers in micro stakes that the set is out there, especially with continuation bet having A or K on the flop and small SPR. And knowing % doesn't make me feel better:) Great video as always!

    • @splitsuit
      @splitsuit 7 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thanks Tom!

    • @Poludjelitulipan
      @Poludjelitulipan 7 ปีที่แล้ว

      well small SPR is what should help you out here, as if it is small you are never ever making a mistake going with TP. it's deeper that it gets tricky ;)

  • @StoicTrader-
    @StoicTrader- 7 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Hey split, I struggle with math and the math aspect of poker. How do we use this information when playing these ranges exactly? Knowing the 89 suited or whatever it was flopping a straight draw 20 percent of the time, how do we use that information? Sorry for the stupid question.

    • @Hennesg
      @Hennesg 7 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      I think its also important for a simple thing in your mind. knowing how often a hand will hit will teach you not to overvalue your hand and act like youre the god on your table and lose money

    • @splitsuit
      @splitsuit 7 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Great question Steve. Essentially having stuff like this understood helps you gauge how often you will hit vs miss (very helpful as the SPR shrinks) and gives a guiding light for the players who play too wide preflop 'trying to smash two pair+". It also helps you estimate how often you for sure won't be folding on flops, allowing you to do some preflop planning =)

    • @StoicTrader-
      @StoicTrader- 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Thanks for all the answers!

    • @joemagnets9940
      @joemagnets9940 6 ปีที่แล้ว

      Tony, no matter what the 'odds' are, once the cards are shuffled, everything is just a suggestion. BUT I'd say the most important situation in playing poker is, is it for real or fake money. Fake money poker is merely a kind of game that will get you familiar to what cards look like and which cards are necessary to make you hand a hand a 'winning' hand. The Missing influence in fake money poker is the FEAR factor of guessing wrong and losing your MONEY. I find that playing poker as if it is fake money poker in that you have no fear of losing YOUR MONEY, will influence others to fold. It doesn't mean you will not lose, but it does mean that you didn't lose to a bluff. The point being, if you can't afford to lose, don't play, because YOU WILL LOSE. I see a lot of 'professional' poker players and what usually happens is that one of them will win that session, only to lose the winnings at another session. The trick is to win more sessions, than you lose and because it is GAMBOLING, another name for GUESSING, if it isn't your turn to have LUCK smile on you, better luck next time, if you can find the money to lose.

  • @JoãoRangelSilvaPsychology
    @JoãoRangelSilvaPsychology 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    5:05 why the statistics says that have TT have 0% of being Midle Pair on the flop? Like flop can be A J 9 and the TT is middle pair, right?

    • @ThePokerBank
      @ThePokerBank  4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Flopzilla doesn't classify that as middle pair. On AJ9, KJ would be "middle pair" and TT would be "pp < 2nd card"

    • @JoãoRangelSilvaPsychology
      @JoãoRangelSilvaPsychology 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@ThePokerBank Thank you!!!

  • @callmedeno
    @callmedeno 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    When we're talking about the chance of J9 flopping middle pair does that mean that either J or 9 hits and there is one overcard and one undercard on the flop?

    • @ThePokerBank
      @ThePokerBank  3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Exactly right. So J9 is middle pair on AJ6, QJ2, K94, and T96 =)

  • @Tour30A
    @Tour30A 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    I find this information especially useful when effective stack size is also taken into account. First you should understand your opponents potential range and if you are considering a high-risk/high-gain bet you should also make sure that Villain can pay you.

  • @kevinlindstrom8486
    @kevinlindstrom8486 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    More videos like this please!

  • @keslen6969
    @keslen6969 7 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    The quiz, as linked, never offers an opportunity to directly and immediately compare my given answers with the correct answers. This is especially important because there's a big difference between being off by a little as opposed to off by a lot and the offered format only tells you that you're off.

    • @splitsuit
      @splitsuit 7 ปีที่แล้ว

      After completing the quiz you should see your answers on that final page. Why are you not able to compare those to this video or the linked answer key on that same page?

  • @VillaG89
    @VillaG89 ปีที่แล้ว

    This is the best video ever made. I have played for 16 years straight. I have seen this video through 7 times.- I still don't KNOW these percentages by heart. And Noooooo I am not stupid!!! :'D

    • @ThePokerBank
      @ThePokerBank  ปีที่แล้ว

      Thank you! And a feel for the stats is totally usable instead of perfect recollection to the hundredth decimal place!

  • @donmutanda
    @donmutanda 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    Splitsuit could you please make a video about raising from the sb? I don't know what range and size to pick.

  • @martinquinn3382
    @martinquinn3382 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great tool ! But when buying this tool, do you also explain how to to calculate ourselves to get the answer to one of these questions ? Beause if we dont understand the process, we learn just these stats by hearts....

    • @ThePokerBank
      @ThePokerBank  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Yes, there is tutorial content included with the SplitSuit Edition of Flopzilla Pro!

  • @jans8304
    @jans8304 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    Hi. Cant acces flopzilla.com from win10 PC. Does it only work on Apple?

  • @shankar435
    @shankar435 3 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    As2s and AsKs both have the same percentage chance for a nut flush, it doesnt make sense to compare.

  • @TheDapperdave
    @TheDapperdave 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    Splits- you ever thought about doing an e-book dedicated to this video? This is a great video. I think it would save players a lot of time an effort with Flopzilla if you dedicated an entire book (or series) to these scenarios...

    • @splitsuit
      @splitsuit 7 ปีที่แล้ว

      It's crossed my mind - but I think it would be pretty boring and also tough to organize. And since so many hands have extremely similar results in lots of categories, I don't think it would be great as a book.
      Maybe as a downloadable though...

  • @tptmh4299
    @tptmh4299 7 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Thank you

    • @splitsuit
      @splitsuit 7 ปีที่แล้ว

      You're very welcome Kaleab

  • @loganadolf7363
    @loganadolf7363 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Is there any reason why in this video, according to your computer, the AKo flops a gutshot 11.3% of the time but A2s flops a gutshot 11.2% of the time?

    • @whateveryh2119
      @whateveryh2119 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      Good question, my guess is that the odds are calculated by a large sample of randomly played hands, so that the percentages are never exactly correct.

    • @noex100
      @noex100 ปีที่แล้ว

      Because A2s (unlike AKo) can flop a flush, which would invalidate any gutshot. For example, if the flop is 3s, 4s, 9s, A2s already has a flush, so Flopzilla will not categorize the hand as a "gutshot".

  • @coolmonkey5269
    @coolmonkey5269 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    how can i use flopzilla or alternatives on android phone 🙄

  • @mikemantel7521
    @mikemantel7521 ปีที่แล้ว

    I'd also like to know the odds for catching on the turn and river.

    • @ThePokerBank
      @ThePokerBank  ปีที่แล้ว

      Hey Mike, you're looking for the "4/2 Rule". I break it down in this video: th-cam.com/video/DLUyUCv8OTc/w-d-xo.html and it's also practiced in The Postflop Workbook: www.splitsuit.com/postflop-poker-workbook

  • @plxh6408
    @plxh6408 ปีที่แล้ว

    I’m a little confused when it’s said to hit a “gutshot, set, top pair” ect x% of the time. X% of the time of what? Percentage of how many players are playing a hand to yours or every time you have a hand in general?

    • @ThePokerBank
      @ThePokerBank  ปีที่แล้ว

      X% of the time refers to "how often a starting hand hits across all possible flops"

  • @JoãoRangelSilvaPsychology
    @JoãoRangelSilvaPsychology 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    When you put the 99 hand in the "starting hand" the statistics is the % of hitting them on the flop or river?

  • @stkfr
    @stkfr 7 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    these are importants stats that most poker players think they know but in fact..

  • @bullseyejoe
    @bullseyejoe 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks !! Very Informative !!

    • @splitsuit
      @splitsuit 7 ปีที่แล้ว

      You're very welcome Bullseyejoe =)

  • @jeffreyjewell75
    @jeffreyjewell75 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Hit a gutshot with AK. Bahahahahaha

  • @iascaireIrelund
    @iascaireIrelund 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    how many people at a table for these stats?

    • @beast5231
      @beast5231 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      Doesn't matter if they stay in the deck or if they're dealt to someone at the table. Odds remain the same

  • @brianjoyce9040
    @brianjoyce9040 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Even if this calms nerves(?s) it is worth the time. Hiding nervous tells, by your comfort level, makes money vs decent players

  • @spikyhedgehog
    @spikyhedgehog 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    I don't understand what a gutshot is

    • @splitsuit
      @splitsuit 6 ปีที่แล้ว

      Hey David, this article should help! www.splitsuit.com/poker-gutshot-strategy

  • @apolllos7
    @apolllos7 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    I only got one of the questions wrong . . . I'm better than I thought.

  • @2332Stephen
    @2332Stephen 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    A large percentag of the people knew the answer. HIgh Five.. Yea. Alot of the people used google to find answer. haha

  • @msfaimz5794
    @msfaimz5794 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Yea I got 30%

  • @TcheQ
    @TcheQ 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    90%

  • @CharlesHogg
    @CharlesHogg 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    Love the video, but saying "trips" instead of a set drives me nuts. :)

    • @splitsuit
      @splitsuit 7 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thanks Charles! Did I make that mistake, or do you mean in Flopzilla?

    • @CharlesHogg
      @CharlesHogg 7 ปีที่แล้ว

      James (SplitSuit) It was during the pocket tens hand, unless I'm mistaken. I know Doyle Brunson doesn't care about the distinction, so if you made the mistake you're in good company. :) But I find the distinction very useful in practice.

    • @splitsuit
      @splitsuit 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Eww, I *did* make that mistake in the video. Agreed, it's a set when your pocket pair hits the third one and trips in all other instances. I have no idea how why I would have said that incorrectly lol.

    • @stkfr
      @stkfr 7 ปีที่แล้ว

      i had trips

  • @matteo-cu8uv
    @matteo-cu8uv ปีที่แล้ว

    how can it be 0% top pair???? must be wrong

    • @ThePokerBank
      @ThePokerBank  ปีที่แล้ว

      Which hand?

    • @matteo-cu8uv
      @matteo-cu8uv ปีที่แล้ว

      @@ThePokerBank the first one 99, or is it top pair only if you dont have pocket pairs?

    • @ThePokerBank
      @ThePokerBank  ปีที่แล้ว

      @@matteo-cu8uv That's right. 99 can be an overpair, but not top pair. While AQ can be top pair, but never an overpair.

  • @itzjunk3456
    @itzjunk3456 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Although I love ur vlog. The stats are inaccurate. Please post a vlog explanation of the math. I did myself and didn’t match up with yours. Men lie, women lie, numbers don’t lie

  • @RickRubinesque
    @RickRubinesque 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    you only flop a flush with suited cards 1 time a 100? WTF? Obviously that's not the case!

  • @diabl2master
    @diabl2master 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    6:45 was horribly worded. A gutshot is a straight draw too, ya dingus.

  • @johns783
    @johns783 7 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Disappointed. Video and quiz made for the sole purpose of selling the software. I know you want to sell your stuff, but this is a shifty way to go about it. Dislike.

    • @ThePaull3d
      @ThePaull3d 7 ปีที่แล้ว

      John S ha aha you idiot wasted money

    • @Xmvtjets96X
      @Xmvtjets96X 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Uh
      What are you talking about? Are you ok?

    • @johns783
      @johns783 7 ปีที่แล้ว

      no, i didn't buy anything. look, the 'quiz' is designed to have many people miss questions, as these percentages and the way the questions were written will cause people to make mistakes easily, it's exploitative. I don't doubt the utility of their tools, I'm taking issue with how this video tries to sell it.

    • @splitsuit
      @splitsuit 7 ปีที่แล้ว +14

      1. Flopzilla is not MY software, and I didn't make a push to sell it
      2. How else would you proof answers without software like this?

    • @johns783
      @johns783 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      No push to sell it? "take the quiz" which is designed to be failed even by people with reasonable poker knowledge, even some experts who get confused by the questions, figuring for 'top pair' vs 'top pair or better'. nevermind the questions of dubious value such as a five high top pair, or an AK gutshot that few would know (or even need to know) off hand. Of course when you inevitably do worse than you expected you're met with the "sad panda" which does explicitly push flopzilla. Not a fan of that. Like your vids, watched many, this was poor form imo. now you know why there's that dislike there. care or not, up to you.

  • @joelbernal3890
    @joelbernal3890 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    You're still young you think you know everything..I teach you more bout poker...you too much talk

  • @bystanderaffect
    @bystanderaffect ปีที่แล้ว

    How can a Mac person get calculations like these from Flopzilla?? Poker Cruncher is nothing like this!

    • @ThePokerBank
      @ThePokerBank  ปีที่แล้ว

      I always use a VM on my Macbooks just for Flopzilla 👍