Nassim Nicholas Taleb - The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 24 ธ.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 81

  • @georgimmanuelnagel6603
    @georgimmanuelnagel6603 2 ปีที่แล้ว +15

    This guy is just so marvelous. He is a remedy against the modern world.

  • @GBHForumNetwork
    @GBHForumNetwork  12 ปีที่แล้ว +12

    The video is from May 2010.

  • @nazdalaan
    @nazdalaan 4 ปีที่แล้ว +22

    I’m listening July 2020, and we’re exactly the situation he was talking about 7 years ago.

    • @elijahroman170
      @elijahroman170 3 ปีที่แล้ว

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      @kaseelisha9155 3 ปีที่แล้ว

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      @elijahroman170 3 ปีที่แล้ว

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      @elijahroman170 3 ปีที่แล้ว

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      @kaseelisha9155 3 ปีที่แล้ว

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  • @hifzul-quran9101
    @hifzul-quran9101 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    During the big blackout, I was stuck in downtime Toronto, with no subways or trains to get me back to neighbouring Mississauga. When my dad finely brought me home by car, the elevators and lights were all out, so I had to use my hands and calculations to reach my floor (14th) through the lightless stairwell, then to count the doors to find my unit. Those were indeed low tech days!

  • @downtourth
    @downtourth 8 ปีที่แล้ว +18

    *_Fat Tony has a saying, "It's easier to scam people of billions then to scam them of thousands. It's a lot easier to fool the multitude than to fool a single person."_*

  • @HardikBhakhar
    @HardikBhakhar 4 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    Maestro seems well rested. I wish I read his books 10 years ago.🙏

    • @Senecamarcus
      @Senecamarcus 3 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      True. I think the same. I wish I knew about him 10 years ago.

    • @mas1085
      @mas1085 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@Senecamarcus Same here

  • @elicitwildly
    @elicitwildly 11 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Good lecture. He seemed so pompous at the beginning, but after the first few minutes, became much more charming. What's the deal with that?

  • @martijjjjn
    @martijjjjn 10 ปีที่แล้ว +14

    This man has such an interesting view on things. It's mind blowing what he tells in all his speeches and books.

  • @billpalombi
    @billpalombi 4 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Starts at 1:25

  • @yoloswag6242
    @yoloswag6242 3 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    2:40 the funny thing with Taleb is he always experiences issues with technology while explaining antifragility
    In stanford lecture he spilled water on macbook, now he is getting major mic feedback :D

  • @dalveerbansal1324
    @dalveerbansal1324 11 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I agree he does ramble abit, still has some good ideas

  • @doannhat808
    @doannhat808 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

    34:00 That Syria comment was.. wow

  • @younesszaim3234
    @younesszaim3234 3 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    "I can not hedge risk of epidemics" 45:43 - Hello Corona Virus, can you hear me ?

  • @osmanguney7324
    @osmanguney7324 10 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great Speech!

  • @evankant5965
    @evankant5965 10 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    If Taleb does not want individuals to pay for the miscalculations of "too big to fall" business, why did Clinton scrap the distinction between investment and savings Banks in the first place?
    Secondly, why do households borrow, and why did credit proliferate in the 1980s?
    Doesn't it have to do with income distribution in the economy?

  • @MaghrebProductions
    @MaghrebProductions 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    May 2021

  • @johnanderson2654
    @johnanderson2654 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    I like the gaffer's tape on the microphone. It's an anti-fragile material.

  • @shubhambiswas8627
    @shubhambiswas8627 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    audio extremely low.

  • @PeteThecurious100
    @PeteThecurious100 9 ปีที่แล้ว

    More complex equals more fragile ....interesting point but stands to reason.
    One ox + one wooden plough equals robust. hmm
    Risk: I choose the top line .....(but have a bolt hole for what is sure to come!)

  • @user-dd5kx5md5o
    @user-dd5kx5md5o 9 ปีที่แล้ว

    Did he mention Fat Tony at 25:08?

  • @BG-bj1mf
    @BG-bj1mf 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I thought it was my tinnitus getting worst.

  • @benjaminfonseka4951
    @benjaminfonseka4951 10 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Black Swan = Breaking or end of a commonly accepted belief
    e.g. when the earth is flat - the sun rotates around the earth- type of beliefs are shattered.

  • @billpalombi
    @billpalombi 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Taleb begins at 1:25

  • @steveretiredandcranky
    @steveretiredandcranky 5 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    It's absolutely amazing how often the "experts" are dead ass wrong.

  • @Hammett849
    @Hammett849 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Most said word goes to "shmucks"!

  • @tannorpilatzke2375
    @tannorpilatzke2375 12 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Starts at @1:24

  • @donaldc7954
    @donaldc7954 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Such an compelling talk ruined by the numpty who set up the audio. A real struggle to concentrate on what’s being said.

  • @ethanoyamawang
    @ethanoyamawang 12 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    lol he said wtf wow he is my true mentor~!

  • @jimcuddy7407
    @jimcuddy7407 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    resonance is funny i like it

  • @aaronwimberleymbamsf5776
    @aaronwimberleymbamsf5776 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    truly amazing=]

  • @shortcutDJ
    @shortcutDJ 6 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I thought this man wrote the script of the Black Swan movie
    i'm such a dumbass

  • @devotionofunion
    @devotionofunion 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Methods for Portfolio Robustness are at 41:30

  • @Chrisdvc26
    @Chrisdvc26 12 ปีที่แล้ว

    That mic sound is driving me crazy

    • @tylerbrandon460
      @tylerbrandon460 5 ปีที่แล้ว

      Did they set up for a speech or a Latin American singer.

    • @mas1085
      @mas1085 ปีที่แล้ว

      The video is 12 years old old tech back then

  • @mahadiknaikjakati
    @mahadiknaikjakati 12 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    great person,deep insight of market,must master his ideas to be successful
    dr satish

  • @kinkokonko
    @kinkokonko 12 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    doesnt make much sense. If you need to apply the live cycle or a corporation to human life.
    Think Jimi Hendrix is going up
    Mozart is stable

  • @cristianmicu
    @cristianmicu 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    3:45 sure professor taleb by the same logic lets return to the bronze age so we can avoid the majority of black swans

    • @Mmmm-z4w3b
      @Mmmm-z4w3b 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Jesus what troll are you, can’t even hide it

  • @tim53739
    @tim53739 11 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    That's his general demeanor; at least in his books. Very ireverant, prone to criticize others ect. it get's annoying at times but has value.

  • @xveredus
    @xveredus 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Rules of memetical nature

  • @jogaleone7224
    @jogaleone7224 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    every one of his jokes fell flat…i started feeling bad for him…i cant learn from people i feel bad for

    • @jon962-g9w
      @jon962-g9w ปีที่แล้ว

      No need to let the internet know you are an idiot, nobody care

  • @James-pyon
    @James-pyon 11 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    is it me or does he just rabble

  • @johnbatchler8551
    @johnbatchler8551 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Black swan also applies to technology

  • @lostinspace5127
    @lostinspace5127 9 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    ok emotional Impact = blackswan events = too much noobs in the market = iam out of the game.

  • @timothyhilton3408
    @timothyhilton3408 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    I have been known to read an entire book to get a few paragraphs of real wisdom, but this was unbearable.

  • @CV_CA
    @CV_CA 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    29:48 44:57 47:53 ops, hahhaha,,,,,

  • @MRTOWELRACK
    @MRTOWELRACK 6 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Taleb often boasts about himself and mocks others, but besides that tiresome insecurity, Taleb offers some gems of wisdom, albeit inefficiently so. Still, Taleb relies too heavily upon pomp and ironically enough, his own antidotes when critiquing antidotes.

    • @coven-docx
      @coven-docx 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      thanks for saying it, haven't seen another person mention this...

  • @chiaroscuro1233
    @chiaroscuro1233 5 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Rewatching this as California electrical power monopoly goes into blackout

  • @TimGoth
    @TimGoth 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I guess we know who's the schmuck here!
    I started to read "Black Swan" and couldn't stand it to finish it. Now I hear him talking it's even worst. He has interesting theories that I agreed with but how can you trust a judgment of such a person?! It's all clouded with anger, hate and jealousy. He is no less ignorant than all the people who he accuse of being so. What a miserable human being! I feel sorry for him.

  • @ethanoyamawang
    @ethanoyamawang 12 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    lol So basically he said cnbc hosts are donkeys! lol

  • @aidawarah4698
    @aidawarah4698 8 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    His speech is so disorganized and full with "stuff like that" and "that stuff"' . Very disappointing for someone with a Ph.D. and what is so smart about his ideas? They are not robust themselves

    • @Deepskies1
      @Deepskies1 4 ปีที่แล้ว +11

      there is a full chapter in the Black Swan that talks about a mindset reflected by your comment, you are illustrating it perfectly.

    • @vimalcurio
      @vimalcurio 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@Deepskies1 lol

  • @cristianmicu
    @cristianmicu 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    if hes lecturing and he cant abstain to pronounce the f. word, then he' dont have any name, hes a nobody, and will stay a nobody, that also means that he has no respect for the audience or for himself either, ergo, a paria, nobody., , no matter how many books he writes. i made my opinions more..... robust, to stand the test of time and avoid black swans like taleb lecture in today's events

  • @mistax2k
    @mistax2k 12 ปีที่แล้ว

    haha

  • @screenerlook
    @screenerlook 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    You really have had to spent your whole professional life inside a university to go on a world stage with a hair like that!

  • @FigmentHF
    @FigmentHF 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I’ve heard nothing but terrible things about this man aha