What's Next for Israel and Gaza?A Former Mossad Chief's Insider Perspective

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 16 ม.ค. 2025

ความคิดเห็น • 14

  • @sherylkruger3344
    @sherylkruger3344 9 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Excellent. thank you

  • @bentao3352
    @bentao3352 9 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Incredible self-contradictions emanating from this expert. He asks all the right questions but then proposes preposterous answers, all of which reflects the fact that Israel as a concept is unsustainable.

  • @snizami
    @snizami 9 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Sheesh, even moderate Israelis seem to talk about Palestinians like they're dehumanized sacks of bones at times. You get right to the edge of saying something kind and empathetic and grounded in principle but never quite manage to do it.

  • @wolpumba4099
    @wolpumba4099 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    *ELI5 Abstract*
    *What was the talk about?*
    This talk was about Israel, a country in the Middle East, and the
    problems it has with its neighbors. A man named Tamir Paro, who used
    to be a leader in the Israeli secret service (like spies!), talked
    about these problems.
    *What are the problems?*
    * *Fighting:* Israel is always fighting with groups like Hamas in a
    place called Gaza. The leaders don't always have a good plan, so
    sometimes they lose battles.
    * *Iran:* Iran is another country nearby that wants to be powerful.
    It’s getting stronger and becoming a bigger problem for Israel.
    * *No clear plan:* Israel doesn't know what it wants to do in the
    future. Should it have its own borders? Should there be a separate
    country for Palestinians? These are big questions with no answers.
    *What else did they talk about?*
    * *Being prepared:* Israel needs to know its enemies well, so it
    doesn't get surprised when attacks happen.
    * *Politics matter:* Sometimes the people in charge of Israel do
    things that make the problems worse.
    *It sounds complicated!*
    Yes, it is! There are lots of people involved, and they don't always
    agree. It's been going on for a long time, making it hard to find a
    way for everyone to live in peace.
    *Abstract*
    This webinar, co-sponsored by the American Society of the University
    of Haifa and the JCC of Paramus Congregation B'nai Tikva, explored the
    challenges of Israeli security in the context of the ongoing conflict
    with Hamas and the potential for political solutions. Former Mossad
    director Tamir Pardo provided strategic commentary and reflections on
    recent events.
    Key points of the discussion included:
    * *The importance of political solutions:* Leaders emphasized that
    lasting peace requires a political solution alongside military
    actions. A "vicious cycle" of violence persists without a clear
    strategy.
    * *Iran's expanding regional influence:* Experts highlighted Iran's
    strategic gains following the withdrawal from the Iran nuclear
    deal. Iran's growing influence in Syria, Iraq, and Lebanon poses a
    significant threat to Israel.
    * *Hamas and Gaza:* Speakers analyzed the motivations behind Hamas,
    the failure of Israeli intelligence and security measures, and the
    need for a long-term political strategy for Gaza. They also
    questioned the possibility of reducing extremism through education
    reform.
    * *Israel's strategic challenges:* Criticism arose towards the lack of
    a cohesive vision for Israel's future, particularly in defining its
    borders and addressing the Palestinian issue. The current
    government's actions towards Hamas and the Palestinian Authority
    were also critiqued.
    * *Lebanon and Hezbollah:* Discussions touched upon the threat posed
    by Hezbollah and the unique challenges it represents for Israel's
    security.
    The webinar underscored the complexity of the Israeli-Palestinian
    conflict and the urgent need for strategic clarity combined with
    political solutions to achieve lasting peace and security in the
    region.

    • @wolpumba4099
      @wolpumba4099 10 หลายเดือนก่อน

      *Summary*
      *Introduction*
      * *0:28* - Naomi Reinhardt (CEO, American Society of University of
      Haifa) welcomes the global audience to the webinar on Israeli
      intelligence, co-sponsored by Rabbi Arthur Weiner and The JCC of
      Pamis Congregation B'nai Tikva.
      * *0:51* - Introduction of speaker Tamir Pardo, former director of the
      Mossad (2011-2016), highlighting his significant contributions
      within Israeli intelligence and defense.
      *Tamir Pardo's Background*
      * *1:05* - Overview of Pardo's career in the Mossad, including
      classified operations and being awarded the Israel Security Prize
      three times.
      * *1:36* - Highlights of Pardo's leadership in the Keshet department
      (electronic intelligence), his role during the 2006 Lebanon War, and
      his advisory position to the Israel Defense Forces.
      *Discussion on Israeli Security*
      * *2:06* - Introduction of Duie Weiss Glass (Chair of University of
      Haifa's Executive Committee, former Director-General of Israel's
      Prime Minister's Office), highlighting his diplomatic contributions,
      including the Gaza disengagement in 2005.
      * *2:38* - The webinar focus: insights into the Israel-Hamas conflict,
      ceasefire negotiations, and post-war Gaza strategy.
      * *3:05* - University of Haifa resumes studies after conflict-related
      delays, emphasizing its role in fostering diversity and healing in
      Israeli society.
      * *3:37* - Importance of supporting the university's efforts in
      promoting tolerance and coexistence.
      * *3:58* - Acknowledgment of support for reserve soldiers and their
      families, with an appeal for further assistance during challenging
      times.
      * *5:06* - Introduction of Tamir Pardo by Duie Weiss Glass, who
      underlines Pardo's extensive experience in Israeli security,
      offering a unique perspective on the current situation.
      * *5:58* - Discussion points for Pardo: failures of Israeli
      intelligence and operations, hostage release, and the future of Gaza
      and the northern border.
      *Tamir Pardo's Analysis and Reflections*
      * *7:31* - Pardo reflects on military and political strategy,
      emphasizing the importance of understanding both oneself and the
      enemy (based on Sun Tzu's teachings).
      * *9:04* - Pardo shares a personal story from the October 7th attack,
      illustrating the devastating personal impact and highlighting the
      shock of the attack's success given Israel's capabilities.
      * *15:01* - Analysis of how 3000 terrorists captured Israeli land,
      questioning the effectiveness of Israel's defense doctrine and
      military preparedness.
      * *18:37* - Pardo calls for a thorough investigation into the Israeli
      defense system's failures and the need to understand underlying
      issues.
      *Understanding Terrorism and Political Transformation*
      * *18:42* - Prime Minister Sharon's stance: terrorist groups must be
      eliminated or forced into becoming political parties.
      * *19:07* - History shows terrorist groups either get defeated or
      transform into political entities (e.g., Ireland).
      * *19:55* - Israel's misperception of deterring terrorist groups led
      to misunderstanding their threat.
      * *20:46* - A story about a young Palestinian boy in Gaza highlights
      the desperation and lack of options leading to joining Hamas.
      * *22:29* - This story underscores Israeli leadership's
      misunderstanding of the situation in Gaza.
      *Israel's Security and Strategic Missteps*
      * *23:20* - Israeli intelligence underestimated threats due to a
      belief in their superiority, leading to a lack of preparedness.
      * *24:39* - Significant Israeli forces were deployed in the West Bank,
      leaving other fronts vulnerable.
      * *25:11* - Ignored intelligence hints and warnings led to a critical
      and avoidable situation.
      *Accountability and Political Responsibility*
      * *26:26* High-ranking officials took responsibility for the
      oversight, but the Prime Minister did not acknowledge his role in
      strategic failures.
      * *27:21* - Criticism of the government strategy that allowed the
      situation in Gaza to escalate.
      *Future of Israel and the Palestinian Issue*
      * *28:08* - Discussion on Israel's lack of a clear vision for its
      future and the Palestinian territories.
      * *29:11* - Importance of defining Israel's borders and the
      implications of not doing so.
      * *30:42* - Division within Israeli society on how to address the
      Palestinian issue and the future state of Israel.
      *Lebanon and Hezbollah*
      * *36:13* - Differentiation of Lebanon's situation from Gaza due to
      its structured political system versus Hezbollah's significant
      influence.
      * *37:36* - Hezbollah's military capabilities surpass those of the
      Lebanese Army, posing a unique challenge.
      * *39:00* - Suggested strategy: integrate Hezbollah's forces into the
      Lebanese Army for accountability and to prevent unilateral
      anti-Israel actions.
      * *40:02* - Advocacy for state-to-state conflict resolution to
      discourage attacks from non-state actors like Hezbollah.
      Disclaimer: I used gemini advanced 1.0 (2024.03.04) and gpt4-0125 to
      summarize the video transcript. This method may make mistakes in
      recognizing words and it can't distinguish between speakers.

    • @wolpumba4099
      @wolpumba4099 10 หลายเดือนก่อน

      *Summary 2/2*
      *Need for a Political Solution*
      * 41:04 - A political solution is the key to breaking the cycle of violence.
      * 41:53 - Without a political solution, the conflict will continue in a "vicious circle".
      *Iran's Growing Influence*
      * 43:15 - Iran was constrained until 2014.
      * 43:51 - Iran played a major role in defeating ISIS, gaining them regional power.
      * 44:50 - Iran, led by Qasem Soleimani, was instrumental in defeating ISIS in Iraq and Syria.
      * 45:49 - Iran has established major influence in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon.
      * 46:47 - Israel played a role in the US withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal.
      * 47:16 - Iran is now actively pursuing nuclear weapons.
      *Addressing the Issues in Gaza*
      * 48:37 - The October 7th attack was humiliating for Israel.
      * 48:59 - Israel's military is successfully addressing Hamas in Gaza.
      * 49:49 - Defeating Hamas requires a long-term political strategy.
      *Ideological Challenges*
      * 50:19 - Reducing indoctrination and extremism in Gaza is questioned.
      * 50:39 - The Hamas Charter calls for violence against Israel.
      * 50:46 - Palestinians need education reform to change their perspective.
      *Palestinian Statehood and Israel's Lack of Vision*
      * 51:03 - The possibility of the Biden administration pushing for a Palestinian state is discussed.
      * 51:21 - The future of the Abraham Accords and their role in peace efforts is questioned.
      * 52:37 - Israel is criticized for lacking a clear vision for its future.
      * 53:00 - Israel should define its borders.
      * 53:49 - The future of Palestine rests on the Palestinians themselves changing their doctrine.
      *Israel's Priorities and Future Vision*
      * 58:55 - Top Priority: Bringing back hostages from Gaza.
      * 59:48 - Second Priority: Ensuring peace and security for Israeli citizens.
      * 1:00:55 - Third Priority: Justice against those responsible for the October 7th attack.
      * 1:01:17 - Israel needs a cohesive vision and strategy.
      * 1:01:23 - Aligning with Biden's approach on regional alliances is a possibility.
      *Webinar Conclusion and Strategy Discussion*
      * 1:02:48 - Tamir is thanked for his insightful discussion.
      * 1:03:04 - It's clarified that Israel has a strategy in place, despite appearances.
      * 1:03:15 - The government's control by the settlement movement is a primary concern.
      * 1:03:36 - Israel's strategy aims to weaken the Palestinian Authority, indirectly favoring Hamas.
      * 1:03:55 - The strategy involves allowing Qatar to support Hamas financially, enhancing their military capabilities.
      * 1:04:40 - The current government's policy prevents the Palestinian Authority from being part of any solution.
      * 1:05:07 - The strategy is critiqued as destructive and risky for Israel.x
      * 1:05:46 - The audience and Tamir are thanked for their participation.
      * 1:06:06 - Information about accessing the webinar recording and future webinars is shared.
      * 1:06:41 - The webinar sponsor is acknowledged.
      * 1:06:48 - Contact details and a call for donations are provided.
      * 1:07:08 - Final thanks are given, with a note on the next meeting.

  • @laleodekon5085
    @laleodekon5085 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Some people’s terrorist is another person’ freedom fighter. The British considered Irgun a terrorist group!

    • @kazahtudos
      @kazahtudos 10 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      This is a popular shallow bullshit that some people love to throw around because they think it makes them look "broad-minded" and "intelligent".
      The 2 concepts are totally orthogonal to each other. You can easily be any combination of these 2, including both of them.
      Freedom fighter simply means you are fighting for freedom/independence of the place where you live.
      So that's about the GOAL of your fight.
      But it doesn't say anything about the METHODS you are employing
      On the other hand, terrorist means that you are fighting using terror attacks. I.e. deliberately targeting the civilian population without military objectives in order to intimidate and terrorise.
      That's about THE METHODS you employ in your fighting.
      But says nothing about the GOAL of your fight.
      These 2 are not the "different sides of the same coin", but 2 totally independent things.
      E.g.
      - In 1848 the Italian states revolted against the Habsburg Austrian Empire and declared independence. Same year the Hungarians also did the same.
      These are pretty much the dictionary definition of freedom fights.
      They also fought in conventional way, so they were not terrorists.
      - In the US Civil War, the Confederation was fighting for seceding from the Union and to create their own independent union where they could freely adopt the laws they want (i.e. keep owning slaves).
      They were by definition freedom fighters. Also morally reprehensible in why they wanted freedom from the Union, but that's not part of the definition. What you want to use your freedom that you are fighting for is another question. (Oh, what shocking surprise: being a freedom fighter is not equal being a good guy!!! What a shock how real life is more complicated then shallow slogans might make it look like...)
      They also fought in a conventional way, so they were also not terrorists.
      - ETA was fighting for Basque independence.
      That also quite undisputably makes them freedom fighters.
      But they also employed terror attacks in their campaign, so they are widely considered to be a terrorist organisation.
      - Provisional IRA was fighting for making N Ireland part of Ireland instead of the UK.
      That makes it debatable whether they were freedom fighters. They didn't want the territory to be independent but to "change hands".
      If you asked a republican in N Ireland (the ones wanting to join Ireland) then it was a fight for freedom, because they identified with the Irish people living in Ireland and defined freedom as N Ireland belonging to the whole group of Irish people. But if you were to ask a unionist (the ones who wanted to remain in the UK) then it was not a fight for freedom, because they didn't want to join another country.
      On the terrorism axis: IRA also employed terror attacks in England and other parts in the UK, which made it widely considered as a terrorist organisation.
      - ISIS was/is fighting to create a global islamist caliphate.
      That's obviously not a fight for freedom.
      They were also employing brutal terror tactics, so there is not really a question whether they are a terrorist organisation.

    • @dochi1958
      @dochi1958 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@kazahtudos "On the other hand, terrorist means that you are fighting using terror attacks. I.e. deliberately targeting the civilian population without military objectives in order to intimidate and terrorise."- that is a PERFECT description of what Israel is doing right now! Israel is the BIGGEST TERRORIST entity on earth! Only their money and ability to purchase Western leaders and whole Western political parties & institutions prevent them from ALL being hauled off to The Hague for their despicable, inhumane crimes.

  • @laleodekon5085
    @laleodekon5085 10 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Your extensive explanation is appreciated as is your grasp of events. However your language towards me is not appreciated.

    • @whazzat8015
      @whazzat8015 10 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Would you tag what gave you offense?
      Language is important. When folks line up at the first words , it's hard to go forward.
      I read this before listening ( lots in my stack, but all are important)

  • @dochi1958
    @dochi1958 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Gawd, you can ALWAYS tell when it's an 'intellectual' institution or organization that posts a speech, seminar, etc, because like this one they spend the first ten minutes talking & bragging about themselves and how great they are.