Valley of the Dahle
Valley of the Dahle
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Portugal Housing Explodes
How could the predictions from last year be so far off? Why did prices change so dramatically compared to what the experts forecasted last yeat? What will happen with home prices in Portugal in 2025? Will they charge ahead or will they begin to stall and possible begin to fall?
#rentingvsbuying #lisbon #rentinglisbon #rentingportugal #buyingahomeinportugal #buyingahomeineurope #lisbon #porto #shopforhome #househunting #livinginportugal #livingineurope #portugalrealestate #eurorealestate #europeanrealestate #buyingpropertyeurope #buyingpropertyportugal #buyinghome #worldtravelers #worldtravelerseurope #lisboa #NHR #nonhabitualresidence
Instituto Nacional de Estratitica
www.ine.pt/xportal/xmain?xpid=INE&xpgid=ine_destaques&DESTAQUESdest_boui=645856048&DESTAQUESmodo=2
Portugal Rental Market Q3 2024
www.ine.pt/xportal/xmain?xpid=INE&xpgid=ine_destaques&DESTAQUESdest_boui=645844044&DESTAQUESmodo=2
Supply of homes on the market increased in Portugal in 2024
www.theportugalnews.com/news/2024-10-10/housing-supply-up-5-in-
portugal/92726#:~:text=According%20to%20data%20analysed%20by,increase%20in%20supply%20was%2010%25.
2024 Housing Prices to decline by 2%
www.idealista.pt/en/news/property-for-sale-in-portugal/2023/10/24/5691-house-prices-in-portugal-are-expected-to-fall-by-2-1-in-2024-says
Foreigners lose interest in buying with end of NHR
www.portugalpulse.com/foreigners-seek-less-housing-with-end-of-gold-and-nhr-visas/
ECB Open to Further Rate Cuts
www.reuters.com/markets/europe/ecb-cut-rates-again-signal-further-easing-growth-falters-2024-12-11/#:~:text=FRANKFURT%2C%20Dec%2012%20(Reuters),a%20fresh%20U.S.%20trade%20war.
EU returning to 0% Rates?
www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/europes-return-zero-rates-mike-dolan-2024-10-25/
Portugal balance budget
www.euractiv.com/section/politics/news/european-commission-highlights-portugals-strong-budgetary-position/
And...
www.reuters.com/markets/europe/portugals-budget-surplus-narrows-slightly-1-gdp-2024-12-23/
Portuguese National DEBT
www.statista.com/statistics/270414/national-debt-of-portugal-in-relation-to-gross-domestic-product-gdp/#:~:text=The%20ratio%20of%20national%20debt,in%20total%2018.2%20percentage%20points.
To 90% of GDP 2026
economy-finance.ec.europa.eu/economic-surveillance-eu-economies/portugal/economic-forecast-portugal_en
6% on loans expiring in a year
www.globalpropertyguide.com/europe/portugal/price-history
Interest Rates are at 4% in Portugal
www.idealista.pt/en/news/financial-advice-in-portugal/2024/01/24/5847-mortgage-interest-rates-in-portugal-higher-than-the-eurozone-since
Real Home Prices Chart
fred.stlouisfed.org/series/QPTR628BIS
2.1% decrease in 2024 Pricing
www.idealista.pt/en/news/property-for-sale-in-portugal/2023/10/24/5691-house-prices-in-portugal-are-expected-to-fall-by-2-1-in-2024-says
Home Loan Info:
www.bportugal.pt/en/publicacao/financial-stability-report-may-2024
มุมมอง: 4 183

วีดีโอ

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ความคิดเห็น

  • @Carolinapetroska
    @Carolinapetroska 18 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    The best is to buy a condo in Lisbon in the €200 000 range so it will be easy to pay and sell fast, just in case.

  • @Carolinapetroska
    @Carolinapetroska 18 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

    Why are Portuguese so cheap to the point that they have to keep a jacket at home ? Gosh, this country is so far behind....

  • @krisburke1712
    @krisburke1712 5 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I did not plan to buy in Nazare but this is where I based my search from..fortunate to stay at an airbnb where the owner is a real estate agent..he speaks several languages and acted as a translator... after many houses in the mountains and interior, it so happened that I fell in love with Nazare. I ended up buying in Nazare...the house was just listed; owners were trying to sell it for two years, via a sign on the exterior. I did not have a bidding war... I did not haggle much...I didn't get anywhere by haggling, but for me apologizing (Canadian) for any insult..since 2021 my home has increased in value by 44%... I live in paradise. The people are beautiful...I fall asleep to the sound of waves and wake to an 'sea' view.

  • @nimrodtomoren
    @nimrodtomoren 6 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Thank you for sharing so openly. That was one of my fears when I moved here, there's something consoling in listening to you talking about it so honestly. Hope you feel better soon 🧡

  • @briant3404
    @briant3404 6 วันที่ผ่านมา

    that's not a complete picture.... other large factors: in the small portuguese market increases in new construction increases the avg home prices, new construction is ALL for sale and double the price of existing construction . 2nd, the foreigners owners have upgraded fixer homes an these homes are worth much more when they sell now and also are much more likely to be sold than portuguese homes. ... 3rd. globally the economic situation for europe is already crashing and looks to get worse with the US sanctions, and europe will suffer from these sanctions more than China, brics, the US or the rest of the world. these 3 factors together make the current market prices higher, and would suggest a declining market in 2025, ...

  • @aavergez
    @aavergez 6 วันที่ผ่านมา

    nice video!

  • @pedrocaetano5117
    @pedrocaetano5117 8 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Quite nice video

  • @dmitryb7920
    @dmitryb7920 9 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Basic

  • @dougharris4853
    @dougharris4853 9 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Honestly you have to look at the areas where house prices have risen in Portugal have risen or fallen the most. Firstly 2% is insignificant and almost unnoticeable. Portugal if it wants to grow its economy needs to redesign its property law with focus outside of the cities and improve infrastrucure.

  • @estenegocio2024genial
    @estenegocio2024genial 9 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Very interesting video, however if you can, you should compare this statistics with the numbers between 2007 / 2009, where the real housing crises begun. In those days, yearly construction dropped from 700.000 / 800.000 a year to 100.000 and it´s the main reason why today prices on renting and housing are so high. Midle class in Portugal is over 80% of the population but for all that people there is no affordable construction since 2006. Prices will raise without any bubble since 67% of the portuguese own is house.

  • @DamionLouisInPortugal
    @DamionLouisInPortugal 9 วันที่ผ่านมา

    We were looking to rent back in November, we found a lease that started this month January 2025. We did find a good amount of inventory when we were looking. We ended up renting in Guimaraes

  • @hypnotechno
    @hypnotechno 10 วันที่ผ่านมา

    house prices also increase over time as a factor of the decrease in the value of money. I wouldn't hope for a crash

    • @Carolinapetroska
      @Carolinapetroska 18 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      It won't happen! The demand is still very high, especially for the European market looking for a second or first home in Europe

  • @actionvj
    @actionvj 10 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I was in Lisbon in November and saw a lot of cranes. Hopefully, new home construction will help. Also, for those that have the NHR, do they leave the country after it expires? Does that allow for new vacancies as well? Good info Ted. Thanks

    • @Carolinapetroska
      @Carolinapetroska 18 ชั่วโมงที่ผ่านมา

      Not that many are affordable.

  • @imirim
    @imirim 10 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Interesting that the inventory in Porto was up 30%. We live in Porto and it certainly didn't feel like there was much inventory. We ended up buying a house in Tavira. We move in next week.

    • @Nostalg1a
      @Nostalg1a 10 วันที่ผ่านมา

      As a person living in Porto, it's because most homes are bought by investors, they are then sold later on for higher value to or airbnbs.

    • @LunaNosille
      @LunaNosille 9 วันที่ผ่านมา

      my neighbour is moving from the uk to Tavira too...:-)

  • @runderwo
    @runderwo 10 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Are the statistics broken down by age of property? That would help in determining how much newer luxury builds are skewing the price analysis.

  • @kimburmester789
    @kimburmester789 10 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Very interesting!

  • @timcomaia1386
    @timcomaia1386 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Really brave from you to share it. I wish you all the best. Stay strong ❤

  • @aheadtime
    @aheadtime 19 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I am so proud of you for sharing your health problem and I hope that one day you will be free of cancer, thanks to the new treatments.

  • @manunited1132
    @manunited1132 22 วันที่ผ่านมา

    *HOPE ANCHORS THE SOUL * 🌟✨ my god you look like Richard Marx the singer

  • @HettiedeKorteDiplomaat
    @HettiedeKorteDiplomaat 23 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I heard one of two people will get cancer. I'm so happy for you it's treatable. Me and my siblings are getting older so I kind of expect bad news one day. My father and husband died of cancer. It's heartbreaking. I'm so grateful the treatments are improving every year. I'm staying in Portugal the next three months. Dutch winters are miserable. Lisbon is a beautiful city. I hope you'll feel alright. Thank you for your update. ❤ from Amsterdam.

  • @Liz_in_the_OC
    @Liz_in_the_OC 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Interesting. I would like an extra month’s pay!

  • @actionvj
    @actionvj 26 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Great details. This was good info to learn. They were setting up Parque Eduardo when I was there in November but I missed it. I did get walk thru Rossio.

  • @cann9155
    @cann9155 28 วันที่ผ่านมา

    I pray all the best for you Ted ❤❤❤ Take good care of yourself. See you soon.

  • @JoeLipichok
    @JoeLipichok หลายเดือนก่อน

    It’s definitely nice to have hair while we do these battles! Great perspective and nice to hear I am not alone. “I never want to go anywhere” - I want to go everywhere but don’t like when I am actually there :( Bless you my friend, look forward to hearing more.

  • @charismao5515
    @charismao5515 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I’m so sorry to hear that - but know that you will come out victorious in the other side. Sending you so much positive energy and grace ❤

  • @georgeplumb6799
    @georgeplumb6799 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Wishing you a very best

  • @ruckinehround6965
    @ruckinehround6965 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Lean into it, and then lean harder. Cancer is varied and the outcomes are broad. Of all the good stories there are equally bad outcomes. It’s important to get in your moments and lean into it, then lean harder.

  • @tacitusromanus8239
    @tacitusromanus8239 หลายเดือนก่อน

    For whatever reason, you came up in my feed, Ted. So sorry to hear about the cancer. I got cancer last year, so I know the shock involved when you are initially told that diagnosis. I will pray for your recovery. Blessings.

  • @roebears4326
    @roebears4326 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Hey man. I also have the dream of moving to Portugal. You did it though. Some people never do anything they want. I give you a lot of credit. I am wishing you the best.

  • @Morgan-yl3ou
    @Morgan-yl3ou หลายเดือนก่อน

    Just lost my father in law last night Luckily at home with his family wnd dog He had brain cancer and was diagnosed 3 months ago Cancer can be so quick to move I also have cancer of pelvis area In between all organs God knows what will happen ..but i chose not to have treatement ..as im all ready bed ridden. I onow i am not stronge enough for surgery or chemo etc I did however get to be there for father in law As i was only one who he felt understood his illness We became so close in the end I told him not to be afraid , as life the other is so beautiful ..and then he passed so smoothly. Im not afraid myself as i have been seriousjy it for 18 years now I am clwirvoyant and have seen what is the other side Its so beautiful and euphoric and so hard to explain But i hope my medical team cwn help control my pain... I dont ever want to go to hopsital if i can help it I wish any who is suftering from cancer , a calm smooth journey I hope you manage to fight and win against the cruel illness Thinking of you and all your family. Xx

  • @traceyhobbs4643
    @traceyhobbs4643 หลายเดือนก่อน

    What cancer do u have

  • @CapturedByKen
    @CapturedByKen หลายเดือนก่อน

    I was diagnosed with cancer back in 2013 (gist cancer) … hang in there …they’ll definitely be rough days but there’s also days that are really good. I’ve been on about 6 or 7 chemos (IV and Oral). You have my best wishes!

  • @Gary-nl2rd
    @Gary-nl2rd หลายเดือนก่อน

    Are you in Christ, get in while you're alive. After that, it's too late

  • @maryc1817
    @maryc1817 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Wishing you a speedy recovery and all the very best. 🤍

  • @Philthefisherofmen
    @Philthefisherofmen หลายเดือนก่อน

    My prayers are with you. Are you a follower of Christ/born again/spirit filled believer? JOHN 3:3

  • @UraTrowelie
    @UraTrowelie หลายเดือนก่อน

    My family owns a small construction company. We work very hard. Things can be challenging. We make fair wages and receive 3-4wks paid vacation. We strive for perfection. We also, always take our vacations. Those not on vacation pick up the slack. Vacations are not an option, they're what its all about. Work to live. Never the other way around.

  • @stephenfermoyle4578
    @stephenfermoyle4578 หลายเดือนก่อน

    is that tremendous so you can make more money ?

  • @stephenfermoyle4578
    @stephenfermoyle4578 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Why is that tremendous? Portugal was in not such a good place and over the last quarter things have been improving. why is escalating home prices a good thing? ..trying to price out the locals...that is a world wide problem. Are they rising cause MADAME X moved there? LOL Portugal is magical...... ''careful what you wish for'' do not want to loose the magic. Portugal also led the way in cleaning up street drug problem, homelessness. The Art scene is thriving and a lot of people want to move there. i love it there, especially Porto.

  • @thomassaddul
    @thomassaddul หลายเดือนก่อน

    Eat LOW to ZERO carb, Fast 18 hours per day, eat Fatty red meat, Resistance training, lastly take Fenbendazole.

  • @MarthaGarrett
    @MarthaGarrett หลายเดือนก่อน

    I have multiple myeloma! They say it’s rare, yet I keep hearing of more diagnosed. I have induction therapy then stem cell transplant. I did not go into remission , yet I had over a year with no disease modifying drugs. That was nice. Numbers are easing upwad thus I:m now on maintenance with darzalex fast pro. Praying for the best for you

  • @NutritionFruition
    @NutritionFruition หลายเดือนก่อน

    The Medical Medium Anthony Williams information mentions cancer being caused from a virus or toxins that can be cleansed from the body. I love his Cleanse to Heal book ❤

  • @supramby
    @supramby หลายเดือนก่อน

    I have heard that fasting during chemo can make it more effective. Increasing autophagy. And also sensitizing the cancer cells to the chemo

  • @jem-j1j
    @jem-j1j หลายเดือนก่อน

    My husband is going through the same thing. Sending healing energy and prayers that you have a very long remission period. And many happy, healthy and productive years to come.

  • @hypnotechno
    @hypnotechno หลายเดือนก่อน

    house price rises are also a function of money depreciation

  • @marieb5251
    @marieb5251 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Idk what will happen, but there are tons of empty STRs on housing sites, with much lower prices than a year ago, sometimes 50% lower. That tells me STRs aren't as profitable as they used to be, if profitable at all. That makes sense since Portugal no longer offers incentives for digital nomads, and its popularity is declining. So my guess is at some point those STRs are gonna be put on the market and it may be the catalyst for prices coming down.

  • @sylvainhyais8166
    @sylvainhyais8166 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Wish you the best recovery

  • @thordahle8042
    @thordahle8042 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Stay strong and be well brother.

  • @thefunson8087
    @thefunson8087 หลายเดือนก่อน

    bible?

  • @briant3404
    @briant3404 หลายเดือนก่อน

    thank you! i learned a lot from this. I hope you continue to feel better and get well .

  • @briant3404
    @briant3404 หลายเดือนก่อน

    that was a really good analysis !

    • @farmerthd
      @farmerthd หลายเดือนก่อน

      Thank you! Much appreciated