I'm not sure if I will live that long becaue I love Bacon to much but I hope J.J. will keep making videos for a long time. Sorry for ruining your perfect 69(nice!)
Lol in 2016 former governor Arnold Schwarzenegger endorsed former first lady Hillary Clinton to become president over Republican candidate Donald Trump. Who would have guessed Naked Gun 2000 would have been the most accurate vision of the future!
@@caffeinatedlinux I highly doubt Charles would be able to keep his own UK throne for a long time . He is despised by the public and would very much try to interfere in government .
I think everyone forgot around the end of 2019 when we were joking around about how they was going to be a plague in 2020,Just like 1720,1820 and 1920.
Well it's an evitable every 100 years there's always a plague I don't like it we could've stop the spread faster but it's just one of those nature things
I predict that all the oil rich Middle Eastern countries will collapse in the next 2 decades. Two reasons - one, they are too reliant on one resource that will eventually lose its value in a world increasingly moving towards clean fuel. And two, 80% of their population is comprised and run by expats from South Asia who are not given any rights of equal residency or citizenship - once the economy dries up, they will have no stake or reason to stay, while the local unskilled population is incapable of running a country on their own. I’m willing to bet my last penny on this prediction.
@@HamishDuh2nd that may be true - but James, a country is not only a sum of its resources. The people matter. Imagine if 80% of your economic engine is only working for hire, and have no stake in the country’s future. The way they treat their migrant population is nothing less than modern day slavery - it will bite these countries back when they actually need them
I think in the next 20 or so years, we're going to see a steady increase in conditions like depression and anxiety all throughout the western world. We'll reach a state where going to a therapist and taking medication will be considered as normal as going to the dentist, in comparison to a time like the 1950s where people really looked at you funny for that sort of thing. As such, we'll see many new mental health facilities being opened up to cater to this need and increasing integration of mental health care and technology, such as telemedicine. Mental health care in various forms, more or less formal, will increasingly become a huge and very profitable industry. Currently, there's a common belief that things like depression are a result of some moral failing, or the result of spending too much time on the computer, etc, but as time goes by, the older generation (who often find these kinds of mental health struggles hard to relate with) dies and more and more people are treated with these conditions, the prevailing attitude will just be that depression and anxiety are simply facts of life that everyone has to deal with.
@@gmodrules123456789 I idk governments have neglected mental health for far too long, I know even England has a minister for loneliness so it's definitely a possibility unless authorities take the mental health crisis serious
Sounds nice, honestly. Maybe it'll be cheaper to get a therapist, maybe there won't be as much of a negative stigma around getting help for your problems, and maybe therapy and medication will be more advanced by then. Instead of just bottling it up and pretending it isn't a thing we could have better quality of life on a larger scale. Or... maybe that won't happen. Who knows?
by the year 2046 I predict JJ will have so much memorabilia that behind him that they will unite into one sentient being which will provide colorful interjections during videos
(Dominion Voting Systems + George Soros's Tides + Federal Infrastructure Minister's financed NGO's) +(215 Spadina Ave,, Toronto) = Digital electoral fraud + coup d'état on sitting US President
@@jeanpoutine9824 There was a recount of Dominion voting machines that confirmed that the paper ballots matched the digital records. The other factors you mentioned have no apparent connection to vote counts. Therefore, the factors you mention collectively changed the vote counts by zero votes. Also, your comment is off-topic.
@@jeanpoutine9824 You offer no proof. If you were right, you'd have at least some proof. If I'm asleep, why are you talking to me? Who talks to sleeping people?
I predict that by 2046 computers will be twice as powerful, 10,000 times larger, and so expensive that only the five richest kings in Europe will own them.
@Ilyass Abbad "Eventually there will be only five Kings left in the world: Hearts, Diamonds, Spades, Clubs, and the King of England." - King Fahd of Saudi Arabia.
The great thing about writing a book predicting the future is that you can sell it two times: once at publish date and once after prediction date! It's GENIUS!!!
Some of my predictions for 2046: Energy: A majority of global electricity production will be from renewable sources, though fossil fuels and nuclear will still provide significant fractions, and there will be several countries where internal combustion engine vehicles are straight up illegal. The biggest sources of renewable energy will be very cheap wind and solar, probably followed by hydro (which will have seen little or no cost reduction compared to now). Geothermal and marine energy also have the potential to deliver huge amounts of power sustainably, but I'm not sure 25 years is enough time to scale them up. It's plausible thermodynamically viable fusion will exist, but it'll be a very small part of the global energy economy if it does. There will still be a large market for oil, but it'll be shrinking and today's energy exporting countries will have suffered severe financial strains, in some cases consigning their populations to decades of stagnating or declining living standards. Demographics: The number of children born per year worldwide has been more or less constant since the 1980s, so by 2046, global population growth will have slowed to a crawl. The average age of the global population will have increased a lot and many of today's middle income countries (almost certainly including China) will have shrinking populations. Geopolitics: I hope I'm wrong about this part, but I expect China will become a semi-pariah state with a stagnant economy and an ossifying autocratic political system. If you tried to explain the levels of optimism many people, including myself, had towards China in the early 2010s to most teenagers in 2046, they would look at you askance. The United States will remain the world's most powerful country, though never with the kind of influence it had at the start of the century. India and Africa will be much more important on the global stage than they are now. The EU will not have changed too drastically, since Ukraine is the only large country that still has much chance of joining; the UK will also have a constituency for rejoining but by this time it will mostly be aging eccentrics and both major parties will be explicitly committed to staying out. Other: Some crewed missions may have reached the moon or Mars, but the current space colonization fad will have been quietly abandoned once policymakers remember these worlds are unimaginably remote and inhospitable wastelands and no, I don't think I'm being too harsh there. In some developed countries, Vegans and Vegetarians will be over 10% of the population, possibly over 20%. Most countries, including many African and Middle Eastern countries, will be noticeably less religious than they were in 2020. COVID will still exist in isolated pockets and cause sporadic outbreaks, but wont materially affect most people's lives. Life in most of today's Least Developed Countries will have improved significantly. Late 2010s/early 2020s nostalgia will be near its peak.
I would say something about the colonization thing, by 2025 NASA plans to come back to the moon, so if it won't be Mars, it certainly will be our satellite to be colonized
Your predictions are strange to me because sometimes they seem too fast and sometimes they seem too slow. 15 years is both astronomically long and incredibly short at the same time. Predictions like 20% of people being vegan seem so unlikely to me because in 15 years, it's mostly going to be my generation "in charge" in their 40s as it were, and most of them are uninterested in making that change and so are the younger people I see. Same with the climate predictions, we're still expanding so much I just can't imagine that we would finally start building the infrastructure we would need to get to that point within the next few years. However I also have to thank you, because the predictions did allow me to imagine a world where we decided to DO something. It did help it seem more possible and I have some hope for the future now.
@@w1ckedn0nsense34 Many predictions for climate change are both depressing and full of hope: the renewable thing is a big one because it's true that is growing exponentially, never before being sustainable made so much economically sense as it is now
@@josephlehman1242 Not unless we're ignoring the meaning of the term and just using "renewable" as a general term for being environmentally unproblematic. New actinide reserves aren't being generated in the Earth at all, much less regenerated on human time scales, in fact without human intervention they would still be very slowly decaying into lead. Personally though, I'm becoming increasingly inclined to say "renewable" just isn't a very helpful classification; much clearer probably to just divide primary energy sources into combustion and non-combustion.
Eh. I think when it comes to the water shortage prediction, McRae might’ve been wrong if he was talking about North America, but in other places in the world, the threat of a water shortage is very real, as he predicted. South Africa’s water shortage and irrigation issues and the dam dispute between Egypt and Ethiopia, which came close to starting a war last summer, are prime examples of this. I think the reality is that the water shortage issues aren’t as widespread as McRae might’ve thought, but I definitely wouldn’t say they aren’t a concern right now in the world, or, at the very least, that they aren’t going to escalate sometime in the near future.
Agreed. And throughout North America, there are pockets where fresh water sources are indeed a major concern. Most of them are occupied by cities and towns that the mainstream media doesn't pay attention to, but the problem is there and growing.
Fresh water is very much a concern in the USA it's just the majority of people are ignoring it and will continue to do so till the effects of no fresh water affect them.
I love this channel because it feels like you are actually there, sitting around the campfire with him, rather than just listening to a story or taking a lecture.
It mocks our present follies so well, we end up thinking it predicted them at a later date. We simply failed to learn from the mistakes of the past and ended up repeating them.
The entire world sees the crimes being committed by corrupt Canadian governments, but most Quebecers still refuse to see what's going on and and why evil prevails in Quebec, because the occult is not something hidden, it is what you refuse to see, here:. www.bitchute.com/video/U4uCpQjHUk5N/ Le monde entier voit les crimes commis par des gouvernements corrompus du Québec, mais la plupart des Québécois refusent toujours de voir ce qui se passe et pourquoi le mal prévaut au Québec, parce que l'occulte n'est pas quelque chose de caché, c'est ce que vous refusez de voir.. ici: www.bitchute.com/video/U4uCpQjHUk5N/
@@heinrichbier4759 That's because many of the predictions were made to give a sense of urgency, if only we had listened back then and already started making changes. The earlier we fix our long term problems the better.
@@heinrichbier4759 Many "alarmists" were making predications about climate change back in the 80s, and we are now seeing the consequences. McRae is quoted as saying the effects of climate change would be ignored for a generation - he was right about that.
@@andrewjones2132 yeap I was an alarmist myself once. I received a degree in Biology with honours and marine and freshwater biology from a “prestigious” Canadian University that is rife with group think constantly pushing doomsday scenarios. In the 70’s the “consensus” was we were entering a “little ice age”. There was few really cold winters that also coincided with the oil embargo and group think about “peak oil”. Or how about the Maldives should have been completely under water 20 years ago and then 10 years ago. Climate change is of course a real thing. Climate is by definition equates to change. Believing we can “control” climate by trying to manipulate only factor, CO2 (and not the largest factor), is like believing vaccines can save us all from a virus... Climate is so complex it’s beyond arrogant to think we can somehow control it to the point where it will remain static indefinitely. Just more invisible boogie men to create fear and panic which keeps us all distracted and divided as the CCP and the Globalists destroy democracy...
He is perhaps too optimistic about America. Our political divisions seem to be getting worse. And despite what he says, common sense isn't prevailing, and the unproductive members of society (both on the left and right) seem to be getting louder and angrier. I see no resolution to this.
@@jimmym3352 Be the change you want to see. Encourage unity and instill common sense. The foundation of our country starts at the individual after all.
My prediction for 2046 is that there would have involved some sort of military conflict with China. I don't know if I'd go as far to say all out war but there will be some escalated aggression. I do think that some diseases such as HIV/AIDS and some minor forms of cancer will have cures. I think that life between now and 2046 won't look terribly different and won't look like some Sci-Fi movie (the movie GATTACA comes to mind for some unknown reason). However, I do think most people will have to put more effort into searching for meaning in their lives as technological advances will mean that we would possibly have more free time on our hands as machines do more of the menial & repetitive work than the jobs of the past. I do see some professions just disappearing altogether and being replaced by machines such as accounting. Retail stores will mostly be replaced by showrooms and people would just order their desired items online. Supermarkets will follow the Amazon/Wholefoods model of having very few human employees and mostly rely on technology for purchases/transactions to take place with customers rather than queuing up at a checkout. I do think interest in cars will drop as more people will use public transport in urban areas and cars will just be for hobbyists and people who live in remote areas.
For cars, its more likely that there will be a lot more autonomous cars, eventually leading to an autonomous taxi service. Since there would be no driver, it would be a cheap service so most people will opt to not buy a car. Tesla plans on making it mainstream by 5 years, but imo its going to take 10 years
I mean it sounds like what's going on truth be told, whether or not you like the framing of it. There is the increasing socialist movements in the young, the rise of intersectionality and general woke culture, all things that can and have been framed as the culture war between the whiney and self reliant, even if you'd argue unfairly so.
I agree, it almost felt like you knew who he was talking about without saying conservative and liberal. While that prediction was most likely targeted at conservatives being productive and liberals not, you can really apply that theory in either direction. Conservatives and liberals "whine" on about the same level just about different stuff. Liberal progress and conservative financial progress are different but are progress nonetheless. So saying one side will whine while one side wants progress goes both ways.
@@AB-yw9bd He said the whiny side are the people that feel "disadvantaged." Pretty sure there's not much other ways to interpret that other than taking a shot at minority groups.
@@jayjaybee JJ also opens his video by complaining about marx of all things and how his view of the future is wrong, when in reality most of what he said came true. It kind of bums me
Nothing to do with the video, but how many items of clothing does J.J. own? It seems he wears an outfit one video, and then a different outfit the next, with neither being worn again in videos...
@@mckaystarr789 If you heard JJ speak it wasn't about climate change but rather population growth and ever growing need for water. While climate change most certainly does effect modern water wars, some didn't need a changing climate as a catalyst. I know several US states are going through lengthy legal battles as well, and another good place of conflict for water is in central Asia in the soviet mess countries.
just want to clarify because there may have been a bit of misinformation about one third into the video about 'alternative energy' the facts are that solar is THE cheapest form of energy and there are no safety concerns with the use of solar energy, wind is cheaper than coal but cannot be sustained without government funding as solar can be at this point, there are safety concerns with wind but they area less than the safety problems we know are associated with fossil fuels. that is all
@@KarlSnarks I think that categorization could just as easily be applied to certain elements of the right as of the left. Those who blame everything on immigrants, for example.
@@koodscood3027 Good point, but I wasn't necessarily talking about left/right. The problem with it is how the writer frames it, the people who criticize the state or big business for systemic issues that disadvantages them (low minimum wages, bad working conditions, expensive healthcare etc.) are considered complainers even though the issues are very real. I do think there genuinely are people (both on the left and the right) that just complain because they don't want to take responsibility for their lives, but most people who're struggling in life do so because of bad circumstances (often created by the failings of the system). However, the author (as it seems to me, because of the framing) basically says "If you don't succeed in life it's because you didn't pull yourself up by the bootstraps and complained" I could be misinterpreting it, but I don't think so. Btw, I do believe that even if you're disadvantaged because of matters outside of your influence, you should still do everything in your power to improve your life, both individually (improving yourself, building financial security if possible etc.) and collectively (organizing protests, taking part in mutual aid, unionizing etc.)
@@MentalGainsthis is a bit of a long message but I think we can have a fair discussion about this, I'm not trying to fight you, this is my perspective on the issue. I would say many people absolutely are disadvantaged in ways that make it inherently more difficult for them to work their way into the middle class. Corporations take advantage of people, underpay them, and fire them for unionizing. Systemic inequality is very much a real issue, climbing out of poverty is extremely difficult as one gets caught in a cycle of working their asses off to pay the bills and then have no money left to put into a savings account for the future, especially those without any support system and those who have people dependant on them, whether that be children or elderly parents. The Healthcare system is flawed to a ridiculous level, to the point that even people who have saved up money their entire lives and who would have been able to retire comfortably wind up paying out their entire life savings because of a health concern. Medications that cost $10 to produce cost $1,000 dollars a month because private corporations own the patents to those medications and overcharge for them because they are necessary for someone with a chronic illness to remain a living, human person. College prices are so high that the return on a college degree, especially if you have to take out student loans to pay it, are very often not even worth getting the degree. I think we can both agree that those who are born into families with the financial ability to pay for their degrees are significantly more likely to be able to start saving their money at an earlier age, this is a straightforward and easy to agree upon example of systemic inequality. This is especially exacerbated by the fact that many people are born into disadvantaged families and, even if what you are saying is true, the child did not have the ability to choose when and to whom they were born. With our grade school education system so inherently based on class which is influenced by geography, this puts children born into a poor family at a disadvantage at a very young age. They don't get to choose how they are raised, and without good programs in place to help raise them to be good citizens, it's understandable that many of them do not become so. I could go on. There are things people can do to improve their lives, yes, but with a system that makes that increasingly difficult as time goes on, at what point does the disadvantage you are born into make it nearly impossible to fully climb out of poverty? Especially if you have more than one, or even all, of the issues I've listed here.
8:38 To be honest, Emmanuel Macron was in the incumbent party before leaving it and is a former banker, so his election is not that big of a shock. However, it's true that many people are today pushing for a sixth republic, like Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who finished fourth with 19% of the votes in 2017.
well, I'd say that the constitution doesn't need to change for the hole political system to change. In many parts of europe it appears as the big moderat partys in power since the war are declining and beeing replaced by more extrem and less stable partys (in France that is the fall of the konservativs and the socialists and the rise of the front national and macrons and melochons partys)
I predict that in the future, people around the world will be eating and drinking at around 12-1pm on most days, roughly during the time and occasion we currently call lunch...
He is mostly affected not by his conservaturism which he is definitely in some part, but mainly by his historical stagnation It was pretty popular ik the 90s they thought the world had reached peak history and that the future will be like the 90s but with slowly better technology, which is totally wrong
Agreed lol. I think that largely they sounded pretty tame but saying that one side of Americans will be self reliant/motivated and the other side will be “whiny and blaming/suing institutions such as insurance companies, corporations, etc”..... lmao, need I go on?! (I will.) Def conservative dog whistling and once again the people (conservatives) claiming to be the defenders and harbingers of personal liberty snd freedom defending these ENORMOUSLY POWERFUL entities that have some degree of control over all of us and then blaming the people (liberals) that speak out against it (which is utilizing one of our enshrined personal liberties, btw). So that’s how I think it’s skewed a little by the guys personal politics.
What do you mean this guys writing wasn't in some way motivated by his political beliefs when he literally said one side of politics would be reliable and establish strong, rich capitalism and the other side would be whiney.
One thing I don't like about this channel. J.J. seems to only be concerned if the political beliefs aren't aligned with his. If they are than they are fairly balanced. If not? Then something something whiny. Love this channel but that's a big hypocritical turnoff.
My exact thoughts. "Whether you're on the left or right, you could agree..." Um, no? That was a very obviously right wing sentiment made by the author.
@@GarrettMerkin All he did was read what the author said. He clearly wasn't interested in arguing with people who are going to take offense and whine about being called whiney.
@@nelsongibson114 Disagree, he said a theme of whiney vs. productive. You could absolutely see mainstream conservatism as whiny people who refuse to change and mainstream progressivism as productive and improving society. I'm sure most progressives see Ben Shapiro as whiney.
I predict that in 2046 the EU will be somewhat larger with at least more of the former Yugoslav republics joining but likely it will be at most moderately more integrated than today. So basically I think the trend predicted by McRae will continue for the time being.
Personaly, I think it will be a lot more like the early US in 2046, mainly based on the fact that you start seeing Eurofederalists poping on social media, meaning the idea becomes more accepted. It would still be diffrent states, but thet would have a economic, and foreign policy union, as well as a common military.
@@Somajsibere To me, that seems quite uncertain (though still possible). You might see a lot of federalists but there's a lot of eurosceptics too on social media and a quarter of a century might prove too short a schedule for such a change.
@@seneca983 The way I see it is simple, for the most part even Euroskeptick parties abandoned their leave the EU stances(see Marine Le Pen who abandoned this stance in 2019, well not completly, she now wants the EU to remain as it is) meaning the entire populatio moved towards eurofederalism. Also not to mention the EU isn t there for the good feelings of cooperation anymore. It is a real solution to real problems that plague Europe. Also worth noting is that by early US I mean US before 1812, back when the nation was still a confederacy, and the states were more like countries. Surprisingly not too diffrent from EU now.
@@Somajsibere "for the most part even Euroskeptick parties abandoned their leave the EU stances" But they can still likely delay further integration. Things like common defense take time. The early US was much looser than today but it did have a common defense as it got one from the get-go.
@@seneca983 I mean you are right, but by 2046 it will probably a thing, that is why I say that by 2046 will be like early USA. I mean there is a common border agency, in the form of Frontex. Edit: Also a lot of Euroskeptics are euroskeptics because they are nationalists, and many of these people moved towards pan-european nationalism. Weirdly enough I think they support a united military.
Gold bugs fail to recognize that there is inherent value in believing a currency is valuable even if it's just paper. If someone is willing to accept $1.50 for a cup of coffee or a candy bar then it has value based on people's willingness to accept it.
@@arrgghh1555 I actually wish gold was no longer a prized jewelry material because it has so much better use in the sciences and engineering fields. It's expensive in those fields not only because it's inherently rare to some degree, but because it has such a high demand in being worn and adorned where it's not actually useful.
Not a gold bug, but for me an issue of abandoning the gold standard or just the principle that 'something tangible' must exist to back up the value of products is in financial trading. Things like investing on the dividends, credit swapping, cryptocurrencies are all completely, 100% reliant on the willingness to accept it has value. Its a circular abstraction of an abstraction (the 'value' behind them is based on confidence in the economic system, which is in turn based on continual investment). I think this is what Marx called insane money, since although financial value is being created when you do something credit swapping, its only on paper, there's often no utility value that comes out of it (like the development of some product or provision of a necessary service).
@@adamsfusion silver has more industrial uses than gold, that's one reason why it's cheaper. Silver is also more abundant than gold, but it's rare enough to hold value, albeit it fluctuates a ton. In the 1930s an ounce of silver was 25¢, in the late 70s it was $50. As of the writing of this comment, silver is just under $26 an ounce
I'm not a gold bug by any means but I support the idea of going back on the bimetallic system. $1 in 1898 had the buying power of $31 today, the dollar was backed by gold and the coins were worth thier face value in silver, hell the dollar was silver.
Actually the water part is true partly, Hoover dam is running out of water and most of the lakes in california are almost dry. If you live in California or Nevada this won’t effect you very much right now and if you don’t live in that area at all you’re good.
True, but any of these disputes like between China and India in Tibet, stem from man-made disruption of natural waterways. I’m fairly certain the original predictions in the 90s stemmed from the belief that the future would have systematic shortages in fresh water supplies. Because it’s more a crisis over inter-state resource sharing/cooperation, rather than something that is caused by overpopulation or a drying global climate.
11:53 While I agree with you that most of the analysis in this book seems to be commendably unbiased, this statement strikes me as belonging more to the bad type of prediction. That is, the statement is both very ideologically loaded and hasn't been fulfilled. We're definitely seeing a lot political polarization, a "tug of war," but the even if you accept the premise that leftists are just whiners, the idea that the current American right-wing zeitgeist represents rugged individualism is absurd. When I think "personal responsibility," I don't think of defiantly refusing to take precautions against a pandemic and storming the capital building because you can't admit you lost an election. Of course that's not all conservatives, but it is unfortunately the most powerful and influential strain of them for the last four years.
You are projecting a partisan bias onto his analysis that he didn’t say. There are plenty of whiners on the right wing. In fact I think his analysis is important precisely because it talks about a cleavage in attitudes, rather than philosophies. If you watch Tucker Carlson all he does is whine about rich and powerful people screwing conservatives.
@@JJMcCullough Thanks for the reply. I would think that if we're talking about a meaningful political battle at all, we must be talking about a partisan/tribal battle. Even if both the left and right have both responsible and irresponsible elements, at the end of the day the right-wingers tend to ally with right-wingers against left-wingers and vice versa. At least that's how it seems to work currently. (I will say that recently I've seen the hardcore Trumpists getting more and more pushback from within their own party. We'll see how that plays out in the longterm.) I suppose I could be misreading the quote and it's more about a conflict inside people's heads between different cultural tendencies rather than in the real world between people who act out those tendencies. In that case I could see it as more plausible.
Very funny that he predicted that France would have ANOTHER revolution. I’ve also seen that his prediction about China is echoed by plenty of people who think that China will sort of decentralized or even Balkanize once the nations core leadership loses its power to any extent. Also it seems like he thought that the culture war we have now would be waged more so by traditional conservatives against borderline Libertarians which is just sort of comedic to me.
The reason why more people didn't work from home, even though the technology existed to do so, was because employers thought that their employees wouldn't get their work done and would cheat. They wanted to keep them under their watchful eyes in an office. Well, the pandemic changed all of that and it turns out that people have been very productive working from home, and employers like the potential saving that could accrue from renting smaller office space. I predict more work-at-home opportunities in future, and something of a crash in the office real estate market, to go along with the decline in the need for retail stores, which is already underway.
J.J - I gotta say I watched probably the first 20 hours of your content with eyebrow firmly raised due to your previous adventures in Punditry on the Sun News Network. However, I am continually impressed at the very reasonable narratives of politics and history on this channel. So much so that I share your primers on Canadian Governance and political history with friends and family that express interest. So basically I'm writing this to say that if you admire an author like McRae you should be proud of how well you've done the same on this channel. That being said I don't know how you and pundit you are the same person, but truly it doesn't matter. Your impact here is a benefit to anyone who follows you and I hope you're proud of what you are managing to accomplish. Please keep up the great work. It's desperately needed.
The thing that struck me most is when you said “The much newer tendency for people to refuse to take responsibility for the consequences of their own actions and instead blame the state, big business, etc” can apply to both left and right mentalities. And the really funny thing is they BOTH see the other side with that mind set, yet the people with those tendencies are on both sides... interesting.
I’m a bit disappointed J.J. The idea of late stage capitalism doesn’t automatically mean capitalism has to end immediately. It means, just like any other economical system, thru time capitalism progresses thru different stages and eventually morphs into a different system. So as capitalism goes on inconsistencies start to build up, which make it harder for it to function, like for instance global warming. It can definitely hang on to power tho, thereby prolonging it’s existence.
Man, we're already in the water crisis. Crop failures have been happening all over the world, and back when I still lived in brazil we had a year of water rationing 6 years ago because the reservoirs were below 0% capacity and drawing from emergency reserves. I don't doubt many people all around the world have similar stories. You just happen not to notice because you live in a first world country.
for real if I could make a moderate prediction I can see the 2020s playing out very similarly to the 1920s with a few exceptions. I can see due to the pandemic we'll see an economic boom once life gets back to normal as people will be far more willing to live life to the fullest bringing back booms to any hospitality, restaurants, bars, nightclubs and such type businesses which do survive the pandemic. Social change will still change to be more liberal as I can see especially things such as legalisation of weed and a change in the values of the police and prison systems being the key progress of this decade as gay marriage was to the 2010s. Additionally young peoples values such as classifying your pronouns and breaking down of gender barriers will be very normal as it's something we've come to accept as normal. Trump will try to come back in 2024 but lose to a more moderate candidate as most voters will still feel very strangely about his last year in office. The Dems on the other hand will likely try to transition to a more radical system as congress-women such as Omar and AOC become more influential in the shape of the party causing a trump 2016 like rift to form. China and the US will start off a new cold war but not an ideological one such as capitalism vs communism but it will be over more specific issues such as china's treatment of muslims and hong kong, but more secretly it could be because the US is scared of Chinese imperialism spreading more across the third world and China is bitter about US companies going to countries where they can find cheaper labour as China itself transitions more into a black mirror type country with middle class lifestyle but a dystopian government still at the helm In Europe, Scotland will leave the UK, Boris will be the 3rd tory PM in a row to resign on the job and Keir Starmer will be elected. Apart from that I see thing mostly staying the same for most European nations
On your predictions regarding the US political agenda’s for the democrats and the GOP, I think you overstate the fluidity of inter-party ideological shifts and their ability to take control. The Democratic Party is arguably only being held together right now by the Trump/Trumpism era. Outside of agreeing on what the top issues are in the country, the specifics on policy become Balkanized (just look at the dem primary season!).
Ergo, I think it would be more likely that an intermittent loose shuffling of political alliances where you see a chaotic split in the GOP between more far-right/populist (trump-loyal) and the more moderate, pragmatic, orthodox conservatives who cut ties with Trumpism. And the democrats will gradually begin to form two distinct camps of leftwing progressive idealists, and the more traditional/pragmatist old guard in the party. And from the moderates/pragmatists from both parties having increasingly closer cooperation and platforms. Post-Bernie Sanders, the progressive caucus will be hard pressed to maintain, let alone grow their support. Most of all we’re all going to be reminded that 99% of the time political currents are incredibly glacial.
@@HamishDuh2nd By 2046, my prediction is Qc separatists will be dead and the province will become a bigger NB speaking some kind of Franglish. Either way, I don't care, I know I'll have moved out from there by then
The part about 90s Italy being divided because of differences between northern Italy and southern Italy is a bit more complicated. During the 90s Italy went under a big chain of changes and it’s often marked as the beginning of a new historical period there. Maybe you could look up at what happened between 92’ and 94’, I think it could be interesting enough to be covered in a video or in a TH-cam short.
Hey JJ, I know your "Leader of every country" idea didn't turn out as interesting as you wanted it to, but maybe do a video series on the FIRST leader of every country? I think that might be pretty interesting.
Is it just me or was his prediction about the US: "there will be growing inequality due to poor economic planning on big business/the government's part, also people who blame big business/the government for their problems are whiny"?
Yeah, I didn't get that. Clearly, those people just want something done about our systemic economic inequality. But I guess you'd have to live here to really understand the sentiment.
Well jj and the writer are both conservatives that hate left wing populism. Jj’s statement that he was unbiased in his predictions is absurd and really really shows his bias. Ironic that he doesn’t catch himself.
Late stage Capitalism is not a Prediction of the future, it was never used to predict that by the end of it Capitalism will be no more, it is simply used to refer to perceived injustices and inequality in modern buisness development, late stage capitalism can also be said to be simply a chapter of Capitalism that in like Video Games has many different levels I love you man, but I recommend you read the book by Ernest Mandel, called “Late Capitalism”
What about "The Book of Predictions" by David Wallechinsky, Amy Wallace and Irving Wallace - some of the predictions in there were clearly the result of people dropping acid.
"Productive and whiny" - this is wrong. There is a section of the US that have gone from productive corporations to corporations focused on rent-seeking and shifting as much unearned wealth as they can to their balance sheets. Some people are "whiny" about things like identity politics, but there is a very justified portion of the US complaining that these mega corporations are now becoming a drag on the economy rather than an engine for productivity.
There is very obviously a whiny element of American society that doesn’t want to take responsibility for themselves and instead always blames others. It hardly seems worth debating.
@@JJMcCullough Just more scapegoating I see. Easy to blame the "moral failings" of others and not actually look at the systematic and structural causes to the issues America is facing (i.e. the widening wealth inequality).
@@JJMcCullough Sure, I'll concede that those people exist, but it is hardly the defining aspect of the era. I would say a much greater aspect of current US politics is the fight for universal healthcare and a living wage.
@@JJMcCullough I know its easy to take your own worldview for granted but this is pretty clearly an unexpounded assertion that helps form ideology to a degree, like when I was younger it was just one of the kind of stock phrases I heard in a way that just became an omnipresent cliche but as I got older I began to grow to understand in a different way beyond just like, old people complaining I guess in any case I guess that can lead to people not examining their own biases
@@JJMcCullough what is hardly seems worth debating is that the stock market crashes every 10 years and there's high income inequality all around the world and that socialism in inevitable.
11:10 That's actually very true. Although we see larger states of California and New York see a growing homeless populations, there is a lot of regions in the country that could easily pass for 3rd world countries. This is because many regions had an industry they used to thrive on only to see those industries move away to another country and see the once huge factory or factories in town shut down one by one leaving the towns on the brink of becoming ghost towns. In 2008, when GM nearly went bankrupt, a lot of cities with GM plants nearly lost their whole population and small business like for example diners that were nearby the GM plants slowly went out of business too because there was a chain reaction.
There was a pretty great comic about the U.S./Canada water war that came out a few years ago, titled "We Stand on Guard" I'd definitely recommend it if you're into that sort of thing.
Literally in 2020 we saw the beginning of water conflicts over water dams in Africa and in Asia, so it's not a small problem. Also 9:26 did the Kaliningrad Oblast gain independence? xD
My prediction is lab grown meat will become cheaper than farm raised and most people will switch to it at that point. This will result in a significant amount of land currently being used to grow animal feed being returned to nature.
Great video. As you said to place predictions here, I started typing that "In 25 years, J.J. McCullough will be the leader of the U.S.-Canadian merger movement " but then you interrupted my typing with your "President of Canada" line, and now I have to think about it some more.
I appreciate your channel because you clearly strive to prevent your political biases and philosophical beliefs from coloring your videos. While most other channels and media are becoming increasingly politically polarized, you manage to remain fair and balanced, for the most part.
I'd have to agree 100%.. I found his channel during the Canadian elections to get a better perspective but found I could really relate and look up to JJ in many ways. Such a great channel.
I think his political beliefs definitely bled through a little at the end there, what with calling the people using their right to freedom of speech to call out real and serious problems in our society "whiny". I find that to be a little disingenuous.
It was just the conventional wisdom in the '90s that trade and increasing wealth in a country would lead to social and political liberalization. Unlike a society of isolated communities of peasants just scrapping by, the thinking went, one of literate, globally-connected, mostly middle-class people wouldn't tolerate being bossed around by a central dictatorship and would want to have some say in the politics. And so pretty much everyone expected China to liberalize and become more like Japan and South Korea as its economy took off. Not a crazy expectation if you think about it. But it just hasn't happened. The Chinese are a little special.
@@nonmagicmike723 I'm pretty sure that the federalization was the thing OP was aiming at. If the people of a country are easily connected to each other, the need for federalization vanishes. In fact, I predict that due to the presence of the internet, the countries will become more... not necessarily centralized, but less federalized, (maybe 'united' is the word I'm going for?) as people associate themselves more with those that share similar interests and values as themselves, rather than people that happen to be geographically close to them.
@@2712animefreak I guess so. But we can't really know unless the people truly have a say in their politics. Then, maybe they'll want to have more wiggle room in deciding their local policies, and maybe they'll want to give those long-persecuted ethnic minorities a greater deal of autonomy; in which case, China will become less centralized. Or maybe they just like central government deciding all for all and double down on the same. It's true that regionalism and regional nationalism in the US has lessened. But the role of state and local politics hasn't. That's because even though a conservative Texan will feel greater affinity towards a conservative Californian than towards a liberal fellow Texan, the idea that "Texas should remain red" is still very much on the back of his mind. So there's still a great deal of political consciousness when it comes to individual states and localities. Only difference today is instead of North vs. South, it's Democrats vs. Republicans wanting to defend their state political turfs.
@@nonmagicmike723 even as a kid, I was highly sceptical of the notion that economic liberalization and increased trade would somehow magically end the one party police state in China. China should’ve been pressured into ending its one party autocracy before we ever open the doors to unfiltered trade and the outsourcing of industry, now we can’t put that genie back in the bottle.
Eh, wasn't a stretch given what was going on in the world in the 90s. "Loose" is undefined; you could call the US a loose federation, which by any world standard it is. I think the main sticking point with such a prediction which he didn't really take into account, is that it's easy to centralise power (and governments love doing that) but it's harder to *de*centralise power without a lot of instability and risk. I guess the UK did it on some level, otherwise most federations are either getting closer or they're in the process of more or less collapsing.
these predictions are not entirely devoid of ideology. He only seems "moderate" because his ideas align nicely with neoliberal capitalism. the last prediction in the video was the best evidence for this.
Yeah, I agree. I haven't seen too many of this guys videos but the fact that he smuggly dismissed the concept of people making predictions based on ideology and acted like he was some galaxy brain who observed the world as it really is just made him look like an idiot to me. He doesn't even realize his own beliefs are ideologically fueled.
Ideological: "Late-stage capitalism" Not ideological: "the robust individual self-reliance that created US capitalism and helped make it the richest country in the world"
Correction: Self-reliance that allowed a small fraction of the US population to become the richest people in the world, the lower 90% of the US population lives in conditions similar to the rest of the developed world.
@@JJMcCullough America isn't rich because it strong-arms other countries into unfair deals and has a legacy of slavery and colonialism, don't be ridiculous. America is rich because of its plucky, can-do attitude.
He wasn't ENTIRELY wrong about water shortages. Lake Mead in Nevada in the U.S. is drying up, which essentially provides a lot of the southwest with fresh water. Similarly, Kazakhstan has a lake drying up. Also, the Sahara is increasing slowly in size.
8:24 "political outsider". With a french perspective, I can assure you he is not. He was in the PS party before (formerly the main left party), and his mandate is rather the same that we could have 14 years before with Sarkozy (right). His political ideology is Liberalism, quite different as a "rebel" I would say... Regarding the next 2022 election, possible coalitions might occure between left parties and so and alliance between Macron (En Marche party) and the LR party (main right party). All that to say french is definitelly in the good old V Republic. NB: some political parties are indeed in favour of developing a new Republic.
I feel like his prediction on individualist capitalism vs "whiny" elements is a little bad. It genuinely ignores the disadvantages many working and middle class people have as well as the disadvantages people with disabilities and people of color face. Sure you can blame individual people for their actions but also on a bigger scale one person is only capable of so much. Sometimes it really is the government's fault for, say, lying everybody into war, sometimes it is the insurance company's fault for predatory practices, sometimes it is businesses fault for stuff like the great recession (which certainly wasnt helped by government). I feel like the dude is somewhat elitist but I dont know him personally so idk. He does have a point with what he says but I feel he goes too far in the other direction with it.
Also partially ignores the fact that increased automation does lead to diminished work opportunities to people. Wherein previously factory work could have provided a good living to a larger number of the population, it no longer does. Not everybody will or can have marketable skills in today's chancing economical landscape and calling these people whiny without acknowledging the background is something that I find problematic.
JJs point on Marxism/Marxists only having an "Ideological Theory of Inevitability" and not an analysis of how the real world is kind of shows what little knowledge he actually has about Marxist theory. He could have given even a small argument against how Marxist predictions came about, but to say that the predictions were formed with no pretense is simply false :/
Most people that criticize other ideologies rarely engage with the ideology in any meaningful way. Modern people's attention spans are too short and they like easy answers that don't challenge their views.
Marxism has always been a a theory of linear history. It was obviously informed by observation at one time, but these days orthodox Marxist very much have to constantly contort or modify or water down aspects of Marx’s original analysis, and ignore a great deal of contrary evidence, in order to make the theory still “work” as a useful frame of analysis today.
@@JJMcCullough Is that not what every ideology does in the face of change? So no one is allowed to alter beliefs if presented with more empirical analysis that suggests otherwise aspects of the theory despite the theory at large being still the underlying rationale? Contemporary Marxism has strayed from classic Marxism, sure, but that is how theory evolution works. Theoretical deviations don't invalidate the prevailing theory.
Great video JJ. Super informative and entertaining, I loved the theatrics. I'm thinking of picking the book up for myself. Seems quite interesting. I predict that we will successfully fight climate change in the future and get CO² emissions to the lowest possible levels. Also I predict that we will have made the complete transition to sustainable transportation and energy all across the globe.
I was a "Goldbug" myself. Specifically a "Silver Stacker". Had $1500 worth of silver at one point. Then my car broke down, and i had to sell my metal at a loss. I still kick myself for not investing that money in the market, or an early IRA. I even did research at the time, but NOOOO; I had to listen to the theorists when they said "Out money is slowly becoming worthless!"
Can't wait for the next installment of this video in 2046... see you there everyone!
I'm not sure if I will live that long becaue I love Bacon to much but I hope J.J. will keep making videos for a long time. Sorry for ruining your perfect 69(nice!)
I’ll make sure to like my own comment in 2046.
see you, greetings from bologna
President of Canada, eh? Breaking ties with the Commonwealth? Sort of a prediction of your own, JJ.
count me in
I watch The Onion for accurate predictions about the future
Lol in 2016 former governor Arnold Schwarzenegger endorsed former first lady Hillary Clinton to become president over Republican candidate Donald Trump. Who would have guessed Naked Gun 2000 would have been the most accurate vision of the future!
Based
Do you mean this video?
th-cam.com/video/iKC21wDarBo/w-d-xo.html
r/nottheonion
C H watches The Onion for accurate predictions about the future
I predict that by 2035, most people will be 14-15 years older than they are today
Damn that’s interesting can’t wait 14-15 years to find out
@El Globo 😁
Amazing! XD
Ballsy move
can't wait to see if it's true !!!!
"Even if I'm President of Canada."
Um, JJ, don't you mean "Prime Minister of Canada"? Or are you making another prediction about the future?
Either the Queen is immortal or a chunk of the Commonwealth is gonna strong republican movements when Charles becomes king.
The Americans are getting to him 😔 🤚
@@caffeinatedlinux It is possible although that is yet to be seen. The Crown hasn't done him any favours though.
He said it with such a smirk, he knows exactly what he's saying 😛 And he's probably not wrong: 2046 is a long way away.
@@caffeinatedlinux I highly doubt Charles would be able to keep his own UK throne for a long time . He is despised by the public and would very much try to interfere in government .
I’ll be voting J.J. as president of Americanada in 2046
We all should and will.
eliminate quebec
@@andknuckles101
Just grant them independence and let them do their own thing.
Quebec and Texas will be independant
I won’t be voting for someone who talks like that, too Canadian and goofy
I think everyone forgot around the end of 2019 when we were joking around about how they was going to be a plague in 2020,Just like 1720,1820 and 1920.
Yeah I remember telling that to my friend, and told her that nothing will happen.
I did _not_ know that was a thing
How many pandemics have there been outside of years with ‘20’.
Spanish flu was 1918 to 1920 although did not completely go away as some people die from flu every year.
Well it's an evitable every 100 years there's always a plague I don't like it we could've stop the spread faster but it's just one of those nature things
"...let's hear some of your calm, moderate predictions"
JJ TO HAVE HAIR LONG ENOUGH TO TOUCH HIS ANKLES
His hair was shoulder-length in 2005, in 2010, in 2015, and today. There's no trend of longer hair predicting this outcome.
He has white hair now :0
Then J. J. changes professions and becomes the Moscovite Metropole!
JJ continues to mindlessly bounce up and down while speaking.
@@eddiewillers1 I’m using my mind when I do it!!
I predict that all the oil rich Middle Eastern countries will collapse in the next 2 decades. Two reasons - one, they are too reliant on one resource that will eventually lose its value in a world increasingly moving towards clean fuel. And two, 80% of their population is comprised and run by expats from South Asia who are not given any rights of equal residency or citizenship - once the economy dries up, they will have no stake or reason to stay, while the local unskilled population is incapable of running a country on their own. I’m willing to bet my last penny on this prediction.
Hey we'll all be back here in 2046.
See you then!
@@SalutExpla it’s a deal :-)
@@mohamedfaizan9844 heck yes!
@@HamishDuh2nd that may be true - but James, a country is not only a sum of its resources. The people matter. Imagine if 80% of your economic engine is only working for hire, and have no stake in the country’s future. The way they treat their migrant population is nothing less than modern day slavery - it will bite these countries back when they actually need them
@@mohamedfaizan9844 why I’m not looking forward to Qatar 2022... pure corruption and all the stadiums have been built with modern day slave labor
I think in the next 20 or so years, we're going to see a steady increase in conditions like depression and anxiety all throughout the western world. We'll reach a state where going to a therapist and taking medication will be considered as normal as going to the dentist, in comparison to a time like the 1950s where people really looked at you funny for that sort of thing. As such, we'll see many new mental health facilities being opened up to cater to this need and increasing integration of mental health care and technology, such as telemedicine. Mental health care in various forms, more or less formal, will increasingly become a huge and very profitable industry. Currently, there's a common belief that things like depression are a result of some moral failing, or the result of spending too much time on the computer, etc, but as time goes by, the older generation (who often find these kinds of mental health struggles hard to relate with) dies and more and more people are treated with these conditions, the prevailing attitude will just be that depression and anxiety are simply facts of life that everyone has to deal with.
That's fucking horrible. Sounds like society in general has gone to shit.
@@gmodrules123456789 I idk governments have neglected mental health for far too long, I know even England has a minister for loneliness so it's definitely a possibility unless authorities take the mental health crisis serious
and thats not happenig now ??
@@RealBadGaming52 It is, I am extrapolating that the trend will continue
Sounds nice, honestly. Maybe it'll be cheaper to get a therapist, maybe there won't be as much of a negative stigma around getting help for your problems, and maybe therapy and medication will be more advanced by then. Instead of just bottling it up and pretending it isn't a thing we could have better quality of life on a larger scale. Or... maybe that won't happen. Who knows?
I love how in the quote sections, the font/typeface chosen is very typical of the mid 80s to 90s commercials. A very nice touch.
by the year 2046 I predict JJ will have so much memorabilia that behind him that they will unite into one sentient being which will provide colorful interjections during videos
I predict that he'll get a second house just for his memorabilia.
(Dominion Voting Systems + George Soros's Tides + Federal Infrastructure Minister's financed NGO's) +(215 Spadina Ave,, Toronto) = Digital electoral fraud + coup d'état on sitting US President
@@jeanpoutine9824 There was a recount of Dominion voting machines that confirmed that the paper ballots matched the digital records. The other factors you mentioned have no apparent connection to vote counts. Therefore, the factors you mention collectively changed the vote counts by zero votes.
Also, your comment is off-topic.
@@BradyPostma You're asleep, just food.
@@jeanpoutine9824 You offer no proof. If you were right, you'd have at least some proof.
If I'm asleep, why are you talking to me? Who talks to sleeping people?
I predict that by 2046 computers will be twice as powerful, 10,000 times larger, and so expensive that only the five richest kings in Europe will own them.
"Only the five richest kings in Europe"
That is,if there will be five or more kings in Europe
@Ilyass Abbad "Eventually there will be only five Kings left in the world: Hearts, Diamonds, Spades, Clubs, and the King of England." - King Fahd of Saudi Arabia.
@@SylviusTheMad it won't be the king of England, but still queen Elizabeth II
Wait about computer dating?
I predict Queen Elizabeth will still be around.
The great thing about writing a book predicting the future is that you can sell it two times: once at publish date and once after prediction date!
It's GENIUS!!!
A lot of books these days are available online for free. Therefore, once again technology has usurped that expectation.
@@NotShowingOff bruh, you could just sell it online for money
ok im too stupid to understand this-
@@roofogato prediction book: I think this will happen.
Post that timeframes predicted: What did I tell you? Nobody is smart but me!
Some of my predictions for 2046:
Energy:
A majority of global electricity production will be from renewable sources, though fossil fuels and nuclear will still provide significant fractions, and there will be several countries where internal combustion engine vehicles are straight up illegal. The biggest sources of renewable energy will be very cheap wind and solar, probably followed by hydro (which will have seen little or no cost reduction compared to now). Geothermal and marine energy also have the potential to deliver huge amounts of power sustainably, but I'm not sure 25 years is enough time to scale them up. It's plausible thermodynamically viable fusion will exist, but it'll be a very small part of the global energy economy if it does.
There will still be a large market for oil, but it'll be shrinking and today's energy exporting countries will have suffered severe financial strains, in some cases consigning their populations to decades of stagnating or declining living standards.
Demographics:
The number of children born per year worldwide has been more or less constant since the 1980s, so by 2046, global population growth will have slowed to a crawl. The average age of the global population will have increased a lot and many of today's middle income countries (almost certainly including China) will have shrinking populations.
Geopolitics:
I hope I'm wrong about this part, but I expect China will become a semi-pariah state with a stagnant economy and an ossifying autocratic political system. If you tried to explain the levels of optimism many people, including myself, had towards China in the early 2010s to most teenagers in 2046, they would look at you askance.
The United States will remain the world's most powerful country, though never with the kind of influence it had at the start of the century. India and Africa will be much more important on the global stage than they are now. The EU will not have changed too drastically, since Ukraine is the only large country that still has much chance of joining; the UK will also have a constituency for rejoining but by this time it will mostly be aging eccentrics and both major parties will be explicitly committed to staying out.
Other:
Some crewed missions may have reached the moon or Mars, but the current space colonization fad will have been quietly abandoned once policymakers remember these worlds are unimaginably remote and inhospitable wastelands and no, I don't think I'm being too harsh there.
In some developed countries, Vegans and Vegetarians will be over 10% of the population, possibly over 20%.
Most countries, including many African and Middle Eastern countries, will be noticeably less religious than they were in 2020.
COVID will still exist in isolated pockets and cause sporadic outbreaks, but wont materially affect most people's lives.
Life in most of today's Least Developed Countries will have improved significantly.
Late 2010s/early 2020s nostalgia will be near its peak.
I would say something about the colonization thing, by 2025 NASA plans to come back to the moon, so if it won't be Mars, it certainly will be our satellite to be colonized
Your predictions are strange to me because sometimes they seem too fast and sometimes they seem too slow. 15 years is both astronomically long and incredibly short at the same time. Predictions like 20% of people being vegan seem so unlikely to me because in 15 years, it's mostly going to be my generation "in charge" in their 40s as it were, and most of them are uninterested in making that change and so are the younger people I see. Same with the climate predictions, we're still expanding so much I just can't imagine that we would finally start building the infrastructure we would need to get to that point within the next few years. However I also have to thank you, because the predictions did allow me to imagine a world where we decided to DO something. It did help it seem more possible and I have some hope for the future now.
@@w1ckedn0nsense34 Many predictions for climate change are both depressing and full of hope: the renewable thing is a big one because it's true that is growing exponentially, never before being sustainable made so much economically sense as it is now
Nuclear is renewable
@@josephlehman1242 Not unless we're ignoring the meaning of the term and just using "renewable" as a general term for being environmentally unproblematic. New actinide reserves aren't being generated in the Earth at all, much less regenerated on human time scales, in fact without human intervention they would still be very slowly decaying into lead.
Personally though, I'm becoming increasingly inclined to say "renewable" just isn't a very helpful classification; much clearer probably to just divide primary energy sources into combustion and non-combustion.
Eh. I think when it comes to the water shortage prediction, McRae might’ve been wrong if he was talking about North America, but in other places in the world, the threat of a water shortage is very real, as he predicted. South Africa’s water shortage and irrigation issues and the dam dispute between Egypt and Ethiopia, which came close to starting a war last summer, are prime examples of this.
I think the reality is that the water shortage issues aren’t as widespread as McRae might’ve thought, but I definitely wouldn’t say they aren’t a concern right now in the world, or, at the very least, that they aren’t going to escalate sometime in the near future.
Agreed. And throughout North America, there are pockets where fresh water sources are indeed a major concern. Most of them are occupied by cities and towns that the mainstream media doesn't pay attention to, but the problem is there and growing.
Yeah, I feel like JJ's dismissal of this is a little short-sighted
@@enricobortolazzo2651 well it is a very western perspective so I understand for not really giving a proper oversight of other regions
Fresh water is very much a concern in the USA it's just the majority of people are ignoring it and will continue to do so till the effects of no fresh water affect them.
The West US already has severe water shortage issues
I love this channel because it feels like you are actually there, sitting around the campfire with him, rather than just listening to a story or taking a lecture.
Kind of impressive that he predicted *Parasite* would win best picture, wow
Yeah but is it as accurate as Time-Traveler Noah’s prediction about Canada in 2030?!
TTN admitted he made it all up smh
Wow, what a plot twist!
Bruh TTN lied?
@@JJMcCullough Who'd a thunk it?
@@JJMcCullough it was actually pretty obvious that he lied
His personal feelings may have slipped in a bit at the end. Just a lil bit.
Yeah, it dabbled a bit into Ayn Rand-ian territory there.
@@alexsheppard153 yeah I love JJs commentary but there's parts where you can tell
are y'all butthurt here or what ? This thread seems kinda whiny, idk...
@@ЙунгСангРа Um, you seem to be whining about the fact that not everyone agrees with the guy in the video.
@@greywolf7577 u misunderstood my astonishment of how can someone actually get that low
"A _vision_ of 2020"
It's such a shame that this pun can never really be used again.
"I can't remember what I did X years ago, I don't have 2020 vision"
Have you heard the one that goes "Hindsight is 20/20 and 2020 is a b****?"
The Siiiiiiiiiiiiimpsoooons!
Can’t predict the future.
lol I see what you did there
Don't say that 🤔 hmm I'm still waiting for one of the episodes to come true 🤣🤣
The Simpsons throw an arrow and people draw a target around it.
It mocks our present follies so well, we end up thinking it predicted them at a later date.
We simply failed to learn from the mistakes of the past and ended up repeating them.
The entire world sees the crimes being committed by corrupt Canadian governments, but most Quebecers still refuse to see what's going on and and why evil prevails in Quebec, because the occult is not something hidden, it is what you refuse to see, here:. www.bitchute.com/video/U4uCpQjHUk5N/
Le monde entier voit les crimes commis par des gouvernements corrompus du Québec, mais la plupart des Québécois refusent toujours de voir ce qui se passe et pourquoi le mal prévaut au Québec, parce que l'occulte n'est pas quelque chose de caché, c'est ce que vous refusez de voir.. ici: www.bitchute.com/video/U4uCpQjHUk5N/
I always love hearing how predictions play out several years later
Same it’s very interesting
If you noticed though none of the climate “alarmists” predictions ever come true.
@@heinrichbier4759 That's because many of the predictions were made to give a sense of urgency, if only we had listened back then and already started making changes. The earlier we fix our long term problems the better.
@@heinrichbier4759 Many "alarmists" were making predications about climate change back in the 80s, and we are now seeing the consequences. McRae is quoted as saying the effects of climate change would be ignored for a generation - he was right about that.
@@andrewjones2132 yeap I was an alarmist myself once. I received a degree in Biology with honours and marine and freshwater biology from a “prestigious” Canadian University that is rife with group think constantly pushing doomsday scenarios. In the 70’s the “consensus” was we were entering a “little ice age”. There was few really cold winters that also coincided with the oil embargo and group think about “peak oil”.
Or how about the Maldives should have been completely under water 20 years ago and then 10 years ago.
Climate change is of course a real thing. Climate is by definition equates to change. Believing we can “control” climate by trying to manipulate only factor, CO2 (and not the largest factor), is like believing vaccines can save us all from a virus... Climate is so complex it’s beyond arrogant to think we can somehow control it to the point where it will remain static indefinitely.
Just more invisible boogie men to create fear and panic which keeps us all distracted and divided as the CCP and the Globalists destroy democracy...
As far as future predictions go, I'd say McRae did pretty well.
@@alexsheppard153 Glad I wasn't the only one who picked up on that.
He is perhaps too optimistic about America. Our political divisions seem to be getting worse. And despite what he says, common sense isn't prevailing, and the unproductive members of society (both on the left and right) seem to be getting louder and angrier. I see no resolution to this.
@@jimmym3352 Be the change you want to see. Encourage unity and instill common sense. The foundation of our country starts at the individual after all.
Better than most predictors I've come across.
Aren’t all predictions about the future?
My prediction for 2046 is that there would have involved some sort of military conflict with China. I don't know if I'd go as far to say all out war but there will be some escalated aggression. I do think that some diseases such as HIV/AIDS and some minor forms of cancer will have cures. I think that life between now and 2046 won't look terribly different and won't look like some Sci-Fi movie (the movie GATTACA comes to mind for some unknown reason). However, I do think most people will have to put more effort into searching for meaning in their lives as technological advances will mean that we would possibly have more free time on our hands as machines do more of the menial & repetitive work than the jobs of the past. I do see some professions just disappearing altogether and being replaced by machines such as accounting. Retail stores will mostly be replaced by showrooms and people would just order their desired items online. Supermarkets will follow the Amazon/Wholefoods model of having very few human employees and mostly rely on technology for purchases/transactions to take place with customers rather than queuing up at a checkout. I do think interest in cars will drop as more people will use public transport in urban areas and cars will just be for hobbyists and people who live in remote areas.
For cars, its more likely that there will be a lot more autonomous cars, eventually leading to an autonomous taxi service. Since there would be no driver, it would be a cheap service so most people will opt to not buy a car. Tesla plans on making it mainstream by 5 years, but imo its going to take 10 years
Cool prediction. I agree with you.
I think this prediction could very well come true
I agree with all of your predictions except the China one (because MAD is a thing)
A vaccine cure for cervical cancer which is mostly effective was announced
Although he was pretty neutral in his predictions, he seemed pretty biased when he talked about American politics lol
Yeah, the last quote really spoke volumes about where he stood. As does JJ's productive vs. whiners remark tbh.
I mean it sounds like what's going on truth be told, whether or not you like the framing of it. There is the increasing socialist movements in the young, the rise of intersectionality and general woke culture, all things that can and have been framed as the culture war between the whiney and self reliant, even if you'd argue unfairly so.
I agree, it almost felt like you knew who he was talking about without saying conservative and liberal. While that prediction was most likely targeted at conservatives being productive and liberals not, you can really apply that theory in either direction. Conservatives and liberals "whine" on about the same level just about different stuff. Liberal progress and conservative financial progress are different but are progress nonetheless. So saying one side will whine while one side wants progress goes both ways.
@@AB-yw9bd He said the whiny side are the people that feel "disadvantaged." Pretty sure there's not much other ways to interpret that other than taking a shot at minority groups.
@@jayjaybee JJ also opens his video by complaining about marx of all things and how his view of the future is wrong, when in reality most of what he said came true. It kind of bums me
Nothing to do with the video, but how many items of clothing does J.J. own? It seems he wears an outfit one video, and then a different outfit the next, with neither being worn again in videos...
I’m glad you noticed that.
@Consensual Buttrape Owning different clothing isn't a skill. Putting outfits together is.
JJ clearly hasn't looked at the Middle East and Ethiopia and Egypt for water wars
India and China are also starting to point fingers and guns at one another, the main cause seemingly being water
Those are not primarily due to climate change though. At least in India and China, that conflict has been ongoing for basically centuries.
@@mckaystarr789 If you heard JJ speak it wasn't about climate change but rather population growth and ever growing need for water. While climate change most certainly does effect modern water wars, some didn't need a changing climate as a catalyst. I know several US states are going through lengthy legal battles as well, and another good place of conflict for water is in central Asia in the soviet mess countries.
The joy of a new JJ video now also includes to see how his hair has gotten longer :D
just want to clarify because there may have been a bit of misinformation about one third into the video
about 'alternative energy' the facts are that solar is THE cheapest form of energy and there are no safety concerns with the use of solar energy,
wind is cheaper than coal but cannot be sustained without government funding as solar can be at this point, there are safety concerns with wind but they area less than the safety problems we know are associated with fossil fuels.
that is all
the “tug of war” prediction seems pretty biased in how he portrays one group against another.
Yeah he's trying to portray working class struggle as just a bunch of whiney people who don't want to take responsibility.
@@KarlSnarks I think that categorization could just as easily be applied to certain elements of the right as of the left. Those who blame everything on immigrants, for example.
@@koodscood3027 Good point, but I wasn't necessarily talking about left/right. The problem with it is how the writer frames it, the people who criticize the state or big business for systemic issues that disadvantages them (low minimum wages, bad working conditions, expensive healthcare etc.) are considered complainers even though the issues are very real.
I do think there genuinely are people (both on the left and the right) that just complain because they don't want to take responsibility for their lives, but most people who're struggling in life do so because of bad circumstances (often created by the failings of the system). However, the author (as it seems to me, because of the framing) basically says "If you don't succeed in life it's because you didn't pull yourself up by the bootstraps and complained"
I could be misinterpreting it, but I don't think so.
Btw, I do believe that even if you're disadvantaged because of matters outside of your influence, you should still do everything in your power to improve your life, both individually (improving yourself, building financial security if possible etc.) and collectively (organizing protests, taking part in mutual aid, unionizing etc.)
@@KarlSnarks are most people struggling because of a "bad circumstance" not under their control? I would say no.
@@MentalGainsthis is a bit of a long message but I think we can have a fair discussion about this, I'm not trying to fight you, this is my perspective on the issue.
I would say many people absolutely are disadvantaged in ways that make it inherently more difficult for them to work their way into the middle class. Corporations take advantage of people, underpay them, and fire them for unionizing.
Systemic inequality is very much a real issue, climbing out of poverty is extremely difficult as one gets caught in a cycle of working their asses off to pay the bills and then have no money left to put into a savings account for the future, especially those without any support system and those who have people dependant on them, whether that be children or elderly parents.
The Healthcare system is flawed to a ridiculous level, to the point that even people who have saved up money their entire lives and who would have been able to retire comfortably wind up paying out their entire life savings because of a health concern. Medications that cost $10 to produce cost $1,000 dollars a month because private corporations own the patents to those medications and overcharge for them because they are necessary for someone with a chronic illness to remain a living, human person.
College prices are so high that the return on a college degree, especially if you have to take out student loans to pay it, are very often not even worth getting the degree. I think we can both agree that those who are born into families with the financial ability to pay for their degrees are significantly more likely to be able to start saving their money at an earlier age, this is a straightforward and easy to agree upon example of systemic inequality. This is especially exacerbated by the fact that many people are born into disadvantaged families and, even if what you are saying is true, the child did not have the ability to choose when and to whom they were born. With our grade school education system so inherently based on class which is influenced by geography, this puts children born into a poor family at a disadvantage at a very young age. They don't get to choose how they are raised, and without good programs in place to help raise them to be good citizens, it's understandable that many of them do not become so.
I could go on.
There are things people can do to improve their lives, yes, but with a system that makes that increasingly difficult as time goes on, at what point does the disadvantage you are born into make it nearly impossible to fully climb out of poverty? Especially if you have more than one, or even all, of the issues I've listed here.
I love it when someone makes a reasonable prediction and has facts to back it up. My best example is you, because you are so calm and informative.
8:38 To be honest, Emmanuel Macron was in the incumbent party before leaving it and is a former banker, so his election is not that big of a shock. However, it's true that many people are today pushing for a sixth republic, like Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who finished fourth with 19% of the votes in 2017.
well, I'd say that the constitution doesn't need to change for the hole political system to change. In many parts of europe it appears as the big moderat partys in power since the war are declining and beeing replaced by more extrem and less stable partys (in France that is the fall of the konservativs and the socialists and the rise of the front national and macrons and melochons partys)
Imagine if the 2017 runoff election had been between Mélenchon and Le Pen.
@@pascalausensi9592 Based, finally putting those libs to the test whether they prefer socialism or barbarism.
I feel like we could have our first millennial president in 10 years.
We could've had it this year... pete buttigieg
I want a younger leader I don't want any old farts.
It could be in 4 years, if a republican is elected or if Biden decides not to run again
@Willy Nilly Lmao as if Boomers are doing a good job... Have you seen the state of this country?
@@65mcman it better not be josh hawley aka a traitor
Evidence suggests that Waluigi will be added into smash bros by the year 2030
Based.
#ImWithWah
Not happening
@@BitchChill there is hope
I predict that in the future, people around the world will be eating and drinking at around 12-1pm on most days, roughly during the time and occasion we currently call lunch...
Many hot countries have siesta then and they'll eat later. Interval fasting might still be thing too.
To be fair that dudes predictions seem to be a little bit affected by his conservative ideology too.
He is mostly affected not by his conservaturism which he is definitely in some part, but mainly by his historical stagnation
It was pretty popular ik the 90s they thought the world had reached peak history and that the future will be like the 90s but with slowly better technology, which is totally wrong
How so?
It looks like he was mostly right, though.
@@alezar2035 lol that’s what I thought too...totally wrong
Agreed lol. I think that largely they sounded pretty tame but saying that one side of Americans will be self reliant/motivated and the other side will be “whiny and blaming/suing institutions such as insurance companies, corporations, etc”..... lmao, need I go on?! (I will.)
Def conservative dog whistling and once again the people (conservatives) claiming to be the defenders and harbingers of personal liberty snd freedom defending these ENORMOUSLY POWERFUL entities that have some degree of control over all of us and then blaming the people (liberals) that speak out against it (which is utilizing one of our enshrined personal liberties, btw).
So that’s how I think it’s skewed a little by the guys personal politics.
What do you mean this guys writing wasn't in some way motivated by his political beliefs when he literally said one side of politics would be reliable and establish strong, rich capitalism and the other side would be whiney.
One thing I don't like about this channel. J.J. seems to only be concerned if the political beliefs aren't aligned with his. If they are than they are fairly balanced. If not? Then something something whiny. Love this channel but that's a big hypocritical turnoff.
My exact thoughts. "Whether you're on the left or right, you could agree..." Um, no? That was a very obviously right wing sentiment made by the author.
@@GarrettMerkin All he did was read what the author said. He clearly wasn't interested in arguing with people who are going to take offense and whine about being called whiney.
@@nelsongibson114 Disagree, he said a theme of whiney vs. productive. You could absolutely see mainstream conservatism as whiny people who refuse to change and mainstream progressivism as productive and improving society. I'm sure most progressives see Ben Shapiro as whiney.
I predict that in 2046 the EU will be somewhat larger with at least more of the former Yugoslav republics joining but likely it will be at most moderately more integrated than today. So basically I think the trend predicted by McRae will continue for the time being.
Personaly, I think it will be a lot more like the early US in 2046, mainly based on the fact that you start seeing Eurofederalists poping on social media, meaning the idea becomes more accepted.
It would still be diffrent states, but thet would have a economic, and foreign policy union, as well as a common military.
@@Somajsibere To me, that seems quite uncertain (though still possible). You might see a lot of federalists but there's a lot of eurosceptics too on social media and a quarter of a century might prove too short a schedule for such a change.
@@seneca983 The way I see it is simple, for the most part even Euroskeptick parties abandoned their leave the EU stances(see Marine Le Pen who abandoned this stance in 2019, well not completly, she now wants the EU to remain as it is) meaning the entire populatio moved towards eurofederalism.
Also not to mention the EU isn t there for the good feelings of cooperation anymore. It is a real solution to real problems that plague Europe.
Also worth noting is that by early US I mean US before 1812, back when the nation was still a confederacy, and the states were more like countries.
Surprisingly not too diffrent from EU now.
@@Somajsibere "for the most part even Euroskeptick parties abandoned their leave the EU stances"
But they can still likely delay further integration. Things like common defense take time. The early US was much looser than today but it did have a common defense as it got one from the get-go.
@@seneca983 I mean you are right, but by 2046 it will probably a thing, that is why I say that by 2046 will be like early USA.
I mean there is a common border agency, in the form of Frontex.
Edit: Also a lot of Euroskeptics are euroskeptics because they are nationalists, and many of these people moved towards pan-european nationalism.
Weirdly enough I think they support a united military.
Gold bugs fail to recognize that there is inherent value in believing a currency is valuable even if it's just paper. If someone is willing to accept $1.50 for a cup of coffee or a candy bar then it has value based on people's willingness to accept it.
They also can't grasp the fact gold has no inherent value either.
@@arrgghh1555 I actually wish gold was no longer a prized jewelry material because it has so much better use in the sciences and engineering fields. It's expensive in those fields not only because it's inherently rare to some degree, but because it has such a high demand in being worn and adorned where it's not actually useful.
Not a gold bug, but for me an issue of abandoning the gold standard or just the principle that 'something tangible' must exist to back up the value of products is in financial trading. Things like investing on the dividends, credit swapping, cryptocurrencies are all completely, 100% reliant on the willingness to accept it has value. Its a circular abstraction of an abstraction (the 'value' behind them is based on confidence in the economic system, which is in turn based on continual investment). I think this is what Marx called insane money, since although financial value is being created when you do something credit swapping, its only on paper, there's often no utility value that comes out of it (like the development of some product or provision of a necessary service).
@@adamsfusion silver has more industrial uses than gold, that's one reason why it's cheaper. Silver is also more abundant than gold, but it's rare enough to hold value, albeit it fluctuates a ton. In the 1930s an ounce of silver was 25¢, in the late 70s it was $50. As of the writing of this comment, silver is just under $26 an ounce
I'm not a gold bug by any means but I support the idea of going back on the bimetallic system. $1 in 1898 had the buying power of $31 today, the dollar was backed by gold and the coins were worth thier face value in silver, hell the dollar was silver.
Imagine the look on J.J.'s face when he finally becomes emperor of West-Hemispheria
bruh i somehow got here 30 seconds after the upload
last time i was this early russia was an empire
bruh you use the Imperial Russian flag, you would know.
Don’t you mean Prussia
@@squamish4244 prussia and russia are different countries
@@ActuallyApollo No shit. I mixed up one eagle with another eagle. Sue me.
Actually the water part is true partly, Hoover dam is running out of water and most of the lakes in california are almost dry. If you live in California or Nevada this won’t effect you very much right now and if you don’t live in that area at all you’re good.
I love hearing how predictions play out
hey buddy nice stolen comment :)
Egypt is gonna experience a water crisis, with that Ethiopian Dam project.
True, but any of these disputes like between China and India in Tibet, stem from man-made disruption of natural waterways. I’m fairly certain the original predictions in the 90s stemmed from the belief that the future would have systematic shortages in fresh water supplies.
Because it’s more a crisis over inter-state resource sharing/cooperation, rather than something that is caused by overpopulation or a drying global climate.
11:53 While I agree with you that most of the analysis in this book seems to be commendably unbiased, this statement strikes me as belonging more to the bad type of prediction. That is, the statement is both very ideologically loaded and hasn't been fulfilled. We're definitely seeing a lot political polarization, a "tug of war," but the even if you accept the premise that leftists are just whiners, the idea that the current American right-wing zeitgeist represents rugged individualism is absurd. When I think "personal responsibility," I don't think of defiantly refusing to take precautions against a pandemic and storming the capital building because you can't admit you lost an election. Of course that's not all conservatives, but it is unfortunately the most powerful and influential strain of them for the last four years.
You are projecting a partisan bias onto his analysis that he didn’t say. There are plenty of whiners on the right wing. In fact I think his analysis is important precisely because it talks about a cleavage in attitudes, rather than philosophies. If you watch Tucker Carlson all he does is whine about rich and powerful people screwing conservatives.
@@JJMcCullough Thanks for the reply. I would think that if we're talking about a meaningful political battle at all, we must be talking about a partisan/tribal battle. Even if both the left and right have both responsible and irresponsible elements, at the end of the day the right-wingers tend to ally with right-wingers against left-wingers and vice versa. At least that's how it seems to work currently. (I will say that recently I've seen the hardcore Trumpists getting more and more pushback from within their own party. We'll see how that plays out in the longterm.)
I suppose I could be misreading the quote and it's more about a conflict inside people's heads between different cultural tendencies rather than in the real world between people who act out those tendencies. In that case I could see it as more plausible.
Very funny that he predicted that France would have ANOTHER revolution. I’ve also seen that his prediction about China is echoed by plenty of people who think that China will sort of decentralized or even Balkanize once the nations core leadership loses its power to any extent.
Also it seems like he thought that the culture war we have now would be waged more so by traditional conservatives against borderline Libertarians which is just sort of comedic to me.
10:34 that aged well
Yeah, I was about to say, that prediction was remarkably accurate.
The reason why more people didn't work from home, even though the technology existed to do so, was because employers thought that their employees wouldn't get their work done and would cheat. They wanted to keep them under their watchful eyes in an office. Well, the pandemic changed all of that and it turns out that people have been very productive working from home, and employers like the potential saving that could accrue from renting smaller office space. I predict more work-at-home opportunities in future, and something of a crash in the office real estate market, to go along with the decline in the need for retail stores, which is already underway.
J.J - I gotta say I watched probably the first 20 hours of your content with eyebrow firmly raised due to your previous adventures in Punditry on the Sun News Network.
However, I am continually impressed at the very reasonable narratives of politics and history on this channel. So much so that I share your primers on Canadian Governance and political history with friends and family that express interest.
So basically I'm writing this to say that if you admire an author like McRae you should be proud of how well you've done the same on this channel.
That being said I don't know how you and pundit you are the same person, but truly it doesn't matter. Your impact here is a benefit to anyone who follows you and I hope you're proud of what you are managing to accomplish.
Please keep up the great work. It's desperately needed.
*20 hours is hyperbole but it was a while.
The thing that struck me most is when you said “The much newer tendency for people to refuse to take responsibility for the consequences of their own actions and instead blame the state, big business, etc” can apply to both left and right mentalities. And the really funny thing is they BOTH see the other side with that mind set, yet the people with those tendencies are on both sides... interesting.
I’m a bit disappointed J.J. The idea of late stage capitalism doesn’t automatically mean capitalism has to end immediately. It means, just like any other economical system, thru time capitalism progresses thru different stages and eventually morphs into a different system. So as capitalism goes on inconsistencies start to build up, which make it harder for it to function, like for instance global warming. It can definitely hang on to power tho, thereby prolonging it’s existence.
What a nice birthday present! Thanks for all the videos, they have taught me a lot!
Happy Birthday.
Memes about the Simpson’s predicting are out! Memes about Hamish McRae using common sense to predict the future are in!
Man, we're already in the water crisis. Crop failures have been happening all over the world, and back when I still lived in brazil we had a year of water rationing 6 years ago because the reservoirs were below 0% capacity and drawing from emergency reserves. I don't doubt many people all around the world have similar stories.
You just happen not to notice because you live in a first world country.
president of canada, now with 50 additional provinces
He was suspiciously accurate, it would be interesting if you could do an interview with him
Ask him who wins all the horse races for the next few years.
for real if I could make a moderate prediction I can see the 2020s playing out very similarly to the 1920s with a few exceptions. I can see due to the pandemic we'll see an economic boom once life gets back to normal as people will be far more willing to live life to the fullest bringing back booms to any hospitality, restaurants, bars, nightclubs and such type businesses which do survive the pandemic.
Social change will still change to be more liberal as I can see especially things such as legalisation of weed and a change in the values of the police and prison systems being the key progress of this decade as gay marriage was to the 2010s. Additionally young peoples values such as classifying your pronouns and breaking down of gender barriers will be very normal as it's something we've come to accept as normal. Trump will try to come back in 2024 but lose to a more moderate candidate as most voters will still feel very strangely about his last year in office. The Dems on the other hand will likely try to transition to a more radical system as congress-women such as Omar and AOC become more influential in the shape of the party causing a trump 2016 like rift to form.
China and the US will start off a new cold war but not an ideological one such as capitalism vs communism but it will be over more specific issues such as china's treatment of muslims and hong kong, but more secretly it could be because the US is scared of Chinese imperialism spreading more across the third world and China is bitter about US companies going to countries where they can find cheaper labour as China itself transitions more into a black mirror type country with middle class lifestyle but a dystopian government still at the helm
In Europe, Scotland will leave the UK, Boris will be the 3rd tory PM in a row to resign on the job and Keir Starmer will be elected. Apart from that I see thing mostly staying the same for most European nations
On your predictions regarding the US political agenda’s for the democrats and the GOP, I think you overstate the fluidity of inter-party ideological shifts and their ability to take control.
The Democratic Party is arguably only being held together right now by the Trump/Trumpism era. Outside of agreeing on what the top issues are in the country, the specifics on policy become Balkanized (just look at the dem primary season!).
Ergo, I think it would be more likely that an intermittent loose shuffling of political alliances where you see a chaotic split in the GOP between more far-right/populist (trump-loyal) and the more moderate, pragmatic, orthodox conservatives who cut ties with Trumpism.
And the democrats will gradually begin to form two distinct camps of leftwing progressive idealists, and the more traditional/pragmatist old guard in the party. And from the moderates/pragmatists from both parties having increasingly closer cooperation and platforms.
Post-Bernie Sanders, the progressive caucus will be hard pressed to maintain, let alone grow their support.
Most of all we’re all going to be reminded that 99% of the time political currents are incredibly glacial.
Hope the US would stop commit war crimes and sponsor tęrrorism
Well, you've been right on one so far.
If JJ’s president of Canada, that means no more monarchy and no more Governor-General. Triple victory for JJ.
@@HamishDuh2nd By 2046, my prediction is Qc separatists will be dead and the province will become a bigger NB speaking some kind of Franglish. Either way, I don't care, I know I'll have moved out from there by then
The part about 90s Italy being divided because of differences between northern Italy and southern Italy is a bit more complicated. During the 90s Italy went under a big chain of changes and it’s often marked as the beginning of a new historical period there. Maybe you could look up at what happened between 92’ and 94’, I think it could be interesting enough to be covered in a video or in a TH-cam short.
I havent used "cable tv" for 8 years now and I'm never going back. Never going back to paying huge amounts for companies to show me ads.
Hey JJ, I know your "Leader of every country" idea didn't turn out as interesting as you wanted it to, but maybe do a video series on the FIRST leader of every country? I think that might be pretty interesting.
Would you make a second video about this book? I loved it, got so hooked that I couldn't believe it was that short!
last time a Canadian team won the Stanley cup was 1993...imagine if he made THAT prediction in 1994
By 2046 the oilers will still have a team full of potential
@@REDDAWNproject ...you're talking about Houston, right?
@@E4439Qv5 edmonton
Is it just me or was his prediction about the US: "there will be growing inequality due to poor economic planning on big business/the government's part, also people who blame big business/the government for their problems are whiny"?
Yeah, I didn't get that. Clearly, those people just want something done about our systemic economic inequality. But I guess you'd have to live here to really understand the sentiment.
Well jj and the writer are both conservatives that hate left wing populism. Jj’s statement that he was unbiased in his predictions is absurd and really really shows his bias. Ironic that he doesn’t catch himself.
Late stage Capitalism is not a Prediction of the future, it was never used to predict that by the end of it Capitalism will be no more, it is simply used to refer to perceived injustices and inequality in modern buisness development, late stage capitalism can also be said to be simply a chapter of Capitalism that in like Video Games has many different levels
I love you man, but I recommend you read the book by Ernest Mandel, called “Late Capitalism”
I think JJ will in fact become President of the North American Union between Canada, Mexico and the USA 😌
We can only hope...
What would the motivation be though for some kind of union like that, for any side that is, that is better than the present usmca/nafta arrangement?
But why stop at making NAFTA a country when we can make NATO a country
Reading predictions from the past is SUCH a fun pastime
Check out the People’s Almanac trilogy from 1975-81, shit had some absolute GOLD in it
What about "The Book of Predictions" by David Wallechinsky, Amy Wallace and Irving Wallace - some of the predictions in there were clearly the result of people dropping acid.
@Nauj Adenip those are the best.
@@inwalters Irving Wallace was the author of The People’s Almanac IIRC, great works
I misread this as “from 1984” and I thought you went full Dave Rubin
We are 100% in late stage capitalism and it is 100% unsustainable. That's not even debatable.
True
Yeah J.J’s video are great but his centrism is painfully cringeworthy sometimes. “Oohh I’m so rational by barely having any beliefs!”
I’d love an interview with him today
There's a game from 1988 that predicts the future called Cyberpunk 2020. It's what inspired Cyberpunk 2077.
There is also a Cyberpunk game from 1988 that is set in 2013
@@maloviv1232 oh yeah
I got one: By 2050, all our issues would be worsened by the degradation of the environment in a global scale.
wait you're telling me we don't live in late stage capitalism??
Biggest joke
According to Marxists everything is late stage capitalism
Americans do, at the very least
It's just capitalism. Nothing 'late stage' about it
"Productive and whiny" - this is wrong.
There is a section of the US that have gone from productive corporations to corporations focused on rent-seeking and shifting as much unearned wealth as they can to their balance sheets. Some people are "whiny" about things like identity politics, but there is a very justified portion of the US complaining that these mega corporations are now becoming a drag on the economy rather than an engine for productivity.
There is very obviously a whiny element of American society that doesn’t want to take responsibility for themselves and instead always blames others. It hardly seems worth debating.
@@JJMcCullough Just more scapegoating I see. Easy to blame the "moral failings" of others and not actually look at the systematic and structural causes to the issues America is facing (i.e. the widening wealth inequality).
@@JJMcCullough Sure, I'll concede that those people exist, but it is hardly the defining aspect of the era.
I would say a much greater aspect of current US politics is the fight for universal healthcare and a living wage.
@@JJMcCullough I know its easy to take your own worldview for granted but this is pretty clearly an unexpounded assertion that helps form ideology to a degree, like when I was younger it was just one of the kind of stock phrases I heard in a way that just became an omnipresent cliche but as I got older I began to grow to understand in a different way beyond just like, old people complaining I guess
in any case I guess that can lead to people not examining their own biases
@@JJMcCullough what is hardly seems worth debating is that the stock market crashes every 10 years and there's high income inequality all around the world and that socialism in inevitable.
11:10 That's actually very true. Although we see larger states of California and New York see a growing homeless populations, there is a lot of regions in the country that could easily pass for 3rd world countries. This is because many regions had an industry they used to thrive on only to see those industries move away to another country and see the once huge factory or factories in town shut down one by one leaving the towns on the brink of becoming ghost towns. In 2008, when GM nearly went bankrupt, a lot of cities with GM plants nearly lost their whole population and small business like for example diners that were nearby the GM plants slowly went out of business too because there was a chain reaction.
There was a pretty great comic about the U.S./Canada water war that came out a few years ago, titled "We Stand on Guard" I'd definitely recommend it if you're into that sort of thing.
Literally in 2020 we saw the beginning of water conflicts over water dams in Africa and in Asia, so it's not a small problem.
Also 9:26 did the Kaliningrad Oblast gain independence? xD
Meat will become much more expensive and, while remaining popular, will be consumed less frequently by the majority of consumers
Maybe you'd be able to grow your own meat by then? :o
My prediction is lab grown meat will become cheaper than farm raised and most people will switch to it at that point. This will result in a significant amount of land currently being used to grow animal feed being returned to nature.
kinda got chills at the end there when he said "aggressive common sense" will take back over. please, god. please.
Great video.
As you said to place predictions here, I started typing that "In 25 years, J.J. McCullough will be the leader of the U.S.-Canadian merger movement " but then you interrupted my typing with your "President of Canada" line, and now I have to think about it some more.
I appreciate your channel because you clearly strive to prevent your political biases and philosophical beliefs from coloring your videos. While most other channels and media are becoming increasingly politically polarized, you manage to remain fair and balanced, for the most part.
I'd have to agree 100%.. I found his channel during the Canadian elections to get a better perspective but found I could really relate and look up to JJ in many ways. Such a great channel.
I think his political beliefs definitely bled through a little at the end there, what with calling the people using their right to freedom of speech to call out real and serious problems in our society "whiny". I find that to be a little disingenuous.
The reason we didn’t work from home before is because they want to make sure we don’t get too comfortable at work
Imagine thinking the prediction "China will become a loose federation" isn't an ideologically motivated one lol
It was just the conventional wisdom in the '90s that trade and increasing wealth in a country would lead to social and political liberalization. Unlike a society of isolated communities of peasants just scrapping by, the thinking went, one of literate, globally-connected, mostly middle-class people wouldn't tolerate being bossed around by a central dictatorship and would want to have some say in the politics. And so pretty much everyone expected China to liberalize and become more like Japan and South Korea as its economy took off.
Not a crazy expectation if you think about it. But it just hasn't happened. The Chinese are a little special.
@@nonmagicmike723 I'm pretty sure that the federalization was the thing OP was aiming at. If the people of a country are easily connected to each other, the need for federalization vanishes. In fact, I predict that due to the presence of the internet, the countries will become more... not necessarily centralized, but less federalized, (maybe 'united' is the word I'm going for?) as people associate themselves more with those that share similar interests and values as themselves, rather than people that happen to be geographically close to them.
@@2712animefreak I guess so. But we can't really know unless the people truly have a say in their politics. Then, maybe they'll want to have more wiggle room in deciding their local policies, and maybe they'll want to give those long-persecuted ethnic minorities a greater deal of autonomy; in which case, China will become less centralized. Or maybe they just like central government deciding all for all and double down on the same.
It's true that regionalism and regional nationalism in the US has lessened. But the role of state and local politics hasn't. That's because even though a conservative Texan will feel greater affinity towards a conservative Californian than towards a liberal fellow Texan, the idea that "Texas should remain red" is still very much on the back of his mind. So there's still a great deal of political consciousness when it comes to individual states and localities. Only difference today is instead of North vs. South, it's Democrats vs. Republicans wanting to defend their state political turfs.
@@nonmagicmike723 even as a kid, I was highly sceptical of the notion that economic liberalization and increased trade would somehow magically end the one party police state in China. China should’ve been pressured into ending its one party autocracy before we ever open the doors to unfiltered trade and the outsourcing of industry, now we can’t put that genie back in the bottle.
Eh, wasn't a stretch given what was going on in the world in the 90s. "Loose" is undefined; you could call the US a loose federation, which by any world standard it is. I think the main sticking point with such a prediction which he didn't really take into account, is that it's easy to centralise power (and governments love doing that) but it's harder to *de*centralise power without a lot of instability and risk. I guess the UK did it on some level, otherwise most federations are either getting closer or they're in the process of more or less collapsing.
I like the way you just plunge into your talk without a lot of “throat-clearing.”
This American here loves your work JJ. Great video.
these predictions are not entirely devoid of ideology. He only seems "moderate" because his ideas align nicely with neoliberal capitalism. the last prediction in the video was the best evidence for this.
JJ considers himself to be a moderate despite being a devout capitalist lol, he's a bit biased towards seeing this guy's views as common sense
Yeah, I agree. I haven't seen too many of this guys videos but the fact that he smuggly dismissed the concept of people making predictions based on ideology and acted like he was some galaxy brain who observed the world as it really is just made him look like an idiot to me. He doesn't even realize his own beliefs are ideologically fueled.
Ideological: "Late-stage capitalism"
Not ideological: "the robust individual self-reliance that created US capitalism and helped make it the richest country in the world"
Correction: Self-reliance that allowed a small fraction of the US population to become the richest people in the world, the lower 90% of the US population lives in conditions similar to the rest of the developed world.
Correct
@@JJMcCullough America isn't rich because it strong-arms other countries into unfair deals and has a legacy of slavery and colonialism, don't be ridiculous. America is rich because of its plucky, can-do attitude.
JJ being 36 is mind blowing to me. Guy looks 25
He wasn't ENTIRELY wrong about water shortages. Lake Mead in Nevada in the U.S. is drying up, which essentially provides a lot of the southwest with fresh water. Similarly, Kazakhstan has a lake drying up. Also, the Sahara is increasing slowly in size.
Loving the use of Apple Garamond Typeface!
The funniest 1994 prediction my parents had about 2020 was that i would be a big success 😆
Ah yes capitalism is doomed to fail. Just like ancient Egyptians predicted 6,000 years ago.
8:24 "political outsider". With a french perspective, I can assure you he is not. He was in the PS party before (formerly the main left party), and his mandate is rather the same that we could have 14 years before with Sarkozy (right). His political ideology is Liberalism, quite different as a "rebel" I would say... Regarding the next 2022 election, possible coalitions might occure between left parties and so and alliance between Macron (En Marche party) and the LR party (main right party). All that to say french is definitelly in the good old V Republic. NB: some political parties are indeed in favour of developing a new Republic.
I like these fun type of videos! Everything is so serious theses days. Great video!!
I’m in love with JJs hair ❤️
I feel like his prediction on individualist capitalism vs "whiny" elements is a little bad. It genuinely ignores the disadvantages many working and middle class people have as well as the disadvantages people with disabilities and people of color face. Sure you can blame individual people for their actions but also on a bigger scale one person is only capable of so much. Sometimes it really is the government's fault for, say, lying everybody into war, sometimes it is the insurance company's fault for predatory practices, sometimes it is businesses fault for stuff like the great recession (which certainly wasnt helped by government). I feel like the dude is somewhat elitist but I dont know him personally so idk. He does have a point with what he says but I feel he goes too far in the other direction with it.
Also partially ignores the fact that increased automation does lead to diminished work opportunities to people. Wherein previously factory work could have provided a good living to a larger number of the population, it no longer does. Not everybody will or can have marketable skills in today's chancing economical landscape and calling these people whiny without acknowledging the background is something that I find problematic.
The whining class against the productive class is a seriously rightwing view on the topic of inequility economic or otherwise.
Yeah, it's both condescending and bias. I'm not sure how you could all that 'an non-ideological view'.
JJs point on Marxism/Marxists only having an "Ideological Theory of Inevitability" and not an analysis of how the real world is kind of shows what little knowledge he actually has about Marxist theory. He could have given even a small argument against how Marxist predictions came about, but to say that the predictions were formed with no pretense is simply false :/
yeahhh big agree
Most people that criticize other ideologies rarely engage with the ideology in any meaningful way. Modern people's attention spans are too short and they like easy answers that don't challenge their views.
@@Gallic_Gabagool I wholly agree, just I expected a bit better from JJ I suppose
Marxism has always been a a theory of linear history. It was obviously informed by observation at one time, but these days orthodox Marxist very much have to constantly contort or modify or water down aspects of Marx’s original analysis, and ignore a great deal of contrary evidence, in order to make the theory still “work” as a useful frame of analysis today.
@@JJMcCullough Is that not what every ideology does in the face of change? So no one is allowed to alter beliefs if presented with more empirical analysis that suggests otherwise aspects of the theory despite the theory at large being still the underlying rationale? Contemporary Marxism has strayed from classic Marxism, sure, but that is how theory evolution works. Theoretical deviations don't invalidate the prevailing theory.
Great video JJ. Super informative and entertaining, I loved the theatrics.
I'm thinking of picking the book up for myself. Seems quite interesting.
I predict that we will successfully fight climate change in the future and get CO² emissions to the lowest possible levels. Also I predict that we will have made the complete transition to sustainable transportation and energy all across the globe.
I was a "Goldbug" myself. Specifically a "Silver Stacker". Had $1500 worth of silver at one point. Then my car broke down, and i had to sell my metal at a loss.
I still kick myself for not investing that money in the market, or an early IRA. I even did research at the time, but NOOOO; I had to listen to the theorists when they said "Out money is slowly becoming worthless!"