Expert warns of 'meaningful' damage in housing market that's 'not normal'

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 30 ก.ย. 2024
  • Pulte Capital CEO Bill Pulte discusses the housing and construction market as the U.S. 30-year fixed mortgage rate falls for the fourth week in a row at 6.1% on ‘Mornings with Maria.’#foxbusiness
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ความคิดเห็น • 407

  • @carter3294
    @carter3294 ปีที่แล้ว +157

    A perfect storm is brewing in the United States. Inflation, bank collapse, severe drought in the agricultural belt, recession, food shortages, diesel fuel and heating oil shortages, baby formula shortages, available automobile shortages and prices, the price of living place. It's all coming together and it could lead to a real disaster towards the end of this year (or sooner). With inflation currently at about 6%, my primary concern is how to maximize my savings/retirement fund of about $300k which has been sitting duck since forever with zero to no gains.

    • @floxydorathy6611
      @floxydorathy6611 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @Bill These are the conditions in which life-changing money is made by those who remain calm, patient, and take controlled risks. Volatility goes both ways. The bigger the red candles, the bigger the green ones.

    • @carter3294
      @carter3294 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@floxydorathy6611 i don't know much about the market, but based on what little knowledge I have of economic supply and demand, this is the best time to venture into the market, but the only thing holding me back is the constant fluctuations in prices, which it's not supposed to be a problem, but i really need guidance because i want to use this avenue of everything being on discount to build a portfolio that pays dividends and takes care of me in retirement.

    • @carter3294
      @carter3294 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @Phil Stones I am going to look her up too, I have about $81k i want to start with, might be small but it's better than nothing though. Since the 08 crash is playing out again.

  • @elvismark5172
    @elvismark5172 ปีที่แล้ว +376

    In spite of how everyone is frightened and calling the crash, there is already an excessive amount of demand waiting to absorb it, which is another reason it's less likely to happen that way. This forecast was not made in 2008, at least not by the general public, as I will explain below. The ownership rate peaked in 2004, according to the other statement. We reached a peak in the second quarter of 2020 and are currently at the median level. From 2008 to 2012, it fell by 3%, and in the second quarter of 2020, it dropped from 68 to 65.

    • @thomaslewis514
      @thomaslewis514 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Without a doubt, the Fed is to blame for the exceptional catch-up measures currently in place since they were initially too slow to control inflation. The outbreak, supply-chain issues, and the state of Ukraine are all contributing reasons to the impending inflation perfect storm. Not to mention the steep rise in housing costs, another aspect that makes it difficult for the Fed to keep inflation under control. In conclusion, if you have the money, remove it quickly away to take advantage of the high savings rate.

    • @belginberk3443
      @belginberk3443 ปีที่แล้ว +3

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    • @AnthonyHart34
      @AnthonyHart34 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@belginberk3443 Due to the significant falls, I need advice on how to rebuild my portfolio and develop more successful tactics. Where can I find this teacher?

    • @belginberk3443
      @belginberk3443 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@AnthonyHart34 Sure , I don't know if I am permitted to drop this here, but do run a check on Sharon lee casey, she was in the news a lot in 2020. She’s my coach and handles my portfolio also

    • @patrickperez7387
      @patrickperez7387 ปีที่แล้ว +1

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  • @andresbard
    @andresbard ปีที่แล้ว +614

    Another reason it's less likely to happen that way is that there is already too much demand waiting to absorb that regardless of how everyone is panicking and calling the crash. Nobody was making this prediction in 2008, at least not the general public, as I indicated below. In the other comment, it was mentioned that the ownership rate peaked in 2004. As of today, we are at the median level, having previously peaked in the second quarter of 2020. It decreased by 3% over 4 years, from 2008 to 2012, going from 68 to 65 in the second quarter of 2020.

    • @pauledwin
      @pauledwin ปีที่แล้ว

      Most people are unable to handle a fall since they are accustomed to bull markets, but if you know where to look and how to get around, you can profit handsomely. It depends on your entry and exit strategy.

    • @raynoldgrey
      @raynoldgrey ปีที่แล้ว

      Given that we are not accustomed to such unstable markets, the fact that the US stock market had been on its longest bull run ever makes the widespread panic and excitement understandable. I've made over $780k in the last 10 months, and it wasn't a difficult course of action, as you pointed out, so there are opportunities out there if you know where to go. I got a portfolio counsel since I knew I required a reliable and strong plan to get by in these times.

    • @raynoldgrey
      @raynoldgrey ปีที่แล้ว

      @Davies McCamey I left to find "SHARON LEE CASEY," a financial advisor, I learned about from a CNBC programme. She has since provided me with entry and exit points for the equities I track. You may search her up online if you need supervision.

    • @donaldwatson51
      @donaldwatson51 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@raynoldgrey I can understand why Sharon is so busy because she has impressive credentials and a terrific resume. But I still set up a meeting with her.

    • @brn2863
      @brn2863 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      demand from people with no savings who can't qualify.

  • @patriciajames8787
    @patriciajames8787 ปีที่แล้ว +46

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      @patriciajames8787 ปีที่แล้ว +2

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      @patriciajames8787 ปีที่แล้ว +1

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    • @davidrobert9704
      @davidrobert9704 ปีที่แล้ว

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    • @liangchien1297
      @liangchien1297 ปีที่แล้ว

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    • @madalenasilva47
      @madalenasilva47 ปีที่แล้ว

      Best signal provider in the market. Knowledgeable, level headed (no loss like some other traders who recently jumped on the bandwagon).

  • @begrateful6153
    @begrateful6153 ปีที่แล้ว +20

    It literally impossible for young generation to purchase a home & start a family with high college costs & super-high mortgages. We need the Feds to continue increasing the mortgage rates to lower housing cost.

    • @wyatt9619
      @wyatt9619 ปีที่แล้ว

      Or get good jobs that does not require college

    • @hulkingmass
      @hulkingmass ปีที่แล้ว

      ​​@@wyatt9619 think about what a good job paid when you bought and your home. Now think about what a good job pays now and your home price. It's not that hard to understand that one has increased much more than the other. Younger generations will do their best to navigate a very difficult situation. But stop pretending you are better or smarter than people who weren't liquid and cash flowing during the one year in decades where the divider was placed between owners and renters. You didn't earn that difference, it's just timing and luck. You should be rooting for them not mocking them.

  • @dbrew2u
    @dbrew2u ปีที่แล้ว +103

    Average Household Income in America is nearing $50,000.00.
    Average US Home Price $400,000.00 . A little bit of a disparity i would say .

    • @Shadow_Banned_Conservative
      @Shadow_Banned_Conservative ปีที่แล้ว +14

      I think you're going to see the necessity of 40 and 50 year mortgages soon.

    • @hymansahak181
      @hymansahak181 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      At today’s financing rates especially!

    • @jfausset
      @jfausset ปีที่แล้ว +52

      We don’t need longer mortgages. We need lower prices

    • @Shadow_Banned_Conservative
      @Shadow_Banned_Conservative ปีที่แล้ว +5

      @@jfausset The problem is the loss has to go somewhere. For you to get lower prices someone has to take the loss. Is that the banks? Government (taxpayers) again?
      You can't magically create lower prices.
      And like all the suckers who drained every penny of equity out of their homes, someone will be the customer when the 40 and 50 year mortgages eventually come into existence.

    • @88corinutza
      @88corinutza ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @@Shadow_Banned_Conservative bought a home in 2015 for 138k just sold it 7 years later for 248k 😍😍

  • @patriot4usa
    @patriot4usa ปีที่แล้ว +86

    We need a correction. Home prices and rents are not affordable for most.

    • @randymillhouse791
      @randymillhouse791 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Perhaps the correction lies with the people that did not get an education and make a career path. All others will be left behind.

    • @94champs
      @94champs ปีที่แล้ว +22

      @@randymillhouse791 People who make 6 figures can't afford a home galaxy brain. That's not "normal".

    • @danielwoldu1855
      @danielwoldu1855 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Yes they must interview ordinary peoples to understand

    • @patriot4usa
      @patriot4usa ปีที่แล้ว +13

      @@randymillhouse791 Everybody will be left behind if housing prices continue to rise, even those with no compassion or brains.

    • @ajones1825
      @ajones1825 ปีที่แล้ว +9

      @@randymillhouse791 can you stop spamming this entire comment section? We get it.. you bought a home and are hoping the value goes up. Doesn't mean you need to literally comment 50+ times to anyone remotely hoping for a crash about how they should "get a better job, there, ur problems solved durrrrr". Stop spamming, stop trolling. Seriously.. I've read this entire comment section and I don't even need to look for a username anymore.. if it's a negative comment, 99 times out of 100 its you.

  • @Jaysun1
    @Jaysun1 ปีที่แล้ว +16

    Sweet...6% mortgage rates. Who cares when homes are overpriced by 30% -50%? People are dumb paying these ridiculous prices for homes!

    • @randymillhouse791
      @randymillhouse791 ปีที่แล้ว

      My 50K equity disagrees.

    • @94champs
      @94champs ปีที่แล้ว

      @@randymillhouse791 Buy more homes then right now galaxy brain. I'll laugh at you in 2 years.

    • @LuisLopez-nk7fj
      @LuisLopez-nk7fj ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@randymillhouse791 and you believe thats alot of money ? Ha

    • @peacelove9716
      @peacelove9716 ปีที่แล้ว

      PEACE
      HONESTY
      PROSPERITY
      FREE THINKING
      GOOD HEALTH
      SOBRIETY
      OPTIMISM

  • @kurtwilliams1859
    @kurtwilliams1859 ปีที่แล้ว +51

    Good. Crash the housing market.

    • @angel-ij4xv
      @angel-ij4xv ปีที่แล้ว

      the housing market is doomed

    • @floridajames04
      @floridajames04 ปีที่แล้ว

      Nope. It's not. Interest rates will crash, but NOT home values. This is the new normal.

    • @floridajames04
      @floridajames04 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@angel-ij4xv nah lol

  • @Erik-gg2vb
    @Erik-gg2vb ปีที่แล้ว +22

    Who are these people who can afford a home that has gone up 40% in 2 years and now 6% interest? I'm priced out of the market.

    • @codyramos3200
      @codyramos3200 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      Who you ask... I'm sure the People who's home went up in value 40% and sold when the market hopping up like jumping jax had some new found cash . A lot of of the homes that were bought were investment properties , rentals etc . Not just families looking to relocate. ..

    • @katwilliams2950
      @katwilliams2950 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Exactly. I'm stoked about things falling because of this.

    • @YelaDuck
      @YelaDuck ปีที่แล้ว

      @@katwilliams2950 other previous home owners lol

    • @ricks8058
      @ricks8058 ปีที่แล้ว

      Investors buying the top

    • @floridajames04
      @floridajames04 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I'm that people. Closed Dec 2022. 439K House at 6.1% with No Money Down. Why is it so hard to believe..??? It's not hard.

  • @MG-bf1zi
    @MG-bf1zi ปีที่แล้ว +46

    Housing prices need to go down 40% to make any sense. Crash it, please.

    • @sierrasky2491
      @sierrasky2491 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      There's not enough homes being built. The prices you see today are here forever.

    • @unknowndriver6652
      @unknowndriver6652 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @Sierra Sky BS i bet you maximum 2 years we'll see the 40% reduction

    • @lukethompson5558
      @lukethompson5558 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      Yes, needs 30-40% fall ASAP. Must squash expectation that housing prices only go up. Housing “values” increasing sounds good but it’s not! That tax free and effort free gain you’re making comes from the buyer, who is statistically less wealthy and established than the seller. Price appreciation NOT a good thing

    • @randymillhouse791
      @randymillhouse791 ปีที่แล้ว

      Sure, I have a one-hundred-dollar bill I don't really need. I'll sell it to you for sixty bucks. Is there ANYTHING MORE THAT I CAN DO FOR YOU? Or perhaps my offer makes you feel angry and motivated to make a positive change in your life.

    • @sierrasky2491
      @sierrasky2491 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      @@unknowndriver6652 I'm telling you. They don't build enough houses to keep up with demand. We're ten years behind. It's from the 2008 debacle it's still haunting us today.

  • @Lea_and_Henry
    @Lea_and_Henry ปีที่แล้ว +117

    We need lower mortgage rates and homes under $200k

    • @jojopapa7521
      @jojopapa7521 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      Exactly.

    • @hillbilly_delux78
      @hillbilly_delux78 ปีที่แล้ว +24

      lol.. Yea i want a new porsche for 10k... but not going to happen.

    • @657spy
      @657spy ปีที่แล้ว +19

      Get a time machine.

    • @randymillhouse791
      @randymillhouse791 ปีที่แล้ว +10

      No, we don't. Milk used to cost 50 cents per gallon once. NOT ANYMORE! You need to make a life for yourself to adjust to the new reality of milk and home prices.

    • @angelromero6458
      @angelromero6458 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      And I need two girls at the same time, but it’s not going to happen…

  • @katelopez72
    @katelopez72 ปีที่แล้ว +185

    After a nightmarish 2022, shell-shocked investors have losses to recoup and plenty to ponder, as an inflation report and a raft of other data did little to change expectations that the Federal Reserve would likely continue hiking intrest rates even if the economy slows down, Which means more red ink for portfolios for the first quarter of year 2023. How can I profit from the current volatile market, I'm still at a crossroads deciding if to liquidate my $250k bond/stocck portfolio

    • @fabiohill14
      @fabiohill14 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @Arif Ameen Masif The one effective technique I'm confident nobody admits to using, is staying in touch with an Investment-Adviser. Based on firsthand encounter, I can say for certain their skillsets are topnotch, I've raised over $700k since 2017. Just bought my 3rd property for rental. Credit to SHARON MARDORSKY DAVISON....my Investment-Adviser.

    • @Mikesorrento3344
      @Mikesorrento3344 ปีที่แล้ว

      Buy gold. Physical if you can. Mining stocks as well.

  • @justinjex1
    @justinjex1 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    Anyone getting into buying a house is crazy right now!

  • @nonenone1534
    @nonenone1534 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    We are stuck with higher home prices ? Avg new build is $524,000?? That’s expensive for anyone!!

  • @ajones1825
    @ajones1825 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Do yourself a favor and skip over any comment from "Randy Millhouse". The guy has spammed this entire section with negativity to the point he's a borderline troll.

  • @330DKNY
    @330DKNY ปีที่แล้ว +12

    Home prices going up 40-100% is not normal either, wounder why no complaints then? Oh, and record earrings for home builders, I thought they were all going out of business...

    • @networth00
      @networth00 ปีที่แล้ว

      300% in some parts down here in South Florida.

  • @rickyspeakman4445
    @rickyspeakman4445 ปีที่แล้ว +49

    Now, you know and understand why volker raised rates to 20%. If you don’t banks will find a way to get things done if rates stay low. I’m seeing a lot of the 1970-80 inflation in today’s inflation. I’ve been wanting Powell to jump the rate to 12-15% and actually pull a volker. But, he is no volker! More middle class people will be destroyed before someone has the brass one to do what is needed.

    • @brianoleson9224
      @brianoleson9224 ปีที่แล้ว

      1970s style recession is a disgraceful joke some of these economist say homes were surely crashing 18%+ in several states we were strapping on masks and nuclear war was a real concern .... the our roaring 20s in the 2010s the largest expansion ever in history with a plaque after it makes you think a depression however the goverment does things differently today so it would just be a great recession II

    • @thomasmanning829
      @thomasmanning829 ปีที่แล้ว

      America's way out is to slash government spending and limit social programs and reduce or at a minimum cap government pensions. But the odds of America getting fixed requires political bi partisan support. So, goodbye America. It has been fun!

    • @brianoleson9224
      @brianoleson9224 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@thomasmanning829 u have no idea whats unfolding right now

    • @dk_012
      @dk_012 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      👏🏼 well said

    • @nonenone1534
      @nonenone1534 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      so true!! Inflation isn’t going down. This is basic stuff

  • @iwlaequitas7897
    @iwlaequitas7897 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Don't sell a single thing to this guy ever. Need to see who the companies that black rock owns as well. Who are the companies that in their portfolio. We need to sell to each other only and not let the lure of convenance take you.

  • @alexquevedo831
    @alexquevedo831 ปีที่แล้ว +14

    A lot of developers and investors are the ones to blame for this crazy market. They hold and pump these prices hurting regular Home sales.

  • @CalvinMorris-cf8jk
    @CalvinMorris-cf8jk ปีที่แล้ว +6

    good we need cheeper houses, you can't even rent the American dream anymore.its madness at its peak. greed greed greed,

  • @BANDIT2DAY
    @BANDIT2DAY ปีที่แล้ว +7

    70% of mortgage holders have an interest rate below 4%. Inventory is going to stay low throughout the year.

    • @Dee-w5y
      @Dee-w5y ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Inventory levels are healthy. New construction is at all time highs. Wth are you talking about?

  • @sierrasky2491
    @sierrasky2491 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    This is so stupid. Nobody can buy a home for 800,000. It doesn't matter what the interest rate is.

    • @taxedenoughalready
      @taxedenoughalready ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Supply and demand. Evidently some people can.

    • @lukethompson5558
      @lukethompson5558 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      No with $40k per year property taxes to boot (NJ)

    • @muskduh
      @muskduh ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@lukethompson5558 exactly. even the rich and super rich are outraged. that's when you know something's wrong.

    • @lukethompson5558
      @lukethompson5558 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@muskduh It’s actually much worse than China’s land-lease system because in the US, they can jack it up at any time! At least in China, their land-leases have guaranteed amounts for 50 years! And China doesn’t penalize you for fixing up your house. The entire US is essentially owned by the gov and actually much MORE communist than communist China!

  • @deltronzero9
    @deltronzero9 ปีที่แล้ว +14

    Interest rates are a joke at this point. The working and middle class (if that even exists anymore) are getting pulled underwater. The idea of owning a home is a pipe dream for many. No wonder you're seeing people buying land, doing the off grid thing, living in their cars. This market environment is a sh--- show.

    • @hillbilly_delux78
      @hillbilly_delux78 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      You will own nothing, and you will be happy.

    • @randymillhouse791
      @randymillhouse791 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      6% interest rates are NOT historically high. Perhaps the joke is that you are not doing anything to work your way out of whatever situation you may be in.
      Tell us all what you are doing to make a life for yourself in the RICHEST COUNTRY IN THE WORLD. If one cannot make it here, then..... hmmmmm.

    • @94champs
      @94champs ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@randymillhouse791 Housing market needs to crash galaxy brain.

    • @SeanDiego
      @SeanDiego ปีที่แล้ว

      Historically it's been double and almost triple that during the Regan presidency

    • @hillbilly_delux78
      @hillbilly_delux78 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@SeanDiego It was double during Regan only because of Carter's policies before him and Paul Volcker doing his stupidity.

  • @eddieblake097
    @eddieblake097 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    no crash in my area, i am already expecting another bidding war scenario based on the last two homes we were interested in.

  • @denisecase807
    @denisecase807 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    Another so-called faux expert, huh? Interesting that they're all X employees! LMAO

    • @peacelove9716
      @peacelove9716 ปีที่แล้ว

      PEACE
      HONESTY
      PROSPERITY
      FREE THINKING
      GOOD HEALTH
      SOBRIETY
      OPTIMISM

  • @philmarsh7723
    @philmarsh7723 ปีที่แล้ว +13

    I wish the Fed would keep raising rates.

    • @smetlogik
      @smetlogik ปีที่แล้ว

      You obviously aren't looking for a house

    • @SurferTy
      @SurferTy ปีที่แล้ว

      @@smetlogik I’m looking for a home. And I agree. Keep pushing rates up! So home prices will fall

    • @smetlogik
      @smetlogik ปีที่แล้ว

      @@SurferTy You're relying on the hope that home prices will fall enough to compensate for the higher rates. Not sure that will happen.

    • @SurferTy
      @SurferTy ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@smetlogik nope..
      I want prices to come down and i will buy at a lower price. For rates, they will come down eventually, at that time, i will refinance at a lower rate.

    • @smetlogik
      @smetlogik ปีที่แล้ว

      @@SurferTy I get you. Def a strategy, but all those scenarios are dependent upon the overall market turning more toward buyers. Hope you're right.

  • @markferguson7563
    @markferguson7563 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Here in Australia's major cities house prices have been in decline over the past 8 months, by about 10% since May, and are exoec

  • @danven1256
    @danven1256 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    That's great news for us little guys working with cash, we need more foreclosures. The more people are losing their homes the more inventory we'll have to pick through. The 08 recession brings back fond memories of a lot of backbreaking but profitable work for those of us that were willing to put in the effort.
    Some people may think it's mean to profit off of others suffering but everyone should understand if 81 million people voted for that idiot I'm certainly not going to have any sympathy for them.

    • @TeslaBoy123
      @TeslaBoy123 ปีที่แล้ว

      Bcz people losing their homes don't mean going back in market cheap booooooo remember after 2008 every single loan has a mortgage insurance pay by home owner every month protecting bank money so bank are happy with a foreclosure bcz collection all full amount of loans plust thausand on down payment and years owner pay in interest over loan to them so banks allways are real winner end day 🏆

  • @chelseafarias6981
    @chelseafarias6981 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    It amazes me to say kuddos to my parents who bought a home with high interest rates back in the mid 70’s -80’s with a limited income and people are crying over 6-7%. It’s time to get back to normalcy with housing prices…Lack of education with financial freedom and success.
    Mortgage rates started high at the beginning of the 1970s, around 7.3%, according to Freddie Mac's historical data. Plagued by high inflation and the costly economic impact of the Vietnam War, average mortgage rates reached 12.9% by 1979.

  • @sinforoso2000
    @sinforoso2000 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Interest rate buydowns are just a last ditch effort to hold prices high. Anyone going for that is doing themselves a disservice.

  • @thomasmanning829
    @thomasmanning829 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Those rates will rise back up. Look at the U.S. Debt clock. It continues to climb. The bigger debt the harder the fall. Americans have been screwed. Those who don't protect themselves from government incompetence will be destroyed.

    • @randymillhouse791
      @randymillhouse791 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Those who don't plan properly you mean...

  • @WAGNERMJW
    @WAGNERMJW ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Maria. You can't have housing prices go up or remain stable if the Public can't afford the purchase prices or the mortgage payment schedule.

  • @cb11368
    @cb11368 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    There will be no crash, it's a scam. 5% off a house that is overvalued by 400% is not a crash.

  • @dtllcmotorsportwa
    @dtllcmotorsportwa ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Easy, wait until people start losing their homes and companies come along and buy them up.

  • @sierrasky2491
    @sierrasky2491 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Americans are in debt more with credit cards no more than ever. In the layoffs have only just begun.

    • @randymillhouse791
      @randymillhouse791 ปีที่แล้ว

      And storage units are bursting at the seams with AMERICAN'S "STUFF!"

  • @nonyabusiness1126
    @nonyabusiness1126 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Your home should be around 3x your annual income before theft.

  • @jeremyedwards1427
    @jeremyedwards1427 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    The biggest crash of our lifetime is coming....why dont you spread that news

  • @carlatamanczyk3891
    @carlatamanczyk3891 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    If Donald J Trump was still in the WH, we wouldn't be going through all this freaking mega mess we are in now.

  • @zwatwashdc
    @zwatwashdc ปีที่แล้ว +2

    How is housing coming down 10% after 40%+ gains last year meaningful damage?

  • @nickvin7447
    @nickvin7447 ปีที่แล้ว +20

    The people that are still buying homes right now are really going to regret it.

    • @joyjoyjoy7762
      @joyjoyjoy7762 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Exactly

    • @barbarailarpenter6815
      @barbarailarpenter6815 ปีที่แล้ว

      Could you explain a little more? Much appreciated!

    • @nickvin7447
      @nickvin7447 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@barbarailarpenter6815 What you have is the perfect storm of inflation, high interest rates, and a falsely secure job market. If unemployment rises even 1% (a guarantee now that rates have risen), home values will decline sharply. There is a real chance of a serious recession, especially when you factor in personal debt is at an all time high, and personal savings are at an all time low.

    • @barbarailarpenter6815
      @barbarailarpenter6815 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@nickvin7447 thank you.
      Great help.

  • @Louj1970
    @Louj1970 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    other news, water wet.... Of course it will slow down, that is the Fed's intention is to slow it down with high interest rates

    • @TheMosinCrate
      @TheMosinCrate ปีที่แล้ว +1

      At .25 at a time they are not going to do that. The system needs a shock.. not a light tap on the shoulder.

  • @jevasjunkbox
    @jevasjunkbox ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Anyone else notice that Bill said “MARIA” 12 times in a 6m15s interview? It was kind of creepy where he would inject her name in the middle of a sentence.

    • @Falconlibrary
      @Falconlibrary ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Perhaps Bill is smitten with Maria.
      Maria, Maria, I just met a girl named Maria!

    • @andrewwalsh8773
      @andrewwalsh8773 ปีที่แล้ว

      Maria also said Bill many times, weird dynamic all around

  • @musicfirst5020
    @musicfirst5020 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    A CEO giving advice on the housing market. Nah, he's not biased. Good grief. Fox is a joke.

    • @georgetuider654
      @georgetuider654 ปีที่แล้ว

      It's like going to a car salesman to ask if now is a good time to buy.

  • @nonyago
    @nonyago ปีที่แล้ว +33

    The problem with the housing market is the flipper generation. They buy a house for $200k and without any updates or marginal updates turn around and sell it for $330k a couple of weeks later. That should be taxed with 80%

    • @nickvin7447
      @nickvin7447 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      They are taxed on capital gains. It is not their fault your government printed free money.

    • @peacelove9716
      @peacelove9716 ปีที่แล้ว

      PEACE
      HONESTY
      PROSPERITY
      FREE THINKING
      GOOD HEALTH
      SOBRIETY
      OPTIMISM

    • @svencejohanson9051
      @svencejohanson9051 ปีที่แล้ว

      So dumb - it's... dumb.

    • @nonyago
      @nonyago ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@svencejohanson9051 interesting name.
      Are you a flipping flipper?

    • @LiveWatched
      @LiveWatched ปีที่แล้ว

      uh flipper generation? maybe its just good business... but as Nick said its our fault for electing morons that print dollars, both sides are to blame

  • @dogegamer3288
    @dogegamer3288 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Nothing will happen. Everytime they drop .25% its one more person in the bidding wars for higher property prices. When it gets down to 4% it will be much higher than pandemic prices and 100 people bidding on the porches of any available property (along with the all cash hedgefund and private equity all cash buyers). There is no damage, its all unrealized numbers on a screen.

    • @networth00
      @networth00 ปีที่แล้ว

      You must not have been in the RE market in 2008-2013.

    • @dogegamer3288
      @dogegamer3288 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@networth00 I was. I owned a house and 2 rental properties during the crash. Non of the variables of 2008 are here today. That crash was caused by subprime lending which was made illegal and replaced with DTI qualification. The second variable was the side bets on credit swap derivatives that were made illegal by the worst legislation mankind has ever written, the Dodd Frank act. So none of those variables that caused the crash are here, and we know from many historical data points that even IF the Fed can get to full employment there will not be near enough foreclosures to cause a crash. Also bank REOs are for the most part not publicly available anymore as they are offered and snapped up at slight 5% discounts to all cash private equity and hedge fund buyers. That's why 2008 doesn't matter either in this market.

    • @networth00
      @networth00 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@dogegamer3288 A bad market is a bad market. When homes tripled in value (and they did here in S Florida) there will be a big crash coming.

    • @dogegamer3288
      @dogegamer3288 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@networth00 Not necessarily. We are not anywhere near the values in Florida where San Francisco, Hong Kong, Sydney, London are at. There are orders of magnitude to before we even get close to those levels. It takes about 20 years for a family to save for a down payment on a 600 sq ft apartment in Hong Kong. We have a great deal of room for growth over the next decade without a crash. Prices could skyrocket far beyond what people are accustomed to without ever crashing.

    • @networth00
      @networth00 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@dogegamer3288 If that's the case no one young will ever buy a house. National home price is $500k and Natl salary is $50k, that's not sustainable.

  • @davidmack4495
    @davidmack4495 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    how can we pass on savings to the consumer he asks??? By lowering the price....

  • @Apogge_kings
    @Apogge_kings ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Interest rates buy down are only good for two to four years. Don’t fall for their sales pitches

    • @SeanDiego
      @SeanDiego ปีที่แล้ว

      Most people refi within 3-5 years therefore in actuality someone buying at 6% now could be lower within that time frame or sell all together prior to the rate hike in case they don't go beneath 6% which is unlikely

    • @rastaman7140
      @rastaman7140 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@SeanDiegothat’s only If the property still holds its value by than.

    • @SeanDiego
      @SeanDiego ปีที่แล้ว

      @@rastaman7140 each market is different so variables will be at play but as far as San Diego and mostly CA. Values will recover somewhat or fully during that timeline. Great time to buy for someone who is staying out for 5-10 years

  • @luxspew
    @luxspew ปีที่แล้ว +2

    u all are 10 years+ behind....

  • @zwatwashdc
    @zwatwashdc ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Houses are like a ball and chain that you dump money into. For most people, paying more than 300,000 for a house than they really like would be foolish.

  • @wayneredd6776
    @wayneredd6776 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Sounds like somebody a poultry group whatever they’re called got caught with their fingers in the cookie jar!

  • @tuomasholo
    @tuomasholo ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Home prices have run up 40% since pre Covid while wage increases have gone up measly single digits. Until home prices come down to pre pandemic levels we’re not in a housing recession.

  • @lukethompson5558
    @lukethompson5558 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    How has housing not crashed yet?! Keep raising rates

    • @randymillhouse791
      @randymillhouse791 ปีที่แล้ว

      I bought a house at 4.25%. If I had the chance to do so at 6% I would also do it. Where do you get your information from?

    • @lukethompson5558
      @lukethompson5558 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@randymillhouse791 Then they need to keep hiking so people like you stop buying

  • @subprime2006
    @subprime2006 ปีที่แล้ว

    Are you buying a house in California as a first time home buyer? No money for down or closings are needed b/c California will provide to you 20% of the purchase price for that needed down payment (silent 2nd until the house is SOLD).

  • @timeforachange-i3s
    @timeforachange-i3s ปีที่แล้ว

    The only encouragement is homes need to drop back to $250K as the median home price in America for a nice 3/2 with 1,900 SF. Until then - they can keep the homes they have. I hope the people that bought homes in 2020-2023 learn that the real value of the home is the price it was in 2019 NOT the government inflated prices over the last three years.

  • @natalyatyndall8247
    @natalyatyndall8247 ปีที่แล้ว

    Prohibit funds and corporations and people without US social security number from buying single family homes. Otherwise, people will not create families and children because people do not have houses for creating families. We will lose family's values and morals because of funds. We will become a Funds society. People can not compete with funds. Is it fair that one person from a fund owns millions of single family homes?

  • @mauriciogonzalez6302
    @mauriciogonzalez6302 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Lower rates is just the carrot at the end of the stick. The house price is still the number one thing people should be watching. That rebound will come in 3 -4 years.

    • @networth00
      @networth00 ปีที่แล้ว

      We haven't started the real decline yet.

  • @cgorman31
    @cgorman31 ปีที่แล้ว

    No bailout, policymakers need to do ceiling capital for investors and builders, cap on AirBnBs, rental ceilings and floors, experts are fake we have a secretary of treasury that backpeddles and the central bank that won’t budge and keep pushing cash outward. No bailout

  • @betweenyellowan_dred
    @betweenyellowan_dred ปีที่แล้ว

    Basic housing has been speculative for many years now. To prop up wall street. That's why people are on the dole. All the stockholders are rich beyond the average person's wildest dreams while others live in autos, tents, storm drain Just a correction to reality. So we can start to work again. Forex volatility should be confined to forex not Basic housing.

  • @yourworldexplorer1
    @yourworldexplorer1 ปีที่แล้ว

    Oh yes 8 tenths of one percent down is hardly worth talking about. Yes the real estate market is turning down. It is too expensive for working families to support a mortgage at these home prices. And that is at the reduced rates let alone these massively increased rates.

  • @Miranda3730
    @Miranda3730 ปีที่แล้ว

    He expects us to give kudos to the builders and feel sorry because they are using their money (which they borrowed at super low rates) to buy down buyers rates??🤣 You are paying the buy down to manipulate your high home prices and keep those prices high. Go fool someone else.

  • @davidwilliams4498
    @davidwilliams4498 ปีที่แล้ว

    Homeless rates gonna keep going up if builders don't start building many many small inexpensive homes. Got to get a hold on real estate greed an building mansions with 6 bedrooms where 3 people live in a home. Huge problem....

  • @carlatamanczyk3891
    @carlatamanczyk3891 ปีที่แล้ว

    A lot of these builders are constructing cheaply built houses and apartments.... SAD.....

  • @jasonchris5412
    @jasonchris5412 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    Making money is an action. Keeping money is behavior. Growing money is knowledge..

    • @grumpyoldjeff
      @grumpyoldjeff ปีที่แล้ว

      when you have a good skill, it is normal that you can go global and your name is recommended to so many people and from what i've heard about Mr. Greg Miller, his strategies must be really good .

    • @malanalan1
      @malanalan1 ปีที่แล้ว

      How do you make money? Do you print it? The only entity which makes money (USD to be specific) is the federal government.

    • @peacelove9716
      @peacelove9716 ปีที่แล้ว

      PEACE
      HONESTY
      PROSPERITY
      FREE THINKING
      GOOD HEALTH
      SOBRIETY
      OPTIMISM

  • @arbitrader893
    @arbitrader893 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Prices too high , needs to come down pre 2008 levels.

    • @jonathancarr4296
      @jonathancarr4296 ปีที่แล้ว

      That will never happen again in our lifetime

    • @arbitrader893
      @arbitrader893 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@jonathancarr4296 Hahaha! Just wait and see.

  • @scottkutylowski327
    @scottkutylowski327 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    If we can’t sell our existing home, one can’t purchase a new home. Just sayin

  • @msa4548
    @msa4548 ปีที่แล้ว +9

    With the current pricing on houses, the American dream is just that, a dream. Nobody can afford a single family starting in the $450s.

    • @rconach
      @rconach ปีที่แล้ว +2

      You can buy a home in the area I live (1.5 hours from Houston) for $275,000. And it’s move in ready.

    • @randymillhouse791
      @randymillhouse791 ปีที่แล้ว

      Perhaps your standards are too high. Perhaps the info you received from this video or elsewhere is NOT REALITY. What have you done to better your situation?

    • @msa4548
      @msa4548 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@randymillhouse791 that price is what I see advertised daily driving through PA, DE and MD. It was worse when I delivered to NJ as the one bedroom apartments were starting at $240k.
      My goal is get a piece of property that I'm looking at for $130-145k and build the house myself.

    • @Ocean_breezes
      @Ocean_breezes ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@msa4548 Good luck. I retired 3 yrs ago. House is paid for
      Just bought a small lakefront lot in Florida for 45k . Going to build my own 600 SQ ft house for a weekend place.
      Cost : ~$10k in materials for entire shell unfinished on inside
      Another 20k to finish it
      Prices are insane- partly due to supply and demand, partly to Greed.
      It's not sustainable to the majority, there will be a crash

    • @lenaprice6239
      @lenaprice6239 ปีที่แล้ว

      450K is actually a great deal in this market for a single home. Especially if it's in a good area...

  • @SmashBrosBrawl
    @SmashBrosBrawl ปีที่แล้ว +7

    What this Pulte guy doesn't tell you is the interest rate buy down only cushion your first year or so, but after that you get reset to market rate! Real estate is going to crash this year 100000%

    • @sirjohnahayfalcon
      @sirjohnahayfalcon ปีที่แล้ว

      It says fixed 6.1

    • @lenaprice6239
      @lenaprice6239 ปีที่แล้ว

      Very good point. The buy-down is only for 1 year. I hope the buyers read the fine print of their contracts...

  • @kickboxer8173
    @kickboxer8173 ปีที่แล้ว

    we live in an apartment. 4 income sharing 2400 $ rent. we can afford it. who i feel sorry for are people who have to pay it themselves.

  • @julesdupontiii
    @julesdupontiii ปีที่แล้ว

    Wtf was that tangent about being harassed? Stay away from poultry group

  • @robpowell8849
    @robpowell8849 ปีที่แล้ว

    Where do we devour for debt. To shore it's gonna come from those who have. Simple math.

  • @bobsieb01
    @bobsieb01 ปีที่แล้ว

    It’s all about rates on the upside but we never give credit for success to the fed on the upside

  • @Garda1962
    @Garda1962 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Sticker Shock for Rent is Worse!! Gut it out and Buy!!

  • @timothygibney159
    @timothygibney159 ปีที่แล้ว

    Cry me a river. I want my first home but can't do to these investors and greedy real estate agents

  • @Ocean_breezes
    @Ocean_breezes ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Timing is everything. In 2008, I missed the bubble and lost money on a rental property I was selling This time around I cashed in and unloaded a small 2b/1bath 1000sq ft home last year Made 2.5x what I paid for it

    • @XyphonXero
      @XyphonXero ปีที่แล้ว

      Capitalism at it's finest in today's world. It breeds nothing but absolute pure Greed. While you made money you knowingly screwed the family you sold it to but hey, you made your profit right? I hope you meet an untimely end my friend.

  • @bwoutchannel6356
    @bwoutchannel6356 ปีที่แล้ว

    there is a huge downturn in motion as of 2023.

  • @chadfreire7589
    @chadfreire7589 ปีที่แล้ว

    Yes they bring it to 4% but they add it to the price tag

  • @becca7455.
    @becca7455. ปีที่แล้ว

    Nope not normal since 2007

  • @AngelMartinez-eu6nx
    @AngelMartinez-eu6nx ปีที่แล้ว

    Housing market is going to crash

  • @JC-sw7dv
    @JC-sw7dv ปีที่แล้ว

    Homebuilders in my market charge $350/sq foot, not including land.
    Who can afford these prices? Not retirees with no pensions, not teachers and police officers or nurses, not bank tellers or landscapers, or chefs, baristas, bartenders and servers…
    if the US cannot house their essential workers, we're doomed!!

  • @janetcross2797
    @janetcross2797 ปีที่แล้ว

    It might turn if we get a new president

  • @sierrasky2491
    @sierrasky2491 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    You're not building enough homes. The prices we have today or here to stay.

    • @unknowndriver6652
      @unknowndriver6652 ปีที่แล้ว

      No they don't. Nobody will have money to afford those houses. Owners will low the price

    • @peacelove9716
      @peacelove9716 ปีที่แล้ว

      PEACE
      HONESTY
      PROSPERITY
      FREE THINKING
      GOOD HEALTH
      SOBRIETY
      OPTIMISM

  • @janetcross2797
    @janetcross2797 ปีที่แล้ว

    This is just begin of worst

  • @jeremyedwards1427
    @jeremyedwards1427 ปีที่แล้ว

    So the builders have been charging to much and exploding prices.. so now there giving stuff away... lol

  • @rosenheimandsalzburg
    @rosenheimandsalzburg ปีที่แล้ว

    Yeah. The builders are giving rate reduction incentives that can’t even cover sellers ( builders) side closing cost including outages originating fees charged by their own. Mortgage companies. Bill Pulte just mad they kicked him out.

  • @DonC11669
    @DonC11669 ปีที่แล้ว

    People will pay what ever the value of the home. Supplies for lumber are giving the shaft for the goldmine to builders. Federal rates doesn't bother me as much as the cornering the market for supplies. F. J. B.

  • @craigenputtock
    @craigenputtock ปีที่แล้ว

    You'll know the economy is normal "when the average person can afford the average house".... We have a long, long, long way to go before that happens.

  • @donaldwest8130
    @donaldwest8130 ปีที่แล้ว

    Housing prices run up will not be matched by the same percentage of declines.
    We became drunk on low interest rates and excessive debt. Pay more down on your house , 20% to avoid PMI. Build your own home on a piece of land. Pay it off in 10-15 years to control debt in your own life.

  • @TomBTerrific
    @TomBTerrific ปีที่แล้ว

    We need to understand a basic principle. We create the market not the builder. When people are willing to pay more for a home then someone will be there to sell it to them. Of course cost of construction has a significant determination on a home’s value but having willing buyers are also important factors. Look at 2008. The home price dropped like a rock and remained low for 10 years. Couldn’t sell a home often at any price. Where were all of you who are cry about inflated home prices now? The truth of the matter is to many people want something for nothing. The are special and deserve the best of everything when in reality only their mommy agrees with them. Live within your means! If you’re not happy with what that affords you then improve your earning abilities but don’t look for me or anyone else to do it for you!

  • @SoundBound101
    @SoundBound101 ปีที่แล้ว

    6% is falling? Pffgffft

  • @kevanswi38
    @kevanswi38 ปีที่แล้ว

    The real problem is these banks and their investment portfolios. They drove up the prices and now average Americans are priced out. Families should not be a specialized tool for the rich.

  • @tomisakin
    @tomisakin ปีที่แล้ว

    Hooooolllldd!!!

  • @michaelmc608
    @michaelmc608 ปีที่แล้ว

    So we’re stacking the deck where it’s going to be better to buy a new home thus driving down pre-existing homes down?
    Here in a few years the housing market will be just the the new vs used automotive industry.

  • @janetcross2797
    @janetcross2797 ปีที่แล้ว

    Say like bull ?

  • @gregshuttleworth4465
    @gregshuttleworth4465 ปีที่แล้ว

    House broke america. I’ve been told I can’t find an fair priced house cause a home usually sells for 300000 where I live. I say “watch me”😊

  • @coughsyrup6032
    @coughsyrup6032 ปีที่แล้ว

    Rate buy downs eventually go back to the APR that exist now. What a stupid trick to get buyers into thinking they aren't getting hosed in 3 years.

  • @ricks8058
    @ricks8058 ปีที่แล้ว

    Housing investment has caused the largest disparity for the average person. You have turned 'home' into commodity and now people cannot afford higher rent. Anyone else noticed the homeless camps.

    • @georgetuider654
      @georgetuider654 ปีที่แล้ว

      I recently visited a large homeless camp to ask if the high home prices were the reason they were "un-housed". The majority or respondents said something like: "rsval gobla zija..." and then peed all over themselves.

    • @ricks8058
      @ricks8058 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@georgetuider654 well yes, there is that. During shutdowns I noticed the crack heads next door weren't stealing water or out committing crime. As soon as gov quit paying, right back to stealing water. I'm stuck in the middle. Their choices consequences are obvious as all ours but then again they did not trespass others until desperation set in.

  • @svencejohanson9051
    @svencejohanson9051 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I dunno - things are worth what people will pay for it. How confusing is this?

  • @cyberbaz2005
    @cyberbaz2005 ปีที่แล้ว

    The title is absurd. The guest said his company "right now is a little bit of cautious" while pointing out their outstanding earnings.

  • @mamafane4584
    @mamafane4584 ปีที่แล้ว

    spot on