Could Harris Actually Win North Carolina?
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 23 ก.ย. 2024
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Recent voting trends and emerging scandals are making the Democrats more optimistic about winning North Carolina in what would be a major coup in the electoral college. So in this video, we explain why this is happening and whether NC could go blue.
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CORRECTION: At 4:28, we date Robinson's Facebook post on the Holocaust "March 19th, 2028", when it should be "March 19th, 2018". Apologies for this error, and we hope you nonetheless enjoyed the video!
How does that happen?
@@siohunndai By accidently hitting a 2 instead of a 1? It's not hard to see how
@@siohunndai you see, either you make a typo or you copy and paste but forget to change the 2.
@@siohunndai I mean "How does that happened?" is also a similar typo.
@@DGAMINGDE How does that get PAST though? They do stuff like this EVERY VIDEO
Demographics play a huge role in determining a state's swing status and in the case of NC its trending Democrat.
what on earth, this robinson guy is absolutely insane😂😂
Ya, he's so bad it's funny watching his political campaign try to come up with positive points. Currently he's claiming he's a family man.
Possible -- black turnout will be higher, comparable to Obama's runs. Mark Robinson's extremism may also help Democrats turn out & win.
She can thank Mark Robinson if she wins North Carolina.
Short answer yes. And we have Mark Robinson to thank for that. 😂
I never thought about my state of NC being this important, but ever since 2020 I've been deep into politics because I understand the importance because this is what shape MY life for the future. I live in Charlotte NC and I have conversations with people almost every day about Trump and let me tell you NC is NOT feeling Trump.
Thank you Mr Robinson for your contribution 😂
The Republicans have a way of picking them, huh.
if mark robinson can time travel why did he still fail so hard
This is similiar to what happened in Virginia. VA was a republican state until 2008, when the demographics changes swung the state blue. Ever since, it's been a mostly Democratic state even with the GOP being strong in the rural areas and Virginia Beach. The same thing's happening in North Carolina and has been for the last 25-30 years, but has gained momentum in the last 3-6 years. As pointed out in the video, Charlotte and Raileigh are fast growing urban centers. The fact that Mark Robinson's a very objectionable candidate morally and politically along with the changes in demographics will make the state swing blue due to the immigrant communities in the large metro areas.
Was that real life uncle ruckus?
"entirely unprompted, called himself a black Nazi"😂😂😂
the way you pronounce raleigh causes me physical pain
😂agree, obviously he has never heard of Sir Walter or had a bike in the 1980's!
Election analysts have stressed that it's rare for lower races (the governorship) to affect top of the ticket races (the president). Also, it's relatively common for voters to split the president and governor votes (R for President and D for Governor, or the reverse).
not him calling it "riley" lmao
I think she gains NC but loses Georgia in return. I have a feeling the map of 2024 will bear true to 2020, but with Arizona and Georgia turning red and North Carolina blue.
Maybe
So still a democratic win then?
@@quintuscrinis8032 yeah. I don't see her losing the rust belt, which is already exactly 270 I believe
Love how calm Zac is. Great host
I'm European, following the US election because of it's worldwide impact on geopolitics and economy.
I just finished reading an article in my local newspaper, stating that the margins in the polls for both Clinton and Biden 6 weeks before their respective elections, were larger.
Because of the importance of the electoral college, and taking into account that historically the polls underestimated the Trump vote, the article concludes that Trump is most likely to become the next potus.
And no, that doesn't make me happy at all. But things are what they are.
How is it that you guys ended up with a system where the minority of the voters can decide who takes power? That seems like the absolute opposite of democracy to me.
i like this presenter's voice
I'll vote for her, vote blue no matter who!
Do you have bills you are paying for right now? Don't worry, I already know the answer based on your "vote blue". We love the activitism but there is still a reality for most of us working.
@@henryjoe4477unless you are rich republicans aren’t gonna help you my guy.
@@henryjoe4477 i understaand that but the great experiment matters too. every generation must ensure its continuation. there is a boom and bust cycle. you prosper in 2010s and suffer in the 2020s and prosper again in 2030a. donald trumps tariffs will triple the inflation. most of the additional costs are the price gouging
Mr beast is 100% voting blue
Riley? 😂
TLDR's gross mispronunciations are a feature, not a bug ; ).
Why is the Brilliant ad at the end of the video bootlicking for world leaders? Have you seen the state the world is in? Either Brilliant is bad, or World Leaders aren't using it. Weird pitch.
I like they using this guy more in presenting these vids
4:28
"Mark Robinson. March 19th 2028"
Was that a typo, or does that mean that he is GOING to say it 4 years from now?
Dude's scheduling holocaust denial in advance
TLDR Knows the future :D
Guys, for the sake of everyone of us with OCD, please do something with the cardboard piece under the microphone support. I understand you have to pus something but can you at least cut it to the proper size?
It's so weird and exciting to see a whole tldr video dedicated to my home state. Even if it is in part because our lt gov is a fucking disgrace
Colourful history on the internet is now my nomination for euphemism of the year.
Democrats haven’t won NC because of bad black turnout. They’ve consistently won Georgia because they’ve been way more successful at turning out black voters consistently
I seem to be in a liberal minority who think the polling isn't looking good for Harris. Georgia, North Carolina and Arizona look more likely to go for Trump, Florida even more likely to go for Trump, Ohio (remember when that was a swing state? what changed?) is all but certainly for Trump, and Pennsylvania is far too close for comfort when that is essential for Harris to win if she loses those others. Even Nevada is in play - why? If Harris loses all of those states then I struggle to see a path to victory for her. Texas is talked up as moving towards the Democrats, but that's been said for a decade and it never really moves.
Through all of this, remember that the polling consistently underestimates Trump's support in presidential elections. Add 2 or 3 percent to his polling in all of the swing states and he's won by a landslide. Clinton (who still lost) and Biden (who lost the on the day vote) were much further ahead as I recall.
I think the media are talking Harris up to create momentum, and I wish she had it, but I don't see it and i think we are deceiving ourselves if we see the polls favouring Harris.
They could win the governor's seat; and Trump could still win the state. I'm from Maryland, we are a hardcore blue state, but our last governor Larry Hogan was a Republican, and along with him majority voted for Clinton in 2016. So, it could be split, we'll see on election day. Also, with the voting rule changes in Virginia and Georgia that favor Republicans, if they win North Carolina and win those two states, along with either Nevada or Arizona, then Trump will win.
They're somwhow getting worse candidates than Trump for the running.
The margins for the governor would likely be even steeper had this been in 2012, as Trump divided the country so much.
Maybe
According to you guys all 50 states might be blue.
I remember Florida used to be a swing state but isn't anymore. Things change but I reckon NC will go republican
Mark robinson is so bad he feels like a political version of The Producers or if he has political Tourette’s.
Yay its the new guy😅
You drive through it once, so many fucking political adds. Every quarter mile is another democratic slogan add, every two a republican add. All nothing more than stupid party lines. All worthless.
Talk about Pavel Durov giving up to the french government. So sad that privacy, secrecy and data/informational rights are eroding, nobody has the right to not answer the government, everyone will only speak for it
No
march 2028? big typo there
thank you to Mark Robinson for making Harris win 😂
Just go out and vote. All those speculations just feel silly after a decade of polls being constantly wrong. Seriously, I enjoy your videos where you talk about news and actual election results but just go back to watch all of your previous prediction videos about upcoming elections and see how many of them turned out to be right. Not many of them right? Unless someone is like 20% ahead in the polls, it ain't over till election night.
Please learn to pronounce Raleigh correctly
TLDR, I dont think Mark Robinson was able to post a facebook post on March 19th, *2028*
No. Trump is more likely to win Virginia than Harris winning NC.
These wishful thinking videos are getting tiresome.
Polls say otherwise though, with Trump ahead by less than a point in NC, and Harris ahead in VA by 7.5 points.
why does a UK guy talk about american politics?
Because the US is one of the most influential democracies as its election affects the entire world
Why do white guys watch Japanese anime.
If you think that's bad you should see all the Canadian conservative commentators constantly involved in our politics.
I watch your channel often because it has typically been impartial. It’s obviously not so this US election. Can you balance this out with equally pro-Trump videos please? It would be good to see both sides in the same light.
That's like saying listing the issues with smoking cigarettes has to be "balanced" with the positives 🤦 in total scope that itself is biased. Reminds me of "balance" on global warming in the US only.
@chinesesparrows it's funny because they HAVE been balanced in this regard. They made a video a few weeks again about how Trump can win, and a few videos since about how things aren't totally great for Harris either.
There have been plenty of videos showing both sides, i.e. the 3 reasons Trump / Harris can win. This video was absolutely impartial and simply stated the political backstory of NC, what happened and what the consequences could be. Please point out JUST ONE biased point in this whole video. You asking for a "pro-Trump"-Video is implying that this is somehow a "pro-Harris"-Video - where exactly was anything "pro-Harris" said?
(Context, i am not a US citizen but decently well versed in US as well as geopolitics (sadly the US affects the whole world so much that it kinda overlaps).
How was this not balanced? There calling balls and strikes, if that results in your side looking bad, the problem isn’t with the coverage, it’s with the team you’re rooting for.
Kamala surges, can she win Carolina? Can Texas turn blue…. There is a lean and I enjoy this channels content. Would just like to see it provide more context to both equally
Trump the 47 President 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸✡️✝️🙏
I mean, it's certainly a choice to use the symbol of Christian, Judaism and Prayer to promote someone who is the least Christian person I could think of.
The profiteering of the bible was so sacrilegious.
My Fellow American this is my prayer that God will be done who is best for the people of our country .
As for challenging Christianity of the Lesser this is up to God my dear not you .
God protected him from two assassination Attempt for a reason ✡️✝️🙏🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
@sherifsarofim3830 You claim God protected him, blasphemy.
Also I ain't no Yank
@@sherifsarofim3830 Hitler also had assassionation attempts against him
@@TheBTJesus Christ is our protector .
Revise your bible my dear fellow American ♥️🇺🇸🙏✡️✝️
6:50 There's a notable, and repeatable sound glitch here. "If Trump loses North Carolina, there is a '+2)3-;2! Chance of his losing the presidency". What's the exact number? It's just garbled.
10%
4:27 TLDR predicting the future