Kurzweil has delivered the same damn lecture over and over again for 10 years. He started at 20,000 hours. Each time he is able to deliver it exponentially faster. It is my prediction that in another 10 years he will be able to deliver it at an exponentially faster speed in 5 seconds.
A true legend, visionary. Kurzweil is ahead of his time. Listen to every word. It's not the accuracy that matters, it's how powerful his projections are that matter. Key to this is his unique perspective to what computing really is. It's not a chipset. It's a process.
I’m sending some of these future talks out as my holiday cards this year - feeling positive and hopeful based on intelligent info is truly a gift that keeps on giving.
Regulation is what makes housing expensive. You don't see Ray addressing that aspect. Expect exponential federal, state, and local regulation in the future.
Kurzweil fears death. Hence his "accelerated, exponential growth of information technology" theory. Because his moment of "singularity" is imperative within his life time. Or what's the point?
It's a great gauge of the audience. The Google guys laughed their hearts out and then you have ppl who just don't 'get' it. The thing about the broken heart joke is not how often Ray repeats it, but it's the fact that broken hearts will be 'mended' by technology sooner and subtler than you think. So the joke is actually on us.
Dear Ray, as always a very interesting and convincing speech. Bravo. But let me project your thoughts further into our future. How can it be that the upheavals described by you can come to a halt? For it is obvious that today's significant developments and upheavals will not continue for the next 1,000, 2,000 or 10,000 years. How and when can the statics which have determined the last 5,000 years of human civilization be introduced again? With only extremely moderate and only gradual iterative steps on both a material/economic and a spiritual/scientific level. Can you please think about that? Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator
I dont think this is obvious. It depends on the fact of whether you believe it is possible to invent every possible thing in the universe and then again whether you feel we are always going to be constrained by the limits of our universe
@@ubiguy2137 Yeah, right. We will do every thing that is conceivable and possible. And that we are restricted by the boundaries of THE SEIN that define who we are seems to me unquestionable. And that we can leave the boundary conditions of the universe - in which we find ourselves at this time - behind us.
@@silberlinie we are restricted for now. If the pace of change is so fast, and the innovation keeps on increasing, who says we wouldn't be able to travel to, although theorized for now, parallel universes.
Not to get too political but most of the world isn't employed even on the small side of the ladder of work. With increases in efficiency, the reduction of work, will only be possible for societies that limit inflows of immigration if they would like to keep having children at the same rate. Other than that a great looking glass into the future.
is it though? Look at the innovation behind Apple's chipset. Do you know why Intel does not have chipset in mobile phones today? Precisely because they failed to plan to have "phones that are twice as fast for half the price". Look at it this way; if your technology can't compete, you wont exist.
are you sure? I bought the 6s two years ago. that was the flagship. the iphone x comes out this year. those phones are night and day. our expectations are so high now that we don't even notice how advanced this tech really is in such a small time.
exactly. The other way to look at it is this, in two years time, what your iphone X can do or looks like; is going to be old and easily mimicked in cheaper Android phones.
It's also funny how soon we forget that phones with sliding keyboards were the biggest thing just a few years ago, now even homeless people have touch-screens. It's just like your dog gaining weight, you don't realize they are, because you are with them every single day.
Kurzweil has delivered the same damn lecture over and over again for 10 years. He started at 20,000 hours. Each time he is able to deliver it exponentially faster. It is my prediction that in another 10 years he will be able to deliver it at an exponentially faster speed in 5 seconds.
I like that he is consistent. Proves his point that through the years he is able to do the same talk and it still holds true.
A true legend, visionary. Kurzweil is ahead of his time. Listen to every word. It's not the accuracy that matters, it's how powerful his projections are that matter. Key to this is his unique perspective to what computing really is. It's not a chipset. It's a process.
Yes, except the track record of accuracy is *why* we should listen.
Plus the broken heart joke :P
A.G.I Will be man's last invention
Ray is the best. Thanks for the upload / sharing with us.
The world of physical things will become information.
I’m sending some of these future talks out as my holiday cards this year - feeling positive and hopeful based on intelligent info is truly a gift that keeps on giving.
I can't wait for this to apply to Apple products❗️
Job of doctors and nurse should be automated as soon as possible
The Singularity Is Near
Regulation is what makes housing expensive. You don't see Ray addressing that aspect. Expect exponential federal, state, and local regulation in the future.
Kurzweil fears death. Hence his "accelerated, exponential growth of information technology" theory. Because his moment of "singularity" is imperative within his life time. Or what's the point?
The heart is where great wisdom comes from not the brain. Humanity therefore needs to work on that and the rest will follow
If I had a penny for each time he tells that broken heart joke...
Well, probably we're gonna hear it for a next decade or so. Until it comes true.
It's a great gauge of the audience. The Google guys laughed their hearts out and then you have ppl who just don't 'get' it. The thing about the broken heart joke is not how often Ray repeats it, but it's the fact that broken hearts will be 'mended' by technology sooner and subtler than you think. So the joke is actually on us.
I've noticed that he always repeats that joke, but it's understandable considering that he's speaking to different audiences each time.
Old man habits, same stories, same jokes...
yeah, you'd have like 53 cents!
In 1990 a new video game cost $60. In 2018 they now cost $60+DLC.
Drew Holzinger your speaking of AAA titles , not ALL video games. That is also going to change when their marketing scheme bubble pops.
In 1990, we had games that looked like Super Mario World. In 2016, we had games that looked like Uncharted 4.
A.I and biology need to merge
I got some words of knowledge fo ya! ( Maisor sopeñasco, sor so, peñasco. Sor so peñssco, sor so, peñasco...? )
Dear Ray, as always a very interesting and convincing speech.
Bravo.
But let me project your thoughts further into our future.
How can it be that the upheavals described by you can come to a halt?
For it is obvious that today's significant developments and
upheavals will not continue for the next 1,000, 2,000 or 10,000 years.
How and when can the statics which have determined the
last 5,000 years of human civilization be introduced again?
With only extremely moderate and only gradual iterative steps
on both a material/economic and a spiritual/scientific level.
Can you please think about that?
Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator
I dont think this is obvious. It depends on the fact of whether you believe it is possible to invent every possible thing in the universe and then again whether you feel we are always going to be constrained by the limits of our universe
@@ubiguy2137 Yeah, right. We will do every thing that is conceivable and possible.
And that we are restricted by the boundaries of THE SEIN that define who we are seems to me unquestionable.
And that we can leave the boundary conditions of the universe - in which we find ourselves at this time - behind us.
@@silberlinie we are restricted for now. If the pace of change is so fast, and the innovation keeps on increasing, who says we wouldn't be able to travel to, although theorized for now, parallel universes.
@@silberlinie as we merge with technology I believe we will have greater and greater governance over the dimensions of string theory.
@@ubiguy2137 The nail on the head.
Not to get too political but most of the world isn't employed even on the small side of the ladder of work. With increases in efficiency, the reduction of work, will only be possible for societies that limit inflows of immigration if they would like to keep having children at the same rate. Other than that a great looking glass into the future.
ray is a legend but to continuously purport you can "get a phone 2 years later twice as good for half the price" is complete BULLSHIT
Twice as fast, not "good".
is it though? Look at the innovation behind Apple's chipset. Do you know why Intel does not have chipset in mobile phones today? Precisely because they failed to plan to have "phones that are twice as fast for half the price". Look at it this way; if your technology can't compete, you wont exist.
are you sure? I bought the 6s two years ago. that was the flagship. the iphone x comes out this year. those phones are night and day. our expectations are so high now that we don't even notice how advanced this tech really is in such a small time.
exactly. The other way to look at it is this, in two years time, what your iphone X can do or looks like; is going to be old and easily mimicked in cheaper Android phones.
It's also funny how soon we forget that phones with sliding keyboards were the biggest thing just a few years ago, now even homeless people have touch-screens. It's just like your dog gaining weight, you don't realize they are, because you are with them every single day.
Can you imagine the poetry and art coming from a population that has never wanted for anything in their entire lives?
BLAH❗️😕
It will all be reboots and reimaginings of past creative work.