Historically, increasing productivity didn't disturb demand here is why. when software costs reduce due to productivity, many business can afford now digital transformation so more software needed and diffidently more developers will be needed.
That's an interesting perspective. On the other hand I don't think it's going to be accurate in this case. Probably half of the programmers are working in startups, which are in deep crisis now. The real (non-artificial) demand for software isn't that big. But even if it's not the case - it's not the programmers who will be more in demand, but ML and maybe DevOps engineers. What do you think?
I think that doesnt really apply here there is already more development jobs on the market than people to do the jobs, however if developers across the board become more efficent it means that many non senior roles will quickly vanish because there simply is no need.
Good question. As I mentioned in the video I don't think programming is going to be fully automated, but could be optimised enough for the demand for programmers go down. This could also affect ML, DevOps and data engineering but this impact is likely to be balanced by the increased demand for new models
I am about a year into a digital media technology degree, that I am using to learn web development. I am afraid that I won't be able to get a job and that what I am learning could be a waste of time and money. This is seriously messing with my mental health, and motivation. What do you think?
I'm in the same situation as you. It is quite frustrating. At the moment it seems like companies will still need architects/maintainers to ensure solutions are built, tested and deployed properly, domain-specific knowledge will also remain important. Though, I don't know how long that will be the case at this rate of AI improvement. People like David Shapiro are estimating we will have AGI in 18 months. I just find it rather poetic that a few years ago people were telling truckers to learn to code because all of their jobs were going to be automated away.
Hi there, thanks for asking. First, I am very sorry to hear your motivation and mental health are affected. It's totally not fair and you didn't deserve it. I am also worried, to be honest with you. But I believe there's literally nothing we could do - we can't stop AI development neither we can predict what is going to happen to the job market next year or even next month. The world is a mess. That being said, I also know what it's like in Uni. It feels so boring and non interesting, curriculum is often outdated and honestly young people are going through extremely turbulent time even when there's no job to worry about. My personal and honest advice - bite your teeth and complete the uni. Do not drop out because you feel demotivated. The truth is - you might be never motivated, because studies are rough. Even if web-devs are not going to be in demand - you will still be better positioned than most of the people because you will know how computers work and you will be able to get more demanded qualification sooner than everyone else.
I guess it depends on what you mean by "interesting". If you enjoy pair programming with another person I can't say if AI is going to be a feasible alternative. On the other hand, if you ask me if AI assistant could have same benefits as pairing with someone - I would say, yes, I do believe it is possible
Historically, increasing productivity didn't disturb demand here is why.
when software costs reduce due to productivity, many business can afford now digital transformation so more software needed and diffidently more developers will be needed.
That's an interesting perspective.
On the other hand I don't think it's going to be accurate in this case.
Probably half of the programmers are working in startups, which are in deep crisis now.
The real (non-artificial) demand for software isn't that big.
But even if it's not the case - it's not the programmers who will be more in demand, but ML and maybe DevOps engineers.
What do you think?
I think that doesnt really apply here there is already more development jobs on the market than people to do the jobs, however if developers across the board become more efficent it means that many non senior roles will quickly vanish because there simply is no need.
@@drolay2 exactly!
What makes you think ML, DevOps and data enfineering are not going to be automated?
Good question. As I mentioned in the video I don't think programming is going to be fully automated, but could be optimised enough for the demand for programmers go down.
This could also affect ML, DevOps and data engineering but this impact is likely to be balanced by the increased demand for new models
I am about a year into a digital media technology degree, that I am using to learn web development. I am afraid that I won't be able to get a job and that what I am learning could be a waste of time and money. This is seriously messing with my mental health, and motivation. What do you think?
I'm in the same situation as you. It is quite frustrating. At the moment it seems like companies will still need architects/maintainers to ensure solutions are built, tested and deployed properly, domain-specific knowledge will also remain important. Though, I don't know how long that will be the case at this rate of AI improvement. People like David Shapiro are estimating we will have AGI in 18 months. I just find it rather poetic that a few years ago people were telling truckers to learn to code because all of their jobs were going to be automated away.
Hi there, thanks for asking. First, I am very sorry to hear your motivation and mental health are affected. It's totally not fair and you didn't deserve it.
I am also worried, to be honest with you. But I believe there's literally nothing we could do - we can't stop AI development neither we can predict what is going to happen to the job market next year or even next month. The world is a mess.
That being said, I also know what it's like in Uni. It feels so boring and non interesting, curriculum is often outdated and honestly young people are going through extremely turbulent time even when there's no job to worry about. My personal and honest advice - bite your teeth and complete the uni. Do not drop out because you feel demotivated. The truth is - you might be never motivated, because studies are rough.
Even if web-devs are not going to be in demand - you will still be better positioned than most of the people because you will know how computers work and you will be able to get more demanded qualification sooner than everyone else.
@@henry-js Hi Hentry - check my comment to @Cptndunsel
What about pair programming? Is AI going to make pair programming less interesting since every developer can have an AI buddy?
I guess it depends on what you mean by "interesting".
If you enjoy pair programming with another person I can't say if AI is going to be a feasible alternative.
On the other hand, if you ask me if AI assistant could have same benefits as pairing with someone - I would say, yes, I do believe it is possible