As Positions Keep Falling This Is Ukraine's Last Chance, Although It Risks Everything - War Analyst
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 10 ต.ค. 2024
- G'day Legends, I hope you're doing well,
Today we talk about the Ukrainian Offensive into Kursk and Russia's Eastern offensive into Pokrovsk and look at the war map updates & relevant news.
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I served in the Australian Infantry from 2014-2021, With specialist qualifications in Heavy Weapons/Anti-Armour, Combat First Aid, With a tour to Afghanistan as a crew commander of a Armoured Mobility Vehicle.
Upon my Return I was unexpectedly diagnosed with a Incurable and Inoperable Brain tumour that is slowly killing me. I was also awarded the Queens Order of Australia Medal (OAM) hence the post nominals after my name. Then Being medically separated from the Army I flew to Ukraine in 2022 for 6.5months and now make content full time. I really appreciate you being here Thankyou
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Last chance was in 2022 to say no to Boris Johnson.
This is actually true. Ukraine fell for there own propaganda and early victories gave them a big head. Now the bear is woke
exactly
The Istambul deal was the best deal they could have took but they decided to hear a wanker with a bale of hay for hair.
Zelensky is an Mi6 agent, he couldn't say no to Boris!
@@checkmilu
He's not even that. He's a short, tiny puppet boy who gladly does what he's told and gets handsomely paid. He's also a very bad actor.
Ukraine never had a chance.
One out of a million😂
Yes they did "Minsk" was their last chance.
@@nightdipper5178 that's fair
If they ever did, it was in the autumn of 2022, but they wasted resources and manpower trying to hold on to positions for pr purposes instead of retreating strategically to more fortified defenses.
@@sarahbrown5073 that's a mistake they keep making, over and over again. Throwing good troops away for PR victories
Mate, let it go. Ukraine ain't going to win.
It's over, the videos are getting worse. They need a Is miracle that isn't coming
@@sshumkaer even Rambo, Tom Cruise and Chuck Norris can't make a difference 😁
@@elbibwen3019 Don't forgot Keanu Reeves aka John wick :)
🦥💦🇺🇦
At least they pulled the children out of the line of fire. Since the launch of the SMO started, we don’t hear about dead kids in the Donbas like we did prior to it…. Unlike some other theatres.
Ukranian hard line nationalists have alot to answer for.
And their international Zio backers!
Any group that deals with the American unitary is dooming their country to disaster.
I don't disagree, but So do the common people following along with it and not being more proactive about their health and safety by leaving when it first kicked off.
Russian Nationalism GOOD. Ukrainian Nationalism BAD.
@@4411825 Funny aren't the Russians fighting Nazi's not Zioanists? Hmmm almost like you are part of a certain group...who supports a certain painter.
Willy. No mate, it's over.
This is the "Sunk Cost Fallacy" chasing your losses.
Sunk cost fallacy is the hallmark of Ukrainian doctrine. Bahkmut, the offensive and now Kursk.
Yea he's an id iot.
Even his comments about the knowing the summer offensive was destined to fail is cope. He was on here everyday cheerleading for more weapons, more aggressive offensive and plotting how it could be successful.
For Russia this war was one big sunk cost fallacy as well
@@mam0lechinookclan607 sure, buddy.
Agree... I go back to this silly Pride they have.. Lots of small countries live peacefully with Super powers as neighbours not being a threat to them... ukranians forgot they are Slavs..
40+ average age of soldiers is nothing! Russia has now sentenced a 72(!) years old US mercenary to 6 years jail (which is lifetime for him). Did you hear about those mercenaries from Colombia who were flying home? "Viva! We made it alive!" Only that they had to switch planes in Venezuela for the last leg of the trip, where the Police got curious because they were wearing Ukrainian uniforms (really smart guys!) So they were sent to Russia and got sentenced to jail for life.
😂😂😂😂😂😂 i heard about this
Imagine coming from a country wrecked by USA imperialism to fight for a country that got roped into a war For USA imperialism..only to end captured and rotting the rest of your life in Russian jail.
Propaganda...
@cockyrustler reap what u sow😅
@@massib4523 Don't forget they are humans most of which have probably been misled and misinformed.. I pity the victims on all sides... such senseless wars...
Ukraine has already lost, Willy. You have to drop the Anglo-bias, that the Anglo-Americans are the good guys of this world.
Wow the Russian bots on this channel are unreal😂😂
@@ddd45125this is a real person telling you this, it's finished.
Russia cannot win . they simply do not have the human resources
@@ddd45125 yes, quite worrying
@@ddd45125 wow the NAFO bots on this channel are unreal🤣🤣
When it is over the people who started it will shake hands. But children will grow without their fathers.
Sadly but probably the truth 🤦🏾♂️
No they won’t.
@@OlegUshyarovur an idiot lmao
Fathers, brothers, husbands, uncles. And don't forget sisters, wives and mothers. And how does a parent ever cope with losing a child? Maybe wonderboy can answer this since he has such a vivid imagination.
Zelensky will be jailed or dead.
Gonzola Lira said the same thing about the future and generation of Ukrainian in high risk , He adviced the war should stop and accept the new reality. One week after they took him and you know the rest of the story. He really loved Ukraine as I do but they didn't let him to live 😢
RIP Gonnzalo, he paid with his life for speaking up against the Evil Empire.
Dude, Ukraine never stood a chance. We all know how this is going to end. Stop with the cope
Go look at the pro Ukraine channels, every video is talking about how they are winning. The cope must be a good drug because they are hooked bud!
He cant help himself
To be fair a large amount of people including myself it would fall under three weeks. Russia took it's time.
@@balasaashti3146because they’re a conventional fight force that got billions in arms but then again Russia was rusty and tactically inept
@@balasaashti3146 Yeah that was silly, Russia definitely made a mistake when they underestimated Ukraine but they woke up eventually, now we're here.
Ukrainian last chance ? Ukraine does not have a chance and you know it dude
He's a heartless MF
Neither do Russia. There will be only losers in this war.
And you know it.
@@brianrasmussen2956 with a gain of a larger army and tactical experience in a modern warfare scenario on top of the gain of territory that also is very rich natural resources... Russia is not the loser in this😂
@@brianrasmussen2956 no. No. Russia won
WTF are you talking about?
Who cares about your 2 month training when a 3 tonn glide boom lands nearby?
Yeah no air support no manpower no shells no chance
@@supermanhun NO NATO
@@WewasAtamans Yea, he's delusional.
Typical western centric nafo.
...and it doesn't matter how many soldiers you force to the front when you lack artillery and AA interceptors.
@@sarahbrown5073man power is the issue
Forget about Ukrainian victories and just face the reality as so many young people in Ukraine have and decided to either leave the country or hide within the country.
Some people believe the propaganda that Ukraine has only lost 70,000 soldiers KIA but the real number is over 1.1 million soldiers KIA and the simple logic is that even looking at lowering the conscription age from 27 to 25 years there are only 120,000 men in that range so chances are that lowering the age to 18 will mean something like 200,000 soldiers but looking at the Ukrainian KIA numbers these possible conscription numbers will not help Ukraine achieve any so called victory plan.
No one knows how many casualties, but I suspect it's much less than is reported.
Large chunk of military age citizens are living abroad. I'm from Sri Lanka and even here Ukrainians are setting up small business and trying to settle here. There are at least 10 fit Ukrainian dudes coming to our gym who are not tourists anymore. They're regulars 1-2 years now. There used to be more Russians than Ukrainians until last year. Now most of the Russians seem to have returned home.
Cut your losses! Don't throw your good money where the bad ones are. When the Austrian Emperor Franz Joseph I (yes, the same guy still in power when WW1 broke out 48 years later!) began the 7 weeks war with Prussia poorly. Instead of beating the dead horse, he accepted a quick peace. And then allied with the Prussians! Perfectly rationally, because now Prussia was the up-and-coming power to bet on (especially since their previous allied France didn't manage to make a move). No emotions involved. A war between leaders of governments, not at all between peoples. Rational wars are the least bloody ones.
A chess grand master who loses a piece without compensation doesn't keep on playing until the clock runs out. He accepts the obviously inevitable defeat immediately as the mistake is realized. To not do it is nothing but being officially stupid. Today's Western politicians, and of course all of their voters, lack ability to understand anything at all. They are incapable of foresight and acceptance of causality, their minds swimming in a made up fantasy of mad lies and denial of reality. Like Darius whipping the Sea to punish it for the storm that destroyed his bridge to Greece.
It's only because of the advent of Democracy that the wars of the 20th century have become "existential". That concept is a mentally ill bug in the heads of uneducated idiots. During the previous thousand years there was nothing "existential" with European wars. War is a gentleman's game that only peasants take seriously, because they confuse war with animosity, and alliance with friendship. But a state is not a human being, a state doesn't have any emotions. There's a huge conceptual difference between being the head of a state, and "being the state". As mentally sick as if a chess player believed that he "is" that wooden King piece on the board. Democracy necessarily ends with mass murder of everyone! Only the olden Monarchies with Princes competing with arms can guarantee true peace!
Ideology, nationalism, these were the tools employed in the total wars of the 20th century. How abysmally these total wars worked out for almost all nations involved is a matter of glaring historical record
Based. Post that on a blog or something else which is permanent, because a comment section just isn't the place. You're casting pearls before swine.
Yes, it's only rhetoric, but it's damn good rhetoric.
Some wars were exactly as you brilliantly describe. European States trying to mantain a balance of power in the continent. Anti Spanish coalition first, then alliance against France, then against Germany.
On the other hand, there were also existential wars, that because of a multiplicity of circunstances decided the fate of States and even peoples.
Hellenized Anatolia was destroyed by the Turks and disappeared for the rest of time.
The Eastern Roman Empire was fighting an existential war, while the Prussian-Austrian war was just a political war in which only hegemony in the German cultural territory was at stake.
I suspect that a very existential crisis, in the long run war, is brewing in Europe and the USA.
@@luismariagomezdearanda5319 I have to agree with this quote
"Today's Western politicians, and of course all of their voters, lack ability to understand anything at all. They are incapable of foresight and acceptance of causality, their minds swimming in a made up fantasy of mad lies and denial of reality."
Just look at the current European migrant and refugee crisis, they are all busy blaming refugees and migrant for coming to Europe instead of addressing the root cause of the crisis which basically emanates from endless Middle East wars in search of empire, the Libyan intervention in 2011 used jihadis to remove Gadaffi the Jihadis have now spread to Libya's neighbors like Chad, Niger, Mali and Burkina Faso creating thousands of refugees, the same thing happened in Syria, in Iraq they lie to create a false war then a power vacuum that leads to the creation of ISIS, in Iran they had a denuclearization treaty but violate the treaty and reimpose sanctions creating economic migrants, then Pakistan and Afghanistan. Come to think of it even 911 was done by the people who they trained and armed.
Instead of accepting reality and stopping the needless foreign wars and interventions they decide to pay billions to Albania and Turkiye to host migrants and refugees. The poor economic conditions in Europe caused by unnecessary sanctions on Russia all because of NATO expansion.
Your 2nd paragraph I believe to be accurate and the analogy very interesting and informative 😊
To the last Ukrainian was a promise and a threat
Yeah. By Lindsey Effing Graham.
conflict started 2oo8 at Bucharest Nato Summit declaring *to take* ( just like that ) Ukraine and Georgia in alliance, despite Russia's countless objections and security concerns - it's highly recommended to listen Vladimir Putin's address at Munich Security Conference 2oo7 for understanding root cause
Yep, that war was started by NATO, not Russia.
Russia try to avoid war... Until it was forced to get into to protect Russia interest...
The roots of this go even further. Whoever says Russia attacked unprovoked should see this first. I mean they tried to resolve this with the West through dialogue for a long time.
Michael Gorbachev (1997) - Washington DC
th-cam.com/video/Upifey9fw-E/w-d-xo.htmlsi=eWf-G0tP1V-G-VY8
Vladimir Putin (2008) - NATO Summit, Bucharest, Romania
th-cam.com/video/7OhwyHulNjY/w-d-xo.htmlsi=QTKOJoTzYJTES3zo
Whoever wants to understand why this conflict happened should see this. It's hard to blame Russia for not trying diplomacy.
Michael Gorbachev (1997) - Washington DC
th-cam.com/video/Upifey9fw-E/w-d-xo.htmlsi=eWf-G0tP1V-G-VY8
Vladimir Putin (2008) - NATO Summit, Bucharest, Romania
th-cam.com/video/7OhwyHulNjY/w-d-xo.htmlsi=QTKOJoTzYJTES3zo
Hungría presidió el consejo EU en 2011 , Croacia y Ukr solicitaron entrar ,quien veto la entrada de Ukr ? Fue RU en la ONU o Hungría influenciada x RU? ,el bloqueo empezó mucho antes de la guerra esos errores que los pagué quien los cometió,no fue Z.
How the hell russian loosing more man when they have 10:1 fire advantage? Math do not add up
It’s called propaganda.
Obviously they learned how to count from the Israelis.
I want to know who this Ukrainian hero is that goes behind the enemy lines everyday along the 1200km of frontlines and counts the Russian casualties for the Ukrainian ministry of defence
Propaganda mate
"It's 1:3 rule matey... "
“Victory has many fathers. Defeat is an orphan”- George Washington
Kennedy said this in a news conference on April 21, 1961, after the Bay of Pigs invasion of Cuba. JFK is who the quote is attributed to not George Washington
@@gnaw8791A meaningless statement just like JFK's " It is not what your country can do for you ..." . A country that does very little for the governed but a lot for the governing class .
Ukraine war is over
The last chance was the 2023 summer offensive because that's when Ukraine was at the height of its military capabilities. They didn't even manage to break through the Surovikin line in a single position.
Considering they will NEVER have more manpower or equipment than they did back then, there is no chance of winning. That's pretty basic logic.
It's amazing how many people seem incapable of this deceptively simple thought process.
Willy is still waiting for Steiner to change this game for good
Let's be honest, Willy still the only pro ukrainian channel that has touched grass, ever.
@@charlieperaltaf maybe… but in this particular video he sure seems to be trying to convince us that Ukraine should delete its entire male population so maybe he needs to touch a bit more
@@charlieperaltaf the bar is low, now you need just to pretend to be human in order to deserve a place at the "Garden"
Seriously, what's the hell up with such mediocrity? Governments should take notes "touch some grass, very little, and establishment would be ecstatic
Russia won 18 months ago when not only sanctions failed but they stimulated the Russian economy!
But Denys says Ukraine is winning and Combat Veteran backs Denys'. Claims.😭
Lmao combat vet just dropped a video talking about how Ukraine is winning and Denys just ignores all bad information.
Denys should go back if he's so confident. Almost 2 years since he ran away
@@supermanhunDude just only care about his YT views and patron donations. Lol
Makes thousands every day off this war
@@showdown66 war racketeers.
Willy, you need to wake from the nightmare! This war was over months ago. Mobilize what, Mobilize who? Time to admit you wet the bed and get up and change your depends.
The fact that Willy still think Ukraine has some imaginary capability that when it implements, it can win really shows how weak many of us think in the west.
Conscription is absolute madness, anyone who was motivated and willing to fight has already signed up and many met a terrible fate. Why throw more people into the meat grinder? Especially young people that is deeply wrong... Ukraine is cooked they should sue for peace while its still possible.
Sure Bennie Boo-boo, just give up, just roll over, just bend the knee - Ask the Roma; Jews, Communists and the disabled how well this worked out for them in WW 2 ?
How I wish this war had never started. The EU and Nato refused to address Russias concerns while at the same time knowing of the Monroe Doctrine. Why did America have to deploy missiles at Russias border when both sides were becoming friends?
Like friends do, Russia allowed weapons top pass through Russia to Afghanistan and sold helicopters to America for Afghanistan.
The reason for NATO existence is the constant presence of a powerful enemy. Preferably one that falls in the area that wouldn't start a war anytime soon but you can always point a finger and say "SEE!!!!" and NATO is a money machine to certain industries and people that want to expand their influence.
20 /20 i guess
@@indian2003 the left in the states wanted an enemy. Remember when Obama told Putin that after the election he would have more leeway. Then they made Russia the boogie man after that. Told Romney that his views belonged in the cold war, etc. It's weird how that happened
Look on the bright side. For 20 years Russia tried to cater towards the west, be a part of the west. An alliance with Russia could've guaranteed American hegemony for another half century. But the monumental incompetence of western neocon politicians basically forced Russia to pivot eastwards and unified Eurasia into an independent economic and strategic block. Now assuming we can avoid a nuclear war we might actually witness the end of western hegemony this decade.
@@ChuckPalomo beautifully put.even a 1 to 1 alliance on so called equal terms Americans would still have had absolute superiority in the agreement due to their technical financial economy advantage. The Russians would still be inferior in a said agreement by default.
Mate, you are leaving in lalaland. Everyone is writing for the last six months that west is out of equipment and amo.
So.... Where are you going to get all those above from?
Draw them on the paper or scribble to Santa as a Christmas wish?
manoeuvre has been made irrelevant by the effects of ISR in this war. everyone knows where everyone is at all times, moving is just a waste of fuel and any move made is countered by counter move and its just back to square 1 facing off against each other. it is attrition of manpower, equipment and ammunition. to survive in this war you need to make yourself not worth the rocket barrage. this is WHY you see all the fights being very small scale in most places along the open fields, because if anyone brings a large tank regiment, you bet your ass they will get hit with expensive things rockets that take time to replenish. this entire conflict is heavily relying upon the principal of war "economy of effort/material"
Yes. War did change. Until some portable holographic projectors are invented the battlefield will be completely transparent.
They are demographically done for. Any more mobilization will only make things worse.
What?
@@alexfoote8518 Have you not looked at the demographics in Ukraine? They can't afford to fight to the last Ukrainian. There will be no more Ukrainians if they do so. There won't be enough people to carry on their culture.
Attritional War
1. between Ukraine and Russia
2. between Russia and NATO
3. between NATO and Russia, China, Brics ???
Now Imagine the industrial power and sheer numbers in China .. No shot US can take em on in a land fight ... Maybe a Naval stalemate
For the reasons you just listed, The idea that Ukraine has a positive kill to loss ratio is LAUGHABLE 😂😂😂
bro repeats it every single video without a shred of evidence. At least once a week he will do a deep dive into RU losses
Their is no real truthful k/d ratio as both sides lie about it. Any news sources that say they know the number is bs because they are not out in the field counting bodies. The death count is high on both sides based off videos I seen from both sides. Literally seen videos Dead Russians everywhere after a battle. Same for Ukraine too. Brothers just killing each other off.
They simply don't have the demographics. Essentially, the Ukraine probably had an available population of not more than 35 million people in January 2022. Some ten million of these fled the country leaving around 25 million. We can estimate that there have been over 450,000 combat related casualties and another 1 million people in the military. Essentially leaving 23 million. Some 11 million males are, therefore available for the military. Over two thirds of these are either too old and sick or too young to fight. This leaves 3 to 4 million males of fighting age.... Unfortunately, this is the same demographic that makes the econonmy run. Therefore, the Ukraine probably has fewer than 2 million young men of fighting age available.
The Russian population is much larger with over 145 million people. This gives the Russians a pool of some 25 to 30 million young men of fighting age.
The Ukraine reported 800,000 live births in 2023. However, the Ukraine reported over 2.4 million deaths. The war is probably the major cause of death. The Ukraine, simply doesn't have the demographics to resolve this crisis militarily. The conflict is over ten years old and with no end in sight.
The United States and European Union should not "fight to the last Ukrainian."
This was beautiful. Well written!
If Ukr want a future, it has to surrender unliterary immediately and accept Ru conditions.
its so simple. but they want the wests degenerate ways
Ukraine doesn't exists, it's an abstraction. Who really exists is Zelensky and he to lose the war and become a head of government in exile. Because if he surrendered he would become a no one and maybe he even will be prosecuted for his extremely dumb and harmful decisions.
That's ridiculous
@@michaelgasser6295 wheres my comment?
@@michaelgasser6295And what is ridiculous about saving lives . Human lives make a country ,Michael.
"victory plan" 😂😂😂
Yeah run to California and star in woke movie
His house is in Florida I think
No. It's over. Ukraine has been fighting for almost 3 years, they lost hundreds of thousands of men and about a 8 million people left the country. The country is done.
Straight facts
The writing on the wall was in 2023 Ukraine couldn't mount an offensive that could penetrate the 3 lines of the Russian defense lines. Everyone who listened to New Atlas, the Duran, Daniel Davis etc... knew it is over and all you saw was the collective West encouraging Ukraine to feed the soldiers into the meat grinder of Russian's aggressive attritional warfare. All you heard from the anal-cysts was Russia couldn't manage to advance through maneuver Warfare and only knew how to use shovels in human waves.
Willie at the end of this military operation you will be stunned by the lopsided dead in favor of the Russians 4 to 1 and up as high as 7 to 1.
As part of the Istanbul negotiations, and to show good faith, Russia agreed to major withdrawels in 2022. Ukraine then welshed on the deal it had signed.
? Russian withdrawals of illegally invaded territory?? .. can't trust russia
Boris Johnson should be awarded the Gold Star of the Hero of Russia for his "let's fight." Otherwise, we would have already lost the war. Zelensky should also not be touched - he is illegitimate and has forbidden himself negotiations with Russia. The term of the Ukrainian Rada will end soon. After that, there will be no one to negotiate with at all. That is, the possibility of defeat in the name of reconciliation with the West will be definitively excluded.
It's "welched", bro, nothing to do with the Welsh 🤣
@@AntonSlavik Well, that's Scotched that illusion!
The fall back is exponential and the Russian`s are on a roll.
Even if they mobilize, where will they train them, and where will they find the months needed to train them? You can keep feeding the dogs of war, or you can come to your senses and make some kind of a deal with the Russians.
Насколько я знаю часть солдат обучают во Франции, Великобритании, Польше остальные в Украине. И по открытым источникам обучение в Украине это дно, две недели потом на передовую.
But the Russians can't be trusted.. they will not stop imo ukraine have no choice
The funny thing is that, judging by the statements of the Ukrainian military in May, the situation in the Kursk Region with new soldiers trained in the Baltic States was exactly the same as with the training of soldiers in Ukraine before the fall of Ugledar. There are actually two problems:
1. NATO's experience in waging war against lightly armed mobile groups is absolutely unsuitable for a war in which the enemy has air defense and troops above the company level.
2. Ukraine simply does not have 6 months to train troops. Ukrainians need to make up for the losses of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and for this they have to shorten the period between mobilization and sending to the front as much as possible.
3. Even if Ukraine decides on total mobilization, who will catch the recruits? NATO troops will have to be introduced simply in order to catch these "guys from 18 to 25 years old."
Yea, Willie ignores what every correct thinking person sees.
Warmonger. 😮😮😮
Yeah Willy, let the 6 month trained 18 year old conscript vs battle hardened veterans with unlimited airpower and unlimited artillery.
In Ukraine, for example, for the last 30 years there have been very small pensions, if you live in your own apartment and pay utility bills, then the entire pension of most old people in the country will go away. In order not to starve, you either need to work until you die, or use the help of children.
Most of the salaries in the country are twice as large as pensions, and people almost do not pay taxes, and they give bribes to inspectors, that's how Ukraine lives.
People earn money abroad.
How do you imagine mobilization in such conditions, where the people do not consider themselves beholden to the state in anything?
- After reunification with Crimea, I found out that in Crimea, the people also tried not to pay taxes (out of old habit :) but it didn't work out anymore.
- Explanations about the reluctance to mobilize young people are for foreigners (from NATO :), their people know that young people will not go anywhere anyway.
It was a war that should never have happened. A civil war. Russia tried desperatly to avoid it. Minsk 1 and 2, and then the Istanbul agreement. All allowing Ukranie to have 1991 borders. Now its to late to go there, but giving up Donbass, Zap , Lu and Kerhson will still leave a viable Ukraine. If that is not accepted, it will be surrender.
As a sign of the Ukrainian mobilization problems, in Odessa, only 20% of the callup mobilization letters were obeyed.
Still the delusion. Let it go. It's over. They lost. You were wrong.
Willy is a soldier. He doesn't think about the actual future of the country post-war, he doesn't account for people not actually wanting to fight. 100 thousand desertions for a country this size is enormous, and that's only known and countable ones.
He thinks, the fight needs more units to avoid losing it, and he's right, it does. But the fight isn't an end goal in itself. The end goal is the long term future, which already looks quite grim, and throwing most your young men into the cauldron by force with 50%-70% losses in the first week of deployment means the country won't be much more than a mass caring facility for the disabled and traumatized and psychologically damaged
there is no way Russia can win. There was no way Russia could win against Japan in 1905 or Germany in WW1. The only reason Russia won in WW2 is because of massive external support by both the United Kingdom and the USA.
@@lewisbrandThis is not the Soviet Union. They have won
Sorry if I missed the sarcasm.
@@lewisbrand what exactly do you mean by a "win"?
@@jamesandrews1130 no they very obviously have not. And they never will. Nothing changes in the empire of delusion. Why does the largest country in Earth need more land ? Especially with a relatively small population ? Look at your borders. Europe 500 plus million. India 1 billion plus. China 1 billion plus. USA nearly 400 million. Go figure.
Why would they waste 2-6 months training someone when they last just 2 weeks according to your own reporting?
And no, orks don't zerg-rash no more. They pepper everything up with artillery and glides then send a small team to mop up. If there is resistance, they fall back and pepper again. Brutally efficient and don't have to waste personnel. The biggest issue is, of course, fpvs which are hiding well behind the lines.
This
Yeah this version of the Russian army is scary, compared to the human wave army of 22'
Russian army just leveled up...
Historically Russians always started a war being bad then transforms to a beast
Will Zelensky have his Crimea beach party in 2025 🎉😂
Well, Germans come to Britain on holiday so perhaps.
There are some very nice jails in Yalta this time of year.
Miami Beach party
His trial might be in Crimea
they got the gulag there?
You guys actually drank the Kool-Aid and thought they had a chance this whole time?
It's ideology vs reality 😄
But game changers.... himars..... atacms.... F16s....
@@reee_4067 have you heard of the Fab 3000? There is also a fab 5000 and a fab 10,000 in development... Those are game changers... The F-16 is a 30-year-old plane... Pretty much all that money we sent over there was spent to buy old crap... That were apparently flammable
Game over man ! game over !
Stop your grinnin' and drop your linen.
"What the @@@ are we gonna do now?"
Maybe you havent been keeping up with current events but we just got our asses kicked man
The azov mostly comes at night, mostly..
@@andrewcharles4349 you guys ruined this thread, we were doing Bill Paxton lines :/
Well duh, "hesitancy", the other guys have nukes. Hesitancy is the very, very least we could expect.
I bet that deal in 2022 is looking 😊 now. Seriously Ukraine drank the khool aid
They swam in the khool aid and still swimming to this day
Willy you are wrong. You, as many others, were claiming that Ukraine will be successful in counteroffensive before it started. You use to claim that Western supplied equipment is far superiors to Russian and Western maneuver tactics will destroy Russian disorganized army. Re-watch you own videos from early/mid 2023! Remember the 'paper tiger'? What happened to it?
Why would you promote mobilising the young when the same issues you pointed out at the start would still apply? the same issues the "Russian bots" have pointed out from the start btw.
If they mobilise the young they would still be at a large manpower and firepower disadvantage, western aid will get fewer and older as stockpiles are already bare across Europe.
Just look at the elephant in the room, Ukraine has lost, they were always going to lose.
People are more important than land/markets. America is not your friend
American message to the Ukrainians:
"You do all of the dying - we can do all of the winning"
*
This is all we - Ukrainians need to know about this proxy NATO vs Russia war:
“Being an enemy of America is dangerous, being a friend of America is fatal.” - Henry Kissinger (?)
*
"Betrayal is the public moral of Ukraine."- Zbigniew Brzezinsky, "The Great Chessboard", 1996.
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>>>I guess it was the 12th or 13th time to Kiev, and I was supposed to announce that there was another billion-dollar loan guarantee. I got a commitment from Poroshenko and from Yatsenyuk that they would take action against a state prosecutor, and they didn’t.
“So as they were walking out to the press conference, I said, nah, we aren’t going to give you the billion dollars. They said you have no authority, you are not the President. I said call him. I’m telling you, you are not getting the billion dollars.
“You are not getting the billion; I am leaving in six hours. If the prosecutor is not fired, you are not getting the money.
“Well, son of a bitch, he got fired.>If you put aside the immense human suffering and look at Ukraine’s war through the cold lens of international power politics, a clear picture emerges: the West is having a good war against Russia.
All NATO has to do is send Kyiv munitions, equipment and money, which, as any general knows, is the c h e a p e s t way to wage war.
(...)
The lives are being given by the Ukrainians. They’re defending their nation but also, inadvertently, helping decide the Cold War.
For 70 years, NATO deterred a Moscow attack westwards. The Russians eventually invaded, last February, what they assumed would be a conquerable target on their south-western border.
The war that NATO long prepared for is finally being fought.
We need to be starting to think seriouslybabout the upcoming winter and the state of the electricity grid for the sake of Ukraines civilian millions
There are no civilians in war. In ww2 both sides firebombed civilians with everything from v2 rockets, to nuclear bombs. Take off those rose colored glasses, there is a reason why both the US and russia don't acknowledge the ICC, or even UN mandates
Trust me Willy boy we are going to be okay if Ukraine never joins nato. I dont think its worth sacrificing the youth of that country for a cause that isnt even their own. Ukraine had a pretty sweet deal going on before they started playing footsie with nato.
I needed that giggle at the end so badly
There's no way conscripted troops will get 6 months training, no way at all! Right now, Ukrainian troops are meant to get 3 months training but they'll be lucky to get half that, and more likely 5 weeks in total before they're sent straight to the frontline. That's the reality.......
The push out from Avdiivka has been so massive, now it threatens to link up with the push north from Vuhledar. Shit's absolutely in collapse.
If you are saying that Ukraine needs to conscrip 18 to 25 year olds and they get whipped out to, than who is going to repopulate Ukraine. This is not about the war lines anymore its about saving Generations of Ukrainians
Probably the same folks they are importing to populate current NATO countries with....
You know it already. It's gonna be the Muslims and africans from Germany and other European states. It's all planned by Brussel
Same ppl who gonna repopulate every western country. You know who I'm talking about.
The EU will move the African and Middle Eastern migrants to Ukraine
Russians will repopulate it
Just here for the comments thats it
You are very generous by giving Ukraine another last chance.
Ukraine has lost this war some time ago.
The question is how much territory will Ukraine lose.
Everybody who is serious thinker and realistic person came to that conclusion.
If you follow the propaganda that's been wrong for 2,5 years, then that is different matter.
propaganda 2,5 years? minimum 10 years
@@papuchomamucha7621 Yes, you are right, exactly 10 years of lies
But what comes then after this last "volkssturm" mobilization while the arithmetics in this war have not and will not change(once and for all)?
Simple answer."The Downfall". But in this war , this could even mean nuclear disaster with all the possible consequences for europe and, to be subsequent- the whole planet. Sanity is lost in this 'project' since long, at least since the Istanbul negotiations- evidently prooven by enough reliable former and high level officials. The US- lead 'west'- tumbling in the mist of its own wishful-thinking narrative of hegemony, just as an old men who lost his senses. Sadly, western values and institutions will not benefit from that but deteriorate for its ambiguous role in the perspective of the rest of the world . Same applys sadly for middle east . My opinion of course...
p.s.Hello from east-germany and all the best for your health Willy! appreciate your analysis(even if sometimes disagree on some geopolitics-points) and accuracy I I was(backpacker and fruitpicker and stuff in 2007/8, one of the best times in my life! still love your country&people❤🇦🇺
Ukraine needs to do a total withdrawal to defensive lines behind the Dnieper like they should have a year ago.
It’s good to have analysis even on the loosing side
learn to spell
I like how western analysts are obsessed with third generation warfare and then Rus simply did to Ukr what the Sov did to Ger at Kursk. 😂
Its been a terrible thing that the west has done to the people of Ukraine. It all could have been avoided , Russia tried numerous times for peace but NATO had an agenda
I said this over a year ago. Ukraine is not mobilizing. If Ukraine is not willing to mobilize, then the war is over & Ukraine lost. That was way before F-16's. I can't say I blame Ukraine for not mobilizing. But those are the facts. Starting conscription now will not help.They will be throwing untrained troops just to buy time to train troops no. The choices have already been made. This is the result.
they tried to mobilize
they already scraped the barrel
people say they haven't lowered the age to 18
they neglect to mention that the 18-25 cohort in Ukraine is INSANELY SMALL
They lowered to 25 but they can’t go to the front till they are 27, so 2 years of training. At least that’s what they say but not sure how useful that is to them now.
@@The_106_Ukraine is not giving any soldier 2 years of training you are lucky if you get two weeks of training before being sent to the front.
@@The_106_ At this point it would be beyond too late to change anything at all. Russia already has the momentum and as time passes it will only gain more speed.
It's not a hesitation to provide weapons but an inability. This dude is such an idiot
Please everyone should preach peace. Death is ugly. Peace is the only way for humanity.
Death is the bookend to birth.
Fear one as much as the other.
Seek contentment instead.
Zelensky was the peace candidate... Unti he got elected
This is a perfect example of how the losers in this conflict are going to write our history. Clutching at straws and avoiding the truth. BUTTERFLY EFFECT?????
There is no tactical victory, Ukraine stood no chance and lost it after 2022. Funny, how we hear Russia has 10-1 to AFU from day1, Russia has more artilleries' in the front and still Russia casualty is 7-1 AFU and still Ukraine will soon conscript teens(to the last Ukrainian) to die for that comedian. My question is, were are all the people mobilized in first, second and third and even snatched mobilization in Ukraine? Western analysts like you Willy, should start accepting that they are on the wrong side of history and say the truth to their egocentric leaders who are using this war to smuggle tax payers fund through that crack head in Kiev, for this bloodshed to end but why will they say the truth knowing that they will stop having TH-cam videos and lose their daily bread.
Ukraine is getting invaded. They are dying defending Ukraine and not for anyone else. Had they invaded Russia, then they would be dying for their president. The Russians are the aggressors and invading force so therefore are dying in foreign land and dying for Putin.
Ukraine never had a chance.
It is fatal to be USA's ally.
I think that you are over complicating the reasons that Ukraine is not fully mobilising. Isn’t the elephant in the room the possibility that (at least in the east) many potential conscripts are sympathetic to Russia?
Only solution is PEACE .I'm from ex Yugoslavia where military service is compulsory. Spending 2 years in elite special forces plus every year doing one month military drill. I can tell you that without at least one year of learning combat exercises there is no chance that you can got good one soldier to be ready to go in front. I sow it how guys behave without good military knowledge. The most important thing is morals of defining your homeland or not.If government is corrupt it is biggest impact on soldiers and that is end of success any happened war.
Ukraine people are demoralised because this war shouldn't happened .They live with Russian for 1000 years and there is no any cultural difference between them. Russian and Ukraine are same people ,brothers and sisters .Inviting Ukraine 2008 to join NATO is biggest mistake or porpoises to destroyed them as a nation. We know what happened 2014 and who did it. Now is to late to save Ukraine. Minsk 1 an 2 plus Istanbul April 2022 were options to stop it on time. Who sabotage all of agreements is NATO by pushing poor Ukraine people in war with Russia.
Feel sorry for all lost 😞 life's from both side.What will happened if China, Russia, India,Iran ask Canada,Mexico, Cuba to join their alliance. USA will destroyed that country's with a few months with all mighty they have.
Think about it.
Rest in peace all people who are now 🙏 dead because of stupid decisions by Big Brother 🙏 😢😢😢
Your iq has to be below 80
There are no 18-25yo. Those were very small birthrates because of the 90th huge recession.
And those that were there already fled years ago to Europe.
Creo recordar que estaban en unos 150.000 hombres por año , en las franjas de 18 a 25 años, la mitad o mas ya escaparon del país, una quinta parte puede que se alistaran voluntarios y ya estén tristemente enterrados la mayoría. Lo que nos deja unos 50.000 hombres por año, 50.000 x 7 = 350.000 soldados que no van a cambiar nada. Dejarlos vivir , Willy como te dicen en muchos comentarios la guerra ya está perdida, esos jóvenes hacen falta para el futuro de Ucrania, aunque sea bajo un gobierno tutelado por Rusia ( el territorio no ruso hablante ).
Russians withdrew from Kharkov 😅
With so many young Ukrainian men arriving lately in my country south of Europe I can't see how that's going to happen...
Ukraine already lose another Mobilization just pro-longing a bigger lose lol
I feel bad for both sides. I don't agree with the Russian Invasion but also Ukraine was a bit shady. Ukraine also screwed themselves with command, policies, and doctrines. I wish that the censorship of this war would not happen. Such a waste of life and really for what?
Indeed. Just look at news reports and articles before 2022. It was all either corruption or far right neo-nazis.
But after 2022 all of that was stopped and just called Russian propaganda...
There is no Ukraine,their is a illegitimate illicit Kiev regime that has commandeered the country at gunpoint,their is no freedom it's a military syndicate.
I also feel bad for both the Ukrainians and the Russians. The real villain is the CIA. Full stop.
the most vocal politicians supporting Ukraine are not supporting Ukrainians they never cared about Ukrainians, they just hate Russia/Putin.
They hate Russia bc of lies from the US state department
They want us to believe Putins dank memes made hillary loose election
Just a wee bit.
Ukraine's repeat of the 1944 Ardennes offensive has failed. We all know who won in 1945.
So you thought denazification was a joke? This is how you approach such mission with attrition.
Ukraine last chance was when Putin offered them peace in April 2022
Ukraines last chance was in Istanbul in 2022.
rest brother, time to heal. Removing stress will be a factor in your recovery.
How popular is the Zelinskyy Regime among the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 population ? Now compared to 3 years ago ? 🔥
100% approval if they want to live.
You only need to compare the total population. That already shows who is winning the war.
Good luck with your appointment today
Ukrainian men are dying for no reason young guys are being sent off to pointless deaths, Ukraine has lost we have lost and we need to be seeking peace not giving more death with money and weapons. Soon it will be past the point of recovery, the casualty numbers we hear from both sides are wrong ,many more including civilians have lost their lives because of us.
Imagine getting cancer for Nazis.
So manpower problem is resolved by forced mobilisation? 🤣🤣🤣 The west analysis is amazing
Literally been saying since the beginning of this war, Ukraine never had a chance, Russia was always gonna win, no one believed me
Plenty of us knew Ukraine never had a chance
@@joshuagranger2416 I can imagine, not everybody is delusional and living in a fantasy, Ukraine is always been Russian land, it’s a simple as that
How anyone, EVER, thought Ukrane stood a chance against Russia was just pure psychological delusion..
In fact the only chance they ever stood was simply the 'hope' that Russia would be intimidated by the west and cave in.. which there was never even a single indication of.
So it was never about whether or not Ukraine COULD win, it was only ever about the psychology of increasing the 'pressure' on Russia just hoping they would be intimidated and give up.
If you dont understand this simple fact, as an analyst, you dont deserve the title.
Honestly the analysis , discussion and opinions of Willy is my favorite part. It’s why I watch it religiously; it’s insightful.
Maneuver warfare will be problematic until EW against drones is improved or anti-drone radar for auto-cannons are developed. As for morale, nothing boosts it more than the belief your side is winning.
OK, I’m gonna finally say everything that should’ve been said a long time ago . I’m a former military officer from the United States. I’ll talk about the United States first. We’ve been fighting wars since 1991 against guys that were not peer opponents. And we got our ass kicked. In the long run, we got our ass kicked. The United States can’t win a war against the peer or even a near peer opponent.
That said let’s talk about America’s allies . We do not have an allied nation that is capable of fighting and defending themselves properly. The Australian military is a joke. The French military, with exception of the foreign legion is a joke. The British army as a joke the German army is a joke. None of you have pulled your weight and you can’t do crap.
Let’s talk about the British. They can’t even field an aircraft carrier at sea. The French have to use American aircraft carriers to get their pilot catapult experience. Not one NATO ally is worth a crap.
America is sick and freaking tired of getting milked . We’re mostly sick and tired of allies opining when they can’t win a goddamn war themselves on their own.
For all your bluster Willy. The Australian military can’t fight their way out of a freaking paper bag. You don’t have a functional submarine. Your surface fleet is useless. Your army wouldn’t be able to survive on its own for more than about a week if you had some Asian adversaries visit.
So shut the hell up about using American resources to fight a baloney war .
America doesn’t want to have any foreign allies anymore because you take and don’t give . You’re a succubus.
How about supporting Ukraine as an Australian nation without our help? Why do you always ask for our help? B why do you ask for money from us essentially? Tell us why you’re worth it. You’re not.
You’re talking about American resources like they’re yours . You don’t pay for them. The United States is sick and tired of supporting all you leeches.
You forget something, you say that the US does not want stupid wars, but it is the US that provokes them, a minimal mea culpa, even more so knowing that in the US those who seek these wars are the State Department, the CIA and the Pentagon.
We're all still colonies of the crown. Some places it's more obvious as their money still has the Queens face on it. When the American army won against the British, we didn't actually win the war...we simply showed that we were the home of the best fighters and henceforth became the land of the Kings Army. All our wars are fought for Britain.
USA supports no one.
NATO is an organization that helps USA maintain their forever wars.
USA is not getting bilked. That's where the money goes.
Not to the US taxpayers. They are getting bled like everyone else.
Regular americans have no foreign enemies except for the puppets of the US ruling class.
That's your enemy. They rule your nation.
@@sarahbrown5073 that is so very untrue. The United States did everything possible to be the exact opposite of England. I use the word England because England screwed over the Welsh, the Scots and the Irish.
We are not the Commonwealth, who has a self-flagellation fetish about saying staying tied to a country that screwed them .
Most of the world’s problems are due to the colonial bull crap. Germany, France, the Netherlands, Belgium, and Italy were minor players compared to the British cruelty.
The entire Middle East problem is due to the British
All of the strife in Africa is due to the British.
How many millions died when Britain abandoned the Indian subcontinent and the Hindus and the Muslims massacre to each other as they split into Pakistan East Pakistan and India .
No, the United States has not a damn thing to do with England .
We even drive on the opposite side of the road on purpose.
And unlike the Commonwealth and the British, we don’t worship a king .
@@HisDudeness2023 We do worship their monetary system. Our "Federal Reserve" has ties to the Crown (at least one will always sit on the board). With that said, when the Crown's Empire imploded after WWII, US hegemony took over... We have embroiled ourselves into several "unnecessary" conflicts since then. We have become the world's boogieman.
@15:00 Not always. Women fought in the Soviet Army during WWII. In fact, many of the best snipers were women.
If i had to take a guess, those millions which left Ukraine to live abroad ARE the 18-25 year old men. It might explain why they havent bothered lowering the age. At this point, it looks like its a done deal. They need to swallow their pride and negotiate. At this point i think if Ukraine is able to keep what land it has left and is allowed to join the EU, thats the best case scenario now. Russia isnt just going to up a quit, not thos deep into it. NATO membership is also a deal breaker, the Russians said so themselves. EU and neutral status is the best deal they can get.
If they stop the war and join the EU, they will have to open the borders. All the men who can fight will leave, and Russia will simply take what is left of Ukraine.
It was on the table until the end of 2022.
After the German iron cats in the Kursk region (75 years later) - everything will be much worse. 🐻 really got angry.
Sunk cost fallacy.
You sound like my kid trying to dodge school. He also is very elaborate in the arts of explanation of how and why he forgot his homework. How is it potentially his teachers fault or his class mate. He is 13, and he is learning how to be a functional member of society. What is your excuse?
Sometimes I wonder if willy is watching the same conflict.
Ukraine has never stopped mobilizing I'm not sure what is meant by new mobilization .
The reason Ukraine is running out of men is because they have fled or gone to ground to avoid going to the front.
Assuming Ukraine follows a trajectory economically equivalent to Greece and a migrational trajectory equivalent to Romania an EU member state and pertains its current fertility rate. They will have half of the GDP per capita PPP of Poland a population of 10 million with an average age of 50.
The Ukr nationalists will be thrilled when the EU fills their country with migrants. Ironically their statehood and cultural history would have been better preserved by becoming closer with Ru, not the WEF.
@@showdown66 who the hell would want to migrate to that hell hole only the people who would be rejected from Brazil, the United States and 26 other nations. By that point in India will have better living standards. For a perspective immigrant they would have to be rejected from the Anglo nations Germany, France, Italy, and all other western European nations the Balkins and the Baltic. Depending upon circumstance, you can add in the UAE and Saudi Arabia. After that, you would have to be a worse living standard than chili Mexico or Brazil.
This is like the scene in Saving Private Ryan, were the US soldier takes the knife to the heart really slowly and the German soldier telling him to accept it. Ukraine is the soldier taking the knife to the heart. Accept it. Ukraine cannot fight attritional warfare with manpower shortages. Maneuver and control combat is gone after Russia set the rules of combat. All the equipments and all the help will not put that country together again.