Amazing insights, thank you, I’ve been studying COT data for some time now, just to add to your view on DXY, I’ve noticed that Non Commercials often seem to trade against DXY price action, in other words, in recent years, they reached and sustained higher net positive positions whilst price drops, and low net positions when price rises, refer to COT and price action specifically between 2023 and 2024 (whilst DXY was primarily moving in a larger range). My humble and unqualified opinion: when a high degree of certainty exists that DXY will continue ranging or return partially or completely to a previous range, or creating a new range, Non Commercials pre building positions (pro actively) in anticipation of price action to follow, refer also to latest COT data indicating a increase in higher net position whilst price dropped ( 7-21 Jan 2025), my views on what they are up to might be wrong but the data speaks for itself.
Wouldn't they unload USDJPY shorts a lot before J.Powell's speech if they were not certain on what he would say, assuming stable interest rates is already priced in? Something does not add up... It makes a bit more sense to drop to supply zone before rallying more
perfect. like always... thank you man
Yes thing's ganna shift❤
👍Really good stuff. On my own, I just can't seem to make sense of the COT Report. 👍
Amazing insights, thank you, I’ve been studying COT data for some time now, just to add to your view on DXY, I’ve noticed that Non Commercials often seem to trade against DXY price action, in other words, in recent years, they reached and sustained higher net positive positions whilst price drops, and low net positions when price rises, refer to COT and price action specifically between 2023 and 2024 (whilst DXY was primarily moving in a larger range). My humble and unqualified opinion: when a high degree of certainty exists that DXY will continue ranging or return partially or completely to a previous range, or creating a new range, Non Commercials pre building positions (pro actively) in anticipation of price action to follow, refer also to latest COT data indicating a increase in higher net position whilst price dropped ( 7-21 Jan 2025), my views on what they are up to might be wrong but the data speaks for itself.
Thank you for the insights
Key information
First look at change
Thanks sir great ❤
have shared the video sir
Wouldn't they unload USDJPY shorts a lot before J.Powell's speech if they were not certain on what he would say,
assuming stable interest rates is already priced in?
Something does not add up... It makes a bit more sense to drop to supply zone before rallying more