Leaked Release Notes for Tesla FSD Beta v11 w/ James Douma #40 (Ep. 699)

แชร์
ฝัง
  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 22 พ.ย. 2022
  • James Douma and I discuss latest Tesla FSD developments, FSD beta v11 release notes, Elon Musk, Twitter, TSLA and more. Bonus section after 1 hour mark on language learning and mental skills development.
    James Douma on Twitter, / jamesdouma
    James Douma on AI playlist, • James Douma on AI
    Tesla FSD Beta v11 release notes:
    - Enabled FSD Beta on highway. This unifies the vision and planning stack on and off-highway and replaces the legacy highway stack, which is over four years old. The legacy highway stack still relies on several single-camera and single-frame networks, and was setup to handle simple lane-specific maneuvers. FSD Beta's multi-camera video networks and next-gen planner, that allows for more complex agent interactions with less reliance on lanes, make way for adding more intelligent behaviors, smoother control and better decision making.
    - Improved Occupancy Network's recall for close by obstacles and precision in severe weather conditions with 4x increase in transformer spatial resolution, 20% increase in image featurizer capacity, improved side camera calibration, and 260k more video training clips (real-world and simulation).
    - Improved merging behavior by leveraging lane geometry and lane bounds, association with coarse map information and better gap selection algorithms, allowing for a smoother and safer experience.
    - Added highway behavior to offset away from blocked lanes and generic obstacles like road debris while also adding a smooth handoff between in-lane offsetting and lane changing.
    - Improved speed-based lane change decisions to better avoid slowing down traffic in fast lanes, and interfere less with navigation.
    - Reduced sensitivity for speed-based lane changes in CHILL mode.
    - Improved lane changes to allow higher jerk maneuvers if required to stay on-route or to move away from lane blockages.
    - Improved smoothness at highway lane splits by being less strict about centering between lane lines and allowing lower jerk maneuvers, where safe to do so.
    - Reduced latency of trajectory optimization by 20% on average, without sacrificing behavior, by leveraging numerical tricks for more efficient computations.
    Social
    🐦 Twitter / heydave7
    🎧 Apple Podcast: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast...
    🎙️Spotify open.spotify.com/show/2iin015...
    📸 Instagram / heydave7
    Dave Lee on Parenting, / @daveleeonlife7659
    NOTE: Please don’t fall for scammers who might impersonate me or others in the comment section. I do NOT give out my number or ask people to contact me.
    💁🏻‍♂️ Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. All views expressed are personal opinion as of date of recording and are subject to change without responsibility to update views. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Neither host or guests can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information offered. Author is long TSLA and other stocks at time of original video publish date. When you buy through links in this video description, author may earn an affiliate commission.
    Open an brokerage account at Interactive Brokers:
    www.interactivebrokers.com/mk...
    Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threa...
    #Tesla #TSLA #Stocks

ความคิดเห็น • 329

  • @davidspray9939
    @davidspray9939 ปีที่แล้ว +19

    The breadth of James’ knowledge of technical topics continues to amaze me! I keep waiting for the one question in which James says, “you know, I just really do not have much knowledge on that subject…”.
    I also feel smarter when I listen to James. I just nod along with him as if I understand, and it FEELS like I really do understand! 😊

    • @carterw.kaanta439
      @carterw.kaanta439 ปีที่แล้ว

      James is an especially gifted technical commentator I do think it's a historic moment for women referees and it is the first time that I believe he was "discovered" by Dave

  • @Fanoaky19
    @Fanoaky19 ปีที่แล้ว +105

    Here are some timestamps for each release notes
    1 - 22:01 - - Enabled FSD Beta on highway. This unifies the vision and planning stack on and off-highway and replaces the legacy highway stack, which is over four years old. The legacy highway stack still relies on several single-camera and single-frame networks, and was setup to handle simple lane-specific maneuvers. FSD Beta's multi-camera video networks and next-gen planner, that allows for more complex agent interactions with less reliance on lanes, make way for adding more intelligent behaviors, smoother control and better decision making.
    2 - 37:32 - Improved Occupancy Network's recall for close by obstacles and precision in severe weather conditions with 4x increase in transformer spatial resolution, 20% increase in image featurizer capacity, improved side camera calibration, and 260k more video training clips (real-world and simulation).
    3 - 40:31 - Improved merging behavior by leveraging lane geometry and lane bounds, association with coarse map information and better gap selection algorithms, allowing for a smoother and safer experience.
    4 - 49:42 - Added highway behavior to offset away from blocked lanes and generic obstacles like road debris while also adding a smooth handoff between in-lane offsetting and lane changing.
    5 - 53:02 - Reduced sensitivity for speed-based lane changes in CHILL mode.
    6 - 53:56 - Improved lane changes to allow higher jerk maneuvers if required to stay on-route or to move away from lane blockages.
    7 - 55:05 - Improved smoothness at highway lane splits by being less strict about centering between lane lines and allowing lower jerk maneuvers, where safe to do so.
    8 - 58:55 - Reduced latency of trajectory optimization by 20% on average, without sacrificing behavior, by leveraging numerical tricks for more efficient computations.

    • @thomasgauthier5691
      @thomasgauthier5691 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      9 - Sometime around 1:10:00 they start talking about children's neural plasticity (with respect to language) and didn't go back.

    • @WalkingDday
      @WalkingDday ปีที่แล้ว

      I’ve lived in France for 40 years. Still make many mistakes. I work by guiding Americans. That doesn’t help my French.

    • @StormyDog
      @StormyDog ปีที่แล้ว

      Thanks for the timestamps. I would be very unhappy if the new highway stack isn't rolled out for Autopilot users. I find the adaptive cruise control very useful but at least in this area Autopilot needs work, not least of all it's penchant for limiting the speed limit to 30 on highways with a real limit of 60. It doesn't use speed maps (my Garmin knows the real speed limit but Autopilot does not) and is unable to adhere to "end of speed limit" signs when passing through small villages. Thus it thinks the speed limit is 30 for the next 20 miles (which makes it more or less useless).

  • @jimlong2098
    @jimlong2098 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Ok, one more comment. The more videos I watch of James, the more I think he’s one of the most intelligent and articulate speakers I’ve ever been exposed to. Aside from Tesla videos, I’ve watch him on a spacex video and I was blown away about what he knows about space. Now listening to the language section, I’m blown away squared.

  • @Joe_Brig
    @Joe_Brig ปีที่แล้ว +23

    Can you do a biographical interview of James? He seems to have life figured out.

    • @krackerslacker
      @krackerslacker ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Great idea. Would love to hear more of his history, his CV history and advice for young students just starting out.

  • @mateogonzalez7003
    @mateogonzalez7003 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    As a 22 year old who has spent more than 2 years struggling to be conversational in spanish I would love to hear these two discuss the topic of software based language learning even further. Excellent!

  • @jimlong2098
    @jimlong2098 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    I could listen to James talk all day long. He is so smart and articulate. Thanks for this great video. And yeah, I loved the last part about language.

  • @dewiz9596
    @dewiz9596 ปีที่แล้ว +25

    Whoopie! Housebound, recovering from a successful medical procedure, I look up at my TV and see that Dave Lee and James Douma have a new episode up. I learn so much listening to these guys.
    I’d like to see some kind of recovery by February, so that when my son comes to visit, I can demonstrate that “Father Knows Best”. . .

    • @dr-k1667
      @dr-k1667 ปีที่แล้ว +5

      Hope you have a good Thanksgiving and a speedy recovery!

    • @jaylenbrownfan2112
      @jaylenbrownfan2112 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@dr-k1667 Seconded.

  • @winstonl1629
    @winstonl1629 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Dave is a very disciplined listener. Rare skill.

    • @DaveDayCAE
      @DaveDayCAE ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Agreed. The chief characteristic of a good interviewer is to know when NOT to talk. Even more important with James as the guest. I see that Dave is continuing to get better at this over time. Also, how wonderful for these young men to have the wherewithal to hire a software engineer to prototype his ideas, or a language expert to converse in Japanese, both as long term projects. Tesla stock ownership has its perks.

  • @perwis9893
    @perwis9893 ปีที่แล้ว +20

    10:00 Thanks James for your calm and rational explanation of how the stock market works. Agree with everything you said.

    • @dr-k1667
      @dr-k1667 ปีที่แล้ว

      Me too. I think we should repost it on Twitter and have it played before every Tesla TH-camr does a video.

  • @mihokosymons5188
    @mihokosymons5188 ปีที่แล้ว +14

    I am bilingual in Japanese and English, and I’m also a technical translator. What I can personally add is this. Kids’ ability to pick up different sounds they’re not regularly exposed to disappear around age 13, so make sure they’re exposed to the sounds of the target language(s) before 13. I started learning English around 13, so to this day, I cannot always differentiate some English sounds. But what’s most important is to make it FUN and keep it fun. I learned English through movies and songs I loved. Also, make friends with native speakers. Good lock!

    • @Dave_Lee
      @Dave_Lee  ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Interesting about kids' ability to pick up different sounds. Thanks for sharing!

    • @gregbailey45
      @gregbailey45 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I learned French in my high school years, starting at 12yo.
      I loved it, passed with flying colours, got a better score than Engliah, my native language in my final year of high school and to this day I often think in French without realising it (until I do!), and love speaking it for no good reason. Somehow, I just seemed to fall in love with it as a way of expressing myself. No idea why. I have been regularly congratulated on my diction by native French speakers. Maybe they're just being polite, I don't know. My father also learned French in high school, but couldn't pronounce the words properly and it always made me cringe when he tried. My mother spoke only English and neither had French ancestry or experience.
      I had a Belgian girlfriend in my late twenties who spoke French, and we mostly conversed in English, but she preferred French as she found English difficult, so often we would use French just to make it easier for her.
      My vocabulary is not great, and I have difficulty following fast spoken French such as TV news and movies, but prefer to watch French movies with French subtitles rather than English because it makes more sense
      I honestly have no idea why and have spent my life being perplexed about it.
      I have never visited France, or any French speaking country, but I'm pretty sure it would be a breeze if I did.
      Oh, and I'm now 75.

    • @sandyt4343
      @sandyt4343 ปีที่แล้ว

      Don’t worry about gaining perfect understanding, we were watching a movie the was set in northern England and we could hardly understand anything they were saying. 🤣

  • @jweber4811
    @jweber4811 ปีที่แล้ว +11

    Amazing! I never thought I would find a discussion on language interesting but, not surprisingly, James found a way to do it. Of course I enjoyed the rest of the discussion too. Your discussion on the stock market is right on. Thanks guys.

  • @cdyanand
    @cdyanand ปีที่แล้ว +28

    When karpathy said the autopilot team was on autopilot I knew everything was going to be okay 😉

  • @dewiz9596
    @dewiz9596 ปีที่แล้ว +19

    On the Language discussion. . . My family emigrated from the Netherlands to Canada when I was just short of 7 years old. The first few months of exposure to English, in Grade 2, was excruciating. But then, one day, I realized that I was “thinking in English”. At age 23, when I was married, I was able to write my Dutch grandmother a thank you note for the wedding gift. Sadly, since then, I’ve lost almost all my Dutch. IN school, we were taught French, from Grade 2 to 11, 1 hour per day.
    None of it has stuck.

    • @rogergeyer9851
      @rogergeyer9851 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Dewiz: The reality for adults for almost any complex learning is that if it sits disused for a long time, it fades, often to just concepts vs. usability. It's an unfortunate fact of life. The internet and Google help re convenience in brushing up and fact checking (to ensure veracity of memory) conveniently.
      Imagine life before books -- it's a wonder humanity made much progress at all.

    • @jooptablet1727
      @jooptablet1727 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Jammer voor je, makker! ;)

  • @michaelplotkin7383
    @michaelplotkin7383 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Your interviews with James are fabulous, thank you.

  • @Shfytwo
    @Shfytwo ปีที่แล้ว +19

    We got FSD Beta last night, can't wait to try it out. So happy to see it finally rolling out. Expectations are very high.

    • @11O11O
      @11O11O ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Make sure you keep your hover hands ready until you get a feel of where it's great and not so great. Enjoy it!

    • @josepadaoan8105
      @josepadaoan8105 ปีที่แล้ว

      Tried it out late last night. It was awesome. I drove about 5 miles away from my home and it drive me back home without me doing anything.

  • @tomaspartl6368
    @tomaspartl6368 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I can listen to you guys for hours. :)
    Thank you Dave and James. 😘

  • @FidgetSpinoza
    @FidgetSpinoza ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Very fun chat about language! Thanks for sharing :)

  • @jaylenbrownfan2112
    @jaylenbrownfan2112 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    2 hours wasn't enough. Fascinating discussions.

  • @WolfgangMartinViernheim
    @WolfgangMartinViernheim ปีที่แล้ว +1

    4:39 - Well said!👍

  • @AC-in8hi
    @AC-in8hi ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Thanks for this great video. Happy thanksgiving!❤😊

  • @fairalbion
    @fairalbion ปีที่แล้ว +1

    The discussion on language acquisition was very compelling. Mirrors my experience with French. It’s important to deep dive & stress reading & spoken working together.
    Since moving to the US I am motivated to now tackle Spanish.

  • @cybergigafactory
    @cybergigafactory ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Your drive is awesome to see James. I like you a lot and you are a role model for many of us! Thanks man.

  • @flwi
    @flwi ปีที่แล้ว +3

    James did it again. He is _so_ good at explaining. Thanks guys for the interesting discussion. Learned a lot!

  • @LionheartLivin
    @LionheartLivin ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I don't know how you guys make these MORE interesting as time goes by FUCK YEAH!!!;)

  • @kentaroyamada8505
    @kentaroyamada8505 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I'm Japanese native living in Chicago for nearly 30yrs. Maintaining even your "own" mother tongue language is HARD~!!! You have to constantly try to produce/replicate an environment to self-accomodate as if you are in that country. James really put the whole thing wonderfully. And I will tell you if someone is to ask me what my favorite book written in English, my answer always used to be the books I COULD understand! LOL Thank you for this! ジェームズ、日本語を学ぶ対象に選んでくれてありがとう!うんこジョークは何歳になっても面白いものですね〜!草

  • @mikebailey2970
    @mikebailey2970 ปีที่แล้ว

    always love listening to you and James, really fun to change gears just a wee bit and very funny (in a very good way) to listen to James go on about something else he is very passionate about.

  • @KatarinaGirl
    @KatarinaGirl ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I love this discussion and how you two can talk about tech and how to learn for two hours. I admit I re-wind and re-listen to make sure I'm following some of the concept parts. RE: Languages. As a traveler, I learn a handful of words I think I will need in a country and use and reuse them. It helps. When I went to Japan, I knew I needed to say something about the food to my hosts, so I learned oishi. lt means delicious. As they watched me try the food and I said oishi, their faces lit up. It's extremely simple, but a few decent words go a long way. If you want to learn a full language, James is so on target! I look forward to your app Dave!

  • @taforth
    @taforth ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Hey Dave, I’m glad that you added the point that some people (that for example have owned Tesla shares for almost 10’years now ☝️) may have ‘shorter’ term needs for the shares… and that there should be nothing ‘wrong’ with that.

  • @minicirco
    @minicirco ปีที่แล้ว +2

    So interesting topic. I enjoyed a lot. Today, my colleague told me about "tandem", an app, where you can find a real human to talk based on your preferences one to one, with your preferences, for example "no politics" and/or "no religion", then you talk 20 minutes in your languages (which he/she wants to learn) and then 20 minutes in her/his language wants to learn. Sure, much time you need that "bridge", english, to allow this. But, so nice idea and concept to learn another language you always wanted to learn on a spoken base to start with. Later, you always can go further in writing it and then shouldn't be any more so difficult.

  • @krackerslacker
    @krackerslacker ปีที่แล้ว

    1:07:45 Dave, I am interested in anything you talk about! Thanks for including the discussion!

  • @isaias-b
    @isaias-b ปีที่แล้ว +11

    On the learning topic, it would be great to have an AI tutor that knows after a few lessons what you are interested in and starts talking to you in your skill level and makes suggestions and proposals to what to learn or talk about. Like the friend you talked about that you had in that korean school. If AI could be your debating buddy that would be so awesome.

    • @gregbailey45
      @gregbailey45 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      That sounds like a fantastic idea!

  • @gatorjxr
    @gatorjxr ปีที่แล้ว

    I really enjoyed the second half. Like seeing James get excited talking about subjects other than Tesla.

  • @thorddespace2773
    @thorddespace2773 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Start early to bring play into your work. It will brighten your life, referencing what James Douma said about mixing joy into learning a language.

  • @ryanreeves8931
    @ryanreeves8931 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    The first 5 minutes of spitting wisdom!!!❤❤❤❤❤❤

  • @Jack.Waters
    @Jack.Waters ปีที่แล้ว +1

    In the realm of learning Languages. There is a huge difference between learning the language and Thinking in that Language.
    I played violin 50 years. I then picked up guitar. I can play the guitar well but I had a hard time sight reading and playing guitar. I had to keep translating the fingering from violin to guitar. It took 18 months to look at sheet music and think in Guitar.
    Find that way. How do you cause a person to Think in a different language more quickly.
    My Mom had ALS for 10 years. Towards the end we created a Pointer Card. This is when I really discovered that when you are in a subject there are only so many words that will follow other words. We could carry on long conversations once I realized this.

  • @lewisbowes4921
    @lewisbowes4921 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I love your chats with James, thanks for sharing as always. Great listening to James talk about the value of math vs programming at the end there. It validated my own thinking. It's like if you know what problems *can* be solved using math, or programming, then you're completely free - exactly as James mentioned, you can simply google what you need. Knowing where the boundary is between things that can be solved with a tool is useful. It's the same as knowing that something exists without having to understand the details: you can put it in a black box and say I know X exists and I know when I'd need to look up the details if it was necessary, I'm now free to move on. The real killers are the things that you *don't know exist* yet.

  • @KoLecnac
    @KoLecnac ปีที่แล้ว

    I appreciate the TSLA emotional support group. Thanks guys!

  • @TypoDiabetes
    @TypoDiabetes ปีที่แล้ว +1

    loved the language discussion

  • @johnmacri7440
    @johnmacri7440 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks Dave always great

  • @nethixnethix100
    @nethixnethix100 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Love these two guys.

  • @MrFoxRobert
    @MrFoxRobert ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you!

  • @thatscottishengineerguy9606
    @thatscottishengineerguy9606 ปีที่แล้ว

    The language discussion of this video was fascinating.

  • @-COMMON-MAN
    @-COMMON-MAN ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks guys!!!

  • @andreamazzaferro5168
    @andreamazzaferro5168 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    did not expect the language discussion to be more interesting than the one on Tesla 😮

  • @arturorebmp
    @arturorebmp ปีที่แล้ว

    Definitely in your top 10 videos

  • @DanaOredson
    @DanaOredson ปีที่แล้ว +67

    I hope they don't do a buy-back. They can surely put their excess cashflow to better use. If they want to scale to insane levels, they will need lots of cash.

    • @bluetoad2668
      @bluetoad2668 ปีที่แล้ว +6

      It's not necessarily a bad move.

    • @ericcamarda3534
      @ericcamarda3534 ปีที่แล้ว +13

      Yes but you can only build so many factories at once no matter how much you spend. I wouldn't want them to scale more than 2 gigafactories at the same time regardless of how much cash they have.

    • @nguyep4
      @nguyep4 ปีที่แล้ว +10

      That is not true. Throwing money is wasteful spending. Tesla maximizes the use of money and the cash at hand is the result of that. They can not possibly use any more than they are effectively and efficiently. There are finite resources other than money.

    • @DanaOredson
      @DanaOredson ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@ericcamarda3534 That's because they are not yet "scaling to insane levels". I think Elon's phase 3 outlines just how to do that.

    • @darylfoster7944
      @darylfoster7944 ปีที่แล้ว +9

      Tesla is spending everything they possibly can at the moment. They're probably going to generate another $15B in cash next year.

  • @tbennett760
    @tbennett760 ปีที่แล้ว

    Truly love these videos, I learn so much from you too! Best interviewes!! Not to count out emmet peppers interviews but just love the FSD talk. Thank you Dave for what you do much love/

  • @gridcoregilry666
    @gridcoregilry666 ปีที่แล้ว

    oh man, James, what a great insight into your language learning! damn!!!!!!!!!

  • @johnpinke784
    @johnpinke784 ปีที่แล้ว

    "Total Immersion"

  • @labradore99
    @labradore99 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Thanks guys, excellent as always. Just one thing: some day I wanna see Dave losing it over something petty. He is the calmest, chillest dude I've ever watched. Is there anything that sets this guy off? J/k. Love you guys!

  • @Michaelngo102
    @Michaelngo102 ปีที่แล้ว

    The first 10mins is great. It’s reaffirming to listen to Jame’s perspective about this.

  • @roydenvickers6382
    @roydenvickers6382 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great stuff.

  • @aaronbounds1336
    @aaronbounds1336 ปีที่แล้ว

    One of my favorite things about Tesla is that test taking me a little while to listen to this video and in that time it is already outdated. Kudos to Tesla and the Tesla team. Lightspeed is the equivalent to Gary in the Teslaverse. 11/11 @ 11:11. Nice. Let's goooo!

  • @mikebailey2970
    @mikebailey2970 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    ty Dave n James, hoping FSD is available in NZ by this time next year, it has been quite a wait 8)

  • @noahabrams9909
    @noahabrams9909 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I used to run and direct curriculum for language schools. FluentU is the best software for learning a language in the way James talks about.

  • @rftulak
    @rftulak ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Dave , from my experience the best way to learn a language is total immersion in the culture of the language to learn leaving no roads back to the mother language. Why? because language is an expression of thoughts and feelings of the speaker communicated not only with words but body language and facial expression!

  • @ObsidianXXX
    @ObsidianXXX ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I started buying TSLA in 2020 and I got to a profit that was more money than I ever thought I would ever have. (Humble background). But I didn't sell any stock and I regret that massively.I went from having more money than I ever thought possible to 3 days ago being in the red. I just sat there and let all that profit trickle away! I haven't slept and when I passed out from exhaustion, I had stress-dreams. The stock is back up today and I'm slightly in the green but… It's very very stressful for me.

    • @williampaulrogers9583
      @williampaulrogers9583 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I’m with you on that one, including the humble background. I saw more money than I ever thought I would have, and also saw it gradually go down. I’m 71 years so 10 year time horizon is sketchy! Hopefully better in the next couple of years, won’t make the same mistake 🤞🇬🇧 20:37

    • @oneinchpunched3661
      @oneinchpunched3661 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      Hold on. Being Red dosen mean a real loss. You only lose if you sell now. Hoppfully you have only invested money you can be without for some years? If thats the case then stop watching the stock market for a couple of weeks at a time if it is stressing you out. Not good for you.

    • @oneinchpunched3661
      @oneinchpunched3661 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      If I had only invested my own money I would be smiling and taking it cool, but I just had a margin call and had to sell at a loss just yesterday. And today it went up, making the loss even worse. That sucks I can tell you but I know its not the end and that its just a bump in the road. In 5 years time I will still be happy with the returens. This to skall pass. Stay calm.

    • @rogergeyer9851
      @rogergeyer9851 ปีที่แล้ว +7

      Obsidian: Learning from mistakes is very much a part of investing. I've made a lOT of mistakes over an investment career, and being sure to have solid plans and stay well diversified overall is the main thing I've learned.
      The only other time I had such a large investment in one stock that I stressed a little over it was Microsoft in the latter 90's. I'd bought a couple hundred shares in the early 90's and held it and it kept splitting 2 for 1 again and again.
      All the sudden I have 3200 shares, and with the stock moving 5ish points on wild days, that's more money than I netted in MONTHS. I needed to find a way to manage that risk (and randomness), so I wouldn't stress out or do anything stupid.
      So what I did was each time it split 2-1, I'd sell half. It would split every year or two at a price of 100+ (as a rule), and that worked out great. I'd take the cash and put that in something with LITTLE correlation with MSFT, like CD's or SPY or whatever. And slept great at night, and objectively sold 90% of my MSFT near the top when the government sued them in 2000 for being a monopoly -- as an IBMer with experience of what such government suits could do to impact a good company (like the IBM consent decree from the 70's did to IBM). And keeping half each time kept me with a SERIOUS MSFT position that offered big profits as the stock continued to power up for years.
      So don't sweat it too much or beat yourself up. But do learn and come up with a long term PLAN to manage your risk / stress, and then follow it.
      Depending on the size of your investment, one approach can be options. I've been trading stocks and options for 40 years, so I tend to use options as a hedge and or to garner some income on a stock over time. If OTM (out of the money) options you sell expire or get quite cheap and you buy them back, you can just keep the profits, for example.
      If when TSLA is very strong and you sell an OTM call, on, say, 10% of your Tesla and the stock continues strongly up, for example, there are worse things than keeping the premium for the call and selling 10 percent of the stock when it's strong. And if it continues strongly up, you can always do that again at some point. Or if it has a big drop, at some point you can sell an OTM put, and potentially buy the stock back meaningfully cheaper than you sold it -- and keep the premium for the put option.
      What plan you use is up to you and there is a massive variety of strategies. What's IMPORTANT is to have a plan and follow it --- and it's OK to change a plan over time, as long as you're not doing it as a knee-jerk reaction to emotion.
      Sorry not to be more specific, but everyone's finances and personality are different, so to me, people offering specific advice to people they don't know on the net re investments is somewhere between irresponsible and crazy.

    • @ObsidianXXX
      @ObsidianXXX ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@rogergeyer9851 thanks for taking the time to write that, very good advice.

  • @subcreation4341
    @subcreation4341 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I agree with the point the programming is more fundamental than math. I hated math in school, but as soon as I had a creative application for it in a programming language I taught myself trigonometry because I wanted to use it. Great take away from this talk is that learning needs to be driven by interest and a desire to use the knowledge

  • @CorwynGC
    @CorwynGC ปีที่แล้ว

    Regarding mathematical learning, I am reminded of the story by Richard Feynman. He said that he was talking with a bunch of his nerdy brethren, when they were all introduced to a french curve in a drafting class. They all wanted to know what the mathematics was behind the curve. Feynman said that it was arranged such that the lowest part of the curve always had a tangent parallel to the ground. They experimented, and sure enough. But ALL curves have that, as Calculus tries to teach, that is the purpose of a derivative. Knowing math that intuitive way is, IMHO, what you need, not 50 rules for how to calculate a derivative. Go ahead and forget those, you can always look them up.

  • @fredbloggs5902
    @fredbloggs5902 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    For learning Latinic languages, Michel Thomas is useful because he highlights the commonalities between them which immediately builds vocabulary pretty rapidly.

  • @carl-Sp
    @carl-Sp ปีที่แล้ว

    Love the T shirt James

  • @WileHeCoyote
    @WileHeCoyote ปีที่แล้ว

    Context is KEY 🔑 i knew "hasta la Vista, baby" and when to contextually use it, before I even knew what "Spanish" was 🤣😂

  • @jeremyPieLover
    @jeremyPieLover ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Dave it would be awesome to get time stamps for these long videos

  • @hygogc1685
    @hygogc1685 ปีที่แล้ว

    beening watching this fsd for yrears now.....years

  • @jimcallahan448
    @jimcallahan448 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Interesting possibility of shadow mode A/B test between FSD and AP.

  • @jlg8689
    @jlg8689 ปีที่แล้ว

    Nice Farzad merch Tshirt!

  • @billtruttschel
    @billtruttschel ปีที่แล้ว +2

    With regard to stock buyback, I disagree with James that it's a one-quarter pump. There is a cumulative effect of reducing the float over time. THAT's the benefit of buyback.

  • @2ManyPhils
    @2ManyPhils ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great T-Shirt James. 😀

    • @pascalg.8772
      @pascalg.8772 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Farzad Mesbahi’s merch

  • @bertwright1790
    @bertwright1790 ปีที่แล้ว

    It seems like one stack with all features, then turning off features you haven’t paid for seems like the long term solution. A release would increase all the updates and by your purchase history they would be included in your driving experience.

  • @Teslavangelist
    @Teslavangelist ปีที่แล้ว +2

    the trouble with snow driving is knowing the conditions. Even when snow is around, people drive normally when it's safe. But humans can recognize quickly when behavior needs to change, like when ice is likely to be present.

    • @gregbailey45
      @gregbailey45 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Yes, it involves feedback from the road surface as well as visual cues.

  • @lauritta22
    @lauritta22 ปีที่แล้ว

    Loved the language discussion! As a person who speaks 10 languages (7 international +3 coding :) I am also trying to teach my toddler the value of different languages. At the moment I rotate among 4 languages at home and use the Duolingo app. I love it but it could be better. Also, looking for math and coding apps for kids. If you guys create one I will be a user for sure!

  • @garretthoneycutt3432
    @garretthoneycutt3432 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Dave, I love the idea of using AI for teaching. Ideal methods of teaching / unique pace of learning per child / individual engagement

  • @tipoomaster
    @tipoomaster ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thank u Terry Silver

  • @asafprivman
    @asafprivman ปีที่แล้ว

    For note #2, of course they mean 4x on a linear scale, they are dealing with highway distances and needing differentiation between voxels to capture the needed granularity. A 1.3x linear increase is negligible for these needs iiuc

  • @GlenLittle95
    @GlenLittle95 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Might be good to split this into two videos!

  • @switzerland
    @switzerland ปีที่แล้ว

    Hey dave, i think the limited input bandwidth during language learning is one of the biggest blockers, even on duolingo. I never learned languages faster than being abroad and 100% exposed to it.

  • @lagmanson
    @lagmanson ปีที่แล้ว

    It would seem to me that if you are using the navigate feature while driving with FSD engaged that the computer would consider your destination chosen to help decide which lanes are the best for the route you are going to.

  • @stevedowler2366
    @stevedowler2366 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Exactly! Yes, fantastic buying opportunity for TSLA investing. Wish I had more free cash!

  • @jakobhuss
    @jakobhuss ปีที่แล้ว

    What about using stable diffusion or Dale2 together with flash cards to get more context for each view of the word or sentence? That could help us learn quicker.

  • @archieminix9475
    @archieminix9475 ปีที่แล้ว

    "Perception is reality."

  • @Seehart
    @Seehart ปีที่แล้ว

    A couple decades ago I was working on basic research path planning automation for commercial aircraft. My approach was to generate a score for each candidate path and implement an efficient search in path space. With this kind of approach, the question of path planning reduces to "where do I want or not want to be" where at any moment in time ego has position, velocity, acceleration, and jerk contributing to the score. This means combining disparate considerations is simply a matter of addition, so we can tune the relative importance of things like traffic rules, collision avoidance, comfort (e.g. minimize jerk), and emulating typical human behavior as gathered by the beta fleet. And specific rules, such as lane grammar, or waiting your turn at a four way stop, can easily be integrated by expressing the rules in terms of conditional terms affecting the score.
    I've been rather puzzled as to why Tesla FSD doesn't feel like it's using this kind of approach. Obviously they are smarter than I am. But FSD seems so procedural.

    • @Seehart
      @Seehart ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Maybe I'll have to do a quick proof of concept. The off the shelf tools are so much better now, and I'll be a dinosaur soon if I don't learn them. E.g. Carla and PyTorch should give me a good start.

  • @edhill8568
    @edhill8568 ปีที่แล้ว

    James Douma is always interesting to listen to. Does anyone know what his technical background is and where he has worked?

  • @tjmozdzen
    @tjmozdzen ปีที่แล้ว

    A summary of this 2.5 hour chat would be nice.

  • @andrewpaulhart
    @andrewpaulhart ปีที่แล้ว

    Liked before I watched. Of course I did …. It’s James Douma. What else am I going to do?

  • @jimcallahan448
    @jimcallahan448 ปีที่แล้ว

    Language learning: Sounds like a family movie night with a foreign language film with subtitles would be in order.
    Then as an activity ask the kids what scene they would like to re-enact and video them renacting the scene. Let them watch their re-enactment and the orginal scene over and over and give them a chance to critique their own performance and re-do the scene. It might be a scene where a character sings a song.
    I also like the idea of using Siri, Alexa or Google in a foreign language.

  • @HansWeberHimself
    @HansWeberHimself ปีที่แล้ว +1

    English is my 4th language. German native.
    My first foreign language was Latin. Not much spoken material around. 😁
    But it was fascinating, ancient, classic, mysterious. I did not really learn the language as much as I learned the culture. Okay, there were some very languagy concepts, like Gerundivum vs Gerundium, but those mysteries just enhanced the appeal.
    My 3rd language was French. Everybody should learn French, just for the beauty. The flow of mouth movement in sync with thought movement is exhilarating. I got to some proficiency just through school and could build on it vacationing which was amazing. Especially in my teens. Taking to French girls was just some of the best ever.
    4th language was English. Started in Highschool and had a few years of it. It’s very close to German in the first place and much of the rest is French or Latin, but the grammar (besides being minimal) is very alien. I never got very far somehow despite pop culture.
    Then I immigrated to the US and basically learned English in 4 month, which was an extraordinary experience. Going from understanding a few signs to having a conversation within months was just spectacular and life changing. Partially for bridging the cultural divide, but also for just having my prior language experience come together and culminate in cultural emergence.
    All languages are different and your mileage may vary. That’s true.

  • @tt3kgtvr4
    @tt3kgtvr4 ปีที่แล้ว

    FSD Beta 11 for Christmas!

  • @Maxpower50000
    @Maxpower50000 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Also enjoy the episodes with James! Dave and James have a great chemistry. What is his background as I only know him from Dave’s video? Any background videos or Wiki bio’s. I know he is very smart but I am curious to why someone so intelligent is not still involved in the industry.

  • @alexforget
    @alexforget ปีที่แล้ว +1

    The problem is the leverage, if you buy a house you can leverage 90% of it and be fine, it grow in value and the more leverage you have the more you gain.
    But with stock with huge drawdown like that it create a punishing effect and eject those with too much leverage.

  • @tt3kgtvr4
    @tt3kgtvr4 ปีที่แล้ว

    A wide release before Q4 end would help their financials if they recognize more of that revenue.

  • @Crunch_dGH
    @Crunch_dGH ปีที่แล้ว

    Re: Programming. You’ll like my new GH’sCrunch” name from the late-70s, that I was only recently reminded of by the “Maverick” film & all the notoriety over callsigns & NWC-China Lake (home of Sidewinder, etc., & the mythical Dark Star & Skynet) of my first non-academic IT job. After a few months my coworkers started calling me Crunch bc I sought out all the hardest jobs whence the visiting Grace Hopper asked to meet the one who automated conversion of her DoD COBOL to ASCII, previously being done by manual transcription.

  • @valandil86
    @valandil86 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    I pretty much only care about TSLA price in 2030 and onward from there.
    Im mostly sad that I dont have any more cash to buy shares for... Will get some money in january, so hoping the price will remain low until then at least.

    • @jaylenbrownfan2112
      @jaylenbrownfan2112 ปีที่แล้ว

      IMO. Second quarter of 23 will be another opportunity. Earnings reports slowing down,etc.

  • @manp1039
    @manp1039 ปีที่แล้ว

    David Lee, What apps have you created on the iphone store? Which is the most popular app you created? Please provide a link to it. thatnks.

  • @robkeshav800
    @robkeshav800 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great discussion, David. As you know FSD is in wide release now.
    Will people on HW 3.0 without FSD get the benefit of Single stack improvement on AP?

  • @matthewclark1785
    @matthewclark1785 ปีที่แล้ว

    Dave, maybe try getting Xiaomanyc on your channel to discuss language learning

  • @barefootID
    @barefootID ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Hi Dave! Hi James! My favourite couple! 🙂

  • @UniversalHourglass
    @UniversalHourglass ปีที่แล้ว

    James, you know about LingQ? He learned more than +20 languages so far and is learning more. His method consists basically in listening the sound while reading the words, even when you don't know nothing about the language. By doing that you learn any language.

    • @UniversalHourglass
      @UniversalHourglass ปีที่แล้ว

      What I'm doing a lot with my Korean is watching Korean series with sound in Korean and subtitles in Korean... In the beginning I didn't understand nothing ahhaha but know I understand some words and context, even tho I can't understand much. Feels like a baby listening to their parents moving their mouths and you listen to random sounds.

    • @gregbailey45
      @gregbailey45 ปีที่แล้ว

      I've learned a love (folk) song by rote, using this method, in my wife's language and sing it as a party trick when visiting her family. I still have no idea what I'm saying when I sing, but I get all the emotions expressed by the singer I learned it from on a videoke CD. I heard the song when visiting her family and fell in love with it, so they purchased the videoke disc for me.
      I've tried with quite a few other songs on it and a few others, but it takes a long time and a lot of work to become proficient, and I'm pretty sure my pronunciation leaves a bit to be desired!

  • @olyalphy
    @olyalphy ปีที่แล้ว

    I’m really interested to see how Tesla manage the legacy Autopilot stack and integrating the new FSD single stack vision AI. Will they roll it globally to replace AP or just keep it in North America for a while? I really hope we (rest of world) get the FSD Beta visuals at least in Holiday update. Can’t wait to try it in my car one day soon.

  • @waynerussell6401
    @waynerussell6401 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Language APP:
    Forty plus years ago I was fascinated by rapid learning and advanced cognitive abilities as shown by savants, sticky phobic responses to a single stimulus, and how education and therapy were ripe for disruption. It was a time when brain lateralization exploration was new and The New Age thinking prevalent.
    During WWII techniques were used for the rapid learning of information like languages and aircraft recognition by passive means including sleep learning. Later the huge uptake of Yoga techniques in Hungary lead to a rapid passive learning movement for languages involving brain lateralization by playing Largo classical music into the right ear and word lists into the left. Reportedly language courses were reduced to a week. Similar techniques were used in Neuro Linguistic Programming by a linguist and a mathematician for therapeutic and rapid hypnosis ends.
    Today I think technology will replace language learning. Language translation algorithms are getting to the stage where a wearable device or brain implant could listen and speak for you - Babel Fish like.

  • @user-tb8jj8nn7t
    @user-tb8jj8nn7t ปีที่แล้ว

    starting with flash cards a good method for starters?