Is Lena900 a NIT? [ICM final table analysis with HRC]
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 25 ม.ค. 2020
- In this video, you'll find out if high stakes MTT CRUSHER Niklas 'Lena900' Astedt, is really just a NIT.
Today I look at four hands from the Pokerstars Winter Series $530 turbo final table that was stacked with talent including Patrick 'Pads1161' Leonard, Parker 'tonkaaaa' Talbot and Niklas 'Lena900' Astedt.
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Gareth James is a professional poker player and coach, specialising in tournament poker, tournament mathematics and ICM. In 2016, he worked with Matt Berkey (Solve For Why, Results May Vary Vlogumentary) before and during the $300,000 Super High Roller Bowl, focusing on ICM. He has also coached many MTT grinders who have final tabled, won and chopped various tournaments on PokerStars and PartyPoker including The Sunday Million and The Super Tuesday. - เกม
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Some final table analysis with hole cards up here guys. Let me know what you think in the comments. 👇
More reviews like this please! I love to see the full table hole cards and each person's ICM/GTO situation. Would love to see really quick full replay analysis as well! You could just do overlays of wrong/correct plays! or percentage of correct plays as they happen. Really helpful Gareth!!! Thanks.
We have some potential WSOP hole cards up reviews coming soon so watch this space!
@@MTTPokerSchool Awesome to hear!
Looking at a so suspicious raise with 14BB from UTG (I expect a Jam here normally) , the first thing I think, in every position at the table is that I'm against KK+, and he hope to be called here. In BB, against 2 Jams with AKo is very difficult to fold but looking at your analysis I should consider it next time I'm in this situation
Great video - I started playing much more aggressive as the chip leader on final tables, if you have shorties behind you, they can't get really get it in with less than 1010+ so it's a great spot to jam ATC.
Thank you! Glad to hear it's helped you play more aggressively on final tables in the right spots!
Hello Garreth, thanks for your amazing content,
Do you use Malmuth Harville ICM model on HRC for final table analysis or do you keep using the "Multi Table ( (MTSNG/MTT)" 'ICM' model?
Thanks a lot for your reply, keep up da good work
Yeah the MH ICM model for final tables and the MTSNG/MTT for 2+ tables left.
the first hand with the early Open and the 20 bb high-jack shove with(QQ) ... i wonder if we move QQ to the sb and JJ to the bb... i wonder if that changes much... ya a little surprising the co can only play AA n KK
Did you use 'standard' calculation or Monte Carlo here? What should I use on my own simulations in general? Thanks for the content and help!
This video was made quite a while ago now, before postflop abstractions in HRC were a thing. I would use Monte Carlo mode. Check out my latest tutorial here: th-cam.com/users/liveHiisSKbCv5w?feature=share
very much enjoyed this video
Thanks for watching Jack, glad you enjoyed it!
The A7o j_peso non jam... I believe he was thinking that the two players with smaller stacks will be going through the blinds before him and would potentially bust before him netting him lots more than $200. This is my best guess. What are your thoughts?
Yeah I think that's reasonable. Of course that assumes that both players do bust. The HRC sim is simply showing the highest EV lines in that given moment given the current stack distribution and doesn't take into account future game (although you can do that too!). Great thoughts!
Searched the whole internet to find out how you manage to get the $ev when you hover over the hand range in HRC with ICM calcs, so you're my last hope to find out how XD. I've updated to the latest version btw thanks in advance!
Have you 'updated' to the latest beta? You can download it from their website and use your existing license.
@@MTTPokerSchool found the solution!!!
''The automatic update functionality will be unavailable if installed in a write protected directory like C:\Program Files\.''
i snapfold AK off suit if two people behind me goes all in, most of the time at least one player have AA or KK, rather have 22 in three way all in situation
Nice video! Do more :)
Thank you, will definitely be back with more soon!
1.4 bb call off 3 way with TT is break even with that icm is still crazy. but often times like 6 outa 10 your out i guess.
Do you use a poker hud in this video, if so, which one?
Not in this video, but I use PokerTracker 4.
IS there ICM when everyone has the sameness stack but there’s still a pay jump?
Great question Tom, thanks for posting! For sure there's ICM if everyone has the same sized stack and there's a payjump. Let's say there are 9 players left and everyone has 10bb. In a Chip EV world with no ICM, the BTN can shove 42.7%, the SB can call 29.1% and the BB can call 35.1%. In an ICM world the BTN can shove wider (48.1%) because the SB (13.1%) and the BB (16.9%) now have to call much, much tighter. This is the effect of ICM.
Nice fold
great video... wow
Thank you!
How do you figure Lena’s fold with AKo from the bb looks nitty? At best you’re flipping against 2 other players? With multiple stacks under 7bb, that would be icm suicide
Did you watch the video? It's not a nitty fold at all, it's a great fold. If you know Lena, you know he's definitely not a nit and that's why the video is titled like that. Apologies for any confusion or if you felt it misled you 😕
@@MTTPokerSchool no apology needed, my good man. I was a bit hasty wasn’t I
Lol the half stack raise/fold is the new min raise. Why not just raise to 3BB? or 4 or 5? Why 6 it makes no sense to me. We already saw that only AK and TT+ are jamming on EP raises anyway. I bet you anything in 3 years every final table is going to be everyone limping in preflop and checking to river where ICM tells you to fold 2 pair to a min bet.
You could be right, only time will tell!
Just playing against him right now party poker ♥️ 😎😂
How'd you get on?
Played few hands we him is a nit like you described and I lost 3 million preflops all in AAvs KQ to noob we 36 k lost scopepoker data,what a fix partypoker doing....waste off time😏😔
@@luispereira8008 lol this guy didnt even see the video. amazing people calling a HS OG nit on random youtube comments
lets g0000
KeithRaz should be bullying the table if icm says to play so tight,could almost raise any two
Yeah, think you could be right!
Lena legend
I question the need to spend so much of this video essentially on the notion that if you give people a range of big pairs+AK then the people behind have to call extremely tight :p
Thanks for your comment. It's not that we give people that range, but ICM dictates that players in this example need to play a very tight range.
Easy ICM fold
Yeah definitely!
Yooo don’t give me some mambo Jambi that’s a NIT PLAYER to the bone
What do you think about the solver folding? Is he a nit too? :-)
So basically play like a supernit
In some spots... yeah!
Raising 6bb off a 14bb stack and ICM tells you to fold KK if there's two shoves? Absolute nonsense
@@jzt3641 the hand where KK opens to 6bb UTG
Considering that BB calling range is KK+ , then his raising range should only be AA.. KK then is a standard fold for utg opener.. but noone is that balanced and aware of every situation to know that even QQ is a fold. Game is a bit looser than icm calc shows i guess.. or not? Im definitely not an expert to this.
@@giannisweightlifting3996 I don't see why you would need all those theoretical charts, afterall it depends on the opponents you face which mostly you don't even know, only an hud can in some cases, give you an edge. Just use your common sense...
Your sense is actually makes sense when you know the basics of gto. Deviation from this might be good some times, but ignoring it , will not help you
You must have faith in JESUS as your Lord and Savior to enter into Heaven. For eternity when you die.. and we all will.