Fundamentals of mathematical modelling of infectious diseases using COVID-19 as an example

A simple discussion on the fundamental concepts of mathematical modelling of infectious diseases with a focus on COVID-19. Hope you will find it useful. This is the first of the series on mathematical modelling. In future parts more technical aspects of mathematical modelling including how to do that using statistical software and packages will be shown.
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Thank you. Kazi (6 November 2021)
Thumbnail: Susmita Roy
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Dr Kazi Mizanur Rahman is a medical graduate (Dhaka Medical College, University of Dhaka), with post-graduate qualifications in epidemiology (MS Epidemiology, Harvard University) and population health (PhD, Australian National University). Dr Rahman worked for more than a decade at the International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh as a public health researcher. He also taught at James P Grant School of Public Health, BRAC University for five years. In Australia, since finishing his PhD in 2015, Kazi has been working as an epidemiologist both in academia and program with a focus on the protection and promotion of health at the population level.
#EpiMinutes #covid19 #mathematicalmodelling

[@mahfuz71]

Great discussion as usual!!

[@rexakeke426]

Hi Dr Razi, this is an excellent discussion. Would love to see/hear the next episode.

[@epiminutesbykazi]

Many thanks Rex. Hope things are well at your end. Best wishes. Kazi

[@TaufiqueJoarder]

Mizan Bhai, there are tons of such contents in English on TH-cam. Please make these contents in Bangla for the Bengali speaking public health enthusiasts.

[@epiminutesbykazi]

Thanks Taufiq for your comment. Did you mean having these epidemiological discussions in Bangla or for this particular topic on mathematical modelling?

[@TaufiqueJoarder]

@@epiminutesbykazi All the epidemiological discussions as the resources on this are quite scanty.

[@epiminutesbykazi]

Good idea. Thanks.

[@epiminutesbykazi]

@@TaufiqueJoarder Please see below. Let me know what you think. Thank you.
th-cam.com/video/IIRuvxdiDdE/w-d-xo.html

[@zebmason6530]

One Mathematical modelling principal not mentioned is realizability - otherwise known as common sense. Epidemics cannot grow exponentially because, on their way to infinity, they will infect more people than are susceptible.

[@epiminutesbykazi]

Very good comment. Thank you.