I do respect him for calling an election. I think politically it was stupid, but morally, in systems like these, there should be elections after a new pm
It’s common in Japan to do this in order to gain the public mandate. It’s rare to not have an election when a new PM comes in. If he didn’t the party could have been in an even worse position when he was obligated to have an election next year anyway
His decision to dissolve parliament was not moral at all. All parliamentary investigation against MPs accused of receiving slush fund money were stopped. That's why Ishiba was harshly criticized by opposition parties and lost his popularity.
Its similar to what happened in 1993. Multiple LDP scandals, a strugling econcomy, the LDP losing a large seat share and a wide range of parties winning seats where no one has a clear majority.
@joshreichardt2485 Also the LDP have generally lost votes to newer right-wing parties, rather than the centrist or leftist opposition, meaning there's a good chance of them regaining these votes. However, the LDP's traditional power structure (which no other Western conservative party really has) means young people might prefer to continue voting for the newer, more populist, right-wing parties.
There is a clear difference this time, in the in 1993 Japan used to be one of the richest countries. But now it is struggling with no improvement in sight.
You don't have to be far-right to be against gay marriage, against feminist policies that devasated Japanese fertilities for half a century now and against fearmongering for nuclear energy. Ishiba is unpopular with most conservatives and he was and is a hater of Shinzo Abe, the best and most patriotic president Japan has had in recent years.
@@captainvanisher988 you dont understand why birth rates are low in japan if you blame gay marriage and feminism. First japan is much more conservative so is very limited on issues such as feminism yet has such a low BR. The reason for a low BR is a combination of high cost of living, high working hours which means people dont have enough money or time for children. You can also argue the prevelance of corn addictions among japanese men contribute to not wanting a partner. The issue of a low BR is more complex then 1 or 2 policies
As a Japanese I’m really happy to see this. LDP had promised and tried to fix the economy for a looongg time with nothing but disappointment. I feel we are ready to give other parties a go with their plans. And to find out LDP politicians have been pocketing money while the public continues to struggle more every year with rising prices, this result is deserved.
@@Sophadegus rising prices are normal, so dont judge the next government too harshly if that continues. How much you're paid needs to raise, and that should be your metric
You can't fix the economy when you have 1.4 and below fertility rates for more than 50 years. So you have to choose to either become like EU and temporarily fix the economy but in return bring people that will disturb the culture, commit crimes and drive down the wages of unskilled labour jobs. Or you wait until the population collapse comes to place and rebuild your country. The third option would be to fix the birth rates, but I don't see it happening without a massive conservative/religious wave in the youth.
You could still have former LDP politicians be included with an LDP led coalition. Though I do agree with you that the LDP has been a disappointment. And hopefully they do some soul searching.
And the fact that the LDP members who were kicked out of the party for personal involvement in the slush fund scandal somehow got reelected. When your corruption is *so bad* that the corrupt party kicks you out, and yet voters give you another term? Absurd.
yeah, the government falling apart and an economic disaster is funny right? The original comment: "It's been fun for me moving to..." I responded to this, but this mf change the context and the comment.
@@CharlieMoomindecades of stagnation + low birth rate and now a government that cannot function, its really good right. He edited the comment for mention the "ride" and change the context for the supposed "fun"
Just a note, there are only 10 Independents in the House of Representatives and not all of them were former LDP members who had their memberships revoked due to the slush fund scandal. So even with these independents, the LDP-Kōmeitō government still only has 225 seats, 8 short of a majority. The DPP is ideologically similar to the LDP so they could be a coalition partner if they hadn’t already denied to do so. Overall, the minority government route seems to be the most likely but it will be a very difficult position for Ishiba and leaves the door wide open to no-confidence votes
@@jeddgangman4502 that’s because they preyed on opposition vote. Think about it: they used to be part of the opposition Democratic Party and now they’ve gained seats by being an alternative to the LDP only to then join the LDP. It’s essentially tying themselves to a sinking ship that they’ve opposed since their inception
@@jeddgangman4502 (DPFP)DDP's support base consists of anti-LDP and anti-CDP. Whether they cooperate with LDP or CDP, they will be divided. It is better to negotiate individually with the minority ruling party without cooperating with either party, so that the demands will be passed.
I wish you spoke more about Ishin and DPFP because it’s really an interesting thing with each of them. Ishin has moderated its stance to appeal more broadly in Osaka and is more of a regional party that pushes for stronger representation for Osaka in the Diet. It wants Osaka to be the “vice capitol” along with Nagatacho in Tokyo, and to place Osaka in a more important role than it gets now - where Tokyo Elitists kinda see it as 2nd class place at times. The DPFP is a more moderate and centrist party with a bit of a goofball for a leader. He’s very ambitious though and would probably ask for some serious priority to his platform to bring him onboard. bringing in either party will be extremely expensive as far as policy priorities, ministerial/cabinet appointments, and keeping a balance with komieto so as to not piss them off and lose such a coalition. If they go with a minority govt, they’re likely to receive a no confidence vote and a lot of criticism for their disarray by the CDP who will no doubt kick them while they’re down.
The Japanese are notoriously apolitical, which is why the left-right divide that exists in other countries like South Korea for example isn’t there. The effect of US support for Japanese conservatives to counter the rise of the Communist Party post World War II should also be noted
There is also a decent chance that some of the elected LDP members making their own separate party. There is indeed a huge surge of frustration among card-carrying LDP members.
The Abe faction involved in the fundraising scandal lost more than half over there candidates within the upper house election. The other made it though because the Koumei Party supported them against their party slogan to make politics clean, while they supported those candidates who do the opposite, just so they could get some of the votes from the Liberal Democratic Party Supporters for their party survival. It is disguisting.
@@freakmil1537 Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan it's also disgusting ! Japan need more like Ishin and Right wing once again so can then do better ...
1:55 Sorry for interrupting. For me, as Asian political science students, We call 'Mixed-Member majoritarian (MMM)' or 'Parallel Electoral System (PES) My view, unlike 'AMS', MMM was designed to separate the counting of the votes. It believes that topics in constituency are different from the national level But the concept of AMS is, the proportional percentage is the priority. Whatever you love the party in national level, but want to kick the old MP out. He or she can come back in the name of 'additional member', or you often get 'unwanted additional members' like Germany Electoral System now. For more details > Book 'comparative Electoral System' by Siripahn Noksuan Sawasdee, Chulalongkorn University.
Love the fact that, despite literally determining who gets to control countries and write history, electoral systems are somehow such a niche topic that even political experts and politicians don't understand them. And by love I mean hate. We are cursed with the knowledge of how important electoral systems are but are unable to make anyone else properly understand or care, even most politicos.
I appreciate that the ad read in this one feels distinct from the reporting. The pre recorded ad reads that try to make it sound like they are a continuation of a story written after the fact always irk me.
One thing people often fail to take into account is that Japan is not a single place. It consists of hundreds of population centers that are physically separated by mountains or sea or both. Each regions have different ideas of what it even means to be left or right, and the LDP is the only real party that is capable of coordinating between different regions. This capability allows the LDP to win more seats than they are voted, because they can focus on turning small lose into small win, ignoring regions where big lose or big win are likely. Opposition parties struggle to form coalition not so much because of their ideological differences, but their support bases are physically separated and they generally don't trust strangers. Recent inflation hit Japan as well as every countries abroad. While Japan's inflation rate is somewhat lower than the rest of the world, people felt it keenly because Japan imports 60% of food and 90% of energy, and a lot of people depends on pensions because of old population. While these problems aren't something the Japanese government can control, that didn't stop people from blaming current government. In this election, old pensioners showed up on mass and resoundingly voted against LDP. This would make it very difficult to put austerity on pensioners, and could result in higher long term interest rate and further devaluation of its currency.
That's a bad take, every large country has this problem. A conservative in Florida or Ontario is different than a conservative in California or Alberta. We also have technology, it's not like we still communicate through mail or smoke signals.
@@Peglegkickboxer The lines between such areas are usually more fluid though, you have some areas in between that serve as a bridge. With Japan's mountain ranges the separation is much more stark. And physical connection still has an effect, despite all technology.
@@Nickname-ef9tv You are so wrong about this, Japan is one of the most internally integrated countries in the world if not the most, that was in large part what helped their economic miracle, the internal infrastructure of the country conecting itself its top notch and way better that the connection between neighboring cities in the States.
Japan imports 80% not 90% of energy and can lower that to 60% by 2030. As for food in 1979 japan produced enough for 100 million people , so that can be done again
What one party rule can do is impose a vast restructuring of society around export growth. Which Japan and China had in common. The problem is what happens after you've achieved an export-driven economic miracle. The money always ends up inflating real estate instead of continuing to increase consumer spending so the economy can rebalance towards internal consumption. I don't know why.
I just realized that we had a new PM substitute lol my family and people around me aren't political so it's really confusing what's going on in the politics world, but here I am trying to understand some key notes.
Actually, Democratic Party for the people has got most number of votes among 20-30 generation, and they can easily be distinguished from CDP because DPFP focused on economical perspective like reducing taxes while CDP repeatedly accused LDP of its scandals. That made some differences.
@@twincast2005 I think the shift will keep happening as the economy hasn't been strong for a good bit and the LPD can't simply ignore the younger population.
@@KazeShikamaru Wake me up when the Japanese youth actually go vote. I was there to see the hope for change in 2009 and its crumbling by 2012, but refusing to participate is the height of immaturity. This was the fourth election in a row with abysmal overall turnout.
As a Japanese, The scandal was, of course, one of the reasons why LDP lost the election , but I thought the voters were more concerned about making their lives better than the scandal as a criterion for voting The voters determined LDP policies would not make the economy and their lives better In contrast, for example, DPFP has made great strides in this election by insisting on increasing people’s take-home pay
It seems that many Japanese commenters here do not favor the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). One might wonder, then, why the LDP continues to enjoy significant support. This can be traced back to the period from 2009 to 2012 when the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) held power in coalition. Though impacted by the global financial crisis and the Great East Japan Earthquake, their response was widely seen as slow. This period has even been referred to as the 'nightmare of the DPJ government.' On the other hand, while the LDP has had its share of scandals, most other parties also face similar issues. The LDP remains unmatched in achievements, experience, and resources. Moreover, it has largely maintained a '55-Year System,' having lost control only twice. Even now, the leading opposition party, the Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP), lacks a well-defined shadow cabinet and appears unprepared to take power. Given this context, many Japanese choose the LDP for stability. (Granted, as a strong LDP supporter, my perspective might be somewhat biased.) This was translated by ChatGPT, so the original meaning might have shifted slightly. Still, as long as the gist comes across, that’s fine.
Honestly, I think its more of the trend than people are tired of the incumbent parties of gov. Look at Italy in 2022, France and the UK in 2024 and possibly the United States later this year. Likewise, Germany and Canada have very unpopular governments.
@@blackearl7891 I disagree. With today's social media influence, a government whose been in a single term can seem like forever today, especially if you fixate on hating the power. Look how quickly the public turned against Labour in the UK, or Macron, or Schulz coalition, or Trudeaus CaS agreement with the NDP, or Biden in the States. If change doesn't happen immediately, people go 360 real quick these days and run to the opposition.
@@tylerian4648 I'd also argue in this same stream that this is why populism has become so...well, popular the last decade. They promise things will be done the next day, damn the long term consequences or costs.
I'm not so sure about comparing the United States to Germany or Canada; the U.S. economy has performed much better than other countries, but the perception remains different for people who were hit hard by inflation.
The problem is, not many trusts the opposition in Japan, especially when it comes to navigating difficult diplomatic environments. Last time they governed (2009-2012) they strained relations with the US and fumbled territorial disputes with neighboring countries, and a lot of the voters still remember this.
It might be actually a very smart move. His throwing snap elections shows him as brave and kind of hopeful for the future. The party losing some double digits of seats will be taken by the public as enough of a punishment so in the next elections LDP might gain again
Japan seems to be heading for a minority government. Unlike Germany, reconfiguration of coalition partners is not common or popular here, partly because of the first-past-the-post system. Centrist DPFP or right-wing Ishin would be a great coalition partner for LDP ideologically, but DPFP and Ishin candidates fought against LDP-Komeito candidates in elections, criticizing them heavily. It won't be easy to side with the two parties they attacked so hard.
You might be surpirsed, but Germans should be proud of their party system because it avoided serious corruptions like Japan with opprotunity of power monopolization. The ultra right of the Liberal Democratic Party are sick and disguisting, led by Takaichi Sanae who promoted a book which admired Adolf Hitler. Meanwhile, Germans sould still determine to dissolve the AfD as a mouthpiece of Russia.
One of the big factors of LDP first taking power was as opposition to Maoists, but Chinese influence has only grown while conservative nationalism has declined, but there is still hope that the modern parties have evolved towards real progressive reform rather than just bad actors serving foreign interests. Japan is constantly the target of campaigns from Russia, China, and the USA as their bays act as key military strategic points in NATO's control of the Pacific, as well as great economic importance.
6:13 There's something really funny to me, about this guy with this *ducktaped buschel of microphones*. But also, it allows him to hold a bunch of them at a time, so in a sense as silly as it looks, it's kinda ingenious.
@@イブ-u7k the economy went from 6 trillion in 2012 to barely 4 trillion now, don’t be surprised when it drops to 3 trillion. No other party has been given long enough time to change things.
Calling Komeito a Buddhist inspired party sounds quite funny for me as a Japanese. 😂😂😂 They are strongly linked to Soka Gakkai. Which sucks for some sensible Japanese and traditional Buddhists.
I'm japanese, my opinion is that japan's cooked no matter who's in charge, and people will say to *go vote* like a coping method for the inevitable slow doom/decline of the country. Wages wont go up, there will be less kids, etc. The only thing that can change this is a fundamental change in culture which I don't see happening and probably wont happen within the next century
As a Brit, we lost our culture by letting in millions of bad people. Our country is still a mess anyway, wages don’t go up, babies are still not born enough, population still aging rapidly. We are similar to Japan, except crime is much higher, everything is even more expensive, and our roads are terrible Japan may need foreign people, but I can’t emphasize enough how important it is to regulate who you are letting into the country. The only reason I haven’t moved to Japan is because of their work culture, that may need a reform. But please do not be obliged to listen to my thoughts. After all I’m not even Japanese.
You guys are too conservative minded and that is the problem. Let loose a little bit. Hell you cant even date in high school. How tf do you expect boys to gather courage and have some social skills. Hell even as adult they work you people to death with not time for fun or family.
I know that doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result is insanity, but what do you call it when you do the same thing over and over again and tolerate the same thing?
One thing you should have mentioned is that the PM election of LDP at this time was completely different than before. Ishiba vs Takaichi got attention literally like Trump vs Harris. There were huge differences between them. Like me, who eagerly hoped Takaichi to be the PM would never vote for LDP. Note that the situation would be different if Takaichi was elected as the PM.
He ruined his promise that he would discuss this problem in the diet if he becomes PM, and decided to do the election immediately. It finally pushed us to vote OTHERS.
An interesting fact is that the DPJ, reported in the Japanese media as the winner of this election, is not actually the winner. In fact, compared to the previous election, the DPJ was only able to increase its vote by a few tens of thousands of votes. The Japanese people did not vote for the extreme austerity policies of the Constituent Democratic Party, but for a third party to replace the LDP. Only the LDP led by Prime Minister Ishiba, who betrayed his fellow lawmakers and repeatedly reversed his statements, destroyed itself.
Like many Japanese people in the comments section I also welcome this outcome. This forces the LDP to implement more socially liberal policies while retaining their macro economic and defensive policies which has been going pretty well since Kishida took over. I very much like many of the policies that DPP will bring to the table as well. Looking forward to the next year of good policies.
Ishiba clearly hasn't looked at other right-wing liberal party leaders dissolving parliament for a re-election: Macron (FR) and Mark Rutte (NL) did the same thing. Both were disastrous for the respective parties.
This is probably a good thing, parties that remain in power become stagnant, they don't try as hard and corruption starts to set in, a mix up like hopefully revitalises the necessity for politicians to at least try and provide competent governance.
There are multiple definitions of "winning". A very drastic loss in votes is kind of a loss while a drastic increase of votes is kind of a win. But I do agree that overall the LDP still faired quite good compared to everyone else.
In Japan it is considered rude to speak on subway, but it is acceptable to bring cars with megaphones in front people's houses and scream the names of politicians.
Bit of context here - while LDP could by the numbers form a coalition government with Komeito and either Isshin or DPP, both of the latter have already gone on record before the election stating that they have no interest in joining hands with the LDP to maintain a majority. While this was likely due to believing that joining hands with the LDP would be political idiocy during the election, I can't imagine that they'd just do a 180 so soon afterwards and play nice with them again.
A minority government or a confidence and supply agreement seems likely though. They can still refuse to back some legislation while also agreeing to not vote to collapse the government.
Thank goodness the LDP lost it's majority I do give credit for Shiba doing the right thing and call a election the CDP really needs to work something out with the JCP as soon as possible
It’s not really fair to blame Japan for anything for the economy of its people. The Japanese economy is adjacent to the American economy. What goes on in America is reflected towards Japan. For example the category of inflation or young people forced to do “odd jobs”.
Most probable result seems an unstable coalition built on a very shaky foundation that will ultimately be short-lived, followed by another snap election. But Japan being Japan things will probably go back to the status quo by then.
On the point about the party having multiple factions that can rise and fall to meet public opinion. I really do not understand this kind of party. When your party is a chameleon your party is more about the party being in control than it is about representing people with a certain political beliefs. Parties should be about representing a specific political ideology.
The term is 4 years, it's just that it is very rare for parliaments to last a full term. This was Japan's 50th election in less than 80 years since WWII.
LDP Loses because inflation , immigration and 🌈 . Now have 1 last change to Do Better . And yes can have some immigration but must pick better people .
Wrong, it is the opposite. The corruption of his faction was the main them of the election, and the people had enough that they voted for other parties. This was mad clear in the polls of the press before and after the election.
I do respect him for calling an election. I think politically it was stupid, but morally, in systems like these, there should be elections after a new pm
It’s common in Japan to do this in order to gain the public mandate. It’s rare to not have an election when a new PM comes in. If he didn’t the party could have been in an even worse position when he was obligated to have an election next year anyway
Very stupid. Even if you're in a good position a lot of people resent you for making them go to the polls early.
@@vinny4765People with their power in risk will resent you*
@@vinny4765if people hate having to vote earlier than they absolutely have to then they don't deserve the vote
His decision to dissolve parliament was not moral at all. All parliamentary investigation against MPs accused of receiving slush fund money were stopped. That's why Ishiba was harshly criticized by opposition parties and lost his popularity.
Its similar to what happened in 1993. Multiple LDP scandals, a strugling econcomy, the LDP losing a large seat share and a wide range of parties winning seats where no one has a clear majority.
So you're saying they'll find a way to get back into power within a short period of time?
@@LeeSixTwenty that seems to be a common theme with the LDP
@joshreichardt2485 Also the LDP have generally lost votes to newer right-wing parties, rather than the centrist or leftist opposition, meaning there's a good chance of them regaining these votes. However, the LDP's traditional power structure (which no other Western conservative party really has) means young people might prefer to continue voting for the newer, more populist, right-wing parties.
It's more like a frustration and weariness with the ruling party, rather than a desire for a distinct and clear alternative to choose
There is a clear difference this time, in the in 1993 Japan used to be one of the richest countries. But now it is struggling with no improvement in sight.
Japanese here.
Nobody here hates Ishiba, besides the far right of the LDP.
Most just don't like the LDP anymore.,
Ishiba's current approval rating is around 30 percent.
That means the majority of Japanese people do not like Ishiba.
@@ARKSAAXX-ys9gz there is a severe difference between LDP Ishiba and Ishiba by himself
@@ARKSAAXX-ys9gzthat just means they approve of him not necessarily disapprove of him
You don't have to be far-right to be against gay marriage, against feminist policies that devasated Japanese fertilities for half a century now and against fearmongering for nuclear energy.
Ishiba is unpopular with most conservatives and he was and is a hater of Shinzo Abe, the best and most patriotic president Japan has had in recent years.
@@captainvanisher988 you dont understand why birth rates are low in japan if you blame gay marriage and feminism. First japan is much more conservative so is very limited on issues such as feminism yet has such a low BR. The reason for a low BR is a combination of high cost of living, high working hours which means people dont have enough money or time for children. You can also argue the prevelance of corn addictions among japanese men contribute to not wanting a partner. The issue of a low BR is more complex then 1 or 2 policies
As a Japanese I’m really happy to see this. LDP had promised and tried to fix the economy for a looongg time with nothing but disappointment. I feel we are ready to give other parties a go with their plans. And to find out LDP politicians have been pocketing money while the public continues to struggle more every year with rising prices, this result is deserved.
@@Sophadegus rising prices are normal, so dont judge the next government too harshly if that continues. How much you're paid needs to raise, and that should be your metric
Do any of the parties propose to reduce regulation and free up markets?
You can't fix the economy when you have 1.4 and below fertility rates for more than 50 years.
So you have to choose to either become like EU and temporarily fix the economy but in return bring people that will disturb the culture, commit crimes and drive down the wages of unskilled labour jobs.
Or you wait until the population collapse comes to place and rebuild your country.
The third option would be to fix the birth rates, but I don't see it happening without a massive conservative/religious wave in the youth.
You could still have former LDP politicians be included with an LDP led coalition. Though I do agree with you that the LDP has been a disappointment. And hopefully they do some soul searching.
I saw this in 2009 too, but Japanese people couldn't stand it and voted for the LDP again lol
1:39
Shout out to the United Status. It's gotta be my favorite country.
I think they meant to say "United States"
All other countries are stupid , letting us take so much control of the world. Now the world cant run withour them
Agreed. I love how the United Status beat the Soviet Onion, too
@@ThamizhanDaa1 Thank you, Captain Obvious.
@@pokemon9573 you're welcome😊
The only thing shocking about this election is how much support the LDP still got despite their decades of scandals and incompetence...
LDP has experienced very much.
On the other hand, some parties just claim to LDP. Most people think the parties can't do politics.
They regurgitate conservative talking points to a very conservative society.
@@duerf5826 Not much different to the US Republican Party.
And the fact that the LDP members who were kicked out of the party for personal involvement in the slush fund scandal somehow got reelected. When your corruption is *so bad* that the corrupt party kicks you out, and yet voters give you another term? Absurd.
The alternative is usually worse...which is why LDP wins.
It's been a fun ride for me moving to Japan to study and having a new government TWICE in the span of a month!
yeah, the government falling apart and an economic disaster is funny right?
The original comment: "It's been fun for me moving to..."
I responded to this, but this mf change the context and the comment.
@@andrekotz7803 it's not a disaster. There was no government collapse and they didn't say it was funny
@@andrekotz7803 Yes. Here in Britain we still haven't stopped making Cabbage jokes. There's some situations where all you can do is laugh.
@@CharlieMoomin right right, decades of stagnant+ low birth rate and now a government that cannot function properly is the new normal and fine.
@@CharlieMoomindecades of stagnation + low birth rate and now a government that cannot function, its really good right. He edited the comment for mention the "ride" and change the context for the supposed "fun"
Just a note, there are only 10 Independents in the House of Representatives and not all of them were former LDP members who had their memberships revoked due to the slush fund scandal. So even with these independents, the LDP-Kōmeitō government still only has 225 seats, 8 short of a majority. The DPP is ideologically similar to the LDP so they could be a coalition partner if they hadn’t already denied to do so. Overall, the minority government route seems to be the most likely but it will be a very difficult position for Ishiba and leaves the door wide open to no-confidence votes
Why would the DPP do that if they are ideologically similar isn’t this their chance to get into government? Are their voters fine with that decision?
@@jeddgangman4502 that’s because they preyed on opposition vote. Think about it: they used to be part of the opposition Democratic Party and now they’ve gained seats by being an alternative to the LDP only to then join the LDP. It’s essentially tying themselves to a sinking ship that they’ve opposed since their inception
@@jeddgangman4502
(DPFP)DDP's support base consists of anti-LDP and anti-CDP.
Whether they cooperate with LDP or CDP, they will be divided.
It is better to negotiate individually with the minority ruling party without cooperating with either party, so that the demands will be passed.
3😂😂🎉😂🎉🎉 1:29 😂😂😂🎉😂😂😂
I wish you spoke more about Ishin and DPFP because it’s really an interesting thing with each of them. Ishin has moderated its stance to appeal more broadly in Osaka and is more of a regional party that pushes for stronger representation for Osaka in the Diet. It wants Osaka to be the “vice capitol” along with Nagatacho in Tokyo, and to place Osaka in a more important role than it gets now - where Tokyo Elitists kinda see it as 2nd class place at times.
The DPFP is a more moderate and centrist party with a bit of a goofball for a leader. He’s very ambitious though and would probably ask for some serious priority to his platform to bring him onboard.
bringing in either party will be extremely expensive as far as policy priorities, ministerial/cabinet appointments, and keeping a balance with komieto so as to not piss them off and lose such a coalition.
If they go with a minority govt, they’re likely to receive a no confidence vote and a lot of criticism for their disarray by the CDP who will no doubt kick them while they’re down.
1:37 united status💀
lol
Took me a minute, but I see it too. Lol
UNITED STATUS OF MURICA!
suits perfectly.
union of status quo
Reminds me of "Untied Status Marin Crops"
I get the feeling that the right-left description is not quite accurate when translating Japanese politics to a western audience.
The Japanese are notoriously apolitical, which is why the left-right divide that exists in other countries like South Korea for example isn’t there. The effect of US support for Japanese conservatives to counter the rise of the Communist Party post World War II should also be noted
There is also a decent chance that some of the elected LDP members making their own separate party. There is indeed a huge surge of frustration among card-carrying LDP members.
The Abe faction involved in the fundraising scandal lost more than half over there candidates within the upper house election. The other made it though because the Koumei Party supported them against their party slogan to make politics clean, while they supported those candidates who do the opposite, just so they could get some of the votes from the Liberal Democratic Party Supporters for their party survival. It is disguisting.
@@freakmil1537 Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan it's also disgusting !
Japan need more like Ishin and Right wing once again so can then do better ...
I feel like I've watched this episode before, but with the numbers filled in...
YO MAMA
its crazy how after 2015, united status has pulled away from the g7 in gdp per capita
It's because after 2008 the US was the one country that did not officially embrace austerity. Europe did badly after 2008 as well.
At the expense of its allies, and people don't realise this
@@hwg5039 How so?
1:55 Sorry for interrupting.
For me, as Asian political science students, We call 'Mixed-Member majoritarian (MMM)' or 'Parallel Electoral System (PES)
My view, unlike 'AMS', MMM was designed to separate the counting of the votes. It believes that topics in constituency are different from the national level
But the concept of AMS is, the proportional percentage is the priority. Whatever you love the party in national level, but want to kick the old MP out. He or she can come back in the name of 'additional member', or you often get 'unwanted additional members' like Germany Electoral System now.
For more details > Book 'comparative Electoral System' by Siripahn Noksuan Sawasdee, Chulalongkorn University.
It is not additional member system, but parallel voting.
Similar to Mexico or Lithuania.
@@rosca_21 yes. Except Mexico has a limit on seats per party and Lithuania uses a two round system
Love the fact that, despite literally determining who gets to control countries and write history, electoral systems are somehow such a niche topic that even political experts and politicians don't understand them.
And by love I mean hate. We are cursed with the knowledge of how important electoral systems are but are unable to make anyone else properly understand or care, even most politicos.
1:42 united status 😂
@@HastyHenri Now THAT'S funny! Lol
I appreciate that the ad read in this one feels distinct from the reporting. The pre recorded ad reads that try to make it sound like they are a continuation of a story written after the fact always irk me.
Nice pfp
One thing people often fail to take into account is that Japan is not a single place. It consists of hundreds of population centers that are physically separated by mountains or sea or both. Each regions have different ideas of what it even means to be left or right, and the LDP is the only real party that is capable of coordinating between different regions. This capability allows the LDP to win more seats than they are voted, because they can focus on turning small lose into small win, ignoring regions where big lose or big win are likely. Opposition parties struggle to form coalition not so much because of their ideological differences, but their support bases are physically separated and they generally don't trust strangers.
Recent inflation hit Japan as well as every countries abroad. While Japan's inflation rate is somewhat lower than the rest of the world, people felt it keenly because Japan imports 60% of food and 90% of energy, and a lot of people depends on pensions because of old population. While these problems aren't something the Japanese government can control, that didn't stop people from blaming current government. In this election, old pensioners showed up on mass and resoundingly voted against LDP. This would make it very difficult to put austerity on pensioners, and could result in higher long term interest rate and further devaluation of its currency.
Inflation from pre COVID days was 8.36%, which is not bad comparing to the World. But, Yen is now 36% down to the inflated dollar and that is crazy.
That's a bad take, every large country has this problem. A conservative in Florida or Ontario is different than a conservative in California or Alberta. We also have technology, it's not like we still communicate through mail or smoke signals.
@@Peglegkickboxer The lines between such areas are usually more fluid though, you have some areas in between that serve as a bridge. With Japan's mountain ranges the separation is much more stark. And physical connection still has an effect, despite all technology.
@@Nickname-ef9tv You are so wrong about this, Japan is one of the most internally integrated countries in the world if not the most, that was in large part what helped their economic miracle, the internal infrastructure of the country conecting itself its top notch and way better that the connection between neighboring cities in the States.
Japan imports 80% not 90% of energy and can lower that to 60% by 2030.
As for food in 1979 japan produced enough for 100 million people , so that can be done again
1:39
United Status?
It's the combined GDP per capita of the g 7
2:20 "41...nah 51, lol"
One dominant party is never good.
It depends. China is very successful rn.
In treating their population like trash. @@pyrofestimo
What one party rule can do is impose a vast restructuring of society around export growth. Which Japan and China had in common.
The problem is what happens after you've achieved an export-driven economic miracle. The money always ends up inflating real estate instead of continuing to increase consumer spending so the economy can rebalance towards internal consumption. I don't know why.
@@pyrofestimo definitely, works great from where im from (singapore)
Except in Singapore. They've had the same ruling party since the country gained independence.
1:36 the "UNITED STATUS" went to the moon
USSR IS *BETTER* THAN USA 🇷🇺🇷🇺🇷🇺
I just realized that we had a new PM substitute lol
my family and people around me aren't political so it's really confusing what's going on in the politics world, but here I am trying to understand some key notes.
1:37 'United Status' hmmmmmm
Actually, Democratic Party for the people has got most number of votes among 20-30 generation, and they can easily be distinguished from CDP because DPFP focused on economical perspective like reducing taxes while CDP repeatedly accused LDP of its scandals. That made some differences.
As someone who has followed Japanese politics on and off after writing a paper tangentially related in college, this is crazy!!
The blow back of being one party rule. It happens....this is so good to see them lose power.
Not enough so to really change anything, though.
@@twincast2005 I think the shift will keep happening as the economy hasn't been strong for a good bit and the LPD can't simply ignore the younger population.
@@KazeShikamaru ironically the Japanese demographic crisis means they can. There are less young people every day there.
@someolddude-j8iImagine if the opposition can form coalition with all the other smaller parties like what isreal did
@@KazeShikamaru Wake me up when the Japanese youth actually go vote. I was there to see the hope for change in 2009 and its crumbling by 2012, but refusing to participate is the height of immaturity. This was the fourth election in a row with abysmal overall turnout.
Now I'm up to date with Japanese politics. Thank you.
Japanese politics are my favorite telenovela
I don't have any horses on the race, I just enjoy the drama
Hey Norm, how's Birchum's baby? Heard you two are secretly 🏳️🌈
Unlike the USA, who can still determine the fate of large parts of the world.
As a Japanese, The scandal was, of course, one of the reasons why LDP lost the election , but I thought the voters were more concerned about making their lives better than the scandal as a criterion for voting
The voters determined LDP policies would not make the economy and their lives better
In contrast, for example, DPFP has made great strides in this election by insisting on increasing people’s take-home pay
Well a funny amount of internet ppl are so into DPFP though...
@@Nanashii_Midoluri Then why did the CDP take second place?
@@yourfake915
Because many of voters criticized LDP voted for CDP over DPFP
DPFP received a lot of support but was not large enough to beat CDP
2:45 very colorblind friendly graph 😂😂
It seems that many Japanese commenters here do not favor the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). One might wonder, then, why the LDP continues to enjoy significant support. This can be traced back to the period from 2009 to 2012 when the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) held power in coalition. Though impacted by the global financial crisis and the Great East Japan Earthquake, their response was widely seen as slow. This period has even been referred to as the 'nightmare of the DPJ government.'
On the other hand, while the LDP has had its share of scandals, most other parties also face similar issues. The LDP remains unmatched in achievements, experience, and resources. Moreover, it has largely maintained a '55-Year System,' having lost control only twice. Even now, the leading opposition party, the Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP), lacks a well-defined shadow cabinet and appears unprepared to take power. Given this context, many Japanese choose the LDP for stability.
(Granted, as a strong LDP supporter, my perspective might be somewhat biased.)
This was translated by ChatGPT, so the original meaning might have shifted slightly. Still, as long as the gist comes across, that’s fine.
Aka LDP did many mistakes the last 3 years but that second party is 10 times worse !
Honestly, I think its more of the trend than people are tired of the incumbent parties of gov.
Look at Italy in 2022, France and the UK in 2024 and possibly the United States later this year.
Likewise, Germany and Canada have very unpopular governments.
I don't think it's a good argument for including the US considering Tory were in control since 2010, macron since 2017
@@blackearl7891 I disagree. With today's social media influence, a government whose been in a single term can seem like forever today, especially if you fixate on hating the power. Look how quickly the public turned against Labour in the UK, or Macron, or Schulz coalition, or Trudeaus CaS agreement with the NDP, or Biden in the States.
If change doesn't happen immediately, people go 360 real quick these days and run to the opposition.
@@AlekWheelerRunning backwards to the opposition, lol.
@@tylerian4648 I'd also argue in this same stream that this is why populism has become so...well, popular the last decade. They promise things will be done the next day, damn the long term consequences or costs.
I'm not so sure about comparing the United States to Germany or Canada; the U.S. economy has performed much better than other countries, but the perception remains different for people who were hit hard by inflation.
The problem is, not many trusts the opposition in Japan, especially when it comes to navigating difficult diplomatic environments. Last time they governed (2009-2012) they strained relations with the US and fumbled territorial disputes with neighboring countries, and a lot of the voters still remember this.
It might be actually a very smart move. His throwing snap elections shows him as brave and kind of hopeful for the future. The party losing some double digits of seats will be taken by the public as enough of a punishment so in the next elections LDP might gain again
Japan seems to be heading for a minority government. Unlike Germany, reconfiguration of coalition partners is not common or popular here, partly because of the first-past-the-post system. Centrist DPFP or right-wing Ishin would be a great coalition partner for LDP ideologically, but DPFP and Ishin candidates fought against LDP-Komeito candidates in elections, criticizing them heavily. It won't be easy to side with the two parties they attacked so hard.
You might be surpirsed, but Germans should be proud of their party system because it avoided serious corruptions like Japan with opprotunity of power monopolization. The ultra right of the Liberal Democratic Party are sick and disguisting, led by Takaichi Sanae who promoted a book which admired Adolf Hitler. Meanwhile, Germans sould still determine to dissolve the AfD as a mouthpiece of Russia.
One of the big factors of LDP first taking power was as opposition to Maoists, but Chinese influence has only grown while conservative nationalism has declined, but there is still hope that the modern parties have evolved towards real progressive reform rather than just bad actors serving foreign interests.
Japan is constantly the target of campaigns from Russia, China, and the USA as their bays act as key military strategic points in NATO's control of the Pacific, as well as great economic importance.
自民党と公明党が連立組んでるけど、今回公明党の党首と副党首が両方とも選挙で落選した笑
正直に自業自得である。綺麗な政治をスローガンに掲げている政党が裏金議員を組織的に支援した。結党理念を実践できなのであれば創価学会共々解党してもらいたい。はっきり言って裏金議員を当選させて腐敗を促進させるような真似は有権者には迷惑だ。
日本の20代30代での一番人気は「国民民主党」です。国民民主党は「対決より解決」を掲げており、国会を麻痺させる罵り合いよりも現役世代の手取り増やす政策実現を第一としています。単独過半数を実現していない自民党も立憲民主党も法案の可決等には国民民主（あと維新の会）の協力が不可欠となっており国民民主の影響力は高まっています。🇯🇵
The most popular party among Japanese people in their 20s and 30s was the 2 new "Far Right " parties anyway ...
6:13 There's something really funny to me, about this guy with this *ducktaped buschel of microphones*. But also, it allows him to hold a bunch of them at a time, so in a sense as silly as it looks, it's kinda ingenious.
I'd call it a fasces rather than a bushel of microphones, except that no one knows what a fasces is.
Let's see if it lasts more than a few years. Given past decades, the LDP will be back in power soon enough.
Japanese old people just won't change their voting pattern.
Why would they change it so that it no longer favors them? It’s just like boomers in the US
The LDP is the strongest among the Japanese youth, it is the elderly where you find most CDP and JCP supporters.
The voting turn out is always low which should tell you something, the majority of people are fed up and know nothing will change no matter who wins.
CDP is worst party of the world.
If you Japanese, Which do you choice bad party or Worst party ?
@@イブ-u7k the economy went from 6 trillion in 2012 to barely 4 trillion now, don’t be surprised when it drops to 3 trillion. No other party has been given long enough time to change things.
Ishiba always looks like he'd rather be anywhere else.
1:36 united status?
Calling Komeito a Buddhist inspired party sounds quite funny for me as a Japanese. 😂😂😂 They are strongly linked to Soka Gakkai. Which sucks for some sensible Japanese and traditional Buddhists.
I'm japanese, my opinion is that japan's cooked no matter who's in charge, and people will say to *go vote* like a coping method for the inevitable slow doom/decline of the country. Wages wont go up, there will be less kids, etc. The only thing that can change this is a fundamental change in culture which I don't see happening and probably wont happen within the next century
They let people in from 3rd world countries like Nigeria, they're ruined forever.
Is there any chance of true change coming? Does the movement for that exist in your country?
As a Brit, we lost our culture by letting in millions of bad people.
Our country is still a mess anyway, wages don’t go up, babies are still not born enough, population still aging rapidly. We are similar to Japan, except crime is much higher, everything is even more expensive, and our roads are terrible
Japan may need foreign people, but I can’t emphasize enough how important it is to regulate who you are letting into the country.
The only reason I haven’t moved to Japan is because of their work culture, that may need a reform. But please do not be obliged to listen to my thoughts. After all I’m not even Japanese.
You guys are too conservative minded and that is the problem. Let loose a little bit. Hell you cant even date in high school. How tf do you expect boys to gather courage and have some social skills. Hell even as adult they work you people to death with not time for fun or family.
I know that doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result is insanity, but what do you call it when you do the same thing over and over again and tolerate the same thing?
One thing you should have mentioned is that the PM election of LDP at this time was completely different than before.
Ishiba vs Takaichi got attention literally like Trump vs Harris.
There were huge differences between them.
Like me, who eagerly hoped Takaichi to be the PM would never vote for LDP.
Note that the situation would be different if Takaichi was elected as the PM.
Here's to hoping this could spell the end of LDP electoral dominance for good!
6:39 the Ishin should take the opportunity and have some ministers too .
Oh if only this can happen with the US. We REALLY a need to get rid of the two party system.
I still can't believe you guys still have a massive proofreading problem after all this time lmao
Unless you offer specifics I have to assume you are a bot
Looks like you didn't bother reading top comments so I'll have to assume you're a bot
Well the LDP technically hasn't "lost", they have a reduced mandate.
He ruined his promise that he would discuss this problem in the diet if he becomes PM, and decided to do the election immediately. It finally pushed us to vote OTHERS.
1:21 what kind of psychopath uses 3 near-identical shades of green for a chart?
1:38 ‘United Status’
Never go full Theresa May.
The Abe period might be the most successful period of Japan's twentyfirst century.
He stood up against the status quo and gave his life for it. They wanted him dead!
... and the most corrupted era of politics.
No it was 2009-2012 when Japan’s economy reached 6T, it declined to 5T under Abe and is now at 4T.
@@sparticuzj19それは緊縮財政の結果であり、悪夢の民主党の原因です。GDPは増税、緊縮財政をすれば為替によって名目上は上がるが、実態経済はより悪化する
@@イブ-u7k 輸入を増やすために円を切り下げても効果はなかった。政府は借金を免除し、円安を止めるべきだ。労働時間を削減し、企業は付加価値のあるハイエンド製品を作成する必要があります。
An interesting fact is that the DPJ, reported in the Japanese media as the winner of this election, is not actually the winner.
In fact, compared to the previous election, the DPJ was only able to increase its vote by a few tens of thousands of votes.
The Japanese people did not vote for the extreme austerity policies of the Constituent Democratic Party, but for a third party to replace the LDP.
Only the LDP led by Prime Minister Ishiba, who betrayed his fellow lawmakers and repeatedly reversed his statements, destroyed itself.
Like many Japanese people in the comments section I also welcome this outcome. This forces the LDP to implement more socially liberal policies while retaining their macro economic and defensive policies which has been going pretty well since Kishida took over. I very much like many of the policies that DPP will bring to the table as well. Looking forward to the next year of good policies.
Ishiba clearly hasn't looked at other right-wing liberal party leaders dissolving parliament for a re-election: Macron (FR) and Mark Rutte (NL) did the same thing.
Both were disastrous for the respective parties.
my question, what will this mean in terms of Japans foreign policy and positioning relative to China and USA
石破茂はアメリカよりも中国を重視する政治家だが、彼を操っている前総理大臣の岸田と連立パートナーの国民民主党がアメリカ重視で拒否権を持っている
石破茂は安倍晋三の宿敵であり、その盟友のトランプにも嫌われているため、来年の夏まで持たないだろう
根本的に中国とは領土問題を抱えているので、日本がアメリカを重視し、軍事費用を高める方針は変わらないだろう
Wait, are these just the tories?
This is probably a good thing, parties that remain in power become stagnant, they don't try as hard and corruption starts to set in, a mix up like hopefully revitalises the necessity for politicians to at least try and provide competent governance.
they are in coalition with komeito, but in order to secure a majority, they might invite ishin to their coalition.
soooo... is it Jimintōver?
Generally, the party that gets the most votes is said to "win" the election, even if they don't have a majority
The LDP lost a lot of seats.
There are multiple definitions of "winning". A very drastic loss in votes is kind of a loss while a drastic increase of votes is kind of a win. But I do agree that overall the LDP still faired quite good compared to everyone else.
so glad the election campaigning will cease here in Japan. The megaphone cars were so annoying oml
In Japan it is considered rude to speak on subway, but it is acceptable to bring cars with megaphones in front people's houses and scream the names of politicians.
Shinzo-chan...
ANC: first time?
I have actually never looked into Japanese politics before 💀 I’ve been watching a bunch of stuff for the us election and now I’m here I guess.
Conservative and liberal in what aspect? I wish people will say socially conservative liberal economy which makes more sense.
The cdp is center left?
Last 3 years LDP war central to both Right and Left , cdp is Far Left pretending to be center !
6:14 do you need more microphones man....
Big fat balls
thank you for this groundbreaking comment, kingow95
A modern philosopher of our time
Goals are easier
@@jimrhx you're very welcome
I'd say this comment is better than the typical comment section on a video about the Russo-Ukrainian war.
Truly the Persona 5 timeline
The graph shown at 01:39 seems to contain a typo, saying "United Status" instead of "United States".
It might be time for Japan to consider electoral reform.
Bit of context here - while LDP could by the numbers form a coalition government with Komeito and either Isshin or DPP, both of the latter have already gone on record before the election stating that they have no interest in joining hands with the LDP to maintain a majority. While this was likely due to believing that joining hands with the LDP would be political idiocy during the election, I can't imagine that they'd just do a 180 so soon afterwards and play nice with them again.
A minority government or a confidence and supply agreement seems likely though. They can still refuse to back some legislation while also agreeing to not vote to collapse the government.
I'm not surprised
finally a topic that should be topic
Thank goodness the LDP lost it's majority I do give credit for Shiba doing the right thing and call a election the CDP really needs to work something out with the JCP as soon as possible
It’s not really fair to blame Japan for anything for the economy of its people. The Japanese economy is adjacent to the American economy. What goes on in America is reflected towards Japan. For example the category of inflation or young people forced to do “odd jobs”.
Japan will never be the same after Shinzo Abe. 😢
Good.
Most probable result seems an unstable coalition built on a very shaky foundation that will ultimately be short-lived, followed by another snap election. But Japan being Japan things will probably go back to the status quo by then.
On the point about the party having multiple factions that can rise and fall to meet public opinion. I really do not understand this kind of party. When your party is a chameleon your party is more about the party being in control than it is about representing people with a certain political beliefs. Parties should be about representing a specific political ideology.
The question is will Japan become a country with smiles and joy again under the leadership of Ishiba?
The idea of bringing back ex-LDP independents is pretty funny, like you just kicked them out
"A right-wing contingent within the LDP..." seems like that's the problem.
FINALLY some change in japan
The same mistake Teresa May made when calling an early election...
60% only first-past-the-post leading to 34% votes to get the seat majority seams like a huge problem for a fair society.
They'll probably back in power in 3 years (which is what I believe their term lengths are normally unless im mistaken)
The term is 4 years, it's just that it is very rare for parliaments to last a full term. This was Japan's 50th election in less than 80 years since WWII.
LDP Loses because of the taxes not because of scandals
LDP Loses because inflation , immigration and 🌈 .
Now have 1 last change to Do Better . And yes can have some immigration but must pick better people .
Shinzo Abe sympathy vote just pushed the ldp votes. After that the new pms have always remained in shadow
Wrong, it is the opposite. The corruption of his faction was the main them of the election, and the people had enough that they voted for other parties. This was mad clear in the polls of the press before and after the election.
Damn these are some old men
It’s about time. Democracies are not single party states.
So Ishiba became a "Rishi Sunak" (biggest defeat) of Japan politics and soon to be "Liz Truss" (shortest serving PM).
wait why is there a united status instead of united states? at 1:39
Sepukku from the Prime Minister? 🤷🏻♀️