Isn't on Q83r that villain has to defend 83% of range given the odds, but solver just floats more because we x/f turns too much? We autoprofit only if he folds 1/6 times given the odds
@7:00 ish - if the rainbow turn happens 1 in 4, wouldn't the flush draw turn happen about 3 in 4 ? (instead of 1 in 3) the rainbow flop makes 3 suits for a potential (backdoor) flush draw.
Good content as always, and sorry to first comment only when I think I found a mistake ! About the 20% bet range strategy : It's an OK strategy, but there seems to be a massive misread of the simulation here. When we node that we cbet 20% with all of our SB range, the response that GTO wizard shows for BU is not how he HAS to react, but how he CAN react to "punish" us for using a suboptimal strategy. It's not going MES but it's still taking advantage of SB "mistake" here. If in practice BU doesn't react like that it doesn't necessarily mean that he looses money, we can only assert that he doesn't win as much as he could. Here button CAN call KTc but doesn't HAVE to. I did a quick simulation ( sim 1 ), putting similar ranges : First node = 20% range for SB Second node = BU pur folds all randoms hands without back door FD ( KTc K9c 54c... ) I compared it to a a simulation ( sim 2 ) where I just put one available sizing for SB ( 50% which is a simplified nash strategy ) and node nothing else. BB in sim 1 has 1,5% less of EV compared to sim 2 ; which is kinda big, especially when we node that BU is making mistakes in sim 1 and not in sim 2. And if I node in sim 2 that BU is also overflowing ( about the same amount ) we even climb to a -3% of EV. Again I'm not saying that 20% range is not a good strategy, I think it is, but the methodology applied here can't prove that.
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" a pair of dogs." Looooooool
Isn't on Q83r that villain has to defend 83% of range given the odds, but solver just floats more because we x/f turns too much? We autoprofit only if he folds 1/6 times given the odds
Always learning from your videos !
Love your concept videos and poker inferno
@7:00 ish - if the rainbow turn happens 1 in 4, wouldn't the flush draw turn happen about 3 in 4 ? (instead of 1 in 3)
the rainbow flop makes 3 suits for a potential (backdoor) flush draw.
Done with PIO Pete 😢?
Good content as always, and sorry to first comment only when I think I found a mistake !
About the 20% bet range strategy :
It's an OK strategy, but there seems to be a massive misread of the simulation here. When we node that we cbet 20% with all of our SB range, the response that GTO wizard shows for BU is not how he HAS to react, but how he CAN react to "punish" us for using a suboptimal strategy. It's not going MES but it's still taking advantage of SB "mistake" here.
If in practice BU doesn't react like that it doesn't necessarily mean that he looses money, we can only assert that he doesn't win as much as he could.
Here button CAN call KTc but doesn't HAVE to.
I did a quick simulation ( sim 1 ), putting similar ranges :
First node = 20% range for SB
Second node = BU pur folds all randoms hands without back door FD ( KTc K9c 54c... )
I compared it to a a simulation ( sim 2 ) where I just put one available sizing for SB ( 50% which is a simplified nash strategy ) and node nothing else.
BB in sim 1 has 1,5% less of EV compared to sim 2 ; which is kinda big, especially when we node that BU is making mistakes in sim 1 and not in sim 2. And if I node in sim 2 that BU is also overflowing ( about the same amount ) we even climb to a -3% of EV.
Again I'm not saying that 20% range is not a good strategy, I think it is, but the methodology applied here can't prove that.
hmmm . . . I guessed BTN never folds to R20.
does that mean I'm getting massacred or am I exploiting you?
Don't tease me like that I wanted to see your face in 1440p.
First at war
0.0% of the time. Final answer