What would a US air campaign against Iran look like?

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 7 มิ.ย. 2024
  • Understand the context shaping wars and international affairs with Ground News. Go to ground.news/binkov and subscribe for 30% off their unlimited access Vantage plan or $1/month for their starter package.
    This video explores a possible US air campaign against Iran. What might it look like? What sort of force might the US use? Bases, targets, Iranian defenses - and the China factor - all are explored.
    00:00 intro
    02:03 Why would it even happen?
    03:18 Goals and target sets
    05:52 Challenges and problems
    08:03 What would the US use?
    10:35 Iran’s SAM network
    16:10 Active defense
    19:28 Air campaign rundown
    Music by Matija Malatestinic www.malatestinic.com
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ความคิดเห็น • 4K

  • @Binkov
    @Binkov  3 หลายเดือนก่อน +45

    Understand the context shaping wars and international affairs with Ground News. Go to ground.news/binkov and subscribe for 30% off their unlimited access Vantage plan or $1/month for their starter package.

    • @funnyanimalsgaming3369
      @funnyanimalsgaming3369 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Another w military analysis

    • @Aminbathat
      @Aminbathat 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      how comes americans are dying yet america doesnt start any of its campaigns?

    • @gnomespace
      @gnomespace 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Why can't Israel join in? Just fly from non-Israeli bases and don't wear colors. Do you think the Iranians will be able to deduce that from another half dozen squadrons in the area, a long way away from their sight? And also, if it was going that badly for Iran, and they had the threats that Israel has claimed for the last 20+ years, why would they not launch everything? Again, it would be in Israel's interest to step in.
      Mr. Binkov, could I entice you to make a similar vid with Israel in the picture?

    • @Aminbathat
      @Aminbathat 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@gnomespacejust a reminder it took less than 20 missiles of hte smallest kind to disable one american base namely ayn al assad so america showed its hand and its not full they just showed it again with this histerical action flying planes all the way from american soil which makes american soil a target

    • @gumby2241
      @gumby2241 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@gnomespace what bases would those be? No Arab country would allow it.

  • @SportsIncorporated
    @SportsIncorporated 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +51

    If air strikes were launched from Saudi Arabia, wouldn't that make any Saudi Arabia refineries fair game for Iran.

    • @Nehpets1701G
      @Nehpets1701G 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Yes! Which could be absolutely devastating to the global economy as a whole. This is why despite all the tough talk and flexing, this situation needs to be dealt with delicately.

    • @alonmarkovitz2898
      @alonmarkovitz2898 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Same with irans ones, so I don’t know if Iran would attack Saudi’s refineries knowing it’s going to get its own attacked

    • @sohrabch8009
      @sohrabch8009 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@alonmarkovitz2898 if they attack it means iran has nothing to lose so as all the countries in the gulf iran will gona say if you gona sink me im gona take all the region with me and this means the world on fire since China and Russia will not let iran fall and so on....

    • @MrGodbodyNewday
      @MrGodbodyNewday 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      @@alonmarkovitz2898 False. Iran already attacked Aramco refineries during Trump's presidency. Nobody did anything. 🤣

    • @alonmarkovitz2898
      @alonmarkovitz2898 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@MrGodbodyNewday you are technically right but also no, because it was the Houthis (Iranian proxy) and not Iran itself, and Saudi Arabia wasn’t interested in starting a war against Iran so they did nothing, but if there’s already a war - of course if Iran hits Saudi like that Saudi will attack back

  • @AAKH1361
    @AAKH1361 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +38

    "Everyone has a plan, until they get punched in the mouth." - Mike Tyson.

    • @wc2195
      @wc2195 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +17

      Yup houthis and hamas finding that out now 🤡😂.

    • @andreivaldez2929
      @andreivaldez2929 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      There's also, "No plan survives first contact with the enemy".

    • @AAKH1361
      @AAKH1361 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      For this reason, the United States and England are looking for peace with the Houthis and Israel is looking for peace with the Palestinians😂😂😂@@wc2195

    • @robbycook4298
      @robbycook4298 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Yep and Iran has no plan..once they lose their major grouped oil fields and refineries they will collapse over night. With civil war, the US backed prince faction will take over again. But the US is hesitant because this opinion would lead to millions of innocent people in Iran dying...but they are poking the bear. It's coming, especially if Biden is elected again or any other Democrat, if Trump is elected we will have mutual peace.

    • @captainfingers1100
      @captainfingers1100 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      th-cam.com/video/3yNvI5vJ0Y0/w-d-xo.htmlsi=2SDJuoUEZKCTDlFq

  • @JDJay1
    @JDJay1 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +15

    Do that if you want to see the oil barrel price going to do $200 even $300

    • @johnnokov2852
      @johnnokov2852 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      We only get around 10% of our oil from the region, no problem really.

    • @tacotown4598
      @tacotown4598 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      more profit for US oil companies.

  • @arielsegieda4209
    @arielsegieda4209 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

    well, im not the only one coming back to this video after Iran's attack

  • @just_a_turtle_chad
    @just_a_turtle_chad 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +19

    I'm surprised the US has border in the middle east.

    • @jackduane5555
      @jackduane5555 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      What?

    • @megladon13
      @megladon13 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      For democratic purposes obviously

    • @voidwalker9223
      @voidwalker9223 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      the entire world is US border.

  • @johnadams7402
    @johnadams7402 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Always your work is in-depth, well produced. Always look forward to seeing your next video.

    • @johnadams7402
      @johnadams7402 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@srijanme A true internet troll.
      Everyone has one...this one, I guess is mine. And such a handsome ghoul.
      😂😂😂😂😂

  • @peterbrand8547
    @peterbrand8547 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    highly informative and well thought out. kudos!

  • @tommarney1561
    @tommarney1561 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Audio's back. Yay! And thanks, Jonathan, for everything!

  • @alexgavieres8293
    @alexgavieres8293 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

    Top Gun: Maverick was about Iran.

  • @richdobbs6595
    @richdobbs6595 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +31

    This whole video is basically assuming that the USA uses a brain-damaged approach to combating Iran. Unfortunately, there is little evidence to say that wouldn't be the approach. The American approach to the Houthi issue is a counter argument suggesting that they would pick an even worse strategy.

    • @yahyatavakoli1481
      @yahyatavakoli1481 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      How would you approach the houthi problem

    • @richdobbs6595
      @richdobbs6595 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@yahyatavakoli1481 Apparently, I'm not allowed to reply

    • @richdobbs6595
      @richdobbs6595 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@yahyatavakoli1481 I've written three responses that got removed.

    • @yahyatavakoli1481
      @yahyatavakoli1481 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@richdobbs6595 why?

    • @richdobbs6595
      @richdobbs6595 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@yahyatavakoli1481 Heck if I know, but I'm not going to try again. Sorry.

  • @loldglllla
    @loldglllla 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    The main goal of the United States is to focus on China, not consider Iran

  • @mikesmith-wk7vy
    @mikesmith-wk7vy 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    our airforce generals already admit the air force is likely incapable of a desert storm level operation in its current state

    • @stephenwells6434
      @stephenwells6434 2 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Generals always play up their military's inadequacies. That's how they secure more government funding.

  • @Pyt3x
    @Pyt3x 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +36

    "This episode was sponsored by Nikki Haley."

    • @nickmcgookin247
      @nickmcgookin247 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      This statement was was sponsored by Donald Trump.

    • @jakemocci3953
      @jakemocci3953 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Nimrata Randhawa should go back to India and drag them into Israeli wars instead.

    • @theiranianputin2770
      @theiranianputin2770 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Hahaha best comment

  • @therivalyn195
    @therivalyn195 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you. very informative!

  • @loumanal
    @loumanal 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Thanks for the amazing video

  • @fibodegjenn4411
    @fibodegjenn4411 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +15

    They would most likely enjoy what real-time intelligence the Russian and perhaps the Chinese could supply them. After US and NATO actions in Ukraine, I don't think such a scenario is to far fetched. That might hamper US carrier fleet's ability to deploy, as it might empower Iran to attack it.

    • @TWE_2000
      @TWE_2000 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      That would be quite limited though. Neither country has any significant signals or recon infrastructure in the region to provide intel

    • @btw6301
      @btw6301 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      ​@@TWE_2000
      China has been consistently launching more reconnaissance satellites than the US for years now. Binkov has covered this. Don't underestimate them.

    • @fibodegjenn4411
      @fibodegjenn4411 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@TWE_2000 you might be right, but would you bet a carrier on it. ;)

    • @voidwalker9223
      @voidwalker9223 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@fibodegjenn4411 yes I would as there is no proof china has ever killed any carrier. How can you prove it works? Ill bet all 11 multi billion dollar Super nuclear aircraft carriers china would never attack either. Peasant.

    • @Vexas345
      @Vexas345 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      The US regularly shoots down the missiles and drones Iran has given the Houthis. Them knowing where the carriers are doesn't matter.

  • @thealimr459
    @thealimr459 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

    You need to read history correctly because the Persian Gulf has always been, is, and will remain the Persian Gulf throughout history

  • @MrCurtishanner
    @MrCurtishanner 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Another great video. Great work

  • @newbeginning1510
    @newbeginning1510 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +13

    Make a video on USS Liberty

  • @blackhawk5903
    @blackhawk5903 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +25

    Hi i am from Iran, and next year i have do the mandatory military service, i hope i get lucky and nothing will happen during my service time

    • @JesusOrDestruction
      @JesusOrDestruction 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

      Get out of there man 🙏

    • @blackhawk5903
      @blackhawk5903 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

      @@JesusOrDestruction i tried, we are stuck here, either you have to have lots money or try to seek asylum, and good luck with that, many people have died trying to cross over borders and seek asylum ... We are stuck here

    • @olegbobrovskiy3244
      @olegbobrovskiy3244 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      @@blackhawk5903I hope it gets better for you guys, the dictatorship will not last forever.

    • @blackhawk5903
      @blackhawk5903 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      @@olegbobrovskiy3244 Thank you, i really appreciate your comment, i some times lose hope

    • @wheels-n-tires1846
      @wheels-n-tires1846 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      My father spent 1977 in Iran helping modernize the shipyards and train their Navy. He made many friends and came home with a love and appreciation for the Iranian people. Many of those friends were killed during and after the revolution. Hopefully youre free of the government you have someday and can join the world as a responsible and free nation. Good luck!!!

  • @markstott6689
    @markstott6689 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    Flattening Bandar Abbas naval base might be enough to deter Iran, but probably not. The problem is, once you start, it's going to be virtually impossible to descalate the conflict.
    Iran will likely do its utmost to close the Straits of Hormuz and cripple oil and gas exports from the Middle East. In turn, the world's economy would be massively disrupted. Stock markets would plummet.
    Is Iran worth the effort at this point in history. I suspect only as a last resort. To defeat Iran outright would need a ground invasion with +750,000 troops at a minimum. Iran is vast. Plus, no large field army wants to deal with a guerrilla war, which would inevitably follow. Iranians may not like their leaders very much, but they would hate foreign troops far more.
    Ensuring China doesn't try anything in Taiwan and Russia doesn't win in Ukraine is of higher priority right now.

    • @user-rx2mv7ig7y
      @user-rx2mv7ig7y 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Finally someone with an actual brain

    • @markstott6689
      @markstott6689 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @user-rx2mv7ig7y Why thank you, kind sir. 😊

    • @user-hb7rp5qw5f
      @user-hb7rp5qw5f 2 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      As an Iranian I would agree.

  • @sartainja
    @sartainja 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Superb work. 👍

  • @VladamirPutin-x7xx
    @VladamirPutin-x7xx 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    very good analysis

  • @johnallen7230
    @johnallen7230 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +14

    What US Strategic Interest or National Security Issue requires US Military Personnel in Jordan, Syria, and Iraq? Besides being human targets, what's the MISSION????

    • @PeterMuskrat6968
      @PeterMuskrat6968 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      What's the MISSION?
      Regional Security, not for us but our allies. Jordan asked the US for our forces there.
      Staying in Iraq keeps Iran out, which is good for literally everybody except Iran.
      Syria, that is a little bit more of a tough one.

    • @tonysu8860
      @tonysu8860 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Can only be spoken by a MAGA... Isolationists that believe no American interests exists outside the borders of the US. No understanding of the interests of international commerce and how that directly affects the health and welfare of themselves. Can't see the economic benefits by being part of a global community that peacefully trades goods and services, much that is returned to the US. Thinks that the only things that are important is as far as the eye can see and no further.

    • @Jartran72
      @Jartran72 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      They protect their allies and therefor the region is more stable. Stable regions mean good economies and good economies make for excellent trading partners. If america were to stop all trade tommorrow they would lose most of their wealth and economy. They have an expeditionary millitary so they can project power everywhere and protect global trade. Because they profit from global free trade the most. Oh and their allies literally asked them for protection. It is a win- win for everyone except for aggressors near by. Even though your question was most likely nothing but bad faits, I gave you a good faith answer.

  • @paststeve1
    @paststeve1 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    This comment is to boost our old buddy, Al Go-Rhythm.

  • @kylecollins7079
    @kylecollins7079 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Great video great channel

  • @465maltbie
    @465maltbie 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    I dont like shorts, I dont have time to browse. I like to listen to you while i am working and I just dont have time or waste my time randomly browsing.

  • @worldofmix6766
    @worldofmix6766 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +17

    You can't even open Bab al Mandeb strait, let's not talk about Strait of Hormuz

    • @earth9531
      @earth9531 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      Exactly.

    • @abraham2172
      @abraham2172 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Of course the US is not some magical country who can just wave around its wand and make terrorist groups disappear within few days, thats right.

    • @AT-ji1rg
      @AT-ji1rg 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Right👌

  • @annbjorn
    @annbjorn 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Not too often though, your videos comes. How great they are. I❤thm

  • @karimestakhri-nw8gn
    @karimestakhri-nw8gn 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thank you 🙏

  • @montecarlo2021
    @montecarlo2021 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    But what would with US economy ? If US started the war VS Iran after 2 days Preis of Oil would be 200 $ !!!! All refineries in Qatar and big refineries and oil port in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia in Persian Golf would be dead . It s about 15 million barrels daily !!!! And don t forget that all Western economies can not import oil from Rusia . In two months all western economie with this Oil Preis would be broken !!!

    • @kussmeinenikes5704
      @kussmeinenikes5704 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Also they have forget the iranian proxys in lebanon, iraq, yemen and syria

    • @jaywhoisit4863
      @jaywhoisit4863 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      North America is oil independent. The Americans don’t need oil from anyone except Canada.

  • @armandomercado2248
    @armandomercado2248 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    Great analysis as always.

  • @graham6496
    @graham6496 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Love the shorts!

  • @h.y1855
    @h.y1855 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    A very unbiased and interesting channel.Big fan since longago I am from iran.keep up the good work.

  • @thetimebinder
    @thetimebinder 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +16

    People need to look up Operation Praying Mantis if they want to know what a war with Iran would look like.

    • @abdirhmanali6320
      @abdirhmanali6320 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      That was than. I promise you Iran is much more capable now

    • @hellenthefraudkeller3831
      @hellenthefraudkeller3831 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +16

      ​@@abdirhmanali6320 lmao. Thanks for the laugh bud. Great joke

    • @terrypennington2519
      @terrypennington2519 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

      @@hellenthefraudkeller3831 He kinda right tho, Iran's got more missiles than they did before.
      But in terms of navy? Nah lmao Iran would get clapped in the water, would be praying mantis part 2 airstrike boogaloo

    • @pdst3
      @pdst3 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

      @@abdirhmanali6320by more capable now…do you mean that they would last 4 minutes instead of 3? Cool

    • @abdirhmanali6320
      @abdirhmanali6320 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      @@terrypennington2519 Iran knows it can’t go head to head with US navy that’s why they invested in swarm of small missile boats and bunch of anti- ship weapons. I can give you a prime example just look at Ukraine and how it’s man handling the Russian navy in the Black Sea.

  • @batrezz
    @batrezz 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    more jokes from binkov

  • @grantcox4764
    @grantcox4764 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Always enjoy your analysis, may not always agree, but generally its well reasoned and argued...

  • @richardlamos1436
    @richardlamos1436 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Binkov as you know, 3 US carrier groups are in striking range of middle east now

  • @christineshotton824
    @christineshotton824 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

    The shorts are not for Binkov. Binkov does not make videos for idiots with a 30 second attention span.
    Unless you use the shorts just to promote ypur real videos, I would say stay away from them.

    • @perra5910
      @perra5910 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      No he makes it for idiots with 10 mins attention span 😂

  • @TheMillw0rm
    @TheMillw0rm 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

    the problem with videos like this is that they always have a symmetric mindset . Iran doesn't play classic warfare that's why its creating those proxies so it has access to coasts of Yemen to also conduct attacks from there . also let's not forget Iranian attack in 2019 on Saudi oil industry cut their oil production in half in just one single swarm attack . so a war with Iran also makes Energy infrastructures and Major trade ports a target for Iran , also there is the nuclear capabilities involved which added to the overall complexity

  • @chetmcdonald
    @chetmcdonald 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    I like your ending statement, only real peace can bring us together. I would also like to quote Yoda and say wars do not make one great

  • @jimkeats891
    @jimkeats891 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Great video!
    I hope and pray that this never happens.

  • @TheHk1966
    @TheHk1966 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    How timely this video is.

  • @loldglllla
    @loldglllla 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    Only China can mass-produce a comparable number of warships and fighter jets as the United States, and compete with the United States in the field of aerospace. The focus we have to focus on is not Iran or Russia, because neither Iran nor Russia has the comprehensive strength of China.

  • @mtmind6560
    @mtmind6560 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Sounds exciting

  • @andrewsmall6834
    @andrewsmall6834 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    FINALLY! Another country vs country episode, kinda.

  • @krasavchik8714
    @krasavchik8714 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    9:54 I would assume Iran has prepared and will continue to prepare more and more decoy targets for those expensive air to ground missiles. Economically it would be basically unwindable war in my opinion. It would further decline quality of life for every american. Thus increasing change of domestic civil disagreement.

    • @trentsuveges7622
      @trentsuveges7622 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Essentially, same plan as operation iraqi freedoms air war

    • @krasavchik8714
      @krasavchik8714 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      ⁠@@trentsuveges7622 Except that Iran is many times stronger than Iraq in 2003. It has to be an operation on scale of D-Day in 1944. I don’t think US can realize this scale in 2024.

    • @saeeddookat2330
      @saeeddookat2330 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      Iran is 4 times bigger with more than 100 million people living there
      Most importantly it's a mountainous country like Afghanistan and has huge influence among Shia Muslims and Persian communities in central Asia

    • @aiwwakk7152
      @aiwwakk7152 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      ​@@krasavchik8714 Long Live the Islamic Republic of Iran. 🇮🇷🇮🇷🇮🇷
      Proud to be a Muslim and an Iranian.
      Our nation will stand strong and fight all aggressors.

    • @trentsuveges7622
      @trentsuveges7622 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@saeeddookat2330 Regardless this is the type of war we like and we are good at: overwhelming Air power.

  • @alifallah867
    @alifallah867 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +16

    Iran has a very advanced anti air systems and they have downed RQ-170 Stealth drone and global hawk before

    • @markrobertson481
      @markrobertson481 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Our shits 10 times better, easily. The middle east will forever be under the foot of the USA

  • @sudhirmodak2277
    @sudhirmodak2277 หลายเดือนก่อน

    you have an appetite for making long videos close to real scene simulation type. good work.

  • @rags417
    @rags417 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Great analysis as usual

  • @richardcollins9060
    @richardcollins9060 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    China is loving this.

    • @btw6301
      @btw6301 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      >Does nothing
      >Wins
      How does he do it bros???? 🐼🐼🐼

    • @user-yw8zm9wn7l
      @user-yw8zm9wn7l 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      ​@@btw6301中国的存在已经是最强大的牵制力,不是什么都不做

    • @user-yw8zm9wn7l
      @user-yw8zm9wn7l 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      ​@@btw6301或者你可以说躲过两次世界大战的美国什么都不做胜利

    • @btw6301
      @btw6301 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Nihao ZhongGuo bro

    • @user-yw8zm9wn7l
      @user-yw8zm9wn7l 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      ​@@btw6301想象一下没有中国这个世界制造基地存在,那么哪个国家能够承受西方联合所有工业国的制裁封锁?中国的存在就是最强大的威慑力

  • @PerSkeles
    @PerSkeles 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    What if Luxembourg attacks Monaco?

  • @ApacolypseNow
    @ApacolypseNow 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Hey Binkov, at 17:55 you noted that the Fakour 90 is derived from the AIM-54, but it actually comes from the HAWK missile system.
    Thanks for your content, I love your videos.

  • @collintrytsman3353
    @collintrytsman3353 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    excellent

  • @Beythoven
    @Beythoven 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    Why are the comments always a shitshow for this channel lmao

    • @RpattoYT
      @RpattoYT 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      National interests, tribalism, long standing feuds.

    • @Chivalry2Clips
      @Chivalry2Clips 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      i mean make a comment against indias govt in any way and you get dozens of indians going patriotic for some reason so i agree with grey here, some countries just have extra duty of patriotism for whatever reason against criticism or assessments

    • @thezackast2752
      @thezackast2752 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Nationalism plagues every military channels comments at some point

  • @nicolesayson6335
    @nicolesayson6335 หลายเดือนก่อน

    good and very clear explanation sir.tnx so much..

  • @jser-fp3vn5yq
    @jser-fp3vn5yq 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    Dear military enthusiasts from all over the world, let us stop any bragging now. It is extremely difficult for a country no matter how powerful it is to defeat another great country militarily.

    • @abraham2172
      @abraham2172 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Iran is not a great country by any means. The only thing theyre good at is supporting terrorist groups. But I agree overall, the US should save their military ressources for more dangerous adversaries.

  • @hansudowolfrahm4856
    @hansudowolfrahm4856 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    NICE

  • @bertkoerts3991
    @bertkoerts3991 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Good video, as always! Keep at it, please! 👍😊

  • @allesiofondressi2602
    @allesiofondressi2602 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    "They don't have Maverick" .........🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

  • @Justsomeguyyuyu
    @Justsomeguyyuyu 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    Here’s hoping we never find out

  • @Saleemsan
    @Saleemsan 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Dear Mr Binkov, I don't like "shorts", but prefer metric system. Good video this one

  • @rokimarchano5657
    @rokimarchano5657 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +15

    So many things are wrong with this report, let point out few most important ones that this report conveniently failed to mention and we all know why.
    When in 2012 Foreign Policy reported that Israel my use Sitalchay Military Airbase in Azerbaijan to attack nuclear program sites in Iran back then Iranians made it very clear to Azerbaijan and every Iranian neighbor using country’s territory or its airspace is a direct and open declaration of war against Iran and Iran will strike back immediately at the decision making centers and if necessary use ground troops.
    Iranian neighbors especially Gulf States will never allow US or any other power to use their territory or airspace to strike Iran if there is no direct and serious threat to them and Iran is not threatening to invade anyone but if attacked and Iran decided to use ground troops it will be hell for everybody. If there is a military action vs Iran all US military bases in the Middle East will be of no use to the US, it will be US alone, even Israel may not join the fight, The Houthis are best example there will be no coalition of 30 like vs Iraq 1991-2003, as soon as Houthis said they would strike back coalition of 12 falls apart overnight in Dec 2023
    Iran’s capability of a precision strikes at 1000+KM is real and their stockpiles of cruise missiles and long range drones are not in thousands as Binkov claims but in tens of thousands and that’s what makes Iran almost impossible to attack and not even mentioning Iran's supported groups in Yemen, Lebanon, Iraq and Syria.

    • @looinrims
      @looinrims 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Source: dude trust me bro

    • @rokimarchano5657
      @rokimarchano5657 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      @@looinrims I’m not your fckng history teacher, if you wanna know things, just google it, its all out there

  • @WWE2K22-WomensWrestling
    @WWE2K22-WomensWrestling 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +16

    I think Iran's missile capabilties have been understated in this video. Iran's long range missiles serve as its primary deterrace strategy, but you barely mentioned them. The USA would struggle with an effective air campaign as all their airbases in the region would be destroyed. Many planes may be destroyed on the ground. That would leave the USA with its carrier groups, but aircraft carrier launched planes won't be able to "set Iran back over a decade" as Iran is simply too large for such a limited number of planes to be effective. Carrier groups can vulnerable to anti ship missiles. Russia would provide Iran with air defence systems and anti ship missiles. Ultimately I think the USA will avoid this war as it would only serve to weaken their position in the middle east. This is why Iran is able to get away with supplying Yemen with weapons to blockade the Red Sea. Ita also why Iran has also been able to launch missile attacks on US bases in other countries with no real retaliation from the US.

    • @dylanrice69
      @dylanrice69 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      Yup, this dude really didn't do much research before posting this video

  • @therealVOR
    @therealVOR 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    JASSM-ER would be most of what would be used well outside of Iran airspace. And sub launch CM

  • @zorrozol
    @zorrozol 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    I love to hear your voice in C&C Generals game

  • @ahm2092
    @ahm2092 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

    Nice la la land story 😂😂

  • @nepenthy9804
    @nepenthy9804 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +11

    US: (attackin Iran)
    China: (laugh and chuckle in Taiwan strait)

    • @milesb2111
      @milesb2111 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

      Japan: Here comes the rising sun again

    • @choccotacco4752
      @choccotacco4752 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@milesb2111*being nuked again

  • @sufthegoat
    @sufthegoat 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thanknyou for this 😊

  • @earth9531
    @earth9531 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    It would be pointless. Counter productive, actually.

    • @abraham2172
      @abraham2172 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Didnt sound like that in the video.

  • @eddieokpara3549
    @eddieokpara3549 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Never underestimate your adversary. Rissians where said to fight with shovels and washing machine chips. Deterance is a najor asset, not going into wars

    • @geneg2611
      @geneg2611 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      “2nd military in the world” was said to topple the Ukrainian government in a few weeks. It’s only after major embarrassment did the memes about shovels and washing machines emerged

  • @Aaronwilliam
    @Aaronwilliam 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    No shorts please, videos are much better

  • @HussOnTheBeat
    @HussOnTheBeat 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    @Binkov you should set up a Conflict of Nations tournament

  • @NigelDeForrest-Pearce-cv6ek
    @NigelDeForrest-Pearce-cv6ek 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Excellent and Outstanding Analysis!!!

    • @sam423
      @sam423 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      🤣🤣🤣🤦🏻‍♂️

  • @scyrp
    @scyrp 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

    I understand younger audiences like quick formats like shorts, snaps, tik toks, etc but I personally dislike them and actively avoid them. The viewing experience on PC is not great. I support the channel but youtube shorts will continue staying blocked.

  • @weinerdog137
    @weinerdog137 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    IMO, the only reason Iran has not been smacked already, is the same reason everyone seeks nuclear weapons. Think.

    • @captainfingers1100
      @captainfingers1100 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      th-cam.com/video/3yNvI5vJ0Y0/w-d-xo.htmlsi=2SDJuoUEZKCTDlFq

  • @sea_clicks
    @sea_clicks หลายเดือนก่อน

    Settle this once and for all!

  • @ga9633
    @ga9633 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Do their F-4Es still retain the APQ-120 radar, or has it been replaced?

  • @AT-ji1rg
    @AT-ji1rg 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +14

    8:03 16:58 Gulf is a fake name, say real name, Persian Gulf

  • @Holammer
    @Holammer 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    - "Binkov: Here is a hypothetical scenario"
    **comment section turns into a festering sludge of political trolling**

    • @Jartran72
      @Jartran72 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Russia and China sure have invested into their troll factories. You see them everywhere nowadays.

    • @marinblaze
      @marinblaze 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@Jartran72either that or more and more people are sick of US warmongering

  • @jhernandez8830
    @jhernandez8830 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    good analysis, hopefully cooler heads prevail

  • @GabrielLopez-mo2xo
    @GabrielLopez-mo2xo 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

    Wow to think we’d get to test our 6th generation bomber so quickly truly Iran is being super considerate and offering their country up as the payload target and even offering to try to track the bomber. Such a nice country I hope they enjoy their new parking lots

    • @ezey2746
      @ezey2746 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      Shush Mexican

    • @fakecubed
      @fakecubed 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Yeah, B-21 is already flying, and there's also that stealth drone swarm out of Tonopah. Plus who knows what else we don't know about. If the US were to go to war with Iran, Iran is a big enough of a threat that it would justify bringing out the black projects.
      This video also ignores cyberwarfare, special forces and CIA spooks starting a civil war, and every other dirty trick in the book. The US would not fight fair against a country like Iran.

  • @HellishPestilence
    @HellishPestilence 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Assuming that the Arabs would join in by providing bases is a bit risky. Iran wouldn't be targeting their bases, they would target the oil infrastructure and attempt to stop shipping through the Persian gulf. Oil prices would jump and Russia would be benefiting. It's more realistic to assume an attack using only carriers, which is much less powerful and would take longer. It would be crazy for the Saudi monarchy to give Iran an excuse to rain a thousand missiles on their oil fields

    • @Don8Maverick
      @Don8Maverick 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      exactly, this video is probably accurate if we were in 2006 not in 2024, A LOT have changed since then, thinking that saudi arabia is still hostile to iran and will let US use its bases is just like thinking US can strike deep into chine from india's territory, its so out of touch and borderline delusional. countries like saudi arabia and UAE are not usa puppets anymore they only follow their interests which is money, that's why they are not hostile to russia even after a lot of western pressure.

    • @babakdianati6515
      @babakdianati6515 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      And still even then no one can guarantee that for example the yamanis won't attack the oil infrastructure. This video is quite limited to only military aspects. The reality is that such an attack is a suicide for any politician and only benefits Russia and China in the long term.

  • @Jay_in_Japan
    @Jay_in_Japan 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +15

    the US has historically understated its capabilities, whereas its enemies have historically overstated their own. It's not a question of whether the US can militarily achieve its objectives- it doesn't have a military budget larger than the next 10 countries combined for no reason- but rather, if the US can achieve the political victory at home. Will the US be able to maintain public support for the war? That's usually been the reason for its lost wars. Lack of political will to do what needs to be done in order to win.

    • @user-yw8zm9wn7l
      @user-yw8zm9wn7l 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      你是不是活在梦里?我只看到美国每次进行兵棋推演报告都限制中国军队的能力,然后吹嘘美国天下第一

    • @MichaelKing-tp6le
      @MichaelKing-tp6le 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@user-yw8zm9wn7lyou are mad

    • @MichaelKing-tp6le
      @MichaelKing-tp6le 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@user-yw8zm9wn7lchina is weak just like Russia. You guys can't even make your own jets

    • @user-yw8zm9wn7l
      @user-yw8zm9wn7l 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@MichaelKing-tp6le哈哈哈哈哈哈,连飞机都制造不出来,所以这就是为什么美国仅2023年就在西太平洋发生11起军机坠毁事故?😂

    • @user-yw8zm9wn7l
      @user-yw8zm9wn7l 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      ​@@MichaelKing-tp6le对了,我看到美国兰德公司的军事推演,那些军事推演经常假设中国会同时面临周围国家的入侵,并且将中国东部战区的导弹数量限制在500枚,然后宣传美国两艘航母就能够战胜中国,所以实际上是美国为了保持自信经常对世界宣传美国很强大可以战胜中国

  • @louisstyrzo4944
    @louisstyrzo4944 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Another thing when we were launching balloons for a festival we had to clear the area of airplane so it would not get in the air traffic

  • @landrum3893
    @landrum3893 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Shorts are great. I can see Binkov sporting some soft, pleated cotton shorts with red belt loops and blue pockets.

    • @gofoats
      @gofoats 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Binky is an anti-western butt-boy for Putin.

  • @user-xx2fc2mk4k
    @user-xx2fc2mk4k 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    Only the Americans can carry out air campaign in Iran, Doe's Iran afraid to do the same to them?

  • @glubokayaoperatsiya
    @glubokayaoperatsiya 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +15

    i think you are severely underestimating iranian IRBM capabilities when they can achieve 10m CEP at 1200 km

  • @TheVideoTracker
    @TheVideoTracker หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    What's the china contingency? at 9:33

  • @AVOWIRENEWS
    @AVOWIRENEWS 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    This video title suggests a fascinating and thought-provoking topic! Exploring hypothetical military strategies, especially something as complex as an air campaign, really delves into a myriad of areas like international relations, military technology, and strategic planning. It's always intriguing to consider the various aspects and repercussions of such scenarios, even in a purely theoretical context. The analysis of these kinds of strategies can provide a deeper understanding of global politics and military tactics. Always amazing to see content that sparks such intellectual curiosity and discussion!

  • @PoluVipele
    @PoluVipele หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    A simulation in the mind of a day dreamer. Keep the dreams high.

    • @joecater894
      @joecater894 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      at the moment... but its exactly how it would go down if US military comes down on Iran in force. it is designed from the ground up to literally dismantle the enemy high ticket assets.

    • @kuoroshazizian207
      @kuoroshazizian207 หลายเดือนก่อน

      And Russia to..

    • @RandomNooby
      @RandomNooby หลายเดือนก่อน

      lol. Millennium Challenge 2002: Marine Corps Lieutenant General Paul K. Van Riper, nuff said...

  • @PersonalityMalfunction
    @PersonalityMalfunction 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +13

    I don't believe the US would be interested in any form of regime change in Iran, but as history shows in Nimble Archer 1987 and Praying Mantis 1988, there are very effective alternatives available without the expenditure of thousands of bombs and missiles. Adding modern US capabilities to an Archer and Mantis framework would be an attractive solution. An operation in the vein of Archer and Mantis, with the addition of targeting all 10 Iran operated imaging and communications satellites, and an all out cyber attack on Iranian finance management assets, would likely leave Iran too occupied with recovery for a significant time. I would be very surprised if this isn't the way the next US administration will choose to move forward.

    • @wiggledytoes
      @wiggledytoes 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Did you mean Israel

    • @jonathanpfeffer3716
      @jonathanpfeffer3716 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      There aren’t any anti-satellite options currently available that are both permanent and won’t create massive debris fields that will both cause a major international incident and endanger US and allied nations’ space assets.

    • @PersonalityMalfunction
      @PersonalityMalfunction 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@jonathanpfeffer3716 The SM 3 is capable of anti satellite missions, apart from what is available but secret. The risk of any debris interfering with other near earth objects is miniscule, and in the unlikely event it does happen, the US is more than capable of providing replacement and compensation. Small price to pay to avoid another all out war in the middle east.

    • @jonathanpfeffer3716
      @jonathanpfeffer3716 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@PersonalityMalfunction It’s not a low chance at all. Existing ASAT tests have already had issues with that, and those were all exclusively LEO sats that were actively in the process of deorbiting. It is absolutely impossible to predict trajectories of debris fields and a hit to kill warhead creates, to use a scientific term, a f ton of debris. Even very small quantities of sats being affected would create massive costs, in the billions at the minimum. That’s not a small price to pay by any means. It also carries massive non-financial costs. The US has been an outspoken voice condemning ASAT testing for the above reasons and contradicting ourselves by executing such a relatively massive ASAT attack would deal a big blow to our credibility. And if it hit any of our allies sats which would be statistically very likely given most sats in orbit are either American or allied, then dear god that is a nightmare of a diplomatic incident. Again, there’s no way to mitigate this, which is why the USAF has been investing so much into non-kinetic ASAT options.
      The SM-3 also only has speculated capability to intercept LEO sats, leaving multiple Iranian sats outside of reach. The same applies to the air launched derivative.
      There’s much better options. Iranian sats aren’t even particularly impactful to their military capabilities. They’re dated to say the least.

  • @grady2000xr
    @grady2000xr 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Kommisar Binkov, I trust and hope you had a very enjoyable birthday! So cool that frogs have 3 for every 1 humans have!!

  • @maziarabutalebi561
    @maziarabutalebi561 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

    about shorts of youtube .I mean ,it's not the best way to exchange news and informations but maybe the fastest .it will be more fun to see some shorts in TH-cam from your channel.

  • @sfp2290
    @sfp2290 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    As a non-TikTok user with an attention span longer than a couple of minutes. I think the TH-cam shorts videos, in general, fall short.

  • @AR-rf8vo
    @AR-rf8vo 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +16

    This gulf has name from more than 5000 years ago its Persian Gulf

    • @MrSinaAzad
      @MrSinaAzad 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      well technically that would not be possible as in 5000 years ago Iranians were still making their way to Iran, but you can give it 2-3 thousand years

  • @imranafg
    @imranafg 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +12

    America is no where near as strong as they were in 2001-2003 yes most Americans believe they can beat any country but they are wrong. All most all Middle East countries are drifting away from 🇺🇸 40 years of building this regime is based on defence and strength of its arm force. While 🇺🇸 with less allies failing political choices they made they have to sacrifice Ukraine for Iran Russian then will pump Iran with lots arms and aid so as china

    • @jakemocci3953
      @jakemocci3953 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Look at our military recruitment. The old fighting stock isn’t signing up, the American military of 1993 and even 2001 doesn’t exist anymore.

    • @Chuck_Hooks
      @Chuck_Hooks 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      US and Qatar just signed a 10 year base extension agreement.
      Saudi Arabia wants more US security guarantees.
      No need to push Russian propaganda.

    • @PeterMuskrat6968
      @PeterMuskrat6968 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@Chuck_Hooks Well it's the only way they can feel like they are winning... by deluding themselves to the point where they cannot even distinguish between reality and their own lies.

    • @saeeddookat2330
      @saeeddookat2330 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      ​@@Chuck_Hookswow what powerful allies Qatar is a city more a hotel
      And Saudi Arabia has lost a war in Yemen against houthies
      A powerful country that seeks protection from bigger loser 😂😂

    • @Chuck_Hooks
      @Chuck_Hooks 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@saeeddookat2330 Let's ask Qasem Soleimani what he thinks. Hahahaha

  • @michaelwicker9538
    @michaelwicker9538 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    It's nice to see a taist of the old fashioned in depth theater and strategic analysis of (technically still) imaginary wars.

  • @zix_zix_zix
    @zix_zix_zix 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +17

    I am willing to bet that no country located near Iran would be willing to allow its territory to be used for the launching of attacks against Iran! They all know perfectly well that, if that happens, Iran would be launching missiles against them too!

    • @gang3576
      @gang3576 3 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      @Begeye-bh5uxtell me name of leader and country who's willing to destroy there country for some Americans they don't even like for real😂

    • @saeeddookat2330
      @saeeddookat2330 3 หลายเดือนก่อน

      After Ukraine Israel and Afghanistan
      Who with right mind would do something like that ? Name a country ??