Contrarian Strategies: Unlocking Maximum Value in Commodities

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 21 ต.ค. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 87

  • @superstar5123
    @superstar5123 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +10

    so grateful for lobo and rick's insights, thank you

  • @HeSaidWhat369
    @HeSaidWhat369 หลายเดือนก่อน

    2 of the best Rick and Lobo thanks Gents

  • @alfixen
    @alfixen 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    As always Rick the greatest guest you can have.

  • @pauldichtel6410
    @pauldichtel6410 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thanks Jesse, Rick, and Lobo!

  • @simonlandry9908
    @simonlandry9908 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Fantastic! I love the sentiment timelines for each commodity. Awesome value! Gives me lots of clarity. Thanks!

  • @TheLeadsteer
    @TheLeadsteer 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Awesome interview. Rule and Tiggre sharing so much wisdom. I'm listening to this twice.

  • @miket2916
    @miket2916 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +26

    Rick was super serious in this video; not his usual smiling/smirking self, waaayyy less cheeky. Seems like something has been bothering him?

    • @FrankODB86
      @FrankODB86 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      maybe newsletter sellers with shitty picks?

    • @panzervalkyrie9299
      @panzervalkyrie9299 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Are you on crack?

    • @justfedup
      @justfedup 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Maybe cause I got in a quarrel with him over saying a certain someone was a better investor than him! lol he lost his sh$t on me

    • @sondre9056
      @sondre9056 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Alot of the sectors his in is getting some love😅

    • @HML-it7te
      @HML-it7te 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      He read the recent Australian mainstream media reports of uranium in Australia being twice more costly than renewables (including battery storage, transmission lines etc), so a like for like comparison. Also most large and SMR (small modular reactors) take 15 years and are almost always built over budget.
      Personally, I’d rather coal anyday. It works without battery storage “spontaneously combusting” as the Tesla unit did down south (Victoria I think). It cost a big fortune to build that Tesla battery storage farm.
      I think Cerenergy have solved this “issue” with battery storage.

  • @malekmalek9064
    @malekmalek9064 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Wow this was so good.
    How simpel Rick explained the financebility of a mine due trough term contracts with floors,especially for a newbe like me is amazing.
    Thank you.

  • @Scuba-D
    @Scuba-D 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Slick Rick the Ruler & Darth Silver?
    Hell yea baby

  • @jameswatson4865
    @jameswatson4865 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    Loved Rick's rant on silver. Classic!

  • @lucya-v2c
    @lucya-v2c 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    Great guests 👏👏👏

  • @jefferyburke5717
    @jefferyburke5717 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Nice work 🎉 Thank you

  • @JackThomas-ls4pm
    @JackThomas-ls4pm 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great interview - Lobo opened with a banger!

  • @autonestegg4195
    @autonestegg4195 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Great show but when did you film this? silver has already gone to 32.50 and pulled back to just over $30... someone interested in timely information within the last day or so seeing that it was uploaded in the last hour or so would be left disappointed to know that the show is over a week old please State the date in which you're filming

  • @amiyalon4800
    @amiyalon4800 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Another fantastic show! Thank you!!!

  • @akesha4138
    @akesha4138 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Let us not get ahead of ourselves. Silver may stall out this week. In the past when silver is flat to down for 5 trading sessions in a row, there is a 65% probability that it will go lower. Currently silver is flat having firm resistance at $32 after making very impressive gains over the last 2 weeks. A pullback here would be normal. After the pull back a new analysis will be needed to see if any new patterns may be discerned. Well worth watching.

  • @trendlinetracker3147
    @trendlinetracker3147 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Rick Rule absolutely NAILED IT toward the end ... NatGas !!!

  • @SaSa-fs8sb
    @SaSa-fs8sb 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    You can change the settings , and 2x the speed

  • @derwaldbaer5707
    @derwaldbaer5707 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    So the question in uranium remains: How do we figure out the term market? Where do we find relevant data? Any thoughts?

  • @t.m.l.t.m.l.5399
    @t.m.l.t.m.l.5399 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Rick mentioned nickel. I never hear anyone talk about The Metals Company. Just about everything has been done to go forward on production. (Surface Sea floor production) Seems like a game changer.

  • @josephcleverdon222
    @josephcleverdon222 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Love these guys!

  • @mattbrandt9796
    @mattbrandt9796 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great conversation, thank you!

  • @jopydopy3397
    @jopydopy3397 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Did Adriatic Metals start production already? They might be a 10 bagger if price continues to go up.

  • @bernardporter4589
    @bernardporter4589 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Very interesting statistical empirical analysis.

  • @ThomasThomasThomas-t5p
    @ThomasThomasThomas-t5p 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Great video
    Can you analyse the aluminum sector ? Thanks

  • @Jo-xx2rd
    @Jo-xx2rd 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Thanks guys. Its probably not possible to get any answer questions here, but, Lobo said that the new Mexican administration is not favorable to mining, but I just watched an interview from Arcadia Economics where Jorge Ganoza from Fortuna said the opposite and that they were in communication with both possible new administrations and the future either way was looking more favorable for mining. Why the polarity in opinions? Its a pretty big difference between favorable to mining and banning mining all together...

    • @vricconference
      @vricconference  5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Lobo is back on the live stream today at 2pm PST/5pm EST, will ask him this question for you! Tune in live!

  • @BillSlikkerveer
    @BillSlikkerveer 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Problem in the LT lon term contract mkt is one of transparency when linked to any particular producer. The Producers Do Not as a whole or individually disclose the particulars of their contract books.They allow the Utility NPP'S to mandate incredibly restrictive NDAs that obscure the pricing trends in the Term mkt This harms the mining stocks and the spot mkt. There is absolutely No reason that producers as sellers in a sellers mkt should agree to and sign Overly Restrictive NDAs.

  • @elisobolev
    @elisobolev 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I'm curious what both of them think of Helium

  • @friendlychat34
    @friendlychat34 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Mitre mining on the ASX has already doubled in the past few months, an emerging silver miner that's absolutely crushing it

  • @jetflyresq
    @jetflyresq 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    When was this taped?

  • @pathosattrition
    @pathosattrition 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    What are the chances that the observed PPSS returns are the result of survivorship bias - did you measure all the bankrupt and delisted companies, or only companies who survived?

  • @teddyedwards7242
    @teddyedwards7242 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Rick, in his closing comments, states he has a lot of time for the word "is" vs "could" ....a recession get in the way of the nat gas bull market. Unsure if that was a bullish / opportunistic or cautionary note (?)

  • @derwaldbaer5707
    @derwaldbaer5707 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    What makes lateritic nickel deposits so environmentally devastating? Is this because of the deposit type, or is it because of the practices of those companies that mine them?

  • @charleskilpatrick9704
    @charleskilpatrick9704 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Really interested in aluminum as it is congealed electricity! Please feature this in the future.

  • @socalsilver6397
    @socalsilver6397 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    In uranium sector ~10 years. Sprott physical trust #1 name for physical.
    The best North American uranium mining companies to own and profit long term are CCJ, EU, DNN, URG, UEC, NXE, UUUU. Without doing any research, Sprott Jr uranium ETF is easiest way to play: URNJ.
    As Rick Rule said, “The easy money has been made. The big money is yet to come”.
    There you go. All for 🆓.
    Enjoy the ride!

  • @davidhemsted5372
    @davidhemsted5372 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Silver credit in grams is a very nice currency. One gram of silver is currently worth about a dollar.

    • @Scuba-D
      @Scuba-D 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Silver is change for gold
      Copper is change for silver

  • @023achilles
    @023achilles 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I've been looking at the Sheinbaum situation in Mexico (candidate that 'promised' to ban open pit mining). And it seems like it is posturing.
    Some of the analysis I have seen suggests that it is just that political party trying to get the opposition to say something unpopular. Unpopular in the cities, mind you, not in the actual mining towns.
    Another thing to keep in mind, there have been TWENTY proposed constitutional amendments, and open pit mining ban is just one of them. So it seems like a shotgun approach. Or throwing spaghetti at the wall, to mix metaphors like Darth Silver.

  • @bmmd2332
    @bmmd2332 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    I cared when it was 14 - 15ish! 😁😁😁 Pockets full!

  • @hliang4
    @hliang4 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    rick never miss!

  • @HML-it7te
    @HML-it7te 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Uranium alert:
    Mainstream news reports from Australian CSIRO study into the like for like comparison of Large and small (SMR) nuclear reactors versus renewables (solar and onshore wind including battery storage and transmission lines).
    Bottom line, nuclear is TWICE as expensive for base load energy supply in Australia and takes 15 years to build.
    CSIRO is an independent organisation and has compared apples to apples. The report also noted that these plants almost always are built over budget.
    I missed the Uranium bull run a couple of years ago and I was looking to invest (speculate), but not now.
    Note, this study is for Australia, so economics elsewhere may be different, but my gut feeling is it’s not viable.
    Personally, I have a 30kW grid connected Solar System and returns at least 20%. After 1st July prices will be increased (as it does every year) so I expect this ROI to increase.
    Gold and Silver (copper likely to continue) prices to increase.

    • @cathybrowning2310
      @cathybrowning2310 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      CSIRO is a government statutory authority, hardly an independent organisation. Employees are paid by the Federal Government. Security of energy supply is paramount. Australia hosts so many energy resources yet has some of the most expensive electricity in the world. There are other options than just large nuclear reactors. Suggest you do further research and also look into the costs and environmental damage done by renewables. Don't forget, Australia has some of the world's richest uranium resources which if exported, it good for the economy.

    • @HML-it7te
      @HML-it7te 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@cathybrowning2310 yes, your right. Slack choice of terminology on my part, thanks for getting that clearer.
      The report was about costs, not just build costs, but ongoing costs.

    • @martyvee1
      @martyvee1 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      How much base load power will the renewables deliver after an overcast winter week with little wind? I would guess close to zero, with a lot of shivering angry customers. Hardly worthy of being called base load…
      Did they even consider this scenario? It can’t be rare…

    • @animalsarebeautifulpeople3094
      @animalsarebeautifulpeople3094 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      German citizens are paying $$$$$ more than they used to thanks to the renewable energy hoax

    • @animalsarebeautifulpeople3094
      @animalsarebeautifulpeople3094 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      ​@@martyvee1renewable energy is a scam.

  • @akesha4138
    @akesha4138 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Look at CXBMF and NGD which are good investments even after rising 30 to 40% over the last 2 months. Expecting both to nearly double within 12 months.

  • @barrymanning6554
    @barrymanning6554 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Nobody calls Lobo "darth silver" except himself.

  • @BlackSwanCapitalist
    @BlackSwanCapitalist 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    Long before my brother and I started our TH-cam channel, we've been telling people to get in the hard assets and digital currencies like xrp

    • @superstar5123
      @superstar5123 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      😂😂

    • @jameskelly9243
      @jameskelly9243 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      What's xrp

    • @ronfesta771
      @ronfesta771 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Me thinketh so many., Big Fish......stories!@!?😝🤪😉

    • @dawidw.6016
      @dawidw.6016 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Hahaha
      A good one😂

  • @UniteAmericaUnite
    @UniteAmericaUnite 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    1/2 of new cars sold in China are EVs. That percentage will only increase as will EV adoption everywhere else. The opportunity in related metals is massive.

    • @jameskelly9243
      @jameskelly9243 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Ev's are flat a d will remain such. Hybrid and hydrogen is my bet for future

    • @UniteAmericaUnite
      @UniteAmericaUnite 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@jameskelly9243 Hydrogen may power plants that deliver power to EVs, but EVs win the future. Adoption isn’t flat. The entire industry is suffering from high interest rates. The Model Y was the best selling vehicle of all in ‘23. The adoption curve is through the moon. Seriously, test drive a Tesla and find out. Hybrids have too many parts and are basically ICE cars with small batteries. Traditional Automakers have less than a decade before bankruptcy.

    • @sebastian6192
      @sebastian6192 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@UniteAmericaUnitego and invest accordingly. I won’t :-)

  • @pauldichtel6410
    @pauldichtel6410 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    The tin market is kind of tight.

  • @jeffnelson4489
    @jeffnelson4489 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Melts in the mine not in your hand!

  • @erezgeron9748
    @erezgeron9748 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    "Mass mutual masturbation? I don't know...now let's move on to subsidies"

  • @ronaldmiller3619
    @ronaldmiller3619 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Wouldn't invest in mines esp in other countries.

  • @davidhemsted5372
    @davidhemsted5372 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    XA

  • @LUIS-633BANK
    @LUIS-633BANK 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    👨🏽‍💻👍🏽

  • @joeyf6133
    @joeyf6133 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Top silver stocks.
    Kuya
    Southern silver
    Apollo
    Silver tiger
    Avino

    • @dawidw.6016
      @dawidw.6016 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Terrible choice

    • @joeyf6133
      @joeyf6133 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@dawidw.6016 share your picks then …

  • @alfixen
    @alfixen 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Why not just buy silver and don't care about mines?

  • @GardenDoctorKris
    @GardenDoctorKris 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Rick, I think you underestimate the power of the dollar in Indonesia coupled with the shortsightedness of the ruling class. Sadly I dont think lateritic nickel or HPAL is going away anytime soon. Quite literally becoming islands of trash!

  • @whateverz-876
    @whateverz-876 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    if your guests were stupid and boring I would mind the numerous acoustic drop-outs much less. But since they're erudite, cerebral and highly experienced the inexplicable mic problems are truly enraging. Yet great video, all the same.

  • @martinmcdade3433
    @martinmcdade3433 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Silvercrest Metals 100% contradictory to lobos theory. As a matter of fact SILV LOST 50% of its value to the 1st pour June 30 2022.

    • @lobotiggre6432
      @lobotiggre6432 5 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      There are many counterexamples in the database. If it yields a positive outcome 70% of the time, by definition, 30% are losers. Doesn't change the average.

  • @ChasingMyRetirement
    @ChasingMyRetirement 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Lobo sure is banking on a recession.

  • @owebeejaun
    @owebeejaun 4 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Rick Rule ...the most smug man i ever witnessed