I like how you added a fact-based important point that every one of these numbers is a person and every loss is a grieving family thank you for pointing out that human factor
Yes, very important.I feel greatly for everyone over there in China right now.Makes me sad that other people blame the people VS the government over there who should wear most of the blame for not doing enough early on.Virtual hugs for any person in China who happens to read this, we are thinking of you.
@@dunxy That's a stupid thing to say as well. It's not the government's fault. Any nation who is introduced with a random unknown virus will have pretty much the same outcome whether it be China, UK, USA, Germany or whatever. No government agency or health agency for that matter can immediately identify if a new viral strain has spread. Add the fact that transportation has developed quite far with people being able to cross multiple countries within a day. So blaming the government (the Chinese government in this case) is not only misinformed but also stupid. No one can prepare or event act accordingly when disasters strike or if a new virus emergencies. What people and the government can do is work hand in hand to help prevent it to spread even further and help in managing the situation.
@@dickmelsonlupot7697 You've got to be kidding me. They released a modified virus of SARS, CORONA, & HIV on it's own country. Was stolen from a Canadian lab along with a professor leaking info to the Chinese. Let me guess you believe those #s they're stating to be true as well right. Unbelievable that people are so lost in this technology age of finding stuff. World is dumber an lazier than ever
@TheEsotericZebra What you say makes sense to me but isn't it different if you hear about a specific tragedy? I mean, when I see the videos of grieving people and desperation and fear I feel.....a great deal of sympathy? I still carry with me sorrow for things I've seen or been aware of in detail because it is a type of association, maybe. But if I hear a crash killed 4 or a plane crashed and killed 100 or diseases and natural disasters or famine is killing people all over the world I don't feel the same. I'm not sure if it's because there is no emotion to mimic from a face or voice or details of specific people are not stated and you are hearing news people talking about them without emotion sort of blocks the greater feeling of sadness. I often feels pangs of sadness and an ache that lingers when I am reminded of things that effected me so. Some people have a more diverse and sensitive sense of sympathetic emotion. Those are the people that feel compelled to help, even if danger is still present. Some just imagine themselves in the situation and feel sorry for themselves for what might have happened to their loved ones. Not to argue but some of us are more sensitive even if that means the are susceptible to the weakness that such debilitating feelings can cause.
I hope you know the remarkable service you're providing is appreciated by countless people from all walks of life. I've passed on your TH-cam to the people in the hospital where I work- they're following you with great interest. Thank you.
Thank you my friend! We, the public are in dire need of a high school -level refresher on disease contagion, microbiology etc...rather than a govt agency deciding we need to be kept in the dark.I dearly appreciate your informing us as the rational adults we are.
You are providng a service and information that IF saves only ONE... I would thank you. This is very well received and appreciated. Your apparent lack of rest and diligence is what got mankind here and. I applaud you for your efforts. Well done sir!😁
For everyone asking what’s different, he/an editor added an overlay about the date mix up where he said the Lancet model was dated Dec 25 rather than Jan 25.
@Cory Burns Doctor John has just estimated that the total amount of infected could be as much as 220,000. If the 2% death rate is correct then that would give a rough estimate of 4,500 dead in china.
Dear Dr Cambell. I have been watching your videos with considerable interest. I echo many comments on here by saying that you explain things in simplistic terms that are easy to understand. Your knowledge is of huge help. Thank you for keeping us informed in a non sensational and fact based manner. It makes me feel very proud to have a fellow Brit (I’m not a doctor) help so many people around the globe. Stay well and please keep your superb videos rolling out. I hope everyone stays safe and well around the globe.
Thank you from California. I work at an airport and I can tell you up until Sunday afternoon Planes were still landing from mainland China and with ZERO screening upon arriving. And masks, hand sanitizer, and disinfects are sold out everywhere here.
Berly this past superbowl Sunday. Yes planes both landed and departed before the “closure” took place. I was working in the same teminal and stopped in my tracks when I heard an announcement asking all ticketed and confirmed passengers on Hianan Airlines flight to Beijing departing out of gate 15......I also know that none of the workers are required to wear masks and there was ZERO screening happening.
@@miraclem34341 Its shocking to hear this. I hope you did not have any contact with these passengers. Try to take natural products to boost your immune system.
I just found this video and your channel a few days ago, thank you! I've completed some nursing school here in the US to be an RN. I started reading online and found the name of this newest virus had SARS in it, and started digging for more info to try to understand. I searched youtube, and your video was the first, and really only one, I found. I was and am extremely impressed, and thank you for sharing your knowledge not only for those who have some medical training, but for those who do not and are seeking answers and understanding. You are a gem, and I wish I had you as a professor in university! Thank you for all your videos, please keep making them! I am grateful...in New York!
Everyone who is complaining about the folks who were pointing out the date misinformation along with number of increase cases. I do not believe we did it to be aggressive or hurtful to Dr. John. It’s just that this topic is SO extreme and we must obtain as much correct information as possible in order to prepare for our safety. Thanks for everything you do for us Dr. John.....you’re a gem.
First Death in HK, 39 years old male. He went to Wuhan on 21 JAN, came back to HK on 23 JAN, started to have muscle pain on 29 JAN, had fever on 31 JAN and sent to the hospital, 4th FED dead. 5 Nurses who treated that patient start to have fever and diarrhea, all 5 nurse are on isolation.
He was right about Dec being the first outbreak "On December 8, 2019, a patient in Wuhan city reportedly complained of pneumonia-like symptoms and sought medical help at a local hospital. Within days, many others reported similar problems, prompting health officials to launch an investigation. On December 31, China informed the WHO's country office about these pneumonia cases emanating from "unknown causes" in Wuhan. Taking note of the matter and the limited information available, the WHO issued interim guidelines for all countries. On January 7, Chinese authorities said they have identified 2019-nCoV as the cause of the pneumonia. However, experts are yet to identify the source of 2019-nCoV i.e. the animal from which it transmitted to humans."
There's a Skype interview with a student that's currently trapped in Wuhan. He said the first cases of pneumonia started in September but they weren't concerned until Christmas time when more and more were getting sick. Its ARIRANG News here on YT.
@@Jeremy_810 That's most likely total BS. You have to remember the symptoms are pretty much the same as your regular cold or even regular pneumonia. And who's to say the kid in your video was actually from Wuhan. There are a lot of videos claiming they are. And if you believe some random kid on the internet. Then believe me when I say that I live in Buckingham Palace and the Queen is my sugar mommy
I work in wuhan, we got two emails we joked as being ‘don’t die’ emails about pneumonia outbreaks. One was around Christmas and I can no longer find that one so it’s been deleted but we did joke about it before we received the next one on January 6th. I think if they are warning us workers, there were more than just around fifty or whatever number they were reporting then.
doctor, thank you! I found your videos while looking for someone explaining the EKG. you did it in such a beautiful way and now I can clap the rhythms of the heart. you are brilliant and amazing and you have a great language. thank you! from a medical student in Copenhagen that misses classes so much.
Is it not because men have more ACE2 receptors than woman and this is the virus entry system into the body, ace2 receptors are found in the lungs and mucus membranes in the body.
He’s our Will Smith in I am Legend. I hope he doesn’t have a German Sheppard-Love this guy! “I’ll be at the south pier everyday till sundown. You are not alone.”
Just wanted to say, I appreciate the videos you upload. Even if I don’t have a career in the medical field, it can be interesting to learn and absorb some new information. You sir are a good person.
Dr. Campbell, Thank you for your clear explanation of the facts and science in regards to the Corona virus. I wish I had a biology/science teacher like you when I was in school. I live in the Wenzhou area of Zhejiang Province, China. I am of the opinion that you are spot on in regards to the numbers regarding virus cases. As of this writing, there are 829 confirmed cases in Zhejiang . However, yesterday we received a report after the city was locked down that there 1037 suspected cases in one suburb of Wenzhou alone. In my city, there were 298. The (partial) report that we were given yesterday has 6,613 suspected cases in our immediate area. This number does not include Wenzhou city itself, nor other cities and suburbs within Zhejiang Province.
Can you explain the connection with Coronavirus and HIV homology and the Thai doctors using a cocktail treatment to include HIV meds with improvement in symptoms after 48hrs
HIV is an RNA Virus just like nCov, so they don't know if they will help but they do know that they are safe to give humans. The issue is there were no placebo tests done in Thailand, so they can't be sure if the patients just got better on their own or from the HIV drugs.
For a Home remedy Immune system boost take:- Ginger juice 1 Tsp Tulsi 11-21 leaves Cinnamon Powder 1/4 Tsp Honey 1 Tsp Turmeric powder 1/2 Tsp Clove Powder 1/8 Tsp 1 clove of garlic All mixed and drank with 1 cup of warm water.
I know garlic is a natural immune booster that fights antiviral very well I never get sick eat three or four cloves of raw garlic everyday but I like this recipe thank you
I’ve been watching the reported numbers too and noticed their reports almost double every 12 hrs or so in some reports out of China. After a week I realized that another month and those doubling get crazy.
According to Thailand officials, they cured some travelers from Wuhan, with mixed treatments of flu and HIV. It seems that warm weather in Thailand may help to some degree.
@your uncle pim ! yes but sadly people are at least twice as likely to catch this so in the long run it will kill way more people than flu unfortunately. Also our bodies are used to flu - they're not used to this virus...
@your uncle pim ! I'd sure hope so since the flu is everywhere and this isn't yet. You idiots who don't have basic reasoning... The mortality rate on this is much higher, at minimum 2% but likely much higher as the severe part is in the later stages of the illness. This also spreads much easier with no symptoms, meaning if we don't make a vaccine and/or contain it, it will kill far far more than the flu. I don't know who is worse, the doomers that think every disease will wipe out mankind or the "big brained" optimists who think their "gotcha" talking points are going to change reality.
I mean i believe the US, Canada, and other countries other than CHINA are doing pretty well. Normally im against the cdc and our gov but seeing how fast trump responded, and the precautionary measures taken were quite impeccable. but china did their absolute best to silence and sweep under the rug any type of of information and real situations actually taking place about this virus. China dont give a shit about their people but other countries are seeming to do well. EXCEPT PAKISTAN! Idk what the fuck they were thinking to reopen travel between them and china but to each their own. Just a foolish move. Pakistan is gonna open up someone is gonna get sick and i can guarantee that a mutated version os MERS Is going to emerge
Commenting from Israel: All Israelis returning from China will be quarantined for a two-week period. So far there has been only one case in Israel. A 9-year-old Israeli girl displaying coronavirus symptoms has been quarantined in Schneider Hospital. She lived with her parents in China and when returning to Israel arrived at the ER suffering high fever, meeting criteria for suspected coronavirus.
you deserve all the success for putting out such factual accounts of what is going and providing an unbiased scientific based input. wish you more success in your reports of what’s going on. people are needed like you, in the mainstream.
Thank-you for the date correction. You might want to see some comments by two people who have spent years living in China, explaining how the casualty and deaths figures are not being reported correctly. They spend some time in showing nine doctors who have been arrested for telling people about the virus, some useless 'cures', and relating incidents where people are seeing those around them becoming sick and dying, followed by video of an apartment block being sealed up, with residents still inside, and then they show the table of statistics which is being circulated by the government, starting at this point: /rwXPeIwV_q4?t=1812 Thanks for taking the time to listen to some of the discussion.
If the confirmed number of cases is 17,482 and the modelling (Lancet) indicates the actual number is (likely) closer to ~170,000, is it possible the actual number of deaths in China is much higher? Yesterday’s video explaining Lancet modelling was very good but I was wondering if the Lancet modelling can be applied to the actual number of deaths. I’m just wondering if China is under reporting the actual number of deaths or if we can expect a higher number of deaths based on the modelling. Thank you for the information. Much appreciated!
"is it possible the actual number of deaths in China is much higher?" It's not only possible, but very likely. In this video an international PhD student studying in Wuhan talks about how cases are being under-reported (among other topics) th-cam.com/video/8uIVf_o9aXM/w-d-xo.html Please, please share this video. People need to know this information so they can protect themselves.
Ow Lord Jesus help anybody flying with Qantas and all Australians. First it's the bushfires now the Whu Flu. Qantas Australia's 14 crew member who flew Australian Citizens out of Wuhan this past Monday, will NOT be put on a 14day quarentine. The flight crew are just given gloves and masks. Their concerns was dismissed by the health minister. Although crews expressed their concerns. So after their mission in bringing people from Wuhan back to Australia (and Christmas Island) they will return back to their normal shift hours, whether it's as a crew for around the world trips, back to their families and the Australian public. Our government needs Dr Campbell right here to knock some wisdom into their heads.
I watched videos from Wuhan and with no transportation, only those with cars can go to a hospital; that is a small percentage because most take public transportation. When they get there, depending on location, it can be so crowded they are turned away. They have to go to 3-5 hospitals before they get seen. Those who are suspected are tested and sent home awaiting their results. The results take 3 days or longer. After the diagnosis is confirmed, they must return to the hospital to obtain a Diagnosis Certificate. They only give out a limited number of certificates per day. Many people are not given certificates even though they have a positive diagnosis. Many people give up and return home never to return to the hospital after several attempts to get the certificate. Without the certificate, they cannot get ANY care. Those who get the Golden Ticket (certificate), must now go to a DIFFERENT hospital to seek care. Many are overcrowded and, even with the certificate, many patients are turned away and must seek out a hospital that has an open bed. Those who went to all the hospitals, saw vans being loaded with body bags and were told by staff that the bodies go straight to the crematorium often before even documenting who it is because of all the chaos. THEREFORE, the numbers could NOT be accurate.
The Chinese govt. has already removed 2 of the videos that describe some if the events above. If anyone wants to see what's left before their gone, check my "Plague 2020" playlist.
@@lovebiota286 It sounds so horrendous, I would think one would hide at home from the hospitals and authorities if they became symptomatic and have a better chance of survival. It is all so very heartbreaking.~ Always praying for the suffering.
@@maries2313 One of the people said just that; he gave up and was self-quarantining at home. Some of them are sick but haven't been able to see a doctor period; so they don't know if they have it or not. They are also self-quarantining. There is a lot of info in my "Plague 2020" playlist. Many people, especially the elderly, violently refuse to wear masks. The govt is chasing people with drones and telling them to comply or they are arresting them. I could go on and on and NO ONE in the MSM is reporting about these things. Smh. More prayers.
Watching this at over 33 thousand deaths now and a quarter of a million infections (that we know of reality will be so much more!) Seems scary!! Thanks for your work throughout Dr Campbell!!
Superb presentation of the facts. Globally we have got to focus more on zoonotic disease prevention and reducing our impact on the natural world, which is causing their spread 🏥😷⛑
I had Covid-19, and it felt all in my lungs. The only symptom above my neck was a dull headache. Very unlike a cold or flu because of the absence of snot. I'm still using 2 inhalers 8 months later like an asthmatic.
I want to comment on the Chinese reporting of patients. First, my family is ever SO GRATEFUL to the Chinese. However, when I visited in 2015 Dec (just prior to the one-child law being changed to 2) I asked the tour guide (college-educated, communist & young) what happens to the "spare baby" if a woman has a second child. He/She hesitated for some time but told me privately that the second child is not ever recognized, not registered, not allowed school, not allowed medical care. The mother is not punished but the child goes unrecognized. With this information, I wonder how many "unreported" people are simply not seeking help & not being tabulated. Chinese people are amazing, hard workers & would flourish with more freedom.
Hong Kong is the gold standard if the Chinese have a mostly fair and free government. Communism is a virus in itself that should’ve been destroyed long ago.
followtruth - The culture of the Chinese eating anything alive derived from the horrendous and tragic rule of Mao Zedong, in which the Communist Party of China starved their own people. The Chinese were so desperate for food, they would start eating the feathers in their pillows(if they had any). That’s how cruel they were treated. That’s why in modern day China, being overweight is considered good luck. Also, it doesn’t help that Mao and his govt. promoted stupidity over intelligence and distrust over their fellow human. If you’re Chinese and you’re in need of help, no one will come and help you. They’re also very superstitious about the things they eat, thinking that eating certain animals will give them a longer lifespan, or giving men the vitality for sex, that’s why they eat anything.
followtruth when you say “they”, how many people you refer to? I am a Chinese lived in China for 19 years, have never ever seen any one eat those , not even once! I’m not denying that there are people in China eat wild animals, but stupid people is every where. I understand it is very satisfying when you say this and showing your superiority over other nation, but this is not gonna change you as a loser in the real life.
YOUR CHANNEL is very INFORMATIVE!! Thank you for explaining things in good detail, me and my family watch your videos also for educational purposes on how the complex human body works etc, even though it is obviously very sad that these people are getting very sick and some tragically passing away on a positive side my young teenage sons and my daughter are seriously thinking about studying medicine. So I just wanted to say thank you. COULD you please, Please give a shout/encouragement to Amelia, Jimmy and Freddie and tell/encourage them to study hard, please, as I'm sure this will also be some good encouragement. Thanks again, have subscribed and we look forward to taking in all the excellent information you give.. Warm regards Gerald
No! You sneeze or cough into a tissue, not your sleeve cause anyone who touches your sleeve, you're passing it on! Obviously you have no idea how contagious this is!
@@susan9188 Your right about a Kleenex, but not everyone Carrie's them. Your sleeve is better than your hand where your touching everything and really spreading germs.
An excellent commentary Dr. Campbell. Your estimate of an R0 = 2.68 may turn out to be low, if the latest estimate of 4.0 by another group of investigators is to be believed.
Question, how do labs test for nCoV? Is it a special kit that needs to be programmed to the computer or any testing lab can find it? I find reports like Indonesia and Japan where they are pushing to distribute necessary equipments to test for it.
"Question, how do labs test for nCoV?" As far as I know the only available test at present is rt-PCR, which must be conducted using a dedicated machine in a lab setting. It CANNOT be done on the spot, nor is there a kit for it. People talk about 'test kits' but this is purely anecdotal. There is a bottleneck effect in the testing because the samples taken from patients must physically be sent to the labs, and there is a limit in both equipment and technicians. Which means even with no malfeasance (and there probably is, considering the nature of the CCP), there's going to be an information gap between the number of actual cases and confirmed cases. And the size of this gap is unknown and unknowable.
If Lancet studio states there were 75000 infected on 25th of January, then 8 has passed since then (lag time) and by 3 of February there are 361 deaths, that means that the fatality rate is around 0'48% not 2%
I don't know why John says you can't relate the deaths to cured figure. It at least suggests that the illness is prolonged. It may also suggests a high proportion of serious complications.
Hi John. I was wondering if you knew the answer to this question regarding Corona virus?? Is the Corona virus effecting a certain blood group more then the other blood groups? Is there a blood group [example RHNegative blood group to date / low to non effected by Corona virus? I believe The Plague was most effected in Europe not Asia and I was exploring a possibility that certain blood groups may be more vulnerable then others in certain contagious diseases?
I think this is such a great format compared to the panic chambers of twitter and facebook. People cannot b*llshit as much when it comes to talking on camera the same way they can anonymously online
It seems to me the "cured" patients have been treated with HIV or Ebola drugs. Whether those drugs completely clear the virus from the patient, I don't know.
Im hearing this type of Coronavirus has SOME of the same genome as HIV. So im wondering that as well. Possible not curable. Health complications seems to all relate to Ebola. HiV. SARS. MERS. NcOv. All effect the respriatory system.
Could make you make some comments on HLA-B*4601 abundance and susceptibility? That connection was made SARS. What are your thoughts on that being factor with novel coronavirus?
I think YT just took down Dr. C's latest video (2/7/2020) while I was watching it. Can no longer find it. He must be onto something. Talking about Vietnamese dad and son in hotel room with no connection to NAHUW market who are now sick. Dr. Dead in record # days.
How do you feel about the name SARS coronavirus 2, denoting it's close relation to SARS-related coronaviruses from natural sources and the first SARS coronavirus in 2003? I read an article in the Lancet saying virus names are given according to phylogeny and not necessarily the disease they cause.
Dear Dr. Campbell, could you please make presumption/calculation/estimation/modelling based on this data that I'm going to state below? I don't know whether it is true and reliable or just merely exacerbated figures but I'm really curious to how things goes. Many thanks. 26 Jan 2020 Whole country confirmed number of cases: 15701 Patient under investigation cases: 8350 Recovered cases: 49 Dead cases: 2577 1 Feb 2020 Whole country confirmed cases: 154023 Patient under investigation cases: 79808 Recovered cases: 269 Dead cases: 24589
I'd love for an opinion of yours regarding the recent release of University of New Delhi's medical research team's speculation of HIV1- like insertions, that they claimed to have found in nCov19..if not that's cool, but an educated perspective is always welcome.
The age distribution of flu deaths maylso have been skewed by the high frequency of soldiers who acquired it in mobilization camps prior being sent to the field in WWI.
@@geraldinegregory.1803 Yeah, but a text was added to say that he meant 28th of January. (I rewatched the first few minutes after reading some more comments)
@@alexanderiliev1431 Yes, you are quite right. I had started to watch, saw that first mistake and so just jumped forward a few times to the end. I didn't see the text come up, but have now, since you corrected me. Thank you.
That modeling is based on no containing procedure was taken, however China is currently undergoing really strict quarantine policy, does it matter to the modeling predict?
By the way, is there any vaccination yet for the older corona virus like SARS, MERS and others ? Could we expect there would ever be one for the novel corona virus ?
@@william8672 Still got wrong dates in! Jumping from December 31st to February....missed out January. In context of video that is a massive mistake...!
Asymptomatic is confusing as that word is normally used in another way. And transmittable is strange because I thought doctors use the word contageous.
You can test negative for the virus though, but still have the pneumonia and other issues that it causes. It can also cause widespread inflammation outside of the lungs. Many people still aren't well months later.
Question: What about horizontal gene transfer? I'm concerned that there's now an outbreak of H5N1 -- does the risk of two simultaneous outbreaks increase the risk of this happening?
absolutely not: horizontal transfer is happening all the time in every place on earth already, it changes the genome of cells rather than viruses so is not a concern in this outbreak
Help me to understand the doubling part of the Lancet article you have previously cited. When a disease gets close to the peak in China (April 20th) I am assuming that the rate of infection slows down? It must, right? If one doubles 75,000 every week starting on 1/25, that number is 307 million infected by April 20th -- 3% mortality rate would be 9.2 mil dead in China alone. The quarantines must also help to reduce the 2.68 Ro, correct?
"The quarantines must also help to reduce the 2.68 Ro, correct?" It must, simply by limiting host availability, but the true impact of this limit on disease spread is not known and cannot be known.
i live is gordons bay, cape town south africa..... i had something like this back in 2015 and it took for ever to get rid of...it was undiagnosed... i know another woman that also has something slimier just before me..... maybe why not africa cases.....we had it already
3:00 pm AST (Canada) John Hopkin's data, 20,704 cases World wide, reporting 427 deaths. 25 cases Thailand, 24 Singapore, 22 Japan, 17 Hong Kong. Thailand, Singapore and Japan's numbers jumped since 4:00 AM AST. In Canada, we have 4 cases. US, 11. Great Britain (Can I still call it that after Brexit?) has no cases yet.
I like how you added a fact-based important point that every one of these numbers is a person and every loss is a grieving family thank you for pointing out that human factor
Yes, very important.I feel greatly for everyone over there in China right now.Makes me sad that other people blame the people VS the government over there who should wear most of the blame for not doing enough early on.Virtual hugs for any person in China who happens to read this, we are thinking of you.
@@dunxy
That's a stupid thing to say as well.
It's not the government's fault.
Any nation who is introduced with a random unknown virus will have pretty much the same outcome whether it be China, UK, USA, Germany or whatever.
No government agency or health agency for that matter can immediately identify if a new viral strain has spread. Add the fact that transportation has developed quite far with people being able to cross multiple countries within a day.
So blaming the government (the Chinese government in this case) is not only misinformed but also stupid.
No one can prepare or event act accordingly when disasters strike or if a new virus emergencies.
What people and the government can do is work hand in hand to help prevent it to spread even further and help in managing the situation.
@@dickmelsonlupot7697 You've got to be kidding me. They released a modified virus of SARS, CORONA, & HIV on it's own country. Was stolen from a Canadian lab along with a professor leaking info to the Chinese. Let me guess you believe those #s they're stating to be true as well right. Unbelievable that people are so lost in this technology age of finding stuff. World is dumber an lazier than ever
@TheEsotericZebra
What you say makes sense to me but isn't it different if you hear about a specific tragedy?
I mean, when I see the videos of grieving people and desperation and fear I feel.....a great deal of sympathy?
I still carry with me sorrow for things I've seen or been aware of in detail because it is a type of association, maybe.
But if I hear a crash killed 4 or a plane crashed and killed 100 or diseases and natural disasters or famine is killing people all over the world I don't feel the same. I'm not sure if it's because there is no emotion to mimic from a face or voice or details of specific people are not stated and you are hearing news people talking about them without emotion sort of blocks the greater feeling of sadness.
I often feels pangs of sadness and an ache that lingers when I am reminded of things that effected me so.
Some people have a more diverse and sensitive sense of sympathetic emotion.
Those are the people that feel compelled to help, even if danger is still present.
Some just imagine themselves in the situation and feel sorry for themselves for what might have happened to their loved ones.
Not to argue but some of us are more sensitive even if that means the are susceptible to the weakness that such debilitating feelings can cause.
@@rap1dequal1zer77 Amen brother.
I hope you know the remarkable service you're providing is appreciated by countless people from all walks of life. I've passed on your TH-cam to the people in the hospital where I work- they're following you with great interest. Thank you.
Great work Deborah let's share these videos far and wide
A public service in its truest sense. Greatly appreciated.
Thank you my friend! We, the public are in dire need of a high school -level refresher on disease contagion, microbiology etc...rather than a govt agency deciding we need to be kept in the dark.I dearly appreciate your informing us as the rational adults we are.
Watch some documentaries on the Spanish flu, you would be amazed how this has happened in the past and killed millions.
You are providng a service and information that IF saves only ONE... I would thank you.
This is very well received and appreciated.
Your apparent lack of rest and diligence is what got mankind here and.
I applaud you for your efforts.
Well done sir!😁
For everyone asking what’s different, he/an editor added an overlay about the date mix up where he said the Lancet model was dated Dec 25 rather than Jan 25.
Thank you for explaining.
If you die without testing, you died by natural causes.
@@oldmech619 yep, unless you showed symptoms but weren't tested, in which case it's listed as influenza or pneumonia.
TheApexSurvivor Hard to test when they’re running out of tests. 🤷♀️
@Cory Burns Doctor John has just estimated that the total amount of infected could be as much as 220,000. If the 2% death rate is correct then that would give a rough estimate of 4,500 dead in china.
Thank you for reposting with corrections. I didn’t have an issue with the first one.
john brandenburg Perv!
she's married lol
Dear Dr Cambell. I have been watching your videos with considerable interest. I echo many comments on here by saying that you explain things in simplistic terms that are easy to understand. Your knowledge is of huge help. Thank you for keeping us informed in a non sensational and fact based manner. It makes me feel very proud to have a fellow Brit (I’m not a doctor) help so many people around the globe. Stay well and please keep your superb videos rolling out. I hope everyone stays safe and well around the globe.
Thank you from California. I work at an airport and I can tell you up until Sunday afternoon Planes were still landing from mainland China and with ZERO screening upon arriving. And masks, hand sanitizer, and disinfects are sold out everywhere here.
Too bad a little hand sanitizer won't stop a virus as it's only anti-bacterial.
Why is the U.S. not concerned about letting this virus in?
miracle, Which Sunday? Are you saying planes from China were landing yesterday, with no screening?
Berly this past superbowl Sunday. Yes planes both landed and departed before the “closure” took place. I was working in the same teminal and stopped in my tracks when I heard an announcement asking all ticketed and confirmed passengers on Hianan Airlines flight to Beijing departing out of gate 15......I also know that none of the workers are required to wear masks and there was ZERO screening happening.
@@miraclem34341 Its shocking to hear this. I hope you did not have any contact with these passengers. Try to take natural products to boost your immune system.
longass incubation AND you can be asymptomatic and infectious makes this one worse than SARS.
I just found this video and your channel a few days ago, thank you! I've completed some nursing school here in the US to be an RN. I started reading online and found the name of this newest virus had SARS in it, and started digging for more info to try to understand. I searched youtube, and your video was the first, and really only one, I found. I was and am extremely impressed, and thank you for sharing your knowledge not only for those who have some medical training, but for those who do not and are seeking answers and understanding. You are a gem, and I wish I had you as a professor in university! Thank you for all your videos, please keep making them! I am grateful...in New York!
Everyone who is complaining about the folks who were pointing out the date misinformation along with number of increase cases. I do not believe we did it to be aggressive or hurtful to Dr. John. It’s just that this topic is SO extreme and we must obtain as much correct information as possible in order to prepare for our safety. Thanks for everything you do for us Dr. John.....you’re a gem.
First Death in HK, 39 years old male. He went to Wuhan on 21 JAN, came back to HK on 23 JAN, started to have muscle pain on 29 JAN, had fever on 31 JAN and sent to the hospital, 4th FED dead. 5 Nurses who treated that patient start to have fever and diarrhea, all 5 nurse are on isolation.
He was right about Dec being the first outbreak "On December 8, 2019, a patient in Wuhan city reportedly complained of pneumonia-like symptoms and sought medical help at a local hospital. Within days, many others reported similar problems, prompting health officials to launch an investigation.
On December 31, China informed the WHO's country office about these pneumonia cases emanating from "unknown causes" in Wuhan.
Taking note of the matter and the limited information available, the WHO issued interim guidelines for all countries.
On January 7, Chinese authorities said they have identified 2019-nCoV as the cause of the pneumonia. However, experts are yet to identify the source of 2019-nCoV i.e. the animal from which it transmitted to humans."
Okay...CDC..
th-cam.com/video/wJ78qOy8fmg/w-d-xo.html
There's a Skype interview with a student that's currently trapped in Wuhan. He said the first cases of pneumonia started in September but they weren't concerned until Christmas time when more and more were getting sick. Its ARIRANG News here on YT.
@@Jeremy_810
That's most likely total BS.
You have to remember the symptoms are pretty much the same as your regular cold or even regular pneumonia.
And who's to say the kid in your video was actually from Wuhan. There are a lot of videos claiming they are.
And if you believe some random kid on the internet. Then believe me when I say that I live in Buckingham Palace and the Queen is my sugar mommy
I work in wuhan, we got two emails we joked as being ‘don’t die’ emails about pneumonia outbreaks. One was around Christmas and I can no longer find that one so it’s been deleted but we did joke about it before we received the next one on January 6th. I think if they are warning us workers, there were more than just around fifty or whatever number they were reporting then.
@@bathhatingcat8626 The Royal Sir Dickmelson Lupot commands that I not believe you and the rubbish you speak of, random guy on the internet.
I'm glad I found your channel.
doctor, thank you! I found your videos while looking for someone explaining the EKG. you did it in such a beautiful way and now I can clap the rhythms of the heart. you are brilliant and amazing and you have a great language. thank you! from a medical student in Copenhagen that misses classes so much.
Middle age Chinese men smoke cigarettes and woman do not. May explain the disproportionate death of men.
Yes great point. pneumonia
BamBamBatMan www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30211-7/fulltext
The poison from tobacco smoking kills viruses. If you just sit on your arse and smoke yeah maybe, but if you are active and smoke you should be fine.
Trudy Fox hmmm, thanks.
Is it not because men have more ACE2 receptors than woman and this is the virus entry system into the body, ace2 receptors are found in the lungs and mucus membranes in the body.
He’s our Will Smith in I am Legend. I hope he doesn’t have a German Sheppard-Love this guy! “I’ll be at the south pier everyday till sundown. You are not alone.”
Just wanted to say, I appreciate the videos you upload. Even if I don’t have a career in the medical field, it can be interesting to learn and absorb some new information. You sir are a good person.
Thanks for all this fantastic info Doc. Much love from Texas.
Vickon Targaryen Where at in Texas? I’m near Austin.
Taylor Made ay UT austin for me. 512 gang rise up
San Antonio 🤘🏻 Hook’em!
Maverick Kennedy Yesssss!!!🙌🏼
Thank you, Dr. Campbell for these updates and information to help us better understand and prepare ourselves.
Thank you for making these videos Dr. Campbell
Dr. Campbell, Thank you for your clear explanation of the facts and science in regards to the Corona virus. I wish I had a biology/science teacher like you when I was in school. I live in the Wenzhou area of Zhejiang Province, China. I am of the opinion that you are spot on in regards to the numbers regarding virus cases. As of this writing, there are 829 confirmed cases in Zhejiang . However, yesterday we received a report after the city was locked down that there 1037 suspected cases in one suburb of Wenzhou alone. In my city, there were 298. The (partial) report that we were given yesterday has 6,613 suspected cases in our immediate area. This number does not include Wenzhou city itself, nor other cities and suburbs within Zhejiang Province.
Thank you for the information. May God hear your prayers and protect you and your family.
God bless u for teaching us n live many years more. ❤️🙏
Which gods. There are so many.
Can you explain the connection with Coronavirus and HIV homology and the Thai doctors using a cocktail treatment to include HIV meds with improvement in symptoms after 48hrs
HIV is an RNA Virus just like nCov, so they don't know if they will help but they do know that they are safe to give humans. The issue is there were no placebo tests done in Thailand, so they can't be sure if the patients just got better on their own or from the HIV drugs.
Useful information and analysis from a fact based perspective - thank you.
You are the hero in all of this. I just wanted to say that. Thank you so much for your insight and enlightenment. Thank you again.
You sound like an old fella with a bunch of knowledge
Thank's to give us good and reliable informations.
For a Home remedy Immune system boost take:-
Ginger juice 1 Tsp
Tulsi 11-21 leaves
Cinnamon Powder 1/4 Tsp
Honey 1 Tsp
Turmeric powder 1/2 Tsp
Clove Powder 1/8 Tsp
1 clove of garlic
All mixed and drank with 1 cup of warm water.
I know garlic is a natural immune booster that fights antiviral very well I never get sick eat three or four cloves of raw garlic everyday but I like this recipe thank you
Then, strip naked and run around the block singing Yankee Doodle at top volume.
You left number one thing off the list, that is Vitamin C. Take Vitamin C first, in natural form and a moderate supplement .
Hue Man now you are talking real science- not.
How about ginger/turmeric kombucha?
I’ve been watching the reported numbers too and noticed their reports almost double every 12 hrs or so in some reports out of China. After a week I realized that another month and those doubling get crazy.
Great work sir. Thank you!
According to Thailand officials, they cured some travelers from Wuhan, with mixed treatments of flu and HIV. It seems that warm weather in Thailand may help to some degree.
Doc, its midnight, get some sleep ❤️
Sweet☺️....
But i think he has many sleepless nights thinking and researching about this Virus...
Great man.
Thank you for your effort.
Honestly I’m pretty scared. I’m so worried and upset that the authorities aren’t taking his as serious as they should.
Me also. I think they know just not telling us.
@your uncle pim ! yes but sadly people are at least twice as likely to catch this so in the long run it will kill way more people than flu unfortunately. Also our bodies are used to flu - they're not used to this virus...
@your uncle pim ! I'd sure hope so since the flu is everywhere and this isn't yet. You idiots who don't have basic reasoning...
The mortality rate on this is much higher, at minimum 2% but likely much higher as the severe part is in the later stages of the illness.
This also spreads much easier with no symptoms, meaning if we don't make a vaccine and/or contain it, it will kill far far more than the flu.
I don't know who is worse, the doomers that think every disease will wipe out mankind or the "big brained" optimists who think their "gotcha" talking points are going to change reality.
I mean i believe the US, Canada, and other countries other than CHINA are doing pretty well. Normally im against the cdc and our gov but seeing how fast trump responded, and the precautionary measures taken were quite impeccable. but china did their absolute best to silence and sweep under the rug any type of of information and real situations actually taking place about this virus. China dont give a shit about their people but other countries are seeming to do well. EXCEPT PAKISTAN! Idk what the fuck they were thinking to reopen travel between them and china but to each their own. Just a foolish move. Pakistan is gonna open up someone is gonna get sick and i can guarantee that a mutated version os MERS Is going to emerge
Literally every country acted/will act way too late
Love this guy!! I’m an official follower!!
i dont blame him for forgetting january,it was a horrible month
Commenting from Israel: All Israelis returning from China will be quarantined for a two-week period. So far there has been only one case in Israel. A 9-year-old Israeli girl displaying coronavirus symptoms has been quarantined in Schneider Hospital. She lived with her parents in China and when returning to Israel arrived at the ER suffering high fever, meeting criteria for suspected coronavirus.
you deserve all the success for putting out such factual accounts of what is going and providing an unbiased scientific based input. wish you more success in your reports of what’s going on. people are needed like you, in the mainstream.
Have you done a video explaining the difference between a bacterial versus viral infection? Including the defenses against each.
Thank-you for the date correction.
You might want to see some comments by two people who have spent years living in China, explaining how the casualty and deaths figures are not being reported correctly. They spend some time in showing nine doctors who have been arrested for telling people about the virus, some useless 'cures', and relating incidents where people are seeing those around them becoming sick and dying, followed by video of an apartment block being sealed up, with residents still inside, and then they show the table of statistics which is being circulated by the government, starting at this point: /rwXPeIwV_q4?t=1812
Thanks for taking the time to listen to some of the discussion.
2 years later, and in hindsight, this is still impressive. This just goes to show how powerful scientific cautious thinking is.
If the confirmed number of cases is 17,482 and the modelling (Lancet) indicates the actual number is (likely) closer to ~170,000, is it possible the actual number of deaths in China is much higher? Yesterday’s video explaining Lancet modelling was very good but I was wondering if the Lancet modelling can be applied to the actual number of deaths. I’m just wondering if China is under reporting the actual number of deaths or if we can expect a higher number of deaths based on the modelling. Thank you for the information. Much appreciated!
"is it possible the actual number of deaths in China is much higher?" It's not only possible, but very likely. In this video an international PhD student studying in Wuhan talks about how cases are being under-reported (among other topics)
th-cam.com/video/8uIVf_o9aXM/w-d-xo.html
Please, please share this video. People need to know this information so they can protect themselves.
Thank you for humanising this situation , we need this!
Ow Lord Jesus help anybody flying with Qantas and all Australians. First it's the bushfires now the Whu Flu. Qantas Australia's 14 crew member who flew Australian Citizens out of Wuhan this past Monday, will NOT be put on a 14day quarentine. The flight crew are just given gloves and masks. Their concerns was dismissed by the health minister. Although crews expressed their concerns. So after their mission in bringing people from Wuhan back to Australia (and Christmas Island) they will return back to their normal shift hours, whether it's as a crew for around the world trips, back to their families and the Australian public. Our government needs Dr Campbell right here to knock some wisdom into their heads.
Thank you for the well articulated data. Can listen to you at 1.5 speed with no problem.
I watched videos from Wuhan and with no transportation, only those with cars can go to a hospital; that is a small percentage because most take public transportation. When they get there, depending on location, it can be so crowded they are turned away. They have to go to 3-5 hospitals before they get seen. Those who are suspected are tested and sent home awaiting their results. The results take 3 days or longer. After the diagnosis is confirmed, they must return to the hospital to obtain a Diagnosis Certificate. They only give out a limited number of certificates per day. Many people are not given certificates even though they have a positive diagnosis. Many people give up and return home never to return to the hospital after several attempts to get the certificate. Without the certificate, they cannot get ANY care. Those who get the Golden Ticket (certificate), must now go to a DIFFERENT hospital to seek care. Many are overcrowded and, even with the certificate, many patients are turned away and must seek out a hospital that has an open bed. Those who went to all the hospitals, saw vans being loaded with body bags and were told by staff that the bodies go straight to the crematorium often before even documenting who it is because of all the chaos.
THEREFORE, the numbers could NOT be accurate.
G V wow that is shockingly terrible
The Chinese govt. has already removed 2 of the videos that describe some if the events above. If anyone wants to see what's left before their gone, check my "Plague 2020" playlist.
@@lovebiota286 It sounds so horrendous, I would think one would hide at home from the hospitals and authorities if they became symptomatic and have a better chance of survival. It is all so very heartbreaking.~ Always praying for the suffering.
Marie S Amen 🙏🏼
@@maries2313 One of the people said just that; he gave up and was self-quarantining at home. Some of them are sick but haven't been able to see a doctor period; so they don't know if they have it or not. They are also self-quarantining.
There is a lot of info in my "Plague 2020" playlist. Many people, especially the elderly, violently refuse to wear masks. The govt is chasing people with drones and telling them to comply or they are arresting them. I could go on and on and NO ONE in the MSM is reporting about these things. Smh. More prayers.
Can you discuss mutations? I saw something about mutations within the same family group who had the virus.
great efforts for teaching and explaining to common people like me.i am from china
Watching this at over 33 thousand deaths now and a quarter of a million infections (that we know of reality will be so much more!) Seems scary!! Thanks for your work throughout Dr Campbell!!
Superb presentation of the facts. Globally we have got to focus more on zoonotic disease prevention and reducing our impact on the natural world, which is causing their spread 🏥😷⛑
Coronavirus is about to give the world an enema.
@Jacob Macpherson i see what you did there
it’s may 24th and i wish you were wrong man.
I had Covid-19, and it felt all in my lungs. The only symptom above my neck was a dull headache. Very unlike a cold or flu because of the absence of snot. I'm still using 2 inhalers 8 months later like an asthmatic.
I want to comment on the Chinese reporting of patients. First, my family is ever SO GRATEFUL to the Chinese. However, when I visited in 2015 Dec (just prior to the one-child law being changed to 2) I asked the tour guide (college-educated, communist & young) what happens to the "spare baby" if a woman has a second child. He/She hesitated for some time but told me privately that the second child is not ever recognized, not registered, not allowed school, not allowed medical care. The mother is not punished but the child goes unrecognized. With this information, I wonder how many "unreported" people are simply not seeking help & not being tabulated. Chinese people are amazing, hard workers & would flourish with more freedom.
Yes they are, but they also eat bats and rats. Their culture is still evolving...
Hong Kong is the gold standard if the Chinese have a mostly fair and free government. Communism is a virus in itself that should’ve been destroyed long ago.
followtruth - The culture of the Chinese eating anything alive derived from the horrendous and tragic rule of Mao Zedong, in which the Communist Party of China starved their own people. The Chinese were so desperate for food, they would start eating the feathers in their pillows(if they had any). That’s how cruel they were treated. That’s why in modern day China, being overweight is considered good luck. Also, it doesn’t help that Mao and his govt. promoted stupidity over intelligence and distrust over their fellow human. If you’re Chinese and you’re in need of help, no one will come and help you. They’re also very superstitious about the things they eat, thinking that eating certain animals will give them a longer lifespan, or giving men the vitality for sex, that’s why they eat anything.
@@UnfaithfulServant97 Correct. Similar to European culture 1000 years ago but more advanced than sub-Saharan African culture.
followtruth when you say “they”, how many people you refer to? I am a Chinese lived in China for 19 years, have never ever seen any one eat those , not even once! I’m not denying that there are people in China eat wild animals, but stupid people is every where. I understand it is very satisfying when you say this and showing your superiority over other nation, but this is not gonna change you as a loser in the real life.
YOUR CHANNEL is very INFORMATIVE!!
Thank you for explaining things in good detail, me and my family watch your videos also for educational purposes on how the complex human body works etc, even though it is obviously very sad that these people are getting very sick and some tragically passing away on a positive side my young teenage sons and my daughter are seriously thinking about studying medicine. So I just wanted to say thank you. COULD you please, Please give a shout/encouragement to Amelia, Jimmy and Freddie and tell/encourage them to study hard, please, as I'm sure this will also be some good encouragement. Thanks again, have subscribed and we look forward to taking in all the excellent information you give..
Warm regards Gerald
You should NEVER cough on your hand!!! ALWAYS use your sleeve.
No! You sneeze or cough into a tissue, not your sleeve cause anyone who touches your sleeve, you're passing it on! Obviously you have no idea how contagious this is!
@@susan9188 Your right about a Kleenex, but not everyone Carrie's them. Your sleeve is better than your hand where your touching everything and really spreading germs.
This is so interesting, because I live in Toronto, Ontario, Canada and that was a hotspot for Sars in 2003.
Videos coming through here in Canada. Thank you
An excellent commentary Dr. Campbell. Your estimate of an R0 = 2.68 may turn out to be low, if the latest estimate of 4.0 by another group of investigators is to be believed.
Question, how do labs test for nCoV? Is it a special kit that needs to be programmed to the computer or any testing lab can find it? I find reports like Indonesia and Japan where they are pushing to distribute necessary equipments to test for it.
"Question, how do labs test for nCoV?" As far as I know the only available test at present is rt-PCR, which must be conducted using a dedicated machine in a lab setting. It CANNOT be done on the spot, nor is there a kit for it. People talk about 'test kits' but this is purely anecdotal.
There is a bottleneck effect in the testing because the samples taken from patients must physically be sent to the labs, and there is a limit in both equipment and technicians. Which means even with no malfeasance (and there probably is, considering the nature of the CCP), there's going to be an information gap between the number of actual cases and confirmed cases. And the size of this gap is unknown and unknowable.
@@Zidana123 Thank you for this information, exactly what I was looking for.
If Lancet studio states there were 75000 infected on 25th of January, then 8 has passed since then (lag time) and by 3 of February there are 361 deaths, that means that the fatality rate is around 0'48% not 2%
what kind of communist uses an apostrophe in place of a decimal point?
I don't know why John says you can't relate the deaths to cured figure. It at least suggests that the illness is prolonged. It may also suggests a high proportion of serious complications.
A VERY GOOD INSIGHT. THANK YOU
Hi John.
I was wondering if you knew the answer to this question regarding Corona virus??
Is the Corona virus effecting a certain blood group more then the other blood groups?
Is there a blood group [example RHNegative blood group to date / low to non effected by Corona virus?
I believe The Plague was most effected in Europe not Asia and I was exploring a possibility that certain blood groups may be more vulnerable then others in certain contagious diseases?
kyla rollans no, no and no. That blood type has zero effect on any pathogenic infection. Please stop with the Bull shit. Thanks.
I think this is such a great format compared to the panic chambers of twitter and facebook. People cannot b*llshit as much when it comes to talking on camera the same way they can anonymously online
Is it possible that this virus is related to HIV and incurable hence the low recoveries and contagion even after the symptoms have passed ?
It seems to me the "cured" patients have been treated with HIV or Ebola drugs. Whether those drugs completely clear the virus from the patient, I don't know.
Im hearing this type of Coronavirus has SOME of the same genome as HIV. So im wondering that as well. Possible not curable. Health complications seems to all relate to Ebola. HiV. SARS. MERS. NcOv. All effect the respriatory system.
Thank you so much for your research and hard work put into these videos. Bless you
i come from the future and im here to say we now are approaching the 400 thousand mark seems like this video was posted 5 years ago at this point
Hello sir, what writing utensil do you use? Thank you for this valuable information 😄
The doubling time was before any intervention though, shouldn't it be VERY different after all the travel restrictions?
Could make you make some comments on HLA-B*4601 abundance and susceptibility? That connection was made SARS. What are your thoughts on that being factor with novel coronavirus?
Thank you for everything you have said and doing.
Thanks for your daily videos. Good to see some reliable content on this in today's hectic world
I think YT just took down Dr. C's latest video (2/7/2020) while I was watching it. Can no longer find it. He must be onto something. Talking about Vietnamese dad and son in hotel room with no connection to NAHUW market who are now sick. Dr. Dead in record # days.
How do you feel about the name SARS coronavirus 2, denoting it's close relation to SARS-related coronaviruses from natural sources and the first SARS coronavirus in 2003? I read an article in the Lancet saying virus names are given according to phylogeny and not necessarily the disease they cause.
Dear Dr. Campbell, could you please make presumption/calculation/estimation/modelling based on this data that I'm going to state below? I don't know whether it is true and reliable or just merely exacerbated figures but I'm really curious to how things goes. Many thanks.
26 Jan 2020
Whole country confirmed number of cases: 15701
Patient under investigation cases: 8350
Recovered cases: 49
Dead cases: 2577
1 Feb 2020
Whole country confirmed cases: 154023
Patient under investigation cases: 79808
Recovered cases: 269
Dead cases: 24589
Thank you for making that very important correction!
gp120 binds to a CD4 receptor on a host cell, such as a CD4 T lymphocyte (CD4 cell).
And hip bone connects to the Thigh bone
I'd love for an opinion of yours regarding the recent release of University of New Delhi's medical research team's speculation of HIV1- like insertions, that they claimed to have found in nCov19..if not that's cool, but an educated perspective is always welcome.
The age distribution of flu deaths maylso have been skewed by the high frequency of soldiers who acquired it in mobilization camps prior being sent to the field in WWI.
No cases reported in Africa or Latin America? Is that because of Summer or just lack of reporting/testing?
It hasn't been long since the first upload of this.i read confirmed cases have gone up to 19k
20k+
@@ChristyHD27 really? 😨
Why was this reuploaded?
A few errors I think in the previous video.
@@darraghr8238 The mistakes are still there! Like jumping from 31st December to February, completely missing out January! Etc etc.
I think he might have mistakenly deleted the earlier vid and this is the reup for people who might not have seen it earlier.
@@geraldinegregory.1803 Yeah, but a text was added to say that he meant 28th of January. (I rewatched the first few minutes after reading some more comments)
@@alexanderiliev1431 Yes, you are quite right. I had started to watch, saw that first mistake and so just jumped forward a few times to the end. I didn't see the text come up, but have now, since you corrected me. Thank you.
That modeling is based on no containing procedure was taken, however China is currently undergoing really strict quarantine policy, does it matter to the modeling predict?
Please discuss how a relative humidity of 40% reduces transmission.
By the way, is there any vaccination yet for the older corona virus like SARS, MERS and others ?
Could we expect there would ever be one for the novel corona virus ?
2 million doc! Congrats
Mr Campbell what about the people who were cured in Thailand?
Did you make any amendments to the video you posted and removed earlier today?
After a quick click-through, it doesn't seem so.
added corrected dates @ 2:19
@@william8672 Thank you. Let me know if you see any other corrections (such as the suspected R0 being higher than the now antiquated 2.68).
@@william8672 Still got wrong dates in! Jumping from December 31st to February....missed out January. In context of video that is a massive mistake...!
@@geraldinegregory.1803 yea with the doubling date being 6.4 days it should be far larger than 222,000
Asymptomatic is confusing as that word is normally used in another way. And transmittable is strange because I thought doctors use the word contageous.
Dr, what is the meaning of "Recovered"? Is it that they were diagnosed with the coronavirus, but tested negative subsequently?
Markie Hub I assumed they were confirmed infected then got well again
@@bigmona2741 Oh ok, thanks for that.
I'm wondering that same thing
With recovered of course it means the person was infected and survived it, thus getting listed as recovered person
You can test negative for the virus though, but still have the pneumonia and other issues that it causes. It can also cause widespread inflammation outside of the lungs. Many people still aren't well months later.
Question: What about horizontal gene transfer? I'm concerned that there's now an outbreak of H5N1 -- does the risk of two simultaneous outbreaks increase the risk of this happening?
absolutely not: horizontal transfer is happening all the time in every place on earth already, it changes the genome of cells rather than viruses so is not a concern in this outbreak
Live your straight up approach Doc!
Subscribed. I watched about three or four of your videos so far.
Help me to understand the doubling part of the Lancet article you have previously cited. When a disease gets close to the peak in China (April 20th) I am assuming that the rate of infection slows down? It must, right? If one doubles 75,000 every week starting on 1/25, that number is 307 million infected by April 20th -- 3% mortality rate would be 9.2 mil dead in China alone. The quarantines must also help to reduce the 2.68 Ro, correct?
"The quarantines must also help to reduce the 2.68 Ro, correct?" It must, simply by limiting host availability, but the true impact of this limit on disease spread is not known and cannot be known.
i live is gordons bay, cape town south africa..... i had something like this back in 2015 and it took for ever to get rid of...it was undiagnosed... i know another woman that also has something slimier just before me..... maybe why not africa cases.....we had it already
3:00 pm AST (Canada) John Hopkin's data, 20,704 cases World wide, reporting 427 deaths. 25 cases Thailand, 24 Singapore, 22 Japan, 17 Hong Kong. Thailand, Singapore and Japan's numbers jumped since 4:00 AM AST. In Canada, we have 4 cases. US, 11. Great Britain (Can I still call it that after Brexit?) has no cases yet.
Wrong🇬🇧 We have two cases and 80 odd people in isolation hospital.
Hey doctor what are your opinions on the rate of the recovery, the medical practices of china, the uk, the us and other countries?
the number of infections/deaths/recovered compared to known rate/speed of infection isn't logical. I appreciate your work.