How Will Autonomous Vehicles Transform Our Cities? | Nico Larco | TEDxCollegePark
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 11 มิ.ย. 2024
- Nico Larco's insights on one the most exciting technology of our time will open your eyes to a whole new way of thinking and show you how the world we live in could be fundamentally transformed. Nico is an Associate Professor of Architecture and Urban Design at University of Oregon and Director of the Urbanism Next Research Initiative. He pulls back the curtain to preview how autonomous vehicles will shape the future planning of our parks, cities and life as we know it. This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at www.ted.com/tedx
Looking forward to getting my Dominos delivered and not having to tip.
Sourcedrop just don’t tip were used to it lol
Nah, I have to tip because I deliver too. Gotta produce that positive karma lol.
@@sourcedrop7624 its already happening, ford made a car partnered with dominos for autonomous delivery
Awakened2Truth - Disciple of Jesus the Christ lol i am still laughing at your username
M
Thak you Geralt of Rivia
skyrim is better
Tq you for making those video those are really inspires and gain a knowledge to us ...
this is one change among many that will catch people by surprise
Like electric cars?
Gosto muito do TEDx, gostaria que tivessem legenda em português nos vídeos, aprecio e aprendo muito a cada palestra e testemunho. Parabéns pelo Canal é muito bom 👍.
really good speech . i really love him
3:33 Graph does not bear out what he says. People adopt new technology based on cost vs. utility, not what he was trying to say, that we're quicker to adopt things now than people were in the past. Cars rose just as steeply as computers, but topped out at 60% for a while because of the cost vs. utility for the poor. Radios quickly rose to near ubiquity because they're cheap and fridges because of high utility.
Telephones spread slowly because of the infrastructure cost. Once the cellphone network was in place, it didn't cost much to add new customers compared to physically wiring up every house in the world.
The statistics do not show different consumer behaviour; they show that people always buy things when the technology gives good enough value for the proportion of their budget they'd have to spend.
eye opening video...!
VERY NICE!!!
TEDx TALKS are good now this one of the part of watching vidoes on you tube.....
Wtf are you talking about?
Excellent video. Not only AV , I think the principle is to have more common goods in this case we have to aim for shared cars
This man is very intelligent. I’m very excited for autonomous cars!
this was informative
Safety can be argued both ways. As far as progress is concerned human beings need to progress as well.
We haven't changed much in the history of mankind. We need to adapt our surroundings to us, not us to our (man made) surroundings.
IM DYING FOR IT
Self driving cars will Save many lives from drunk driving.
UNLEASHING POTENTIAL - PSYCHOLOGY VIDEOS lets hope there is not a glitch...
What about when criminals figure out how to take over the controls of your car and drive it to a location they want and rob you blind?
@@blackened872 I never thought of that! No thanks.
Not just drunk drivers. The amount of accidents happening due to distracted driving is around 25% of all vehicle accidents. Smart phone usage while driving has made our road and sidewalks less safe. Automated cars remove that factor. As far as comments about criminals and glitches, maybe you should not use a credit card either. We will overcome the obstacles, but letting go of vehicle ownership entitlement will be tough. The men's middle age sports car dilemma will have to evolve to some other placebo.
@jan simonides you might want to avoid any technology with that mindset. With all those "fears" you have, I'm surprised that you would own a smart phone, credit card, or even a computer. The good news is that it's going to happen despite your fears. Welcome your new autonomous overlords. Bwahaahaa
i enjoyed the video
Consider the ramifications of this on the insurance industry's.
@@MirandaCruze not arguing, just thinking of the upheaval it's going to cause. It's not the only new tech out there changing our world just the newest.
The insurance industry is incredibly powerful and wealthy with influential lobbyists that have always shaped governments and social policies. You can bet that the insurance industry will fight back against autonomous vehicles.
Consider the ramifications of this on humanity.
Humans are autonomous, not their cars/tools/machines.
When the machines become autonomous, the people become cogs of the machine.
NOT GOOD
I had not considered increased sprawl but it makes sense
I see those Waymo cars all over Los Altos!
Good sir
Garage remodeling is going to be big business.
Garages will be luxury, not necessity
xZeroTheGreat which will probably be a big opportunity for contractors for the 100+ million homes in the US with garages that soon won’t be needed.
This tech will shake up the whole economy
*some of us will ONLY give up our cars if it LITERALLY becomes illegal to own one*
Not a significant percentage of the market. People liked to drive horses and were dissatisfied with automated vehicles with no soul, no life and with new risks
Maybe it will take time because users would need to build their confidence in autonomous cars. I think we would have to go through a long phase of semi autonomous cars for this. Especially as cars are believed to last longer nowadays.
Argentina!
Can autonomous cars be connected to some software on smartphones for safety to detect people who walks? For privacy could be something like flight mode, but for autonomous cars human detection on and off.
My mind put on the breaks when he pretty much made his case statement that adaptation is happening faster and faster.. With societal isolation, resistance from people was heavier, so decisions take longer. 100 Years to reach 95% adoption of the telephone; 10 years for the cell phone.
Well they are exactly two items to be compared. The introduction of the phone had to start from step 1 in many different subjects and legal entanglements. Cell photes and wireless started a step from the top and they are a lateral shift for the consumer, not a new one for land line users. But this doesn't negate his general point.
How do accidents get dealt with?
10-20% of the parking we need today
A real catch 22 , if we fully adopt this into society as it will save do many lives but drivers will lose their jobs
Çok güzel
Geralt is that you?
University of Maryland,
The Clarice Smith Performing Arts Center
Why isn't this on the TED website? TH-cam is blocked in China.
Wouldn't the services take the same space to keep up with the supply and demand?
Where would they put their cars and vehicles? (if we wouldn't have any cars let's say)
All this newly discovered innovation for automation technological efficiency. But what happens to all the newly unemployed cab drivers? How will this affect the unemployment line? How this affects family households? How it impacts society ?
What about people working in insurance, nurses and doctors not having all those crippled and hurt people. Psychical therapists, auto body people, repair shops won't be getting business from the fleets that will replace a lot of cars individual won't want anymore. Millions of truck drivers and the truck stops that support them. Robot cars won't go in but will only fuel up. Lot more things going to happen than people think about
Just keep pushing the sustainability agenda 21/30/40 & 50!
In the petrol stations at night there is no people,only machines brings unemploiment
This way the powers that be can keep track of all of our movement at the very moment we do it.
The government revenue from vehicle and driving taxes with fewer drivers driving will cause something like property taxes to increase.
Interesting that now more than three years later, autonomous vehicles are still very much in uncertain performance. Still a long way to go.
Finally alcoholics can drive home! This is awesome 🤩!
Man that means I will have to clean my car out every day!
There are a lot of unchallenged assumptions in this video, but I'm glad to say the presenter recognizes the need for foresight and the need to anticipate unintended and undesirable effects of this new technology. No new technology enters the wilds of human society without unintended or undesirable consequences. And, as Larco notes, there will be cascading effects. Take the insurance industry, for example: if an autonomous vehicle gets in an accident, whose fault is it and whose insurance covers the accident?
Larco addresses autonomous vehicles as inevitable, and there are good reasons to want them . . . but are they really inevitable? As one who studies technological innovation, I see that it's easy to be taken in by the shiny new technology and the idea of technological inevitability; however, as Rogers made clear in his classic Diffusion of Innovation, there have been a lot of technologies that initially looked like they'd take over the world, only to fail because they never reached the critical mass necessary to make their progress through society self-sustaining. Many of these technologies never appealed to people outside innovators and some early adopters (weren't we all supposed to be riding Segways to work by now?). Other technologies failed to take off because they contradicted existing social constructions of how things work in our world: even a technology as simple to adopt -- and already well-known -- as boiling water can be rejected because the new reason for adopting it doesn't account for the existing social construction for why you should boil water.
The point is that until we deal with the social construction of "cars" and "personal freedom" and a number of other social construction issues, autonomous vehicles will remain a shiny possibility waiting realization. Because until we recognize that there are hosts of laws that have to change; economic models of production and consumption that must be factored in; deeply vested interests that have power to resist new technologies; and varied, differing social constructions of human living environments, autonomous vehicles may remain nothing more than technological curiosities that leave people wondering, "Why don't we have self-driving cars? They promised us self-driving cars!" Just like the IBM ads from the mid 1990s . . . .
I'm still waiting for my flying car . . . .
This is a nice argument. Thanks for sharing. I mostly agree with you and am glad to see the role of marketing to create need and ultimately, demand.
I agree. But I think that the key aspects of car ownership are not affected by autonomous vehicles. The trust in their safety is the biggest hurdle. Once that is resolved, the investment is so frat that car manufacturers and other companies pushing them will ensure their deployment (safety notwithstanding).
HOW they will affect our lives is tougher to predict
Autonomous vehicles are inevitable. It is a matter of time. Everyone things it will be mid-2020s, too. They already work perfectly on closed roads. The humans are the limiting factors right now. It would only take one city to ban human drivers in a city center for that technology to be used effectively.
Insurance? That’s easy. Everyone will still be required to have insurance but rates will be really cheap. I would think your insurance would cover your vehicle and passengers only.
Interesting talk. Flaky audio levels. (:-(
Look forward to seeing the retraining plan they have for 25 million truck drivers
Autonomous American President?!?! 🤔
Autonomis humans😥
That failed already. Maybe in the future?
Enter distributed governance
My question is what will we do with our cars.?
Tidal Yacht, That’s for Sure! I wouldn’t want to give mine up.😊♥️✌️
You'll keep them. The full transition will probably take many decades.
Self-driving cars will affect all basic prices everywhere. Reallocation of the resources will be enormous. Fall of Detroit is nothing in comparison to what's coming
A self driving car if has to decide whom to save in case of an accident, who will save and why?
The answer isn't jacking up taxes on everything. The answer is ratcheting down our expenses as cities. Cities are far too expensive and the cost of living needs to come down significantly. Without a car, LA becomes much more affordable. I see mobile hotel rooms that autonomously pick up guests from the airport and link into scaffolding pods. Or people hire out their own cars to work for them while they themselves are at work. The streets will be busier but the parking lots will be empty. Wonderful. We need more housing for the thousands who are pouring into Los Angeles everyday. The challenge is to make our cities easier and cheaper to maintain.
By the way, flying cars will be quick on the heels of this. We already have them - we call them drones right now.
This should be good news for people in America, that way they can commute further and spend less money on housing. I am thinking this technology is going to keep some people from living out of their car.
AVs are very important, however, when you discuss some of the cons with it, I guess the Auto industry experts might also worried about their sales. As you have more cars to share the rides (especially when they are in parking and can be used/shared by others) Car-sale will go down and it will affect automakers business and eventually will also affect the jobs in the Auto industry as well. (We should not try to control "AV technology" to develop but need to think on other aspects as well)
I can't wait to not drive myself anymore. Imagine all that extra time!!! What would you do in the car, once you don't have to drive? :) By the way, I think we adopt new technologies faster cause infrastructure can be provided faster these days.
If you're not interested in driving just get on a bus.
If there would be a bus system that doesn't take 3 times longer, that doesn't involve changing several times and waiting inbetween. Yes, I would consider that - good point!
Just not all that interested yet. If I lived in an urban area, it makes sense.
I don't wanna be killed by a car.
I'll be really car-eful. 🚗
For those who want, it will reduce the immense cost of mobility by at least 50%. Now bring down the immense cost of housing by 50% and we have the golden era!
@jan simonides banned from driving? container?
@jan simonides was great discussing with you
I AM A TAXI DRIVER IN SPAIN ,ARE YOU GOING TO PAY MY SALARY
Invest in morpheus network so you can have yourself set financially for the future... give your life to Jesus Christ to have yourself set up spiritually and for eternity.
Wtf geralt why u are talking about cars
he forgot his swords at the dry cleaner again
I was looking for that kind of comment 😂😂
Don't you get it? He's doing this for Roach..
No more parking lots and no garage.
I wish somebody would have tought ahead of time all of the problems that uber is caused
Imagine a world where everything is done for us. There's a sense of fullfillment that goes unnoticed and is taken for granted that we get we accomplish tasks on our own..even small miniscule ones. Our brains are made to complete tasks, and we gain gratification from doing them.
What do you think will happen once more and more of our fullfillment is stripped away? I see employment rates dipping, depression rates increasing, more social isolation, which is going to lead to a degradation of our society. I could be completely wrong, im open minded and willing to embrace change; but at this moment in time this is my opinion.
It's honestly a little scary to think of it; and while it may be EXCITING and NEW, the buzz will wear off and we'll all come down from this new high. Just as history repeats itself we'll continue to wonder where the good ol days went when times were 'better'.
(Being 23 ain't easy man, I actually have to use my hands to pick up my phones so i can call Optimus to give me a ride.)
You're ok with tens of thousands of people dying every year(in the US alone)in car crashes just so people can have a sense of fulfillment?
Whenever I drive, I never use the cruise control of the air conditioned. I don't mind a driver's assistant but I'm not about to let a car drive for me even if statistically, it may be at some point "safer" than a person driving. I believe most accidents are caused by reckless drivers or by people who don't pay enough attention when they drive.
i need a google self driving car now please
Geralt in a suit is damn hot
Can they still suspend ur LISCENSE if ur not actually driving car haha
They can but it wont matter tho
If an autonomous vehicle is programmed to never exceed the speed limit of the road, avoids all possible accident scenarios, is not capable of driving recklessly and can not be parked in a non designated area .... Cities, counties, states and provinces will loose a revenue stream of many hundreds of millions of dollars.
how about all the people that judge you on what type of car you drive? lol
I get where the speaker is coming from, and agree with a decent amount of what he's said, but the analysis of what needs to be done is what I disagree with. The "getting people prepared for what's going to happen" seems counter productive. When do we see bureaucracy like this ending up being a good thing? I for one am happy that engineers are pushing to make the technology and forcing it onto the community through market's demand and supply, rather than trying to find a political / social way of inserting it.
Imagine a car full of dogs driving around
Feels like a sales pitch.
It's totally a sales pitch. Corporations want you out of your personal vehicles and into public transport or these self-driving systems. You pay them when you need to go somewhere. Think about how much money they'll rake in when everyone is forced to subscribe to a ride sharing system; money straight into their pockets. For those who don't comply, carbon taxes.
I think there are two assumptions, which aren’t quite correct in that presentation.
1. Assuming that we are going to adapt Autonomous vehicles very fast ,because our technological adaption rate has enormously increased with time. I think this is a really wrong assumption. First there are way more technologies that economically failed than that that has actually succeeded. Second The comparison of cell phones to telephone as an example doesn’t consider the price difference between both devices. The telephone had clearly a larger value at its time than the cell phone and therefore it would cost more, thus slowing the adaption rate
2. Assuming that we somehow actually adapted autonomous vehicles, we won’t actually adapt a fully automatic vehicle. I don’t think that a human being can trust, what it doesn’t understand. Most people will never understand the technology behind these vehicles and therefore they will always assume that everything is possible. Take planes as an example, they are fully automated since more than 10 years, however passengers can’t take a plane without a pilot. I do think that autonomous driving is possibly economic, but only as an option, not the main way we are going to drive our cars.
I think fully autonomous cars would be the future but it will take years for us going through semi autonomous cars to get use to the idea. Our ancestors weren’t used to horseless carriages however they started to use cars.
Technology like Amazon Fresh stores, AI would make us get use to the fact that a car can be fully autonomous in built up areas.
Cities will become more attractive. The noise and pollution will dramatically diminish with EV's, the safety will increase. Selfdriving service will be better in cities. The freed up parking space will likely get divided into more green spaces, seperate biking lanes and habitation and commercial spaces. The increased density generally also means more cultural and commercial services become viable. So quality of life will increase inside cities.
This talk should hopefully raise awareness and frighten people. Not about autonomous vehicles, mind you - but about these "enlightened" city planners with authoritarian mindsets who see you and your property (both real and personal) as subjects over which they seek to exert complete control with or without your acquiescence. There is an agenda at work here, in case you hadn't noticed - to herd our citizenry into clusters and to assert absolute and dictatorial control by means of monopolistic direction of the infrastructure. Be afraid, fellow citizens. Be very afraid.
How do you deal with people who like to drive specific cars for pleasure?
It'll be a hobby. Serious hobbyists will go to the racetrack on the weekends, like they already do.
I want sublitle turkish
Siktir git!
Early af
If everyone switches to autonomous vehicles you'd still need all those parking spaces. If everyone starts using uber and lyft services then you'd need fewer parking spaces. But then you kill all those jobs.
So weird to watch this is 2021 and listen to him talking about commuting to work in the future. Clearly, this is going away too.
Especially once AR/VR get better. You’ll be able to go to work and see coworkers simply by putting on goggles. Think Zoom but virtually.
Things are about to get weird in the next 40 years. It’s going to be like the jump from 1900 to 1940.
*Try to be a rainbow in someone's cloud.*
*OKAY*
DiscoverYourAwesomeness, Awesome!♥️ Keep spreading Sunshine, wherever we go!😊♥️✌️
:))
and then, 2020 happened.
"Thus all things are doomed to change for the worse and retrograde."(Virgil)
Virgil died at 50 years of age from a disease which we could easily cure today. Good thing for us that he was wrong and that humanity makes meaningful beneficial progress.
This vehicle thing cannot keep getting bigger and bigger. Billions more cars and trucks are not the answer. Tires, oil, gas, electricity. Perhaps something nobody has even thought of yet. Teleportation? Interdimensional travel?
Elon Musk's car is the future
Wow, you barely scratched the surface of how AV will change the world! Think of amazon! Malls are already closing down because of Amazon's increased growth. Walmart is already planning on building less and changing their model to the same as Amazons. What does that have to do with autonomous vehicles? Allot, Amazon is a huge investor in autonomous and artificial intelligence design. Imagine rather than driving to Walmart for groceries, you simply order from your phone, a warehouse full of autonomous robots loads your order, stacks it onto an AV and it gets delivered to your door. Phoenix AZ already has a dominoes pizza joint that makes pizzas autonomously AND delivers it to your house via an autonomous vehicle. The semi truck industry IS tapping into autonomous semi trucks that are currently in the testing process. The list goes on and on, so what are we going to do about the loss of jobs as AI an autonomous vehicles take over? That is the big question.
Obviously he will not cover all of these topics in a simple video when introducing this to many new viewers
I think the large emphasis on how parking spaces will be needed less due to autonomous vehicles is not quite relevant/correct to this talk. Any increase in use of taxis, ubers or paid transportation from a vehicle that is not your own would reduce the need for parking spaces. Whether the vehicle is autonomous or not, will not effect this.
This didn't "just happen to us." Our current living arrangement (suburbia) was well-planned and deployed as part of a very organized and structured effort. AV planning is already ongoing and lobbyists are prepping to mobilize new rules that enhance and enable increased decentralization, which supports industries that enable and benefit from decentralization.
There's simply no future, the working class is just screwed by these rich dreams!
nice hair
What about when criminals figure out how to control your car and then program it to drive where they want it and rob you blind?
But you don’t need to maintain roads do you? Just give it legs, they have robots that can walk now.
Don't drive for me Argentina
Gesù caneee
Weak speculations
Autonomous vehicles means the doom of individual cars on long term and mass transportation
If you don't drive you will not need a car
anyway there will be other social developments with bigger impact on communities
Well that's one way for the gov't to
Keep an eye on the people. No
Thanks. I like my freedom. Better
some fenders Bender's and not
control.
Yeah, no. I'd love to see autonomous cars in my life time. But given we can't seem to make a comparatively simple transition to electric cars despite the first one being developed almost 200 years ago (yep, 1828 dreamers), I think the hype around autonomous cars outstrips the reality by a country mile.
By far the biggest impact AVs will have will be on the political economy. AV trucks will be adopted just as quickly as they can be built. Taxis will be almost as swift second only to car-sharing.
3 million drivers will be out of work in a space of 2 years. Secondary jobs, hundreds of thousands, will be gone in 3 years. Retraining will put about 4,000 of the newly unemployed back into a new field, about .1% effectiveness.
Massive joblessness will be layered on top of an existing populist movement. Right-wingers, Republicans will lead a parade of persecuting minorities. The Progressives will try to lead a revolution akin to the French revolution. Battle lines will be drawn between racism and classism.
That was depressing!! 😔
I can't think of any recent (last 200 years) technological innovation that was improved (lower price or better performance etc) by having 'government' regulations and or control (some regulation is useful). So I don't see AV regulations creeping into other areas. Social problems will get solved as they arise; some good some bad. Markets forces are not very predictable even though the speaker says they are
I don't understand why people think we will no longer own our own cars, and we will some how start booking cars in advance, I much rather jump in the car when I need to with out waiting 5-10 or 15 min for it to arrive, and then having to put the kids car seats in etc...
everyones gonna get sooooooooo wasted! more intoxication and socialization in natural beauty
Honking Car Locking Wakes People Up and Causes Health Stress for People with PTSD, Cardiac Disease, High Blood Pressure, Migraines, and More.
Please Lock Cars Quietly for Your Neighbors Peace of Mind and Sleep. Thank You.