@@Vibe4ant but you're still gonna give me some money right? consider it a loan until we solve the whole humans that hate science, economics, and climate change problem.
What a thought-provoking piece! Although this is probably Tony's most accessible video, it is worth watching several times to grasp the implications and opportunities for society.
The most worthwhile thought provoking 32 minutes I've spent on TH-cam EVER. Encourage all you know to watch this and then send on to everyone they know.
If only you had seen the content TH-cam has hidden from u with shadow banning, the users shunning the likes of me & banning outright as well as the content that's been deleted.
Existential dread is natural and I feel it too, its just our body telling us to be careful when going into the unknown. Yes we have risk of nuclear war climate collapse etc, but if you look at the graphs and follow Seba's work, collapses are of course a drop in quality of life compared to what was previous, but even collapses don't go all the way back to the stone age, they usually result in a 25% dip in base metrics of quality. This is a dark point, and depends on your personality, for me accepting an impending collapse helps me stay calm enough to chart a positive way forward to help avoid it. If I'm too afraid of the collapse, I shut down and can't work to prevent it. I work in transforming our energy systems, so I definitely can't be shutting down and need to do my part to break through to the positive new age. Hope this helps, I think compassion and empathy will also be a new part of the new age based on creation. So yeah I empathize with your fear but we have lots to look forward to as well! Edit: looks like I basically used more words to agree with you:)
The EV revolution is happening even faster than even Tesla imagined. Long wait lists are now evident for all of Tesla's models. ICE vehicles are now obsolete.
Nothing is happening faster than anyone imagined. You're just ignorant of history: electric cars have been around since before the internal combustion engine automobile.
I mean we’re living in a utopia especially if you’re in any first world country. You can stay at home, work, earn money, buy food and have it delivered to your house, buy products that come directly to your house, you never have to step out of your home. That was unimaginable just 20-30 years ago.
There has been. TH-cam is trimming the numbers to keep it from propagating in their algorithm. It was over 500k a few months ago. Can't have people thinking their is an alternative to slavery. The last time that happened it led to the French Revolution.
That entire section is utterly ahistorical. (In fact, this video is complete bullshit - it 's a marketing pitch for his scam consultancy.) Bicycles were already displacing horses for personal conveyance (the automobile relied on multiple technologies first developed and used for bicycles, some of which are even cited here, like pneumatic rubber tires), paved roads existed long before the first cars, and the horse was never humanity's primary means of transit in the first place - for trips-taken, that would be walking, almost everywhere, while for kilogram-meters of goods moved, it's boats, back to antiquity. Long-distance freight transportation (and human mass transit) was primarily done by rail by the time cars overtook horses in market share. Almost nothing in that section is accurate: it's like an eight-year-old's understanding of transit technology history gleaned from one grade-school book chapter. The primary "insight" of the video is 1) trite - almost every scammy "entrepreneur" asshole has been talking "disruption" and the rest of the buzzword wordsalad that makes up the entirety of the meaningless "Part 1" for forty years; and 2) wrong - all of these changes are actually long-term transitions that occur slowly. Steam-powered and electric cars were used (though not widely, as public sentiment against them led to bans in many places) for almost 100 years before the first successful internal combustion engine automobile. That is not a rapid "phase change". The "phase change disruption" is just describing MARKET SHARE CAPTURE BY A NEW CAPITALIST FIRM. It's not a law of economics or technology or history, it's an obvious, well-known pattern describing how the transition to a new dominant firm displacing an old one occurs in a given market sector. It's a consequence of our laws, not anything material - we could literally change that pattern tomorrow if we wanted, because it's based on something completely socially constructed.
A time of wonder is upon us. There are those who will be confuse by these claims, and then there willbe those who have finally found other kindered spirits. This is the force of change cannot be ignored or avoided.
“It’s time to stop fixing the old and start building the new.” Gonna tattoo that on my brain. “We must fly the airplane while we build it.” So so right. Thx.
Thanks for doing this. Together with your book it has given me clarity about what’s happening in the world today. The following quote is so true: “ the belief that our current system can continue is worse than a mirage, it’s a road to hell paved with good intentions”
Thanks to Tony and his team. Ultimately it was Tony who inspired me to put 100% of my RRSP into Tesla almost three years ago. The next decade is going to be fun! Hang on and enjoy the ride everyone….
Our leaders make the problem increasingly more difficult. Because of the underlying corruption within our systems. A change of heart and mind is required for our species to get through the next change.
Superb. Not too hard to guess which possible future will appeal to the vast majority of people! I feel fortunate to be witnessing this transformation first hand. Bring it on.
To get where you're going, you need a map. This is sort of a brainstorm for how to build the map we need. Slipping the leash of mere detail, it runs out into the wider space where imagination can flourish unconstrained. Profoundly hopeful. Despite the necessary absence of specificities, it builds from past human experience to envision human civilization after our current reality of slash, burn and move on industrialisation. Definitely worth sharing widely.
This is real. The problems outlined are happening now. I think their view of history as convergences leading to innovations overlooks the social forces of conflict. And that is why I am resistant to the optimistic vision of the future, enabled by technology. It conveniently preserves existing privilege and wealth, and, crucially, the mindset that brought us to this moment. We should be clear, there is a good chance at this point of unmanaged collapse and death spiral. Yet, I would welcome being wrong. What’s key is to acknowledge the exhaustion of the status-quo, and plan cooperatively for a common future. Change is now inevitable, but not the contours of that change. What terrifies me is the total abdication of leadership, a public discourse focused on past conflicts, and plans being made for world that won’t exist. So while they may be overpromising here, they are asking the right questions, and that is a debate worth having.
You have expressed exactly my thoughts and feelings. As a socialist myself, I’m too aware of power dynamics and material realities to jump into blind optimism. Having said that, and assuming the predictions exposed in this video come to fruition, I’m eager to see it. While the authors of this video don’t use the framework I’m most familiar with, if we achieve these changes then private ownership of the means of production would be pretty useless when needs can be cheaply met. True freedom for all would be the norm. That’s a future I long to see.
with abundance and distributed, local, more democratic production, as with home rooftop solar pv generation of energy vrs centralised mega-companies with no real competition, im not so worried. But frankly, i will also grab onto hope. I need to be able to function in today's world XD The majority of people dont want conflict. Conflict naturally happens due to lack of food, water, soil fertility and religion. I think we might see localised societal collapse/resource wars etc in parts of the world where those are already scarce and countries low on the socio-economic scale and of course mass immigration, but 'new' lands will also open up, such as greenland and northern parts of canada and russia. I think at worst, we in higher socio-economic countries might end up with more draconian governing, esp during the more acute phases of transition and while the climate destabilises and finds a new equilibrium, but i think the stuff we need and want for a moderate life will be more equally distributed, less inequality than in todays world. I am less worried about what our gov will look like vrs habitable climate. I would rather be a slave in babylonian times than free in a post-modern apocalyptic world XD
The biggest challenge is going to be coping with the powerful few who have everything to gain from the status quo, and very little to gain from this new paradigm.
IMPORTANT This change depends on the desire to help others instead of always getting the upper hand. If you want this change you have to foster altruism by advocating altruism, organising it with free collaboration networks and teaching others to foster altruism. If you do this seriously you will see great improvements right away in your community and society.
Loved this. We have seen how quickly we have changed during this pandemic. Change is driven from without. We have the technologies. Just a bit worried-no mention of Justice, Values, culture, Ethics, Leisure.
The article works well in discussing collapse of societies. It discusses technological breakthroughs that have helped society advance. However, it makes the same tired mistake of equating technological breakthroughs with solving society collapse. I doubt that any technology has ever prevented a country’s collapse. The only social function humans have to-date to prevent collapse is: revolution. Societal collapse is sometimes a product of running out of resources, like the Mayans or Aztecs. But most of the time it is due to (what we all intuitively know): 1) Centralization of money & power (Money gives more power to the billionaires who can bribe anyone. They influence our politicians to give them even more money and power, widening the social inequality, destabilizing the civilization) 2) Dirty, divisive politics (those in government, corporations, and the wealthy who serve them) 3) Increasing domination by the super-rich 4) Societal imbalance, serving mainly the super-rich, leads to eventual collapse of the civilization, due to ignoring looming problems, food shortages or global warming, etc We don’t need a new technology, but a new social function similar to the invention of democracy, where a society in collapse can reset the imbalance of billionaires and toxic politics. Revolution is one mechanism, but that takes courage, and the will to put down your smartphone and actively resist the power structure. Those who have struggled to gain power will never willingly give it up. The societal collapse and revolution are the only reset buttons humans have discovered over the last 30,000 years. Collapse not a technology issue, it’s a social issue.
"A little rebellion, now and then, is a good thing, and as necessary in the political world as storms [are] in the physical [world]." --- Thomas Jefferson, 1787.”
Scary and exciting in equal measure. I have so many questions and just want to show to others to create enthusiasm to join and take the leap. I need to watch again and again, read more and find how to convince others. Thank you!
This a video that isn't biased, it just shows you where humanity really is despite what you think or what your opinion is. it just doesn't care if throwing all the facts and data in your face is something you can handle or not, nonetheless, it just does it. this is a video of utmost importance! this is a video that at least 100s of millions of people must see for the sake of humanity's consciousness... Edit: only the elites would dislike this video.
Yeah because elites with sociopathic tendencies were successful in the old system. I think we should actually start working to "appreciate them for their services in the 20th century", instead of just switching to rebel against them. When I apply some empathy, I realize it's probably super confusing for them, because their actions have been praised by the old mindset for so long.
Here almost 2 years later now. Sad to see that this video, which emphasizes that the change to come will not be like change before, only has 81.6k views while Ray Dhalio's, "Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order" video, which emphasizes that change to come will be like it was in the previous 500 years, has 39,913k views (39.9million). This contrast in the number of views is evidence to support the idea that more people are making future projections based on traditional frameworks and models than people who are making future projections based on new and innovative frameworks and models. However, understanding that traditional frameworks and models may be important to helping build bridges between them and the possible new age of creation.
Amazing, this is the one of the most thought provoking piece I have listened on youtube, there is hope from the scenario pointed out, as James mentioned this is the first time in the history that we have ability to chart a better future, we can learn from the mistakes of our ancestors and construct a future which benefits planet and people and move away from the extractive past, but I wonder if the short-sightedness of people in power and legislatures would grasp this opportunity?
Amazing video and it does a great job educating through the many different learning styles so that a wide scope of people will be able to understand it and help create that new age. - I will be distilling this information down and presenting it to Realtors as to why I left a legacy brokerage to join EXP because EXP sees this disruption and wants to help families and communities thrive through the change.
7:40 The rise of agriculture coincides with a period of exceptional Sun stability. Meaning it had been invented & experimented with for a long time, but the environment kept it non-viable at scale.
There's a few things in here like that. Mostly true, but missing a key perspective. Like the post Rome dark age had more to do with collapse in agriculture due to volcanic eruptions and another Solar minimum than anything sociopolitical. Hell, I'm still not convinced climate change is anything more than a prolonged solar maximum. The baseline measure is "pre-industrial levels", but we were coming out of a little ice age immediately prior to the Industrial Revolution. We should still stop polluting, of course, but do humans really have that much power over the planet? I don't think the premise of the video is wrong, but globalism is not the answer. After all, decentralizing everything is a direct competitor to globalism. The bureaucrats in whatever government, be it local or global, will actively fight against the things that give their constituents *real* freedom from the influence of the bureaucrat.
we need to reverse the value system we have to place humans above everything else, specially money once we make that change and have the right value system, we will make the correct economic theories, political systems, institutional structures and policy frameworks we have followed a value system where money, capital, wealth, profits were the most important thing since the first industrial revolution; but now we have come to the end of its life the edifice that we built was on a crocked foundation it is now time to redo that foundation
Meanwhile the deeeeeppplyyyy corrupted United States government be like: let’s give incentives to hybrids while snubbing Tesla and investigating them for crime 🤪🤪
@@harsimranbansal5355 data doesnt lie and will win out…it’s still depressing so many people are actively trying to inhibit the worlds greatest mind using ALL THESE converging technologies to better all human kind. It’s mind blowing
Governments only purpose has always been to control and appease the masses, while their value was extracted from them. Regardless of the social/economic/political system of their respective time periods. We live in an illusion of freedom, within an invisible monetary jail cell.
I would suggest that soil degradation is the primary cause of these ancient civilisations failing. The farmers around the first towns and cities chopped down the trees to create pasture. Then their goats cropped the vegetation down to soil level. The remaining vegetation was then trampled by livestock into bare patches of soil. Next the wind lifted the soil - or the rains washed it away into the rivers. This is what happened with the civilisations in the Middle East and eastern and northern Africa (Egypt and Carthage) -today - all areas of dry desert. And because the Romans had degraded their own lands - they had to import their grain from North Africa. Today we can see this happening in southern Madagascar, amongst other places, where rainforests were cleared less than two decades ago, the grassland cover then destroyed by goats, and today - the dry soils are being ripped away by winds. This is not the effects of global warming - this is the stupidity of mankind.
The most important thing to make all of this 'work' would be to make it financially worthwhile for people to SHARE the jobs we would agree we NEED people to do and work much LESS.
Absolutely OUTSTANDING presentation of a bright and refreshing VISION of a prosperous future full of Abundance! -- I only wish and hope President BIDEN & V.P. Kamala Harris could see this presentation. Thank you for all your obvious hard work. EXCELLENT!
Sweeping away dairy and meat industries is the best step ever and will end most chronic diseases but let mother nature provide us with protein, nutrients and phytonutrients via traditionally grown plants please! Don’t screw up our food supply. Unfortunately all to late for me but hopeful for my children ❤️
8:18 Grow or be outgrown, that's totally different from the idea of civilisation collapse you shared at the beginning. Here it's just competition, humanity as a whole will always benefit from it.
I owe a great deal to playing the Civ games for PC. Here I am retired at 28 heavily invested into these tidal waves coming…sit back and enjoy the ride investors.
@@DocOrtmeyer haha games used to provide some education or require basic prefrontal cortex use but now it’s flashing lights, dopamine kicks and reaction times.
He's the only one out of the 5 major industries that I completely trust hopefully there will be a few more that will follow in elon's footsteps We need to more people to move away from the the old way of doing things
The complexity of social systems requires a technical area understood by EVERYONE not vague political notions based on personal preference and old languages
Dear Sirs, I just rewatched your TH-cam production, “Rethinking Humanity - A Film by RethinkX”. I have been watching Adam Dorr’s series, “Brighter” (I previously read the book) and I noticed a new category of disruption not mentioned in this original production: Labor. (You seem to be continually “rethinking” 😊). I wanted to share my thoughts on this new category: Economic productivity has always been limited by demographics--specifically, the number of qualified workers available to do the many tasks required. Consequently, productive wealth has usually been limited to growth of a few percentage points annually, and in very unusual circumstances a bit more than ten percent annually. And economics has always been about managing scarcity. This is prelude to saying I do not fear the unemployment that AI and robotics will bring. Obviously, the economic cycle requires both supply and demand to function, so there seems to be a paradox: AI and robotics eliminate the labor limit on supply--it can grow explosively by devoting a substantial portion of output to new productive capacity; but simultaneously, it destroys demand by eliminating wage income. Hence UBI in some sense becomes essential. And since demand must be commensurate with supply, the “Basic” in UBI will not imply something meager. It must grow with the exploding growth to be effective in completing the economic cycle. The obvious source of revenue for UBI would be a tax on the commercial use of robots. A portion of what would otherwise be used to pay a human worker would be used to pay the tax. And since, in time, there will be many robots for each former wage earner, this revenue will be very ample. Of course, a great portion of the demand will be communal, such as stopping the damage to the biosphere and then repairing it, as discussed by Adam Dorr in Brighter. The Labor disruption seems to directly address the danger of “crashing upward” you mentioned. The “Universal” in UBI means “Global”. Diplomacy supported by massive “Marshall Plans” might be used to share the economic model of abundance around the world. That should make international politics (as well as local and regional politics) much more benevolent. We will have to deal with cultural issues. Religiously conservatives may quote Genesis 3:19. "In the sweat of thy face shalt thou eat bread." We are on the verge of this becoming obsolete. An echo of this sentiment is found in the disparagement of "the dole", and the supposedly necessary association of wage labor with meaning in life. Adam Dorr, in Brighter, distinguishes between toil and work. Toil is what most people (and more generally, most animals!) have had to do to "make a living", but work can be refocused on doing what does give meaning to our lives. Economics becomes redefined from management of scarcity to management of abundance. The new mind-set of abundance will have profoundly positive consequences. Think of Steven Pinker’s book “The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined”. The process he describes is driven by economic improvement of the general human condition, driven historically by the Industrial Revolution. With the coming Labor disruption, we may hope that sociopathy will largely disappear in an environment of comprehensive prosperity. Together with the other disruptions I have hope that a profound biophilia will become the worldwide personal norm. What will people do with their time? Some people are fortunate enough to have employment that they love, and that gives them personal meaning. They may continue such activities, not to “make a living” but avocationally: doing what they want to do for personal fulfillment. Some items (e.g., original works of great art) by their very nature must remain “scarce” and represent an exception to the economy of abundance. Everyone will be free to work for money in pursuit of these exceptional items. We need a disruption in education, with AI and Robotics together with human teachers participating because it’s what they love to do. It will be individually focused on each student to nourish their interests and talents. There will be a temporary problem of the currently poorly educated adult that will need to be addressed, but it will be temporary. A portion of the commercial robot tax revenue could be directed to funding remedial programs to support these people.
3 mins in look at his eyes. I've seen those eyes so many times . Never once for good . Am I the only one that sees it ??? I could b wrong . Becareful of the people who are trying to bring the new in. Power is still to b taken and ambition is a tool. They could b friend or foe even if the message has some good in it . We are desperate so now more than ever is the time to get it right otherwise we fail our grandkids kids . Yes it's needs to change . Out of the pan into the fire
The current productive systems obviously have significant momentum. Even when economic incentives favour the disruption there may be elements of the productive and organisational systems that recognise opportunities in the short term to take advantage of that momentum. Will that delay the disruption significantly? Love your work.
We standing on the edge of chaos...we will either crash or prosper. ...we need to reimagine the future...time to stop fixing the old and building the new.
I think we also need to think about competing land uses and potential damage to the ecosystem (transmission and distribution grid infrastructure as well). These tend to not be factored into the financial models of renewables. Solar and wind farms take up a lot of spaces. A 100% renewable future seems to work fine in theory if you have unlimited land area with no other competing use cases. But like in anything else you never want to put all your eggs in one basket. We’ll need some diversification into hydro, geothermal, nuclear, tidal energy, and possibly carbon capture storage if we want to pursue zero carbon future and also protect the ecosystem. We don’t want to end up creating a solar-powered dystopia like the one in Blade Runner 2049.
Amazing insights. A civilisation always has a choice either to preserve a status quo (e.g. cancellation culture) and collapse or to transform: energy, AI, transportation will be the first wave and information exchange (Neuralink) and agriculture (planetary degradation will continue for the next 20 years) to be the second. Plus becoming multiplanetary around 30s-40s. Despite of the ups and downs the civilisation has always been moving to reducing the “needing” threshold to achieve the age of abundance to liberate itself. Today, there is such an opportunity: increasing sustainability with accumulation of capital needed for future transitions (should be balanced though with stock market to be the most democratic solution currently). Populist governments which were well suited for the industrial mass production of the 20th century would have to transform to become more of coordinator CEOs (due to the rise of a household sustainability). It would have to abandon the cancellation culture and be open to listen to all voices since people would become more independent. Then it could be extrapolated internationally to follow as a northern star. PS. A centralised civilisation is always prioritising either land (resources) or people (slaves, feudalism, communism) as an asset. Cancellation culture was the first bell. Mars colonisation (land expansion), sustainable energy (resources expansion), AI (productivity expansion) should balance the situation for the next 20 years so the “system” should not opt going for people. It indeed needs some revectoring.
There is one point I don't agree with and that is decentralizing power generation. While you can use solar panels for individual households, solar energy might not be viable in cold countries. In such countries, we need centralized power stations. Nuclear reactors can be provided only with government/nation support. Also, geothermal energy cannot be utilized/exploited by individual households. You need national-wide projects. The point is, some approaches work in some situations, other approaches in others.
Yes probably a mixture of solutions though even Nuclear (hopefully Fusion soon) can be somewhat decentralized with cheaper modular reactors that are much smaller and can be built in half the time of the full scale ones.
Solar will be so cheap that it will be more expensive to just pay for the transport of electricity than to put up solar panels on your roof, even if you’re in Norway. It’s going to happen, the limitation will be production.
![The Great Transformation [Part 1] - Patterns of Change, Key Technologies & #PhaseChangeDisruption](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/z7vhMcKvHo8/mqdefault.jpg)
Came here from solving the money problem. Great video!
how'd you do it, can i get some?
@@jthadcast it's a TH-cam channel
@@Vibe4ant but you're still gonna give me some money right? consider it a loan until we solve the whole humans that hate science, economics, and climate change problem.
Me too. Subscribed !
Me too! Solving the Money Problem is a great channel.
What a thought-provoking piece! Although this is probably Tony's most accessible video, it is worth watching several times to grasp the implications and opportunities for society.
you always spew such winded surreptitiousness...?
This is so Serenity
The most worthwhile thought provoking 32 minutes I've spent on TH-cam EVER. Encourage all you know to watch this and then send on to everyone they know.
Just did that!
If only you had seen the content TH-cam has hidden from u with shadow banning, the users shunning the likes of me & banning outright as well as the content that's been deleted.
what was thought provoking about it?
This simultaneously filled me with hope and existential dread. All I know is that I need to play my part.
Existential dread is natural and I feel it too, its just our body telling us to be careful when going into the unknown. Yes we have risk of nuclear war climate collapse etc, but if you look at the graphs and follow Seba's work, collapses are of course a drop in quality of life compared to what was previous, but even collapses don't go all the way back to the stone age, they usually result in a 25% dip in base metrics of quality. This is a dark point, and depends on your personality, for me accepting an impending collapse helps me stay calm enough to chart a positive way forward to help avoid it. If I'm too afraid of the collapse, I shut down and can't work to prevent it. I work in transforming our energy systems, so I definitely can't be shutting down and need to do my part to break through to the positive new age. Hope this helps, I think compassion and empathy will also be a new part of the new age based on creation. So yeah I empathize with your fear but we have lots to look forward to as well! Edit: looks like I basically used more words to agree with you:)
This video needs to be seen by everyone. And I do mean EEVVERYYOONNE!!!
The EV revolution is happening even faster than even Tesla imagined. Long wait lists are now evident for all of Tesla's models. ICE vehicles are now obsolete.
Nothing is happening faster than anyone imagined. You're just ignorant of history: electric cars have been around since before the internal combustion engine automobile.
Looks like we’re moving right into a new era. The past transitions have led to this make or break moment. Utopia or Oblivion! Your choice
I mean we’re living in a utopia especially if you’re in any first world country. You can stay at home, work, earn money, buy food and have it delivered to your house, buy products that come directly to your house, you never have to step out of your home. That was unimaginable just 20-30 years ago.
Cannot believe there are not millions of viewers even though it was only released an hour ago! It’s absolutely brilliant!
There has been. TH-cam is trimming the numbers to keep it from propagating in their algorithm. It was over 500k a few months ago. Can't have people thinking their is an alternative to slavery. The last time that happened it led to the French Revolution.
Two years later and it’s still unknown…
"If I asked the people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses" - Henry Ford
you are misquoting, i believe those were the last words of Attila the Hun.
That entire section is utterly ahistorical. (In fact, this video is complete bullshit - it 's a marketing pitch for his scam consultancy.) Bicycles were already displacing horses for personal conveyance (the automobile relied on multiple technologies first developed and used for bicycles, some of which are even cited here, like pneumatic rubber tires), paved roads existed long before the first cars, and the horse was never humanity's primary means of transit in the first place - for trips-taken, that would be walking, almost everywhere, while for kilogram-meters of goods moved, it's boats, back to antiquity. Long-distance freight transportation (and human mass transit) was primarily done by rail by the time cars overtook horses in market share. Almost nothing in that section is accurate: it's like an eight-year-old's understanding of transit technology history gleaned from one grade-school book chapter.
The primary "insight" of the video is 1) trite - almost every scammy "entrepreneur" asshole has been talking "disruption" and the rest of the buzzword wordsalad that makes up the entirety of the meaningless "Part 1" for forty years; and 2) wrong - all of these changes are actually long-term transitions that occur slowly. Steam-powered and electric cars were used (though not widely, as public sentiment against them led to bans in many places) for almost 100 years before the first successful internal combustion engine automobile. That is not a rapid "phase change". The "phase change disruption" is just describing MARKET SHARE CAPTURE BY A NEW CAPITALIST FIRM. It's not a law of economics or technology or history, it's an obvious, well-known pattern describing how the transition to a new dominant firm displacing an old one occurs in a given market sector. It's a consequence of our laws, not anything material - we could literally change that pattern tomorrow if we wanted, because it's based on something completely socially constructed.
I like horses better
A time of wonder is upon us. There are those who will be confuse by these claims, and then there willbe those who have finally found other kindered spirits. This is the force of change cannot be ignored or avoided.
“It’s time to stop fixing the old and start building the new.” Gonna tattoo that on my brain. “We must fly the airplane while we build it.” So so right. Thx.
Thanks for doing this. Together with your book it has given me clarity about what’s happening in the world today. The following quote is so true: “ the belief that our current system can continue is worse than a mirage, it’s a road to hell paved with good intentions”
Thanks to Tony and his team. Ultimately it was Tony who inspired me to put 100% of my RRSP into Tesla almost three years ago. The next decade is going to be fun! Hang on and enjoy the ride everyone….
30 yes ago, I conceptualized search engine technology. I have been ahead of everything by 10-20yrs. NO1 LISTENED! Same thing now.
Our leaders make the problem increasingly more difficult. Because of the underlying corruption within our systems. A change of heart and mind is required for our species to get through the next change.
This is incredible. The most insightful take on the future I've seen yet.
Amazing what happens when you spend your time looking for solutions instead of dwelling on what seems to be insurmountable issues.
This was excellent, thank you!
This video should have billions of views. Billions with a b.
I don’t like videos often… But when I do… I choose ones like these… 🔥🔥🔥
Tony Seba and ReThinkX really need much more exposure. Goodness knows how long Tony has been correctly predicting the future
Superb. Not too hard to guess which possible future will appeal to the vast majority of people! I feel fortunate to be witnessing this transformation first hand. Bring it on.
To get where you're going, you need a map. This is sort of a brainstorm for how to build the map we need. Slipping the leash of mere detail, it runs out into the wider space where imagination can flourish unconstrained. Profoundly hopeful. Despite the necessary absence of specificities, it builds from past human experience to envision human civilization after our current reality of slash, burn and move on industrialisation. Definitely worth sharing widely.
This is real. The problems outlined are happening now. I think their view of history as convergences leading to innovations overlooks the social forces of conflict. And that is why I am resistant to the optimistic vision of the future, enabled by technology. It conveniently preserves existing privilege and wealth, and, crucially, the mindset that brought us to this moment. We should be clear, there is a good chance at this point of unmanaged collapse and death spiral. Yet, I would welcome being wrong. What’s key is to acknowledge the exhaustion of the status-quo, and plan cooperatively for a common future. Change is now inevitable, but not the contours of that change. What terrifies me is the total abdication of leadership, a public discourse focused on past conflicts, and plans being made for world that won’t exist. So while they may be overpromising here, they are asking the right questions, and that is a debate worth having.
You have expressed exactly my thoughts and feelings. As a socialist myself, I’m too aware of power dynamics and material realities to jump into blind optimism. Having said that, and assuming the predictions exposed in this video come to fruition, I’m eager to see it. While the authors of this video don’t use the framework I’m most familiar with, if we achieve these changes then private ownership of the means of production would be pretty useless when needs can be cheaply met. True freedom for all would be the norm. That’s a future I long to see.
with abundance and distributed, local, more democratic production, as with home rooftop solar pv generation of energy vrs centralised mega-companies with no real competition, im not so worried. But frankly, i will also grab onto hope. I need to be able to function in today's world XD
The majority of people dont want conflict. Conflict naturally happens due to lack of food, water, soil fertility and religion. I think we might see localised societal collapse/resource wars etc in parts of the world where those are already scarce and countries low on the socio-economic scale and of course mass immigration, but 'new' lands will also open up, such as greenland and northern parts of canada and russia.
I think at worst, we in higher socio-economic countries might end up with more draconian governing, esp during the more acute phases of transition and while the climate destabilises and finds a new equilibrium, but i think the stuff we need and want for a moderate life will be more equally distributed, less inequality than in todays world.
I am less worried about what our gov will look like vrs habitable climate. I would rather be a slave in babylonian times than free in a post-modern apocalyptic world XD
I don't understand why rethinx has so few subscrives. It is brillant.
Because there are not that many people that understand what the video is all about
Amazing. We need to rethink democracy it self.
The biggest challenge is going to be coping with the powerful few who have everything to gain from the status quo, and very little to gain from this new paradigm.
IMPORTANT This change depends on the desire to help others instead of always getting the upper hand. If you want this change you have to foster altruism by advocating altruism, organising it with free collaboration networks and teaching others to foster altruism. If you do this seriously you will see great improvements right away in your community and society.
The guy with the three first names sent me over
This is so inspiring I've been listening to these episodes everyday since I got it recommended on my feed
Absolutely fantastic vision! Let’s DO THIS’
Here's hoping enough people figure this out before it's too late.
Loved this. We have seen how quickly we have changed during this pandemic. Change is driven from without. We have the technologies. Just a bit worried-no mention of Justice, Values, culture, Ethics, Leisure.
Those aren’t in the purview of this analysis
Awesome! Stoked that this finally got released!
The article works well in discussing collapse of societies.
It discusses technological breakthroughs that have helped society advance.
However, it makes the same tired mistake of equating technological breakthroughs with solving society collapse. I doubt that any technology has ever prevented a country’s collapse. The only social function humans have to-date to prevent collapse is: revolution.
Societal collapse is sometimes a product of running out of resources, like the Mayans or Aztecs. But most of the time it is due to (what we all intuitively know):
1) Centralization of money & power (Money gives more power to the billionaires who can bribe anyone. They influence our politicians to give them even more money and power, widening the social inequality, destabilizing the civilization)
2) Dirty, divisive politics (those in government, corporations, and the wealthy who serve them)
3) Increasing domination by the super-rich
4) Societal imbalance, serving mainly the super-rich, leads to eventual collapse of the civilization, due to ignoring looming problems, food shortages or global warming, etc
We don’t need a new technology, but a new social function similar to the invention of democracy, where a society in collapse can reset the imbalance of billionaires and toxic politics. Revolution is one mechanism, but that takes courage, and the will to put down your smartphone and actively resist the power structure. Those who have struggled to gain power will never willingly give it up.
The societal collapse and revolution are the only reset buttons humans have discovered over the last 30,000 years.
Collapse not a technology issue, it’s a social issue.
"A little rebellion, now and then, is a good thing, and as necessary in the political world as storms [are] in the physical [world]."
--- Thomas Jefferson, 1787.”
Who’s watching this after “ Solving The Money Problem” video?
This was amazing. WOW! Thank you!
Scary and exciting in equal measure. I have so many questions and just want to show to others to create enthusiasm to join and take the leap. I need to watch again and again, read more and find how to convince others. Thank you!
Where would we be now if Edison and Ford had been allowed to continue building the Electric Model T
This a video that isn't biased, it just shows you where humanity really is despite what you think or what your opinion is. it just doesn't care if throwing all the facts and data in your face is something you can handle or not, nonetheless, it just does it. this is a video of utmost importance! this is a video that at least 100s of millions of people must see for the sake of humanity's consciousness...
Edit: only the elites would dislike this video.
Yeah because elites with sociopathic tendencies were successful in the old system. I think we should actually start working to "appreciate them for their services in the 20th century", instead of just switching to rebel against them. When I apply some empathy, I realize it's probably super confusing for them, because their actions have been praised by the old mindset for so long.
"only the elites would dislike this video" The major blind spot in this video is the power of the elites.
I want to understand this. Excellent video!, Thanks.
Here almost 2 years later now. Sad to see that this video, which emphasizes that the change to come will not be like change before, only has 81.6k views while Ray Dhalio's, "Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order" video, which emphasizes that change to come will be like it was in the previous 500 years, has 39,913k views (39.9million).
This contrast in the number of views is evidence to support the idea that more people are making future projections based on traditional frameworks and models than people who are making future projections based on new and innovative frameworks and models.
However, understanding that traditional frameworks and models may be important to helping build bridges between them and the possible new age of creation.
this video is wonderful
The book is a must read!
I have watched this 3-4 times today! I really think this message needs to get out!
Totally Amazing! A bright or dark future... what will be the outcome?
I look forward to witnessing humanities decision
Amazing, this is the one of the most thought provoking piece I have listened on youtube, there is hope from the scenario pointed out, as James mentioned this is the first time in the history that we have ability to chart a better future, we can learn from the mistakes of our ancestors and construct a future which benefits planet and people and move away from the extractive past, but I wonder if the short-sightedness of people in power and legislatures would grasp this opportunity?
Wonderful insights!
Its the most beautiful and inspiring film I have ever seen. Amazing work!
Brilliant video - I loved it
Brilliantly produced! Thank you! I want to share this widely!
Great video that shows how exiting the future can be if we grap it and allow our own thinking to change.
I feel it will take more than one North Star! I believe Elon Musk is one of these North Stars.
Absolutely.He is showing us disruption in real time and laying out an achieveable plan whilst simultananeosly acting upon it.
Save us Elon!
Thank you! Interesting, scary and mind blowing! Change is gonna come!
Amazing video and it does a great job educating through the many different learning styles so that a wide scope of people will be able to understand it and help create that new age. - I will be distilling this information down and presenting it to Realtors as to why I left a legacy brokerage to join EXP because EXP sees this disruption and wants to help families and communities thrive through the change.
Decentralized information🖖🏽❤️🌍🌏🌎
7:40 The rise of agriculture coincides with a period of exceptional Sun stability.
Meaning it had been invented & experimented with for a long time, but the environment kept it non-viable at scale.
There's a few things in here like that. Mostly true, but missing a key perspective. Like the post Rome dark age had more to do with collapse in agriculture due to volcanic eruptions and another Solar minimum than anything sociopolitical. Hell, I'm still not convinced climate change is anything more than a prolonged solar maximum. The baseline measure is "pre-industrial levels", but we were coming out of a little ice age immediately prior to the Industrial Revolution. We should still stop polluting, of course, but do humans really have that much power over the planet?
I don't think the premise of the video is wrong, but globalism is not the answer. After all, decentralizing everything is a direct competitor to globalism. The bureaucrats in whatever government, be it local or global, will actively fight against the things that give their constituents *real* freedom from the influence of the bureaucrat.
Insanely wealthy, white, mostly men, stand in the way. The system, as it is, works beautifully for them, but only them. -weezi-🙏💖🙏💜🙏🤠🙏🤔
we need to reverse the value system
we have to place humans above everything else, specially money
once we make that change and have the right value system, we will make the correct economic theories, political systems, institutional structures and policy frameworks
we have followed a value system where money, capital, wealth, profits were the most important thing since the first industrial revolution; but now we have come to the end of its life
the edifice that we built was on a crocked foundation
it is now time to redo that foundation
Well said 👏.
surely there is some simple way to get everyone on the globe to stop killing each other ... just show them this video.
17:28 We 3D print walls at most.
Full homes require much more, but this is open to modularity, prefabrication and automation.
Boxable
Meanwhile the deeeeeppplyyyy corrupted United States government be like: let’s give incentives to hybrids while snubbing Tesla and investigating them for crime 🤪🤪
It won’t matter, change will happen faster than the government can even imagine.
@@harsimranbansal5355 data doesnt lie and will win out…it’s still depressing so many people are actively trying to inhibit the worlds greatest mind using ALL THESE converging technologies to better all human kind. It’s mind blowing
@@caseydub386 true.
@@harsimranbansal5355 faster than an ICBM?
Governments only purpose has always been to control and appease the masses, while their value was extracted from them. Regardless of the social/economic/political system of their respective time periods. We live in an illusion of freedom, within an invisible monetary jail cell.
Its crazy times we live in thats for sure . We're simultaneously in a existential crisis and a explosion of creativity. Im curious whats gonna happen.
Absolutely amazing!
I would suggest that soil degradation is the primary cause of these ancient civilisations failing. The farmers around the first towns and cities chopped down the trees to create pasture. Then their goats cropped the vegetation down to soil level. The remaining vegetation was then trampled by livestock into bare patches of soil. Next the wind lifted the soil - or the rains washed it away into the rivers. This is what happened with the civilisations in the Middle East and eastern and northern Africa (Egypt and Carthage) -today - all areas of dry desert. And because the Romans had degraded their own lands - they had to import their grain from North Africa. Today we can see this happening in southern Madagascar, amongst other places, where rainforests were cleared less than two decades ago, the grassland cover then destroyed by goats, and today - the dry soils are being ripped away by winds. This is not the effects of global warming - this is the stupidity of mankind.
Hello, Please i wolud like to translate (possibly shortens version of) this video to Czech with who i can talk to? Thanks Ondrej
The most important thing to make all of this 'work' would be to make it financially worthwhile for people to SHARE the jobs we would agree we NEED people to do and work much LESS.
12:52 problem with your chart. It says manuscript vs. printed book in (millions). but only % is indicated on graph.
Great video. Can anyone point to a place to learn how the smartphone disrupted the oil industry?
Great video
Absolutely OUTSTANDING presentation of a bright and refreshing VISION of a prosperous future full of Abundance! -- I only wish and hope President BIDEN & V.P. Kamala Harris could see this presentation. Thank you for all your obvious hard work. EXCELLENT!
One of most important vids on yt with 5k views. But it will be enough
Hanomy system is that bridge ... you can review the materials on the site. Thanks.
Let’s do it!
Sweeping away dairy and meat industries is the best step ever and will end most chronic diseases but let mother nature provide us with protein, nutrients and phytonutrients via traditionally grown plants please! Don’t screw up our food supply. Unfortunately all to late for me but hopeful for my children ❤️
8:18 Grow or be outgrown, that's totally different from the idea of civilisation collapse you shared at the beginning. Here it's just competition, humanity as a whole will always benefit from it.
Please keep coming with new videos often ! 😁🙏
I owe a great deal to playing the Civ games for PC. Here I am retired at 28 heavily invested into these tidal waves coming…sit back and enjoy the ride investors.
Are you me ?
@@DocOrtmeyer haha games used to provide some education or require basic prefrontal cortex use but now it’s flashing lights, dopamine kicks and reaction times.
20:18 We already have the means of eliminating poverty, hunger, war etc.
Only poor organisation & foresight make them persist.
Bruno Mailly - Don't forget Greed!
are you free next thursday at 10?
in Elon we trust...
He's the only one out of the 5 major industries that I completely trust hopefully there will be a few more that will follow in elon's footsteps
We need to more people to move away from the the old way of doing things
BRILLIANT !!
You need AMD GPU to print any organic materials
The complexity of social systems requires a technical area understood by EVERYONE not vague political notions based on personal preference and old languages
1:45 I used to think that dreams do not come true, but this quickly changed the moment I laid my eyes on you.
Optimistic to the max !! Jesus said the poor will always be with us so we might not want to push that one.
People said that Jesus said.
Best documentary ever seen in my entire life.
Very good work. Now its our turn to spead it!
The new world and new culture comes from the new man. He is here. He will be heard this time. And very, very soon.
"Man does not live by bread alone, but by every word that proceeds from the mouth of God."
Dear Sirs,
I just rewatched your TH-cam production, “Rethinking Humanity - A Film by RethinkX”. I have been watching Adam Dorr’s series, “Brighter” (I previously read the book) and I noticed a new category of disruption not mentioned in this original production: Labor. (You seem to be continually “rethinking” 😊). I wanted to share my thoughts on this new category:
Economic productivity has always been limited by demographics--specifically, the number of qualified workers available to do the many tasks required. Consequently, productive wealth has usually been limited to growth of a few percentage points annually, and in very unusual circumstances a bit more than ten percent annually. And economics has always been about managing scarcity. This is prelude to saying I do not fear the unemployment that AI and robotics will bring. Obviously, the economic cycle requires both supply and demand to function, so there seems to be a paradox: AI and robotics eliminate the labor limit on supply--it can grow explosively by devoting a substantial portion of output to new productive capacity; but simultaneously, it destroys demand by eliminating wage income. Hence UBI in some sense becomes essential. And since demand must be commensurate with supply, the “Basic” in UBI will not imply something meager. It must grow with the exploding growth to be effective in completing the economic cycle. The obvious source of revenue for UBI would be a tax on the commercial use of robots. A portion of what would otherwise be used to pay a human worker would be used to pay the tax. And since, in time, there will be many robots for each former wage earner, this revenue will be very ample. Of course, a great portion of the demand will be communal, such as stopping the damage to the biosphere and then repairing it, as discussed by Adam Dorr in Brighter. The Labor disruption seems to directly address the danger of “crashing upward” you mentioned.
The “Universal” in UBI means “Global”. Diplomacy supported by massive “Marshall Plans” might be used to share the economic model of abundance around the world. That should make international politics (as well as local and regional politics) much more benevolent.
We will have to deal with cultural issues. Religiously conservatives may quote Genesis 3:19. "In the sweat of thy face shalt thou eat bread." We are on the verge of this becoming obsolete. An echo of this sentiment is found in the disparagement of "the dole", and the supposedly necessary association of wage labor with meaning in life. Adam Dorr, in Brighter, distinguishes between toil and work. Toil is what most people (and more generally, most animals!) have had to do to "make a living", but work can be refocused on doing what does give meaning to our lives. Economics becomes redefined from management of scarcity to management of abundance. The new mind-set of abundance will have profoundly positive consequences. Think of Steven Pinker’s book “The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined”. The process he describes is driven by economic improvement of the general human condition, driven historically by the Industrial Revolution. With the coming Labor disruption, we may hope that sociopathy will largely disappear in an environment of comprehensive prosperity. Together with the other disruptions I have hope that a profound biophilia will become the worldwide personal norm.
What will people do with their time? Some people are fortunate enough to have employment that they love, and that gives them personal meaning. They may continue such activities, not to “make a living” but avocationally: doing what they want to do for personal fulfillment. Some items (e.g., original works of great art) by their very nature must remain “scarce” and represent an exception to the economy of abundance. Everyone will be free to work for money in pursuit of these exceptional items.
We need a disruption in education, with AI and Robotics together with human teachers participating because it’s what they love to do. It will be individually focused on each student to nourish their interests and talents. There will be a temporary problem of the currently poorly educated adult that will need to be addressed, but it will be temporary. A portion of the commercial robot tax revenue could be directed to funding remedial programs to support these people.
Is there more to the book? Just wondering if I should read it after watching this video.
Epic!
@8:45, like bacteria & fungus or cancer.
3 mins in look at his eyes. I've seen those eyes so many times . Never once for good . Am I the only one that sees it ??? I could b wrong . Becareful of the people who are trying to bring the new in. Power is still to b taken and ambition is a tool. They could b friend or foe even if the message has some good in it . We are desperate so now more than ever is the time to get it right otherwise we fail our grandkids kids . Yes it's needs to change . Out of the pan into the fire
Hey, I want to be a part of this new world. Count me in.
The current productive systems obviously have significant momentum. Even when economic incentives favour the disruption there may be elements of the productive and organisational systems that recognise opportunities in the short term to take advantage of that momentum. Will that delay the disruption significantly? Love your work.
Great job guys!
We standing on the edge of chaos...we will either crash or prosper. ...we need to reimagine the future...time to stop fixing the old and building the new.
I think we also need to think about competing land uses and potential damage to the ecosystem (transmission and distribution grid infrastructure as well). These tend to not be factored into the financial models of renewables. Solar and wind farms take up a lot of spaces. A 100% renewable future seems to work fine in theory if you have unlimited land area with no other competing use cases. But like in anything else you never want to put all your eggs in one basket. We’ll need some diversification into hydro, geothermal, nuclear, tidal energy, and possibly carbon capture storage if we want to pursue zero carbon future and also protect the ecosystem. We don’t want to end up creating a solar-powered dystopia like the one in Blade Runner 2049.
Incredible.
Amazing insights.
A civilisation always has a choice either to preserve a status quo (e.g. cancellation culture) and collapse or to transform: energy, AI, transportation will be the first wave and information exchange (Neuralink) and agriculture (planetary degradation will continue for the next 20 years) to be the second. Plus becoming multiplanetary around 30s-40s.
Despite of the ups and downs the civilisation has always been moving to reducing the “needing” threshold to achieve the age of abundance to liberate itself. Today, there is such an opportunity: increasing sustainability with accumulation of capital needed for future transitions (should be balanced though with stock market to be the most democratic solution currently).
Populist governments which were well suited for the industrial mass production of the 20th century would have to transform to become more of coordinator CEOs (due to the rise of a household sustainability). It would have to abandon the cancellation culture and be open to listen to all voices since people would become more independent.
Then it could be extrapolated internationally to follow as a northern star.
PS. A centralised civilisation is always prioritising either land (resources) or people (slaves, feudalism, communism) as an asset. Cancellation culture was the first bell. Mars colonisation (land expansion), sustainable energy (resources expansion), AI (productivity expansion) should balance the situation for the next 20 years so the “system” should not opt going for people. It indeed needs some revectoring.
There is one point I don't agree with and that is decentralizing power generation.
While you can use solar panels for individual households, solar energy might not be viable in cold countries.
In such countries, we need centralized power stations. Nuclear reactors can be provided only with government/nation support.
Also, geothermal energy cannot be utilized/exploited by individual households. You need national-wide projects.
The point is, some approaches work in some situations, other approaches in others.
Yes probably a mixture of solutions though even Nuclear (hopefully Fusion soon) can be somewhat decentralized with cheaper modular reactors that are much smaller and can be built in half the time of the full scale ones.
Solar will be so cheap that it will be more expensive to just pay for the transport of electricity than to put up solar panels on your roof, even if you’re in Norway. It’s going to happen, the limitation will be production.
Now is the time!
The Space Age has finished the dress rehearsal.