Yogendra Yadav On Why The Turnout In Phase 1 of Election 2024 Was 4.6% Less Than 2019 | Barkha Dutt
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 21 เม.ย. 2024
- As the first phase of voting for 102 seats across 1 states draws to a close, Yogendra Yadav, National Convenor of the Bharat Jodo Abhiyan argues that right now its 'Advantage INDIA Bloc". He speaks to Barkha Dutt who is traveling through India from Kanyakumari to Kashmir by road with Dhabas of Democracy.
#Modi #Rahul #YogendraYadav
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Without vision Without Leader Without proper Campaign these guys want to win.😂😂😂😂
Chamcho ke bajne ki Aawas SE mein yahan Aaya....
@Calculus-sj5esaddress bta
😂😂😂
Why isnt this drop in voter turnout being seen as mirroring the apathy of indi cong leader?
those who want to vote for opposition is skiping just because they all conviced that anyway modi is coming...
It is possible that in NDA seats, the drop is because the opposition voters felt that BJP is going to win, so why vote?
Yogendra Yadav is a BJP hater. Therefore, his hypothesis may be motivated.
That is how people thinks brain.
What’s amazing is he just ignored this possibility. That in BJP seats opposition voters didn’t turn up at all, if he had said this also was a possibility, his statement would have been more valid 😂
@ambat7960
That's exactly my point.
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
Yadav knows everything EXCEPT personally how to win elections
We are going hear this nonsense until June 2024.
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
In NDA seats the opposition workers demoralized because of failure of leadership and Ram mandir boycott impact due to which the opposition voters did not turn up
Bjp has the bigger base, so a small drop won't impact them. Congress needed a larger drop. Also Congress has an older voter base so most likely Congress lost voters since 2019
Kaun hai ye log kaha se ate hai ye log what kind of absurd discussion is going on
This guy is the most shameless fellow in the history of creation, ofcourse after RaGa and Sanjay Jha..
Usually a lower voter turnout is favorable for the incumbents because people dont see much changing and so there is nothing to vote either in favor or against.
Severe heat wave in TN,
The ones who stayed back home & did not vote in the NDA held seats were the INDI voters who thought what is the point of voting ... INDI is going to lose anyway.
Barkha, he wasn't required to be called.. I never understood his logics and hypothesis.. Something wrong
w/ Mr. Yadav ">_
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
Comparison with sensex is ridiculous. Drop is largely due to frequency of election . One nation one Election. Drop is both for NDA & INDIA block .
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
What ever he predicts never comes true it happens exactly opposite
ha ha so true
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
It can be like this. The voter who believe that even if they come and vote, Modi is sure to win. Hence they might have sit at home.
This fellow will say same thing for increased voting as well
Yogendra Yadav is a versatile genius in many different ways....no sarcasm 😉
In TN all the seats registered decrease average of 3%, in contrast increase was seen where NDA is fighting to win like Coimbatore(Plus 1%), Vellore(Plus 2%)
Omg the true mass leader, the beacon of hope, the legend Gandu Yadav has spoken!
by that hypothesis; we can also assume people voted for congress in 2019 dint turnout because they thot it was useless
Thats just sugar coating.. usually lesser turnout means pro incumbency, people from opposition is not motivated to come out and vote against government.
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
Yogendra Yadav lives in his own persona. BJP has a muscular election module and they are taking people from their houses to vote for the BJP. They even come to my house and take us to vote for BJP and you are saying NDA vote percentage is going down 😂😂😂😂😂😂. Yogendra Live in your persona of lossing BJP which is not going to be reality
He is talking non-sense.
Anyone can make a hypothesis. It doesn't have to be correct.
Wonderful talk
ALWAYS CRITISISING MODI IS COUNTER PRODUCTIVE.THIS MAN DOES NOTHING OTHER THAN HATING MODI AND APPEASING MUSLIMS.PL UNDERSTAND THIS WONT WORK ANY FURTHER
Yadav sir ne turnout percentage se pata kar liya konse voter ne vote nehi kiya.
പപ്പു യാദവ്😂😂😂
this is simple propaganda! even if we consider 5.9 % drop in NDA seats, the margins on those seats are actually more than 15percent average seat by seat after looking at data. so even in rajasthan, i calculated margins were more than 15 in almost all seats so even 5-7 drop doesn't change things much in terms of winnability
Also furthermore, 5-7% is no indication its just of BJP. Chances are that most of the drop is from demoralised opposition votes.
exactly, I took the worst case scenario and analysed.The worst case scenario for BJP in Rajasthan is 3 seats loss because margins there were 10 percent or less. But, amit shah being a perfectionist would not want to give any anywhere atleast where they won previously, so I can understand the discussion among karyakartas
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
@@Major.SachinCwell analysed sir and definitely people should not leave anything to chances and come out to vote in large numbers and increase victory margins.
Guys please go and vote, our religion and culture is at stake. Don't be complacent, go and make other go to vote.
Yogender yadav is tricking congress in every election .There was drop in 2019 Loksabha compare to 2014 in muzzafarnagar ,bijnaur ,kairana and bjp won 2 out of 3 .In 2019 drop in kairana was more then 5% compare to 2014 thay too was won by BJP
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
Can't we wait for 6 th june?
Is there anything this guy don't know??
You question is also relevant without a not
Pagal congressi voter vote dene nhi nikle Rajasthan me
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
I respect yogendra yadav view. But I have a counter question. In the constituencies where BJP won last time,what if the opposition voters decided that BJP will win anyway and didn't come to vote. We can spin data based on our narrative. Yogendra Yadav is right in pointing out jitters in BJP as of now.
Exactly, usually lesser turnout means pro incumbency not enough people supporting opposition have come out to vote. He is just giving a spin..
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
whose agents are these people? trying to spread false narrative
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
So indi winning? So you guys are happy… great
Duggal saheb the wannabe psephologist😂
MrYadav was way off the mark on last years assembly election for Rajasthan, MP, Chhattisgarh.
Hope he is not proven wrong once again .
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
Congrese doggy yogendra bow bow bow 😂
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
The anchor and ranter are day dreaming NDA defeat.
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
He comes on TV and TH-cam channels in different capacities at times, representing Shaheen Bagh, Communists Kisans, Khalistani sympathiser etc etc but he too enjoy company of his ilk of Power Brokers.
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
All the tjme Yugender Yadav survey fall flat with egg on his face
This guy is really exposed 😂
Madam Barkha and Yogender Yadavji is equal partners in talking stupid things for which Madam opened a channel.Shsme on u madam.I lost luttle respect tgat Ihad
Bark Ha looking like a old boy😮
I wonder how these political analyst make a living ? ( good one ! ) how they earn their moolah ? dozen or so of big time anlayst are busy on all media channels on a daily basis voicing their opinion either side of politics ...wonder if the TV /TH-cam channels do pay them as well for coming on their shows ? This gentlemen offlate is peddaling speculation and his hopes and wishes as data ....This guy should dabble in Stockmarket he will be billiobaire in no time
he will become a billionaire in no time only if he is a trillionaire
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
He always takes wrong side ,Yogendra Ji always thinks he is telling the truth but it is not.
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
Guys..dont make any judgement based on any numbers. There is a very strong reason for 46 days long electroral process from ECI. This is to allow BJP to observe these numbers in each phase, identify the constituencies to be "taken care" and start the EVM game. You and me innocant people will be waiting ECI to count the vote and declare the results, while BJP would only wait for ECI to declare the results as counts of votes they would already know. To pay the EVM game, BJP needs time and ECI is favoring by prolonging the overall electoral process duration.
Lies, more lies and statistics
Chor and the anarchist
Lol. This fellow is day dreaming.b
YY every TH-cam channel 😂
One of the most irritating people around...
1. Ye Kaudi Ka BJP Hater Psephologist bana Firta hai - Low Turn-out is equally distributed from BJP and Opposition voters, so, it won't make difference in margin, infact sharpest decline in UP for example was on Muslim majority seats like Rampur and Moradabad , so it's advantage BJP .
2. BJP won 40/102 SEATS IN 2019 and with margin of 21%. Assuming all these 4-7% voters were BJP supporters, and assuming even 10% vote swing to INDI alliance due to INDI alliance (hauga iska ulta waise ), then also BJP will win by 4-8% vote margin. This is worst case scenario.
3. in 2019, if you see the margin of victory , for BJP 105 seats has margin of votes over 3 lakhs or 35-40% margin , 164 with over 2 lakhs margin (15-25% margin) , so 5-6% turnout reduction can't erode this assuming all were BJP supporters
#AAYEGATOHMODIHI But Next Phases all should come out to vote, voting day is not holiday, save Sanatan, Save Country , Vote For Modi
भाई तैयार हो जाओ कांग्रेस आयेगी तो हम लोगो का सब कुछ minority ko de dijaye ga. Be अलर्ट
opposition voters not coming to vote...