No Capitulation Necessary | TCAF 67

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 12 พ.ย. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 167

  • @TheCompoundNews
    @TheCompoundNews  2 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    Thanks to our friends at Kraneshares for sponsoring this episode. To learn more about KraneShares' suite of China-focused and climate themed ETFs, visit: kraneshares.com/?adsource=wealthcast

    • @alexnhan8527
      @alexnhan8527 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      No one is selling, because everybody is at the bottom. Nobody wants to sell their loses!! Come on!

    • @gsurtos6588
      @gsurtos6588 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      fook china. other than that. another awesome podcast episode. 👏

    • @j_yh
      @j_yh 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      “Romper Room” for sure.
      It must be so easy to be a guest on the show. It’s rare that they ever have to finish a sentence, with the constant disruptions and redirected topics. There’s never a deep thought, because there’s never any time spent to get there. ADD and Friends.
      Those long dinners sound interesting. Why is it, on this show, that the guests are never permitted to even get to a second sentence in answering a question? Why have guests if you’re not going to let them speak? Name value? For the thumbnail? Always left with a very unsatisfied feeling… pretty sure your guest here felt the same.

    • @olegshakarov5319
      @olegshakarov5319 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @thecompound why don't you bring AJ Monte from Market Rebellion? That would be a great episode.

  • @tomvanwirt3880
    @tomvanwirt3880 2 ปีที่แล้ว +55

    The dynamics between the three of you guys is hilarious! You have to do this again !

    • @Czarjonz
      @Czarjonz 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      I like the clarity of the comments. Agree or disagree but at least you can understand👏🏾

  • @cliffpeebles9705
    @cliffpeebles9705 2 ปีที่แล้ว +51

    Josh Brown is my "volume up" guy.

    • @maxskywalkr
      @maxskywalkr 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I literally turned up the volume as soon as josh started talking

    • @Dpaq13
      @Dpaq13 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      He has the most amplitude

  • @indianajones3315
    @indianajones3315 2 ปีที่แล้ว +33

    Dan is a great guest, really enjoyed when you guys let him speak without interrupting. Michael is confirmed as having ADHD.

    • @Dpaq13
      @Dpaq13 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I didn’t know Indiana Jones was a tele doc PhD

    • @WingofTech
      @WingofTech 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      lol agreed, these poor finance buffs don’t stand a chance with Michael on the attack 😑😵‍💫

  • @yangbomb2
    @yangbomb2 2 ปีที่แล้ว +15

    Lol chemistry among these 3 guys is bizarrely good. Loved it. Dan's face when the phone went off. Lol funny

  • @xpkareem
    @xpkareem 2 ปีที่แล้ว +19

    That last five minutes was gold.

  • @g33possible
    @g33possible 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Barry was a good treat too. Might need to see more of him

  • @mclaughlin2008
    @mclaughlin2008 2 ปีที่แล้ว +8

    I look forward to this every Friday.

  • @aivisionart
    @aivisionart 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    The Expanse! My favorite series of all time. Knew I always liked Dan Greenhaus.

  • @jamesdiserio4020
    @jamesdiserio4020 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Compound and Compound w/ Friends- best to watch it every week.

  • @jamesn25
    @jamesn25 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    As a local FA I love this show. Been a big fan of Josh for a long time. Batnick….stop interrupting people mid sentence to bring a completely different thought. Keep killin it

  • @alexnhan8527
    @alexnhan8527 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Its a good thing I have a couple of drinks while I listen to you guys.

  • @cliffpeebles9705
    @cliffpeebles9705 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Love the chemistry between Josh and Barry. It's easy to see why they are great partners. A few years ago, Josh did a show where he interviewed Barry. It was very funny.

  • @zeth9965
    @zeth9965 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Always learn real stuff from you guys. Appreciate your history lessons filtered through common sense the most. Never knew Dan G. was a funny human 🤘🏽

  • @paulawang7387
    @paulawang7387 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you for the team! Love this episode because of the guest, Dan Greenhouse, which is one of my favourite guests on CNBC, by his thorough analysis and sharp perspectives. And thanks Dan, who was able to talk to Michael's interrupting habit straightforwardly, and allowed the audiences like me to have a complete logical thought from the guest. Michael has a really fun personality by talking about books and movies, but may not be a right rhythm to... As a loyal fan to Josh from CNBC years and following this podcast since the first episode, have been struggling "how" to listen it continually because of. ☕

  • @Mekawyvid
    @Mekawyvid 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    The chemistry between the 3 of you is amazing! ....found myself rewinding a lot of parts and watching it on TH-cam instead of listening to the podcast because it was so entertaining (and informative)!

  • @DaleBrose
    @DaleBrose 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    I don't know how y'all do it but just when I think your shows can't get any better you go and up yourself. Another great program and guest. My take away from this one is to pay attention to the ISM. Really enjoyed this weeks guest and his sense of humor resonates with me as a mid-westerner (Minnesota).

  • @bonfire1484
    @bonfire1484 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Fun episode especially with a special appearance by Barry!

  • @Joenyongesa
    @Joenyongesa 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Easily one of the best interviews. Loved Dan

  • @Hawking1969
    @Hawking1969 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Wow! quick, thoughtful. witty, shirt and tie....great guest!

  • @apga1998
    @apga1998 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Barry, best wishes for continued success!

  • @andy.4790
    @andy.4790 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    You guys have great content lately and I learn from you guys. Keep up the good work.

  • @conradhenninger2209
    @conradhenninger2209 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Duncan...Dan is on the money with the Expanse!!! One of the best sci fi shows ever!

  • @jimg5055
    @jimg5055 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Nice to have Barry on, don't know if you ever done a whole show with him but would love to see him more.

  • @shakespear7675
    @shakespear7675 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    best guest youve had in months

  • @tiredoworking9350
    @tiredoworking9350 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Brilliant! I laughed! I cried! It became a part of me!!!

  • @Catch22MKE
    @Catch22MKE 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    You two guys put out the best shows!

  • @joedaniels7777
    @joedaniels7777 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Great show! Greenhaus was a great guest!

  • @KL-sm4bm
    @KL-sm4bm 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Really great episode, thanks guys!

  • @madamemoney3275
    @madamemoney3275 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    A little late coming on this episode but thank you very much for putting such a great show once again! Best show ever imo. My feedback is the same, too many ideas are coming up as questions or side tracks and because of their numerous occurrence we end up spending more time asking questions than answering them. Dan is fantastic here and ready to explode and share his insights on why so many get it wrong, let him talk and explain, forget about some twitter looser charts, he came up prepared with a full story, prints in his hands ffs. Anyways, love you guys!

  • @steveuhlman2368
    @steveuhlman2368 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Thanks Guys, great show, and very interesting discussions as always. Dan is right about The Expanse.

  • @seand8176
    @seand8176 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Your guests keep getting better every week

  • @miroslodki2195
    @miroslodki2195 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Josh, its too bad you cant provide portfolio management services for folks in Canada. you are the best!

  • @ThaboHermanus
    @ThaboHermanus 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    OMG, I feel like a Groupie! Barry coming on at the end was so unexpected. Dan is so insightful and like many TCAF Friends, fits right in with the energy of Michael and Josh. This though, is a special one given Barry’s cameo 😂😂😂

  • @ceejaydeesoozaa
    @ceejaydeesoozaa 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    JOSH'S TSHIRT SAYS IT ALL: THE FED=THE GODFATHER

  • @Stavros_Steve_Deriziotis
    @Stavros_Steve_Deriziotis 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Well is it safe to say that if the average is the expected next retrace it’s scary for most!
    Great show guys! I always look forward to this on Friday’s!

  • @caseymcgrath331
    @caseymcgrath331 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Can you guys drink the bottle of champagne already!

  • @SoDakJason
    @SoDakJason 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I respect Dan for going old-school by bringing printouts of his charts.

  • @ShawnFreshley
    @ShawnFreshley 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great video! 38:30 is the most important content of what could happen from here in markets.

  • @rainerluthershelley5131
    @rainerluthershelley5131 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Good one..enjoyed it. Thanks Everyone.

  • @capitalexotics
    @capitalexotics 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Whenever I hear the intro music, I get pumped on a Friday night! Then hit the club and pop some bottles… nah, I’m old and I just log into my trading platform and strategize my plays for the upcoming months! Compound and friends 4 life!!!
    Btw, when’s Nick Colas coming back, it’s been 2-3 weeks ago and it’s 1-2 week(s) too long!

  • @JTIrons
    @JTIrons 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    This was fun to watch.

  • @tylerwinkle323
    @tylerwinkle323 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    1:07:40 because Batnick is here to make sure we get our NY baseball news on a financial show, duh.

  • @WingofTech
    @WingofTech 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    lol I can’t believe it you got Barry Ritholtz on the show!! It would be fun to have an exclusive interview with him 🤣😂😅🤔😏

    • @TheCompoundNews
      @TheCompoundNews  2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Barry is the best, maybe we can do that sometime.

  • @peterpayne2219
    @peterpayne2219 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Thank you for pronouncing “Kiyosaki” properly, Duncan! (I laughed when Michael said it as Kay-Yo Saki.)

  • @susanroman8384
    @susanroman8384 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thank you for the great content every week. Do you have a central/running list of "favorites"? I would love to be able to refer back to a list when I am looking for a new show or book. Thanks again!

    • @TheCompoundNews
      @TheCompoundNews  2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      We don't have a running list, but I like that idea. I'll see what we can do.

  • @Synthminator
    @Synthminator 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Great episode guys, cheers

  • @caseycasey4494
    @caseycasey4494 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Barry! Yes!

  • @simmonds3930
    @simmonds3930 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Best podcast ever! 🤓

  • @seangrealish8741
    @seangrealish8741 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    The Expanse is an excellent show.

  • @alecupchurch5749
    @alecupchurch5749 2 ปีที่แล้ว +7

    Jeremy Siegel next guest! Let’s do this thing!

  • @kevinnorman109
    @kevinnorman109 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Love this one!!!

  • @InfamousKicker
    @InfamousKicker 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    This was a very engaging episode

  • @ocvegasproperty
    @ocvegasproperty 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Way to be relatable to the common man. “Price of a Porterhouse at Peter Lugers…”. Lol.

  • @JK-zw8ec
    @JK-zw8ec 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Very interesting and usefull discusion. Thxs.

  • @BlackBuzzzard
    @BlackBuzzzard 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Great stuff tonight!

  • @kraz007
    @kraz007 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Love China Last Night by Krane shares.

  • @westleyanson
    @westleyanson 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Awesome Episode! Give me a strong dollar every single day…💵

    • @alexnhan8527
      @alexnhan8527 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I live out of the country. The exchange rate is great!!

  • @bradrodrigues9032
    @bradrodrigues9032 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    I love when Batnick's phone goes off.

  • @anitagreenhaus1821
    @anitagreenhaus1821 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Dan has to be the smartest, most articulate guest I’m sure you have ever had on your show. The fact that I am Dan’s mom has not colored my opinion AT ALL!!!😂😂

    • @TheCompoundNews
      @TheCompoundNews  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      😂😂😂 he is terrific. Good job mom.

  • @RiskOonTrading
    @RiskOonTrading 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Awesome show

  • @noahwalker699
    @noahwalker699 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Josh "The Foot print size is not that important" AHAHA the subtle humour in these podcasts are fkn hilarious.

  • @kadie1414
    @kadie1414 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Followed Dan on Twitter to help him out haha

  • @Bob-Sacamano
    @Bob-Sacamano 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Isn't that the guy from Dharma and Greg?

  • @orpheus7117
    @orpheus7117 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Love it!

  • @Sr101depechemode
    @Sr101depechemode 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    @josh where did you get that tshirt !! I love it ! Can't find and what to get ❤

  • @WillingNAbelVids
    @WillingNAbelVids 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Apple missing earnings big would put the VIX above 40

  • @alexnhan8527
    @alexnhan8527 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    ALTERED CARBON !!! Both seasons. Awesome. So crazy. Check out he Altered Carbon Anime. Really good!

  • @grodge61
    @grodge61 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Inflation defined: too much money chasing too few goods (and services). The checkable deposits chart is astounding because it shows that there is a LOT of money out there to chase the supply-restrained goods available. This seems like a perfect storm (supply shocks right when everyone has tons of cash), and is yet to be resolved.

  • @giuls19891
    @giuls19891 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I think the difference this time is that we don’t feel like it’s the end of the world. 2001-2008 felt like the end of the world, even 2020. This time even noob investors are seeing this as just another down market that will inevitably come back. So I think capitulation will be very hard to see this time. Young investors have seen 3 crisis in the past two decades and the S&P still came back with a vengeance. So why would this time be different? A lot of people are willing to hold on.

    • @esbenskovrasmussen9066
      @esbenskovrasmussen9066 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      The question is. Dose this equals that this will not be as bad because there will not be a big collapse or dose this mean that we will have 2 years of pain to finally break us so we give up.

  • @BryanBeerKey
    @BryanBeerKey 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Dan was getting so pissed off 😂

  • @ThaboHermanus
    @ThaboHermanus 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    That slide that knocks the 2 consecutive quarters of decline should be cited more often. There was no doubt that we were in a recession in 2001, yet the quarterly GDP did not follow the technical definition?

  • @Robyn-Hood
    @Robyn-Hood 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Nice Dad!! Now I know why you have purple 🙂 it is my favourite colour!! you should have your Dad on the show!!

  • @ExploreAtlanta
    @ExploreAtlanta 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great job, as always. Two friendly suggestions: No F-bombs necessary, guys. You're not going to lose any fans by not using them, and you might even gain a few. I know it's a NY thing and maybe some people think it's cool, but it's not. Get this out of your repertoire, stat! Second, watch the clock and stay on point. You guys are all over the place on a normal episode, but this one got out of control. I love you guys and your channel is about the only thing worth watching. You add a TON of value. I just want you guys to be amazing! Thanks

  • @vdeolaliker
    @vdeolaliker 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    LQD - IG corp bonds yields 3.5% not 8%. Where are you finding the 8% IG bond funds? 2 yr is 4.6%.

  • @Joenyongesa
    @Joenyongesa 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Confession: I've watched this more than 2 times

  • @grantnader7549
    @grantnader7549 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great show as always but PLEASE let your guest speak without constant interruptions!

  • @tylerwinkle323
    @tylerwinkle323 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    54:14 you guys need to warn guests about Batnick before they come onto the show, seriously

  • @alexnhan8527
    @alexnhan8527 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    No one is selling, because everybody is at the bottom. Nobody wants to sell their loses!! Come on!

  • @chrissinclair4442
    @chrissinclair4442 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    The First season of Altered Carbon was like the first album from America, where do you go from there? Season two was good, if not great. The next season for anything changing that much cast is usually awful. Season one was just so damn good.

  • @chartlanguage
    @chartlanguage 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    every 4 weeks at least bac to keep listen to Birthday boys bring him bac

  • @SlothPossum
    @SlothPossum 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    I'm still hoping we visit 3000 to add to long term positions

    • @ocvegasproperty
      @ocvegasproperty 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Why not 2000?

    • @thebrothersbond6663
      @thebrothersbond6663 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@ocvegasproperty because I've no more money :)

    • @vzeller
      @vzeller 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      @Edward Kohler It hasn't crashed because the FED is mechanically liquidating their balance sheet against our weekly 401k automatic buys. The bottom will be in when they say so.

  • @MrMike-zm8ex
    @MrMike-zm8ex 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    US Dollar. In Thailand now. USD/THB. 38.2 to 1. Best I’ve ever seen. Makes EVERYTHING cheap.

  • @nicklongo2939
    @nicklongo2939 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    i'm thinking that like me everyone who lost part of the profits they were sitting on for the last few years before they caught on to what was happening and sold, a whole lot of these people are sitting in cash waiting for the market to bottom so they can jump back in and recapture those lost profits. So what is the "pain trade" as they say on CNBC? The market goes lower? No that is what everyone is waiting for. How about the market stays right about here and doesn't move much at all for the next two years, so the only way to make any money is to buy two year treasuries and hold them to maturity. If you buy equities you might make 1-2% dividends. If you buy high yield bonds you lose principal because some part of the underlying principal erodes from defaults as interest rates rise and profit margins fall. Wherever you go there you are.

  • @derbycity3121
    @derbycity3121 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Love the Fed shirt…..link??

  • @ronf968
    @ronf968 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Has Dan ever been confused for Norm Macdonald??

  • @dillongroover227
    @dillongroover227 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    where do i buy a shirt like josh's??? i NEED one

  • @DougOfTheAntarctic
    @DougOfTheAntarctic 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Alumina is just aluminum oxide.

  • @fredradical
    @fredradical 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Ahhh! Fr1days

  • @chrisg9343
    @chrisg9343 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Funniest guest after tim dillon

  • @paulsommerhalder9049
    @paulsommerhalder9049 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Listen to conference calls?🙄. That's Josh's thang😄

  • @infotalk12
    @infotalk12 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Expanse - takes 2-3 episodes to get hooked up. 1st episode is confusing and meh.

  • @gpsawyer
    @gpsawyer 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I was at Trader Joe's and during our small talk the older gentleman cashier said he was hoping for a "robust recession".
    Everyone knows it's coming

  • @MrLanum
    @MrLanum 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    @00:01:39 That was funny… Imagine being told this after a date, or nite cap.

  • @andyy6481
    @andyy6481 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    so buy the dip?

  • @Czarjonz
    @Czarjonz 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    The Expanse👍🏾👏🏾👏🏾👏🏾

  • @peterpayne2219
    @peterpayne2219 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Why are you all talking like you’re drunk? Oh, I’m watching on 1x instead of 1.5x.

  • @cookinthekitchen
    @cookinthekitchen 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Micheal has to catch a plane to see Larry Bird

  • @chartlanguage
    @chartlanguage 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    vix and the dollar indicate if peeps are buying the dip yet NAS is below 11000 stand buy as it runs to 25000 in 2024

  • @serg320
    @serg320 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    What if all these countries do a back run, started to sell their bonds and want all the money we owe them so they can pay their debt?