Latin America and the Caribbean in 2023: What to Expect?

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Latin America and the Caribbean enter 2023 with preexisting challenges worsened by a global growth slowdown, tightened international financial conditions, and a contentious geopolitical landscape. Democracy continues to be threatened across the region due to increased polarization and weakened institutions, exemplified by the January 8 attacks on Brazilian democratic institutions. Elections in Argentina, Paraguay, and Guatemala will test recent trends of anti-incumbent voting and democratic regression. On the economic front, S&P Global predicts that the high inflation experienced in 2022 will recede below 10% in 2023, although the IMF predicts lower overall growth rates for the region, falling from 3.5% in 2022 to 1.7% in 2023.
What political, economic, and social challenges and opportunities lie ahead for Latin America and the Caribbean in the coming year? What will the financial implications of these challenges be? The Georgetown Americas Institute (GAI) hosted a panel discussion on the 2023 regional forecast featuring Monica de Bolle, senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics; Michael Shifter, adjunct professor at the Center for Latin American and Caribbean Studies at Georgetown University; Shantall Tegho, a managing director at Goldman Sachs; and Alejandro Werner, GAI founding director.

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