A failing U.S. economy and elevated global tensions reduce the likelihood of prolonged inflation or higher long-term Treasury yields. I've seen folks amass up to $1m amid crisis, and even pull it off easily in a favourable economy. Unequivocally, the bubble/collapse is getting somebody somewhere rich
I do not disagree, there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such executions are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors I speak from experience.
True, I’m quite lucky exposed to personal finance at early age, started full time job 19, purchased first home 28, got laid-off work at 36 amid covid-outbreak, and at once consulted a well-qualified advisor to stay afloat. Thankfully, my portfolio has maintained steady growth ever since, amassing nearly $1m after subsequent investments to date.
My investment advisor is ‘’Aileen Gertrude Tippy’’ she's verifiable and I'm very sure you can find info about her on the internet, her qualifications speak for itself.
Thanks for this. could easily spot her website just after inputting her full name on my browser. she replied my inquiry and we scheduled a consulting session sometime tomorrow.
Bitcoin is on its way to breaking records, getting closer to hitting new high prices, showing that it's gaining more value and could go even higher than we've seen before. This could mean great things for people looking to invest, suggesting now might be a good time to get involved before it jumps even higher. It's an exciting moment that could change the game in general...managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.3Bitcoin to a decent 27Bitcoin....At the heart of this evolution is Francine Duguay, whose deep understanding of both cryptocurrency and traditional trading has been instrumental. Her holistic approach to investment and commitment to staying abreast of market trends make her an invaluable ally in navigating this new era in cryptocurrency investment.
The process of trading can be complicated when you have limited knowledge. However, with the right strategy and setups, you can be successful. That's the whole point of investing.
If you are properly prepared and knowledgeable, every crash/collapse/inflation or recession gives an equal market opportunity. I've seen folks amass up to $800,000 throughout crises and even do it with ease in a terrible economy. Without a doubt, someone has become enormously wealthy as a result of the crash.
I agree that there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such executions are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience.
You're right mate! I’ve been using a fin-market expert for two years now and I own a 7figure portfolio from investing in stocks. Currently, my portfolio is worth over $1m.
Melissa Terri Swayne is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Henrik has nailed the problem of deflation. The collapsing commodity price of oil will lead to a deflation spiral curve. The new book The Bubble That Broke The Bank will be about the collapse of the largest asset class in the USA: real estate. We are currently following the model of price correction, severe recession, and real estate depression. We will be faced with 2026 deflationary collapse and a market trading sideways for 5 years.
The US government debt is on an exponential free fall and the only way to pay that debt is to keep printing . Hyper inflation is coming , housing crash , a recession and a possible depression too. i think is time investors redirected their focus to the equities market cause despite the severe bear market, I am aware of certain investors that have earned over $365,000.
stock market is no different, to maintain such profit, you need to have some in-depth knowledge on the market, prioritise patience and a long-term perspective most importantly consider financial advisory for informed buying and selling decisions.
A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for a licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve.
I first learned of Henrik Zeberg when he made some waves on twitter in 2019, saying we were headed into deflation and Gold was gonna crash below $1000. So let's see what he's saying now, 6 years later...
Then you realized Biden has gone on a massive spending spree trying to buy an election. But you're still trying to act like nothing majorly changed between then and now.
@@alekseygerbyn69 Haha. Yes. This what you read in the book. Do you really think there will be low demand for food, medicine, electricity, used cars and so on?
@@alekseygerbyn69 - US-drilled LNG and shale oil to captive European and Japanese markets, by extension everything else, which we won't be able to import from China anymore.
You can always tell who the enemy is because they're always the ones saying that deflation is the problem, not inflation. I would wear a mask if I was this guy and disguise my voice when telling poor people that prices will never come down
Crypto will not move opposite of the market unless there is an absolute destruction, when has crypto moved opposite, bitcoin is a lead indicator of the market
Deflation is inevitable. We can either lower interest rates, increasing inflation to the point where we have a market crash, a long depression. Or we can increase interest rates, reduce borrowing and increase currency values, deflating the value of goods.
How many times does Zeberg have to get it wrong before we start talking about inverse Zeberg? Soon the Fed will have restart QE because there aren't enough buyers for the bonds? That is inflationary. Trumps policies are inflationary and there is no way lower inflation is going to happen before an economic or a currency collapse. Trump is looking at least a $7Tn increase in US debt as the tax take is lowered and who is going to buy those bonds? Not China Russia Saudi or Japan, it's going to be the Fed and that is by definition inflationary.
There is no QE coming. Central banks and even Blackrock have already indicated that. We can say goodbye to that lala land. As the central banks will further dump the bonds into the market, we will see initial spike in the demanded interest rate but then it will become attractive enough for the market to start buying into it. Corporate world is already bracing for that by doing silent layoffs and transitioning to AI as much as possible and as fast as possible to keep their equity value stable when the rug pull moment finally happens.
Yeah, and people have been making this exact prediction word for word since early 2022 to happen within the next 6 to 9 months, and here we are three years later.
And Biden has been on spending spree since the banking crisis in early 2023 trying to buy an election. Trump has no interest in massive stimulus to prop up the economy. Buckle up lil buddy
@@KungPowEnterFist Lots of these “experts” were telling people to cash in at $&P 4K and to sell into that rally in late 2022 waiting for another leg down and potentially a 30% wipeout. Instead the market went straight up for 2 years. Now a 30% drop wouldn’t even get us back to 4K.
It doesn’t matter what the FED does. 75 percent of the people are only Surviving. 46 percent have been living off of credit cards and their accounts are being canceled. Almost all businesses will shut down by the end of the year because people can no longer support them,including the auto industry. The collapse of that alone would put the country into recession.
Zeberg just keeps pushing back and ratcheting up his top calls. Gotta respect his headstrong persistence though, despite being proven consistently wrong by real world outcomes over and over again.
Commercial Real Estate Prices for United States in FRED has not been updated for almost a year. I believe it drops lower than Lehman shock time for now but such are not really recognized in public reflecting to bank's financial results. Wish to see how Trump will handle this.
eventually the can kicks you. and consumer credit and debt its maxed...people are broke and now more and more unemployed...its only going to get worse none of the people in charge has any solutions.
@@dreadhc8336 why do people keep saying there kicking the can down the road there really not things have been deteriorating for a year 2 people are so complacent
lol deflation. Grocery prices at Kroger are NEVER going down. Nor are house prices in Ohio, or new car and truck prices. Never gonna happen! The only thing that goes down are wages.
i dont think you understand we havent even paid the price for the 1st pandemic 5 years ago remember? the one of its kind we hadnt seen since the 1918 spanish flu the fallout from that has been unfolding very slowly since 2023 we delayed a crash for 5 years. History is not on your side go back 225 years you will never find a period where "never gonna happen" happened after pandemics housing, stock markets, bond market bubbles in u.s history
You're just wrong. Housing is already in deflation territory in some states. Prices of goods have shown months of deflation. If you think used autos are still inflating you're beyond delusional.
They don't communicate the message clearly enough. When they say deflation they don't explain it. It's not that prices will come down it's that they won't rise or the rise will be much slower than before. Once the price is set, it's set. They never come down they just don't go up as fast.
So we’re going to see deflation of food, fuel, homeowners insurance, car insurance, medical insurance, medications, and the stuff we use day to day for survival? The stuff we spend a huge portion of our cash on? Lol - not happening
Laughing doesn't hide your ignorance of the subject. Biden isn't giving massive handouts for hiring anymore. Liquidity is drying up and jobless claims are rising. This was set up to fall apart after the election.
Deflation, by its definition, also implies increased unemployment. The result of that most likely will be that people will buy less and at the end smaller companies, especially companies with small margins will have difficulties to survive. Accordingly, lower prices of food, gas and so on is not always something positive.
The only thing that matters is timing. Every market will eventually correct. If you are wrong about when that happens, nothing you say means anything. Timing is everything. Especially since this correction could happen 2-3 years from now or longer. The market can and does stay irrational longer than you think, and the government is incentivized to start reducing rates and easing if the economy starts showing weakness, like unemployment going up, stocks crashing down, etc, and once they start stimulating again due to whatever weakness happens, it'll be back to all time highs and partying again. If you're worried then put down some hedges and have a 60/40 or 50/50 stocks/bonds portfolio dollar cost averaged into low fee mutual funds that track the overall market. Avoid financial advisors that charge % based fees. Stay consistent, don't react to the market. The best portfolios are those where people stick to a plan and never deviate from it regardless of whatever fear the media is pushing to try to get you to move your money around. Just relax and stay calm, consistent, and disciplined.
Just onthe point of AI and saving the economy, I think people are confusing what AI is going to do. The next major recession is likely going to be caused by AI. When robotics gets to the point that it can replace basic to more advanced workforce, then economy will collapse because people will be laid off in numbers never seen before. It'll be version of what happened in car manufacturing where factories went from 500 mechanics to 5 engineers monitoring production robotic converyor systems but on a much larger scale. The future is scary for the manual labour workforce.
We need a six hour workday. 3 or 4 shifts. That way everyone will be able to get business done 24-7. To sell it to business the system should be set up to pay overtime at a rate of 2.25 after 30 instead of 2.5 after 40. With double time over 55 hours. Overtime paid daily, after 6 hours, not after 30 hours. This way many people could work two jobs. Mothers would have time for their children. They would have time to teach them and keep them from getting into so much trouble. People would have a variety of jobs therefore a variety of skills. Traffic would flow better. Fewer accidents. Less damage to the road system. Many more benefits....
It's not just manual labour. AI is going to replace a lot of work done by humans today, in virtually every business sector. I hear people cheering for this, because it will boost productivity / margins / company earnings, which will in turn must surely boost the stock market ... but, if people no longer have a job and a wage with which to buy the products these companies produce, then what? AI may drive productivity, but it does not drive demand. Eventually we will adapt and find other avenues of employment (as we have in the past, e.g. agricultural machinery) but that will take time. One thing I do agree with Henrik on: the economy is ultimately about the consumer. That's where I'm paying more and more attention ... that, and the growing global debt situation (government, as well as personal). For now, record government spending is kicking the can down the road ... how long can that last? Guess we have to wait, watch and see!
I mean certain markets have crashed. A ton of emerging markets like Brazil, Mexico, and China have all gone through sizable corrections. US Markets just keep sucking up global liquidity like a vacuum because the other major economies are in recession. Probably worth watching foreign currencies against USD to see if flows change and/or if the USD starts to precipitously fall, that could mean a change in sentiment for capital inflow/outflow, but I don’t see a US crash.
You have to listen very closely, but the FED works to maintain a weak domestic labor market. That is why the FED tries ride the edge of recession. US consumers have experienced excessive inflation. 70k to 100k cars, high house prices, extraordinarily high insurance rates, high food prices, and product inflation has been extraordinarily high. The Chineese have aggravated the global business cycle with their predatory business practices. Coerce business partnership and local production for domestic access that enables production know how, steal technology that can not be bought through coercion or purchase of companies, government investment and incentives to build extremely industrial infrastructure. Trading with China will essentially end naturally by global consumer weakness. However, trading with China enables their military aggression. Therefore, the US needs to isolate China economically and technologically immediately.
@@RegularSizeRick So what is YOUR opinion? That we just continue to the sky the next 15 years - after already being in a bull market - more or less - for 15 years already? What is YOUR opinion? We have the probably highest level of the Buffet indicator EVER. SP500 stocks are trading at historically high P/E´s - I think the average currently is over 30 - but the "mean"-value is around 16. Tesla and BTC doubled in price in 3 months from around September 2024 without basically any fundamental changes. So where do YOU think we are headed? You think everything will just continue to go up and up and up forever??? Criticism is fine but then please also present your predictions.
We live in a world with a declining global population and especially the first world and China are leading the way now in the United States. The only population growth we've had is through immigration, both legal and illegal. If they crack down on that then you're going to have a declining population and that means a shrinking economy and this is uncharted Territory. Nowhere in history outside of war or plague. Have we ever had a declining population intentionally.
You are one of the first commenters that I've seen that really understands. Most people haven't even considered what is going to happen. I think this is psychologically difficult for most people. And they don't understand the implications. Prices will collapse! It should already be happening but the people in power within the systems are in denial. They keep propping up prices. It's actually going to be a good thing when prices fall this time, because they are too high, and people are having a difficult time living. I am not against rich people, do not misunderstand, but the rich have too much.
That´s why we sometimes get BIG corrections, like in 1929. The insanity can go on MUCH longer than you think. But the longer it goes on - the bigger the crash.
A few billionaires have taken over the entire economy. Small businesses are dying and wages aren’t keeping up with inflation. And, climate change is crashing the home insurance market. We are on the very edge of a Great Depression, not merely deflation or a recession.
This is interesting, the guy he has been talking about the nearly approaching deflation for more than one year. He´s shifting the timeline (doomsday) 3 months ahead at each interview. Always talking about the doomsday and I’m hearing the same rehearsed talk-show every time, even the same words. The wolf is coming or is he not? I think Zeberg just needs airtime for the money and seems skilled enough when he talks. He sits at home talking in the shows, never in an office. I have believed in his knowledge before but since he never proves his theory in reality I think its just another doomsday preacher...yes the day might come of course, but he has no idea at all, just a lot of talk.
If deflation comes, China well placed, has accumulated over 30,000 tonnes of gold, its citizens also have many tonnes. Deflation causes liquidity crises, gold is used to provide liquidity through revaluation during liquidity crises.
The PRC's is the economy which has to worry about deflation -- one reason why investors have been skittish on most things China-related. TH-cam channel proprietors aside, the USA's problem is a hot economy/inflation, not recession/deflation/crash..
A choreographed red flag event will be the trigger to crash everything. All part of the grand scheme. I've been slowly buying and stocking an item that will be hard to find, needed by everyonet and increases in value year to year.
I agree with you. We are going to have a recession and here in New York. What I've noticed is the drop off in the number of the deliveries for Uber eats very noticeable. The number of bicycle delivery boys that have dried up all of a sudden both in Manhattan and Brooklyn
Ah, but who was doing the delivering? The election caused the drop-off because the illegals started disappearing after Trump won. Yesterday I was walking west on 28th street from the subway back to my office when I walked past the two pop-up mosques and the African themed moneygram store and there were for rent signs in all 3 windows. All the bicycles that used to be parked in front of it were gone. Poof. So fewer UberEats because the illegals are leaving. Made my day!!!!!!!
Wow This guy does not get it. The FED, state & fed governments, etc., will not ever tolerate deflation. Inflation is still raging in food, fuel, electricity, nat gas, house prices, cars, debt forbearance & forgiveness, on and on. The FED needs to raise rates. Way too much inflation!
@ nope. Disagree. Due to debt forbearance, forgiveness, & charge offs we never get to see the price discovery & deflation. This economy needs prices to come down, not rates.
They are all puppets or parots... Jerome tells Oringe Jeezus to kick rocks... Janet keeps writing rubber checks. Zelenski n NuttinNawlHoo get a few more 100 billion. Go MAGA 🎉🎉🎉
Guys, give me a break. The federal reserve has THOUSANDS of people work there doing research on the economy. Are you trying to convince us that this guy in his vary pleasant home probably in Connecticut has more going on than all those people at the Fed?
Hes going to be right eventually. Hes been calling a recession for 5 years. I could make a yputube video and do the same and at.somw point be correct. Very smooth, but i dont know if id trust his analysis
I agree with Henrik, but I don't see much of a divergence with BTC/Altcoins and the SPX/NDX happening. Crypto is just a leveraged version of tech stocks. They will follow relatively in lock step. Maybe a divergence by 1 month max, to create a giant bulltrap. Also, notice the strength with only certain alt coins this go around. U.S. based altcoins mostly. Alt season requires retail being cheerleaders online, and they are tapped/broke this go around. Do not trade without a stop-loss this year.
Henrik Zeberg constantly moves the goal posts of his predictions. Sooner or later he can say "I got it right". He is also a pathetic coward who blocks anyone disagreeing with him on X.
This guy has clearly not been to the supermarket recently . Lagging indicator yes infection slowed for a while 6 months back but price increases are powering ahead again.
Sure. Particularly in Germany, where this guy is likely focused. But deflation won't be bad, at all. What, maybe 3% max? Closer to 1 - 2% , maybe? And, it will be "goods related" meaning non-food, consumer-goods. I'm thinking that within 3 - 6 years deflation will impact business goods: financial crash may, may, result. But the USA has advantages other countries don't enjoy. Sorry!!
This guy keeps making the rounds on all these channels preaching doom while at the same time raising his target for the market. First it was S&P 6100, then 6300. Now he’s at 6500. He will probably be back in 3 months with a 6700 target.
This guy's Crazy Crypto Rally prediction is Maddness. In a Real downturn, Crypto will lead the way in loses. But don't take my word for it, just watch what happens...
Deficit spending is NOT real growth. He is correct and wrong about inflation. The poor "80" percent of us including me, and the rich. People skimming off the top. The rich do not give a rats as about the cost off eggs and rent. Not even a little bit. They only care about asset inflation. The poor do, and believe me there IS FOOD and rent inflation and its well north of 10%. what he is talking about is asset deflation and he is right. The rich are going to get slammed as ALL assets crater in value. I dont care what it is. Its going to fall by at least 50 percent including gold and shit coin.
This man has been on the wrong side of the market (calling for a deflationary crash instead of an inflationary boom) for years. Literally years. When your ego prevents you from adjusting your analaysis despite being proven wrong over and over, you are not an analyst any more... you have become an evangelist.
He’s so off I’m fed cutting rates they cannot cut rates you cut raise real estate price is going to skyrocket we need a 1990 recession or 1929 depression to get us out of this. You gotta feel the pain baby.
I’m suspicious now that Trump is President the deep state will try to sink him. Watch the Fed start pulling all their back door life support plugs from the economy and scuttle the ship to hang it all around Trump’s neck. All the negative economic statistics that have been hidden will start coming out at the BLS. Of course JP Morgan, Goldman, and B of A will get advanced notice of the the Fed’s plan so they can position accordingly in advance and come out even bigger after the chaos.
A failing U.S. economy and elevated global tensions reduce the likelihood of prolonged inflation or higher long-term Treasury yields. I've seen folks amass up to $1m amid crisis, and even pull it off easily in a favourable economy. Unequivocally, the bubble/collapse is getting somebody somewhere rich
I do not disagree, there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such executions are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors I speak from experience.
True, I’m quite lucky exposed to personal finance at early age, started full time job 19, purchased first home 28, got laid-off work at 36 amid covid-outbreak, and at once consulted a well-qualified advisor to stay afloat. Thankfully, my portfolio has maintained steady growth ever since, amassing nearly $1m after subsequent investments to date.
this is great! think your advisor would get on the phone with an unknown? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation
My investment advisor is ‘’Aileen Gertrude Tippy’’ she's verifiable and I'm very sure you can find info about her on the internet, her qualifications speak for itself.
Thanks for this. could easily spot her website just after inputting her full name on my browser. she replied my inquiry and we scheduled a consulting session sometime tomorrow.
Zeberg for the last 5 years… ‘There will be a massive crash very soon, in the meantime I’ve just revised my targets higher.’
Good stuff! Always enjoy getting an updated look at the macro from Henrik.
@@Ficus074 Henrik is always great, thanks for watching!
Bitcoin is on its way to breaking records, getting closer to hitting new high prices, showing that it's gaining more value and could go even higher than we've seen before. This could mean great things for people looking to invest, suggesting now might be a good time to get involved before it jumps even higher. It's an exciting moment that could change the game in general...managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.3Bitcoin to a decent 27Bitcoin....At the heart of this evolution is Francine Duguay, whose deep understanding of both cryptocurrency and traditional trading has been instrumental. Her holistic approach to investment and commitment to staying abreast of market trends make her an invaluable ally in navigating this new era in cryptocurrency investment.
The process of trading can be complicated when you have limited knowledge. However, with the right strategy and setups, you can be successful. That's the whole point of investing.
Got a chance to benefit from her services a few weeks ago and it has been a very smooth experience.
Her program of expertise is all over the internet Francine Duguay Crypto
Thank you…. I have searched her up Google I think I am satisfied with her experience.
Best signal provider in the market. Knowledgeable, level headed no loss like some other traders who recently jumped on the bandwagon
If you are properly prepared and knowledgeable, every crash/collapse/inflation or recession gives an equal market opportunity. I've seen folks amass up to $800,000 throughout crises and even do it with ease in a terrible economy. Without a doubt, someone has become enormously wealthy as a result of the crash.
I agree that there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such executions are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience.
You're right mate! I’ve been using a fin-market expert for two years now and I own a 7figure portfolio from investing in stocks. Currently, my portfolio is worth over $1m.
Glad to have stumbled on this comment, Please who is the consultant that assist you?.
Melissa Terri Swayne is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
Thank you for this amazing tip. I just looked the name up, wrote her explaining my financial market goals and scheduled a call.
Henrik has nailed the problem of deflation. The collapsing commodity price of oil will lead to a deflation spiral curve. The new book The Bubble That Broke The Bank will be about the collapse of the largest asset class in the USA: real estate. We are currently following the model of price correction, severe recession, and real estate depression. We will be faced with 2026 deflationary collapse and a market trading sideways for 5 years.
😂
It wont go sideways, it will plummet.
The US government debt is on an exponential free fall and the only way to pay that debt is to keep printing . Hyper inflation is coming , housing crash , a recession and a possible depression too. i think is time investors redirected their focus to the equities market cause despite the severe bear market, I am aware of certain investors that have earned over $365,000.
stock market is no different, to maintain such profit, you need to have some in-depth knowledge on the market, prioritise patience and a long-term perspective most importantly consider financial advisory for informed buying and selling decisions.
A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for a licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve.
I think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation
‘Amy Lea Kohlert’ is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name.
Thank you for the recommendation. I'll send her an email, and I hope I'm able to reach her.
I would love some deflation
I first learned of Henrik Zeberg when he made some waves on twitter in 2019, saying we were headed into deflation and Gold was gonna crash below $1000.
So let's see what he's saying now, 6 years later...
Then you realized Biden has gone on a massive spending spree trying to buy an election. But you're still trying to act like nothing majorly changed between then and now.
$6 eggs 🥚 🪺
Guy is totally clueless
1000$😂😂
Sorry, I don’t agree with that. A crash for sure. But it’s stagflation.
He doesn't know what deflation means
for staglation something should be expensive and continiously increasing in price, in low demand world economy I don't see any source for this
@@alekseygerbyn69
Haha. Yes. This what you read in the book. Do you really think there will be low demand for food, medicine, electricity, used cars and so on?
@@alekseygerbyn69 - US-drilled LNG and shale oil to captive European and Japanese markets, by extension everything else, which we won't be able to import from China anymore.
Thank you.
You can always tell who the enemy is because they're always the ones saying that deflation is the problem, not inflation. I would wear a mask if I was this guy and disguise my voice when telling poor people that prices will never come down
Henrik doesn’t have a YT channel so please bring him back often. Thanks.
Good job letter the guest do most of the talking..wish you had asked about his gold forecast.
Crypto will not move opposite of the market unless there is an absolute destruction, when has crypto moved opposite, bitcoin is a lead indicator of the market
Wait till we get to "Tariff Week" 1st week of Feb.
We'll see what inflation/10-year looks like.
Deflation is inevitable. We can either lower interest rates, increasing inflation to the point where we have a market crash, a long depression.
Or we can increase interest rates, reduce borrowing and increase currency values, deflating the value of goods.
Agree...General Price Collapse
across the board
So nice to hear someone else is seeing very similar things like David Hunter. Great great great
How many times does Zeberg have to get it wrong before we start talking about inverse Zeberg? Soon the Fed will have restart QE because there aren't enough buyers for the bonds? That is inflationary. Trumps policies are inflationary and there is no way lower inflation is going to happen before an economic or a currency collapse. Trump is looking at least a $7Tn increase in US debt as the tax take is lowered and who is going to buy those bonds? Not China Russia Saudi or Japan, it's going to be the Fed and that is by definition inflationary.
Bingo.
"AI growth in productivity" = massive loss of jobs.
There is no QE coming. Central banks and even Blackrock have already indicated that. We can say goodbye to that lala land.
As the central banks will further dump the bonds into the market, we will see initial spike in the demanded interest rate but then it will become attractive enough for the market to start buying into it.
Corporate world is already bracing for that by doing silent layoffs and transitioning to AI as much as possible and as fast as possible to keep their equity value stable when the rug pull moment finally happens.
Yeah, and people have been making this exact prediction word for word since early 2022 to happen within the next 6 to 9 months, and here we are three years later.
Last big bull trap setting up to wipe all the dumb money out.
And Biden has been on spending spree since the banking crisis in early 2023 trying to buy an election. Trump has no interest in massive stimulus to prop up the economy. Buckle up lil buddy
Longer
@@zarni000 "Legendary investor" Jim Rogers predicted an impending market collapse back in 2011.
@@KungPowEnterFist Lots of these “experts” were telling people to cash in at $&P 4K and to sell into that rally in late 2022 waiting for another leg down and potentially a 30% wipeout. Instead the market went straight up for 2 years. Now a 30% drop wouldn’t even get us back to 4K.
I’ve been selling aggressively into this rally. November 1st I was 62% long in equities, now I’m 45% and still selling into strength.
Smart. I know lots of people that are more in cash than they Ever have been.
It doesn’t matter what the FED does. 75 percent of the people are only Surviving. 46 percent have been living off of credit cards and their accounts are being canceled. Almost all businesses will shut down by the end of the year because people can no longer support them,including the auto industry. The collapse of that alone would put the country into recession.
ALL businesses will shut down? When? :)
"All businesses will shut down"?
😂😂😂😂😂😂
Zeberg just keeps pushing back and ratcheting up his top calls. Gotta respect his headstrong persistence though, despite being proven consistently wrong by real world outcomes over and over again.
Commercial Real Estate Prices for United States in FRED has not been updated for almost a year. I believe it drops lower than Lehman shock time for now but such are not really recognized in public reflecting to bank's financial results. Wish to see how Trump will handle this.
Banks like Bank of America are also insolvent when you factor in the unrealized losses in their bond portfolios they are hiding on their books.
I do like Henrik but he’s been calling for a market crash for 4 years now. Governments around the world are kicking the can.
eventually the can kicks you. and consumer credit and debt its maxed...people are broke and now more and more unemployed...its only going to get worse none of the people in charge has any solutions.
hes about to be right soon
@@dreadhc8336 why do people keep saying there kicking the can down the road there really not things have been deteriorating for a year 2 people are so complacent
Saying they dont know what they are doing and using their numbers to analyse that you are correct..
Exactly, the fed is political but there numbers are even more political
Solid and sound discussion on the economy. I like hearing from Henrik. He is very matter of fact with excellent insights to share.
Lol 8 years ago he was calling for gold going down to 1k....
lol deflation. Grocery prices at Kroger are NEVER going down. Nor are house prices in Ohio, or new car and truck prices. Never gonna happen! The only thing that goes down are wages.
i dont think you understand we havent even paid the price for the 1st pandemic 5 years ago remember? the one of its kind we hadnt seen since the 1918 spanish flu the fallout from that has been unfolding very slowly since 2023 we delayed a crash for 5 years. History is not on your side go back 225 years you will never find a period where "never gonna happen" happened after pandemics housing, stock markets, bond market bubbles in u.s history
You're just wrong. Housing is already in deflation territory in some states. Prices of goods have shown months of deflation. If you think used autos are still inflating you're beyond delusional.
They don't communicate the message clearly enough. When they say deflation they don't explain it. It's not that prices will come down it's that they won't rise or the rise will be much slower than before. Once the price is set, it's set. They never come down they just don't go up as fast.
Yep rich can afford to pay these prices which ensures prices don't go down. This is inflation
@prolific1518 They are still way too high. Houses that where $200k are still over $400. Yes the price fell from $440 to $400k that's not deflation.
Excellent, trustworthy guest. Thanks!
Wrong. He's been calling for deflation since 2016.
So we’re going to see deflation of food, fuel, homeowners insurance, car insurance, medical insurance, medications, and the stuff we use day to day for survival?
The stuff we spend a huge portion of our cash on?
Lol - not happening
Laughing doesn't hide your ignorance of the subject. Biden isn't giving massive handouts for hiring anymore. Liquidity is drying up and jobless claims are rising. This was set up to fall apart after the election.
Keep laughing and learn the hard way.
He equates deflation ONLY to bear market in stocks
@@prolific1518he is very right. It's never deflation in items u need to live. Stocks maybe
Deflation, by its definition, also implies increased unemployment. The result of that most likely will be that people will buy less and at the end smaller companies, especially companies with small margins will have difficulties to survive. Accordingly, lower prices of food, gas and so on is not always something positive.
S+P will top soon never reach near 6500 !! soon , correction first , then maybe higher !!! It is Written !!!
New System Soon , Great Times Ahead !!!!
The only thing that matters is timing. Every market will eventually correct. If you are wrong about when that happens, nothing you say means anything. Timing is everything.
Especially since this correction could happen 2-3 years from now or longer. The market can and does stay irrational longer than you think, and the government is incentivized to start reducing rates and easing if the economy starts showing weakness, like unemployment going up, stocks crashing down, etc, and once they start stimulating again due to whatever weakness happens, it'll be back to all time highs and partying again.
If you're worried then put down some hedges and have a 60/40 or 50/50 stocks/bonds portfolio dollar cost averaged into low fee mutual funds that track the overall market. Avoid financial advisors that charge % based fees. Stay consistent, don't react to the market. The best portfolios are those where people stick to a plan and never deviate from it regardless of whatever fear the media is pushing to try to get you to move your money around.
Just relax and stay calm, consistent, and disciplined.
I love this man. I’ve seen him talk before 👍👍
Love him..but acknowledge he's been wrong for the last eight years and will likely continue to be.
Clueless
@@marcopolotimetravellerHe talking his book
he doesn't even know what deflation means
Question you should of asked is who’s holding up the market , so the market dumps when blackrock, state street, and vanguard dump
I predict this will be as accurate as the dollar crash video a year ago.
Anthony, please don’t wait too long to invite Henrik again-March or early April would be perfect. :) Thank you so much!
Just onthe point of AI and saving the economy, I think people are confusing what AI is going to do. The next major recession is likely going to be caused by AI. When robotics gets to the point that it can replace basic to more advanced workforce, then economy will collapse because people will be laid off in numbers never seen before. It'll be version of what happened in car manufacturing where factories went from 500 mechanics to 5 engineers monitoring production robotic converyor systems but on a much larger scale. The future is scary for the manual labour workforce.
We need a six hour workday. 3 or 4 shifts. That way everyone will be able to get business done 24-7. To sell it to business the system should be set up to pay overtime at a rate of 2.25 after 30 instead of 2.5 after 40. With double time over 55 hours. Overtime paid daily, after 6 hours, not after 30 hours.
This way many people could work two jobs. Mothers would have time for their children. They would have time to teach them and keep them from getting into so much trouble.
People would have a variety of jobs therefore a variety of skills.
Traffic would flow better.
Fewer accidents.
Less damage to the road system.
Many more benefits....
It's not just manual labour. AI is going to replace a lot of work done by humans today, in virtually every business sector.
I hear people cheering for this, because it will boost productivity / margins / company earnings, which will in turn must surely boost the stock market ... but, if people no longer have a job and a wage with which to buy the products these companies produce, then what? AI may drive productivity, but it does not drive demand.
Eventually we will adapt and find other avenues of employment (as we have in the past, e.g. agricultural machinery) but that will take time.
One thing I do agree with Henrik on: the economy is ultimately about the consumer. That's where I'm paying more and more attention ... that, and the growing global debt situation (government, as well as personal). For now, record government spending is kicking the can down the road ... how long can that last? Guess we have to wait, watch and see!
I mean certain markets have crashed. A ton of emerging markets like Brazil, Mexico, and China have all gone through sizable corrections. US Markets just keep sucking up global liquidity like a vacuum because the other major economies are in recession. Probably worth watching foreign currencies against USD to see if flows change and/or if the USD starts to precipitously fall, that could mean a change in sentiment for capital inflow/outflow, but I don’t see a US crash.
Its always inflation in a fiat currency monetary system and government overspending. Never deflation. Remember that!
Overproduction in China and Massive interest rates in Russia will help break the deflation bubble.
You have to listen very closely, but the FED works to maintain a weak domestic labor market. That is why the FED tries ride the edge of recession. US consumers have experienced excessive inflation. 70k to 100k cars, high house prices, extraordinarily high insurance rates, high food prices, and product inflation has been extraordinarily high.
The Chineese have aggravated the global business cycle with their predatory business practices. Coerce business partnership and local production for domestic access that enables production know how, steal technology that can not be bought through coercion or purchase of companies, government investment and incentives to build extremely industrial infrastructure. Trading with China will essentially end naturally by global consumer weakness. However, trading with China enables their military aggression. Therefore, the US needs to isolate China economically and technologically immediately.
This guys been saying this for years. Unreal.
This guy has been saying since 2020.
Him and David Hunter both. The targets keep moving higher. The crash date keeps getting pushed back.
Dimartino booth too. It is all gonna crash!!!!!!!….😮……in 2050
Lemmings all meet the same fate.
The world debased its way out of the 2020 recession. productivity is flat combined with debasement and inflation, not a healthy economy
@@RegularSizeRick So what is YOUR opinion? That we just continue to the sky the next 15 years - after already being in a bull market - more or less - for 15 years already? What is YOUR opinion? We have the probably highest level of the Buffet indicator EVER. SP500 stocks are trading at historically high P/E´s - I think the average currently is over 30 - but the "mean"-value is around 16. Tesla and BTC doubled in price in 3 months from around September 2024 without basically any fundamental changes. So where do YOU think we are headed? You think everything will just continue to go up and up and up forever??? Criticism is fine but then please also present your predictions.
We live in a world with a declining global population and especially the first world and China are leading the way now in the United States. The only population growth we've had is through immigration, both legal and illegal. If they crack down on that then you're going to have a declining population and that means a shrinking economy and this is uncharted Territory. Nowhere in history outside of war or plague. Have we ever had a declining population intentionally.
You are one of the first commenters that I've seen that really understands. Most people haven't even considered what is going to happen. I think this is psychologically difficult for most people. And they don't understand the implications. Prices will collapse! It should already be happening but the people in power within the systems are in denial. They keep propping up prices. It's actually going to be a good thing when prices fall this time, because they are too high, and people are having a difficult time living. I am not against rich people, do not misunderstand, but the rich have too much.
Oh boy. So if we cause inflation and everyone can’t afford to purchase said item and prices come down seeking equilibrium- that’s deflation? Yikes
Sure. Lovely video... question is when. Everyone saying there are many different issues and I agree but market keeps going up.
That´s why we sometimes get BIG corrections, like in 1929. The insanity can go on MUCH longer than you think. But the longer it goes on - the bigger the crash.
A few billionaires have taken over the entire economy. Small businesses are dying and wages aren’t keeping up with inflation.
And, climate change is crashing the home insurance market.
We are on the very edge of a Great Depression, not merely deflation or a recession.
This is interesting, the guy he has been talking about the nearly approaching deflation for more than one year. He´s shifting the timeline (doomsday) 3 months ahead at each interview. Always talking about the doomsday and I’m hearing the same rehearsed talk-show every time, even the same words. The wolf is coming or is he not? I think Zeberg just needs airtime for the money and seems skilled enough when he talks. He sits at home talking in the shows, never in an office. I have believed in his knowledge before but since he never proves his theory in reality I think its just another doomsday preacher...yes the day might come of course, but he has no idea at all, just a lot of talk.
Henrik Zeberg is the best 👍
Best contra indicator all times, agree.
You are correct for the right reasons
PLEASE start with telling theater of the intervieuw ! Thank you
China needs millions of Americans to buy houses there😮😊
OMG!!! FINELY HENRIK IS BACK THE REAL GOAT 👑👑👑🤩😃
Where is his track record. I agree with a lot of what he says. But does he have a track record in correctly predicting economic events
If deflation comes, China well placed, has accumulated over 30,000 tonnes of gold, its citizens also have many tonnes. Deflation causes liquidity crises, gold is used to provide liquidity through revaluation during liquidity crises.
So buy GLD ETF. Problem solved.
Gold does poor in deflation. Look at 2016.
Yeah people who have been calling for demise of China coming have invariably been proven wrong
Gold is very overpriced.
The PRC's is the economy which has to worry about deflation -- one reason why investors have been skittish on most things China-related. TH-cam channel proprietors aside, the USA's problem is a hot economy/inflation, not recession/deflation/crash..
Watched and commented often. Always forgot to sub 👍🏿
A choreographed red flag event will be the trigger to crash everything. All part of the grand scheme. I've been slowly buying and stocking an item that will be hard to find, needed by everyonet and increases in value year to year.
Is it toilet paper?
Stagflation ⚠️
Henrik is absolutely on point. Data and basic economics is proof we are headed for trouble.
The Fed are amazingly clueless. Bunch of incomptent phd's.
I agree with you. We are going to have a recession and here in New York. What I've noticed is the drop off in the number of the deliveries for Uber eats very noticeable. The number of bicycle delivery boys that have dried up all of a sudden both in Manhattan and Brooklyn
Ah, but who was doing the delivering? The election caused the drop-off because the illegals started disappearing after Trump won. Yesterday I was walking west on 28th street from the subway back to my office when I walked past the two pop-up mosques and the African themed moneygram store and there were for rent signs in all 3 windows. All the bicycles that used to be parked in front of it were gone. Poof. So fewer UberEats because the illegals are leaving. Made my day!!!!!!!
Very good. Henrik is som of the people i listen to....
Unlimited DEBT and Deficits don’t contribute to inflation, as the fiscal spending is out of control…imho ??
Haha....another site says ..
hyperinflation....
..because of LOW interest rates COMING...
Whatever...just bite down hard..and get thru this
Wow This guy does not get it. The FED, state & fed governments, etc., will not ever tolerate deflation. Inflation is still raging in food, fuel, electricity, nat gas, house prices, cars, debt forbearance & forgiveness, on and on. The FED needs to raise rates. Way too much inflation!
Inflation and interest rates has to come down there's no other option
Credit cards are not being paid. That's deflationary.
@@anniealexander9616 yes and that's will cause banks to default
@ nope. Disagree. Due to debt forbearance, forgiveness, & charge offs we never get to see the price discovery & deflation. This economy needs prices to come down, not rates.
@@vitalsigns6403 that not true either interest rates and inflation has to go down
No one is talking about Israel’s economic future! 😮
Nice to hear a projection on alt season.
Henrik realizes the Fed has been over target inflation for 44 months right? That the legal mandate is 0%.
They are all puppets or parots... Jerome tells Oringe Jeezus to kick rocks... Janet keeps writing rubber checks. Zelenski n NuttinNawlHoo get a few more 100 billion. Go MAGA 🎉🎉🎉
Spx might have topped
When was this interview recorded???
17th of January, 2025
We're already in a depression
I know we're in the deflation cycle because institutional investors are leaving equities in droves, and retail investors are piling in. 😂
You know a stock market bubble when…
Stagflation
I lived through stagflation. What we have now is the Garden of Eden compared to stagflation.
Guys, give me a break. The federal reserve has THOUSANDS of people work there doing research on the economy.
Are you trying to convince us that this guy in his vary pleasant home probably in Connecticut has more going on than all those people at the Fed?
Well Done !
Henrik is one of the most cogent, sober minded economist voices out there. Im fearful that the BOJ may have just popped his SnP targets.
Welll, the bond market thinks that inflation is going to rise because LT rates are going up in the face of lower ST rates.
The unemployment picture will rise steadily as jobs get replaced by A.I. Tech companies are already replacing staff.
Unemployment will rise due to lack of demand
Hes going to be right eventually. Hes been calling a recession for 5 years. I could make a yputube video and do the same and at.somw point be correct. Very smooth, but i dont know if id trust his analysis
I agree with Henrik, but I don't see much of a divergence with BTC/Altcoins and the SPX/NDX happening. Crypto is just a leveraged version of tech stocks. They will follow relatively in lock step. Maybe a divergence by 1 month max, to create a giant bulltrap.
Also, notice the strength with only certain alt coins this go around. U.S. based altcoins mostly. Alt season requires retail being cheerleaders online, and they are tapped/broke this go around.
Do not trade without a stop-loss this year.
You're awesome, Henrik, but I have to disagree with you - - we are currently in a recession.
This guy shills crappy crypto coins to his followers on twitter , be careful with this guy.. don’t trust everything he says blindly.
I believe bond market and 10 yr bond are going down, ergo increase in rates .
Way too hawkish? Thats just an opinion. Inflation is still over 2%
Since 2018 the same story...
Henrik Zeberg constantly moves the goal posts of his predictions. Sooner or later he can say "I got it right". He is also a pathetic coward who blocks anyone disagreeing with him on X.
This guy has clearly not been to the supermarket recently . Lagging indicator yes infection slowed for a while 6 months back but price increases are powering ahead again.
Sure. Particularly in Germany, where this guy is likely focused. But deflation won't be bad, at all. What, maybe 3% max? Closer to 1 - 2% , maybe?
And, it will be "goods related" meaning non-food, consumer-goods. I'm thinking that within 3 - 6 years deflation will impact business goods: financial crash may, may, result. But the USA has advantages other countries don't enjoy. Sorry!!
I don’t agree with his assessment, as we have bubbles in Housing, Stocks, and fiscal spending….as deficits continue to climb year over year….$$$$
18 year property/economic cycle is close.
This guy keeps making the rounds on all these channels preaching doom while at the same time raising his target for the market. First it was S&P 6100, then 6300. Now he’s at 6500. He will probably be back in 3 months with a 6700 target.
I don't know about 6400 for SP500. Might only see 6150.
THIS TIME ITS DIFFERENT! 😮
This guy's Crazy Crypto Rally prediction is Maddness.
In a Real downturn, Crypto will lead the way in loses.
But don't take my word for it, just watch what happens...
Platinum and Palladium are heavily oversold ❤❤ Blessings to you all for 2025❤❤
Deficit spending is NOT real growth. He is correct and wrong about inflation. The poor "80" percent of us including me, and the rich. People skimming off the top. The rich do not give a rats as about the cost off eggs and rent. Not even a little bit. They only care about asset inflation. The poor do, and believe me there IS FOOD and rent inflation and its well north of 10%. what he is talking about is asset deflation and he is right. The rich are going to get slammed as ALL assets crater in value. I dont care what it is. Its going to fall by at least 50 percent including gold and shit coin.
This man has been on the wrong side of the market (calling for a deflationary crash instead of an inflationary boom) for years. Literally years. When your ego prevents you from adjusting your analaysis despite being proven wrong over and over, you are not an analyst any more... you have become an evangelist.
Bears 🐻.
He’s so off I’m fed cutting rates they cannot cut rates you cut raise real estate price is going to skyrocket we need a 1990 recession or 1929 depression to get us out of this. You gotta feel the pain baby.
the only reason we will get a major crash is if the powers that be want it so... i can't imagine henrik is in that circle
I’m suspicious now that Trump is President the deep state will try to sink him. Watch the Fed start pulling all their back door life support plugs from the economy and scuttle the ship to hang it all around Trump’s neck. All the negative economic statistics that have been hidden will start coming out at the BLS. Of course JP Morgan, Goldman, and B of A will get advanced notice of the the Fed’s plan so they can position accordingly in advance and come out even bigger after the chaos.
Meanwhile eggs are at an all time high...
Just sayin'