Sometimes protecting your capital seems more important than making money, basically because if you lose your capital, making money is much more harder. Missing the train vs loosing your money. There're a lot of trains, however if you lose your money its gone.
Many overlook that banks are return-driven businesses. I don't trust keeping a large sum in a bank. Instead, I invest with guidance, enjoy the benefits, and save for retirement
DCA long term stay true to the game keep adding ZEROS to your net worth! Will there be a correction? Absolutely and pounce like a cheetah in the Serengeti!!!
Nobody knows anything. It's good to have a nice balanced portfolio, including cash on the side, so we're forever ready to trickle in if a downturn eventually occurs. Having had my portfolio steered by a CFA I guess it's a smart move to choose experience and professionalism over financial videos online if you're looking to really get on the positive side of the market, being guided avoids you unseen mistakes and has gotten my startup of 200k - $1m+ in twenty seven months with downside risk...
Who's your coach, I'd really appreciate if you don't mind. I’m trying to get an advisor for guidance but it’s been a hassle. Anyone who is fee-based is hard to find and usually have a heavy workload.
Oh very well then, conducting due diligence on *Lina Dineikiene* should suffice. The lady's been around for a while and her recommendations and market entry and exit points are quite top notch
I'm 54 and my wife and I are VERY worried about our future, gas and food prices rising daily. We have had our savings dwindle with the cost of living into the stratosphere, and we are finding it impossible to replace them. We can get by, but can't seem to get ahead. My condolences to anyone retiring in this crisis, 30 years nonstop just for a crooked system to take all you worked for.
I feel your pain mate, as a fellow retiree, I’d suggest you look into passive index fund investing and learn some more. For me, I had my share of ups and downs when I first started looking for a consistent passive income so I hired an expert advisor for aid, and following her advice, I poured $30k in value stocks and digital assets, Up to 200k so far and pretty sure I'm ready for whatever comes.
@@ThamaraSchlossarek That's actually quite impressive, I could use some Info on your FA, I am looking to make a change on my finances this year as well
@@ThamaraSchlossarek The crazy part is that those advisors are probably outperforming the market and raising good returns but some are charging fees over fees that drain your portfolio. Is this the case with yours too?
I'm sorry, but this guy predicted gold to go below $300/oz a few years ago. The great thing about the internet is that you can't escape from terribly wrong calls.
I fully liquidated at SPY 600. Happy to sit out till valuation metrics return to historical norms. I think there's way more downside in equities than a %5 annual inflation tax from being in cash. Good luck to you all.
@@tourniquin Yeah - understood. My cash is in a 3.6% money market yield. So yes, it's less than T bonds but slightly more accessible. Makes sense to me.
I think the top in the S&P is 6300. Then we start the descent. That descent is going to last years and IMHO goes down at least 75% for all markets except the high flyers, those go down 91%. I would suggest note, bills, bonds, or CDs to put your cash in. You can get 4.5% that is better than nothing.
Pretty much my reading. When Trump get in place in a few days and then realize all his vapor promises vanishes, specially war in Ucraine and middle east follow by rapid inflation riding on his tariff program, will be a time of reality check for a large segment of the population.
Tired of the "recession is coming!" threat. Recessive periods come along with equivalent market opportunities if you are well informed and equipped, I've seen folks amass wealth in the midst of economic turmoil and even pull it off easily in favorable conditions. Invariably, the collapse is getting somebody somewhere rich
the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.
Risk mitigation is indeed something to consider well before setting out on investments. Most often than not, CFAs take care of this perfectly. People downplay the role of CFAs until being burnt by their own instincts. I was in a similar situation a few years ago; Took my chances but stocks went crashing. Realizing I wasn't good at timing the market, I started working with an Adviser, which helped me build a $1.6m portfolio.
My CFA ’Annette Christine Conte’ , a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
Everything will get smacked but gold ain't going to $1,300 bro. As soon as the water gets choppy, the fed will break out the QE bazookas and inflation will restart all over again.
Gold at $1,300 is another one of the “I totally don’t get what is happening” moments when henrik reveals who he is. Don’t let this guy anywhere near your money
That's true not just of the market. Cynics sound like they know something you don't know/understand, people who are positive sound naive. The markets go up over time. Betting against them is betting against the house, you lose.h
The economy is not a good place right now. What we really need is deflation I would say around 10% would be great. I know corporate America doesn’t like that idea , but it would be good for most of the people in this country. we also need to cut government spending, deregulate and eliminate subsidies.
I haven't come across Henrik Zeberg before. I cannot fault a single thing he has said. I've made a diary note six months ahead to see how many of his predictions will have come true. I've a hunch there will be several.
Henrik, that flickering light in your home is not only annoying in your video feed but can actually have negative health effects. You may not consciously notice it, but muscles and sensors in your eyes may which can lead to headaches and other issues.
that light is not flickering for him, it only appears that way to us because most likely he's recording at a different frame rate to what the light source frequency is in Europe. eg. if the light source frequency in Europe is 50Hz and his camera is recording at 60fps or 30fps then there is a mismatch in frequency and it appears as if the light is flickering even when in reality it is not.
Are you still going long here at these levels? I am curious? I need to know who to thank for feeding all my shorts in the next 2 to 5 years. Could I be wrong and you correct? Of course. Want to meet me back here in a few years?
If I may make a suggestion to your interview process is to give one last question to your guest, I'd like to hear some of these experts who continue to be bearish calling on the market to break ...ask what is their moves/strategies on how they will invest in a down market ( what etf, bonds, etc. ) to preserve their wealth
I'm in the camp that says metals prices do not go up but currency is devalued. If the economy starts going down and the Fed replays their current playbook and prints more money, then money will be devalued even more and precious metals (especially gold) will go up. Buy the dip.
I think S&P 500 is going for a correction soon. It is 2 years after the correction and it is about time. I aim to gain from this and I'm doing it with 200k and less, thru covered call ETFs, ranging 9-11% divs paid monthly. Am i on the right track?
Such uncertainties are the reasons I don’t base my judgement on a ''heresay''. My dollar portfolio is made up of 30% S&P500, 25% Index funds(ETFs),15% Gold and over 30% in digital assets, thanks to my CFA for this accurate asset allocation. This strategy is what works for my spouse and I. We've made over 80% capital growth minus dividends.
@@olivenealr06 Absolutely! My advisor’s name is Jennifer Leigh Hickman. I’d be happy to connect you-Jennifer has been fantastic in helping me build a solid, long-term strategy. You can explore how she might help with your goals too.
Absolutely! My advisor’s name is Jennifer Leigh Hickman. I’d be happy to connect you-Jennifer has been fantastic in helping me build a solid, long-term strategy. You can explore how she might help with your goals too.
@@trufflecappuccino If you have 10K, borrow another 90K and invest the full 100K, you can make a lot more profit than if you just invest the 10K you had to start with. That is... as long as your profit is bigger than the interest you pay on your loan. If the return on your investment is less, or if the investment goes wrong, you're screwed. That's how banks worked back then and still work today.
We've been in depression ever since. You don't print money in normal times. You don't need to. You print money in depressions. In many countries we are literally in a per capita depression according to the data, and it's quite a nasty one, too. We never paid off the debt jubilee of 2008 and we won't ever get started on paying off the 2020 one, so people pay with their hopes and dreams instead.
@@trufflecappuccinoyes of course they are. they are sitting on a massive loss in the form of commerical real estate. Most of that needs to be refinanced in 2025. but that isn't the only problem there are many many more. I am tracking 16 possible (some very probable) black swan events. the bank issue is just one of them. Be careful.
"You say we're on the brink of destruction and you're right. But it's only on the brink that people find the will to change. Only at the precipice do we evolve. This is our moment." --Professor Barnhardt
So much of the economy is tied up in the wealth effect that if that were to reverse the economy would falter materially. It's really backwards of what you were taught in your Macro and Monetary classes. I.e., that markets are driving the economy and not the other way around. I'm sure the Fed has some sort of understanding of this which means that they do have a vested interest in the levels of equity and real estate markets where they used to just focus on the debt markets and more to the point the UST market.
Hi I really enjoy your channel. My question is what is Henriks view on Gold Mining Stocks compared to Physical Gold. We know that Physical Gold rallied in 2024 and Henrik is now expecting a pull back, but does he also expect any pull back on the Gold Miners as they didn’t rally in tandem with physical Gold. Are Miners a HOLD?
The "law of diminishing returns" applies to resource depletion. "Low hanging fruit" is easily harvested, but as time goes by more and more effort must be applied toward achieving the desired harvest. This is most profoundly applicable to world petroleum production, where the value of everything is linked to its availability, where depletion is most evidenced by inflation. "You can take that to the bank!"
Deflation cant happen in this system because the fed central banks dont allow it. All you need to do is say here is 2000 dollars everyone for food. Deflation happens when there is sound money on gold standard great depression was deflation.
@@alliedmastercomputer5407 yes it always takes a hit but 50%? So gold will be 1300? As long as the US keeps all these wars going with its fiat gold aint going down to 1300.
US markets have been pulling in funds from the rest of the world. China is the most obvious but from Europe as well. But to be fair, the US is where investors are most excited about.
Big fan of Henrik Zeberg here from Østerbro. Those flickering Christmas lights on the screen are causing a bit of dazzle on the eyes. It was a bit disturbing. Other than that it was a pleasure to listen to Henrik. Den Stor jul belysning er lidt for meget på skærmen Henrik, tak 😏
Have you factored the increase in M2 as part of all your analysis? I agree we’re in a bubble, but I don’t think it’ll “pop” purely because of the enormous currency debasement.
Thanks to you, I now have realistic expectations for this bull run. I entered crypto earlier this year, and your insights on cycles and market connections have been invaluable. I now understand how global markets impact crypto, so I'm watching traditional market tops closely. Without your guidance, I’d probably be holding blindly instead of actively managing my positions. Growing my portfolio from 2.3 BTC to 24 BTC in a few months has been incredible. Special thanks to Harry’s Dent for his expertise, which has been essential in navigating this complex landscape.
You both are right. This is what happens. We either get hyperinfaltion or stagflation (both are good for gold) and that leads us into a massive deflationary depression. People are going to need cash they will be selling EVERYTHING to get it. Gold is no exception. So we are going to have to time this one. Those just holding gold or anything for that matter are hope and pray folks. I don't think it ends well for them. I think folks are actually worth 1/2 or even 3/4 less then they think are. There is going to be the biggest transfer in wealth in the next few years but it is not going to be from the boomers to their kids it is going to be the massive decline in all markets. When history looks back on it they will say ... how did we not see this coming. What they mean to say is they didn't see it coming. I see it very clearly. Best of luck.
Big changes are coming. And hopefully big opportunities along with them. The market won't reset until there is a big reason for it to do so. I'm wondering what will be the reason.
@@timothykalamaros2954 search up Uganda gold reserve discovery a couple years ago effectively doubling the worlds gold supply. In the 70s I heard about satellite technology that can point out minerals all over the world. They probably knew about it in the 70s but they disclosed in the 2010s. I think gold prices are extremely exaggerated and manipulated.
not even the greatest investors in the world can call tops and bottoms...Michael Burry has called the top on the markets around 2-3 times now and they made a movie about him. Everyone is just guessing. Buy when something seems cheap and don't chase when things get expensive. A lot of what Henrik says makes sense but I can guarantee it will not play out exactly the way he is calling it.
Thanks for your efforts! I hold CONY,MSTY, ULTY, TSLY, YBIT, and BITO. I just reduced my BITO. Looking to add to ULTY. My cost on TSLY is $12.10, $24.25 on MSTY, I am red on CONY, ULTY and YBIT. Trying to be patient on entries. I have noticed new etf's fade in price initially. do you?
The neoclassical economist thinks asset prices represent wealth, but this isn’t true. When asset prices have fallen sufficiently, we start to think about what wealth really is. Second time around it’s a lot easier as the Americans have been through this before. Where is the wealth in the economy? The Americans had thought rising asset prices represented real wealth, until the Wall Street Crash of 1929. They had trusted the markets to tell them what was going on in the economy, but this had proved to be a big mistake. They needed something new to tell them what was really going on in the economy and they invented GDP. GDP measures economic activity in the economy; the new items produced and sold every year in the economy. That’s where the real wealth in the economy lies. It may not be perfect, but it's the best measure we have and this is why global policymakers want to grow GDP. The everything bubble. The day of reckoning draws near. We like to think asset prices represent wealth, but the real world brings us to our senses eventually. The truth always comes out in the end.
Very well said. In the Great Recession, many of the wealthy had big homes that were mostly empty, because they had to sell their furniture and all their valuables in order to eat! People jumped out of their windows to their death, because they'd lost everything. Today, people can't believe that our government will allow another crash, but the Feds and politicians have put us in a much more precarious situation than 1929, in my opinion. It's out of control, as each day, our debt increases, exponentially. Already, there are major cracks in the economy. The only question is, when will this top heavy ship sink?
It's all about liquidity. The best explanation of this fact comes from Jeremy Grantham. He calls all physical assets, claims on exising money. There is only a very small amount of existing money to cover all the "claims". Thats why when sellers outnumber buyers, prices can plummet very quickly as there is not enough cash to trasfer to those who want to exchage their products for that pile of money. As always, it will take an injection of fear to start the illiquidity problem. When that starts is anybody's guess.
"The coyotte is running over the cliff" 😂😂😂 Dont insult coyottes like that😂😂😂 Buggs bunny is putting tarifs on those chinese carrots😂 and BRICS dynamite😂😂😂
This guy was telling the same story and calling for an imminent market crash in February in his appearance on the Crypto Banter channel with Raul Pal. If you just keep on predicting market crashes, someday you will be right.
Based only on what I heard here, Zeberg has been bullish on Bitcoin for a long time, but sees the 'end' in Jan-Feb,,,,and south from there. His thoughts on the markets coincide nicely with my own.
Deflation is what we need, but the unemployment will go up. There really aren't very many decent jobs available, unless you're a nurse. Companies aren't taking any risks. So many people I know who don't have jobs, but they just do asset trading. I think that's shameful. I hope America starts MAKING products again.
BTC was at 70k with rates at 0% and is at 100k with rates over 4%. How can you have deflation when US is printing billions of dollars? Average bull (which we are in according to Fidelity Research) lasts about 3 years, so we have at least 2 or 3 quarters to run. Crypto historically runs for about a year from October and this time, with all ETFs inflows and hype around BTC, bull will last 2 months? I agree next year will be cycle top, but there's no true euphoria yet - and the top is in when the last bear turns bull. This time people have been calling "bubble" and top since April 2024. It's still room to run and you gotta be prepares - make most of this bulla because the next bear will be horrible. Regarding that banana, I doubt billionaire cares about $6M.
Henrik is not an honest actor. I believe there is some merit to what he says, but he has been saying "BLOW OFF TOP EARLY 2024!" since 2022/23. Then he moved his target date when that didn't happen. "Bigger than great depression incoming! June 2024!" Then he moved it again. Henrik then STARTED BLOCKING PEOPLE who asked about this discrepancy on twitter. Why? Because he has subscription plans to sell. His incentive isn't to be right, but APPEAR right.
I'd like to hold cash, but it feels a bit off, especially when you see the 36T deficit the country is in, unfortunately they are going to try to inflate this deficit away to devalue it along with everyone's cash, wouldn't that make gold the better hold ? Or maybe 50/50. The markets are going to crash when everyone pulls out, so I definitely don't want to stay in too long
Gold position today surely is a reaction to the other asset bubbles. Central banks buying for security. The same with private buyers, to protect their wealth.
What this guy is missing, in my opinion, is that to some degree the regular folks are trying to front run the inevitable money printing following the drop during a recession, where these stock exchanges and stock platforms block selling or buying, and you have to already be in an asset to be able to participate like the companies themselves that will always make sure they are ahead of the trade (see Citadel for example a few years back)
Game theory is dominated by often-misunderstood Nash Equilibrium. To me, the lesson to be learned is that when playing a zero-sum game, like Monopoly, where the winner unwittingly becomes the loser, too, by not having any more customers, the only way out of losing is for all parties to unilaterally quit playing the game (witness the growing national debt, now at $35 trillion, and a dying planet from global warming). When the game is growth through a growing population, that is a unsustainable zero-sum game. In finding Nash Equilibrium, the longer the zero-sum game is played, the greater the catastrophic fall. Nash equilibrium requires that a different game be played, hopefully one that is sustainable, like limiting human population to what can be supported by available sunlight, as has been the case for all of human history until now.
When the bubble collapses, as Mr. Zeberg says, I can't help but think of the flood of Bitcoin that'll hit the market from companies- like MicroStrategy- that'll be forced to sell. It'll be bloodbath, and another awesome opportunity to buy. I'm amused so many crypto influencers don't think about the huge amount of corporate Bitcoin that can be sold off in a panic.
Presently, every man, woman and child now owes approximately $100,000 on the national debt. Each must pay approximately $3,000 (which will be borrowed by the government) annually just to prevent default. "Kicking the can'" by not facing the reality will only exacerbate the inevitable collapse.
Markets go up , markets go down..don't put all your eggs in one basket..and will you be alright in the long run....one more thing ..don't trust wall street !!
And that pump phase will last for 6 to 12 more months. And the pump will end with one giant euphoric final pump. Probably to over for $200K for a day or two. And the rapid decline by 80 percent. If previous cycles more or less repeat
Meantime Bit-Con is Eating up more Electrical Power than 23 States here in the USA and the amount it needs just to SURVIVE grows by the Hour. So we are WASTING our most valuable Natural Resources (OUR REAL WEALTH) just to keep some SCAM "new currency system" Up and running ????? REALLY ?? Is this Comedy or Insanity ? (lol)
Investment Concerns? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion’s endorsed financial advisors at bit.ly/41qyoKH
Sometimes protecting your capital seems more important than making money, basically because if you lose your capital, making money is much more harder. Missing the train vs loosing your money. There're a lot of trains, however if you lose your money its gone.
Many overlook that banks are return-driven businesses. I don't trust keeping a large sum in a bank. Instead, I invest with guidance, enjoy the benefits, and save for retirement
DCA long term stay true to the game keep adding ZEROS to your net worth! Will there be a correction? Absolutely and pounce like a cheetah in the Serengeti!!!
Nobody knows anything. It's good to have a nice balanced portfolio, including cash on the side, so we're forever ready to trickle in if a downturn eventually occurs. Having had my portfolio steered by a CFA I guess it's a smart move to choose experience and professionalism over financial videos online if you're looking to really get on the positive side of the market, being guided avoids you unseen mistakes and has gotten my startup of 200k - $1m+ in twenty seven months with downside risk...
Who's your coach, I'd really appreciate if you don't mind. I’m trying to get an advisor for guidance but it’s been a hassle. Anyone who is fee-based is hard to find and usually have a heavy workload.
Oh very well then, conducting due diligence on *Lina Dineikiene* should suffice. The lady's been around for a while and her recommendations and market entry and exit points are quite top notch
I'm 54 and my wife and I are VERY worried about our future, gas and food prices rising daily. We have had our savings dwindle with the cost of living into the stratosphere, and we are finding it impossible to replace them. We can get by, but can't seem to get ahead. My condolences to anyone retiring in this crisis, 30 years nonstop just for a crooked system to take all you worked for.
I feel your pain mate, as a fellow retiree, I’d suggest you look into passive index fund investing and learn some more. For me, I had my share of ups and downs when I first started looking for a consistent passive income so I hired an expert advisor for aid, and following her advice, I poured $30k in value stocks and digital assets, Up to 200k so far and pretty sure I'm ready for whatever comes.
@@ThamaraSchlossarek That's actually quite impressive, I could use some Info on your FA, I am looking to make a change on my finances this year as well
@@ClarieZwiehoff My advisor is *MARGARET MOLLI ALVEY*
You can look her up online
@@ThamaraSchlossarek The crazy part is that those advisors are probably outperforming the market and raising good returns but some are charging fees over fees that drain your portfolio. Is this the case with yours too?
I'm sorry, but this guy predicted gold to go below $300/oz a few years ago.
The great thing about the internet is that you can't escape from terribly wrong calls.
TAX cuts for corporatyions not working class. It is going to be absolutely Deflationary Bust
Disagree on GOLD crash here........ real Money is GOLD & SILVER (its insurance buy and never sell till fial currency crash and burn
and he has been calling for "the" bublle to burst tomorrow for over 3 years too
he is wrong alot
@@KENTIGER1000 Corporate tax cuts will def lead to inflationary stock market.
Thanks!
I fully liquidated at SPY 600. Happy to sit out till valuation metrics return to historical norms. I think there's way more downside in equities than a %5 annual inflation tax from being in cash. Good luck to you all.
At least buy bonds or SGOV and get some return on your cash. Makes inflation more tolerable.
@@tourniquin Yeah - understood. My cash is in a 3.6% money market yield. So yes, it's less than T bonds but slightly more accessible. Makes sense to me.
I think the top in the S&P is 6300. Then we start the descent. That descent is going to last years and IMHO goes down at least 75% for all markets except the high flyers, those go down 91%. I would suggest note, bills, bonds, or CDs to put your cash in. You can get 4.5% that is better than nothing.
it's crazy to be more than 50% cash. A total gamble and just too greedy.
Anyway, good luck.
Pretty much my reading. When Trump get in place in a few days and then realize all his vapor promises vanishes, specially war in Ucraine and middle east follow by rapid inflation riding on his tariff program, will be a time of reality check for a large segment of the population.
Tired of the "recession is coming!" threat. Recessive periods come along with equivalent market opportunities if you are well informed and equipped, I've seen folks amass wealth in the midst of economic turmoil and even pull it off easily in favorable conditions. Invariably, the collapse is getting somebody somewhere rich
the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.
Risk mitigation is indeed something to consider well before setting out on investments. Most often than not, CFAs take care of this perfectly. People downplay the role of CFAs until being burnt by their own instincts. I was in a similar situation a few years ago; Took my chances but stocks went crashing. Realizing I wasn't good at timing the market, I started working with an Adviser, which helped me build a $1.6m portfolio.
Mind if I ask you to recommend this particular coach you using their service? Seems you've figured it all out.
My CFA ’Annette Christine Conte’ , a renowned figure in her line of work. I recommend researching her credentials further. She has many years of experience and is a valuable resource for anyone looking to navigate the financial market.
Just ran an online search on her name and came across her websiite; pretty well educated. thank you for sharing.
Everything will get smacked but gold ain't going to $1,300 bro. As soon as the water gets choppy, the fed will break out the QE bazookas and inflation will restart all over again.
Gold at $1,300 is another one of the “I totally don’t get what is happening” moments when henrik reveals who he is. Don’t let this guy anywhere near your money
FED cannot do QE unless they are at 0% interest rates. They are not even close right now
You are correct it goes below $750.
@@theheadlightfamily4720 FED can set interest rate at 0 tomorrow if they deem it necessary. Make no mistake on this.
@theheadlightfamily4720 it won't matter if the Fed buys it's own debt
Again a perfect example of “bears sound smart but bulls make money”
that's what kiddos said in January 2022
Awesome comment 😊
@ thank you, important things need to be addressed ☺️☺️
That's true not just of the market. Cynics sound like they know something you don't know/understand, people who are positive sound naive.
The markets go up over time. Betting against them is betting against the house, you lose.h
A perfect example of exit liquidity if you believe things go up forever.
HZ, brilliant...expert analysis. Thanks!🎉🎉🎉😊
Sooo sooo great to hear Henrik Z! He is the GOAT!
The economy is not a good place right now. What we really need is deflation I would say around 10% would be great. I know corporate America doesn’t like that idea , but it would be good for most of the people in this country. we also need to cut government spending, deregulate and eliminate subsidies.
Fantastic discussion
Excellent analysis
Thank you Sir
Thank You Gentlemen
I haven't come across Henrik Zeberg before. I cannot fault a single thing he has said. I've made a diary note six months ahead to see how many of his predictions will have come true. I've a hunch there will be several.
If by several you mean Zero, then you're right. You would know none of his nonsense will come true if came across him before.
Henrik, that flickering light in your home is not only annoying in your video feed but can actually have negative health effects. You may not consciously notice it, but muscles and sensors in your eyes may which can lead to headaches and other issues.
Sound advice. I know from my time in Denmark they love these weird low hanging lights and so many people wear glasses
that light is not flickering for him, it only appears that way to us because most likely he's recording at a different frame rate to what the light source frequency is in Europe. eg. if the light source frequency in Europe is 50Hz and his camera is recording at 60fps or 30fps then there is a mismatch in frequency and it appears as if the light is flickering even when in reality it is not.
Yah they said the market was overvauled 10 years ago too... imagine if u never got in the market then
Are you still going long here at these levels? I am curious? I need to know who to thank for feeding all my shorts in the next 2 to 5 years. Could I be wrong and you correct? Of course. Want to meet me back here in a few years?
@@bpb5541 Good luck losing all ur money bro
People are so confident with the stock market, reminds me of 1999 Internet bubble.
You guyzz have great podcast
I listen to many but most are just talking heads blah blah blah yours have great points and not the usual boring guests
I hope you can get Zeberg at the podcast again later January 2025 🎉 love that guy
If I may make a suggestion to your interview process is to give one last question to your guest, I'd like to hear some of these experts who continue to be bearish calling on the market to break ...ask what is their moves/strategies on how they will invest in a down market ( what etf, bonds, etc. ) to preserve their wealth
I'm in the camp that says metals prices do not go up but currency is devalued. If the economy starts going down and the Fed replays their current playbook and prints more money, then money will be devalued even more and precious metals (especially gold) will go up. Buy the dip.
I think S&P 500 is going for a correction soon. It is 2 years after the correction and it is about time. I aim to gain from this and I'm doing it with 200k and less, thru covered call ETFs, ranging 9-11% divs paid monthly. Am i on the right track?
Do you listen to what Tom Lee? Small caps are under valued. That's the best place for growth in the next year.
Such uncertainties are the reasons I don’t base my judgement on a ''heresay''. My dollar portfolio is made up of 30% S&P500, 25% Index funds(ETFs),15% Gold and over 30% in digital assets, thanks to my CFA for this accurate asset allocation. This strategy is what works for my spouse and I. We've made over 80% capital growth minus dividends.
I find your situation fascinating. Would you be willing to suggest a trusted advisr you've worked with?
@@olivenealr06 Absolutely! My advisor’s name is Jennifer Leigh Hickman. I’d be happy to connect you-Jennifer has been fantastic in helping me build a solid, long-term strategy. You can explore how she might help with your goals too.
Absolutely! My advisor’s name is Jennifer Leigh Hickman. I’d be happy to connect you-Jennifer has been fantastic in helping me build a solid, long-term strategy. You can explore how she might help with your goals too.
Last big recession was 08. Only makes sense to see we are overdue.
2008 banks screwed up. Are they screwing up now??
@@trufflecappuccinothey never stopped
@@trufflecappuccino If you have 10K, borrow another 90K and invest the full 100K, you can make a lot more profit than if you just invest the 10K you had to start with. That is... as long as your profit is bigger than the interest you pay on your loan. If the return on your investment is less, or if the investment goes wrong, you're screwed. That's how banks worked back then and still work today.
We've been in depression ever since. You don't print money in normal times. You don't need to. You print money in depressions. In many countries we are literally in a per capita depression according to the data, and it's quite a nasty one, too.
We never paid off the debt jubilee of 2008 and we won't ever get started on paying off the 2020 one, so people pay with their hopes and dreams instead.
@@trufflecappuccinoyes of course they are. they are sitting on a massive loss in the form of commerical real estate. Most of that needs to be refinanced in 2025. but that isn't the only problem there are many many more. I am tracking 16 possible (some very probable) black swan events. the bank issue is just one of them. Be careful.
James Connor does not dominate the interview.. allows guest to talk more.
Me thinketh yep., the enthusiasm is.......contagious @!?😉🤪😅😅😅
Let's have his predictions for a low in BitCoin and Microstrategy please!
"You say we're on the brink of destruction and you're right. But it's only on the brink that people find the will to change. Only at the precipice do we evolve. This is our moment." --Professor Barnhardt
So much of the economy is tied up in the wealth effect that if that were to reverse the economy would falter materially. It's really backwards of what you were taught in your Macro and Monetary classes. I.e., that markets are driving the economy and not the other way around. I'm sure the Fed has some sort of understanding of this which means that they do have a vested interest in the levels of equity and real estate markets where they used to just focus on the debt markets and more to the point the UST market.
Yes, so much tax is collected from illusory stock and property gains taxes that they have a vested interest in taking it to infinity and beyond
But what is Henrik's price target for the bottom for Bitcoin? I dont recall him stating this
Really enjoyed this discussion!
Excellent interview. Specific levels of all asset classes and timeframes to expect them. I wish Henrik would show these projections on charts!
Hi I really enjoy your channel. My question is what is Henriks view on Gold Mining Stocks compared to Physical Gold. We know that Physical Gold rallied in 2024 and Henrik is now expecting a pull back, but does he also expect any pull back on the Gold Miners as they didn’t rally in tandem with physical Gold. Are Miners a HOLD?
Good luck and a happy new year❤
The "law of diminishing returns" applies to resource depletion. "Low hanging fruit" is easily harvested, but as time goes by more and more effort must be applied toward achieving the desired harvest. This is most profoundly applicable to world petroleum production, where the value of everything is linked to its availability, where depletion is most evidenced by inflation. "You can take that to the bank!"
Thanks for your video as always. You forgot to ask him about his prediction of Bitcoin lows after deflationary bust and then after stagflation.
Henrik gets it. Understated though is the looming capital velocity collapse
Great show. Make sure he comes back in 3 months
Some deflation would be great. My monthly groceries cost more than my mortgage.
Same !!!! That is insane right?
just don't eat so much. Problem solved!
Yes, waiting for some housing deflation here. Pure insanity!
Ok. Gold down 50% in this deflationary bust. Ok. Yes get him back on when this does not happen.
Deflation cant happen in this system because the fed central banks dont allow it. All you need to do is say here is 2000 dollars everyone for food. Deflation happens when there is sound money on gold standard great depression was deflation.
Gold and the dollar will go down in this scenanrio. Henrik is a clown but this is correct...if deflation happens
@@alliedmastercomputer5407 yes it always takes a hit but 50%? So gold will be 1300? As long as the US keeps all these wars going with its fiat gold aint going down to 1300.
Deflation with the current debt
Public debt/GDP and deficit is... ekhem... inflationary. Nothing stops fiat from inflation
@@dant3232 Gold wont lose against a fiat currency. It went up before 2008 and after the crash.
US markets have been pulling in funds from the rest of the world. China is the most obvious but from Europe as well. But to be fair, the US is where investors are most excited about.
Big fan of Henrik Zeberg here from Østerbro.
Those flickering Christmas lights on the screen are causing a bit of dazzle on the eyes. It was a bit disturbing.
Other than that it was a pleasure to listen to Henrik.
Den Stor jul belysning er lidt for meget på skærmen Henrik, tak 😏
is there a web link to Henrik's track record over the last 10 years or so? thanks
I predict with 100% certainty that the market will go down or up; soon or later.
Just stick to one and keep repeating it for years.. then when it happens you can say 'I told you so'😂
That is truly a sound and trustworthy prediction.
Have you factored the increase in M2 as part of all your analysis? I agree we’re in a bubble, but I don’t think it’ll “pop” purely because of the enormous currency debasement.
Thanks to you, I now have realistic expectations for this bull run. I entered crypto earlier this year, and your insights on cycles and market connections have been invaluable. I now understand how global markets impact crypto, so I'm watching traditional market tops closely. Without your guidance, I’d probably be holding blindly instead of actively managing my positions. Growing my portfolio from 2.3 BTC to 24 BTC in a few months has been incredible. Special thanks to Harry’s Dent for his expertise, which has been essential in navigating this complex landscape.
One question: Will Trump’s policies (I.e tariff) make the situation worse? I think it would since tariffs will raise prices
When?
Mostly agree except for gold - debasement/reflation risk will keep gold elevated.
You both are right. This is what happens. We either get hyperinfaltion or stagflation (both are good for gold) and that leads us into a massive deflationary depression. People are going to need cash they will be selling EVERYTHING to get it. Gold is no exception. So we are going to have to time this one. Those just holding gold or anything for that matter are hope and pray folks. I don't think it ends well for them. I think folks are actually worth 1/2 or even 3/4 less then they think are. There is going to be the biggest transfer in wealth in the next few years but it is not going to be from the boomers to their kids it is going to be the massive decline in all markets. When history looks back on it they will say ... how did we not see this coming. What they mean to say is they didn't see it coming. I see it very clearly. Best of luck.
Big changes are coming. And hopefully big opportunities along with them. The market won't reset until there is a big reason for it to do so. I'm wondering what will be the reason.
What are his opinions regarding the housing market?
Obviously it will take a big hit. It is as inflated as the stock market.
Arket
Yes please! Looking forward to deflation in the housing market!
Gold's going down. Btc is going down. The dollar is going up - forever? The debt is going up - forever? Really? Doesn't pass the smell test imo.
Exactly. Concepts don’t hold together in a consistent way
Yes these guy get air time but really these know nothing
do the duck test then. If it looks like a duck, swims like a duck, and quacks like a duck, then it probably is a duck.
Debt going up forever passed the sniff test, so 1 out of 3 is right?
@geocam2 It will happen fast BTC?
Excellent video
I believe that the only crypto with real intrinsic value is XRP
Golds not dropping 50 bro.
And as much as I’m tempted to buy the overall scenario - it’s been a constant refrain for years
Someone should really check this guy out for real….he is a joker first class
Look at the gold chart for 2002 at $235 gold was $850 in the 80s so he’s not crazy😮
@ yes 500 trillion usd later you expect gold to drop 50%?
@@timothykalamaros2954 search up Uganda gold reserve discovery a couple years ago effectively doubling the worlds gold supply. In the 70s I heard about satellite technology that can point out minerals all over the world. They probably knew about it in the 70s but they disclosed in the 2010s. I think gold prices are extremely exaggerated and manipulated.
NO you are correct. It drops 75%. Folks are going to need cash. They will be selling everything to get it, including gold.
Tesla P/E stock is more than 100, big bubble to explode. Be prepared!
It’s PEG is 6.07 😂😂😂😂
Sugar rush bomb imploding in 3 2 1 ..
Musk is in the US gov now and has Trumps ear, i doubt it will be bad for tesla.
not even the greatest investors in the world can call tops and bottoms...Michael Burry has called the top on the markets around 2-3 times now and they made a movie about him. Everyone is just guessing. Buy when something seems cheap and don't chase when things get expensive. A lot of what Henrik says makes sense but I can guarantee it will not play out exactly the way he is calling it.
Excellent info thanks
So Henrik are you predicting a deep recession or a mild/ moderate recession?
Thanks for your efforts! I hold CONY,MSTY, ULTY, TSLY, YBIT, and BITO. I just reduced my BITO. Looking to add to ULTY. My cost on TSLY is $12.10, $24.25 on MSTY, I am red on CONY, ULTY and YBIT. Trying to be patient on entries. I have noticed new etf's fade in price initially. do you?
Come january 2, im liquidating everything.
Look out below! The Economy is over the cliff!
completely lost .recession, the deflation, then cuts, then inflation...impossible to time this
The neoclassical economist thinks asset prices represent wealth, but this isn’t true.
When asset prices have fallen sufficiently, we start to think about what wealth really is.
Second time around it’s a lot easier as the Americans have been through this before.
Where is the wealth in the economy?
The Americans had thought rising asset prices represented real wealth, until the Wall Street Crash of 1929.
They had trusted the markets to tell them what was going on in the economy, but this had proved to be a big mistake.
They needed something new to tell them what was really going on in the economy and they invented GDP.
GDP measures economic activity in the economy; the new items produced and sold every year in the economy.
That’s where the real wealth in the economy lies.
It may not be perfect, but it's the best measure we have and this is why global policymakers want to grow GDP.
The everything bubble.
The day of reckoning draws near.
We like to think asset prices represent wealth, but the real world brings us to our senses eventually.
The truth always comes out in the end.
Very well said. In the Great Recession, many of the wealthy had big homes that were mostly empty, because they had to sell their furniture and all their valuables in order to eat! People jumped out of their windows to their death, because they'd lost everything.
Today, people can't believe that our government will allow another crash, but the Feds and politicians have put us in a much more precarious situation than 1929, in my opinion. It's out of control, as each day, our debt increases, exponentially. Already, there are major cracks in the economy.
The only question is, when will this top heavy ship sink?
He’s completely right but I think market can go up longer than he can stay solvent
How is cutting Taxes Inflationary?
Because then consumers would have more cash to spend.
Same prediction last year. And the year before.
And the year before and the decade before….huuuuugh collaps ahead gold to be wacked by half lol
It's all about liquidity. The best explanation of this fact comes from Jeremy Grantham. He calls all physical assets, claims on exising money. There is only a very small amount of existing money to cover all the "claims". Thats why when sellers outnumber buyers, prices can plummet very quickly as there is not enough cash to trasfer to those who want to exchage their products for that pile of money. As always, it will take an injection of fear to start the illiquidity problem. When that starts is anybody's guess.
Excellent.
Adobe shares tumbled after the software vendor issued revenue guidance that fell short of analysts’ estimates.
Has started
"The coyotte is running over the cliff" 😂😂😂
Dont insult coyottes like that😂😂😂
Buggs bunny is putting tarifs on those chinese carrots😂 and BRICS dynamite😂😂😂
😆😆🎄🎄🎁🎁💕💕
This guy was telling the same story and calling for an imminent market crash in February in his appearance on the Crypto Banter channel with Raul Pal. If you just keep on predicting market crashes, someday you will be right.
Based only on what I heard here, Zeberg has been bullish on Bitcoin for a long time, but sees the 'end' in Jan-Feb,,,,and south from there. His thoughts on the markets coincide nicely with my own.
Im excited for the bubble to bust!
At some point wages for working class people will have to be raised to offset the recent 9 percent inflation rate most workers have experienced.
What would Gold be in pounds though?
Deflation is what we need, but the unemployment will go up. There really aren't very many decent jobs available, unless you're a nurse. Companies aren't taking any risks. So many people I know who don't have jobs, but they just do asset trading. I think that's shameful. I hope America starts MAKING products again.
BTC was at 70k with rates at 0% and is at 100k with rates over 4%. How can you have deflation when US is printing billions of dollars? Average bull (which we are in according to Fidelity Research) lasts about 3 years, so we have at least 2 or 3 quarters to run. Crypto historically runs for about a year from October and this time, with all ETFs inflows and hype around BTC, bull will last 2 months? I agree next year will be cycle top, but there's no true euphoria yet - and the top is in when the last bear turns bull. This time people have been calling "bubble" and top since April 2024. It's still room to run and you gotta be prepares - make most of this bulla because the next bear will be horrible.
Regarding that banana, I doubt billionaire cares about $6M.
What a waste of $6 million. Imagine the good that money could do for so many in real need.
If you want to know where the stock market is headed research the Smoot Hawley Tariff Act and its consequences…..😢
What about btc reserve?
what if this valuation metrics and economic models, who were created decades ago, are outdated and totally wrong for the markets of the 21th century ?
Any and all deflation is temporary, the debt-based monetary system demands it.
Totally agree bring on next year, big wake up call. 95% investors will be in for shock of their life’s..
The FED does not make mistakes !
Love the wile e. Coyote analogy
I think this guy is right
Henrik is not an honest actor.
I believe there is some merit to what he says, but he has been saying "BLOW OFF TOP EARLY 2024!" since 2022/23. Then he moved his target date when that didn't happen. "Bigger than great depression incoming! June 2024!" Then he moved it again.
Henrik then STARTED BLOCKING PEOPLE who asked about this discrepancy on twitter. Why? Because he has subscription plans to sell. His incentive isn't to be right, but APPEAR right.
25' & 26' ITR ECONOMICS models suggests industrial output/demand improvement--
I'd like to hold cash, but it feels a bit off, especially when you see the 36T deficit the country is in, unfortunately they are going to try to inflate this deficit away to devalue it along with everyone's cash, wouldn't that make gold the better hold ? Or maybe 50/50. The markets are going to crash when everyone pulls out, so I definitely don't want to stay in too long
Happy to sit in cash for 5% for now
5% where?
This dudes smarter than your average bear.
Thanks Henrik!!!!
Henrik is legit.
Gold position today surely is a reaction to the other asset bubbles. Central banks buying for security. The same with private buyers, to protect their wealth.
How do you not ask him what his downside prediction in Bitcoin is? He was practically begging you.
Say hello to 1928 2.0. The terrific will only add deflation.
What this guy is missing, in my opinion, is that to some degree the regular folks are trying to front run the inevitable money printing following the drop during a recession, where these stock exchanges and stock platforms block selling or buying, and you have to already be in an asset to be able to participate like the companies themselves that will always make sure they are ahead of the trade (see Citadel for example a few years back)
Game theory is dominated by often-misunderstood Nash Equilibrium. To me, the lesson to be learned is that when playing a zero-sum game, like Monopoly, where the winner unwittingly becomes the loser, too, by not having any more customers, the only way out of losing is for all parties to unilaterally quit playing the game (witness the growing national debt, now at $35 trillion, and a dying planet from global warming). When the game is growth through a growing population, that is a unsustainable zero-sum game. In finding Nash Equilibrium, the longer the zero-sum game is played, the greater the catastrophic fall. Nash equilibrium requires that a different game be played, hopefully one that is sustainable, like limiting human population to what can be supported by available sunlight, as has been the case for all of human history until now.
When the bubble collapses, as Mr. Zeberg says, I can't help but think of the flood of Bitcoin that'll hit the market from companies- like MicroStrategy- that'll be forced to sell. It'll be bloodbath, and another awesome opportunity to buy. I'm amused so many crypto influencers don't think about the huge amount of corporate Bitcoin that can be sold off in a panic.
lol how can you force them to sell? MicroStrategy bitcoin is not even on the market. 😂😂😂
Presently, every man, woman and child now owes approximately $100,000 on the national debt. Each must pay approximately $3,000 (which will be borrowed by the government) annually just to prevent default. "Kicking the can'" by not facing the reality will only exacerbate the inevitable collapse.
Markets go up , markets go down..don't put all your eggs in one basket..and will you be alright in the long run....one more thing ..don't trust wall street !!
The old “Wiley Coyote” argument… been hearing that for 15 years.
All I can see the non M7 stocks I got are consistently dropping the past month.
Bitcoin is in a pump phase now
And that pump phase will last for 6 to 12 more months. And the pump will end with one giant euphoric final pump. Probably to over for $200K for a day or two. And the rapid decline by 80 percent. If previous cycles more or less repeat
Meantime Bit-Con is Eating up more Electrical Power than 23 States here in the USA and the amount it needs just to SURVIVE grows by the Hour. So we are WASTING our most valuable Natural Resources (OUR REAL WEALTH) just to keep some SCAM "new currency system" Up and running ????? REALLY ?? Is this Comedy or Insanity ? (lol)