ไม่สามารถเล่นวิดีโอนี้
ขออภัยในความไม่สะดวก
ฝัง
- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 25 ม.ค. 2019
- It's very easy to fall for a betting system that goes along the line of 'when this happens do this'. Unfortunately, most Betfair trading systems that do this are just pointing out moments in a match where you get a decent chance of a payoff, the downside is casually ignored. But as I have pointed out in other videos, it's all about getting a positive expectancy but striking a balance between profits and losses.
When you are trading tennis on Betfair then you need to plan your trade around key entry and exit points.
This is what we discuss in the video. Laying out a strategy and a thought process that which can aim to look for in a match. Then can define clear entry and exit points and define our overall risk and profit we expect given that strategy.
Peter is a legend. Love his videos so much.
Hi Peter, thank you for all of the videos, avid supporter of your content. Do these odds take into account for example implied ease of holding serve, i.e say De Bakker held serve, but faced break points in each game where his opponent maybe held serve easily for example or is that just variable?
Thanks for your comments. I take stats into account to an extent, but obvious if you look a service hold, you also need to understand the ability of the receiver as well.
Even then key points on the match often shape the way players respond under pressure.But ultimately you need to based your trade on some key moments and points, so stats will help you do that.
Thanks for the video. A piece of constructive criticism would be that if you mention something like another video, or website, or anything else that can be linked, link it in the description. Other than that, cheers.
Great video. More please :-)
Hello. When the loss exceeds 60% of our stake. instead of switching players, it is better to cash out and then bet the other player. It's true? to be precise, if I understand correctly, if the loss is over 50% it is better to make cash out and switch. quite right?
Hello Peter very informative video! I came up with an idea to create an excel-sheet where I can enter the SP of the players with the current result of the match and the sheet will calculate where the odds should be now. Could you help me with the creation of such a sheet? I know I could use Tennis Trader for that but I can't use it in my region. Thank you Peter.
Anyone from New Zealand here? Can you bet in-play there? Can you trade all sports on Betfair? Thanks.
You can't in Aus but people use a proxy to get around that. Not sure what the law is in NZ, but if you ask in the forum then I'm sure somebody will know.
Great video. I've always wondered how those court side traders operate. Do they fly around the world following the tour??....Must be quite a life.
There is a good book on it, but I can't remember its name at the moment. Game set and matched I think. It's a bit of an overkill on the lifestyle but there are some interesting snippets in there.
@@betangeltv Game Set Cash- a good read
peter there are covers in tennis scalping? ad ex lay the game
That's not something I'd recommend as the commission you pay on the other market will likely crush any profitability.
@@betangeltv thanks Peter
so basically you can say that scalping in tennis has no cover. changing topic, in football? with exact results if you really want to.
if a player wins the set 6-0 compared to 7-5 no way will his price be the same. 1.49 in this case
The assumption of the model is that the chance of winning a point is consistent throughout the contest, which of course it can't be. But for that reason you can modify that assumption in the software. But it wont be far out from these numbers unless there is a specific reason for that to occur.
where can I find statistics like: Who has the quickest joke, who is the tennis player who recovers more break points, or the tennis player who does more brekkare. can you give me some site of these statistics? if there are not these, give me another, but have useful statistics. I know only Tennisprediction and tennis temple, but I would like something more professional. anyway I'll have to give a database by myself ..
There is a great site out there for free, called Tennis abstract. Jeff Sackman does some really perceptive analysis as well. Well worth a look.
@@betangeltv thank you very much Peter
He always complicate things... lol
Which is why I'm still going after nearly 20 years, there is always another level to reach.