I lived in Russia from 2016-2021 and am married to a Russian and one of the things I learned in that time is that Russians love being Russian and will not be anything else. Even the most vocal detractors of the government, of corruption, of the regime, still held immense pride in the fact that they were Russian. And at the end of a day what makes a nation a nation is that the people within want it to be so, and there were no Russians I met in five years that wanted Russia to end, change maybe, but not to end. And if there is one thing I've learned in the study of history it is never to discount Russian Endurance.
@@LTNetjakI mean even if Russia falls it will probably build it self back up like the last two Empires they had. Sort of like Germany and China. These countries unlike the U.S. and the rest of the Anglo-sphere is that they assassinate people into their culture and they keep their culture alive as well as the majority ethnic group...so when a fall happens they simply rebuild. If a fall happens in a diverse country they brake up into different smaller states.
well said, whatifaltist dosent consider that chess is a national sport in Russia. A game that is literally played moves ahead of the moment. Russia has gold reserves, america is the worlds greatest debtor nation. Who will collapse first?
There's videos which were made 8 years ago after the Maidan uprising in Ukraine which predicted the fall of Russia in few years. They are still up there, cringy as hell if you are watching it today. There's so many of these old 'collapse of Russia' videos.
@@johngeiger3770well, Russia collapsed at least 2 times already in the past, 1917 and 1991. But „collapsing“ is not the same as „vanishing“. Russia was still there after the collapse, and kept on going.
@@jacquesstrapp3219 not really. If anything, situation in Russia might be similar to the USA in the early stages of the Vietnam war. At least regarding Ukraine. The economic situation seems to be much more complicated, but not really bad actually, maybe roughly comparable to the USA during WW2. I don’t see any indication that Russia might be collapsing anytime soon. Neither seems the Putin regime be close to collapsing - as I understand it, a majority of the Russians are against the war, but support Putin despite the war for the country‘s long term development under his rule (average life expectancy 5 years longer today than under Yeltsin, average income 5 times higher). As I understand it, China is currently requesting a hefty price from Russia for the continuation of the current support, and Putin is trying to find out if he might get a better deal from the West, which might or might not include giving up parts of the Ukraine by Russia. No idea what the western response may be, but in a few months we might know.
I'm Russian and a huge fan of yours. I hope you got this wrong. Plus, the big part of those newly turned Orthodox people aren't really believers, but find it as just a revival of tradition, while not really having deep seated faith. A good example is words of Belarusian president Lukashenko: "I am an Orthodox atheist". Communism really did more damage to us than you think.
Pay no mind to this fool....Russia sits on the most incredible wealth in the universe, plus a people that is not going woke. Russian cites are gems compared to feral blue zoos. This kid is an idiot.
There is an Ace in the pocket which isn’t necessarily for Russia but the broader Orthodox World. There’s been a big surge of converts in Western Countries to Eastern Orthodoxy and it’s in large part due to the alienation of our contemporary post modern liberal culture, and the fact that a lot of Orthodox Literature and Apologetics have finally been translated into English in the last 30 years. And these new converts aren’t coming to change the faith, if anything they seek to reinforce it because they love the Apostolic Roots and the Holy Traditions. This new blood coming in might be a big key to the preservation of Orthodoxy within Europe even if Russia as a political entity doesn’t last
Unfortunately he's correct in many takes, I'm a russian too and all I see is a total disintegration of the society and culture alongside with the word of law no longer meaning anything as it can be changed at any time whenever dictator or oligarchs want. The imminent collapse is on sight and in my opinion is a matter of few years unless some card gives away next year already, resulting in this whole "card house" to fall apart instantly
@@obiwankenobi6871as an American, it definitely seems like there's a mass exodus from the main Protestant denominations towards both Catholicism and Orthodoxy
@@greeneggsandhamsamiam6154the internet just makes it seem that way. Christianity seems to be done. It’s been going downhill since the enlightenment and the rate of decline has increased in recent years
Russia is a "Strongly religious nation"? Is this a joke? Russia in no way religious, the person that is saying so has never even been in Russia, I am not even talking about living in it. Sure, *some* part of the population is religious, may be 10% at best. The rest just don't care about the religion. You may say that everyone here celebrate Easter. Yes, we are. But that's a tradition, nothing more. 75% of the population come to the church once a year to get some holy water drops on their dish, and then proceed to never come to the church again for the rest of the year or caring about the religious dogmas. Yeah, very "religious" Source: I live here and I can't f**g escape
I was wondering whether or not I should ever visit or move to Russia? Is it really so bad? Do you feel that way because of your politics and/or some other reasons? Sorry, I'm just curious. Sometimes I wonder what might happen to the West, whether we will be forced into war too
@@FourthReichEUNATOAS A RUSSIAN. BRO NOO. YOU VIEW RUSSIA AS A “CHRISTIAN STATE WITH TRADITIONAL VALUES”, THAT IS BASICALLY ISNT TRUE. ONLY 2% OF RUSSIANS GO TO CHURCH EVERY WEEK. FUCK, NYC IS MUCH MORE CHRISTIAN THAN CITY WHERE I LIVED. PLUS NORMAL SALARY IN RUSSIA IS 14K RUBLES (160 USD), ITS ALSO A POOR COUNTRY. PLEASE GIVE ME YOUR WESTERN PASSPORT SO I CAN ESCAPE THIS PLACE CALLED “EASTERN EUROPE”.IF YOU WILL GO VISIT IT, DELETE ALL OFF YOUR PRO-DEMOCRATIC OR ANTI-PUTIN POSTS/MESSAGES. IN RUSSIA PEOPLE ARE GETTING ARRESTED FOR GOING TO THE STREAT WITH A PAPER WITHOUT ANYTHING. JUST WHITE PAPER. VISIT - MAYBE, IMMIGRATION- NEVER
@@RA-ie3ss Well I can give you some insights into how Aussies think. For one they're extremely illiterate when it comes to anything even remotely historical or inter-civilisational. This is due to the generations of civilisational myopia that has been afforded to Australians thanks to geography and the fact that the bulk of our population sits on the East-Coast whose only other natural civilisational influence would be New Zealand who suffer to an even greater extent that we. I'd say try and educate and eventually through declining living standards and the fact that Australian civilisation will have to just go through the motions until something better comes along to replace it. You'll eventually get there. Covid and the Voice have done immense work t wake people up to the failings of their civilisational inheritance which has fallen into disrepair with the UK joining the EU in the 70's and the severing of legal and cultural ties to Great Britain in the 80's created a licence for our ruling class to mothball everything that used to make Australia Australian, which was it's overwhelming sense of Britishness in the South Pacific. @cooldude-ko7ps
What's fascinating about the secret police becoming the most powerful and dominating branch in the Soviet Union is that the KGB was where things all began to fall apart for the state. Because while the Soviet system had become horribly corrupt in its later years, the KGB wasn't as it was where all the most serious party ideologues went. Yet they perhaps did more harm to bringing about its downfall when they chose to crack down on corruption. In 1982, Yuri Andropov, head of the KGB came to power with the mission of ending all corruption in the Soviet Union, which resulted in the arrests of many of its corrupt officials. However what he and the rest of the hardliners in the KGB didn't understand was that corruption was the only thing making the system function at all. Because bribery helped people get around stupid and counter-productive rules and regulations. Workers could buy high-quality boots, clothes, tools, etc that actually worked unlike the state's production quota garbage. It was illegal to set up private businesses in the USSR, yet it was these illegal businesses that let people earn extra money and allowed them to buy necessary goods/services the state couldn't provide. Even many state run industries depended on black market supplies (which themselves were often produced in the state's own factories but off the books). Andropov essentially made the USSR's flailing economy even worse when he cut off its illegal lifeblood. Its no wonder then, a year after Andropov died in office, Mikhail Gorbachev would take the General Secretary position and pivot away from hardcore communist orthodoxy that hardliners like Andropov tried to usher back in.
Funny how the corruption and illegal markets are what helps the communist governments function. They also are often dependent on foreign aid. Just goes to show how these things cannot stand on its own merits.
Most of these things said about the collapse of an impending Russia can be said about most countries currently. I think an impending global dark age were anything can go is right around the corner.
I highly agree with you on this point. Coming from a Russian-American perspective, everyone is fucked in their own way. Tho to say Russia will balkanize more than the USSR already did is ridiculous, considering most of the minorities there do not really want independence. I would know, a ton of my friends are Tatar. I do think Russia will decline, but more like Poorer Japan rather than a Yugoslavia.
@@whatsthehistory4752you really underestimate how much a strong man like Putin is required. Once he falls out of favor Russia will collapse there’s no institutions that will support the collapse it’s all corrupt. No one is next in line for Putin because they are viewed as a challenger to the leader he continues to execute and purge any political rivals that could actually stabilize the country
He drank too much of his ship-faring cool-aid and now feels like he has been divinely endowed to criticize countries he knows nothing about, by the sheer power of merchant-class-powered IOP "democracy". 😂😂🤡🤡
Or maybe just you know, countries always look like they're collapsing when you're on the internet all the time and don't look at things on the ground. The way it looks from that perspective, literally every country in history is always constantly on the verge of collapse. Now sometimes they actually are, but usually the country is already half-dead by that point.
"I support Ukraine because I support weakening America's rivals." What an utterly nihilistic statement. My attitude about the war in Ukraine has changed radically since I learned about our role in precipitating the conflict. At first, I was merely opposed to getting involved in another foreign entanglement. Then I learned that WE were responsible for the whole thing. We wanted war. We built biological weapons "research labs" in Ukraine. We toppled Ukraine's legitimate, elected government in 2014 and replaced it with a series of puppets beholden to us. We opposed every attempt at a peaceful settlement. We lied during negotiations and we hid our true intentions. We are guilty of a vast crime against humanity. NATO membership for Ukraine is an offensive, warlike provocation. Russia responded the way we hoped they would respond, the only way any sovereign nation could respond. That gave us a pretext to punish Russia in the vain hope that their government would collapse. This plan didn't work because it was an evil plan. There is good and evil in the world, and evil never triumphs. Nor should it.
Its so rare to see someone else actually understand this. Kamala went in person to invite them to join nato. This was like, the week before the invasion. Thank god she didnt win.
Even though I have my doubts about the whole "It's gonna collapse in a few years, trust me guys" part, the actual analysis of how the society and political life are structured is very remarkable and insightful, especially for a look "from outside" and people should pay more attention to what is said there
The main issue is too many people. North Korea gets away with its authoritarianism because of the limited population. Russia has already has too much dissent. You have to also remember china is eyeing Siberia right now and praying on a break up since with global warming that land is so fertile. They’ve already mass moved immigrants. Everyone is against Russia and they have no true allies with a shared. That’s why they attacked Ukraine first out of desperation. If they weren’t so close to collapse they would’ve continued using the separatist forces to stoke things till they break away like they did to Crimea. They are pressed for time and fell apart.
Especially without defining what counts as a "collapse " does he mean a new society in the state of Russia? The collapse of the entire state? Independence movements breaking off pieces?
@@horstnietzsche1923 Generally speaking, it's talking about the current ruling body being replaced with another. It's disappointing because the west genuinely wanted Russia to come out of the collapse of the soviet union a successful state that it could be friends with and Putin essentially threw it in their face. I can't imagine any country is going to want to be pals with Russia for the foreseeable future, but hey, 100 years ago people would have thought you were nuts if you told them in 2023 Germany and France would be close allies. As far as the collapse of Russia goes, you can't really put a number on it. However, failing to take Ukraine within a few days pretty much sealed the fate of the current Russian government. Collapse is inevitable, when it will happen is extremely up in the air, but every day the war drags on in Ukraine, the sooner it's going to happen. Can Russia sustain the effort in Ukraine? Probably, but that doesn't mean Russia as it is right now will survive post-war.
@@ticktockbamThe most i could reasonably see happening is some ethnic groups attempting to declare independence during the time when the government is in deadlock as no one has any idea who is supposed to replace Putin. China also may or may not get feisty and attempt to stronghand mining rights in Siberia. The more boring option is Russia being somewhat isolationist after a disappointing campaign while having a stagnant economy and shrinking population. Not expecting Russia to go full revolution/civil-war, as the Russians simply do not care enough, and most regions that didn't want to be part of it already left thirty years ago.
@richardthefox3412 Putin just got reelected for another term which I think in Russia is either 5 or 6 years long, I'm not sure. Nevertheless, he's is good physical shape unlike what the American and Western Zionist Marxist media said about him in the past. They claimed that Putin is dying, suffering from cancer. I think, that was only wishful thinking by the Zionist ruling kabbal.
@Sicksociety334 Putin is extremely popular in Russia. He's like a folk hero, especially now. They'll be fine in immediate future, but they have one of the bleakest demographic situations but, tbf, literally no one has a good outlook. Even the best ones are catastrophic and all but guarantee massive social unrest
@@judekiv I guess you never heard about prigozhin coup then which only last for less than a day. There's a coup happening, in the middle of the war, while nation is under sanction, yet no widespread riot happening like it did in France instead. That alone already prove how stable Russia actually is.
Russia and China are not going to collapse in a traditional fall of Rome sense. Their governments may switch hands but never underestimate their resilience and ability to adapt to situations.
i a theory about this: AI will make authoritarian governments more efficient, they will have much smaller bureaucracies and the old issues facing the dictator will disappear...
@@therearenoshortcuts9868 This technology like AI will actually make such chaotic empires become easily orderly and less corruption most likely. with the opposite effect on the democractic welfare state becoming more chaotic and corrupt
@@magnem1043 that would be the ultimate irony of history democratic capitalist societies finally create AI only to have AI destroy themselves and stablize their arch-rivals...
I usually enjoy your videos but this one is fraught with factual mistakes. The secret police was NOT the only institution that was left after Stalin. In fact, it was severely weakened immediately after Stalin's demise. Putin started displaying authoritarian tendencies very soon after taking over, by establishing control over media and prosecuting every potential challenger. He certainly didn't wait for 10 years. The rapid deterioration of trust and cooperation with the West happened NOT in 2008 or 2009, but in 2011 due to overthrow of Gaddafi and Bolotnaya protests. Oligarchs were NOT old communist party officials. Neither of the biggest 1990s tycoons (Berezovsky, Gusinsky, Fridman, Aven, Khodorkovsky, Potanin, Alekperov, Deripaska, Abramovich) was an old communist party official. Not a single one. Also, there were and are many high-ranking associates of Putin, who had not been his old buddies (Kasyanov, Fradkov, Mishustin, Shoigu, Sobyanin, Patrushev, Bortnikov, Kolokoltsev, Ustinov, Chaika, Volodin, Ivanov, Surkov, Kirienko etc.)
I totally agree with you!!! When Boris Yeltsin was stepping down, he wanted somebody good to fill his place. He did do a lot of research doing and found out about Putin and how he worked with them they’re in Saint Petersburg, and how he was really loyal to his boss. Putin had the great résumé, but nobody knew him. Some really really strange things happen like some apartment complexes in Russia started blowing up and Putin would get on TV and he was still relatively young man then maybe 40 and he swore he will have these people down and find them etc. etc. eventually he told the public that he discovered the culprits and they were Chechens, etc. Really?? I always wondered if any of that was true, because nobody knew Putin and this was a way that the public got to know him by him working with the government when Yelton was still in power and vowing talk these people down after blowing up, at least two apartment complexes with bombs. Everything worked out successfully, and after the catch of the so-called Chechens as the so-called guilty parties, oh gosh, I don’t know what their punishment wasn’t. It could’ve been life in prison, for all I know or death.. if it would’ve been early 20th century to 1954, 1960 I would say they would go to the Gulag but after that it’s hard to say. The main thing is people in Russia. Got to know Britttany very well and tell him as a hero for catching these criminal culprits he got elected the first time. . After eight years, he did have to step down for four years, but still remaining government is not the party leader. In 2012 he came back and it seems like you should’ve stepped down sometime around 2020 for another four years or so but he didn’t and I guess they had gotten the laws changed. It would not surprise me one bit
Also, him saying Russia has a lot in common with South American dictators, but unlike there it gets cold in Russia and that's a problem. Yes, it gets cold in Russia, but they also have so much NG the average Russian pays almost nothing for it. Then there's diesel, petrol.....And going hungry isn't going to bring Russia down as they're the leading wheat exporter in the world, and also the leading organic wheat exporter. They will not need water, as one lake has like 30%% of the worlds water alone. Diamonds for the GF? Yep......that and gold too. over 10% of the worlds Uranium! Nickel.....blah blah blah! I could almost go on forever..... There's so much natural resources in that place they may never find all of it. He also forgot that the in wheat deal Ukraine got almost all of it went to Europe, and Spain was the one country that got more than anyone else. Russians are just fine and so is Putin....his approval rate there is well over 80%. No leader in the West has ever had that high of one.
@@DommTom I use NG in my home. I cook with it, I heat my home with it in the winter, I use it to heat my water. I suppose my waterheater has what one would call a "boiler" in it. But otherwise I use no boiler. My neighbors don't use one either. In the videos I've seen from Russia, people there use NG the same way. Now commercially many big buildings use a boiler. They have them in almost all commercial buildings in the US. The price of a boiler isn't something that would cause a total economic meltdown of a nation or culture. I'm sure Russia has been making them for well over 100 years and most of their buildings already have them. Maybe I'm not getting your question here? Get to the sauce.....
The current Russian government could collapse at any time, that has happened plenty of times in Russian history. Russia itself as a nation will persist though, as it always has.
FACTS! You summed it up even better than I did! Let's see how well the USA as a nation can manage a total government collapse (every great nation that lasts long ALWAYS goes through some sort of major upheaval at some point)!
Have a look at Russia as a nation borders in 19th century and now. And there are tens of lesser nations merged under one flag now. Each of them had their traditions, culture, often different language and beliefs
People assume that because the societ union split apart, then russia must be destined to do the same, but the situations are completely different, and Russia is no more likely to collapse, than say, brazil or iran.
People forget that the Soviet union was Russia with the addition of a of republics Armenia Azerbaijan Byelorussia Estonia Georgia Kazakhstan Kirghizia Latvia Lithuania Moldavia Tajikistan Turkmenia Ukraine Uzbekistan. Russia is not under threat in the same way because it is not an overstretched "Roman Empire" of the eastern europe in the same way
The US is far more likely to collapse if you ask me, or at least to have a civil war of some kind. But that thought is not pleasant to Murica boi here. So he'll just project his insecurities onto RUssia instead.
I don't think Brazil will collapse. It has volatile economy based around commodities, but it is also one of the largest producers of food in the world. Not only does it guarantee a cash inflow (for tough times), but it also means the government can easily appease the angry masses by lowering food prices through political means. There could still be major turmoil between socialists and reactionary forces in the country though.
The best way to learn what Russians think is to watch channels like the Russian Media Monitor and interview channels like 1420. It is pretty grim. It is a post-truth society with a borderline-suicidal fixation on starting World War III with America and the collective West, which they call a great Satan just like the Islamic jihadists do. Their mentality is really quite a bit closer to that of an Arabic country than a Western one. They like strong man leaders and are ok with forfeiting rights and even their actual interests for the sake of increasing Russian prestige on the world stage, at least in terms of military power. There are lots of Russians that think differently, of course, as they are all individuals, but the prevailing mentality is misanthropic and imperialist. Have you heard how the propagandist Vladimir Solovyov talks? He fantasizes about starting a nuclear war on his TV program every day! And he's not alone, lots of Russians talk like this now. Even during the Cuban Missile Crisis, Russians didn't have such a brazen attitude towards the use of nuclear weapons as many of the Russians at the time were old enough to remember what it actually looked like to have bombs destroy their home town. The fetishization of violence in contemporary Russia is deeply disturbing. I know, I know, the West is in decline and has too many problems to count, but that doesn't discount the fact that Russia is in a fragile position as well. More than one civilization can be fucked up and declining at a time. Russian demographics are the main problem. I really do worry about the well-being of the Russian people, and hope they can get out of this death cult they are in under Putin's nihilistic, postmodern cult of personality. Putin doesn't really stand for anything other than the perpetuation of his own status as mafia boss of the kleptocratic Kremlin regime. He has enriched himself while stripping the Russian populace of their rights to express political dissent, including the right to be an ethnonationalist. Putin has crushed the white nationalist movements in Russia, even having one prominent white nationalist (Tesak) assassinated in prison like he did to Alexei Navalny. Navalny was a great man, and far more courageous than a slimy little gremlin like Putin, who actually hates the Slavic people and whites in general. He wants Europeans to dwindle away and be replaced by third worlders, mostly Muslims. Putin is a crypto-J. His maternal grandmother was Jish. He is on the side of the globalist, Zi0nist, ethnosupremacist Chabad Lubavitcher cult. He meets with the Chabad r@bbi and chief A_s_h_k_e_n_a_z_i r@bbi of Russia Berel Lazar on a regular basis for advice, in fact the media has called him "Putin's r@bbi" a few times. These people have had a grudge against the Russians and especially the Ukrainians for centuries. I think Putin's particular hatred for Ukrainians (especially Ukrainian nationalists that don't want Ukraine ruled by the Kremlin) is driven largely by historical grievances such as the Babi Yar massacre and the anti-Jish pogroms that took place in Ukraine over the centuries. When you see Putin speak about Ukrainians that (understandably, considering the Holodomor that the Soviets had just inflicted upon them a decade prior) aided the Germans in their fight against the Red Army, you can see the visible wrath on his face as he thinks about the crime of opposing Soviet hegemony and aiding people that might not have had a high opinion of his people. Russia has been an occupied country controlled by hostile aliens since 1917. It seems like Gorbachev was alright, but then again, he was actually Russian, unlike the earlier, more brutal Soviet leaders like the Jish and Chalmyk Lenin, the Jish Trotsky and Beria, or the Georgian Stalin. If I were to compare Russia's current political climate to a period in its past, I would say it is a bit like the USSR under Kruschev, when the rhetoric being spoken about the West was particularly jingoistic ("We will bury you!") and the nuclear tension was at an all-time high, but the level of repression within the country, while still bad, isn't on the same level as the earlier decades under Stalin and Lenin. Putin doesn't have the level of blood on his hands that Stalin did, but he has certainly dragged the country back in time to a more Soviet-style system, not just in terms of political repression of dissidents and covering up of historical atrocities committed by the Bolsheviks, but also in terms of how he has been revamping the Russian economy and been trying to expand the borders of the Russian Federation to incorporate land that was formerly under their control in Soviet times and, prior to a brief respite of Ukrainian independence from 1917 to 1920 or so as the Bolsheviks fought to dominate the Ukrainian People's Republic, under the control of the Russian Empire before that...and he's was a KGB agent, I feel like people forget that and forget that they were basically required to be atheists, so anyone that thinks Putin is a true Christian conservative like the moronic leftist journalists claim is either not well informed or laughably naive. Putin didn't conveniently have a religious conversion experience right when the USSR collapsed and his job in the KGB ended, he just fakes being Christian so the Russian public will like him better. He only shows up to church on Easter and Christmas, and is filmed for PR purposes every time he does so. Putin is a calculating, possibly psychopathic silovik with ice water in his veins, not some kind of passionate defender of Christendom against the degenerate "Satanism" of the West. Putin just says what he has to in order to maintain popular support in Russia and drive a wedge between the conservatives of the West and their geopolitical foreign policy interests. I'm about as isolationist as they come but I am also a racial identitarian and I believe white people need to look out for one another just as black people should look out for one another and so on and so forth. I'm not an ethnosupremacist, I just think every civilization should be free to pursue its own destiny and that mixing up the races and ethnic groups actually erases diversity and replaces it with homogeneity, with the entire planet ending up looking the same, with the same vapid, consumerist globalist monoculture that produces the same type of architecture everywhere with everyone speaking English and using the internet and adopting the same slang and general cultural tendencies. Anyways, I favor intervention on behalf of Ukraine because the Ukrainian people have shown great courage and resolve and any people with courage is worth fighting for nowadays, as there is a serious dearth of courage amongst contemporary white people. Plus, Ukrainians have gone through enough already. The Russians need to stop bullying them and reckon with the darkness of their nation's past rather than indiscriminately glorifying everything Russia ever did. I am as nationalist as they come, but when my homeland makes a mistake, I own up to it and suggest ways we could make amends. Supporters of Putin, on the other hand, lie and claim nonsense like "Russia has never started an aggressive war, only defended itself" and refuse to admit that Russia has ever mistreated its neighboring countries. I deeply care about the well-being of the Ukrainian people AND the Russian people, they are both brother peoples to mine as fellow native Europeans, and just in general I care about the well-being of my fellow man of any race, nationality or creed. The difference between intervening in a war in the Congo, for instance, and giving weapons to Ukraine, is that the former is meddling in the affairs of another civilization with a totally different values system made up of people with vastly different genes, and we would be kind of playing God as a more advanced civilization, trying to mediate their conflicts or defend a particular side or whatever, when we probably don't really understand the ins and outs of the conflict in question. It is similar to how one has a much greater responsibility to protect one's family than to leap to the aid of strangers. Even Jesus said that people should take care of their own ethnic group or race first, and then help others later in an interaction he had with a Canaanite woman, wherein he said that one should not throw food from the table to the dogs before the children have eaten their fill. If everyone takes care of their own, the world works better than if one big hegemon starts doing this whole global authoritarian nanny state world police thing.
(Sorry, wrote such a long comment I had to cut it in two...yeah yeah, I know, TL;DR, you don't have to tell me. If you don't want to read it just don't bother responding.) I could be wrong, but I think it was C.S. Lewis that said a tyranny run for the good of the people being ruled over is perhaps the most pernicious and miserable sort of tyranny, because the people enforcing the dogmas of the ruling class or party are convinced they are doing something righteous and humanitarian, while people that are part of a draconian regime that makes no bones about being hostile to the populace cannot tell themselves they are doing something good, only following orders they know are messed up, and thus they are less likely to carry them out, or at least carry them out with less vigor and glee than if they are brainwashed into thinking they are helping to bring about a millenarian new world in which everything is better. Well, intervening in the affairs of other races seems like one of those forms of tyranny that is ostensibly done for the good of those being stripped of their culture. I think the happiest Africans and Amerindians are probably the ones that live the most traditional lives, relatively untouched by the modern world. When have you ever seen footage of African tribesmen in which they aren't grinning ear to ear? They are living basically the way humans evolved to live for hundreds of thousands of years before the rise of urbanized civilizations. I think it is a shame when non-white cultures lose their authentic and distinct ways of life due to the contact with Western technology and attitudes. So I am an isolationist in the sense that I think we ought not muck about in the civilizations of other races, nor open our borders to them, but not in the sense of never coming to the aid of our brothers in other white nations when they are invaded by tankies flying the accursed flag of the Soviet Union, a wicked empire that slaughtered and starved an approximate one hundred million people, and that is only counting deaths of Soviet citizens in peacetime, that doesn't include all the Europeans they killed during World War II. If you are a nationalist like I am, and you heartily reject Marxism in all of its variants both theoretical and in practice historically in the real world like I do, then supporting Ukraine's fight for independence is the only logically and morally consistent position I could take. Anyone that thinks Putin is a Russian nationalist is poorly informed. He has cracked down on actual Russian nationalists, most of whom are actually skeptical of the idea of starting any wars, let alone against a brother people like the Ukrainians. Putin is a neo-Soviet revanchist and imperialist with a Cold War mindset. And frankly, I think he has been playing the long game, and was actually put in power to bring about the decline of Russia and Ukraine, putting the final nail in the coffin of Eastern Slavic ethnos, as their birth rates are already unsustainably low and now young men from both countries are dying in droves, all while Putin fleeced the Russian people, with him and the other Russian (actually most were and are of Jish descent) oligarchs treating the country like his personal plantation, with Russian workers receiving only a pittance while almost all the profits go to the Kremlin-affiliated monopolistic company owners and shareholders. Russia isn't capitalist or socialist, it is entirely kleptocratic and neo-feudalist. I mean, the USSR never really redistributed the wealth either, but the economic inequality in post-1991 Russia has been pretty nuts. There doesn't seem to be much of a Russian middle class outside of the major cities like Moscow, St. Petersburg, Vladivostok and Ekaterinaburg. In the rural parts and run-down looking towns, almost everyone seems to be barely scraping by, especially since the sanctions took effect. The sanctions don't bother the rich too much, but they have made life tougher for the masses, and I think more and more young people are simply fed up with it and don't care about this insane and unnecessary war in Ukraine, they just want livable wages and more chances for upward mobility, as almost all of the people that get rich in Russia are somehow connected to the Kremlin, so corruption is pretty much the number one way wealth is created and accrued in large amounts there. And woo boy, you should look at the studies that have ranked quality of life and placed Russia below the Philippines and Azerbaijan and just one rank above Pakistan by various metrics regarding socioeconomic and life expectancy and such. Rampant alcoholism and opioid addiction, divorce rates that are even higher than those in the West, a materialistic culture stripped of any sense of romance like that of China or South Korea, low Church attendance and high rates of atheism, the largest Muslim population of any European country, the largest mosque in Europe, THE HIGHEST ABORTION RATES IN THE WORLD, an anti-intellectual, post-truth, super-postmodern philosophy dominates the Russian Zeitgeist which literally suggests there is no such thing as universal truth, only "my truth" and "your truth" and so on, and the list goes on. And don't tell me that post-truth postmodernism thing is an exaggeration or something the Western media made up, as I literally just watched an interview of Aleksandr Dugin in which he adamantly and clearly stated his personal belief that there are a multitude of mutually exclusive and often contradicting "truths" as opposed to singular, universal truths. He described his strategy like a cynical ploy, a childish game in which he would claim the opposite position from whatever the Western position is, as though his self-deluding belief in some Russian propaganda talking point cancels out the often clearly demonstrable and factual reports that are made by Westerners. If a Western journalist says the sky is blue, Dugin could claim that Russian scientists have discovered that the sky is actually orange and just looks blue, and according to his post-truth, epistemologically anti-realist philosophy, that would be equally "true" and the matter of who is correct would be merely down to perspective. I know I am just an American that has never been to Russia, but the more I watch Russian state-backed TV clips and read about the ideological and practical underpinnings of Putin's regime, as well as the background and goals of Putin himself as well as his cronies, the more I become convinced that it is turning back towards the darkness of its Soviet, imperialist past, and while I'm not certain of the reasons, I have this sinking feeling that this war is a series of 5D chess moves being made by the globalist oligarchs and their proxies which are intended to ultimately bring about the extirpation of white people from the Eastern Slavic countries. But that's just me, I'm a schizo conspiracy theorist, it could be much simpler than that, could be Putin is an autocrat that wants to cement his legacy and secure his role as president for life, and he thought this war was the way to achieve those ends. I wish I could actually be privy to what goes on behind the scenes, know how this big ol' world actually works on the deepest levels rather than just seeing the end result that the public is privy to, but I'm no intelligence agent. 90% of the iceberg of statecraft is below the water, and yet anyone that seeks to find anything out about that hidden portion of realpolitik is labeled a "conspiracy theorist" and "crazy kook" and all that shaming language which was coined precisely for this purpose: discouraging dissent and plebs discussing matters they aren't supposed to know or talk about, and it works like a charm, causing the trendy "in crowd" people ("normies" in internet slang) that fit into this society to ostracize anyone they suspect of being a radical political dissident. The use of the term "hate" to describe political dissent has also been a very clever use of principles of mass psychological manipulation to crush undesirables who threaten the hegemonic status of the globalist ruling class. The West's propaganda and social programming techniques are leagues better than the crude, rather old-fashioned methods of the Russian media, at least regarding the propaganda they create to direct at the Russian people rather than foreigners. I guess they realize they don't really have to make it sophisticated, since the Russian psyche is different from the Western psyche, on average, with much less qualms about Russia engaging in imperialist aggression, which would be seen as unethical pretty much across all segments of society in any Western country. The Russian youth largely feel differently, but the overwhelming majority of older Russians do seem to support neo-Soviet revanchism, sadly. It just goes to show the power of nostalgia, I mean life in the USSR was awful but because life in 1990s Russia was nominally worse these older Russians think of the Soviet era as the good old days, despite the quality of life of Russians being much higher in the 2000s and 2010s than it ever was in the 20th century.
Yeah, I watched his newer video analysis of Russia and it sounds to me, as a Russian and an American, like he has read a bunch of Western misconceptions about Russia and just went ham with them. There is almost no legitimate objective understanding of Russia in the Anglo-sphere. Part of the reason is that much of the English language literature on Russia was written either by outsiders who never lived in Russia or by Russian dissidents who greatly over-exaggerate what they view as the negative aspects of Russian society. It would be like reading about American culture from someone who has never lived in America or someone who says America is a “far left country which loves LGBT” or “America is a far right Christian fundamentalist country.” Both of those things exist in America, in moderation, but neither one dominates American culture and such one-sided statements are a hideous misrepresentation of American society as a whole. For example, his statement in the recent video that Russian and American culture “could not be more different.” That’s very much not true, especially regarding modern Russia and outside of political structures and views of government. Russians have different views of the government’s role (ie, different views on freedom of speech) but Russians are very similar to American conservatives when it comes to the values and principles involved in daily life. Stoicism, masculinity, importance of religion, straightforwardness, integrity, honor, importance of the family, are a few of these shared core values and principles. I’d say American conservatives have more in common in values with Russians than with liberal or especially leftist Americans.
"You only have to kick in the door and the whole rotten structure will come crashing down!" I feel like people have been saying this every year for the past 200 years...
Russia has collapsed and fallen into crisis for the past centuries. There is a reason Hitler said that. People forget that the German Empire defeated the Russians during WW1 and annexed several former Russian lands which they would turn into client if they defeated France and Britian. Heck it was the reason Poland, Lithuania, Ukraine, and so many Central to Eastern European countries exist today. Even before that you had the Russo Japanese war and the Crimean War where Russia had lost and entered into crisis because of it.
@@toledochristianmatthew9919they almost beat Russia again during the war we can’t forget that the USA was mass supplying the Russians and the winter saved them
@@tristenatorplaysgames6833 Soviet still was the muscle, driven by aggressive manpower as they can today, while the US were playing overseas capitalists
The US is going to have a reset, not a revolution. A roll back to factory settings and return to a purer Constitutional framework. A revolution would be if the soyboy leftists actually won, which they won't. Rudyard has covered the US quite extensively. But basically, yeah we'll have turmoil here too but it won't be the sort of revolutionary, society collapsing change Russia and China are going to get.
I’m pretty sure Russia has more umhf than we are all giving the country credit for. And even if current Russia collapses some northern Eurasian state is bound to replace Russia even if it’s no longer Russia. Russia just happens to be the most successful geographic political cultural force that has existed in the north Eurasian plain to date.
"And even if current Russia collapses some northern Eurasian state is bound to replace Russia" Why? "Russia just happens to be the most successful geographic political cultural force that has existed in the north Eurasian plain to date." And like the Roman Empire ir can be one of a kind and never replaced.
Russia did collapse many times in history... The Time of Troubles in 1612, burning of Moscow during the Napoleon war in 1812, two Revolutions in 1905 and 1917, a civil war, then the collapse of the USSR. So what? A new Russia still appears every time with Russians living in it.
Very on point, but a couple minor corrections: 1. The secret services have taken over even before the Soviet collapse. From the 70s onwards they filled in more and more positions and several of the late soviet leaders (like Andropov) had made their careers in these structures (fun fact: they were oftentimes basically uneducated and could only rise because, during the Stalinist repressions in the 30s, many positions had to be refilled every couple months.) 2. The general population is completely amorphic and will not get politically active very soon. The danger comes only from local authorities* and Frontline soldiers, who have nothing to lose if the war drags on for a couple more years. 3.* Putin is doing something very strange for an autocrat: since the start of the war he has given countless groups like oligarchs, corporations, and local governors the right to create their own armed units. We know that dozens of them exist but almost none were ever seen on the front lines. 4. The orthodox church has very little real traction in society beyond identity politics. It is an extremely corrupt institution sponsored by the state for legitimacy. In many polls 80% of Russians are orthodox, yet from these 80%, 1/3 is saying they are not sure if God exists and another third can't name even half of the 10 amendments or say what Easter is about. Most Russians go to church once or twice a year just as a nice tradition. In almost every non-state poll the really religious population (such as visiting church at least once in one or two weeks and being able to answer the most basic questions about their religion) is at around 2% of the population. I don't think that anything except something totally new can fill the void, as all kinds of protestant, pseudo-Buddhist, and a myriad of other sects have tried their luck and gained no momentum.
These points are pretty spot on. Basically all the top generals and most of the oligarchs all have their own PMC, even now after the Wagner coup. This is bizarre, almost seems like Putins grasp on power is pretty weak and he's been forced to make concessions to the nobility. Any way you put it, those nobles are primed for a position where they can stage a coup like Prigozin did but actually go all the way with it. Prigozin shot at the king, missed and the chicken shit out of it thinking there would be forgiveness. Unsurprising the leaders all got shot out of the sky. Next coup leader will need to keep that in mind, take the shot and commit to the attack, don't flake out. With how uninterested the general public in russia is with politics, it'll probably be a coup from an oligarch that changes things, and it'd change very little. New boss will likely be the same as the old boss. Even a military coup would look basically the same as if an oligarch did it (since it's mostly oligarchs running the military anyway). I'm not sure that a coup or change in ruler will ultimately change things in russia very much, just prolong the social collapse a bit if anything.
@@Lusa_Iceheart It greatly depends on how long the war will continue. Every day the central authority is losing a bit of its strength and other actors are gaining it. What you described is the good outcome. Russia has a very personality system where everything runns through personal connections. If "the wrong person" makes the coup, there is a high chance that they will have nether the connections nor the military might to ensure loyalty/subordination of the entire country. Given that there are small armies all over the place the state could easily disintegrate.
2% is still pretty low, and I’m inclined to agree it’s lower than what’s polled but that number doesn’t make sense either. Even in highly secular, progressive Western European countries with significant atheist and agnostic populations(Netherlands or say Norway etc.) their Christian demographic hasn’t fallen to such an abysmal level. Add on that almost every other Orthodox country has polled around consistently similarly high levels whether it’s Greece or Georgia or Romania etc. I would guess maybe like 25-35% of Russians are genuine and well educated in their faith and actually take it seriously. Unfortunately the damage of the USSR runs deep…
totally agree on all three points. I'm from Saint Petersburg. Also should add that all the polls in Russia are extremely misleading, most data is faked.
" I don't think that anything except something totally new can fill the void, as all kinds of protestant, pseudo-Buddhist, and a myriad of other sects have tried their luck and gained no momentum." That got a right giggle out of me, the UK is exactly the same. Totally irreligious, a total amorphous blob that doesn't believe in anything. The only thing approaching a religion here is progressivism and transexual stuff.
I’m an American English teacher in Moscow and from the ground it’s an incredibly high trust society except for systems of control like the government. I have a lot of friends who teach oligarchs kids and of course they’re in a bubble but you can see where the oligarchs are going and it’s nowhere. I know Moscow isn’t Russia as I used to live and teach in Oryol. Out there young people are quite optimistic and everyone is looking to Japan really with a lot of weebs. Most Russians see what’s going on in the west with gender ideology and “refugees” flooding into Europe so they’re trying to avoid both those mistakes. The biggest problem is alcohol as always and there’s just a strong culture of drinking here because the weather sucks and in provincial towns, what else can you do for fun with friends.
"and from the ground it’s an incredibly high trust society" Clearly youve never seen any actually high trust society. "Out there young people are quite optimistic and everyone is looking to Japan really with a lot of weebs." Weebs are plentiful, but the war has extinguished any optimism. "Most Russians see what’s going on in the west with gender ideology and “refugees” flooding into Europe so they’re trying to avoid both those mistakes." By drawing their border arround Čečnija making is so border guards cant keep the mulims out... "because the weather sucks and in provincial towns, what else can you do for fun with friends." As a latvietis the answer is obvious, board games, video games, ... anything really, drinking is for idiots and russijans.
Holy moly, a living English-speaking teacher in Russia. Haven't seen one here in St Pete since 2007 And I thought there is no single Anglo-Saxon person around in 500 miles distance! Btw I always wondered what's the problem with genders? Why so many people, especially males, see it as some kind of trouble?.. Well, yeah, sure, it sucks when a smartass male identifying as female takes the first prize in women sport competition - but hey, first, it's the problem of organization of such events, second it's kinda funny. Otherwise I see no big deal with genders, to each his own.
I've heard countless times that Russia will collapse in 2022 then it was 2023. i guess now the goalpost moved to 5 years in the future😂. I'm sick of people watching protests or economic instability and then concluding that "this random country will collapse in x number of years.
@@debater452 Lets take the exemple the US, if you DARE think about anything other than the two OFFICIAL parties then you are a heretic and if you dare choose the wrong one heretic, but which is the right one ? as long as you follow the government word it should be fine and anyway the two parties only care about power so they will help each other in case of potential dangerous people that can change this Authoritarian Plutocracy, ah yes did i forgor that you need to be rich to rule the country ?
Certain Russian for written in the 1800s tells you exactly how to set up opposition groups and put them against each other. It is claimed as book is written by the people who used to run the Soviet union and currently run the US. It is no coincidence that all the oligarchs were the descendents of the Soviet intel and leadership are in possession of Portuguese and Israeli passports. I’ll leave that to you to figure it out.
@@debater452 In Germany we have the CDU, which will spew out some mild oppositional remarks right before an election and will do nothing of what they promise while not touching any state or cultural institution who are all swirling left and ultimately control the decision of a CDU government. Sure, might not be directly as controlled as Russia's opposition, I don't know too much about that, but the effects are similar.
Yes yes, russia will fall apart any time now. I mean, it's totally not like we said this shit a year ago when the war started and it miraculously turns out that they are completely fine and trading with the east, no no guys they will fall apart now, because someone on youtube said so. Trust me bro
Gonna repost my thoughts from Discord He says a lot of true thing, unsurprisingly, since he is using really good sources - I would reccomend all of these books But he makes a few crucial mistakes He is completely ignoring the authoritarian social contract we have in Russia. Where the people don't get involved in politics and the state kind of leaves them alone And Putin managed to perfect it during the war. All surplus money is being poured into the social stuff, people in big cities are barely getting conscripted and life SOMEHOW goes on ALMOST completely as normal With a few caveats, the Russians have mostly swallowed He also vastly overestimates the religiosity of Russians Yeah, Russians go to the churc, but it's surface level. Maybe to pray on Christmas or when a loved one dies or to bash boiled eggs on the Easter (it's an Orthodox thing) Russians overall are not atheists, but irreligious, believing equally in the church and TV mediums And the Russian Orthodox Church has a terrible reputation, since it's seen as intertwined with the state and aggressively builds churches over parks and public spaces, which antagonizes the locals The problem with the young people in Russia is that there's not a lot of them and hundreds of thousands are currently dying, getting mauled and mentally destroyed on the frontline Or flee the country, lmao The 40-yo men he talks about DO remember the 90s and still see Putin as the savior from THAT Also, the elites are so dependent on Putin and care so little about what the bydlo thinks, they don't care about Putin losing his legitimacy anymore The main driver of the uprising in Russia have always been the intellectuals in big cities. They've been jailed or driven out of the country and basically influence nothing. It would take a complete economic collapse to convince regular Russians to rise up.
Какая-то правда в этом есть, но поправлю с учетом личного опыта: да, социальный контракт был, но с началом войны его мощно покоробило - цены растут, санкции доходы съедают, проценты по кредитам космические (слава богу у меня нет ипотеки, лол). Да, войну заливают деньгами, но призывают в основном неудачников из глубинки, многие предпенсионного возраста, воюют они хреново а живут недолго. Да, благодаря этому можно черепашьими темпами ползти на запад, но надолго ли этого ресурса хватит - вопрос. Про перегрев экономики не говорил только ленивый, как только война закоечится/станет на паузу - всё это железо станет нахер никому не нужно. Про религиозность - я просто проорал вголосину, больше таких «православных атеистов» вы в мире не найдете, большинство ходят в церковь только яйца освящать, половина не знает как креститься правильно, а библию может 5% населения читали по диагонали. Эта СВОйна - это конкретно хотелка ввпутина, никому в РФ эта территория нахер была не нужна, что с ней теперь делать - никто даже не думает. Единственное что его сейчас может условно спасти - выцыганит себе передышку (типа Минск 3) и тогда либо экономика ляжет потому что перестанут клепать танки, либо их-таки продолжат клепать в угоду чему бы то ни было еще и в любом случае - нищета. Учитывая что ввпутину уже 72 - ну проживет он еще лет 10, а поскольку вся система в одних руках, как помрет (или помогут) - начнется смута. А там нео-большевики и oh shit here we go again. Вы там в ваших Америках хоть с местными пообщайтесь или книжки почитайте, негоже делать выводы по наитию, основанные на банальной эрудиции)))
@@JagaimoNeko за десять лет может много чего поменяться. Но, КМК, ни о какой революции смысла говорить нет. Будет развал СССР 2.0, когда к власти придут те же самые челы, повесив новые флажки. Вся оппозиция в изгнании, грызутся между собой непонятно о чём. Внутри системы никого, кто мог бы составить идеологический противовес Путину нет, "в народе" тем более. Там сейчас Гиркины разве что всякие, которые воняют, что Путин недостаточно кроваво всё устраивает. Протестного потенциала ноль, чо у нас там было, жёны мобилизованных с Надеждином? Курям это всё на смех. Пока границы открыты все, кому режим будет сильно досаждать продолжать съезжаться в грузинские квир-нарко комунны. "Вся система держится на Путине", ох как хочется в это верить, только это редко так работает. Если диктатор дохнет в своём кресле, на смену ему чаще всего приходит другой диктатор. Да, он может быть помягче, но кардинально редко что меняется. И это я не злорадствую. Это пиздец печально. Весь задорный протестный потенциал 10-х слит будто намеренно. Сейчас основная идея в РФ -- медленное гниение. Знакомые из Европ возвращаются, потому что нуууу его, учить язык трудно, работу искать трудно, вон в РФ у меня предложение есть. А чот там где-то стреляют, так не в Москве и Питере жи. И вот просто смотришь на это вот всё и руки опускаются.
I was a counter intelligence special agent in 1987. I wrote a classified report for the military that the Soviet Union would fall within ten years and I outlined the reasons why. I wish I had a copy of it but, it was classified, still it was totally my idea and research and it went against everything they were saying. (I really thought it would be more like 5 yrs to fall but I felt if I said that there was NO chance they would listen to me - I thought they probably wouldn't anyway but I thought someone out there might listen.) Anyway, my superiors came back and told me to concentrate on espionage, terrorism, and my ongoing investigations because I clearly knew nothing about the the complexities of geo-politics and economics. It was a response I expected. Our Intel and military focused everything on being AGAINST Russia. Once the USSR fell we still didn't know any other way to be. Since the fall Russia has tried to join NATO and the West at least 4 times that I know of and the US has blocked it each time. Partially because "Russia is the enemy" and until the boomer leaders die out they cannot entertain any other way of thinking (year I'm a boomer but I actually think about thinks and I didn't stop reading and learning when I got my Master's Degree or left college - most people are stuck at the level of knowledge and teh way they thought when their mind became set in their mid twenties - it takes work to keep mentally flexible and keep up with new ways of thinking.) Oh, the other reason? Russia would have enough power and influence to actually challenge our leadership of NATO. Yes, I understand that their actual physical power and economics is not comparable to ours but Russia has a "presence" just as some people have a presence and that gives them influence beyond their tanks, navy and air force. It is sad. If we hadn't been so obsessed with running the world we could have totally ensnared the Russian economic presence into synthesis with the Western World and got them on our side. Russia has always been a Western Country (except for that Marxist messiness but even that they did in a Western fashion rather than how they do it in the East.) Imagine the International situation if Russia, NATO, SEATO, and India and the countries of th Abraham Accords were all oriented to limiting Chinese aggression and bullying...but the CIA and US State Department totally blew it IMHO.
Open theft and public looting. And that’s just Philadelphia. I hate to say it but I live in a society that is unbelievably entitled in the general public attitude, and I’m raised in it. The biggest problem is that the USA isn’t in to full population decline yet. It might be slight decline, but still population decline isn’t even inherently bad because it’s having too many people for the resources that causes Revolutions.
@@AdrianFahrenheitTepes us looting isnt even that bad. It was one event. It was one event blown out of proportion and sweden and the UK also had looting recently.
@@aspen1606 It’s not one event, it happens in Philadelphia over and over again. Stores are leaving cities because they are being robbed out of business. I appreciate what you say for morale, but it sounds like you don’t know anything about my community. Sorry
Russia doesn’t have 5 years and neither do we. It’s likely that the UK and Canada will follow us into disorder and collapse as well. This is a civilizational issue not just one confined to a single state.
One also has to consider the historical pattern of Russian collapses. Russian people are generally very resilient (I'd say more resilient than their western counterparts) and not because they are special breed but because they have been conditioned to accept their dire circumstances as something normal, hence their tolerance for a shit storm is pretty high. Even if Russia does collapse as predicted in your analysis, it will most likely be another one or two decades of uncertainty, new oligarchy, poverty, etc. (much like in early and late 1900s) but then, after a while, it will bounce back again in some new insignificantly changed form with a new Czar. In other words, for Russian folk, a yet another collapse is just another bad day among the many they had managed to power through in the past. This goes along with the "Russia doesn't make any sense" principle.
@@davidescristofaros2241 wtf? You just made me realize Russia is totally going to collapse because the only thing motivating them is being evil and not gay! They’re going to collapse! 2 more weeks!
@@davidescristofaros2241Bro idk if it's the algorithm, but all I get is Ukrainian propaganda akin to "its over for putin", "total collapse", "Ukrainian tanks outside Moscow", I think Ukrainian shills have a pool of words that are negatively charged towards Russia, throw them at a wall and come out with titles and thumbnails. Pro-Russian shills (Russian speaking ones at least from what I understand) have been deplatformed and moved to RuTube
I hate to break it to you but we Americans and our western allies will survive and thrive long after Russia 🇷🇺 collapses and goes bye bye 👋 we Americans and our allies will still be here we are not going anywhere. Countries like Russia 🇷🇺 tend to not survive very long China, Cuba, North Korea, Belarus, and Palestine will eventually end up like Russia and when that day comes those countries will be a thing of the past they will only exist in the history books Russias days are numbered.
@@G-Man-half-life If the US isn't divided politically at the moment, socially unstable in major urban areas and the current Administration is incompetent, then I might side with you on this one.
@@ram76921It isn't about distinct classes it's about the fact the US is turning into a racially plural country with a consumer market, that largely being because much of those racial newcomers on average don't have the brainpower to maintain a high societal level the US was capable of. Observing the major cities in the US should attest to that. Those are supposed to be your power centers in different regions, and they all look like different stages of South Africa/Zimbabwe(Rhodesia)
The comment with regards to time and PTSD was quite profound. Andrei Tarkovsky, the premiere Soviet Director made a film called Mirror in which he documents his life not linearly but through scattered memories mixed in with one another at different times, forming narratively what one could call a broken mirror of memories.
In 1991 (33 years ago) USSR went bust, comrade, in 1917 Russia collapsed into communism twice in the 20th Century. Germany has lost two World Wars and remains more stable than Russia!?!
Years ago i could agree with you, now, I am not saying Russia is okay, it's in pretty bad shape but the West is getting in an even worse shape, culturally, ideologically, demographically, economicall etc., that i am not entirely sure it won't collapse before Russia does.
I think this is much more accurate unfortunately. It's actually kind of comical. Russians are like a 40 year old man and westerners are like a rebellious teenager. Russians not only have experience and apathy toward politics, but also have an inherent strength in practicality and survival. We are teenagers in the west. We are losing our minds with regard to extreme disorder in politics and culture and have no experience or wisdom with how to navigate a decaying society. If it's a war of cultural and economical attrition, Russia will be standing. That is the western hubris I think that really kind of worries me.
@@4grammaton Not true, that would imply they need the other. And both sides seem like they'd be quite happy if the other side didn't exist. Arguably, the U.S. still holds more belief than Russia, both in terms of faith/religion and belief in the country, or at least in an idea of what the country should be.
@@ZIEMOWITIUS This is completely wrong. The only people in the country that know anything about a functioning country are the dying boomers who refuse to accept that the country they lived in is long dead. Millennials and zoomers will destroy this country in 10 years easily
Russia is a survivor, ridding themselves of the Mongol Hordes, then Napoleon, then the ottoman empire then Hitler. A food power, energy power, nuclear power. You cant beat that combination. Only the US is similar but too young in comparison and self destructive.
@dr.woozie7500 To say Russia and Ukraine are critical to the world's food supply chain is an understatement. Together they export about 30% of the world's wheat, 60% of the world's sunflower oil (the third-most-traded seed oil behind palm and soy), and about 20% of the world's corn. Don't forget they are a major fertilizer producer too
lol as if America is in a better position. The USA has had so many geopolitical losses in the last few years I would be surprised if it doesn't balkanize or worse in the next 10 years (not to mention multiple irreconcilable cultural fracture points). Russia is building the foundation to be ready for the collapse, China is too - and they are both culturally homogeneous. Americans predicting their collapse really need some introspection.
USA, despite its losses, still controls a solid majority of the worls, and it doesn't even have to care too much about it, as many countries just want to be in an American sphere of influence. Meanwhile Russia can't even have any inpact on its closest neighbours.
@j.c.denton2060 He does; somewhere in southeastern PA in the greater Philly area if I recall correctly. Add that to the fact that he's barely more than a child, and you can understand how he can easily believe the US is much higher trust than it actually is.
@@j.w.m.415 He does not live in PA, he's lived in New York and Los Angeles before where he is now. He's also been to many foreign countries. He knows what low-trust societies are like. America is not one of them, at least the vast majority of America.
Well if you walk down the street and see a police officer you probably don't immediately start crossing to the other side. In Russia we do that, especially in the big cities
Lived between Russia and Ukraine for most of my life, and had to leave due to war. But watching the things that are going on there i dont really see it being over in 5 years, and not getting better any time soon for sure. I hope i am wrong and things will get better for all of us. Take care guys.
Yeah well Ukranians are gonna sue for peace whenever they catch themselves a very good spanking now, its just a matter of time. I don't think Russians have any interests in governing western Ukraine where most of population is hostile to it.
@@yurichtube1162 Russia will turn into a hardcore military dictatorhip, a sort of gigantic North Korea. Russia might be rich in resources but they dont exploit them successfully, thus Russia has a GDP slightly higher than Mexico ! It's economic ties with Europe have been severed, it might take decades to reach back 2021 levels. And the economy is the basis of development, those thousands of nukes dont help Russia develop!!! Russia is heading where it was in the '90s and it will stay there for a very long time!
Putin being described as a “secret policeman” is comical. He was a lawyer deep in the bowels of the kgb bureaucracy. It would be like calling the guy who works on spreadsheets in front office of the winning Super Bowl team a “Super Bowl champion”😂😂😂😂
as a Russian, this is probably the most fact-accurate "Russia is going to fall apart" video I've seen so far, and you raise a lot of valid points. some of the things you had predicted are happening right now, although they are too small to matter at the moment. we'll see how it goes
I believe the biggest factor to Russia possibly falling apart, is the aging population and the fact that this war has made the issue worse. Tens of thousands of young capable men have been killed or injured in the war. Men that Russian society was already in the desperate need of. Men, that this war was supposed to be adding under the rule of Moscow. But not only those who were killed and injured. What about those who escaped? We already know that hundreds of thousands fled Russia as the first mobilization wave hit. Most probably came back as their money or permits ran out. But many did not. For example, I know a few people here in Finland who previously have come from Russia to work on shipyards and in construction. People who escaped the mobilization by applying for a longer work permit, and still stay here. These are people, who are lost to Russia, as they apply for foreign citizenships, work in foreign companies, pay foreign taxes, marry foreign citizens, and have kids in foreign countries.
Половина выводов в видео строится на западной пропаганде. Это очень хорошо. Это значит, что они понятия не имеют, что реально происходит в России и будут совершать ещё больше ошибок. Например история с Пригожиным. Я онлайн следил за всем этим и с первых минут было понятно, что это полный провал. Половина вагнеров вообще отказались в этом участвовать. Народ абсолютно не поддержал этот демарш. От него отвернулись абсолютно все в один момент. Никто из высших чинов не поддержал тоже. Все сошлись на мнении, что Пригожин сошёл с ума и дел с ним больше никаких иметь нельзя. Зато в либеральных помойках уехавших оппозиционеров, спонсируемых фондами из США, ор был, что всё, Путину конец, в России революция, Пригожин - взбунтовавшийся Че Гевара 21 века и прочие радостные крики. В данном видео выводы делаются на основании анализа ора с оппозиционных каналов, а меж тем, эта ситуация только укрепила российскую власть, она высветила большинство не лояльных акторов во власти, показала сомневающимся, что народ перевороты не поддерживает, а случайная или специальная, мы этого не знаем, смерть Пригожина, воспринимается как справедливая расплата и ещё больше заставляет сомневающихся притормозить со своими сомнениями. Хорошо. Очень. Пусть надеются на развал России.
It is truly fascinating how one can talk for 33 minutes on the topic they know literally nothing about. How someone can be so arrogant yet so ignorant is beyond me.
@@alm9322 So we're still doing that? Damn these Russian trolls and how they ruined Star Wars and brainwashed people into thinking the greatest movie of our time was actually bad. And damn them for convincing people Biden's economy sucks even though, hey, just look at the GDP numbers. What more evidence do you need?
Will Durant, with the numberless issues you could raise about him, had a very clear conception of the organic nature of society. I believe he spoke on Revolutionary France, but certainly alluded to the same process occuring in Russia, that cutting a society of it's traditions was like separating an individual from his memories: it could only lead to neuroticism, for both.
Cutting a society from its traditions is what’s happening in the west today. Almost everything is being undermined, right down to the language we speak.
@@aide-toietlecieltaidera3724you could see abundant advertisement as fake memory factory.... the way they have studied how fake memory works, that constant bombardment can work that way, making people mental and loose themselves. sort of white room where floor is shaking if there at all.
The amount of cope here. Russia has survived much more severe situations in it's history. And foreign influence will not collapse Russia anytime soon. Cope and seethe.,
@@ZIEMOWITIUS Russia doesn't have a demographic problem, they're all Russian with the exception of small groups of people in Siberia.. The US does, and just like Rome it will collapse the US.
@@alexlaw1892 You have it backwards, man. The Russian population is significantly older than the U.S. population on average, which is a problem. Birthrates in Russia are significantly lower than they are in the U.S., which is a problem. Finally, the gender imbalance in Russia of having a lot more young women than men is much worse than it is in the U.S., which is a problem. But hey, I'm sure sending 10s of thousands of young men to die in a war will help out those demographics.
@@ZIEMOWITIUS The US population is completely fake. This is country is all boomers and the idiots who try to make up for their increasing absence. Most immigrants will literally just go back to their homeland once the economy collapses and they are forced to take care of dying boomers. Birth rates are growing in Russia and continuously declining in the US.
@@ZIEMOWITIUSthank you finally someone said it. I’m a right winger but this American right wing deep throating of Russia is just as cringe as when the left fanboys about china.
@@stevenschnepp576 A few regional sections of the US can still be described as high trust (rural, bits of the south, midwest, and west, etc). However, most the majority of the population does not live in those areas.
Actually after the smo begun it unified russian people by the idea of protection and traditionalism as well as different religions, that turns everything upside down
You and Ziehan remind me of Japanese bond vigilantes in the 90s. They were OBSESSED Japan was a failed state and kept shorting until the BOJ crushed them into oblivion. 30 years later Japan is still here. Yes, the charts clearly show Russia is due a pullback, but in the long run, Russia will be just fine. Just like Japan.
I think the difference is that Japan has institutions which enable adjustment. If the people want a revolution, they can just vote. In Russia that's impossible. Putin will be in charge until he's violently ousted or he dies.
This war has made Russia even more United. I agree he’s sounding just like Ziehan and he will have shit on his face in 5 years. Like the comment of trust. The west is quickly becoming a very low trust society!
I've met ethnic Koreans, Turks, Jews, and Mongolians that were Russian nationality and they all were proud to be Russian. I don't think Russia is going anywhere. Russia might have a trash government but don't count on them not being around as a nation, you're going to be disappointed.
Im glad you re-uploaded this video. Not sure why you took it down to begin with. Maybe with someone virtue signaling over your perspective on the concept of Russia? Either way thanks for your content. Makes me enjoy thinking outside the box on Russia as an American instead of being told to hate them cause "theyre our enemy".
Since the war in Ukraine started, russian standard of living has actually grown. And income inequality has decreased. Does that mean the chances of revolution in Russia is actually going down? Its also becoming more religious. Both Muslim and Orthodox Christianity has seen major growth. In my opinion it would look like Russia is stabilizing rather than the opposite.
We had high trust in a lot of our social institutions throughout most of our history up and until now. Sure at times some of them were low bit mever not all of them like it is more so now.
I would argue that one could, if one were humble and willing to admit that their assumptions were incorrect. Yes, it is an idealistic condition. But “ideal” doesn’t always equal impossible, it can equal “improbable”.
If his listeners could think- they would be very upset 😅😅😅 and not only US, EU has even bigger problems😢 while people in Russia and China are completely different in culture and habits than Americans. For example, most people in China are living well below their means, and accumulating wealth.
This might be Rudyard's boldest prediction yet. To be honest, I haven't been too impressed with Rudyard's assessment of the Ukraine war, which is all but won now.
Lynch is a child. His powers of prediction and analysis are poor because he has yet to figure out that you can't trust everything you read. Reminds me a lot of myself at his age.
@@j.w.m.415 I think he’s stated that he only reads stuff that was published after 1960 in one of his QnA’s, which doesn’t bode well for opinion. Also he likes to follow Zeihan a lot, who has a pretty shit track record of predicting stuff(and the stuff he did predict wasn’t just him and was pretty obviously gonna happen like the Ukraine war now). Rudyard needs to read some stuff that he disagrees with like Chomsky for example. I don’t agree with Chomsky but I highly respect his opinions
I think the fact that you are all so worried and feel like you need to comment here to reinforce your positions is testament to the fact that he struck a chord in you, which means his video did something right. Honestly it’s just a dumb TH-cam video, you are taking it way too seriously
It does tremendous damage to rud and zeihans credibility that they never address that the ru ssian sanctions backfired and Ukrain is losing territory and unable to advance
If anyone is interested in further reading on predictors of social revolution, I would recommend the study "Dramatic Social Change: A Social Psychological Perspective". It looks into predictive factors based on group-sociological and psychological factors, rather than the more economic and sociopolitical elements. The 3 main factors are collective action, relative deprivation, and perceptions of social change. I think both perspectives are important to fully understand the phenomena.
Your "Billionaires earned their money" only works if you allow that "earn" to also be inheritable. About half of the billionaires on the Forbes list either Straight inherited the money, or inherited the position where they made the money. (i.e. joining the C-suit of a company your family is already heavily invested in.)
@@andrewwilson9183If you start out with a million dollar nest egg, that's not self-made. It's called "being born with a silver spoon in your mouth". If you were lucky enough to be born into wealth, please count your blessings rather than assume everyone else has it just as good. Wealth really does open doors that aren't available to the poor.
@@GizzyDillespee No you misunderstood All outcomes in life are a cooperation with grace or luck. As such, to increase one’s wealth a thousand fold, requires skill and a special work ethic. The Forbes list is misleading for this reason.
Me, a Russian, seeing 100th video about the fall of Russia in past 2 years. "Ah shit. Here we go again" Love your vids anyway. Lets see what future holds I guess.
Even though some things make sense a lot of hate and prejudice can be easily traced in your summary of political situation in Russia. Sick of such type of propaganda channels. That phrase 'I support Ukraine since I support America's rivals' speaks volumes. I dislike Americans who hate Russia as much as I dislike Russians who hate America.
Do you have any personal experience with places like this that you cover? Not suggesting your conclusions are wrong, just curious whether your assessment is purely academic or if you've actually discussed these things with Russians or ever visited Russia.
This dude, just like other western “academics” or “political scientists”, live in their own little privileged bubble. They don’t even know what’s going on in their own society, let alone in countries and societies half way around the world. Their own backyard, parts of America, is falling apart yet they have the audacity to predict the downfall of societies like China and Russia. They’re oblivious.
Hard to imagine how a country that is fully sustainable in food and energy will collapse without major war. I think Russia will eventually evolve into an efficient capitalistic society, but this will take time. My bet is that new post-capitalist ideologies will be developed in the West, while Russia will continue to develop a capitalist state and follow the example given by the West. After all, the USSR collapsed because the elite was envious by how efficient the Western capitalist system was compared to the Soviet's. Both Russia and China want to recreate America from the 20th century as it was without question the most prosperous place in history. The big problem is demographics, but this is shared by pretty much everyone.
Capitalism can't succeed without colonialism, without seizing other countries' resources. Looking on carbohydrate-rich Donbas region, I can tell that Russia has learned how free market works and how war is an integral part of capitalist economy.
the usa capitalist system is shit millions of people living in tent cities many ordinary working americans cant afford housing the global capitalist have destroyed the usa for many working people
@@krtstperhaps you could shed light on why russian hypocrites live in the West? You don't like Western values, you don't like NATO... Well, move back to your sh*thole and put your house in order.
I know right? He made an effort but there are so many oversimplifications in there... I have been following the Ukraine war and the commentary tends to be almost always partisan or outright ignorant. Somebody who does not even speak Russian to begin with can never be called a "Russia expert".
You weren't wrong about the famine. Just a scope of it. The recent streak of coup d'etats in the Sahel can be largely attributed to the food shortages. And there is a large wave of refugees that resembles the last border crisis. There is a lot of instability in the Middle East. I didn't hear anything about food shortages there, but that doesn't exclude them. And lastly, the Ukrainian grain ended mostly in Europe instead of Africa. This is a scandal in UE because it seems that German and Dutch interest groups (they are owners of big Ukrainian agro holdings) used the situation as a pretext to bypass French protectionism towards the internal agricultural sector. Plus some corruption along the way.
Portugal never recovered from the invasion of Bonaparte. The Portuguese army was the first in Europe to defeat Bonaparte, and send the French conscripts out for good. The English and Spanish assisted.. But Portugal hardly recovered from the theft and devastation.
So weird that every modern country dropped the ball in some way. Japan was doing so amazing, but then decided to freeze their economy for 30 years. They could literally be the big world power now if they didn’t have crazy economic experiments.
I usually like your videos but this just seems way off. It’s like 20 years out of date. When you mentioned the men dying by drinking themselves to death, I realized this is wrong. That’s what happened in the 90’s after the wall fell. This video is every cliche that the western establishment wants you to think about Russia.
In 1981 I was taking a class on comparative economic systems at North Dakota State University, we among others (Islamic economics,European socialism, Various command economies) studies the Soviet Union. My professor (Z Edward O'Relly had written a paper involving his analysis of external measures of outputs of the Soviets Union, and predicted that at the year 2000, given the decline the country would have zero economic output. and thus would fall sometime before that date. The 1973 Soviet-US grain deal was an indicator that signaled the precipitous decline of Soviet output that started this line of analysis.
By the late seventies those running the USSR's economy were relying upon publicly declassified U.S. intelligence estimates assessing the economic ouput of the USSR. They themselves had no real way way to ascertain what the actual outputs were and what was pure bs made-up by the commissars in charge of various manufacturing, mining and farming sectors which was then reported to the Kremiln. In hindsight it turned out the U.S. vastly overestimated USSR economic output but even so was still nowhere near the tremendous lies the Soviets told themelsves about their own economy.
I always found Soviet agriculture kind of hilarious. They made agricultural output a central part of their propaganda and their ideology but they _always_ lagged behind the US despite having both a larger population, more arable land, and some famously rich black earth. Under Kruschev they also went hog wild trying to copy American farming techniques and technology, especially when it came to Americas corn industry. They put tons of effort into collectivizing their farming, invested tons of money and manpower into it, and did everything they could to boost production and make the supposedly much more efficient communist agricultural model outperform the west... and despite all that they could barely feed their people. Even after famine stopped being a major concern for the USSRs entire history the food they had available was inferior to the US with Americans having much more variety, more fruit and vegetables, and both more meat and more varied meat. The Soviet diet was mostly turnips, potatoes, beets, and grain while in the US they had more fruits, dairy, eggs, meat, sugar, and spices available.
no, its culture is consumerism. Which is why immigrants are able to integrate quickly. Already there is alot of 2-3rd generation latinos who dont speak a single word of Spanish. However, besides Cajun and Cerole culture in Louisiana, I dont see much culture that is different or worth it.
Russia has been in this world for over a thousand years. United States is barely making 250 years. So this whole statement in the video of outting "5 years to end" is nothing but hilarious
@@AdrianFahrenheitTepes do you think Russia didn't have cohesion problems in those 1200 years of existence? Since the break of kingdoms, the mongol administration, the time of problems, the northern war, Napoleon invasion, the surge itself of a new kind of state (socialism), the great patriotic war and the break of the USSR. History has taught us that no matter how much shit Russia goes through it will prevail. So this current Ukraine war is nothing in comparison.
@@axelnovati And what you’re talking about is cohesion. Not the length of time. The United States will always be around, not always the same way as it has been, but it will be in some form existent. I know exactly what is wrong there myself as well. And my view of it is that if there is a “fall” it will be something similar in ways to the Russian Federation in the 1990s regarding economics, crime, etc.
@@AdrianFahrenheitTepes you said time wasn't relevant but cohesion so I made my point around your argument. But we both are concluding that Russia won't "fall" as the video suggests.
If anything, I expect Russia, like China, and possibly America, and definitely Brazil to have a warlord period again but not dissolve as a national concept and defined land mass.
Indeed, any American collapse in the next 100 years is more likely to be a civil war that gets the country sorted out and refocused again. Then the US will resurge once the economic dammage is repaired. Russia and China are likely to be in worse states after any collapse and take far longer to repair.
What i expect to happen to each nation is simple, i expect russia will have either a warlord period, or a return to monarchy (a large portion of the russian populace supports the restoration of the romanov dynasty), china i cannot see staying in 1 piece, though north eastern (aka the han people's area) might stay together, tibet, hong kong and xinjiang i cannot see as staying part of the country if given even the slightest chance to break away. The us is facing balkanization imo, the us is culturally a empire with many differing cultures based on location, so the form of government or governments that form from that if it happens is completely unpredictable, but likely it won't be just republicanism, both communism and monarchism and everything in between is not off the table in such a situation. Brazil is hard to predict but likely it will have a civil war between the 3 factions, the socialists, the monarchists and the republicanists.
@@tatsuya2112 I'm Brazilian and I can tell you the monarchist movement is extremely weak here. If there is a to be a civil war in the country, it will be between socialists/communists against far-right reactionaries, as is typical of Latin American civil wars and conflicts.
Nationalism in Europe failed only because to the amount of tanks and shells its rivals had. In other words, european nationalism was crashed by shells and tank tracks at least twice.
Thank you for this video. 1) People in Russia trust almost no one, especially government. As I know about 30% of people are trying to avoid taxes. And a lot of people do everything to not go to the army ( even before the conflict ) It seems like the government try to put duties on us, but people are trying to avoid them as much as they can. 2) Church. There is not many believers, during the soviet union period it was forbidden. My friends in the USA always think that the russians are believers, but in reallity that's small amount of population 3) Demographic is pretty bad in Russia. I do agree with it. But the most important thing is that birth rate isn't equal or simmilar state to state ( kray or oblast'), So people in muslim regions have more babies, way more than in "the heartland of Russia" plus people from Central Asia go to Russia to work and get russian citizenship for them is a peace of cake. I saw a statictics which says that in Russia, local population is about 78% nowadays and about 20% of Moscow population are muslims and these Muslim folks are kind of connected between themselves while the Russians completely aren't. 4) Corruption is almost everywhere in universities, hospitals e t c it's deep in society. I think one of the problems is low payment jobs and people try to make money as much as they could. From the bottom to the top of the social hierarchy. 5) Investments, innovations, progress these just words, they don't mean anything in Russia. That's a country where guys on the top sell resources. They feed people in poverty to prevent protests and government machine, others on their own, other money they move out of Russia. I'll give you an example from my life. I had a close relationship with my boss and I asked him. Why doesn't he invest money in his business? His answer was I do Investments, but not in Russia and this mindset has almost any rich person in Russia. 6) Russian people want to be alone, all the time the government try to pressure on them. All the time the government do some shit and involve people to solve it. 7) Russian people is very diffrent from person to person. I've never seen the diffrence like this before wherever I've been. The government plays with the statistics about their opinion all the time, but they can't prove it, they know, but can't 8) And in my opinion the most bad thing is that Russian people see Russia as a superpower, it stops the progress too. They think they are like the USA or China, Western europe, but it's bellow. And instead of chose "special russian path" will be good to copperate with the West, change the laws, try to integrate in EU, but it's not going to happen in the nearest future, unfortunately 😢
Could it be that Russia is too big, geographically, to stay as one nation? There also seems to be a rise in nationalism globally. My country, Canada, may also be too large to remain intact. There are signs re political divisions.. (as well, look at the divisions in the USA). We already have 'a nation within a nation', ie Quebec..
@gerryboudreaultboudreault2608 I think Russia is very stable because Caucas and many minority states can't live that way like they are living now, without Russia. For example, Chechnya is one of the Russian regions that get lots of money from the budget. If they would be independent, they would be much poorer. The only regions that might want to be independent are those with resources, but it's impossible because it would be a war without end for those resources. But people in Caucas kind of don't obey Russians' laws, so they could do something, but it would be very stupid, because they would make a shot to their feet
Yeah #1 is incorrect. There was a shit ton of people trying to join the army, In disadcantaged regions like Tuva and Minority states where pay was low, army bonuses were massive and pay was as well. Russia doesnt take conscripts may I remind you, they use volunteers.
15:30 I've dealt with Russian propaganda before as someone whose been in the alternate media for a decade now, and I gotta admit, they're good. I've created videos addressing Russian propaganda specifically, and not just general tankie propaganda. The exact polar opposite is China, which except for an individual or two, is a complete and utter joke. I think the reason why is because China is bureaucratic along with having no experience with dealing with westerners. Russia, on the other hand, is western-adjacent, and has studied western culture and would know how to better infiltrate it, especially the alternate media where people don't trust the mainstream media, which is a good audience to capture and appeal to for Orwell's Eurasian-I-mean Russian propaganda. Sadly, there's few people to push back against it, and my own favorite political commentator whose normally awesome has fallen for it. It's ironic how I criticize America's wars and Israel, but I know things would be infinitely worse if Russia or Especially China were the superpower.
This world has never seen anything worse than the West. Concerning propaganda Russia is far behind the Westerners. Mostly because Russians still have some integrity left in them
I have lived on both sides of the world, both swim in propaganda, in different kinds but still, the biggest reason people on alternative media tent to "bite" into Russian propaganda is because there is no trust in our own medias, we KNOW that our media lies, i have said it for the past two decades "Joseph Goebbels would weep with joy at how acomplished Russian and American propaganda is, they seem to be his best pupils".
@aide-toietlecieltaidera3724 I was going to comment, but TH-cam dumped my comment, so I'll have to try again. There's hidden comments I can only find with TH-cam Comment Finder.
Lol as an American vet I feel similar about our wars. We haven't been in a justifiable war for decades but as I grow older I am starting to understand how and why we've been dragged around the globe to places most Americans cannot name on a map. The Chinese started trading with the Taliban the second we left. If it wasn't us it would be somebody worse.
I lived in Russia from 2016-2021 and am married to a Russian and one of the things I learned in that time is that Russians love being Russian and will not be anything else. Even the most vocal detractors of the government, of corruption, of the regime, still held immense pride in the fact that they were Russian. And at the end of a day what makes a nation a nation is that the people within want it to be so, and there were no Russians I met in five years that wanted Russia to end, change maybe, but not to end. And if there is one thing I've learned in the study of history it is never to discount Russian Endurance.
They love Russia so much that they no longer want to have more Russians and be high in nearly all vices, HIV and abortions in europe?
We all need to be on RU side because they the only ones who would help us in a civil war
@@LTNetjakI mean even if Russia falls it will probably build it self back up like the last two Empires they had. Sort of like Germany and China. These countries unlike the U.S. and the rest of the Anglo-sphere is that they assassinate people into their culture and they keep their culture alive as well as the majority ethnic group...so when a fall happens they simply rebuild.
If a fall happens in a diverse country they brake up into different smaller states.
well said, whatifaltist dosent consider that chess is a national sport in Russia. A game that is literally played moves ahead of the moment. Russia has gold reserves, america is the worlds greatest debtor nation. Who will collapse first?
@@1greenMitsi Thats exactly what i was thinking.
Do not delete this video, it will be interesting to watch it 5 years from now.
It certainly won't age well considering the guy who did it is American
There's videos which were made 8 years ago after the Maidan uprising in Ukraine which predicted the fall of Russia in few years. They are still up there, cringy as hell if you are watching it today. There's so many of these old 'collapse of Russia' videos.
@@johngeiger3770well, Russia collapsed at least 2 times already in the past, 1917 and 1991. But „collapsing“ is not the same as „vanishing“. Russia was still there after the collapse, and kept on going.
@@peterp5099Very good point. The collapse of the Soviet Union is an indicator of what could happen in the near future.
@@jacquesstrapp3219 not really. If anything, situation in Russia might be similar to the USA in the early stages of the Vietnam war. At least regarding Ukraine. The economic situation seems to be much more complicated, but not really bad actually, maybe roughly comparable to the USA during WW2.
I don’t see any indication that Russia might be collapsing anytime soon. Neither seems the Putin regime be close to collapsing - as I understand it, a majority of the Russians are against the war, but support Putin despite the war for the country‘s long term development under his rule (average life expectancy 5 years longer today than under Yeltsin, average income 5 times higher).
As I understand it, China is currently requesting a hefty price from Russia for the continuation of the current support, and Putin is trying to find out if he might get a better deal from the West, which might or might not include giving up parts of the Ukraine by Russia. No idea what the western response may be, but in a few months we might know.
I'm Russian and a huge fan of yours. I hope you got this wrong.
Plus, the big part of those newly turned Orthodox people aren't really believers, but find it as just a revival of tradition, while not really having deep seated faith. A good example is words of Belarusian president Lukashenko: "I am an Orthodox atheist".
Communism really did more damage to us than you think.
Pay no mind to this fool....Russia sits on the most incredible wealth in the universe, plus a people that is not going woke.
Russian cites are gems compared to feral blue zoos.
This kid is an idiot.
There is an Ace in the pocket which isn’t necessarily for Russia but the broader Orthodox World.
There’s been a big surge of converts in Western Countries to Eastern Orthodoxy and it’s in large part due to the alienation of our contemporary post modern liberal culture, and the fact that a lot of Orthodox Literature and Apologetics have finally been translated into English in the last 30 years. And these new converts aren’t coming to change the faith, if anything they seek to reinforce it because they love the Apostolic Roots and the Holy Traditions. This new blood coming in might be a big key to the preservation of Orthodoxy within Europe even if Russia as a political entity doesn’t last
Unfortunately he's correct in many takes, I'm a russian too and all I see is a total disintegration of the society and culture alongside with the word of law no longer meaning anything as it can be changed at any time whenever dictator or oligarchs want. The imminent collapse is on sight and in my opinion is a matter of few years unless some card gives away next year already, resulting in this whole "card house" to fall apart instantly
@@obiwankenobi6871as an American, it definitely seems like there's a mass exodus from the main Protestant denominations towards both Catholicism and Orthodoxy
@@greeneggsandhamsamiam6154the internet just makes it seem that way. Christianity seems to be done. It’s been going downhill since the enlightenment and the rate of decline has increased in recent years
Russia is a "Strongly religious nation"? Is this a joke? Russia in no way religious, the person that is saying so has never even been in Russia, I am not even talking about living in it. Sure, *some* part of the population is religious, may be 10% at best. The rest just don't care about the religion. You may say that everyone here celebrate Easter. Yes, we are. But that's a tradition, nothing more. 75% of the population come to the church once a year to get some holy water drops on their dish, and then proceed to never come to the church again for the rest of the year or caring about the religious dogmas. Yeah, very "religious"
Source: I live here and I can't f**g escape
I was wondering whether or not I should ever visit or move to Russia? Is it really so bad? Do you feel that way because of your politics and/or some other reasons? Sorry, I'm just curious. Sometimes I wonder what might happen to the West, whether we will be forced into war too
Are you going to church? Become a pious Christian
@@FourthReichEUNATOAS A RUSSIAN. BRO NOO. YOU VIEW RUSSIA AS A “CHRISTIAN STATE WITH TRADITIONAL VALUES”, THAT IS BASICALLY ISNT TRUE. ONLY 2% OF RUSSIANS GO TO CHURCH EVERY WEEK. FUCK, NYC IS MUCH MORE CHRISTIAN THAN CITY WHERE I LIVED. PLUS NORMAL SALARY IN RUSSIA IS 14K RUBLES (160 USD), ITS ALSO A POOR COUNTRY. PLEASE GIVE ME YOUR WESTERN PASSPORT SO I CAN ESCAPE THIS PLACE CALLED “EASTERN EUROPE”.IF YOU WILL GO VISIT IT, DELETE ALL OFF YOUR PRO-DEMOCRATIC OR ANTI-PUTIN POSTS/MESSAGES. IN RUSSIA PEOPLE ARE GETTING ARRESTED FOR GOING TO THE STREAT WITH A PAPER WITHOUT ANYTHING. JUST WHITE PAPER. VISIT - MAYBE, IMMIGRATION- NEVER
70% of Russia is Orthodox Christians and 5% are Muslim
In Moscow and saint Petersburg yeah I but when you go to any other cities it's a very very different situation
"A society that believes in nothing is completely doomed on every level" wise words, and they apply especially so to Australia in the current era.
I just so happen to be attempting to make this case to an aussie but I'm not getting through. Any advice?
How so? Could you explain?
@@RA-ie3ss Well I can give you some insights into how Aussies think. For one they're extremely illiterate when it comes to anything even remotely historical or inter-civilisational. This is due to the generations of civilisational myopia that has been afforded to Australians thanks to geography and the fact that the bulk of our population sits on the East-Coast whose only other natural civilisational influence would be New Zealand who suffer to an even greater extent that we. I'd say try and educate and eventually through declining living standards and the fact that Australian civilisation will have to just go through the motions until something better comes along to replace it. You'll eventually get there. Covid and the Voice have done immense work t wake people up to the failings of their civilisational inheritance which has fallen into disrepair with the UK joining the EU in the 70's and the severing of legal and cultural ties to Great Britain in the 80's created a licence for our ruling class to mothball everything that used to make Australia Australian, which was it's overwhelming sense of Britishness in the South Pacific. @cooldude-ko7ps
Canada as well
How about the entire western world .
Russia won't be the only country severely tested, next 5yrs.
What's fascinating about the secret police becoming the most powerful and dominating branch in the Soviet Union is that the KGB was where things all began to fall apart for the state. Because while the Soviet system had become horribly corrupt in its later years, the KGB wasn't as it was where all the most serious party ideologues went. Yet they perhaps did more harm to bringing about its downfall when they chose to crack down on corruption. In 1982, Yuri Andropov, head of the KGB came to power with the mission of ending all corruption in the Soviet Union, which resulted in the arrests of many of its corrupt officials. However what he and the rest of the hardliners in the KGB didn't understand was that corruption was the only thing making the system function at all. Because bribery helped people get around stupid and counter-productive rules and regulations. Workers could buy high-quality boots, clothes, tools, etc that actually worked unlike the state's production quota garbage. It was illegal to set up private businesses in the USSR, yet it was these illegal businesses that let people earn extra money and allowed them to buy necessary goods/services the state couldn't provide. Even many state run industries depended on black market supplies (which themselves were often produced in the state's own factories but off the books). Andropov essentially made the USSR's flailing economy even worse when he cut off its illegal lifeblood. Its no wonder then, a year after Andropov died in office, Mikhail Gorbachev would take the General Secretary position and pivot away from hardcore communist orthodoxy that hardliners like Andropov tried to usher back in.
Funny how the corruption and illegal markets are what helps the communist governments function. They also are often dependent on foreign aid. Just goes to show how these things cannot stand on its own merits.
Spies dont have the virtue required for running a government.
fascinating.
the more i learn, the less i know
Very interesting
"korupsi adalah oli pembangunan"
- Fadli Zon
Most of these things said about the collapse of an impending Russia can be said about most countries currently. I think an impending global dark age were anything can go is right around the corner.
I highly agree with you on this point. Coming from a Russian-American perspective, everyone is fucked in their own way. Tho to say Russia will balkanize more than the USSR already did is ridiculous, considering most of the minorities there do not really want independence. I would know, a ton of my friends are Tatar. I do think Russia will decline, but more like Poorer Japan rather than a Yugoslavia.
@@whatsthehistory4752you really underestimate how much a strong man like Putin is required. Once he falls out of favor Russia will collapse there’s no institutions that will support the collapse it’s all corrupt. No one is next in line for Putin because they are viewed as a challenger to the leader he continues to execute and purge any political rivals that could actually stabilize the country
then it is not a dark age, the middle ages were small scale and relatively peaceful for such a long period, with mostly farmer life spread out
He drank too much of his ship-faring cool-aid and now feels like he has been divinely endowed to criticize countries he knows nothing about, by the sheer power of merchant-class-powered IOP "democracy". 😂😂🤡🤡
Or maybe just you know, countries always look like they're collapsing when you're on the internet all the time and don't look at things on the ground. The way it looks from that perspective, literally every country in history is always constantly on the verge of collapse. Now sometimes they actually are, but usually the country is already half-dead by that point.
"I support Ukraine because I support weakening America's rivals." What an utterly nihilistic statement. My attitude about the war in Ukraine has changed radically since I learned about our role in precipitating the conflict. At first, I was merely opposed to getting involved in another foreign entanglement. Then I learned that WE were responsible for the whole thing. We wanted war. We built biological weapons "research labs" in Ukraine. We toppled Ukraine's legitimate, elected government in 2014 and replaced it with a series of puppets beholden to us. We opposed every attempt at a peaceful settlement. We lied during negotiations and we hid our true intentions. We are guilty of a vast crime against humanity. NATO membership for Ukraine is an offensive, warlike provocation. Russia responded the way we hoped they would respond, the only way any sovereign nation could respond. That gave us a pretext to punish Russia in the vain hope that their government would collapse. This plan didn't work because it was an evil plan. There is good and evil in the world, and evil never triumphs. Nor should it.
Its so rare to see someone else actually understand this. Kamala went in person to invite them to join nato. This was like, the week before the invasion. Thank god she didnt win.
If I had a penny for everytime I heard "russian collapse", I'd have all the pennies.
Only one collapsing will be America.
The collapse is slow and real.
@@leme5639 the American collapse, yeah. Are the Russians suffering 30%+ inflation? I don't think they are.
Nah , what i see is usa is collapsing
@@NarutoUzumaki-ze4be exactly, USA is on its way out. It will rapidly disintegrate in a chaos of racial confusion and vice.
It is terrifying we live in an era where genuine state collapse is something you can see on the news and not just read about it in history books.
They're going to party like it's 1991.
You sound very young
I don't know why this would be surprising in the least.
✡️✡️
I mean, the brits got to see it in the news during the French revolution. The only thing that really changes in "eras" is potentially scale.
Even though I have my doubts about the whole "It's gonna collapse in a few years, trust me guys" part, the actual analysis of how the society and political life are structured is very remarkable and insightful, especially for a look "from outside" and people should pay more attention to what is said there
The main issue is too many people. North Korea gets away with its authoritarianism because of the limited population. Russia has already has too much dissent. You have to also remember china is eyeing Siberia right now and praying on a break up since with global warming that land is so fertile. They’ve already mass moved immigrants. Everyone is against Russia and they have no true allies with a shared. That’s why they attacked Ukraine first out of desperation. If they weren’t so close to collapse they would’ve continued using the separatist forces to stoke things till they break away like they did to Crimea. They are pressed for time and fell apart.
Especially without defining what counts as a "collapse " does he mean a new society in the state of Russia? The collapse of the entire state? Independence movements breaking off pieces?
@@horstnietzsche1923 Generally speaking, it's talking about the current ruling body being replaced with another. It's disappointing because the west genuinely wanted Russia to come out of the collapse of the soviet union a successful state that it could be friends with and Putin essentially threw it in their face. I can't imagine any country is going to want to be pals with Russia for the foreseeable future, but hey, 100 years ago people would have thought you were nuts if you told them in 2023 Germany and France would be close allies.
As far as the collapse of Russia goes, you can't really put a number on it. However, failing to take Ukraine within a few days pretty much sealed the fate of the current Russian government. Collapse is inevitable, when it will happen is extremely up in the air, but every day the war drags on in Ukraine, the sooner it's going to happen. Can Russia sustain the effort in Ukraine? Probably, but that doesn't mean Russia as it is right now will survive post-war.
@@horstnietzsche1923Yeah, that's one of the things I don't get. What counts as "collapse" in terms of country and society?
@@ticktockbamThe most i could reasonably see happening is some ethnic groups attempting to declare independence during the time when the government is in deadlock as no one has any idea who is supposed to replace Putin.
China also may or may not get feisty and attempt to stronghand mining rights in Siberia.
The more boring option is Russia being somewhat isolationist after a disappointing campaign while having a stagnant economy and shrinking population.
Not expecting Russia to go full revolution/civil-war, as the Russians simply do not care enough, and most regions that didn't want to be part of it already left thirty years ago.
As long as Putin is alive, I think Russia will be ok, but the question is what happens after Putin Dies? He isn’t exactly a spring chicken.
@richardthefox3412 Putin just got reelected for another term which I think in Russia is either 5 or 6 years long, I'm not sure. Nevertheless, he's is good physical shape unlike what the American and Western Zionist Marxist media said about him in the past. They claimed that Putin is dying, suffering from cancer. I think, that was only wishful thinking by the Zionist ruling kabbal.
I mean….. Putin could come down with a case of window cancer ….. or just go on a long walk.
@Sicksociety334
Putin is extremely popular in Russia. He's like a folk hero, especially now. They'll be fine in immediate future, but they have one of the bleakest demographic situations but, tbf, literally no one has a good outlook. Even the best ones are catastrophic and all but guarantee massive social unrest
It’ll be interesting to come back in 5 years and see how much Rudyard got right and wrong.
You can go back right now and see how he did years ago.
I'm not a tankie but this vid is BS. Russia has an enormous margin of stability
@@ofacid3439you’re insane if you think that
@@judekivcry
@@judekiv I guess you never heard about prigozhin coup then which only last for less than a day. There's a coup happening, in the middle of the war, while nation is under sanction, yet no widespread riot happening like it did in France instead. That alone already prove how stable Russia actually is.
Russia and China are not going to collapse in a traditional fall of Rome sense. Their governments may switch hands but never underestimate their resilience and ability to adapt to situations.
i a theory about this:
AI will make authoritarian governments more efficient, they will have much smaller bureaucracies
and the old issues facing the dictator will disappear...
@@therearenoshortcuts9868 This technology like AI will actually make such chaotic empires become easily orderly and less corruption most likely. with the opposite effect on the democractic welfare state becoming more chaotic and corrupt
@@magnem1043 you write like an Ai
@@magnem1043
that would be the ultimate irony of history
democratic capitalist societies finally create AI
only to have AI destroy themselves and stablize their arch-rivals...
Russia and China are now in their prime, they have so much time till collapse it's hilarious
I usually enjoy your videos but this one is fraught with factual mistakes. The secret police was NOT the only institution that was left after Stalin. In fact, it was severely weakened immediately after Stalin's demise. Putin started displaying authoritarian tendencies very soon after taking over, by establishing control over media and prosecuting every potential challenger. He certainly didn't wait for 10 years. The rapid deterioration of trust and cooperation with the West happened NOT in 2008 or 2009, but in 2011 due to overthrow of Gaddafi and Bolotnaya protests. Oligarchs were NOT old communist party officials. Neither of the biggest 1990s tycoons (Berezovsky, Gusinsky, Fridman, Aven, Khodorkovsky, Potanin, Alekperov, Deripaska, Abramovich) was an old communist party official. Not a single one. Also, there were and are many high-ranking associates of Putin, who had not been his old buddies (Kasyanov, Fradkov, Mishustin, Shoigu, Sobyanin, Patrushev, Bortnikov, Kolokoltsev, Ustinov, Chaika, Volodin, Ivanov, Surkov, Kirienko etc.)
I totally agree with you!!! When Boris Yeltsin was stepping down, he wanted somebody good to fill his place. He did do a lot of research doing and found out about Putin and how he worked with them they’re in Saint Petersburg, and how he was really loyal to his boss.
Putin had the great résumé, but nobody knew him.
Some really really strange things happen like some apartment complexes in Russia started blowing up and Putin would get on TV and he was still relatively young man then maybe 40 and he swore he will have these people down and find them etc. etc. eventually he told the public that he discovered the culprits and they were Chechens, etc. Really?? I always wondered if any of that was true, because nobody knew Putin and this was a way that the public got to know him by him working with the government when Yelton was still in power and vowing talk these people down after blowing up, at least two apartment complexes with bombs.
Everything worked out successfully, and after the catch of the so-called Chechens as the so-called guilty parties, oh gosh, I don’t know what their punishment wasn’t. It could’ve been life in prison, for all I know or death.. if it would’ve been early 20th century to 1954, 1960 I would say they would go to the Gulag but after that it’s hard to say.
The main thing is people in Russia. Got to know Britttany very well and tell him as a hero for catching these criminal culprits he got elected the first time. . After eight years, he did have to step down for four years, but still remaining government is not the party leader. In 2012 he came back and it seems like you should’ve stepped down sometime around 2020 for another four years or so but he didn’t and I guess they had gotten the laws changed. It would not surprise me one bit
Also, him saying Russia has a lot in common with South American dictators, but unlike there it gets cold in Russia and that's a problem. Yes, it gets cold in Russia, but they also have so much NG the average Russian pays almost nothing for it. Then there's diesel, petrol.....And going hungry isn't going to bring Russia down as they're the leading wheat exporter in the world, and also the leading organic wheat exporter.
They will not need water, as one lake has like 30%% of the worlds water alone.
Diamonds for the GF? Yep......that and gold too. over 10% of the worlds Uranium! Nickel.....blah blah blah!
I could almost go on forever.....
There's so much natural resources in that place they may never find all of it.
He also forgot that the in wheat deal Ukraine got almost all of it went to Europe, and Spain was the one country that got more than anyone else.
Russians are just fine and so is Putin....his approval rate there is well over 80%. No leader in the West has ever had that high of one.
@@leeferguson2002 Okay, natural Gas may be cheap, but are boilers cheap, too?
@@DommTom I use NG in my home. I cook with it, I heat my home with it in the winter, I use it to heat my water. I suppose my waterheater has what one would call a "boiler" in it. But otherwise I use no boiler. My neighbors don't use one either. In the videos I've seen from Russia, people there use NG the same way. Now commercially many big buildings use a boiler. They have them in almost all commercial buildings in the US. The price of a boiler isn't something that would cause a total economic meltdown of a nation or culture. I'm sure Russia has been making them for well over 100 years and most of their buildings already have them.
Maybe I'm not getting your question here?
Get to the sauce.....
@@leeferguson2002 boiler = thing, where you transport heat from NG into water to keep things warm.
When a 12 year old sheltered kid starts a TH-cam channel based on fiction he read on the interwebs.
This is what we get.
When you said no-one knows Putin's party I was shouting it at my laptop United Russia... Don't underestimate your viewership!
He’s being condescending at you
@@AdrianFahrenheitTepes and also being completely wrong... 🙄
Of course it's possible that WhatIfAltHist has his biases. Just listen to the language he's speaking in. ¿Hola?
Technically no. Putin is not a member of any party.
Putin is officially an independent as of the last presidential election.
The current Russian government could collapse at any time, that has happened plenty of times in Russian history. Russia itself as a nation will persist though, as it always has.
FACTS! You summed it up even better than I did! Let's see how well the USA as a nation can manage a total government collapse (every great nation that lasts long ALWAYS goes through some sort of major upheaval at some point)!
@@mrconfusion87Russia has an identity beyond its government America is intrinsically linked to it.
Have a look at Russia as a nation borders in 19th century and now. And there are tens of lesser nations merged under one flag now. Each of them had their traditions, culture, often different language and beliefs
Uh no ? The government is at an all time popularity and there are no signs of collapse happening
@@abdiabdi3225 It's the exact opposite.
People assume that because the societ union split apart, then russia must be destined to do the same, but the situations are completely different, and Russia is no more likely to collapse, than say, brazil or iran.
They collapsed in ww1 in ww2 with a fifth column appearing of facist sympathizers. I mean they just can’t keep it together
People forget that the Soviet union was Russia with the addition of a of republics Armenia Azerbaijan Byelorussia Estonia Georgia Kazakhstan Kirghizia Latvia Lithuania Moldavia Tajikistan Turkmenia Ukraine Uzbekistan. Russia is not under threat in the same way because it is not an overstretched "Roman Empire" of the eastern europe in the same way
The US is far more likely to collapse if you ask me, or at least to have a civil war of some kind. But that thought is not pleasant to Murica boi here. So he'll just project his insecurities onto RUssia instead.
I don't think Brazil will collapse. It has volatile economy based around commodities, but it is also one of the largest producers of food in the world. Not only does it guarantee a cash inflow (for tough times), but it also means the government can easily appease the angry masses by lowering food prices through political means. There could still be major turmoil between socialists and reactionary forces in the country though.
@@CursedSwede I mentioned Brazil as just a place holder for a large country
In this case i learned more about what Russians think from the comments than from the video.
The best way to learn what Russians think is to watch channels like the Russian Media Monitor and interview channels like 1420. It is pretty grim. It is a post-truth society with a borderline-suicidal fixation on starting World War III with America and the collective West, which they call a great Satan just like the Islamic jihadists do. Their mentality is really quite a bit closer to that of an Arabic country than a Western one. They like strong man leaders and are ok with forfeiting rights and even their actual interests for the sake of increasing Russian prestige on the world stage, at least in terms of military power. There are lots of Russians that think differently, of course, as they are all individuals, but the prevailing mentality is misanthropic and imperialist. Have you heard how the propagandist Vladimir Solovyov talks? He fantasizes about starting a nuclear war on his TV program every day! And he's not alone, lots of Russians talk like this now. Even during the Cuban Missile Crisis, Russians didn't have such a brazen attitude towards the use of nuclear weapons as many of the Russians at the time were old enough to remember what it actually looked like to have bombs destroy their home town. The fetishization of violence in contemporary Russia is deeply disturbing. I know, I know, the West is in decline and has too many problems to count, but that doesn't discount the fact that Russia is in a fragile position as well. More than one civilization can be fucked up and declining at a time. Russian demographics are the main problem. I really do worry about the well-being of the Russian people, and hope they can get out of this death cult they are in under Putin's nihilistic, postmodern cult of personality.
Putin doesn't really stand for anything other than the perpetuation of his own status as mafia boss of the kleptocratic Kremlin regime. He has enriched himself while stripping the Russian populace of their rights to express political dissent, including the right to be an ethnonationalist. Putin has crushed the white nationalist movements in Russia, even having one prominent white nationalist (Tesak) assassinated in prison like he did to Alexei Navalny. Navalny was a great man, and far more courageous than a slimy little gremlin like Putin, who actually hates the Slavic people and whites in general. He wants Europeans to dwindle away and be replaced by third worlders, mostly Muslims. Putin is a crypto-J. His maternal grandmother was Jish. He is on the side of the globalist, Zi0nist, ethnosupremacist Chabad Lubavitcher cult. He meets with the Chabad r@bbi and chief A_s_h_k_e_n_a_z_i r@bbi of Russia Berel Lazar on a regular basis for advice, in fact the media has called him "Putin's r@bbi" a few times. These people have had a grudge against the Russians and especially the Ukrainians for centuries. I think Putin's particular hatred for Ukrainians (especially Ukrainian nationalists that don't want Ukraine ruled by the Kremlin) is driven largely by historical grievances such as the Babi Yar massacre and the anti-Jish pogroms that took place in Ukraine over the centuries. When you see Putin speak about Ukrainians that (understandably, considering the Holodomor that the Soviets had just inflicted upon them a decade prior) aided the Germans in their fight against the Red Army, you can see the visible wrath on his face as he thinks about the crime of opposing Soviet hegemony and aiding people that might not have had a high opinion of his people.
Russia has been an occupied country controlled by hostile aliens since 1917. It seems like Gorbachev was alright, but then again, he was actually Russian, unlike the earlier, more brutal Soviet leaders like the Jish and Chalmyk Lenin, the Jish Trotsky and Beria, or the Georgian Stalin. If I were to compare Russia's current political climate to a period in its past, I would say it is a bit like the USSR under Kruschev, when the rhetoric being spoken about the West was particularly jingoistic ("We will bury you!") and the nuclear tension was at an all-time high, but the level of repression within the country, while still bad, isn't on the same level as the earlier decades under Stalin and Lenin. Putin doesn't have the level of blood on his hands that Stalin did, but he has certainly dragged the country back in time to a more Soviet-style system, not just in terms of political repression of dissidents and covering up of historical atrocities committed by the Bolsheviks, but also in terms of how he has been revamping the Russian economy and been trying to expand the borders of the Russian Federation to incorporate land that was formerly under their control in Soviet times and, prior to a brief respite of Ukrainian independence from 1917 to 1920 or so as the Bolsheviks fought to dominate the Ukrainian People's Republic, under the control of the Russian Empire before that...and he's was a KGB agent, I feel like people forget that and forget that they were basically required to be atheists, so anyone that thinks Putin is a true Christian conservative like the moronic leftist journalists claim is either not well informed or laughably naive. Putin didn't conveniently have a religious conversion experience right when the USSR collapsed and his job in the KGB ended, he just fakes being Christian so the Russian public will like him better. He only shows up to church on Easter and Christmas, and is filmed for PR purposes every time he does so. Putin is a calculating, possibly psychopathic silovik with ice water in his veins, not some kind of passionate defender of Christendom against the degenerate "Satanism" of the West. Putin just says what he has to in order to maintain popular support in Russia and drive a wedge between the conservatives of the West and their geopolitical foreign policy interests.
I'm about as isolationist as they come but I am also a racial identitarian and I believe white people need to look out for one another just as black people should look out for one another and so on and so forth. I'm not an ethnosupremacist, I just think every civilization should be free to pursue its own destiny and that mixing up the races and ethnic groups actually erases diversity and replaces it with homogeneity, with the entire planet ending up looking the same, with the same vapid, consumerist globalist monoculture that produces the same type of architecture everywhere with everyone speaking English and using the internet and adopting the same slang and general cultural tendencies. Anyways, I favor intervention on behalf of Ukraine because the Ukrainian people have shown great courage and resolve and any people with courage is worth fighting for nowadays, as there is a serious dearth of courage amongst contemporary white people. Plus, Ukrainians have gone through enough already. The Russians need to stop bullying them and reckon with the darkness of their nation's past rather than indiscriminately glorifying everything Russia ever did. I am as nationalist as they come, but when my homeland makes a mistake, I own up to it and suggest ways we could make amends. Supporters of Putin, on the other hand, lie and claim nonsense like "Russia has never started an aggressive war, only defended itself" and refuse to admit that Russia has ever mistreated its neighboring countries.
I deeply care about the well-being of the Ukrainian people AND the Russian people, they are both brother peoples to mine as fellow native Europeans, and just in general I care about the well-being of my fellow man of any race, nationality or creed. The difference between intervening in a war in the Congo, for instance, and giving weapons to Ukraine, is that the former is meddling in the affairs of another civilization with a totally different values system made up of people with vastly different genes, and we would be kind of playing God as a more advanced civilization, trying to mediate their conflicts or defend a particular side or whatever, when we probably don't really understand the ins and outs of the conflict in question. It is similar to how one has a much greater responsibility to protect one's family than to leap to the aid of strangers. Even Jesus said that people should take care of their own ethnic group or race first, and then help others later in an interaction he had with a Canaanite woman, wherein he said that one should not throw food from the table to the dogs before the children have eaten their fill. If everyone takes care of their own, the world works better than if one big hegemon starts doing this whole global authoritarian nanny state world police thing.
(Sorry, wrote such a long comment I had to cut it in two...yeah yeah, I know, TL;DR, you don't have to tell me. If you don't want to read it just don't bother responding.)
I could be wrong, but I think it was C.S. Lewis that said a tyranny run for the good of the people being ruled over is perhaps the most pernicious and miserable sort of tyranny, because the people enforcing the dogmas of the ruling class or party are convinced they are doing something righteous and humanitarian, while people that are part of a draconian regime that makes no bones about being hostile to the populace cannot tell themselves they are doing something good, only following orders they know are messed up, and thus they are less likely to carry them out, or at least carry them out with less vigor and glee than if they are brainwashed into thinking they are helping to bring about a millenarian new world in which everything is better. Well, intervening in the affairs of other races seems like one of those forms of tyranny that is ostensibly done for the good of those being stripped of their culture. I think the happiest Africans and Amerindians are probably the ones that live the most traditional lives, relatively untouched by the modern world. When have you ever seen footage of African tribesmen in which they aren't grinning ear to ear? They are living basically the way humans evolved to live for hundreds of thousands of years before the rise of urbanized civilizations. I think it is a shame when non-white cultures lose their authentic and distinct ways of life due to the contact with Western technology and attitudes. So I am an isolationist in the sense that I think we ought not muck about in the civilizations of other races, nor open our borders to them, but not in the sense of never coming to the aid of our brothers in other white nations when they are invaded by tankies flying the accursed flag of the Soviet Union, a wicked empire that slaughtered and starved an approximate one hundred million people, and that is only counting deaths of Soviet citizens in peacetime, that doesn't include all the Europeans they killed during World War II. If you are a nationalist like I am, and you heartily reject Marxism in all of its variants both theoretical and in practice historically in the real world like I do, then supporting Ukraine's fight for independence is the only logically and morally consistent position I could take.
Anyone that thinks Putin is a Russian nationalist is poorly informed. He has cracked down on actual Russian nationalists, most of whom are actually skeptical of the idea of starting any wars, let alone against a brother people like the Ukrainians. Putin is a neo-Soviet revanchist and imperialist with a Cold War mindset. And frankly, I think he has been playing the long game, and was actually put in power to bring about the decline of Russia and Ukraine, putting the final nail in the coffin of Eastern Slavic ethnos, as their birth rates are already unsustainably low and now young men from both countries are dying in droves, all while Putin fleeced the Russian people, with him and the other Russian (actually most were and are of Jish descent) oligarchs treating the country like his personal plantation, with Russian workers receiving only a pittance while almost all the profits go to the Kremlin-affiliated monopolistic company owners and shareholders. Russia isn't capitalist or socialist, it is entirely kleptocratic and neo-feudalist. I mean, the USSR never really redistributed the wealth either, but the economic inequality in post-1991 Russia has been pretty nuts. There doesn't seem to be much of a Russian middle class outside of the major cities like Moscow, St. Petersburg, Vladivostok and Ekaterinaburg. In the rural parts and run-down looking towns, almost everyone seems to be barely scraping by, especially since the sanctions took effect. The sanctions don't bother the rich too much, but they have made life tougher for the masses, and I think more and more young people are simply fed up with it and don't care about this insane and unnecessary war in Ukraine, they just want livable wages and more chances for upward mobility, as almost all of the people that get rich in Russia are somehow connected to the Kremlin, so corruption is pretty much the number one way wealth is created and accrued in large amounts there. And woo boy, you should look at the studies that have ranked quality of life and placed Russia below the Philippines and Azerbaijan and just one rank above Pakistan by various metrics regarding socioeconomic and life expectancy and such. Rampant alcoholism and opioid addiction, divorce rates that are even higher than those in the West, a materialistic culture stripped of any sense of romance like that of China or South Korea, low Church attendance and high rates of atheism, the largest Muslim population of any European country, the largest mosque in Europe, THE HIGHEST ABORTION RATES IN THE WORLD, an anti-intellectual, post-truth, super-postmodern philosophy dominates the Russian Zeitgeist which literally suggests there is no such thing as universal truth, only "my truth" and "your truth" and so on, and the list goes on.
And don't tell me that post-truth postmodernism thing is an exaggeration or something the Western media made up, as I literally just watched an interview of Aleksandr Dugin in which he adamantly and clearly stated his personal belief that there are a multitude of mutually exclusive and often contradicting "truths" as opposed to singular, universal truths. He described his strategy like a cynical ploy, a childish game in which he would claim the opposite position from whatever the Western position is, as though his self-deluding belief in some Russian propaganda talking point cancels out the often clearly demonstrable and factual reports that are made by Westerners. If a Western journalist says the sky is blue, Dugin could claim that Russian scientists have discovered that the sky is actually orange and just looks blue, and according to his post-truth, epistemologically anti-realist philosophy, that would be equally "true" and the matter of who is correct would be merely down to perspective. I know I am just an American that has never been to Russia, but the more I watch Russian state-backed TV clips and read about the ideological and practical underpinnings of Putin's regime, as well as the background and goals of Putin himself as well as his cronies, the more I become convinced that it is turning back towards the darkness of its Soviet, imperialist past, and while I'm not certain of the reasons, I have this sinking feeling that this war is a series of 5D chess moves being made by the globalist oligarchs and their proxies which are intended to ultimately bring about the extirpation of white people from the Eastern Slavic countries. But that's just me, I'm a schizo conspiracy theorist, it could be much simpler than that, could be Putin is an autocrat that wants to cement his legacy and secure his role as president for life, and he thought this war was the way to achieve those ends.
I wish I could actually be privy to what goes on behind the scenes, know how this big ol' world actually works on the deepest levels rather than just seeing the end result that the public is privy to, but I'm no intelligence agent. 90% of the iceberg of statecraft is below the water, and yet anyone that seeks to find anything out about that hidden portion of realpolitik is labeled a "conspiracy theorist" and "crazy kook" and all that shaming language which was coined precisely for this purpose: discouraging dissent and plebs discussing matters they aren't supposed to know or talk about, and it works like a charm, causing the trendy "in crowd" people ("normies" in internet slang) that fit into this society to ostracize anyone they suspect of being a radical political dissident. The use of the term "hate" to describe political dissent has also been a very clever use of principles of mass psychological manipulation to crush undesirables who threaten the hegemonic status of the globalist ruling class. The West's propaganda and social programming techniques are leagues better than the crude, rather old-fashioned methods of the Russian media, at least regarding the propaganda they create to direct at the Russian people rather than foreigners. I guess they realize they don't really have to make it sophisticated, since the Russian psyche is different from the Western psyche, on average, with much less qualms about Russia engaging in imperialist aggression, which would be seen as unethical pretty much across all segments of society in any Western country. The Russian youth largely feel differently, but the overwhelming majority of older Russians do seem to support neo-Soviet revanchism, sadly. It just goes to show the power of nostalgia, I mean life in the USSR was awful but because life in 1990s Russia was nominally worse these older Russians think of the Soviet era as the good old days, despite the quality of life of Russians being much higher in the 2000s and 2010s than it ever was in the 20th century.
Yeah, I watched his newer video analysis of Russia and it sounds to me, as a Russian and an American, like he has read a bunch of Western misconceptions about Russia and just went ham with them.
There is almost no legitimate objective understanding of Russia in the Anglo-sphere. Part of the reason is that much of the English language literature on Russia was written either by outsiders who never lived in Russia or by Russian dissidents who greatly over-exaggerate what they view as the negative aspects of Russian society.
It would be like reading about American culture from someone who has never lived in America or someone who says America is a “far left country which loves LGBT” or “America is a far right Christian fundamentalist country.” Both of those things exist in America, in moderation, but neither one dominates American culture and such one-sided statements are a hideous misrepresentation of American society as a whole.
For example, his statement in the recent video that Russian and American culture “could not be more different.” That’s very much not true, especially regarding modern Russia and outside of political structures and views of government. Russians have different views of the government’s role (ie, different views on freedom of speech) but Russians are very similar to American conservatives when it comes to the values and principles involved in daily life. Stoicism, masculinity, importance of religion, straightforwardness, integrity, honor, importance of the family, are a few of these shared core values and principles. I’d say American conservatives have more in common in values with Russians than with liberal or especially leftist Americans.
"You only have to kick in the door and the whole rotten structure will come crashing down!"
I feel like people have been saying this every year for the past 200 years...
And every 60 years or so they're right...
Russia has collapsed and fallen into crisis for the past centuries. There is a reason Hitler said that. People forget that the German Empire defeated the Russians during WW1 and annexed several former Russian lands which they would turn into client if they defeated France and Britian. Heck it was the reason Poland, Lithuania, Ukraine, and so many Central to Eastern European countries exist today. Even before that you had the Russo Japanese war and the Crimean War where Russia had lost and entered into crisis because of it.
Austrian painter quote
@@toledochristianmatthew9919they almost beat Russia again during the war we can’t forget that the USA was mass supplying the Russians and the winter saved them
@@tristenatorplaysgames6833 Soviet still was the muscle, driven by aggressive manpower as they can today, while the US were playing overseas capitalists
0:25 Based on these criteria, the question is, which is going to have a revolution first, the United States, or Russia?
Putin is popular in Russia. Americans are committing mass suicide.
Probably the US. Russians are basically sheep and will do whatever their government tells them to do.
I don't know which will have a revolution first, but I'd put my money on the US recovering faster.
The US is going to have a reset, not a revolution. A roll back to factory settings and return to a purer Constitutional framework. A revolution would be if the soyboy leftists actually won, which they won't. Rudyard has covered the US quite extensively. But basically, yeah we'll have turmoil here too but it won't be the sort of revolutionary, society collapsing change Russia and China are going to get.
@@hugoguerreiro1078 The US doesn’t exist anymore it’s just a ticking time bomb and you don’t have any supplies.
I’m pretty sure Russia has more umhf than we are all giving the country credit for. And even if current Russia collapses some northern Eurasian state is bound to replace Russia even if it’s no longer Russia. Russia just happens to be the most successful geographic political cultural force that has existed in the north Eurasian plain to date.
I agree Russia has survived everything thrown at it making it very difficult to se a collapse
"And even if current Russia collapses some northern Eurasian state is bound to replace Russia" Why?
"Russia just happens to be the most successful geographic political cultural force that has existed in the north Eurasian plain to date." And like the Roman Empire ir can be one of a kind and never replaced.
Russia did collapse many times in history... The Time of Troubles in 1612, burning of Moscow during the Napoleon war in 1812, two Revolutions in 1905 and 1917, a civil war, then the collapse of the USSR. So what? A new Russia still appears every time with Russians living in it.
@@baltulielkungsgunarsmiezis9714 holy roman empire....
@@mitchellcouchman1444 Wasnt the Roman Empire.
Rudyard really showed his naivety on this one. Poor boy.
Very on point, but a couple minor corrections:
1. The secret services have taken over even before the Soviet collapse. From the 70s onwards they filled in more and more positions and several of the late soviet leaders (like Andropov) had made their careers in these structures (fun fact: they were oftentimes basically uneducated and could only rise because, during the Stalinist repressions in the 30s, many positions had to be refilled every couple months.)
2. The general population is completely amorphic and will not get politically active very soon. The danger comes only from local authorities* and Frontline soldiers, who have nothing to lose if the war drags on for a couple more years.
3.* Putin is doing something very strange for an autocrat: since the start of the war he has given countless groups like oligarchs, corporations, and local governors the right to create their own armed units. We know that dozens of them exist but almost none were ever seen on the front lines.
4. The orthodox church has very little real traction in society beyond identity politics. It is an extremely corrupt institution sponsored by the state for legitimacy. In many polls 80% of Russians are orthodox, yet from these 80%, 1/3 is saying they are not sure if God exists and another third can't name even half of the 10 amendments or say what Easter is about. Most Russians go to church once or twice a year just as a nice tradition. In almost every non-state poll the really religious population (such as visiting church at least once in one or two weeks and being able to answer the most basic questions about their religion) is at around 2% of the population. I don't think that anything except something totally new can fill the void, as all kinds of protestant, pseudo-Buddhist, and a myriad of other sects have tried their luck and gained no momentum.
These points are pretty spot on. Basically all the top generals and most of the oligarchs all have their own PMC, even now after the Wagner coup. This is bizarre, almost seems like Putins grasp on power is pretty weak and he's been forced to make concessions to the nobility. Any way you put it, those nobles are primed for a position where they can stage a coup like Prigozin did but actually go all the way with it. Prigozin shot at the king, missed and the chicken shit out of it thinking there would be forgiveness. Unsurprising the leaders all got shot out of the sky. Next coup leader will need to keep that in mind, take the shot and commit to the attack, don't flake out.
With how uninterested the general public in russia is with politics, it'll probably be a coup from an oligarch that changes things, and it'd change very little. New boss will likely be the same as the old boss. Even a military coup would look basically the same as if an oligarch did it (since it's mostly oligarchs running the military anyway). I'm not sure that a coup or change in ruler will ultimately change things in russia very much, just prolong the social collapse a bit if anything.
@@Lusa_Iceheart It greatly depends on how long the war will continue. Every day the central authority is losing a bit of its strength and other actors are gaining it.
What you described is the good outcome. Russia has a very personality system where everything runns through personal connections. If "the wrong person" makes the coup, there is a high chance that they will have nether the connections nor the military might to ensure loyalty/subordination of the entire country. Given that there are small armies all over the place the state could easily disintegrate.
2% is still pretty low, and I’m inclined to agree it’s lower than what’s polled but that number doesn’t make sense either. Even in highly secular, progressive Western European countries with significant atheist and agnostic populations(Netherlands or say Norway etc.) their Christian demographic hasn’t fallen to such an abysmal level. Add on that almost every other Orthodox country has polled around consistently similarly high levels whether it’s Greece or Georgia or Romania etc. I would guess maybe like 25-35% of Russians are genuine and well educated in their faith and actually take it seriously.
Unfortunately the damage of the USSR runs deep…
totally agree on all three points. I'm from Saint Petersburg. Also should add that all the polls in Russia are extremely misleading, most data is faked.
" I don't think that anything except something totally new can fill the void, as all kinds of protestant, pseudo-Buddhist, and a myriad of other sects have tried their luck and gained no momentum."
That got a right giggle out of me, the UK is exactly the same. Totally irreligious, a total amorphous blob that doesn't believe in anything. The only thing approaching a religion here is progressivism and transexual stuff.
I’m an American English teacher in Moscow and from the ground it’s an incredibly high trust society except for systems of control like the government. I have a lot of friends who teach oligarchs kids and of course they’re in a bubble but you can see where the oligarchs are going and it’s nowhere. I know Moscow isn’t Russia as I used to live and teach in Oryol. Out there young people are quite optimistic and everyone is looking to Japan really with a lot of weebs. Most Russians see what’s going on in the west with gender ideology and “refugees” flooding into Europe so they’re trying to avoid both those mistakes. The biggest problem is alcohol as always and there’s just a strong culture of drinking here because the weather sucks and in provincial towns, what else can you do for fun with friends.
It is not the weather bro, it is life sucks
@@newwonderernah its the weather
Life isnt bad
"and from the ground it’s an incredibly high trust society" Clearly youve never seen any actually high trust society.
"Out there young people are quite optimistic and everyone is looking to Japan really with a lot of weebs." Weebs are plentiful, but the war has extinguished any optimism.
"Most Russians see what’s going on in the west with gender ideology and “refugees” flooding into Europe so they’re trying to avoid both those mistakes." By drawing their border arround Čečnija making is so border guards cant keep the mulims out...
"because the weather sucks and in provincial towns, what else can you do for fun with friends." As a latvietis the answer is obvious, board games, video games, ... anything really, drinking is for idiots and russijans.
@@newwonderer Projection and ignorance bro.
Holy moly, a living English-speaking teacher in Russia. Haven't seen one here in St Pete since 2007
And I thought there is no single Anglo-Saxon person around in 500 miles distance!
Btw I always wondered what's the problem with genders? Why so many people, especially males, see it as some kind of trouble?.. Well, yeah, sure, it sucks when a smartass male identifying as female takes the first prize in women sport competition - but hey, first, it's the problem of organization of such events, second it's kinda funny.
Otherwise I see no big deal with genders, to each his own.
I've heard countless times that Russia will collapse in 2022 then it was 2023. i guess now the goalpost moved to 5 years in the future😂.
I'm sick of people watching protests or economic instability and then concluding that "this random country will collapse in x number of years.
I remember Russia collapse predictions from the 2008 and 2014 😅😅😅😅
And it will too just you watch and see
Sounds like the West today when you speak about Controlled opposition.
How
@@debater452 Lets take the exemple the US, if you DARE think about anything other than the two OFFICIAL parties then you are a heretic and if you dare choose the wrong one heretic, but which is the right one ? as long as you follow the government word it should be fine and anyway the two parties only care about power so they will help each other in case of potential dangerous people that can change this Authoritarian Plutocracy, ah yes did i forgor that you need to be rich to rule the country ?
Certain Russian for written in the 1800s tells you exactly how to set up opposition groups and put them against each other. It is claimed as book is written by the people who used to run the Soviet union and currently run the US. It is no coincidence that all the oligarchs were the descendents of the Soviet intel and leadership are in possession of Portuguese and Israeli passports. I’ll leave that to you to figure it out.
@@debater452
In Germany we have the CDU, which will spew out some mild oppositional remarks right before an election and will do nothing of what they promise while not touching any state or cultural institution who are all swirling left and ultimately control the decision of a CDU government.
Sure, might not be directly as controlled as Russia's opposition, I don't know too much about that, but the effects are similar.
Yes yes, russia will fall apart any time now. I mean, it's totally not like we said this shit a year ago when the war started and it miraculously turns out that they are completely fine and trading with the east, no no guys they will fall apart now, because someone on youtube said so. Trust me bro
Gonna repost my thoughts from Discord
He says a lot of true thing, unsurprisingly, since he is using really good sources - I would reccomend all of these books
But he makes a few crucial mistakes
He is completely ignoring the authoritarian social contract we have in Russia. Where the people don't get involved in politics and the state kind of leaves them alone
And Putin managed to perfect it during the war. All surplus money is being poured into the social stuff, people in big cities are barely getting conscripted and life SOMEHOW goes on ALMOST completely as normal
With a few caveats, the Russians have mostly swallowed
He also vastly overestimates the religiosity of Russians
Yeah, Russians go to the churc, but it's surface level. Maybe to pray on Christmas or when a loved one dies or to bash boiled eggs on the Easter (it's an Orthodox thing)
Russians overall are not atheists, but irreligious, believing equally in the church and TV mediums
And the Russian Orthodox Church has a terrible reputation, since it's seen as intertwined with the state and aggressively builds churches over parks and public spaces, which antagonizes the locals
The problem with the young people in Russia is that there's not a lot of them and hundreds of thousands are currently dying, getting mauled and mentally destroyed on the frontline
Or flee the country, lmao
The 40-yo men he talks about DO remember the 90s and still see Putin as the savior from THAT
Also, the elites are so dependent on Putin and care so little about what the bydlo thinks, they don't care about Putin losing his legitimacy anymore
The main driver of the uprising in Russia have always been the intellectuals in big cities. They've been jailed or driven out of the country and basically influence nothing. It would take a complete economic collapse to convince regular Russians to rise up.
Gives me whiplash hearing the factual information immediately followed by the idiocy of his own thoughts.
Какая-то правда в этом есть, но поправлю с учетом личного опыта: да, социальный контракт был, но с началом войны его мощно покоробило - цены растут, санкции доходы съедают, проценты по кредитам космические (слава богу у меня нет ипотеки, лол). Да, войну заливают деньгами, но призывают в основном неудачников из глубинки, многие предпенсионного возраста, воюют они хреново а живут недолго. Да, благодаря этому можно черепашьими темпами ползти на запад, но надолго ли этого ресурса хватит - вопрос. Про перегрев экономики не говорил только ленивый, как только война закоечится/станет на паузу - всё это железо станет нахер никому не нужно. Про религиозность - я просто проорал вголосину, больше таких «православных атеистов» вы в мире не найдете, большинство ходят в церковь только яйца освящать, половина не знает как креститься правильно, а библию может 5% населения читали по диагонали. Эта СВОйна - это конкретно хотелка ввпутина, никому в РФ эта территория нахер была не нужна, что с ней теперь делать - никто даже не думает. Единственное что его сейчас может условно спасти - выцыганит себе передышку (типа Минск 3) и тогда либо экономика ляжет потому что перестанут клепать танки, либо их-таки продолжат клепать в угоду чему бы то ни было еще и в любом случае - нищета. Учитывая что ввпутину уже 72 - ну проживет он еще лет 10, а поскольку вся система в одних руках, как помрет (или помогут) - начнется смута. А там нео-большевики и oh shit here we go again. Вы там в ваших Америках хоть с местными пообщайтесь или книжки почитайте, негоже делать выводы по наитию, основанные на банальной эрудиции)))
@@JagaimoNeko за десять лет может много чего поменяться. Но, КМК, ни о какой революции смысла говорить нет. Будет развал СССР 2.0, когда к власти придут те же самые челы, повесив новые флажки. Вся оппозиция в изгнании, грызутся между собой непонятно о чём. Внутри системы никого, кто мог бы составить идеологический противовес Путину нет, "в народе" тем более. Там сейчас Гиркины разве что всякие, которые воняют, что Путин недостаточно кроваво всё устраивает. Протестного потенциала ноль, чо у нас там было, жёны мобилизованных с Надеждином? Курям это всё на смех. Пока границы открыты все, кому режим будет сильно досаждать продолжать съезжаться в грузинские квир-нарко комунны.
"Вся система держится на Путине", ох как хочется в это верить, только это редко так работает. Если диктатор дохнет в своём кресле, на смену ему чаще всего приходит другой диктатор. Да, он может быть помягче, но кардинально редко что меняется.
И это я не злорадствую. Это пиздец печально. Весь задорный протестный потенциал 10-х слит будто намеренно. Сейчас основная идея в РФ -- медленное гниение.
Знакомые из Европ возвращаются, потому что нуууу его, учить язык трудно, работу искать трудно, вон в РФ у меня предложение есть. А чот там где-то стреляют, так не в Москве и Питере жи.
И вот просто смотришь на это вот всё и руки опускаются.
Love ur channel man keep it up don’t go mainstream
This dude belongs on cnn
@@tonyneville4425 Fr ,bro will be CNN Ultra-Premium.
I was a counter intelligence special agent in 1987. I wrote a classified report for the military that the Soviet Union would fall within ten years and I outlined the reasons why. I wish I had a copy of it but, it was classified, still it was totally my idea and research and it went against everything they were saying. (I really thought it would be more like 5 yrs to fall but I felt if I said that there was NO chance they would listen to me - I thought they probably wouldn't anyway but I thought someone out there might listen.) Anyway, my superiors came back and told me to concentrate on espionage, terrorism, and my ongoing investigations because I clearly knew nothing about the the complexities of geo-politics and economics. It was a response I expected. Our Intel and military focused everything on being AGAINST Russia. Once the USSR fell we still didn't know any other way to be. Since the fall Russia has tried to join NATO and the West at least 4 times that I know of and the US has blocked it each time. Partially because "Russia is the enemy" and until the boomer leaders die out they cannot entertain any other way of thinking (year I'm a boomer but I actually think about thinks and I didn't stop reading and learning when I got my Master's Degree or left college - most people are stuck at the level of knowledge and teh way they thought when their mind became set in their mid twenties - it takes work to keep mentally flexible and keep up with new ways of thinking.) Oh, the other reason? Russia would have enough power and influence to actually challenge our leadership of NATO. Yes, I understand that their actual physical power and economics is not comparable to ours but Russia has a "presence" just as some people have a presence and that gives them influence beyond their tanks, navy and air force. It is sad. If we hadn't been so obsessed with running the world we could have totally ensnared the Russian economic presence into synthesis with the Western World and got them on our side. Russia has always been a Western Country (except for that Marxist messiness but even that they did in a Western fashion rather than how they do it in the East.) Imagine the International situation if Russia, NATO, SEATO, and India and the countries of th Abraham Accords were all oriented to limiting Chinese aggression and bullying...but the CIA and US State Department totally blew it IMHO.
The CIA rarely seems to miss a chance to fail us
That part about China I agree with. We did blow it for a time, but hopefully we will have a focus on isolating China in the future.
Don't let this distract you from the the fact that in Alf’s birthday is coming up. Born October 28, 1756 on his home planet home planet Melmac.
Shit u think Russia has 5 years?? what about the USA then, we are more fucked from where i stand, i think Russia has a better shot then we do.
Open theft and public looting. And that’s just Philadelphia. I hate to say it but I live in a society that is unbelievably entitled in the general public attitude, and I’m raised in it. The biggest problem is that the USA isn’t in to full population decline yet. It might be slight decline, but still population decline isn’t even inherently bad because it’s having too many people for the resources that causes Revolutions.
@@AdrianFahrenheitTepes us looting isnt even that bad. It was one event. It was one event blown out of proportion and sweden and the UK also had looting recently.
@@aspen1606 It’s not one event, it happens in Philadelphia over and over again. Stores are leaving cities because they are being robbed out of business. I appreciate what you say for morale, but it sounds like you don’t know anything about my community. Sorry
Russia doesn’t have 5 years and neither do we. It’s likely that the UK and Canada will follow us into disorder and collapse as well. This is a civilizational issue not just one confined to a single state.
@@chadwells7562 Nope this is said all the time unlikely
One also has to consider the historical pattern of Russian collapses. Russian people are generally very resilient (I'd say more resilient than their western counterparts) and not because they are special breed but because they have been conditioned to accept their dire circumstances as something normal, hence their tolerance for a shit storm is pretty high.
Even if Russia does collapse as predicted in your analysis, it will most likely be another one or two decades of uncertainty, new oligarchy, poverty, etc. (much like in early and late 1900s) but then, after a while, it will bounce back again in some new insignificantly changed form with a new Czar.
In other words, for Russian folk, a yet another collapse is just another bad day among the many they had managed to power through in the past. This goes along with the "Russia doesn't make any sense" principle.
tbh, even to us Russians.
Perun says otherwise
That would have more weight if Russian demographics weren’t in a complete death spiral.
@@sdr24
Before the war. Russia is in death's toilet now
Putin should have focused on space exploration
@@sdr24
Russian democrahpics are close to that of the US and much better than China or Japan and most of western earoupe
Governments and styles of government will come & go in Russia.
But Russia will remain.
It’s over bros, he became every other analyst TH-camr
Not a Russian shill --> He became like other youtubers
@@davidescristofaros2241 wtf? You just made me realize Russia is totally going to collapse because the only thing motivating them is being evil and not gay!
They’re going to collapse! 2 more weeks!
@@davidescristofaros2241Bro idk if it's the algorithm, but all I get is Ukrainian propaganda akin to "its over for putin", "total collapse", "Ukrainian tanks outside Moscow", I think Ukrainian shills have a pool of words that are negatively charged towards Russia, throw them at a wall and come out with titles and thumbnails. Pro-Russian shills (Russian speaking ones at least from what I understand) have been deplatformed and moved to RuTube
I'd be amazed if western society is still "functioning" in 5 years. It's getting ruff lol
I hate to break it to you but we Americans and our western allies will survive and thrive long after Russia 🇷🇺 collapses and goes bye bye 👋 we Americans and our allies will still be here we are not going anywhere.
Countries like Russia 🇷🇺 tend to not survive very long China, Cuba, North Korea, Belarus, and Palestine will eventually end up like Russia and when that day comes those countries will be a thing of the past they will only exist in the history books Russias days are numbered.
@@G-Man-half-life If the US isn't divided politically at the moment, socially unstable in major urban areas and the current Administration is incompetent, then I might side with you on this one.
@mmyr8ado.360 you're right unfortunately, we have two very distinct classes of Americans that aren't united.
@@G-Man-half-lifeYou aren't very bright, are you?
@@ram76921It isn't about distinct classes it's about the fact the US is turning into a racially plural country with a consumer market, that largely being because much of those racial newcomers on average don't have the brainpower to maintain a high societal level the US was capable of.
Observing the major cities in the US should attest to that. Those are supposed to be your power centers in different regions, and they all look like different stages of South Africa/Zimbabwe(Rhodesia)
The comment with regards to time and PTSD was quite profound. Andrei Tarkovsky, the premiere Soviet Director made a film called Mirror in which he documents his life not linearly but through scattered memories mixed in with one another at different times, forming narratively what one could call a broken mirror of memories.
And fictional memories that are written in blood. America has a similar problem called “Make America great again.”
You people said that 5 years ago too… and the five years before that… and the five years before that.
In 1991 (33 years ago) USSR went bust, comrade, in 1917 Russia collapsed into communism twice in the 20th Century. Germany has lost two World Wars and remains more stable than Russia!?!
Deny it all you want, Ivan. It was nice of Grandfather to spare you from the draft. I assume it's because you're sober enough to type.
😢@TransDelek
@@CP3oh322 this coming from a talking animal that can’t love themselves the way they were born
@TransDelek i completely agree with him, are you going to cope, yankee?
Years ago i could agree with you, now, I am not saying Russia is okay, it's in pretty bad shape but the West is getting in an even worse shape, culturally, ideologically, demographically, economicall etc., that i am not entirely sure it won't collapse before Russia does.
I think this is much more accurate unfortunately. It's actually kind of comical. Russians are like a 40 year old man and westerners are like a rebellious teenager. Russians not only have experience and apathy toward politics, but also have an inherent strength in practicality and survival. We are teenagers in the west. We are losing our minds with regard to extreme disorder in politics and culture and have no experience or wisdom with how to navigate a decaying society. If it's a war of cultural and economical attrition, Russia will be standing. That is the western hubris I think that really kind of worries me.
Literally how to everything
“A society that believes in nothing is doomed” Sounds like the United States to me.
Lack of belief isn't the problem in the U.S. What we have are 2 factions of people with widely differing beliefs constantly fighting each other.
@@ZIEMOWITIUS They only thing those 2 factions believe in, is opposing whatever the other faction believes in.
@@4grammaton Not true, that would imply they need the other. And both sides seem like they'd be quite happy if the other side didn't exist.
Arguably, the U.S. still holds more belief than Russia, both in terms of faith/religion and belief in the country, or at least in an idea of what the country should be.
@@ZIEMOWITIUS
This is completely wrong.
The only people in the country that know anything about a functioning country are the dying boomers who refuse to accept that the country they lived in is long dead.
Millennials and zoomers will destroy this country in 10 years easily
2 cheeks of the same arse slapping each other.....just plain pathetic
This video reads more like a manual on fall of the western empire. It is like a desperate last cry of a drowning brute.
I get the impression over the course of the next century, many large nations may be declining or having crises for a time.
The West Empire OK russan troll
You live in a western dominated world because we have the superior civilization. Hence your envy, jealousy, impotent rage and resentment.
How many times are people going to predict this?
He just changed the title of the same video LOL
As many times as it takes to finally be true
As many time as people who’ve been predicting that China will fall in a few months….since like 2010 lol
It will happen, just the time is uncertain.
It can happen in a century, or tomorrow. Who the fuck knows.
@@enticingmay435 Every dynasty falls, even the CCP. It just takes more time then we believe.
Russia is a survivor, ridding themselves of the Mongol Hordes, then Napoleon, then the ottoman empire then Hitler. A food power, energy power, nuclear power. You cant beat that combination. Only the US is similar but too young in comparison and self destructive.
Food power? Russia is a net importer of food…
@dr.woozie7500 To say Russia and Ukraine are critical to the world's food supply chain is an understatement. Together they export about 30% of the world's wheat, 60% of the world's sunflower oil (the third-most-traded seed oil behind palm and soy), and about 20% of the world's corn. Don't forget they are a major fertilizer producer too
lol as if America is in a better position. The USA has had so many geopolitical losses in the last few years I would be surprised if it doesn't balkanize or worse in the next 10 years (not to mention multiple irreconcilable cultural fracture points). Russia is building the foundation to be ready for the collapse, China is too - and they are both culturally homogeneous. Americans predicting their collapse really need some introspection.
USA, despite its losses, still controls a solid majority of the worls, and it doesn't even have to care too much about it, as many countries just want to be in an American sphere of influence. Meanwhile Russia can't even have any inpact on its closest neighbours.
Wait, the US has a high trust society? I thought that the recent crime wave and distrust of the government since Nam would be the contrary.
He gets it so wrong about this comparison. I think he might live in a majority-White, upper class area which could explain this thinking.
@j.c.denton2060 He does; somewhere in southeastern PA in the greater Philly area if I recall correctly. Add that to the fact that he's barely more than a child, and you can understand how he can easily believe the US is much higher trust than it actually is.
@@j.w.m.415 He does not live in PA, he's lived in New York and Los Angeles before where he is now. He's also been to many foreign countries. He knows what low-trust societies are like. America is not one of them, at least the vast majority of America.
Compared to Russia at least
Well if you walk down the street and see a police officer you probably don't immediately start crossing to the other side. In Russia we do that, especially in the big cities
Don't discount the ability of the Russian people to take situations that would be considered intolerable for any other nation.
Lived between Russia and Ukraine for most of my life, and had to leave due to war. But watching the things that are going on there i dont really see it being over in 5 years, and not getting better any time soon for sure. I hope i am wrong and things will get better for all of us. Take care guys.
Russia is now the strongest and most richest country of Europe
Yeah well Ukranians are gonna sue for peace whenever they catch themselves a very good spanking now, its just a matter of time. I don't think Russians have any interests in governing western Ukraine where most of population is hostile to it.
@@yurichtube1162bullshit
@@yurichtube1162 Russia will turn into a hardcore military dictatorhip, a sort of gigantic North Korea. Russia might be rich in resources but they dont exploit them successfully, thus Russia has a GDP slightly higher than Mexico !
It's economic ties with Europe have been severed, it might take decades to reach back 2021 levels. And the economy is the basis of development, those thousands of nukes dont help Russia develop!!! Russia is heading where it was in the '90s and it will stay there for a very long time!
@@yurichtube1162Yeah right lol... That's why thousands of Russians emigrate to Europe and not the other way around
Putin being described as a “secret policeman” is comical. He was a lawyer deep in the bowels of the kgb bureaucracy. It would be like calling the guy who works on spreadsheets in front office of the winning Super Bowl team a “Super Bowl champion”😂😂😂😂
The ignorance in this video is hilarious. Almost as if he intended his audience to be fools.
@@KaosNova2it is, and they are.
Nah uh putin arrested my babushka for owning a beatles album
well he acts like one, how many people has he pushed out of windows?
@@KaosNova2 why? which part?
This is probably the most ill-informed video of yours to date.
You should probably have a conversation with a Russian.
That wouldn’t be enough, it would have to be multiple
as a Russian, this is probably the most fact-accurate "Russia is going to fall apart" video I've seen so far, and you raise a lot of valid points. some of the things you had predicted are happening right now, although they are too small to matter at the moment. we'll see how it goes
I believe the biggest factor to Russia possibly falling apart, is the aging population and the fact that this war has made the issue worse.
Tens of thousands of young capable men have been killed or injured in the war. Men that Russian society was already in the desperate need of. Men, that this war was supposed to be adding under the rule of Moscow.
But not only those who were killed and injured. What about those who escaped? We already know that hundreds of thousands fled Russia as the first mobilization wave hit. Most probably came back as their money or permits ran out. But many did not. For example, I know a few people here in Finland who previously have come from Russia to work on shipyards and in construction. People who escaped the mobilization by applying for a longer work permit, and still stay here. These are people, who are lost to Russia, as they apply for foreign citizenships, work in foreign companies, pay foreign taxes, marry foreign citizens, and have kids in foreign countries.
If Russia could have manufacturing and stuff it will be good
@@lihisluikkuI hope they'll repatriate someday because they love their country.
Половина выводов в видео строится на западной пропаганде. Это очень хорошо. Это значит, что они понятия не имеют, что реально происходит в России и будут совершать ещё больше ошибок. Например история с Пригожиным. Я онлайн следил за всем этим и с первых минут было понятно, что это полный провал. Половина вагнеров вообще отказались в этом участвовать. Народ абсолютно не поддержал этот демарш. От него отвернулись абсолютно все в один момент. Никто из высших чинов не поддержал тоже. Все сошлись на мнении, что Пригожин сошёл с ума и дел с ним больше никаких иметь нельзя. Зато в либеральных помойках уехавших оппозиционеров, спонсируемых фондами из США, ор был, что всё, Путину конец, в России революция, Пригожин - взбунтовавшийся Че Гевара 21 века и прочие радостные крики. В данном видео выводы делаются на основании анализа ора с оппозиционных каналов, а меж тем, эта ситуация только укрепила российскую власть, она высветила большинство не лояльных акторов во власти, показала сомневающимся, что народ перевороты не поддерживает, а случайная или специальная, мы этого не знаем, смерть Пригожина, воспринимается как справедливая расплата и ещё больше заставляет сомневающихся притормозить со своими сомнениями. Хорошо. Очень. Пусть надеются на развал России.
You are a Western person feed with western propaganda, please never come back
It is truly fascinating how one can talk for 33 minutes on the topic they know literally nothing about. How someone can be so arrogant yet so ignorant is beyond me.
Can you please give some information about your views?
Russian troll detected. Opinion invalid.
@@alm9322Very easy to mark someone as a troll instead of hearing them out
@@Vasily_dont_be_silly It's hard to "hear out" someone that doesn't give any arguments and simply calls someone arrogant.
@@alm9322 So we're still doing that? Damn these Russian trolls and how they ruined Star Wars and brainwashed people into thinking the greatest movie of our time was actually bad. And damn them for convincing people Biden's economy sucks even though, hey, just look at the GDP numbers. What more evidence do you need?
"Russia will fall"
Western's dream that never come true
Smeta im slobodan slavenski svijet
All empires have fallen in the past. No empire is forever. Not even Russia.
Will Durant, with the numberless issues you could raise about him, had a very clear conception of the organic nature of society. I believe he spoke on Revolutionary France, but certainly alluded to the same process occuring in Russia, that cutting a society of it's traditions was like separating an individual from his memories: it could only lead to neuroticism, for both.
Cutting a society from its traditions is what’s happening in the west today. Almost everything is being undermined, right down to the language we speak.
Yes, this was done to many cultures during the epoch of colonialism by the corporate West
@@aide-toietlecieltaidera3724you could see abundant advertisement as fake memory factory.... the way they have studied how fake memory works, that constant bombardment can work that way, making people mental and loose themselves. sort of white room where floor is shaking if there at all.
What’re the problems with Will? I read his philosophy book and am getting his story of Civilization and like to get closest to the truth
@@bathcat3759 I think most of his detractors forget that The Story of Civilization is popular rather than academic history.
The amount of cope here. Russia has survived much more severe situations in it's history. And foreign influence will not collapse Russia anytime soon. Cope and seethe.,
Anyone listening to this video and reflecting it onto our western societies?
Who up reflecting their Western Societies rn?
Yup similar problems, if not worse, are in western countries
Yup, all the preconditions apply twice as much for the EU and US...
This video isn't going to age well😂
The US will collapse before Russia does.
How do you figure that? The U.S. isn't suffering from a demographic crisis.
@@ZIEMOWITIUS Russia doesn't have a demographic problem, they're all Russian with the exception of small groups of people in Siberia.. The US does, and just like Rome it will collapse the US.
@@alexlaw1892 You have it backwards, man. The Russian population is significantly older than the U.S. population on average, which is a problem.
Birthrates in Russia are significantly lower than they are in the U.S., which is a problem.
Finally, the gender imbalance in Russia of having a lot more young women than men is much worse than it is in the U.S., which is a problem.
But hey, I'm sure sending 10s of thousands of young men to die in a war will help out those demographics.
@@ZIEMOWITIUS
The US population is completely fake. This is country is all boomers and the idiots who try to make up for their increasing absence.
Most immigrants will literally just go back to their homeland once the economy collapses and they are forced to take care of dying boomers.
Birth rates are growing in Russia and continuously declining in the US.
@@ZIEMOWITIUSthank you finally someone said it. I’m a right winger but this American right wing deep throating of Russia is just as cringe as when the left fanboys about china.
Did you just call the US a high trust society? Wow, you really missed the mark with this video.
Yeah, it is. That you think otherwise indicates you don't have as much experience as you think.
@@stevenschnepp576 A few regional sections of the US can still be described as high trust (rural, bits of the south, midwest, and west, etc). However, most the majority of the population does not live in those areas.
Actually after the smo begun it unified russian people by the idea of protection and traditionalism as well as different religions, that turns everything upside down
You and Ziehan remind me of Japanese bond vigilantes in the 90s. They were OBSESSED Japan was a failed state and kept shorting until the BOJ crushed them into oblivion. 30 years later Japan is still here. Yes, the charts clearly show Russia is due a pullback, but in the long run, Russia will be just fine. Just like Japan.
I think the difference is that Japan has institutions which enable adjustment. If the people want a revolution, they can just vote. In Russia that's impossible. Putin will be in charge until he's violently ousted or he dies.
Japan was not at war
This war has made Russia even more United. I agree he’s sounding just like Ziehan and he will have shit on his face in 5 years. Like the comment of trust. The west is quickly becoming a very low trust society!
Japanese society is the opposite of Russian society.
Except the Russian Federation is not "Russia".
I've met ethnic Koreans, Turks, Jews, and Mongolians that were Russian nationality and they all were proud to be Russian. I don't think Russia is going anywhere. Russia might have a trash government but don't count on them not being around as a nation, you're going to be disappointed.
Im glad you re-uploaded this video. Not sure why you took it down to begin with. Maybe with someone virtue signaling over your perspective on the concept of Russia? Either way thanks for your content. Makes me enjoy thinking outside the box on Russia as an American instead of being told to hate them cause "theyre our enemy".
He took it down because he was getting shredded in the comments 😂
@@AB0BA_69how so ?
Agreed. Re-up!!
Im guessing it had to do with sponsors, cause the original didnt have a sponsorship
Watch the video " tourism in new russia " literally they are doing very well and the ppl are nice. If u want to get a glimpse of the country
Since the war in Ukraine started, russian standard of living has actually grown. And income inequality has decreased. Does that mean the chances of revolution in Russia is actually going down? Its also becoming more religious. Both Muslim and Orthodox Christianity has seen major growth. In my opinion it would look like Russia is stabilizing rather than the opposite.
Any year now huh?. I remember hearing this back during the cold war.
and they actually collapsed
@@fanniinnanetguy653 After 50 years of failed predictions.
@@AdrianFahrenheitTepes Which made them all correct in the end.
@@fanniinnanetguy653 No it didn’t. That’s what you call a postdiction. Let’s be better than the conspiracy theorists nonsense, shall we?
Hard disagree.. The US and west is waayyy closer to collaspe
We are already on borrowed time.
12:00 if nepotism was fatal , America would have been over by 1987 or so
We had high trust in a lot of our social institutions throughout most of our history up and until now. Sure at times some of them were low bit mever not all of them like it is more so now.
@@jonassavimbi4795 I said nepotism,not lack of social trust
FYI different words mean different things homie
It's ok, you'll figure it out I'm sure
@@paulsansonetti7410 I'm not even sure if that comment was meant for you or not lol
😅You should really watch the Duran and listen to Scott Ritter a bit. Russia has been around a thousand years. The US will not.
Not exactly, it wasn’t really a bigger society until the 16th century
Scott Ritter? A convicted pedophile who works for russian propaganda is a very reliable source indeed 😅
Russia is a very complex country and even the most thinking person in the West cannot accurately predict the processes taking place in it.
I would argue that one could, if one were humble and willing to admit that their assumptions were incorrect. Yes, it is an idealistic condition. But “ideal” doesn’t always equal impossible, it can equal “improbable”.
The glazing is crazy
long live Albania and🇽🇰🇽🇰 Kosovo🇦🇱🇦🇱
You do realize that the US scores at least as high on those 18 points as Russia and China… right?
He has his head up his ass
If his listeners could think- they would be very upset 😅😅😅 and not only US, EU has even bigger problems😢 while people in Russia and China are completely different in culture and habits than Americans. For example, most people in China are living well below their means, and accumulating wealth.
him and zeihan are peak confirmation bias
@@h9hkk6155how because in China people can't even pay for one room apartments
@@debater452 that's not China you are talking about, unaffordable rent is in USA 🤑💀🤡
Will be back in 2028 to laugh at this video.😂😂😂
This might be Rudyard's boldest prediction yet. To be honest, I haven't been too impressed with Rudyard's assessment of the Ukraine war, which is all but won now.
Lynch is a child. His powers of prediction and analysis are poor because he has yet to figure out that you can't trust everything you read. Reminds me a lot of myself at his age.
@@j.w.m.415 I think he’s stated that he only reads stuff that was published after 1960 in one of his QnA’s, which doesn’t bode well for opinion. Also he likes to follow Zeihan a lot, who has a pretty shit track record of predicting stuff(and the stuff he did predict wasn’t just him and was pretty obviously gonna happen like the Ukraine war now). Rudyard needs to read some stuff that he disagrees with like Chomsky for example. I don’t agree with Chomsky but I highly respect his opinions
I think the fact that you are all so worried and feel like you need to comment here to reinforce your positions is testament to the fact that he struck a chord in you, which means his video did something right. Honestly it’s just a dumb TH-cam video, you are taking it way too seriously
It does tremendous damage to rud and zeihans credibility that they never address that the ru ssian sanctions backfired and Ukrain is losing territory and unable to advance
@@ibrahimtall6209 Like france in ww1, but Russia has taken more casualties and is regressing militarily.
If anyone is interested in further reading on predictors of social revolution, I would recommend the study "Dramatic Social Change: A Social Psychological Perspective".
It looks into predictive factors based on group-sociological and psychological factors, rather than the more economic and sociopolitical elements. The 3 main factors are collective action, relative deprivation, and perceptions of social change. I think both perspectives are important to fully understand the phenomena.
Russia has been around for a thousand years and despite the govenment almost always being a giant mess, the thing is surprisingly resilient.
Read some book, man. Thousand years Russia, lol
Your "Billionaires earned their money" only works if you allow that "earn" to also be inheritable. About half of the billionaires on the Forbes list either Straight inherited the money, or inherited the position where they made the money. (i.e. joining the C-suit of a company your family is already heavily invested in.)
If a person inherits millions of dollars and then becomes a billionaire that’s still a self made billionaire
@@andrewwilson9183you got any other moronic takes you want to bless us with
Not really, because without these inherited millions they likely wouldnt make anywhere near it.@@andrewwilson9183
@@andrewwilson9183If you start out with a million dollar nest egg, that's not self-made. It's called "being born with a silver spoon in your mouth". If you were lucky enough to be born into wealth, please count your blessings rather than assume everyone else has it just as good. Wealth really does open doors that aren't available to the poor.
@@GizzyDillespee
No you misunderstood
All outcomes in life are a cooperation with grace or luck. As such, to increase one’s wealth a thousand fold, requires skill and a special work ethic. The Forbes list is misleading for this reason.
>> in 5 years
lol, very comfortable take to make, no one will remember this vid in 5 years and no one will mock you for the bs "predictions" :D
Whatifalthist please do an alternate history video again please
Me, a Russian, seeing 100th video about the fall of Russia in past 2 years.
"Ah shit. Here we go again"
Love your vids anyway. Lets see what future holds I guess.
Everyone is fucked and if you think Russia will be the one nation that will be ok, you're deluding yourself.
Same with "China will collapse in a week/month/year" vids that get posted every month 😂😂😂
Let's just ignore the attempted march on Moscow that happened a few months ago. Everything will be fine.
If Russia has 5 years left, how much time does the US have?
28:12 if you really think slavs will show mercy to any other slavic group due to just their ethnic kinship, you have no idea on slavic history.
Balkans be like
Someone time capsule this clip for 5 years and link it in 5 years
Even though some things make sense a lot of hate and prejudice can be easily traced in your summary of political situation in Russia. Sick of such type of propaganda channels. That phrase 'I support Ukraine since I support America's rivals' speaks volumes. I dislike Americans who hate Russia as much as I dislike Russians who hate America.
Do you have any personal experience with places like this that you cover?
Not suggesting your conclusions are wrong, just curious whether your assessment is purely academic or if you've actually discussed these things with Russians or ever visited Russia.
hes a lunatic.
What I gathered from this video is that it's all purely academic speculation and author has never been to Russia or talked to actual Russians
This dude, just like other western “academics” or “political scientists”, live in their own little privileged bubble. They don’t even know what’s going on in their own society, let alone in countries and societies half way around the world. Their own backyard, parts of America, is falling apart yet they have the audacity to predict the downfall of societies like China and Russia. They’re oblivious.
Hard to imagine how a country that is fully sustainable in food and energy will collapse without major war. I think Russia will eventually evolve into an efficient capitalistic society, but this will take time. My bet is that new post-capitalist ideologies will be developed in the West, while Russia will continue to develop a capitalist state and follow the example given by the West. After all, the USSR collapsed because the elite was envious by how efficient the Western capitalist system was compared to the Soviet's. Both Russia and China want to recreate America from the 20th century as it was without question the most prosperous place in history. The big problem is demographics, but this is shared by pretty much everyone.
Capitalism can't succeed without colonialism, without seizing other countries' resources. Looking on carbohydrate-rich Donbas region, I can tell that Russia has learned how free market works and how war is an integral part of capitalist economy.
Most intelligent comment over here
the usa capitalist system is shit millions of people living in tent cities many ordinary working americans cant afford housing the global capitalist have destroyed the usa for many working people
Video number 3938434 discussing the fall of Russia since video devices were invented in 1888.
Well as they say, a prediction about the fall of Russia is right two times in a century
Guys who do videos about Russia, respect.
But you absolutely do not understand Russia. Honestly.
From a Russian who lives in the West.
From an American in Russia...
Exactly.
Go back there
@@Tadesan lol
@@krtstperhaps you could shed light on why russian hypocrites live in the West? You don't like Western values, you don't like NATO... Well, move back to your sh*thole and put your house in order.
I know right? He made an effort but there are so many oversimplifications in there... I have been following the Ukraine war and the commentary tends to be almost always partisan or outright ignorant. Somebody who does not even speak Russian to begin with can never be called a "Russia expert".
You weren't wrong about the famine. Just a scope of it. The recent streak of coup d'etats in the Sahel can be largely attributed to the food shortages. And there is a large wave of refugees that resembles the last border crisis. There is a lot of instability in the Middle East. I didn't hear anything about food shortages there, but that doesn't exclude them.
And lastly, the Ukrainian grain ended mostly in Europe instead of Africa. This is a scandal in UE because it seems that German and Dutch interest groups (they are owners of big Ukrainian agro holdings) used the situation as a pretext to bypass French protectionism towards the internal agricultural sector. Plus some corruption along the way.
Real OG's remember the first upload!
Ikr
I though I was getting a deja vu feeling.
What did he say in the original upload?
I don’t believe that ad in the beginning of was there
@@anvos658Same things basically
Do a video on Portugal, how we went from owners of half of the world to the decaying European country
Owners of half of the world???
@@divyavashisth8242I think he was referring to the Treaty of Tordesillas in 1494! 🤣🤣🤣
Portugal never recovered from the invasion of Bonaparte. The Portuguese army was the first in Europe to defeat Bonaparte, and send the French conscripts out for good. The English and Spanish assisted..
But Portugal hardly recovered from the theft and devastation.
So weird that every modern country dropped the ball in some way. Japan was doing so amazing, but then decided to freeze their economy for 30 years. They could literally be the big world power now if they didn’t have crazy economic experiments.
"I am basically guessing" is all anyone should know about this video
I usually like your videos but this just seems way off. It’s like 20 years out of date. When you mentioned the men dying by drinking themselves to death, I realized this is wrong. That’s what happened in the 90’s after the wall fell.
This video is every cliche that the western establishment wants you to think about Russia.
That’s the idea. This isn’t for an educated audience
In 1981 I was taking a class on comparative economic systems at North Dakota State University, we among others (Islamic economics,European socialism, Various command economies) studies the Soviet Union. My professor (Z Edward O'Relly had written a paper involving his analysis of external measures of outputs of the Soviets Union, and predicted that at the year 2000, given the decline the country would have zero economic output. and thus would fall sometime before that date. The 1973 Soviet-US grain deal was an indicator that signaled the precipitous decline of Soviet output that started this line of analysis.
Where can I read this paper?
I'm interested too. Though it's well known the economy of the ussr was an absolute mess. "We pretend to work and they pretend to pay us"
@@4grammaton Unfortunately I do not know.after many moves I have lost my papers from the class.
By the late seventies those running the USSR's economy were relying upon publicly declassified U.S. intelligence estimates assessing the economic ouput of the USSR.
They themselves had no real way way to ascertain what the actual outputs were and what was pure bs made-up by the commissars in charge of various manufacturing, mining and farming sectors which was then reported to the Kremiln.
In hindsight it turned out the U.S. vastly overestimated USSR economic output but even so was still nowhere near the tremendous lies the Soviets told themelsves about their own economy.
I always found Soviet agriculture kind of hilarious. They made agricultural output a central part of their propaganda and their ideology but they _always_ lagged behind the US despite having both a larger population, more arable land, and some famously rich black earth. Under Kruschev they also went hog wild trying to copy American farming techniques and technology, especially when it came to Americas corn industry. They put tons of effort into collectivizing their farming, invested tons of money and manpower into it, and did everything they could to boost production and make the supposedly much more efficient communist agricultural model outperform the west... and despite all that they could barely feed their people. Even after famine stopped being a major concern for the USSRs entire history the food they had available was inferior to the US with Americans having much more variety, more fruit and vegetables, and both more meat and more varied meat. The Soviet diet was mostly turnips, potatoes, beets, and grain while in the US they had more fruits, dairy, eggs, meat, sugar, and spices available.
5:56 Do you really think America has a culture that's worth a damn?
Theodore Roosevelt pushed for that idea of a distinct nationality, but that was a long time ago
no, its culture is consumerism. Which is why immigrants are able to integrate quickly. Already there is alot of 2-3rd generation latinos who dont speak a single word of Spanish. However, besides Cajun and Cerole culture in Louisiana, I dont see much culture that is different or worth it.
yes, the culture is centered around worshiping money and african americans.
For possibly a masonix scam like y , y made a very accurate point there, that i must say...
Take a Western Civ course. And remember that those who hate Western Civ, are useful idiots.
I’m here before the video gets deleted again.. :/ by the way your content is amazing, and consistently very on point
Video gets deleted again because he gets called out for saying absolutely inane and stupid stuff 😂😂😂
@@AB0BA_69timestamp or it didn't happen.
like what?@@AB0BA_69
@@AB0BA_69 what exactly? Like this isnt even a controversial topic.
He only deleted it cause he accidentally posted it before adding the sponnser segment
Russia has been in this world for over a thousand years. United States is barely making 250 years. So this whole statement in the video of outting "5 years to end" is nothing but hilarious
Time isn’t relevant. Cohesion is more important for a society than how long it has existed
@@AdrianFahrenheitTepes do you think Russia didn't have cohesion problems in those 1200 years of existence? Since the break of kingdoms, the mongol administration, the time of problems, the northern war, Napoleon invasion, the surge itself of a new kind of state (socialism), the great patriotic war and the break of the USSR. History has taught us that no matter how much shit Russia goes through it will prevail. So this current Ukraine war is nothing in comparison.
@@axelnovati And what you’re talking about is cohesion. Not the length of time. The United States will always be around, not always the same way as it has been, but it will be in some form existent. I know exactly what is wrong there myself as well. And my view of it is that if there is a “fall” it will be something similar in ways to the Russian Federation in the 1990s regarding economics, crime, etc.
@@AdrianFahrenheitTepes you said time wasn't relevant but cohesion so I made my point around your argument.
But we both are concluding that Russia won't "fall" as the video suggests.
@@axelnovati Yes it appears we do agree
If anything, I expect Russia, like China, and possibly America, and definitely Brazil to have a warlord period again but not dissolve as a national concept and defined land mass.
Indeed, any American collapse in the next 100 years is more likely to be a civil war that gets the country sorted out and refocused again. Then the US will resurge once the economic dammage is repaired. Russia and China are likely to be in worse states after any collapse and take far longer to repair.
It’s far more unlikely for america to have a “warlord” type collapse scenario anytime ever if imma be entirely honest
What i expect to happen to each nation is simple, i expect russia will have either a warlord period, or a return to monarchy (a large portion of the russian populace supports the restoration of the romanov dynasty), china i cannot see staying in 1 piece, though north eastern (aka the han people's area) might stay together, tibet, hong kong and xinjiang i cannot see as staying part of the country if given even the slightest chance to break away.
The us is facing balkanization imo, the us is culturally a empire with many differing cultures based on location, so the form of government or governments that form from that if it happens is completely unpredictable, but likely it won't be just republicanism, both communism and monarchism and everything in between is not off the table in such a situation.
Brazil is hard to predict but likely it will have a civil war between the 3 factions, the socialists, the monarchists and the republicanists.
@@tatsuya2112 I'm Brazilian and I can tell you the monarchist movement is extremely weak here. If there is a to be a civil war in the country, it will be between socialists/communists against far-right reactionaries, as is typical of Latin American civil wars and conflicts.
@@CursedSwede Well as i said i'm not a expert on brazil.
Nationalism in Europe failed only because to the amount of tanks and shells its rivals had. In other words, european nationalism was crashed by shells and tank tracks at least twice.
Thank you for this video.
1) People in Russia trust almost no one, especially government. As I know about 30% of people are trying to avoid taxes. And a lot of people do everything to not go to the army ( even before the conflict ) It seems like the government try to put duties on us, but people are trying to avoid them as much as they can.
2) Church. There is not many believers, during the soviet union period it was forbidden. My friends in the USA always think that the russians are believers, but in reallity that's small amount of population
3) Demographic is pretty bad in Russia. I do agree with it. But the most important thing is that birth rate isn't equal or simmilar state to state ( kray or oblast'), So people in muslim regions have more babies, way more than in "the heartland of Russia" plus people from Central Asia go to Russia to work and get russian citizenship for them is a peace of cake. I saw a statictics which says that in Russia, local population is about 78% nowadays and about 20% of Moscow population are muslims and these Muslim folks are kind of connected between themselves while the Russians completely aren't.
4) Corruption is almost everywhere in universities, hospitals e t c it's deep in society. I think one of the problems is low payment jobs and people try to make money as much as they could. From the bottom to the top of the social hierarchy.
5) Investments, innovations, progress these just words, they don't mean anything in Russia. That's a country where guys on the top sell resources. They feed people in poverty to prevent protests and government machine, others on their own, other money they move out of Russia. I'll give you an example from my life. I had a close relationship with my boss and I asked him. Why doesn't he invest money in his business? His answer was I do Investments, but not in Russia and this mindset has almost any rich person in Russia.
6) Russian people want to be alone, all the time the government try to pressure on them. All the time the government do some shit and involve people to solve it.
7) Russian people is very diffrent from person to person. I've never seen the diffrence like this before wherever I've been. The government plays with the statistics about their opinion all the time, but they can't prove it, they know, but can't
8) And in my opinion the most bad thing is that Russian people see Russia as a superpower, it stops the progress too. They think they are like the USA or China, Western europe, but it's bellow. And instead of chose "special russian path" will be good to copperate with the West, change the laws, try to integrate in EU, but it's not going to happen in the nearest future, unfortunately 😢
No sane or wise person should ever blindly trust their politicians blindly. They are snakes
Spot on!
Could it be that Russia is too big, geographically, to stay as one nation? There also seems to be a rise in nationalism globally.
My country, Canada, may also be too large to remain intact. There are signs re political divisions.. (as well, look at the divisions in the USA). We already have 'a nation within a nation', ie Quebec..
@gerryboudreaultboudreault2608 I think Russia is very stable because Caucas and many minority states can't live that way like they are living now, without Russia. For example, Chechnya is one of the Russian regions that get lots of money from the budget. If they would be independent, they would be much poorer. The only regions that might want to be independent are those with resources, but it's impossible because it would be a war without end for those resources. But people in Caucas kind of don't obey Russians' laws, so they could do something, but it would be very stupid, because they would make a shot to their feet
Yeah #1 is incorrect.
There was a shit ton of people trying to join the army,
In disadcantaged regions like Tuva and Minority states where pay was low, army bonuses were massive and pay was as well.
Russia doesnt take conscripts may I remind you, they use volunteers.
15:30 I've dealt with Russian propaganda before as someone whose been in the alternate media for a decade now, and I gotta admit, they're good. I've created videos addressing Russian propaganda specifically, and not just general tankie propaganda.
The exact polar opposite is China, which except for an individual or two, is a complete and utter joke. I think the reason why is because China is bureaucratic along with having no experience with dealing with westerners. Russia, on the other hand, is western-adjacent, and has studied western culture and would know how to better infiltrate it, especially the alternate media where people don't trust the mainstream media, which is a good audience to capture and appeal to for Orwell's Eurasian-I-mean Russian propaganda.
Sadly, there's few people to push back against it, and my own favorite political commentator whose normally awesome has fallen for it.
It's ironic how I criticize America's wars and Israel, but I know things would be infinitely worse if Russia or Especially China were the superpower.
This world has never seen anything worse than the West.
Concerning propaganda Russia is far behind the Westerners. Mostly because Russians still have some integrity left in them
Idk about israel
Israel just seems genocidal and borderline Nazi levels
I have lived on both sides of the world, both swim in propaganda, in different kinds but still, the biggest reason people on alternative media tent to "bite" into Russian propaganda is because there is no trust in our own medias, we KNOW that our media lies, i have said it for the past two decades "Joseph Goebbels would weep with joy at how acomplished Russian and American propaganda is, they seem to be his best pupils".
@aide-toietlecieltaidera3724 I was going to comment, but TH-cam dumped my comment, so I'll have to try again.
There's hidden comments I can only find with TH-cam Comment Finder.
Lol as an American vet I feel similar about our wars. We haven't been in a justifiable war for decades but as I grow older I am starting to understand how and why we've been dragged around the globe to places most Americans cannot name on a map. The Chinese started trading with the Taliban the second we left. If it wasn't us it would be somebody worse.