Beware of Mining Stock Value Traps with Rick Rule & Brian Leni (40-min discussion)

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 3 มิ.ย. 2024
  • In this interview a semi-retired Rick Rule offers mining stock wisdom via a 40-minute discussion with MSE host Bill Powers and Brian Leni of JuniorStockReview.com. Rick warns investors to not fall for mining stock value traps. He speaks to how he values development companies and determines discounts to NPV and valuation relative to peers. Rick discusses resource assets that go into receivership and why most investors do not profit from such a scenario. He explains why understanding balance sheets is far more important than assessing human behavior and how that affects share price. Rick elaborates on why he “loves circumstances where the shorts are against me.” Finally, Rick shares how he is able to legally conclude that a mining company has imminent good news coming without being explicitly told such. Enjoy this discipleship session with one of the best resource stock speculators of the past fifty years.
    0:00 Introduction
    1:20 Mining stock value traps
    6:36 How to sort through the macro-economic “noise”
    10:53 Rules for discounting NPV of a project/company?
    14:46 Assessing developers relative to peers
    18:40 Finding value in assets in receivership
    20:55 How much could you make in 5yrs with $1M invested today?
    23:09 “Life is about probabilities”
    26:36 What’s more important to understand: human behavior or balance sheets?
    28:33 Deploying cash in top-rated companies whose share price keeps falling
    32:30 “I love circumstances where the shorts are against me”
    37:55 Explorecos with share prices that trends up before positive news
    If you would like Rick to review your mining stock portfolio reach out to him at:
    ruleinvestmentmedia.com/
    Previous interview with Rick about how to speculate in explorecos: • Masterclass on How to ...
    Rule Investment Media YT channel: / sprottglobal
    Brian Leni’s website: www.juniorstockreview.com/
    Sign up for our free newsletter and receive interview transcripts, stock profiles and investment ideas: eepurl.com/cHxJ39
    The content found on MiningStockEducation.com is for informational purposes only and is not to be considered personal legal or investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities or any other product. It is based on opinions, SEC filings, current events, press releases and interviews but is not infallible. It may contain errors and MiningStockEducation.com offers no inferred or explicit warranty as to the accuracy of the information presented. If personal advice is needed, consult a qualified legal, tax or investment professional. Do not base any investment decision on the information contained on MiningStockEducation.com or our videos. We may hold equity positions in and/or be compensated by some of the companies featured on this site and therefore are biased and hold an obvious conflict of interest. MiningStockEducation.com may provide website addresses or links to websites and we disclaim any responsibility for the content of any such other websites. The information you find on MiningStockEducation.com is to be used at your own risk. By reading MiningStockEducation.com, you agree to hold MiningStockEducation.com, its owner, associates, sponsors, affiliates, and partners harmless and to completely release them from any and all liabilities due to any and all losses, damages, or injuries (financial or otherwise) that may be incurred.
    #miningstocks #resourceinvesting #investing

ความคิดเห็น • 66

  • @skesno309
    @skesno309 2 ปีที่แล้ว +28

    Whenever i see a Rick Rule interview i hit the like button before i even watch the video.

  • @CommodityCulture
    @CommodityCulture 2 ปีที่แล้ว +31

    Every time I watch a Rick Rule interview, I always learn something valuable. Thanks for this!

  • @b4bmm
    @b4bmm 2 ปีที่แล้ว +14

    This is probably the best interview with Rick I have watched, getting into the bones of it this time unlike many other interviews.

    • @peterbell5806
      @peterbell5806 ปีที่แล้ว

      +1
      The people he's talking to help bring out the best!

  • @marcgerges1380
    @marcgerges1380 ปีที่แล้ว

    Rick Rule is has great knowledge to share with those who will listen. Excellent series Bill.

  • @nickt007007
    @nickt007007 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Best Rick Rule interview ever. Thank you all three of you!

  • @Realist968
    @Realist968 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    This was the most informative mining information I've ever heard. I thought I was doing DD, but not really. Thank you Rick Rule and MSE.

  • @drno3391
    @drno3391 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Rick seems much more relax and happy since he retired, always fun to listen to.
    Also he taught me 80% of what I understood in this field and I am forever grateful.

  • @sheldonsnow803
    @sheldonsnow803 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    I could listen to this man speak everyday. It's poetry to my ears. Great Job.

  • @peterlattimore6013
    @peterlattimore6013 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Wow... good questions Brian and even better replies from Rick.
    Rick doesn't just answer the questions but dysects them at a micro level and then explains his thesis in layman's terms.
    I'll be downloading this interview and have it on repeat. No one can absorb all the information in only 2 listens.
    Best Investing channel on YT in my opinion 👏 thank you Bill...

  • @JanGuentherMarkus
    @JanGuentherMarkus 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Awesome video, especially the last part. Rick is hilarious and a great teacher, a truly perfect mix.

  • @kevinfernandes8527
    @kevinfernandes8527 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Rick Rule is a linguistic 🐐
    👍👍👍👍

  • @emanuelvega1823
    @emanuelvega1823 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    Love your interviews with Rick Rule! You two always bring good questions to the discussion and get superb answers from Rick which he always puts so eloquently! Keep up the good work! I’m this crazy market that makes no sense, content like this is an anchor of reason and reality.

  • @sanpedrosilver
    @sanpedrosilver 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Gotta be great to bounce questions off of Rick Rule. As a subscriber of Junior Stock Review, this info will help us going forward ! Thx for putting together the interview Bill !

  • @taylorthompson1930
    @taylorthompson1930 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Killer interview, absolutely love his humor and knowledge combo. Such good articulation and demeanor.

  • @kyleorgel7337
    @kyleorgel7337 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    One of your best! Great job Bill getting this together!

  • @Ange65230
    @Ange65230 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Always a joy to listen to such common sense commentary............I have followed some of his basic principles and happy to hold through the turmoil and have been lucky to have enjoyed several 10-baggers thanks to the patience and logic Rick preaches. Better to have a position than not, if you believe the story. If not go somewhere else.

  • @sebastianburnaz6760
    @sebastianburnaz6760 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Excellent work! Thank you very much!

  • @cruisie11
    @cruisie11 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    25:20 you don't have to have three times higher demand for precious metals to revert to mean, price will also go up to revert to mean... It will be a combination of both to get to the 3x.. But it will probably exceed the mean this time and go to a much higher percentage than 1.5%...

    • @rickrule6947
      @rickrule6947 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I actually agree, but I don't need to make aggressive forecasts. The point of the statement was that demand could triple, with no out of the ordinary circumstance

  • @user-ft9hv5wc8k
    @user-ft9hv5wc8k 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great interview! Thanks!

  • @esaias536
    @esaias536 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    best r.rule interview i’ve seen

  • @peterbell5806
    @peterbell5806 ปีที่แล้ว

    30:20
    Errors of omission! Thanks for this story. Glad to hear others making silly mistakes like that too. Bullish!

  • @cosmo3853
    @cosmo3853 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Keep working hard Bill

  • @Nycjedipc
    @Nycjedipc 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Love Rick hit it

  • @EssittoRusko
    @EssittoRusko 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    The ruler!

  • @CalebDiT
    @CalebDiT 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    "The search for perfection is a form of procrastination."
    If I hear nothing else from this video, I'm glad I heard at least that.

  • @jimhendrickson5553
    @jimhendrickson5553 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    My question is how long do you maintain equity financing vz. debt financing. Many of the juniors maintain equity financing to the detriment of return to the shareholders---- some have several profitable operations but use treasury shares to maintain financing diluting the stock price. This bugs me a lot.

  • @davidhenningson4782
    @davidhenningson4782 ปีที่แล้ว

    What's the ticker symbol for Consolidated Moose pasture?🤔 Amalgamated Orangutan sounds familiar as well😄👍

  • @galwayrover2021
    @galwayrover2021 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    i've enjoyed watching scores of Rick's interviews and everyone has been a delight, but this is a treasure. I love the insight at the end about the smugness of the CEO as a reveal. I also hear that candlestick makers were seriously offended by being included in a group of such degenerates as butchers, bakers and strippers!

  • @herbs814
    @herbs814 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Anyone catch the ticker for Amalgamated Moose Pasture? /s

  • @adriansaw8329
    @adriansaw8329 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Would Rick classify Amir Adnani as a lifestyle company executive? Since he mentioned lifestyle companies in the value trap section.

    • @rickrule6947
      @rickrule6947 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Amir is a very hard worker, hence his low cost of capital. Rather than a value trap, the risk with Amir is that his stocks get ahead of themselves.

  • @nocodemichael
    @nocodemichael 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    If you listen to Rick Rule just for mining wisdom, you have shortchanged yourself lol

  • @timecapsule2919
    @timecapsule2919 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Huge gold deposit found AUMN golden minerals found a gold vein 150 meters long

  • @frankfarley2480
    @frankfarley2480 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    A human resource to be extracted and utilized, so to speak.

  • @redrum3075
    @redrum3075 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Rick said a value trap is a company run by a "has been" that has been successful in their youth but uninterested in lowering cost of capital and moving their assets on and who didn't have the drive or energy to build companies anymore. Sounds like he might be talking about Rob McEwen ?

  • @johnboettger864
    @johnboettger864 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    yadayadayada more R.R. yadayadayada

  • @clauswolfgangmeyer1377
    @clauswolfgangmeyer1377 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Is HKG621 a Value-Trapp?

  • @geoffg9721
    @geoffg9721 2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    My guess is, we have been exposed to about 5% of ricks knowledge. Looking forward to the other 95%

  • @adhdtrader5748
    @adhdtrader5748 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    33:01 hold up...sorry Rick, nothing is better than sex...if u think there is somethin better, you ain doin it right come on bro

    • @adhdtrader5748
      @adhdtrader5748 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @Alec Jones not poor tho 🤙🏽

  • @bartsimpson2159
    @bartsimpson2159 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    I love when old men belittle young people (Greta the high school dropout).

    • @dennisgorelik
      @dennisgorelik 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Rick belittled not Greta, but people who listen to Greta as if Greta is an expert in Economics.

    • @bartsimpson2159
      @bartsimpson2159 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@dennisgorelik Referring to some as a high school dropout is belittling...doing so when you know it is a lie is just being a dick....and Greta does not claim to be an expert in economics...all she has ever said was to listen to the scientists.

    • @dennisgorelik
      @dennisgorelik 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      @@bartsimpson2159 Rick Rule's joke is targeted not at Greta, but at investors that chose to listen to Greta's advise in spite of her being a high school dropout [at that time]. Rick makes fun of investors who threat Greta's claims as if Greta is an expert in economics.
      Rick did not say that Greta claimed to be an expert in economics.

    • @Blurry2222
      @Blurry2222 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@bartsimpson2159 it’s all about WHICH experts you trust! Greta is promoting experts of her choosing using emotion, which requires judgment she does not have.

    • @rickrule6947
      @rickrule6947 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      I belittle people who incorporate narrative in their investment decisions, absent math

  • @vanpersie9739
    @vanpersie9739 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    People will be kicking themselves in few weeks if they miss the opportunity to buy and invest in Crypto as it's retracing....BE WISE

    • @billdowling854
      @billdowling854 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      It's an interview with a lot of noise, but not much wisdom. People who seem in love with their own voice.