@Ebro Big boy"genetically Turkey is not even Turkish" What does this even mean? I think you meant to say "genetically Turkey is not even Turkic" as in the original turks from central asia.
No offense, but why is Geopolitics of Turkey in Europe is literally everything about how Turkey should invade Europe to secure its interest? By this logic, shouldn't the Geopolitics of China video is about how China should invade Taiwan, Vietnam, Korea etc...?
how can it be in china's interest to invade Vietnam and Korea? i mean what the fuck are you even talking about? Myanmar and japan,maybe, but .bobn;sva;k7890-r5lfw,dmWv;ls ksl'q3okhiu[ amfvak aeljvbo?!!! how the fuck can you come to that conclusion?!!!! i hate people who don't understand how stupid they are.
Shirvan, I believe that your audience prefers an accent that is not American, it adds a more internationalist feeling to your channel and separates it from others!
This channel has a pretty high standard when it comes to geopolitical content but this video really doesn't live up to it. If NATO and the EU sieze to exist, there isn't going to be a magical carte blanche for Turkey to attack it's neighbors. The geopolitics of the Balkan region have always been manufactured by the great powers and they have no interest in Turkey growing larger. It's much more likely that Turkey won't use it's military to advance into Europe because that will most certainly trigger a counter reaction which will manifest itself in a broad anti-Turkish coalition. So in my opinion, to talk about territorial gains in Bulgaria or Greece is very, very unrealistic. Moreover, the Turkish ethnicity in Bulgaria isn't very pro-Turkish. Many of them were refused Turkish citizenship back in the day, first, during the so called "Revival Process", which was a process of forceful assimilation of Bulgaria's Turkish minorities and a second time, after the USSR collapsed. This has created a somewhat anti-Turkish sentiment in the Turkish minorities in Bulgaria. These minorities are very well represented in the government structure in Bulgaria, with their party "Movement for Rights and Freedoms" being the 3rd strongest party in Bulgaria consistently since 1990.
I think I already addressed the problem with that idea in my first comment. First of all, the Turkish minorities in Bulgaria are not pro-Turkish and second, they don't have the political upper hand. They are well represented in the government, their interests are secured within the Bulgarian borders and many of them identify themselves as "Bulgarians". Turkey has no leverage to "replace" any Balkan government in the region with a pro-Turkish one.
The balkans if anything hate the Turks more than each other, they will band and form a coalition against Turkey. Dont forget Britain that likes to intervene in everything, they will surely create an anti Turkish coalition. if the EU and NATO collapse, it will surely result with Russia trying to secure the middle east for the defensible terrain and black sea ports since eastern Russia is the least defensible region. Also consider the cultural union and bond the eastern slavs have with Russia (i.e look at their flag colours) they surely will look to Russia for protection. And incase of a power vacuum in the west, a greater rival will surely emerge. Spain for example has a mountainous tradition, if it ever seeked to invade turkey to secure its legitimacy, Turkey would surely fall due to spanish troops having mountainous experience and technology. Dont forget Iran in the east will surely take advantage of Turkey's focus in the west to expand into the east. Turkey lacks the warfare industry, and equipment to invade the West, hence why it actively seeks EU and NATO support for weapons and military equipment. All in all, turkey is still trying to develop itself, a war is not what it needs to be a super power. All it needs is time.
Пичове, Турция има 2рата най-голяма армия в НАТО и може да ни прегази като стой та гледай. Между другото, по Бай Тошово време българската армия е имала следната реалистична цел: да задържи турската армия за 48 часа, докато дойдат руснаците. Толкоз сме си могли и при *могъщата* НРБ.
Dimitar Proynov не знам от къде имаш тази информация, но някой те е излъгал сериозно. В моя род има бая военни мога да ти кажа друга история. Българската войска е била доста добре екипирана за война с гърция и Турция и то не само за 24 часа. Още повече - цяла руска армия е била разположена на наша територия с ядрени оръжия.
Bulgarian here. We have been in an Ottoman Empire occupation once before for 500 years. It was a time of massacres and mass slavery. But we survived. No one here wants a repeat of that. Turkey cannot acquire Bulgaria as a buffer, because the only thing it will get is a war zone with guerrilla freedom-fighters.
Bulgarians don't have a choice I'm afraid. Those "freedom" fighters would be picked off one by one and that would be the end of it. Not that we enjoy doing that. It is basically a necessary thing to secure Turkey's heartland. If Bulgarians are a obstacle to that we have no choice than to pull our dix out.
@edal0 An invasion of Bulgaria is unprediactable. The Bulgarian army isn't as large as the Turkish one, but they will be defending, and not some empty deserts, but mountains and forests. We saw what happened in Yugoslavia, where NATO's jets were shot down by 60's-era tech, or northern Syria, where some of Turkey's best tanks were destroyed (not by professional military, but by rebels). These are problems any invading force will most likely face again. Unless the Turks burn down everything in their path (which will simply make the Bulgarians fight harder and probably lead to an international intervention), Turkey won't get rid of all active guerilla units, and may likely get bogged down several times in the war.
Good analysis on Turkey's geopolitical interests. However, the expansion in the Balkans is too unrealistic (inprobable). If NATO gets dissolved for whatever reasons, the EU still remains, and the EU will surely not allow an expansion of Turkey into the Balkans at its expense. Neither will Russia.
As a Turkish citizen I have never heard a plan to invade any part of Balkans. I don't know how they came up with this plan. I can remember, in 80's Bulgarian government was trying to assimilate (by force) Turkish people living there. We were almost going in a military conflict with Bulgaria but still no one was talking about invading.
@@EK-gy7si The assimilation process was a bait, so that the ruling regime could change the topic of the day, which by the time was the failing economy. This is what these days Turkey is doing, but not at the cost that the Bulgarians with Turkish decent had to pay. I personally as a Bulgarian love Turkey. I think friendship is the way to go and nationalist should be silenced at any cost, cause they are the ones to spread hate...
It's a very hypothetical video anyway. Turkey has no territory on the Danube and no territory on the Crimea. And also no specific alliances that i know of or were mentioned.
Turkey has problems keeping a viable state. Occupying Bulgaria makes no sense in any future scenario. With all the respect, this episode is very low in quality. No words on the warning Russia gave Erdogan in regards with Syria? Without NATO support, Turkey has to be first afraid of Russia. Also, let us remember Turkey has 1/3 kurd population so in case UE/NATO falls, how would Turkey be able to move troops in balkans since turkish army barely controls kurds in the south currently?
Gigel Chiazna perhaps in your dreams Kurds form a problem. Turkey isn’t even using 1% of its army against the Kurds. Those couple of Kurds in Syria will be wiped out if only 10% of the Turkish army crosses over.
Exactly. The video is called geopolitics of turkey and it turns out to be nothing about the current geopolitical REALITY to help us understand the contemporary Turkish policies in Middle east or Russia. Instead the video devoted itself into a fantasy scenario that makes very little sense. very low in quality indeed.
Until a few years ago I believed that the Turks were Europeans, but today it is not like that anymore. Turkish President Erdogan is turning Turkey into an Arab and Islamist nation rather than a modern, European and secular state. It's very sad!
A:did you guys here about this country invaded its neighbor to get the strategic warm water port in the black sea? Jason Yang: that's not possible do they think they're still in the interwar period.....?!!!!!! world is much bigger than where you see. so let's not pretend we know everything because then you just provide more proof of your foolishness./
Good you still know there is a increasingly aggressive RUSSIA and that's the top reason why such invasion plan is just fantasy - or a great way to trigger the direct intervention of nuclear power. Wake up, the fact that a power with the second largest nuclear arsenal did it doesn't means any secondary power have the capacity to do so and reasonably hope it won't backfire.
BTW, you remind me that how many times on history the thinking of "they(great power) did it so we can do it here" led to the downfall of a bunch of minor powers.
You're right... It's the romanian province of Moldova, but since everyone can mistake it for the Republic of Moldova, it's better to call the whole region Bessarabia...
Don't hold the truth hidden because of fear of creating confusion. Only stupid people get confused so easily. Bessarabia is a term used by Russia since it grabbed half of Moldavia in 1812 after the Russo-Turkish war, just like they did with Crimeea recently. The Ottoman empire cedded it to Russia.
Any Turkish incursion in the southern Balkans would be a bad idea, it would isolate them politically and economically. It's not a factor of "could the Turks win" it's a factor of "is the victory worth it" nothing brings a region together like a common enemy. The Yugoslavs have a grudge against the Turks. And they could still appeal to Russia for help.
So everyone will just stand and watch while Turks roll over Bulgaria and Romania? Dude Greeks will be first to enter any war waged by Turks and Serbs will most likely Join Bulgaria and Romania. Turks cannot take any part of Balkan at this time. Balkan countries together are more than a match to Turkey, Romania and Greece are actually pretty strong when it comes to military. Also its impossible that Russia would just stand indifferent knowing their ties with Bulgaria and Serbia.
The Greeks are afraid of the Turks. Because they know very well what will happen to them. Even in the weakest period of the Turks, they did not defeat them
I think in such case Greece would try to stay neutral, due to the reason that possible fronts like Dodecanese, Thrace and Northern Aegean are hard to defend against a 80 million country. One part of my family suffered very badly from Balkan wars, their village burnt down, they forced to leave Salonica, the ones who stayed has been murdered by greek militias. I hope noone from any ethnic background would experience that again!
If Turkey restarts it's imperial ambitions against Slavic orthodox territories it risks igniting a big regional war in which Turkey could be destroyed completely and forever lose Constantinople and other territory. I would advise the Turks and their Azeri cousins to be happy with what they got and stay at home.
Turkey won't invade Balkans for imperial ambitions but to protect itself if Russia or NATO fell apart. There would be no Russia to support Balkan criminals this time. It will be Turks, Balkan Muslims versus Orthodox balkanites.
+erald0 If Russia or NATO fall apart then who the hell do you need to protect against?! In truth the only criminals are Turkish imperialists like you and Shirvan who still dream of recreating a neo-Ottoman empire.
Strgar Strgar if NATO falls apart Turkey will be forced to take the strategic positions in the balkans. The US will support Turkey to take it. Otherwise Russia will take it.
Why people still think that Turkey could be in bad relations with russia? Their will certainly become allies with russia and iran. Look at similarities, Turkey have authoritarian leader like russia and iran, they ressist kurds like them, etc.
He He yes but, Constantinople and Hagia Sophia back to the Orthodox Church, Putin would be the new Peter the Great for the Russians. If the opportunity arises
Having authoritarian leaders doesn't mean they'll get along. Turkey will likely have to abandon their pipe dream of removing Assad in order to get in good with Russia and Iran.
Turkey has the potential to be a powerful nation simply by it's central location in the world - the crossroads of Europe and Asia with direct links to Africa. It is often called "the centre of the world". But Turkey's potential cannot be realised because the journey towards it is arduous and full of enemies. The European Union to the West, the Russian Bear to the north, Iran to the east, and the fractious and unstable Arab world to the south. If Turkey actualises its potential, then it can dominate in any direction (as we saw with the Ottoman Empire and Constantinople at its heart, which spread its wings across North Africa, the Middle East, the Caucasus, Crimea and the Balkans). This is just the geopolitical issue.
Eh, maybe if this was the early 20th or pre-20th century, but now positing is rapidly becoming more an more irrelevant, due to advanced technologies in both trade, economics, society and warfare.
One Belt One Road of China, Genetic Engeeniring in farming (and indipendence from nations for importation of Asian products), and the low Iq of Turkish people (Iq of 90) will stop any rising aspiration.
+SkyTech RTS Geography is still king regardless of technology. Even today, technology is often designed around the existing geography. For example, many of NATO's cold war military equipment was designed specifically for the battlefields of Europe during a hypothetical (and likely nuclear) World War III. Personnel carriers, aircraft (such as the venerable A-10 "Warthog"), and tanks were all designed specifically for fighting in Poland and Germany and the Northern European Plain between the USA and USSR. +Domenico Coviello Turks are not stupid, if that is what you are implying. I know many highly intelligent Turks.
I disagree, big conventional ground wars are nigh impossible now due to nuclear proliferation and the interconnected global economy, so that already nullifies the "defensive" aspect of geography technology since then has adapted to instead be capable of fighting anywhere.
agree Erdogan isn't really a smart politician, I dont really care if western media demonizes him and calls him an Islamist, but he disappointed me.We Need someone who is well Aware of what is Happening around Turkey.
Their economy might collapse along with that of Europe and maybe the US (because the US is already mismanaging absolutely everything these days) They'd probably get paranoid of the russians like corporate dems in the US are.
+CaspianReport , Shirvan, your videos often show points of view many regular political websites usually do not show. But this one is a little bit..fictional. "Europe's unity crumbles, NATO's unificating role is no more, and there's Turkey with a bunch of people (much fewer) westwards and a land they can grab _just by seizing Sofia after a mobilisation._ As a remind, only Russia's threatening Sofia with war in the First Balkan war prevented the second, all out siege on Istanbul. Given the circumstances back then, it's not hard to guess what could've happened. Sofia was the one to muster the largest army per capita in the world in WW1 - 1,2 million at ~4 million total population. I wouldn't turn this comment into a history article, just a note that lessons should be learned from the past. *Back to 21st century...and the reality:* *1. Turkey is a power on paper with many question-marks* ---Turkey's military hierarchy is *power-based, not expertise-based.* For reference - most of the Arab armies in the middle east, and their performance. The times when authoritarian-governed countries with many teeth they can show and intimidate the smaller ones are over since decades ago. ---Turkey's business card is impressive due to the numbers. Yet, the still-ongoing issue with the Kurdish insurgency, lasting for *decades,* raises questions about the Turkish army's efficacy. ---Turkey is *severely divided country.* Ethnically, regionally, politically, even civillisation-wise. The idea of an unified Turkish state, sweeping across Thrace, entering Sofia, seizing Thrace or just Bulgaria giving that land on the diplomatic table, and afterwards Romania next...that's not only a naive thought, even for a hypothethical scenario, but more importantly a dangerous one. *2. The hypothethical conflict* ---Contrary to the hypothethical scenario in this video, in case of EU's and NATO's retreat, any attempt of Turkey to _secure_ (expand) it's western borders will put the country in a serious danger. ---The country would be (is?) surrounded by enemies. I highly doubt that Turkey will be able to deal with Bulgaria *alone.* Let alone Greece into the game, or even other parties. The days of large countries' armies sweeping safe accross other smaller ones are long gone. And there's so much to go wrong for Turkey in a scenario like this one. In the chaos *Bulgaria's* horizons would most likely widen allover the rest of *Thrace to the Bosphorus,* as already has happened before. *Greece's* eyes will once again get wet from the sight of *western Anatolian shores.* The *Kurds* will see all this mess as a golden opportunity for complete independence that comes across once in a lifetime. The question for unification of *Cyprus* will be raised. So many parties, so many opportunities to exploit which *would be too difficult to resist to.* ---Turkey will need it's *entire* armed forces in order to maximise it's potential for eventual success in the Balkan peninsula. And they still will most likely be *outnumbered and outgunned.* And Turkey's eastern, south-eastern and north-eastern borders, as noted above, will be an open field for other neighbors with strong memory and apetitte. A fully engaged Turkish armed forces in the Balkans where, objectivelly judging, would be *eaten alive,* will untie the hands of the Kurds, the Syrians might get hungry as well, the Armenians wouldn't show love too, and the Russians must be crazy to stay aside and not enter from Armenia and/or landing in Trebizond from Crimea. Or just hit as hard as they can in any way they prefer. The options and the opportunities in a case like this one are so many. ---Any thought of Bulgaria giving up it's historical lands and people is just mad one. Greece and/or Romania to wait their turn against Turkey - an equally crazy assumption. The Turkish armed forces are a factor in the region. A *nation, mobilised for it's survival* on other hand, is a tottally different picture. A second one prepared, which will know it is eventually the next potential target - even more. A third one? Fourth one? Rivers, rivers of blood, and the idea of a safe walk to Sofia is long gone. ---Given the numerous factors above taken into account, Bulgarian Thrace is a sweet bite Turkey can easily choke herself with. Basically a risk no _sane_ Turkish authorities would be willing to take. A bet like this one is too big and requires quite a reckles player. Shirvan, let Turkey's numbers not fool you. In the Balkans zero's are added overnight. And the seemengly well-calculated bills go wrong even faster.
That is a lot of masturbating but in reality things are different. If Greeks only dared to get naughty ideas we would wipe them out. Same for Cyprus. The current Turkish army on Cyprus can take the whole island if Greeks pose a threat. And Armenians? Puahahaha. Dude Azerbaycan can eat them alive. Invading Bulgaria won’t happen if NATO doesn’t fall apart. If it does nobody will be there to help Bulgarians. Bulgarians will either align with Turkey (reach understanding) so Istanbul is safe. Or we will have no option than to step our foot on Bulgarian soil. I bet the Muslims in balkans will welcome us.
You like fantasizing huh? >let Turkey's numbers not fool you. In the Balkans zero's are added overnight. And the seemengly well-calculated bills go wrong even faster. That is true indeed but throughout the history, the sudden turn of tables has always been in the favour of Turks. Serbians were defeated despite outnumbering Ottomans and Austrians literally defeated themselves, helping Turks out more than anyone else. Here is another factual statement: Balkan nations didn't defeat Turks. Turks actually fell out of power just like any other empire did. It was not until the total ruin of Roman economy and Generals interfering the Roman parliament regularly with coups did the Western Roman Empire collapse. The very same thing happened to Ottomans. The rulers became incapable, the economy began failing and as a result Turks began losing the leashes on their subjects. So you're saying that, weak nations who are still weak and were born because the Turks were weak, not because they were mighty are somehow capable of putting any kind of significant threat to the modern day Turkey, who does not suffer the fatigue and lack of technology and numbers that Ottomans did back then? The Turkey who is invulnerable to minority insurgents now that the Kurds being almost completely integrated into the Turkish society? The Turkey who possesses the second greatest army in NATO, second only to USA? The Turkey who is more capable than any European nation in 1v1, and still more capable than some in even 3v1? The Turkey who managed to free the Turkish Cypriots despite being banned of using NATO equipment, which was the only thing Turks had at the time? The Republic of Turkey is the 9th biggest firepower in the world whereas Bulgaria is the 49th, Greece is the 27th, Romania is the 40th and Serbia is the 79th. Those numbers are not merely numbers, they stand there for a reason and that reason is the power. These numbers do not merely represent the personal number. They represent the firepower the nations could put forth. Greece is the closest one to Turkey and yet she needs to overcome 18 other nations just to be Turkey's equal. Watch closely son, this is called being a regional superpower. This is called solid might. Yet despite all these, we would not choose to waste our supplies on the likes of Bulgaria and Romania, given that they are smart enough to know that Turkey has no ambitions of expanding but merely securing a front/buffer zone against Russia, who is the only real threat to Turkey. You see, you are completely oblivious to the reality of diplomacy. Smart people, which you are not, do not commit to unnecessary and fantastic poetry such as "zeros are added overnight." and do come to an angreement with each other. You have a lot to learn and you should have much less to say.
@@serefsevik8368 Interestingly, I did not receive notification about your comment adressing mine. Since you mentioned fantasizing, do you realize that you don't seem mature enough to admit a defeat, but outlining the reasons behind the Ottomans' failure as if those can be an argument for the statement that..the Turks were not defeated? I have pointed out for a reason that my comment was not a history essay. You have misunderstood what I said, as well as the context, the vibe, and you're strawmanning my words before adressing them. Talking about reality, in the fourth paragraph of your comment it's clear that you have, as a Turk, an unrealistic notion about Turkey and it's capabilities as far as warfare goes. Second _greatest_ NATO _army,_ solid might. Do you even read the terms you use? To advice people you can learn from, that they have a lot to learn..is not bright, especially when the vocabulary you use for the matter in question shows that you're completely uneducated in it. Warfare, son, is a very, *very* complex matter you are obviously ignorant of. It's not 1912 and the trench game is history. And to clarify, I did not mean the contrary. Also, I did not mean that Turkey can be an easy bite. I said that hypothetical agression on any Balkan country holds enormous hazards. Numbers, coefficients, analysis, and contemporary state of a country's armed forces and everything you can look up for in a website such as the one you quoted, are a nice source to tease your chauvinistic delusions with..until the real variables come into play. In your backyard few thousand fanatics ruined a country whose armed forces, when were fresh, had the capabilities to give the Turkish ones - hypothetically, of course - a living hell. What happened to them? Turkey is indeed a regional superpower, compared to it's neighbors individually. Yet, if you have fooled yourself that this mean that she _cannot_ - again,hypothetically - be dealt with by it's neighbors if they have to, if their territorial integrity is threatened, you are indeed deep in the realm of fantasies. Being dealt with also does not mean a complete defeat. War, uneducated stranger on the matter, costs a fortune. At it's eve the things for one party can look quite optimistic, same as recently when you have browsed the glorious numbers. And once the right toys, in sufficient numbers, end up in the hands of a little David(s?) whose existence is in many's interest, the "solid might" turns into a socio-economic mess after a while..and for a while. This is the reality of diplomacy, and you really have a lot of reading ahead.
I am watching and like your videos but as an Romanian I have to correct you a bit.The region which you are calling Bessarabia is actually the southern part of Moldavia region,part of Romania, which shouldn't be confused with the Republic of Moldavia.Bessarabia region in fact constitutes of what is between Prut river and Dniester river: Republic of Moldavia and southern part of Odessa Oblast from Ukraine known also as Budjak.And under no circumstances we will fall again under Turkish occupation or even their sphere of influence.Thank you.
but you ARE alredy in our sphere of influence.we will not let you go even thousand years may past we will be there waiting for you to come us which you will come to us geograpy do not change
Hahaha that's a good joke. Romania is the next power of the balkans, Turkey dream of rebuilding the ottoman empire will vanish you have too many enemies almost no one likes you and your society is very divided, a civil war is not excluded.
This doesn't have nothing to do with our potential which is very big.Have a look at Detroit in USA how bad it is ,this doesn't mean USA is still not a big power.
@@Porkeater2610957 If history is any indication, It is that nothing is truly set in stone and we see weaker opposition win all the time. Also, why the fuck are you trying to make hypothetical war of geopolitical interest in to a religious war? There are a hefty number of Christians living in Turkey and more than a million Muslims living in Russia. No to mention the fact your religion doesn't automatically enhance your skills or make you a better soldier.
There is no reason for us to invade the Balkans, we have very good Relations with most of them other than Greece, especially economically, just have to use softpower.
There's a big point missing in the analysis: the Turkish claims on the Greek Dodekanese islands in the Aegean Sea. That's a hot spot worth looking at and a potential for huge destabilization in the area, since Greece would need to switch to a Russian alliance if NATO didn't stand by its side in an eventual military collision with Turkey in that area. In case Turkey could grab the archipelago, there would be a big threat of an ethnical cleansing too. Those islands have been inhabited by ethnic Greeks during millennia and the Turks would flood them with colons. I'd like to know your point on the issue, Shirvan.
those are Turkish islands.. Greece is illegally occupying those. Nobody gives a fvck Greek pirates live there. Russia is already on Turkish side. You are on your own.
Turks controlled those "islands" for approximately 700 years, l think they had more than enough time to kill the ethnic Greeks on the island but eventually they didn't touch them but funny enough once the Greeks took control again they tried to slaughter the Turkish population on those lslands.
Ancient empires were quite different and were not based on nationalist ideas, which are a relatively new sprout in history. Ottomans, like Romans, Byzantines, Persians or Mongols had a leading group but lived together with multiple other cultures. They were the only multicultural events that really worked in history (the current Western multiculturalism is far from being proven viable and sustainable). So, the Ottomans got along with all kinds of ethnical groups, including the aboriginal Greek population of the Dodekanese islands, who payed tributes to the Sultan and lived more or less in peace (except for some occasional Turkish raids to enslave some locals). When nationalism took ground in the Ottoman Empire, second half of the 19th century, everything fell apart. Every ethnic group turned into a nation and craved for his own state. Serbs, Bulgars, Greeks, Arabs, Kurds, Albanians. Turks were part of the evolution and moved away from the multicultural set of mind of the ancient empire and started craving for their own ethnically pure nation state. In that time, Anatolia, the Black Sea coast and the Aegean part of Turkey were full of ethnic Greeks while current Northern Greece and Aegean islands had their good part of ethnic Turkish population. What followed was a mutual ethnical cleansing. So, it was not a "Greeks slaughter Turks" job, as you state, but a mutual slaughtering, forceful absorption or deportation that took place on both sides until all Turkish and Greek presence was wiped away from the other side of the border. That happened at the end of WW1 and the big winning powers gave the Dodekanese islands to Italy as a war prize while the entire Ottoman Empire was dismembered. When eventually Italy lost WW2, the islands were given back to their local aboriginal Greek population and became part of modern Greece.
If the big boys are out of the game, turkey never let other countries rule that very near islands. There is no need to consider any ethnicity shit because its about national security. How many ppl live in the islands, 100k? They can be forced to leave or be neglected in case of intense military presence.
The Ottomans were not really a Caliphate during the period of expansion. That only came at the end when they desperately needed legitimacy and loyalty among the Arabs.
"That only came at the end when they desperately needed legitimacy and loyalty among the Arabs." This is nonsense. The Ottoman Empire turned into the caliphat with Selim I. That´s the begining of the 16th century and far from even beeing closly to "the end".
Ottomans were always Islamic. They had people coming from every part of the Islamic world to fight against the Byzantines and Crusaders. After the Mamluks were defeated, the Ottomans took the task of protecting Mecca and Medina upon them. Also they claimed the titel of Caliph.
I love your video!! It soo informative. It sums up history geopolitics and much more and makes understandable in a video. The video and graphics and maps are soo good chosen. Its great. Keep going.
Sağol Şirvan, really good job and on point. No bullshitting, no talking around the bush. That's why I like your analyses. As a Turk myself I didn't know about the importance of Kırım, I mean besides it's Tatar heritage. Please keep up the good work!
Kirim has always been the importance of Turkey, just because of dictator Erdogans passive-pussy-foreign-policy we lost our infuence in the region. We lost our enclave in Syria, we lost our chance to take back Mosul, we lost our economic advantage and we are stil losing everyday. Hell we even lost our isles to the fucking Greeks and no one bats a fucking eye.
RavingBeast To be honest I don't see Kemalists as pro-active either for the matter of foreign politics. Only better relations with Alawite Syria probably, nothing else I could think of. As it was described in the report Turkey has not the luxury of isolationism either. Sure we are surrounded by 3 seas, but unfortunately we have a mass of land borders with some unstable neighbours, but well that's that. Only possible good alternatives I see in an alliance of IYI and cadres of AKP MHP and CHP with some Pamukoglu as a topping. But then again foreign politics is not all, militarists often lack critical understanding of economics. I'd be happy to hear some other opinions on these topics actually. Are there any Turkish platforms?
Let me remind you that kemalists liberated Northern Cyprus back in 1974 even though the Turkish armed forces lacked modern weapons and equipment, we were stil a force to be reckoned with. We had a prime minister who had balls and a backbone to do what was necessary for the interest of our people and nation. We are militarily stronger today but no one takes Turkey seriously, nor respects us because of Erdogans Pan-Islamist foreign policy. You are welcome to reddit.com/r/turkey Here we discuss everything about these topics :)
RavingBeast thanks for the link, I will give it a try. I doubt however, Cyprus Peace Operation had anything to do with Ecevit being a good leader. TSK was strong and had much more influence back then thankfully. The CHP-MSP coalition wasn't a smooth love affair in 1974. It lasted 10 months and it actually showed pretty much every symptom of any other fragile coalition administration ever since in Turkey. Leftist wing of CHP leaning towards HDP is problematic aswell. Too many reasons I don't like neither Erdogan nor any other representative of any other party at the moment.
Certainly. But the "reasons" it happened in the first place were primarily geopolitical, and therefore it can happen again. Likewise, Russia's geopolitical strategy, as clearly shown in a previous Caspian Report, hasn't really changed since it's foundation. Political systems, ideologies and generations come and go but geography doesn't change. Hence, russia's still trying to secure its western border by various means. Obviously, Russia doesn't need to invade Belarus since it's practically a client state. And Ukrainian invasion only came when Ukraine fell out of Russian sphere of influence. Same thing is true for turkey. It's certainly a worst-case senario in today's world that an invasion of another nation may happen, but the point is that bulgaria and romania up to the carpatians is vital for Turkey's geopolitical goals. Imo turkey can easily form warm relations ith both these nations without the need for any agression, but that all depends on the attitude the government of the time will decide to take.
But nobody's talking about the balkans. Former Yugoslav states are mostly irrelevent to Turkish Geopolitics as stated in the video. In case of a great Western dissolution (NATO and EU dissolving) leaving Turkey's western border open to threats, Turkey would have to look out for Bulgaria and Southern Romania. That's all there is to it.
Ok Shirvan, I'm getting a bit tired of you. You spent the entire video talking about Turkey becoming the Ottoman Empire and justifying its "inevitable" expansion in a very low-probability hypothetical scenario (NATO, EU, etc., withdrawal) instead of talking about the real history and current geopolitical issues/strategies of Turkey. This leads me to believe all you want to familiarize people with a Turkish interventionist and expansionist agenda (to Vienna no less) rather than discuss the geopolitics in Turkey. How can you speak of Turkish geopolitics without mentioning the situation in the Aegean, for instance? This is not the first time I get this feeling of a strong underlying bias in your videos, especially when it comes to Turkey and its historical rivals.
qacedr qacedr but what to gain in the Aegean dispute, honestly? Russia however is the only player in the region that can and would strike an attack on Turkey in a matter of conflict/power vacuum. Britain, France and Germany are playing safer strategies for obvious reasons, a Sevres scenario Turkey NOW is simply not the same as it was in early 20th century for many reasons. European stability depends on its doors shut and well guarded, now more than ever. However Russia can be the rogue one to its liking, no bad reputation will harm it any further than it is already.
I think none of strategic points beside holding the Bosporus you mentioned wont matter in future Turks conflicts, because the nature of warfare changed so much since when Turks had any power in the Balkans. Today even a small nation like Bulgaria or Romania can thwart an attack by smaller "supper power" by use of ballistic missiles, drones, and other such weapons if used at the right time (i.e. pre-emptive attack).
There is no reason for us to invade the Balkans, we have very good Relations with most of them other than Greece, especially economically, just have to use softpower.
What would be the use of all this? Take Crimea as an example: What would Turkey gain from it? Russia would not give it up, even if it would implode. This would result in a militaristic conflict with one of the strongest nations on earth. For what? The black sea and the turkish mountains north and north-east provide a solid defence. Right now even Russia would have a ridiculously hard time to gain a victory through that territory anyways. In addition to that Crimea is also claimed by Ukraine, so annexing Crimea would not secure the northern border, the contrary, it would make a northern frontier. The same logic applys to Romania and Bulgaria with the difference that this time Istanbul is the citadel. If NATO ever crumbles and Bulgaria and Romania want to have an alliance with Turkey: sure, but if they don´t, Turkey shouldn´t bother with it. A neutral to friendly relationsship to its neighbours is more benefical than an active policy to secure these areas. But let´s assume that Turkey got Bessarabia: We are not living in the middle age. Artillery shelling would do the job. Bessarabia is at best providing a small advantage in case of a defensive war, but it isn´t so strategic that one could claim to hold an entire army there.
Bulgaria have a large minority Turkish population so it would help Turkey from western invasion due to the will to keep their people alive and stop more migration of people out of Bulgaria. Turkey are pretty safe from attack unless Russia nuke them which is unlikely.
Even then I don´t see a reason to invade Bulgaria. As long as they respect the rights of the turkish minority, Turkey should simply stay away from any militaristic ideas.
@@HHVVNN Russia will not even think of waging a conventional war against Turkey... Why would Russia suffer losses? When can wipe out the "Eternal Enemy" completely, without its own losses! Turkey's attack on the Balkans would be the "cause of war" for the use of nuclear weapons, which Russia can only wish for... ☢️💀🇹🇷💀☢️
This was Turkey's (Ottoman) politic in 15th to 17th centuyes. And they lost. To access Bessarabia (wich you missplace in eastern Romania; it is actually in southern Moldavia and southern Ukraine), Turkey has to occupy Dobruja, wich is a part of Romania. So Romania has to be defeted as a whole. This would make Romania an ally of Russia. Does Turkey need another enemy? Something is not right in your analysis.
Point is that Turkey doesn't need to invade Romania as long as Romania is an enemy of Russia. If NATO falls apart and you don't have protection anymore, it doesn't have a choice. Either Romania reaches an understanding with Turkey or we go in and reconquer our lands. Dobruja was always Turkish lands. Romania occupied it, same with Hungarian lands that Romania occupies.
Also, nice try with Turanism. A 20th century pseudo-science concept like "Aryanism". Turkey is not Turkic. Turkey is Turkish. Hungary is also not Turkic. Turkey is also not the same thing with Kazakhstan. THERE IS NO TURKIC RACE YOU INBRED ARAB. That's just the fantasy-Turanism bullshit that's alive in Turkey and only Turkey. Fuck off Turko-Arab.
Turkish people are 75% ethnic European. Study the history, the Ottomans were ruled by a small elite of mongols but the majority of the population were ethnically Bulkan and Anatolian Europeans. They converted to Islam over generations to gain power in the society.
Really good to hear Shirvan's voice again, there's something soothing and reassuring about it, I don't necessarily agree with everything said but really enjoy hearing it!
+Emperor Atlant xD that was funny as hell...Bulgaria. Serbia, Romania and Greece ? Romania bankrupt Greece bankrupt Serbia bankrupt Bulgaria not even on same par as Turkey :D whole of Bulgaria can ft in a little Turkish town
bionicturk3 In 1912 during First Balkan war Serbia, Greece, Bulgaria and Montenegro have much smaller populations compared to the Ottoman Empire. They destroyed Turkish armies on Balkan and reach Constantinople.
Erdogan has gotten to all your heads. Pride is fine. In 1970's till late 1990's Turkey's economy was the size of Greece's. GDP per capita that made every Turk very poor compared to Rich Greeks. Greece easily had more advanced weapons till early 2000's. Man power Turkey has. Turkey went broke too in early 2000's. It's economic boom now is a bubble. The Lira is approaching 4:1 vs US $ with ultra high interest rates because of a bubble from rapid inflation. Still today Turkish economy less than 1 trillion again making avg Turks medium wealth. So how is Turkey strong? By money and power under a few elites and Erdogan? Who praises a leader living in a 1001 room palace and calling themselves democratic yet want to invade other nations and say they are a great power? Turks are now ruled by a family dynasty on all levels of high positions of power. But if Turks like this then they should not say they are democratic and free, they are a society of hierarchy and want to be like the old Ottomans. That is not human progression. This is why they will never be Europeans nor a European state because society, institutions, religion, politics is far from anything Western or European.
There is, but it's quite old, the fifth video he ever made and a really bad one too. Definitely doesn't have the same quality. It's called "Foundation of American dominance" th-cam.com/video/KD-naLXlvck/w-d-xo.html Wendover Productions and brain4breakfast both illustrate better American geopolitics. I'd suggest you watch them instead. Not the same professional, slick style you'd see on Caspian Report, but they're still good videos worth your time. "How Geography Gave the US Power" by Wendover Productions th-cam.com/video/e-WO-c9xHms/w-d-xo.html "America is on Easy Mode" by brain4breakfast th-cam.com/video/ILn85WKo0Qk/w-d-xo.html
OnceUponATimeThereWas yea but you have a 317 million consumers who will soon need oil more than ever, and you need other ressources from the world, thats why the Cold War was a thing, the US cant afford to lose the entire world.
Ibnziyad Tariq, we have plenty of resources, our problem is regulations and taxes that stifle our ability to compete globally and be more self sufficient. We got people working on that though ;)
Vali Rusev It is not in the Strandja mountains in is near the Greek border in Kurjali and in South Dobrogea. Both of those areas are alway from the Turkish border which helps a little bit. Still we should keep in mind that the Turks are minority, a declining one in fact and with the resent election of Erdogan they don’t have such positive view of Turkey as before.
Many Turks also live in Dobrich, Silistra and Razgrad provinces, known as Deliorman in Turkish. But bulgarian state has changed the demography in the last century.
Would be better to have Turkey geopolitics as a whole and in 2 parts maybe, because there is so much going on with this country in europe, the caucasus, middle east, even in africa. not to mention military airbases in qatar, somalia and now coming in sudan
Yeah it is really interesting Turkey is literally fighting against the EU,US,Russia,Iran and the arab world for influence in various parts of the world lol.
Jess M. Turkey did not fail in Syria, but Turkey lost the most in the Syrian war in terms of hosting refugees, insecurity at its borders etc.id say Turkey/Russia/Iran are winning in Syria, the US is losing their credit.
Jess M. Turkey didn't lose shit as neither side did lose or win besides Syrian people (they suffered for real). In the end it was an zero sum game. Turkey invested what, some peanuts... drop in the bucket of military spending to train&equip militias. In the long run only the Sochi and Geneva agreements will reveal success or failure. Turkey will remain the big powerhouse it is, economically. Therefore Assad will have to compromise if it wants to end it all for good. There is a good Caspian report on this actually (Post-War Syria - Rebuilding Syria). It clearly shows why Turkey is in Astana, and why Assad despite the animosities will have to accept Turkish influence.
Unrelated comment Austria and Switzerland are the lackest nation on earth not parts of the nato yet being protected by it you literally need to go through a nato country to reach them so they have the nato protection but without the requirements countries need to do for nato
Bulgaria is an isolated state in Balkans. Romania is member NATO and EU member. US missile system present in Romania makes things even more complicated. Crimea was taken by Russia and no one commented: because is a superpower, same as US; I don't believe Turkey will stand any chance to mess up with this current geopolitical setup. Pure fiction. P.S. And Basarabia is there.
I do not think it's NORMAL in the year 2018 to talk about the rebirth of the Ottoman Empire. Maybe Turkey can strengthen itself without occupying other countries?
Its not a bad video, but a lot of things you said were already obvious when you for example talked about the importance of maramara and istanbul. The rest of your video you were talking too much about wars, invasion, conquest like you were talking about Age of Empires. You ignored current relationships too much and interests of other countries. For example, you suggested an invasion in Bulgaria when the EU and NATO would ever collapse(the former collapsing is more likeley than the latter), do you really think countries like Greece, Serbia and Russia would sit by and let that happen? You really think France and England, who both have a superior nacy, army and nukes would sit and watch Turkey expand its influence? Dont forget, it took the Turkish military 3 months(!) to capture Al Bab from ISIS and even longer when they were fighting the PKK in Cizre and Nusaybin in 2015. (These are just examples) So, beside the limited nucleair, military cability, such an invasion would be highely unlikely as the Turkish state lacks friends in the west not to mention the economic and political consequences such an invasion would have. If that wasnt unrealistisc enough you suggested a Crimean invasion against Russia if Russia weakens...what a joke. You dream too much Shirvan. The Turkish state is much weaker than you think.
It doesn't matter what Greece, SErbia and Romania thinks. Turkey will take it to protect itself. There won't be a Russia to help so it will be Turks versus Orthodox in the Balkans. And muslims in Balkans will welcome Turkey.
In al bab, cizre and nusaybin not even 1% of the Turkish millitary capacity was used. Second of all Turkey mostly send ground troops instead of just doing air strikes finishing the job within days with very high civilian deaths just like Russia did in Syria. You know which army is weak? Peshmerga losing huge lands without even shooting back against the weak iraqi army and terror groups like PKK who managed to claim 0 m2 land after 30 years of suicide bombing. Soon YPG will be forgotten by the west and will be gangbanged by syria iraq turkey and iran. I suggest you already put a ypg filter on that fictive land you call kurdistan profile picture.
I agree with your evaluation. I think he focussed on the relevance of Geography for conventional military tactics here way too much, which is conceivably somethat important for Russia, but I think not for the other states on the European side. Even in the very unlikely scenario of a collapsing EU or NATO, Turkey has few things to gain and certainly would not enhance its security by provoking an open conflict anywhere in Europe. The lack of a modern Kurdish state is a historic tragedy anyway and after the recent loss of Kirkuk again an increasingly unlikely successful scenario - as much a pity as this is.
Was right about to say, "I'd love to see a part 2 for this regarding Asia" when I got to the end of the video - always two steps ahead, gw Shirvan. If possible, would like to see some more analysis of Turkey's /current/ affairs in the region, in contrast to all of the hypotheticals covered here - but perhaps there's another clip on your channel covering something like this. Whatever, I don't really know what I'm talking about, great content as always Shirvan 10/10
This was the mistake that Byzantia did in 1018 occupating Bulgaria(Balkans)... after this war on two fronts - Balkans and Asia Minor... they couldn't hold... in 1071 the turks take Asia Minor... That was the end of Byzantia!!! It is a simple Bulgaria is a buffer state for the Bosphorus... got to be relitivly strong and provide a shelter from north. Break that simpal geopolitical rule... and the end is coming very fast for the empire with center Bosphurs... And especialy today when the tecnologies provide a oportunites for fast passing allmost evry natural barrier like lowhigh balkan mountains... or river Dunabe or Maritsa... that is rediculos.
Isn't that very theoretical? For me it seems that Russia and turkey got closer over the last 2 years for economical reason (which should be the leading motive in our days). The confrontation in Syria shows that neither turkey or russia can gain from a war between the 2 of them, or do I miss something?
Turkey and Russia were always Rivals fighting for influence in the Balkans, Caucasus and Central Asia, must admit that putler is smarter than Erdogan though
"He's talking about nations' plans for offensive national military objectives, and strategies to acquire them, isn't he...?" "It's so BEAUTIFUL....!!!"
It's brainless video-game level analysis. It's akin to most ultra-nationalist bullshit analysis using one small """Turkish"""" minority in Bulgaria (small - compared to the overwhelmingly Slav Bulgarians). By his logic, parts of Bulgaria belong to Turkey because of that small part but HUGE parts of Turkey don't belong to Kurds/Arabs even though Turkey is much more split with SIGNIFICANT non-Turkish minorities.
@@abcdefghrwhwhw6807 He is just talking about TURKEY'S geopolitics, regardless of Bulgaria's and Romania's, so of course this "Caspian Report" is from the point of view of Turkey. Do you think Turkey is really concerned about the minority of Turks living in Bulgaria? Turkey would just use them if it needed to justify a war with Bulgaria, just as Hitler did with the minority of Germans living in eastern Europe. Regardless I have to admit that it SEEMED a bit more biased, because of the unusual hypothetical, but still shocking war tactics this report used. But I don't think it really was THAT biased. - Greetings from Germany
No hard feeling against the other guy, but I, like many others just prefer your voice, we grew too accustomed to it
Yep. Feel exactly the same. Great video to boot. He was firing on all cylinders today.
TURKS = ARABS
THEY LOOK LIKE ARABS.
FOLLOW THE SAME RELIGION.
HAVE HUGE DNA INFLUENCES OF ARABS.
NO TURK-ARABS IN EUROPE.
Ebro Big boy very good my friend, Turkey is more friendly with Italians to than Arabs for many reasons
@@abcdefghrwhwhw6807 so according to you, christianity began from vatican city and it's a european religion???? ... nyc try lol 🤣🤣 ....
@Ebro Big boy"genetically Turkey is not even Turkish" What does this even mean? I think you meant to say "genetically Turkey is not even Turkic" as in the original turks from central asia.
Shirvan, we miss your accent. We will never make fun of it again if you promise you will keep narrating.
People made fun of it? Bruh, his voice is awesome.
HE'S BACK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
He was never gone, though.
What the fuck do you mean? He has never left you muppets!
anonymous anonymous
BORAAAAAATTT!!!!!!!
No offense, but why is Geopolitics of Turkey in Europe is literally everything about how Turkey should invade Europe to secure its interest? By this logic, shouldn't the Geopolitics of China video is about how China should invade Taiwan, Vietnam, Korea etc...?
how can it be in china's interest to invade Vietnam and Korea? i mean what the fuck are you even talking about? Myanmar and japan,maybe, but .bobn;sva;k7890-r5lfw,dmWv;ls ksl'q3okhiu[
amfvak aeljvbo?!!!
how the fuck can you come to that conclusion?!!!!
i hate people who don't understand how stupid they are.
lol China invading Japan. Best joke ever
Since it is a video of geopolitics, it is only natural to mention geopolitical objectives. Even hypothetical ones.
@@abcdefghrwhwhw6807 Neither the Chinese nor the Turkish girl would want a simp like you
unfortunately peace is only a period between two wars. SI VIS PACEM PARA BELLUM
Glad to have you back!
+Anatolian Good to see you bro, it's been a while!
He was never gone, just had another voice-over.
Jeeuj
Thank you Shirvan, superb work! Already have the popcorn for the Asia part!
Shahanshah of Persia its you from persia again !!! sheers from Morocco
Beautiful job! I like your narration Shirvan.
He's been practicing and it shows! Keep it up Shirvan!
The professional voice-overs was a good idea but i'm glad to have you doing it again.
Shirvan, I believe that your audience prefers an accent that is not American, it adds a more internationalist feeling to your channel and separates it from others!
I'd be fine with an American accent, just not THAT American accent. It's the emotions conveyed in the voice, not the pronunciation.
Good point. I tend to agree.
Shirvan is more pleasing to the ears.
This channel has a pretty high standard when it comes to geopolitical content but this video really doesn't live up to it. If NATO and the EU sieze to exist, there isn't going to be a magical carte blanche for Turkey to attack it's neighbors. The geopolitics of the Balkan region have always been manufactured by the great powers and they have no interest in Turkey growing larger. It's much more likely that Turkey won't use it's military to advance into Europe because that will most certainly trigger a counter reaction which will manifest itself in a broad anti-Turkish coalition. So in my opinion, to talk about territorial gains in Bulgaria or Greece is very, very unrealistic.
Moreover, the Turkish ethnicity in Bulgaria isn't very pro-Turkish. Many of them were refused Turkish citizenship back in the day, first, during the so called "Revival Process", which was a process of forceful assimilation of Bulgaria's Turkish minorities and a second time, after the USSR collapsed. This has created a somewhat anti-Turkish sentiment in the Turkish minorities in Bulgaria. These minorities are very well represented in the government structure in Bulgaria, with their party "Movement for Rights and Freedoms" being the 3rd strongest party in Bulgaria consistently since 1990.
USSR collapsed and no one saw it coming, who said that can't happen to the EU and NATO?
I'm not saying it can't happen or it won't happen. I'm saying that even if it happens that will not enable Turkey to grab territories in the Balkans.
I think I already addressed the problem with that idea in my first comment. First of all, the Turkish minorities in Bulgaria are not pro-Turkish and second, they don't have the political upper hand. They are well represented in the government, their interests are secured within the Bulgarian borders and many of them identify themselves as "Bulgarians". Turkey has no leverage to "replace" any Balkan government in the region with a pro-Turkish one.
procletnic
The reason is that much of the muslims in Bulgaria are not turks, they are Bulgarians who adopted islam...
The balkans if anything hate the Turks more than each other, they will band and form a coalition against Turkey. Dont forget Britain that likes to intervene in everything, they will surely create an anti Turkish coalition. if the EU and NATO collapse, it will surely result with Russia trying to secure the middle east for the defensible terrain and black sea ports since eastern Russia is the least defensible region. Also consider the cultural union and bond the eastern slavs have with Russia (i.e look at their flag colours) they surely will look to Russia for protection. And incase of a power vacuum in the west, a greater rival will surely emerge. Spain for example has a mountainous tradition, if it ever seeked to invade turkey to secure its legitimacy, Turkey would surely fall due to spanish troops having mountainous experience and technology. Dont forget Iran in the east will surely take advantage of Turkey's focus in the west to expand into the east. Turkey lacks the warfare industry, and equipment to invade the West, hence why it actively seeks EU and NATO support for weapons and military equipment. All in all, turkey is still trying to develop itself, a war is not what it needs to be a super power. All it needs is time.
You should rename the video into " Pan- Ottoman invasion plan of Bulgaria and Romania"
По време на Бай Тошо - да!
Пичове, Турция има 2рата най-голяма армия в НАТО и може да ни прегази като стой та гледай. Между другото, по Бай Тошово време българската армия е имала следната реалистична цел: да задържи турската армия за 48 часа, докато дойдат руснаците. Толкоз сме си могли и при *могъщата* НРБ.
... moyto Bulgarki moszhebi poveche catto 3 goddin dette
Bulgars were Turkic peoples. Slav people should fvck off to Russia. Bulgaria is Turkic country.
Dimitar Proynov
не знам от къде имаш тази информация, но някой те е излъгал сериозно. В моя род има бая военни мога да ти кажа друга история. Българската войска е била доста добре екипирана за война с гърция и Турция и то не само за 24 часа. Още повече - цяла руска армия е била разположена на наша територия с ядрени оръжия.
Bulgarian here. We have been in an Ottoman Empire occupation once before for 500 years. It was a time of massacres and mass slavery. But we survived. No one here wants a repeat of that. Turkey cannot acquire Bulgaria as a buffer, because the only thing it will get is a war zone with guerrilla freedom-fighters.
Bulgarians don't have a choice I'm afraid. Those "freedom" fighters would be picked off one by one and that would be the end of it. Not that we enjoy doing that. It is basically a necessary thing to secure Turkey's heartland. If Bulgarians are a obstacle to that we have no choice than to pull our dix out.
And you lost your brain!
@edal0 An invasion of Bulgaria is unprediactable. The Bulgarian army isn't as large as the Turkish one, but they will be defending, and not some empty deserts, but mountains and forests. We saw what happened in Yugoslavia, where NATO's jets were shot down by 60's-era tech, or northern Syria, where some of Turkey's best tanks were destroyed (not by professional military, but by rebels). These are problems any invading force will most likely face again. Unless the Turks burn down everything in their path (which will simply make the Bulgarians fight harder and probably lead to an international intervention), Turkey won't get rid of all active guerilla units, and may likely get bogged down several times in the war.
KlllrJay nope
such a stupid nationalist butthurt cry there. "but we survived" hahahahha fuckin morons.
Good analysis on Turkey's geopolitical interests. However, the expansion in the Balkans is too unrealistic (inprobable). If NATO gets dissolved for whatever reasons, the EU still remains, and the EU will surely not allow an expansion of Turkey into the Balkans at its expense. Neither will Russia.
i felt like the video is giving too much credits to the turkish army
As a Turkish citizen I have never heard a plan to invade any part of Balkans. I don't know how they came up with this plan.
I can remember, in 80's Bulgarian government was trying to assimilate (by force) Turkish people living there.
We were almost going in a military conflict with Bulgaria but still no one was talking about invading.
@@EK-gy7si The assimilation process was a bait, so that the ruling regime could change the topic of the day, which by the time was the failing economy. This is what these days Turkey is doing, but not at the cost that the Bulgarians with Turkish decent had to pay.
I personally as a Bulgarian love Turkey. I think friendship is the way to go and nationalist should be silenced at any cost, cause they are the ones to spread hate...
@ahmet özkan but not a unstopable force either, when you look at usa, russis (not as much though) and china turkey is shiet just like the rest of us
It's a very hypothetical video anyway. Turkey has no territory on the Danube and no territory on the Crimea. And also no specific alliances that i know of or were mentioned.
The countries of the Ottoman Empire
Europe
1. Turkey
2. Bulgaria (545)
3. Greece (363) (1458-1821)
4. Serbia (539)
5. Montenegro (539)
6. Bosnia and Herzegovina (539)
7. Croatia (539)
8. Macedonia (539)
9. Slovenia (250 years)
10. Romania (490 year
11. Slovakia (20 years), the Ottoman name: Juan
12. Hungary (160 years)
13. Moldova (490 years)
14. Ukraine (308 years)
15. Azerbaijan (25 years)
16. Georgia (400 years)
17. Armenia (20 years)
18. Cyprus (293)
19. North Cyprus (293)
20. the territory of the South of Russia (291)
21. P olonya (25 years)-patronage-Ottoman name: Liechtenstein
22. Italy's southeastern coast of Otranto and surroundings (20 years)
23. Albania (435)
24. Belarus (25 years)patronage
25. Lithuania (25 years)patronage
26. Latvia (25 years)patronage
27. Kosovo (539)
28. Vojvodina (166 years) Ottoman: Banat
Asia
29. Iraq (402)
30. Syria (402)
31. Israel (402)
32. Palestine (402)
33. Jordan (402)
34. Saudi Arabia (399)
35. Yemen (401)
36. Oman (400 years)
37. United Arab Emirates (400 years)
38. Qatar (400 years)
39. Bahrain (400 years)
40. Kuwait (381)
41. the Western lands, Iran (30 years)
42. Lebanon (402)
Africa
43. Egypt (459)
44. Libya (394 years) name: Italo
45. Tunisia (308 years)
46. Algeria (313)
47. Sudan (397 years) Ottoman: Nubian
48. Eritrea (350 years) name: Abyssinian
49. Djibouti (350 years)
50. Somalia (350 years) Ottoman: Zeyla
51. Kenya beaches (350 years)
52. Tanzania's coast (250 years)
53. the northern regions of Chad (313 years) name: Reşade
54. The Niger's part (300 years) name: Keller
55. Mozambique's northern lands (150 years)
56. Morocco (250 years)patronage
57. Belarus (250 years)patronage
58. Mauritania (250 years)patronage
59. Mali (300 years) Ottoman: Gat accident
60. Senegal (300 years)
61. Gambia (300 years)
62. Guinea Bissau (300 years)
63. Guinea (300 years)
64. part of Ethiopia (350 years) name: Abyssinian
Hilafeten they eat depending on
65. India-Pakistan-Muslims
66. The Muslims of East India-Bangladesh-
67. Singapore
68. Malaysia
69. Indonesia
70. Thota Khanates
71. Nigeria
72. Cameroon
In different periods of the Ottoman fleet countries
73. France
74. Spain
75. United Kingdom
76. Monaco
77. Netherlands
78. Norway
79. Iceland
80. Ireland
81. Gibraltar
82. Denmark
83. Scotland
84. Myanmar
85. Japan
Ottoman army in countries in different time
86. Germany
87. Liechtenstein
88. San Marino
89. Czech Republic
SimoneSimonS somalia was never part of the Ottoman Empire, the ottomans did help us in several wars though
shums knowels Really ? Looking u'r history. Ottoman: Zeyla-Somalia name.
somalia brought under ottoman rule under egyptian governor kavalali mehmed ali pasha
Ah yes, my favorite country from africa. Belarus
Turkey has problems keeping a viable state. Occupying Bulgaria makes no sense in any future scenario. With all the respect, this episode is very low in quality. No words on the warning Russia gave Erdogan in regards with Syria? Without NATO support, Turkey has to be first afraid of Russia. Also, let us remember Turkey has 1/3 kurd population so in case UE/NATO falls, how would Turkey be able to move troops in balkans since turkish army barely controls kurds in the south currently?
Gigel Chiazna perhaps in your dreams Kurds form a problem. Turkey isn’t even using 1% of its army against the Kurds. Those couple of Kurds in Syria will be wiped out if only 10% of the Turkish army crosses over.
1/3 of Turkey is 27 million. Even the most radicals put that numbers to 18 millions.
Exactly. The video is called geopolitics of turkey and it turns out to be nothing about the current geopolitical REALITY to help us understand the contemporary Turkish policies in Middle east or Russia. Instead the video devoted itself into a fantasy scenario that makes very little sense. very low in quality indeed.
Gigel Chiazna i knoew enough kurds who wont fight against turks.
I'm sorry but you can not even estimate fighting capacity of Turkey
horizonweekly.ca/en/73569-2/
Until a few years ago I believed that the Turks were Europeans, but today it is not like that anymore. Turkish President Erdogan is turning Turkey into an Arab and Islamist nation rather than a modern, European and secular state. It's very sad!
fabioshire97 the idea of secularism was invented by Arab and Persian scholars
Yet they are doing better than many europeans secular States
Fathel Guweda It was invented by them but not applied!
golden foxa i don't think so
fabioshire97 they are doing better than all of the Balkans
Too much invasion talk. I thought we were past these, with a 100 years margin.
It's artificial. It's not the norm in human history. Enjoy it while it lasts. When America decides to leave NATO.
Expect chaos and a power grab.
Looking at Crimea, I don't think invasions are out of style still, the method just had a rebranding.
I think I just watched a guide of how to create a Neo-Ottoman empire. This guy might think he's still in the interwar period.....
A:did you guys here about this country invaded its neighbor to get the strategic warm water port in the black sea?
Jason Yang: that's not possible do they think they're still in the interwar period.....?!!!!!!
world is much bigger than where you see. so let's not pretend we know everything because then you just provide more proof of your foolishness./
Good you still know there is a increasingly aggressive RUSSIA and that's the top reason why such invasion plan is just fantasy - or a great way to trigger the direct intervention of nuclear power. Wake up, the fact that a power with the second largest nuclear arsenal did it doesn't means any secondary power have the capacity to do so and reasonably hope it won't backfire.
BTW, you remind me that how many times on history the thinking of "they(great power) did it so we can do it here" led to the downfall of a bunch of minor powers.
That is not bassarabia.
You're right... It's the romanian province of Moldova, but since everyone can mistake it for the Republic of Moldova, it's better to call the whole region Bessarabia...
Mehmed Nedjib The Republic of Moldova is Bassarabia.
I know... I have acquaintances living in Taraclia... But let not confuse the situation more...
Don't hold the truth hidden because of fear of creating confusion. Only stupid people get confused so easily.
Bessarabia is a term used by Russia since it grabbed half of Moldavia in 1812 after the Russo-Turkish war, just like they did with Crimeea recently. The Ottoman empire cedded it to Russia.
I don't give a ff about creating confusion. Just so you know.
Do Bulgaria. I want to know what their geo-political needs are.
Ro Bastard to not get raped by all of our neighbours lool
we have no state so we have no politics. Bulgaria is been controled by CIA ...
тоз пък главата ти е контролирана тапет :D
Ако си извадиш главата от гъ*а ще го видиш... всъщност недей. Изисква се интелект, който очевидно нямаш.
Най-добре, най -умното, което може да направиш.
докато сереш вземи се образовай - th-cam.com/video/7wakePa705I/w-d-xo.html
I must say I find your voice soothing and reassuring, nice work welcome back.
Any Turkish incursion in the southern Balkans would be a bad idea, it would isolate them politically and economically. It's not a factor of "could the Turks win" it's a factor of "is the victory worth it" nothing brings a region together like a common enemy. The Yugoslavs have a grudge against the Turks. And they could still appeal to Russia for help.
whic part of yugoslavia..
Why stop there? Why not just take Berlin or Paris?
there doing that now london too
right after Vienna
Please make a video on the long term effects of the One Belt One Road Project on China and its neighbours
Got so used to hearing you on CaspianReport. Glad you are back, Shirvan!
So everyone will just stand and watch while Turks roll over Bulgaria and Romania? Dude Greeks will be first to enter any war waged by Turks and Serbs will most likely Join Bulgaria and Romania. Turks cannot take any part of Balkan at this time. Balkan countries together are more than a match to Turkey, Romania and Greece are actually pretty strong when it comes to military. Also its impossible that Russia would just stand indifferent knowing their ties with Bulgaria and Serbia.
The Greeks are afraid of the Turks. Because they know very well what will happen to them. Even in the weakest period of the Turks, they did not defeat them
Even then it wouldn't be enough to beat Turkey and Bulgaria would never side against Turkey. Idiot!
Jess M.
As a Bulgarian my self i strongly disagree with your opinion! you obviously haven't read the history of the Balkans ...
Bump on the road.
I think in such case Greece would try to stay neutral, due to the reason that possible fronts like Dodecanese, Thrace and Northern Aegean are hard to defend against a 80 million country. One part of my family suffered very badly from Balkan wars, their village burnt down, they forced to leave Salonica, the ones who stayed has been murdered by greek militias. I hope noone from any ethnic background would experience that again!
Sooo glad the original narration is back!! Good decision. Keep up the great work 👍🏽👍🏽👍🏽
If Turkey restarts it's imperial ambitions against Slavic orthodox territories it risks igniting a big regional war in which Turkey could be destroyed completely and forever lose Constantinople and other territory. I would advise the Turks and their Azeri cousins to be happy with what they got and stay at home.
Turkey won't invade Balkans for imperial ambitions but to protect itself if Russia or NATO fell apart. There would be no Russia to support Balkan criminals this time. It will be Turks, Balkan Muslims versus Orthodox balkanites.
+erald0 If Russia or NATO fall apart then who the hell do you need to protect against?! In truth the only criminals are Turkish imperialists like you and Shirvan who still dream of recreating a neo-Ottoman empire.
there are no criminals in the game of geopolitics, only winners and losers. the criminal is the rules themselves.
Strgar Strgar if NATO falls apart Turkey will be forced to take the strategic positions in the balkans. The US will support Turkey to take it. Otherwise Russia will take it.
It doesn't need NATO or Russia to impale an impressive amount of turks. Never did, never will.
Great to have you back Shirvan!
I was waiting for this vid! My patience paid off. Great analysis.
Why people still think that Turkey could be in bad relations with russia? Their will certainly become allies with russia and iran. Look at similarities, Turkey have authoritarian leader like russia and iran, they ressist kurds like them, etc.
He He yes but, Constantinople and Hagia Sophia back to the Orthodox Church, Putin would be the new Peter the Great for the Russians. If the opportunity arises
They also have several centuries of rivalry, which we have also seen at play in Syria.
Laughing Tree Russia, crusade? Yeah, right.
Having authoritarian leaders doesn't mean they'll get along. Turkey will likely have to abandon their pipe dream of removing Assad in order to get in good with Russia and Iran.
Great video Shirvan, the music is awesome as well
Turkey has the potential to be a powerful nation simply by it's central location in the world - the crossroads of Europe and Asia with direct links to Africa. It is often called "the centre of the world". But Turkey's potential cannot be realised because the journey towards it is arduous and full of enemies. The European Union to the West, the Russian Bear to the north, Iran to the east, and the fractious and unstable Arab world to the south. If Turkey actualises its potential, then it can dominate in any direction (as we saw with the Ottoman Empire and Constantinople at its heart, which spread its wings across North Africa, the Middle East, the Caucasus, Crimea and the Balkans). This is just the geopolitical issue.
Eh, maybe if this was the early 20th or pre-20th century, but now positing is rapidly becoming more an more irrelevant, due to advanced technologies in both trade, economics, society and warfare.
One Belt One Road of China, Genetic Engeeniring in farming (and indipendence from nations for importation of Asian products), and the low Iq of Turkish people (Iq of 90) will stop any rising aspiration.
+SkyTech RTS Geography is still king regardless of technology. Even today, technology is often designed around the existing geography. For example, many of NATO's cold war military equipment was designed specifically for the battlefields of Europe during a hypothetical (and likely nuclear) World War III. Personnel carriers, aircraft (such as the venerable A-10 "Warthog"), and tanks were all designed specifically for fighting in Poland and Germany and the Northern European Plain between the USA and USSR.
+Domenico Coviello Turks are not stupid, if that is what you are implying. I know many highly intelligent Turks.
I disagree, big conventional ground wars are nigh impossible now due to nuclear proliferation and the interconnected global economy, so that already nullifies the "defensive" aspect of geography
technology since then has adapted to instead be capable of fighting anywhere.
agree Erdogan isn't really a smart politician, I dont really care if western media demonizes him and calls him an Islamist, but he disappointed me.We Need someone who is well Aware of what is Happening around Turkey.
Why third of the video is "what will turkey might do if the EU and NATO collapsed" theory please less theory shirvan
Their economy might collapse along with that of Europe and maybe the US (because the US is already mismanaging absolutely everything these days)
They'd probably get paranoid of the russians like corporate dems in the US are.
hopefuly Russia will take over Turkey very soon and will free thr Kurds
Because all political and military powers collapse eventually. The EU is dying out already and NATO is losing ground as well.
erlich LOL
+CaspianReport , Shirvan, your videos often show points of view many regular political websites usually do not show. But this one is a little bit..fictional.
"Europe's unity crumbles, NATO's unificating role is no more, and there's Turkey with a bunch of people (much fewer) westwards and a land they can grab _just by seizing Sofia after a mobilisation._ As a remind, only Russia's threatening Sofia with war in the First Balkan war prevented the second, all out siege on Istanbul. Given the circumstances back then, it's not hard to guess what could've happened. Sofia was the one to muster the largest army per capita in the world in WW1 - 1,2 million at ~4 million total population. I wouldn't turn this comment into a history article, just a note that lessons should be learned from the past. *Back to 21st century...and the reality:*
*1. Turkey is a power on paper with many question-marks*
---Turkey's military hierarchy is *power-based, not expertise-based.* For reference - most of the
Arab armies in the middle east, and their performance. The times when authoritarian-governed countries with many teeth they can show and intimidate the smaller ones are over since decades ago.
---Turkey's business card is impressive due to the numbers. Yet, the still-ongoing issue with the Kurdish insurgency, lasting for *decades,* raises questions about the Turkish army's efficacy.
---Turkey is *severely divided country.* Ethnically, regionally, politically, even civillisation-wise. The idea of an unified Turkish state, sweeping across Thrace, entering Sofia, seizing Thrace or just Bulgaria giving that land on the diplomatic table, and afterwards Romania next...that's not only a naive thought, even for a hypothethical scenario, but more importantly a dangerous one.
*2. The hypothethical conflict*
---Contrary to the hypothethical scenario in this video, in case of EU's and NATO's retreat, any attempt of Turkey to _secure_ (expand) it's western borders will put the country in a serious danger.
---The country would be (is?) surrounded by enemies. I highly doubt that Turkey will be able to deal with Bulgaria *alone.* Let alone Greece into the game, or even other parties. The days of large countries' armies sweeping safe accross other smaller ones are long gone. And there's so much to go wrong for Turkey in a scenario like this one. In the chaos *Bulgaria's* horizons would most likely widen allover the rest of *Thrace to the Bosphorus,* as already has happened before. *Greece's* eyes will once again get wet from the sight of *western Anatolian shores.* The *Kurds* will see all this mess as a golden opportunity for complete independence that comes across once in a lifetime. The question for unification of *Cyprus* will be raised. So many parties, so many opportunities to exploit which *would be too difficult to resist to.*
---Turkey will need it's *entire* armed forces in order to maximise it's potential for eventual success in the Balkan peninsula. And they still will most likely be *outnumbered and outgunned.* And Turkey's eastern, south-eastern and north-eastern borders, as noted above, will be an open field for other neighbors with strong memory and apetitte. A fully engaged Turkish armed forces in the Balkans where, objectivelly judging, would be *eaten alive,* will untie the hands of the Kurds, the Syrians might get hungry as well, the Armenians wouldn't show love too, and the Russians must be crazy to stay aside and not enter from Armenia and/or landing in Trebizond from Crimea. Or just hit as hard as they can in any way they prefer. The options and the opportunities in a case like this one are so many.
---Any thought of Bulgaria giving up it's historical lands and people is just mad one. Greece and/or Romania to wait their turn against Turkey - an equally crazy assumption. The Turkish armed forces are a factor in the region. A *nation, mobilised for it's survival* on other hand, is a tottally different picture. A second one prepared, which will know it is eventually the next potential target - even more. A third one? Fourth one? Rivers, rivers of blood, and the idea of a safe walk to Sofia is long gone.
---Given the numerous factors above taken into account, Bulgarian Thrace is a sweet bite Turkey can easily choke herself with. Basically a risk no _sane_ Turkish authorities would be willing to take. A bet like this one is too big and requires quite a reckles player.
Shirvan, let Turkey's numbers not fool you. In the Balkans zero's are added overnight. And the seemengly well-calculated bills go wrong even faster.
That is a lot of masturbating but in reality things are different. If Greeks only dared to get naughty ideas we would wipe them out. Same for Cyprus. The current Turkish army on Cyprus can take the whole island if Greeks pose a threat. And Armenians? Puahahaha. Dude Azerbaycan can eat them alive. Invading Bulgaria won’t happen if NATO doesn’t fall apart. If it does nobody will be there to help Bulgarians. Bulgarians will either align with Turkey (reach understanding) so Istanbul is safe. Or we will have no option than to step our foot on Bulgarian soil. I bet the Muslims in balkans will welcome us.
Reconquest of Constantinopol ensuing! Unite!
You like fantasizing huh?
>let Turkey's numbers not fool you. In the Balkans zero's are added overnight. And the seemengly well-calculated bills go wrong even faster.
That is true indeed but throughout the history, the sudden turn of tables has always been in the favour of Turks. Serbians were defeated despite outnumbering Ottomans and Austrians literally defeated themselves, helping Turks out more than anyone else.
Here is another factual statement: Balkan nations didn't defeat Turks. Turks actually fell out of power just like any other empire did. It was not until the total ruin of Roman economy and Generals interfering the Roman parliament regularly with coups did the Western Roman Empire collapse. The very same thing happened to Ottomans. The rulers became incapable, the economy began failing and as a result Turks began losing the leashes on their subjects.
So you're saying that, weak nations who are still weak and were born because the Turks were weak, not because they were mighty are somehow capable of putting any kind of significant threat to the modern day Turkey, who does not suffer the fatigue and lack of technology and numbers that Ottomans did back then? The Turkey who is invulnerable to minority insurgents now that the Kurds being almost completely integrated into the Turkish society? The Turkey who possesses the second greatest army in NATO, second only to USA? The Turkey who is more capable than any European nation in 1v1, and still more capable than some in even 3v1? The Turkey who managed to free the Turkish Cypriots despite being banned of using NATO equipment, which was the only thing Turks had at the time?
The Republic of Turkey is the 9th biggest firepower in the world whereas Bulgaria is the 49th, Greece is the 27th, Romania is the 40th and Serbia is the 79th. Those numbers are not merely numbers, they stand there for a reason and that reason is the power. These numbers do not merely represent the personal number. They represent the firepower the nations could put forth. Greece is the closest one to Turkey and yet she needs to overcome 18 other nations just to be Turkey's equal. Watch closely son, this is called being a regional superpower. This is called solid might.
Yet despite all these, we would not choose to waste our supplies on the likes of Bulgaria and Romania, given that they are smart enough to know that Turkey has no ambitions of expanding but merely securing a front/buffer zone against Russia, who is the only real threat to Turkey.
You see, you are completely oblivious to the reality of diplomacy. Smart people, which you are not, do not commit to unnecessary and fantastic poetry such as "zeros are added overnight." and do come to an angreement with each other. You have a lot to learn and you should have much less to say.
Dude you know nothing about Turkey ! Arap armies LOL
@@serefsevik8368 Interestingly, I did not receive notification about your comment adressing mine.
Since you mentioned fantasizing, do you realize that you don't seem mature enough to admit a defeat, but outlining the reasons behind the Ottomans' failure as if those can be an argument for the statement that..the Turks were not defeated?
I have pointed out for a reason that my comment was not a history essay.
You have misunderstood what I said, as well as the context, the vibe, and you're strawmanning my words before adressing them. Talking about reality, in the fourth paragraph of your comment it's clear that you have, as a Turk, an unrealistic notion about Turkey and it's capabilities as far as warfare goes. Second _greatest_ NATO _army,_ solid might. Do you even read the terms you use? To advice people you can learn from, that they have a lot to learn..is not bright, especially when the vocabulary you use for the matter in question shows that you're completely uneducated in it.
Warfare, son, is a very, *very* complex matter you are obviously ignorant of. It's not 1912 and the trench game is history. And to clarify, I did not mean the contrary. Also, I did not mean that Turkey can be an easy bite. I said that hypothetical agression on any Balkan country holds enormous hazards. Numbers, coefficients, analysis, and contemporary state of a country's armed forces and everything you can look up for in a website such as the one you quoted, are a nice source to tease your chauvinistic delusions with..until the real variables come into play. In your backyard few thousand fanatics ruined a country whose armed forces, when were fresh, had the capabilities to give the Turkish ones - hypothetically, of course - a living hell. What happened to them?
Turkey is indeed a regional superpower, compared to it's neighbors individually. Yet, if you have fooled yourself that this mean that she _cannot_ - again,hypothetically - be dealt with by it's neighbors if they have to, if their territorial integrity is threatened, you are indeed deep in the realm of fantasies. Being dealt with also does not mean a complete defeat. War, uneducated stranger on the matter, costs a fortune. At it's eve the things for one party can look quite optimistic, same as recently when you have browsed the glorious numbers. And once the right toys, in sufficient numbers, end up in the hands of a little David(s?) whose existence is in many's interest, the "solid might" turns into a socio-economic mess after a while..and for a while. This is the reality of diplomacy, and you really have a lot of reading ahead.
I am watching and like your videos but as an Romanian I have to correct you a bit.The region which you are calling Bessarabia is actually the southern part of Moldavia region,part of Romania, which shouldn't be confused with the Republic of Moldavia.Bessarabia region in fact constitutes of what is between Prut river and Dniester river: Republic of Moldavia and southern part of Odessa Oblast from Ukraine known also as Budjak.And under no circumstances we will fall again under Turkish occupation or even their sphere of influence.Thank you.
but you ARE alredy in our sphere of influence.we will not let you go even thousand years may past we will be there waiting for you to come us which you will come to us geograpy do not change
Hahaha that's a good joke. Romania is the next power of the balkans, Turkey dream of rebuilding the ottoman empire will vanish you have too many enemies almost no one likes you and your society is very divided, a civil war is not excluded.
There are many rumenian beggers in sweden. no offens just saying. Rumenia doesnt seem like next balkan power any time soon.
This doesn't have nothing to do with our potential which is very big.Have a look at Detroit in USA how bad it is ,this doesn't mean USA is still not a big power.
danielutz2 that comparison doesn't make sense.
So you just want Turkey and Russia to fight basically.
I thought it is "The bromance of Turkey, Bulgaria and Russia".
In that case, Turkey will lose, without Western help. it cannot win in the Balkans, Orthodox are way stronger there than the Muslims.
@@Porkeater2610957 If history is any indication, It is that nothing is truly set in stone and we see weaker opposition win all the time. Also, why the fuck are you trying to make hypothetical war of geopolitical interest in to a religious war? There are a hefty number of Christians living in Turkey and more than a million Muslims living in Russia. No to mention the fact your religion doesn't automatically enhance your skills or make you a better soldier.
@@leodarksam6230 agree with you, also russia has over 9 million muslims. Peace.
@@mikiwolf3642 in russia, 14 million native muslims and 2 million construction workers from Post-Soviet states
Holy crap, NATO and EU better not cease to exist or my country would be wiped off the map. Again.
Is it Poland?
I think it's military cooperation which is more likely.
But is he talking about Poland?Also I think you have the wrong chain m8
Blood Fire Drake I am talking about Bulgaria.
There is no reason for us to invade the Balkans, we have very good Relations with most of them other than Greece, especially economically, just have to use softpower.
There's a big point missing in the analysis: the Turkish claims on the Greek Dodekanese islands in the Aegean Sea. That's a hot spot worth looking at and a potential for huge destabilization in the area, since Greece would need to switch to a Russian alliance if NATO didn't stand by its side in an eventual military collision with Turkey in that area.
In case Turkey could grab the archipelago, there would be a big threat of an ethnical cleansing too. Those islands have been inhabited by ethnic Greeks during millennia and the Turks would flood them with colons.
I'd like to know your point on the issue, Shirvan.
those are Turkish islands.. Greece is illegally occupying those. Nobody gives a fvck Greek pirates live there. Russia is already on Turkish side. You are on your own.
erdal0 I'm not interested in trolls. I'm looking for adult answers, thank you.
Turks controlled those "islands" for approximately 700 years, l think they had more than enough time to kill the ethnic Greeks on the island but eventually they didn't touch them but funny enough once the Greeks took control again they tried to slaughter the Turkish population on those lslands.
Ancient empires were quite different and were not based on nationalist ideas, which are a relatively new sprout in history.
Ottomans, like Romans, Byzantines, Persians or Mongols had a leading group but lived together with multiple other cultures. They were the only multicultural events that really worked in history (the current Western multiculturalism is far from being proven viable and sustainable).
So, the Ottomans got along with all kinds of ethnical groups, including the aboriginal Greek population of the Dodekanese islands, who payed tributes to the Sultan and lived more or less in peace (except for some occasional Turkish raids to enslave some locals).
When nationalism took ground in the Ottoman Empire, second half of the 19th century, everything fell apart. Every ethnic group turned into a nation and craved for his own state. Serbs, Bulgars, Greeks, Arabs, Kurds, Albanians.
Turks were part of the evolution and moved away from the multicultural set of mind of the ancient empire and started craving for their own ethnically pure nation state.
In that time, Anatolia, the Black Sea coast and the Aegean part of Turkey were full of ethnic Greeks while current Northern Greece and Aegean islands had their good part of ethnic Turkish population.
What followed was a mutual ethnical cleansing.
So, it was not a "Greeks slaughter Turks" job, as you state, but a mutual slaughtering, forceful absorption or deportation that took place on both sides until all Turkish and Greek presence was wiped away from the other side of the border.
That happened at the end of WW1 and the big winning powers gave the Dodekanese islands to Italy as a war prize while the entire Ottoman Empire was dismembered. When eventually Italy lost WW2, the islands were given back to their local aboriginal Greek population and became part of modern Greece.
If the big boys are out of the game, turkey never let other countries rule that very near islands. There is no need to consider any ethnicity shit because its about national security. How many ppl live in the islands, 100k? They can be forced to leave or be neglected in case of intense military presence.
This video is hypothetical af . Maybe Shirvan is feeling nostalgic for the old days of the Caliphate...
The Ottomans were not really a Caliphate during the period of expansion. That only came at the end when they desperately needed legitimacy and loyalty among the Arabs.
"That only came at the end when they desperately needed legitimacy and loyalty among the Arabs."
This is nonsense. The Ottoman Empire turned into the caliphat with Selim I. That´s the begining of the 16th century and far from even beeing closly to "the end".
Ottomans were always Islamic. They had people coming from every part of the Islamic world to fight against the Byzantines and Crusaders. After the Mamluks were defeated, the Ottomans took the task of protecting Mecca and Medina upon them. Also they claimed the titel of Caliph.
SilverAbsol that is the most idiotic comment i read so far are turkish ataturki nationalist
cabdimalik ali well, he tells the truth.
Turkey has history of the great empire, and I love Turkey personally. I'd like to send a cheer toward Turkey from Japan...
こどもふどき I’ll send you cheer back
ありがとございます😊
Cheering for ottoman muslims? Meh!
Rather cheer for reconquesta of constantinopol!
I love your video!! It soo informative. It sums up history geopolitics and much more and makes understandable in a video. The video and graphics and maps are soo good chosen. Its great. Keep going.
Welcome back shirvan!
amazing content. You are the first creator ill sing up Patreon for
Sağol Şirvan, really good job and on point. No bullshitting, no talking around the bush. That's why I like your analyses. As a Turk myself I didn't know about the importance of Kırım, I mean besides it's Tatar heritage. Please keep up the good work!
Kirim has always been the importance of Turkey, just because of dictator Erdogans passive-pussy-foreign-policy we lost our infuence in the region. We lost our enclave in Syria, we lost our chance to take back Mosul, we lost our economic advantage and we are stil losing everyday. Hell we even lost our isles to the fucking Greeks and no one bats a fucking eye.
RavingBeast To be honest I don't see Kemalists as pro-active either for the matter of foreign politics. Only better relations with Alawite Syria probably, nothing else I could think of. As it was described in the report Turkey has not the luxury of isolationism either. Sure we are surrounded by 3 seas, but unfortunately we have a mass of land borders with some unstable neighbours, but well that's that. Only possible good alternatives I see in an alliance of IYI and cadres of AKP MHP and CHP with some Pamukoglu as a topping. But then again foreign politics is not all, militarists often lack critical understanding of economics. I'd be happy to hear some other opinions on these topics actually. Are there any Turkish platforms?
Let me remind you that kemalists liberated Northern Cyprus back in 1974 even though the Turkish armed forces lacked modern weapons and equipment, we were stil a force to be reckoned with. We had a prime minister who had balls and a backbone to do what was necessary for the interest of our people and nation. We are militarily stronger today but no one takes Turkey seriously, nor respects us because of Erdogans Pan-Islamist foreign policy.
You are welcome to reddit.com/r/turkey
Here we discuss everything about these topics :)
RavingBeast thanks for the link, I will give it a try. I doubt however, Cyprus Peace Operation had anything to do with Ecevit being a good leader. TSK was strong and had much more influence back then thankfully. The CHP-MSP coalition wasn't a smooth love affair in 1974. It lasted 10 months and it actually showed pretty much every symptom of any other fragile coalition administration ever since in Turkey. Leftist wing of CHP leaning towards HDP is problematic aswell. Too many reasons I don't like neither Erdogan nor any other representative of any other party at the moment.
RavingBeast I agree with u sir
Your analysis are incredible! not sure why do you hire a voice actor sometimes but I personally enjoy more watching your videos when you narrate them.
Nigga shut the fuck up
@@lolailo2199 own him
how is this all even remotely plausible?
It literally happened before...
Alcibiades Alcmaeonid literally hundreds of years ago
Certainly. But the "reasons" it happened in the first place were primarily geopolitical, and therefore it can happen again. Likewise, Russia's geopolitical strategy, as clearly shown in a previous Caspian Report, hasn't really changed since it's foundation. Political systems, ideologies and generations come and go but geography doesn't change. Hence, russia's still trying to secure its western border by various means. Obviously, Russia doesn't need to invade Belarus since it's practically a client state. And Ukrainian invasion only came when Ukraine fell out of Russian sphere of influence. Same thing is true for turkey.
It's certainly a worst-case senario in today's world that an invasion of another nation may happen, but the point is that bulgaria and romania up to the carpatians is vital for Turkey's geopolitical goals. Imo turkey can easily form warm relations ith both these nations without the need for any agression, but that all depends on the attitude the government of the time will decide to take.
But nobody's talking about the balkans. Former Yugoslav states are mostly irrelevent to Turkish Geopolitics as stated in the video. In case of a great Western dissolution (NATO and EU dissolving) leaving Turkey's western border open to threats, Turkey would have to look out for Bulgaria and Southern Romania. That's all there is to it.
Thank God you're back Shirvan. Your narration is much better.
What is the 3D map software he's using?
gro minecraft
Ok Shirvan, I'm getting a bit tired of you. You spent the entire video talking about Turkey becoming the Ottoman Empire and justifying its "inevitable" expansion in a very low-probability hypothetical scenario (NATO, EU, etc., withdrawal) instead of talking about the real history and current geopolitical issues/strategies of Turkey. This leads me to believe all you want to familiarize people with a Turkish interventionist and expansionist agenda (to Vienna no less) rather than discuss the geopolitics in Turkey. How can you speak of Turkish geopolitics without mentioning the situation in the Aegean, for instance?
This is not the first time I get this feeling of a strong underlying bias in your videos, especially when it comes to Turkey and its historical rivals.
qacedr qacedr but what to gain in the Aegean dispute, honestly? Russia however is the only player in the region that can and would strike an attack on Turkey in a matter of conflict/power vacuum. Britain, France and Germany are playing safer strategies for obvious reasons, a Sevres scenario Turkey NOW is simply not the same as it was in early 20th century for many reasons. European stability depends on its doors shut and well guarded, now more than ever. However Russia can be the rogue one to its liking, no bad reputation will harm it any further than it is already.
One of your best analysis, so far. I hope to see a "Geopolitics of Romania" in the near future. You do a wonderful job, Shirvan! Good Luck!
Yay Shirvan is back
Wow! This is the first time I can't find a mistake. Nice work!
I think none of strategic points beside holding the Bosporus you mentioned wont matter in future Turks conflicts, because the nature of warfare changed so much since when Turks had any power in the Balkans.
Today even a small nation like Bulgaria or Romania can thwart an attack by smaller "supper power" by use of ballistic missiles, drones, and other such weapons if used at the right time (i.e. pre-emptive attack).
There is no reason for us to invade the Balkans, we have very good Relations with most of them other than Greece, especially economically, just have to use softpower.
More Neznadem It did not take long for me to find a stupid person on the internet, thank you more neznadem :D
@@cierrawegner5226 says a mom with little family portrait who never see the real power once in her life
Great to hear your voice Shirvan, you have a great narration voice.
Tesekkürler Shirvan
Can we please have the Geopolitics of Turkey in Africa (Egypt via Cyprus, Libya, Somalia)
Wtf are you serious
Turkey far africa
luckily, turkey has nothing against Bulgaria and are great neighbors.
.
.
.
right?
This really gives you an idea of why history tends to repeat itself...
you wish xD
erdal0 joke's on you, I don't have a sister :P
Габриелъ Караловъ make me turkish yoghurt
What would be the use of all this? Take Crimea as an example:
What would Turkey gain from it? Russia would not give it up, even if it would implode. This would result in a militaristic conflict with one of the strongest nations on earth. For what? The black sea and the turkish mountains north and north-east provide a solid defence. Right now even Russia would have a ridiculously hard time to gain a victory through that territory anyways. In addition to that Crimea is also claimed by Ukraine, so annexing Crimea would not secure the northern border, the contrary, it would make a northern frontier.
The same logic applys to Romania and Bulgaria with the difference that this time Istanbul is the citadel. If NATO ever crumbles and Bulgaria and Romania want to have an alliance with Turkey: sure, but if they don´t, Turkey shouldn´t bother with it. A neutral to friendly relationsship to its neighbours is more benefical than an active policy to secure these areas.
But let´s assume that Turkey got Bessarabia: We are not living in the middle age. Artillery shelling would do the job. Bessarabia is at best providing a small advantage in case of a defensive war, but it isn´t so strategic that one could claim to hold an entire army there.
Bulgaria have a large minority Turkish population so it would help Turkey from western invasion due to the will to keep their people alive and stop more migration of people out of Bulgaria. Turkey are pretty safe from attack unless Russia nuke them which is unlikely.
Even then I don´t see a reason to invade Bulgaria. As long as they respect the rights of the turkish minority, Turkey should simply stay away from any militaristic ideas.
@@HHVVNN Russia will not even think of waging a conventional war against Turkey...
Why would Russia suffer losses? When can wipe out the "Eternal Enemy" completely, without its own losses!
Turkey's attack on the Balkans would be the "cause of war" for the use of nuclear weapons, which Russia can only wish for... ☢️💀🇹🇷💀☢️
in 2017 so many youtube channels got 1M sub....but Shirvan it,s you who proved that subs are not all.......and great video as always...
This was Turkey's (Ottoman) politic in 15th to 17th centuyes. And they lost.
To access Bessarabia (wich you missplace in eastern Romania; it is actually in southern Moldavia and southern Ukraine), Turkey has to occupy Dobruja, wich is a part of Romania. So Romania has to be defeted as a whole. This would make Romania an ally of Russia. Does Turkey need another enemy? Something is not right in your analysis.
Point is that Turkey doesn't need to invade Romania as long as Romania is an enemy of Russia. If NATO falls apart and you don't have protection anymore, it doesn't have a choice. Either Romania reaches an understanding with Turkey or we go in and reconquer our lands. Dobruja was always Turkish lands. Romania occupied it, same with Hungarian lands that Romania occupies.
Luis Luis Romanians are mostly gypsy. Please return to India where you come from. Go look at maps. Romania was always Turkic.
Also, nice try with Turanism. A 20th century pseudo-science concept like "Aryanism".
Turkey is not Turkic. Turkey is Turkish.
Hungary is also not Turkic. Turkey is also not the same thing with Kazakhstan. THERE IS NO TURKIC RACE YOU INBRED ARAB. That's just the fantasy-Turanism bullshit that's alive in Turkey and only Turkey.
Fuck off Turko-Arab.
The topographic maps you use are SO GOOD! It really ads a whole new understanding of the region.
Yeah shirvan is back
TheBlack Moon no, just political channels
TheBlack Moon Indeed , I saw him in a Japanese related content 😂😂.
I'm fine and I tend to be on interesting channels and most likely comment
الياس فرحات Are you Arab living in an Arab country ؟
Hussain Al-Majed yes I'm an iraqi
I'm so happy to hear you again. I like both. But the original is always nice.
Turkey is Not Ethnically European.
Turkey is Not Culturally European.
Turkey is Not Religiously European.
Turkey is Not European...
Lol @ "religiously European"
Turkish people are 75% ethnic European. Study the history, the Ottomans were ruled by a small elite of mongols but the majority of the population were ethnically Bulkan and Anatolian Europeans. They converted to Islam over generations to gain power in the society.
Damn you must be some sort of geopolitical mastermind!
NATO needs Turkey, not the other way around.
After watching your other videos about geopolitics of other nations, it seems like Turkey’s only problem is non-occupied lands in its border.
Really good to hear Shirvan's voice again, there's something soothing and reassuring about it, I don't necessarily agree with everything said but really enjoy hearing it!
Aw yeah .... Comments are gonna fun tonight :)
If Turks invade Bulgaria. Serbia, Romania and Greece will join to defend Bulgaria.
+Emperor Atlant xD that was funny as hell...Bulgaria. Serbia, Romania and Greece ? Romania bankrupt Greece bankrupt Serbia bankrupt Bulgaria not even on same par as Turkey :D whole of Bulgaria can ft in a little Turkish town
bionicturk3 In 1912 during First Balkan war Serbia, Greece, Bulgaria and Montenegro have much smaller populations compared to the Ottoman Empire. They destroyed Turkish armies on Balkan and reach Constantinople.
+ye kebabı iç şarabı sik arabı - love your channel name :)) East or west your name is the BEST.
Turn off your console this isn't Mount & Blade Warband xD
Erdogan has gotten to all your heads. Pride is fine. In 1970's till late 1990's Turkey's economy was the size of Greece's. GDP per capita that made every Turk very poor compared to Rich Greeks. Greece easily had more advanced weapons till early 2000's. Man power Turkey has. Turkey went broke too in early 2000's. It's economic boom now is a bubble. The Lira is approaching 4:1 vs US $ with ultra high interest rates because of a bubble from rapid inflation. Still today Turkish economy less than 1 trillion again making avg Turks medium wealth. So how is Turkey strong? By money and power under a few elites and Erdogan? Who praises a leader living in a 1001 room palace and calling themselves democratic yet want to invade other nations and say they are a great power? Turks are now ruled by a family dynasty on all levels of high positions of power. But if Turks like this then they should not say they are democratic and free, they are a society of hierarchy and want to be like the old Ottomans. That is not human progression. This is why they will never be Europeans nor a European state because society, institutions, religion, politics is far from anything Western or European.
Remove falafel
Wrong channel bro. This is Shish Kebap
falafel is Arab.
falafel is syrian but ok
çevapi
döner is german
Thank you Shirvan, superb work! Already have the popcorn for the Asia part!
This guy does geopolitics better than any professor or government officials. Who's with me? Thumbs up!!! Cmon.
FINALLY SHIVRAN IS BACK. HAPPY NEW YEAR SHIRVAN. MISSED YOU MATE!!! (Yeah was shouting that!)
Greetings from Bulgaria , you're quite well informed on the region :)
Your geopolitical and analytical prowess is impressive.
You have one of these for the USA?
Sam E Last Year
There is, but it's quite old, the fifth video he ever made and a really bad one too. Definitely doesn't have the same quality. It's called "Foundation of American dominance" th-cam.com/video/KD-naLXlvck/w-d-xo.html
Wendover Productions and brain4breakfast both illustrate better American geopolitics. I'd suggest you watch them instead. Not the same professional, slick style you'd see on Caspian Report, but they're still good videos worth your time.
"How Geography Gave the US Power" by Wendover Productions th-cam.com/video/e-WO-c9xHms/w-d-xo.html
"America is on Easy Mode" by brain4breakfast th-cam.com/video/ILn85WKo0Qk/w-d-xo.html
OnceUponATimeThereWas yea but you have a 317 million consumers who will soon need oil more than ever, and you need other ressources from the world, thats why the Cold War was a thing, the US cant afford to lose the entire world.
Sam E American Indians own it rights .Lol
Ibnziyad Tariq, we have plenty of resources, our problem is regulations and taxes that stifle our ability to compete globally and be more self sufficient. We got people working on that though ;)
Good to have you back Shirvan! Although, I have to say that this is the first CaspianReport video so far that I found far-fetched.
One thing to correct, the turkish minority is mainly in the Strandja mountains, not in the whole southern Bulgaria
Vali Rusev It is not in the Strandja mountains in is near the Greek border in Kurjali and in South Dobrogea. Both of those areas are alway from the Turkish border which helps a little bit. Still we should keep in mind that the Turks are minority, a declining one in fact and with the resent election of Erdogan they don’t have such positive view of Turkey as before.
"Southern Bulgaria"
*Encircles nearly all of Bulgaria*
Боян My bad, i confused the eastern Rhodopi and the Strandja mountains. btw i see you on many videos, glad to see u on caspian report too :)
Many Turks also live in Dobrich, Silistra and Razgrad provinces, known as Deliorman in Turkish. But bulgarian state has changed the demography in the last century.
Vali Rusev,Strandja mountain doesn't have any turkish and never had..use to be some greek villages before the balkan wars,but no anymore
Would be better to have Turkey geopolitics as a whole and in 2 parts maybe, because there is so much going on with this country in europe, the caucasus, middle east, even in africa. not to mention military airbases in qatar, somalia and now coming in sudan
Yeah it is really interesting Turkey is literally fighting against the EU,US,Russia,Iran and the arab world for influence in various parts of the world lol.
Jess M. Turkey did not fail in Syria, but Turkey lost the most in the Syrian war in terms of hosting refugees, insecurity at its borders etc.id say Turkey/Russia/Iran are winning in Syria, the US is losing their credit.
Jess M. Turkey didn't lose shit as neither side did lose or win besides Syrian people (they suffered for real). In the end it was an zero sum game. Turkey invested what, some peanuts... drop in the bucket of military spending to train&equip militias. In the long run only the Sochi and Geneva agreements will reveal success or failure. Turkey will remain the big powerhouse it is, economically. Therefore Assad will have to compromise if it wants to end it all for good. There is a good Caspian report on this actually (Post-War Syria - Rebuilding Syria). It clearly shows why Turkey is in Astana, and why Assad despite the animosities will have to accept Turkish influence.
Gib back Constantinople and go back to the steppes, you savages.
Btw. this really does sound like Mehmets fever dream, not a realistic analysis.
Talks about fever dreams.
Asks for Constantinople to be returned.
10/10
The first line was obviously banter, you thick roach.
Nerrvih lol GIB back Constantinople
NEIN NEIN NEIN
Nerrvih You Should Remember İzmir Salty Greek.
Shirvo!!! Welcome back mate!!!
Remarkable Analysis, as always, Shirvan.
It's not really an analysis more like a poor attempt to provide excuses for a hypotetical land grab.
Strgar Strgar Peter zeihan makes the same analysis, and he is american
never seen a community care about the narration of (what is already) amazing content. That said, I couldn't watch this shit without you Shirvan.
Unrelated comment
Austria and Switzerland are the lackest nation on earth not parts of the nato yet being protected by it you literally need to go through a nato country to reach them so they have the nato protection but without the requirements countries need to do for nato
You mean Laziest countries?
Smart fucks they are.
Switzerland is prepared to protect themself. They are heavily militarized and have mandatory conscription.
good to hear your voice :) nothing against the other guy, but your accent is part of our landscape and it's nice to hear a non american style voice.
Bulgaria is an isolated state in Balkans. Romania is member NATO and EU member. US missile system present in Romania makes things even more complicated. Crimea was taken by Russia and no one commented: because is a superpower, same as US; I don't believe Turkey will stand any chance to mess up with this current geopolitical setup. Pure fiction. P.S. And Basarabia is there.
Stefan S Exactly, Russia is a superpower. Turkey isn't. And will not be.
This was an especially informative video for me: thank-you. It's also good to hear Shirvan's mellifluous voice again.
Yes shirvan is back
I do not think it's NORMAL in the year 2018 to talk about the rebirth of the Ottoman Empire. Maybe Turkey can strengthen itself without occupying other countries?
it is for safety.. we don't want to occupy Bulgaria but if Bulgaria forms a threat we will have to secure our borders
Bulgaria a threat to Turkey? Seriously? And Turkey would occupy Bulgaria? This is outrageous.
Its not a bad video, but a lot of things you said were already obvious when you for example talked about the importance of maramara and istanbul.
The rest of your video you were talking too much about wars, invasion, conquest like you were talking about Age of Empires. You ignored current relationships too much and interests of other countries.
For example, you suggested an invasion in Bulgaria when the EU and NATO would ever collapse(the former collapsing is more likeley than the latter), do you really think countries like Greece, Serbia and Russia would sit by and let that happen? You really think France and England, who both have a superior nacy, army and nukes would sit and watch Turkey expand its influence?
Dont forget, it took the Turkish military 3 months(!) to capture Al Bab from ISIS and even longer when they were fighting the PKK in Cizre and Nusaybin in 2015. (These are just examples)
So, beside the limited nucleair, military cability, such an invasion would be highely unlikely as the Turkish state lacks friends in the west not to mention the economic and political consequences such an invasion would have.
If that wasnt unrealistisc enough you suggested a Crimean invasion against Russia if Russia weakens...what a joke.
You dream too much Shirvan. The Turkish state is much weaker than you think.
It doesn't matter what Greece, SErbia and Romania thinks. Turkey will take it to protect itself. There won't be a Russia to help so it will be Turks versus Orthodox in the Balkans. And muslims in Balkans will welcome Turkey.
In al bab, cizre and nusaybin not even 1% of the Turkish millitary capacity was used. Second of all Turkey mostly send ground troops instead of just doing air strikes finishing the job within days with very high civilian deaths just like Russia did in Syria. You know which army is weak? Peshmerga losing huge lands without even shooting back against the weak iraqi army and terror groups like PKK who managed to claim 0 m2 land after 30 years of suicide bombing. Soon YPG will be forgotten by the west and will be gangbanged by syria iraq turkey and iran. I suggest you already put a ypg filter on that fictive land you call kurdistan profile picture.
Nice mention bro, Turkish state. STATE. Something someone never had, currently doesn't have. And probably never gonna have: :D
I agree with your evaluation. I think he focussed on the relevance of Geography for conventional military tactics here way too much, which is conceivably somethat important for Russia, but I think not for the other states on the European side. Even in the very unlikely scenario of a collapsing EU or NATO, Turkey has few things to gain and certainly would not enhance its security by provoking an open conflict anywhere in Europe.
The lack of a modern Kurdish state is a historic tragedy anyway and after the recent loss of Kirkuk again an increasingly unlikely successful scenario - as much a pity as this is.
I'd wish that god created Kurds with less hair and much brain
Was right about to say, "I'd love to see a part 2 for this regarding Asia" when I got to the end of the video - always two steps ahead, gw Shirvan. If possible, would like to see some more analysis of Turkey's /current/ affairs in the region, in contrast to all of the hypotheticals covered here - but perhaps there's another clip on your channel covering something like this. Whatever, I don't really know what I'm talking about, great content as always Shirvan 10/10
This was the mistake that Byzantia did in 1018 occupating Bulgaria(Balkans)... after this war on two fronts - Balkans and Asia Minor... they couldn't hold... in 1071 the turks take Asia Minor... That was the end of Byzantia!!!
It is a simple Bulgaria is a buffer state for the Bosphorus... got to be relitivly strong and provide a shelter from north. Break that simpal geopolitical rule... and the end is coming very fast for the empire with center Bosphurs... And especialy today when the tecnologies provide a oportunites for fast passing allmost evry natural barrier like lowhigh balkan mountains... or river Dunabe or Maritsa... that is rediculos.
Turkey is an upcoming empire, thus this video is of importance.
Thank you Shirvan.
Glad your voice is back too.
Isn't that very theoretical?
For me it seems that Russia and turkey got closer over the last 2 years for economical reason (which should be the leading motive in our days).
The confrontation in Syria shows that neither turkey or russia can gain from a war between the 2 of them, or do I miss something?
Turkey and Russia were always Rivals fighting for influence in the Balkans, Caucasus and Central Asia, must admit that putler is smarter than Erdogan though
slippingsnake but the vídeo states that the situation would significantly change IF nato and the EU ended, wich of course is not the case now.
Wow you did a really good job on this one.
"He's talking about nations' plans for offensive national military objectives, and strategies to acquire them, isn't he...?"
"It's so BEAUTIFUL....!!!"
another excellent video!
Wait, why are we fighting?
Hats off sir! Beautifully done
No offense but this did seem slightly more biased than usual. Still less biased than those nationalist channels though XD
It's brainless video-game level analysis.
It's akin to most ultra-nationalist bullshit analysis using one small """Turkish"""" minority in Bulgaria (small - compared to the overwhelmingly Slav Bulgarians).
By his logic, parts of Bulgaria belong to Turkey because of that small part but HUGE parts of Turkey don't belong to Kurds/Arabs even though Turkey is much more split with SIGNIFICANT non-Turkish minorities.
@@abcdefghrwhwhw6807 He is just talking about TURKEY'S geopolitics, regardless of Bulgaria's and Romania's, so of course this "Caspian Report" is from the point of view of Turkey. Do you think Turkey is really concerned about the minority of Turks living in Bulgaria? Turkey would just use them if it needed to justify a war with Bulgaria, just as Hitler did with the minority of Germans living in eastern Europe.
Regardless I have to admit that it SEEMED a bit more biased, because of the unusual hypothetical, but still shocking war tactics this report used. But I don't think it really was THAT biased.
- Greetings from Germany