22:40 - "NATO never wanted Ukraine" - what a big fat lie! In June 2021 NATO summit US, NATO and Ukraine reaffirmed their commitment to bring Ukraine into NATO. This statement was reiterated several times in 2021.
@@simongraham2516 I don't think he wants to tale the risk in his back yard. The reality is that all the neighbours want to be in NATO but NATO does not want all Russians neighbours
@@grahamt5924 Recent history shows that US doesn't treat very well resource rich countries (Middle East) .... with Ukraine in NATO, that means 250 miles of indefensible wide flat lande between NATO bases, rocket systems in UA and Moscow. So Russia would be under US thumbs forever. In February, Solomon Island (close to Australia) made a deal with China for some military naval bases. The US instantly sent an ambassador (Daniel Krichtenbaum I think) to threaten them. So US can't stomach a single Chinese base on the other side of the Pacific, 10000 miles from US, but Russia has to accept to be enveloped by US?? I love US values, but hate US foreign policy, because it is the most lying, conniving, corrupt thing on the planet. They kill, destroy governments and countries. And NATO is the US, don't fool yourself.
What George neglects is that Ukraine had been fighting the Russians in the Donbas for years. A TH-camr, Operator Starsky, speaks of this. The Ukrainians had a lot of hardened fighters. One might recall that at the beginning of the war Ukraine wiped out an elite Russian formation which was trying to take over the Kiev airport. Lacking this insight makes his analysis somewhat less informative.
It took the audience quite some time before they realized that Friedman ,mixed up Putin /Yeltsin, shows how much Friedman can BS this audience , with their lack of understanding of the Ukrainian /Russian conflict .
One can see how he avoids giving an answer on Biden's health. But that is also an answer. He is lost on economics, but overall on geopolitics, he is good, even though I don’t agree on everything. In his stuff on Europe, he repeats that half of Germany's GDP is exported; that is totally wrong. What goes into GDP is the net of exports and imports. You can relate exports to GDP, then it's about 50%. Singapore is at 184%. Germany is obsessed with export-import surpluses, but to produce more than you yourself need to consume is a loss to the nation and people. To get more from the foreigners than you give them is to gain. E.g. USA. I remember a Stratfor article when the USA did go into Afghanistan; basically, they predicted that the Taliban would disappear into civilian society and reemerge when the time was right. Not a bad forecast.
Min. 28th is true, russian infantry drive over ucranian border without knowing. What have to do a solder that was thrown in to the war without knowing that?! After few decades, russians will describe Putin as a greates strateg , just like they do about Iosif Stalin 😄
"Must" Russia conquer areas and peoples almost as large as Russia today or it that just an incorrect belief? Luxemburg, Denmark, Iceland, Czech Republic, and a myriad of other nations have found a sense of security without the need to conquer their neighbors to gain a strategic defensible terrain.
The Low countries, Denmark, Iceland, Czech, and a myriad of other nations do not share the same geographic features the Russian & Soviet Empires have to deal with. Compare oranges to oranges, and apples to apples.
@@ycplum7062 Compare oranges to oranges, apples to apples ¯\_(ツ)_/¯. The countries you have listed are either too small & isolated to care (Iceland), or invariably dominated by their larger neighbours (namely the French and the Germans): that is how they find their sense of "security" 😏. A simple glance at the map of Russia with regards to the spatial distribution of its ethnic core and its historical attempts at securing territory (pay attention to which ones and where they lie!), cross-referenced with every single conflict (and invasion of their country), tells you all you need to know about their modus operandi with regards to how they themselves define security.
@@samsiu4724 The states I listed are states that have learned to live peaceably with their neighbors in teh absence of defensible geographic features, not they they are a trheat to Russia. I believe Russia's perspective is the problem. Whereas other states have learned to be secure without geographically defensible barriers, Russia has not. It seems it is almost ingrained into their leadership through history that they need to control these invasion choke points. They may say they are safe today, but one day they will be invaded. The problem is that control of these choke points means they have to control many other countries. Their attempts at controling these other countries, especially through military means is actually counterproductive.
Why is he talking about a terrestrial distance (as it was important), but not mentioning the aerial distance a missile would have to cross to hit Moscow? And the time it would need to do it? I know why, but I'm not going to tell you. /s
22:40 - "NATO never wanted Ukraine" - what a big fat lie!
In June 2021 NATO summit US, NATO and Ukraine reaffirmed their commitment to bring Ukraine into NATO. This statement was reiterated several times in 2021.
Ukraine could not enter Nato
@@grahamt5924 You think Putin believed that too?
@@simongraham2516 I don't think he wants to tale the risk in his back yard.
The reality is that all the neighbours want to be in NATO but NATO does not want all Russians neighbours
@@grahamt5924 Recent history shows that US doesn't treat very well resource rich countries (Middle East) .... with Ukraine in NATO, that means 250 miles of indefensible wide flat lande between NATO bases, rocket systems in UA and Moscow.
So Russia would be under US thumbs forever.
In February, Solomon Island (close to Australia) made a deal with China for some military naval bases. The US instantly sent an ambassador (Daniel Krichtenbaum I think) to threaten them. So US can't stomach a single Chinese base on the other side of the Pacific, 10000 miles from US, but Russia has to accept to be enveloped by US??
I love US values, but hate US foreign policy, because it is the most lying, conniving, corrupt thing on the planet. They kill, destroy governments and countries. And NATO is the US, don't fool yourself.
Masterfully done Dr Friedman.
He is extremely courageous. He is personally courageous and intellectually honest. Good.
Brasil
Friedman is deep into history. His audience, many of them, are like so many Americans and think they live outside of history.
We do… We watch it from afar
So you circulated and took a survey? Wonderful!
Cute made a observation on pure speculation of your deep knowledge of Americans we do watch and pay attention to history.
9 months later - and many predictions of Mr. Friedman are obvisously wrong - and that´s right so!
What was wrong?
George is a good one to listen too.
Talk starts 4:51
Brilliant - thanks
Sorry Mr. Friedman I guess they paid little, you are person who I admire but here I believe and you don't believe in your own words
What George neglects is that Ukraine had been fighting the Russians in the Donbas for years. A TH-camr, Operator Starsky, speaks of this. The Ukrainians had a lot of hardened fighters. One might recall that at the beginning of the war Ukraine wiped out an elite Russian formation which was trying to take over the Kiev airport. Lacking this insight makes his analysis somewhat less informative.
Propaganda.
You got it backwards the Russians have been fighting Ukraine in the donbas
@@mikecummings6593 You must be kidding. Is the Donbas a part of Russia?
@@louisgiokas2206 it is what Nazis from their killed 40,000 russkies since 2014
Last question is the best!
It took the audience quite some time before they realized that Friedman ,mixed up Putin /Yeltsin, shows how much Friedman can BS this audience , with their lack of understanding of the Ukrainian /Russian conflict .
Time for you to hit the lecture circuit. I hear the money is good.
this man suffers from hallutinations, spreads poison
and that is dangerous because he doesn't know how sick he is.
Try a spoonful of pablum.
@@g0679 Is that what an insectivore says?
You're losing it George! Compared to your Feb. 2016 talk at the Chicago Council this one is waaaay weaker.
59:20 Wow this woman talking so condescendingly about propaganda television while obviously so indoctrinated herself.
The american military expert Scott Ritter has a quite different view on the war in the Ukraine ... compared to the view of George Friedman.
Scott Ritter's point of view is realistic and pragmatic,
he comes from practice, Friedman masturbates hallutinations.
Friedman gives the neocon Propaganda views from Washington, were as Scott Ritter tells the truth of events.
Geopolitics does not have a big market... Bur sure it`s quality
I'm cracking up a bit watching you explain to everyone that Santa isn't real.
The ideology of liberal democracy.American cooperation to be above the country's law total dominance
i you mama dogface to the banana patch?
Asian can listen both sides of the truth,western seems to have heard what they are allowed
He is growing older and it shows. Starting to ramble. Says things to please his audience. Obsessed with Putin. Loosing grip on reality.
any dictator trusts nobody!
One can see how he avoids giving an answer on Biden's health. But that is also an answer.
He is lost on economics, but overall on geopolitics, he is good, even though I don’t agree on everything.
In his stuff on Europe, he repeats that half of Germany's GDP is exported; that is totally wrong. What goes into GDP is the net of exports and imports.
You can relate exports to GDP, then it's about 50%. Singapore is at 184%.
Germany is obsessed with export-import surpluses, but to produce more than you yourself need to consume is a loss to the nation and people. To get more from the foreigners than you give them is to gain. E.g. USA.
I remember a Stratfor article when the USA did go into Afghanistan; basically, they predicted that the Taliban would disappear into civilian society and reemerge when the time was right.
Not a bad forecast.
1:03:55 Putin has 3 daughters allegedly
Min. 28th is true, russian infantry drive over ucranian border without knowing. What have to do a solder that was thrown in to the war without knowing that?!
After few decades, russians will describe Putin as a greates strateg , just like they do about Iosif Stalin 😄
🌐
sorry with all due respect oliver but the americans wanted ukarine and uncrainian ports on the black sea
yea sure
Friedman lost me with his Biden comment.
It was a joke but I suspect you are too dimwitted to understand it.
🙃🤭😉👍.
Oozing with Russophobia!
Otherwise a great lecture as usual
Russia, since 1918, has been the enemy of the world. Read history, it shows nothing good has come from Russian leadership only suffering and death.
How can you watch this and call it Russophobic? He actually explains and legitimizes the Russian position.
Brain calcification proportioned to white hair
"Must" Russia conquer areas and peoples almost as large as Russia today or it that just an incorrect belief?
Luxemburg, Denmark, Iceland, Czech Republic, and a myriad of other nations have found a sense of security without the need to conquer their neighbors to gain a strategic defensible terrain.
They are secure as long as they obey what the United States tells them to do
The Low countries, Denmark, Iceland, Czech, and a myriad of other nations do not share the same geographic features the Russian & Soviet Empires have to deal with.
Compare oranges to oranges, and apples to apples.
@@samsiu4724
They are all small and very vulnerable to invasion. For purposes of the discussion, that is enough.
@@ycplum7062 Compare oranges to oranges, apples to apples ¯\_(ツ)_/¯.
The countries you have listed are either too small & isolated to care (Iceland), or invariably dominated by their larger neighbours (namely the French and the Germans): that is how they find their sense of "security" 😏.
A simple glance at the map of Russia with regards to the spatial distribution of its ethnic core and its historical attempts at securing territory (pay attention to which ones and where they lie!), cross-referenced with every single conflict (and invasion of their country), tells you all you need to know about their modus operandi with regards to how they themselves define security.
@@samsiu4724
The states I listed are states that have learned to live peaceably with their neighbors in teh absence of defensible geographic features, not they they are a trheat to Russia. I believe Russia's perspective is the problem. Whereas other states have learned to be secure without geographically defensible barriers, Russia has not. It seems it is almost ingrained into their leadership through history that they need to control these invasion choke points. They may say they are safe today, but one day they will be invaded. The problem is that control of these choke points means they have to control many other countries. Their attempts at controling these other countries, especially through military means is actually counterproductive.
Stalingrad today, Volgograd is in American hands, or lies 400 km east of the Ukrainian border. Mr. Friedman shows some geographic ignorance here.
A deluded jew and Germans Hater!
a bunch of old people in the room, not very promising
Indeed.
Be sure not to become one.
these were my thoughts exactly
Those "old people" have kids and grand-kids. Everything will be okay.
@@TheBandit7613 Not if we hang ourselves first :)
Agreed, I am a local and younger if I had have known about it I would have been there
329 miles from Moscow to the Ukrainian border on the M3 according to Google maps🥸
Why is he talking about a terrestrial distance (as it was important), but not mentioning the aerial distance a missile would have to cross to hit Moscow? And the time it would need to do it?
I know why, but I'm not going to tell you. /s