Thanks - There are a handful of ways to beat the bookies at their own game without a deep understanding of betting! Winning is just a mindset, and being profitable adds to the fun.
The important part is to reverse engineer. Take into consideration the bookmakers you have around you! Research odds (their weakness), then map out a plan in your head. Are these online, are the shops, do shops offer apps etc. How much value can you find! When can you find the value? How many bookies can you bet with at the same time, etc etc? With regards to betting 2% of your bank, it can be 100% if you found an arbitrage (cant lose situation). However, with value bets, the secret is too make many, and playing 2% of your bank on each would be too much! However, if the bookies allow the odds to stand (don't change), you can start mixing (system bets) - such has 3 from 5, and so on. It would also pass better to the African (as i know it) market. You see, if you multiply bookie mistakes (value), your EV will be higher. For example, if true odds were 2.0 and you could get 2.1, the EV is 5%. If you get 2.1 + 2.1 + 2.1 (3 tips - treble bet), true odds pay 8.0 whereas this treble pays 9.26 - A 0.1 advantage became 1.26, albeit the chances of it coming are reduced from 50% to 12.5%
@@innocentnwafor4396 Your welcome - by the way, if you are betting in shops, maybe you should team up with someone local who has a similar ambition. One can feed the bets, while the other places them. Also, you might want to track Betfair odds (no costs), and that might mean downloading a VPN. Again, if you are placing bets in shops, pay attention to big odds changes when teams start releasing team news (about 30 mins before a game) - this is usually the time to catch odds volatility.
Thank you so much..... @Betting analyst... which are the best days to bet on horses? BTW, I've taken on Value betting and it's working for me. I use 7% of my bankroll and place 10 bets with hope that at least one of them wins... one other thing to consider is, if one wins I break even(that's some little math I've added).
The only thing that counts is that you are winning from the enemy! If you prefer horse racing, look into French/US. UK bookmakers get it so badly wrong! You can also do the each-way thieving in shops, ie when the place odds are bigger than they should be. While this video is more focused on sports betting (easier to identify EV), it really doesn't matter how you beat the system - Good luck!
Sir in terms of EV in case that u find that the odds are invalid even after the final...u get like 14.67 when u combine 3 way bet. Which would u go for? Or you rather leave that?
That won't happen if you stay within the boundaries (unless you are using Singbet - who cancel many bets). By boundaries i mean odds of 2.00 being true, and you get 2.1 ------ If the odds are 21.0, then it's obviously a mistake and would be cancelled. The rule is simple, don't cheat, just take advantage of different opinions
Hi.Tony ...what you mean ,,Lot of juice can be found in playon markets ,,? Could not find what does it exatly meaning...card/fouls ect markets? Thanks.
@Stanislav - In this video, I believe I was referring to US sports - In NBA it could be: Basketball Player Markets Player Points Player Assists Player Rebounds Player Assists Player Steals Player Turnovers Player Threes Made Player Double Double Player Triple Double Player Points and Rebounds Player Points Assists and Rebounds Player Steal and Blocks
Not true! What you will find on the Exchanges is the market price - minus commission! If you only have one bookmaker account, you will have a higher bookmaker juice included in the odds! However, if you have ten bookmaker accounts, you can go cherry-picking for the best odds ------ Sign up to a value betting platform, and you will find odds that outstrip the lay market on the Exchanges thousands of times per day!
@BettingAnalyst Thanks for prompt reply but not really grasping this. e.g Why back the draw at a top price on say Bet365 at 3.8 when I can back at 3.95 on a 0% exchange? Love your video by the way.
@@michaeleast1949 - Cheers! I am only talking about a simple (no-brainer) solution for beating the bookmakers in the long term! Use Betfair/Pinnacle/Value-betting software for your benchmark. If the bet/lay on the Exchange is 1.99 bet/2.01 Lay - you need to find better odds than the lay price with bookmakers. By doing so, you are ahead of the market with EV (expected value) ----- Some software does this for you, such as Rebelbetting. You list the bookmakers that you have accounts with - then this software which crawls over 1 million odds per minute picks out the bookmakers ''over odds''. Bookmakers are not as efficient as the betting Exchanges, and they are easy to expose with beneficial odds. While it might not sound like much fun (not finding your own tips), Value betting is the easiest way to profit! Don't get me wrong, I use Asian bookies, Exchanges, shops, bet placers, and any other account I can get hold of to bet OPINIONATED BETS - but that's because we are capable at that level. However, for Joe Bloggs who simply wants to profit - Value betting is best!
Profitable betting is all about obtaining value, whether that be attaching to a system, or opinion bets. Beat true odds on a regular basis and you will win, do the opposite and you will lose. This is just a simple (no brainer) method
Your videos have been helpful since i found this channel
Thanks for the kind words - have you tried this simple method?
@@BettingAnalyst welcome, I have been taking the knowledge first, while creating a betting bank as advised
Like your honesty. seem down-to-earth and genuinely interested in helping Joe-Bloggs punters like myself.
Thanks - There are a handful of ways to beat the bookies at their own game without a deep understanding of betting!
Winning is just a mindset, and being profitable adds to the fun.
Can I start with $100 at 2% stake per stake. I'm in Africa
The important part is to reverse engineer. Take into consideration the bookmakers you have around you! Research odds (their weakness), then map out a plan in your head. Are these online, are the shops, do shops offer apps etc. How much value can you find! When can you find the value? How many bookies can you bet with at the same time, etc etc? With regards to betting 2% of your bank, it can be 100% if you found an arbitrage (cant lose situation). However, with value bets, the secret is too make many, and playing 2% of your bank on each would be too much! However, if the bookies allow the odds to stand (don't change), you can start mixing (system bets) - such has 3 from 5, and so on. It would also pass better to the African (as i know it) market. You see, if you multiply bookie mistakes (value), your EV will be higher. For example, if true odds were 2.0 and you could get 2.1, the EV is 5%. If you get 2.1 + 2.1 + 2.1 (3 tips - treble bet), true odds pay 8.0 whereas this treble pays 9.26 - A 0.1 advantage became 1.26, albeit the chances of it coming are reduced from 50% to 12.5%
@@BettingAnalyst Thank you so much Sir. I can't thank you enough 🙌
@@innocentnwafor4396 Your welcome - by the way, if you are betting in shops, maybe you should team up with someone local who has a similar ambition. One can feed the bets, while the other places them. Also, you might want to track Betfair odds (no costs), and that might mean downloading a VPN. Again, if you are placing bets in shops, pay attention to big odds changes when teams start releasing team news (about 30 mins before a game) - this is usually the time to catch odds volatility.
youd be better off working in macdonalds matey you will earn far more than what you would with 2% 0f 100 lol
It's very interesting to find this channel. Im following to get more also i would like to be part of your team. Thx
Thank you so much..... @Betting analyst... which are the best days to bet on horses? BTW, I've taken on Value betting and it's working for me. I use 7% of my bankroll and place 10 bets with hope that at least one of them wins... one other thing to consider is, if one wins I break even(that's some little math I've added).
The only thing that counts is that you are winning from the enemy! If you prefer horse racing, look into French/US. UK bookmakers get it so badly wrong! You can also do the each-way thieving in shops, ie when the place odds are bigger than they should be. While this video is more focused on sports betting (easier to identify EV), it really doesn't matter how you beat the system - Good luck!
@@BettingAnalyst thanks
Sir in terms of EV in case that u find that the odds are invalid even after the final...u get like 14.67 when u combine 3 way bet. Which would u go for? Or you rather leave that?
That won't happen if you stay within the boundaries (unless you are using Singbet - who cancel many bets). By boundaries i mean odds of 2.00 being true, and you get 2.1 ------ If the odds are 21.0, then it's obviously a mistake and would be cancelled. The rule is simple, don't cheat, just take advantage of different opinions
Hi.Tony ...what you mean ,,Lot of juice can be found in playon markets ,,? Could not find what does it exatly meaning...card/fouls ect markets? Thanks.
@Stanislav - In this video, I believe I was referring to US sports - In NBA it could be:
Basketball Player Markets
Player Points
Player Assists
Player Rebounds
Player Assists
Player Steals
Player Turnovers
Player Threes Made
Player Double Double
Player Triple Double
Player Points and Rebounds
Player Points Assists and Rebounds
Player Steal and Blocks
why bet with bookmakers? if you can find what you consider a value bet then the biggest price will 99% of the time be on the exchange.
Not true! What you will find on the Exchanges is the market price - minus commission! If you only have one bookmaker account, you will have a higher bookmaker juice included in the odds! However, if you have ten bookmaker accounts, you can go cherry-picking for the best odds ------ Sign up to a value betting platform, and you will find odds that outstrip the lay market on the Exchanges thousands of times per day!
@BettingAnalyst Thanks for prompt reply but not really grasping this. e.g Why back the draw at a top price on say Bet365 at 3.8 when I can back at 3.95 on a 0% exchange? Love your video by the way.
@@michaeleast1949 - Cheers!
I am only talking about a simple (no-brainer) solution for beating the bookmakers in the long term!
Use Betfair/Pinnacle/Value-betting software for your benchmark.
If the bet/lay on the Exchange is 1.99 bet/2.01 Lay - you need to find better odds than the lay price with bookmakers. By doing so, you are ahead of the market with EV (expected value) ----- Some software does this for you, such as Rebelbetting.
You list the bookmakers that you have accounts with - then this software which crawls over 1 million odds per minute picks out the bookmakers ''over odds''.
Bookmakers are not as efficient as the betting Exchanges, and they are easy to expose with beneficial odds.
While it might not sound like much fun (not finding your own tips), Value betting is the easiest way to profit!
Don't get me wrong, I use Asian bookies, Exchanges, shops, bet placers, and any other account I can get hold of to bet OPINIONATED BETS - but that's because we are capable at that level.
However, for Joe Bloggs who simply wants to profit - Value betting is best!
Value as usual
Profitable betting is all about obtaining value, whether that be attaching to a system, or opinion bets. Beat true odds on a regular basis and you will win, do the opposite and you will lose. This is just a simple (no brainer) method