A Low Risk Football Trade - Laying Under 1.5 Goals Strategy

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 24 ม.ค. 2025

ความคิดเห็น • 122

  • @felippesantos9732
    @felippesantos9732 ปีที่แล้ว +16

    You guys are killing it with the trading videos, and the fact that it's all for free is insane! You're the best channel out there by far, keep up the great work!

  • @СергейАвджиев
    @СергейАвджиев ปีที่แล้ว +11

    Hello from Ukraine! I use this strategy also when the home favorite loses after the first half 0-1. Lay Under 2.5 goals.

  • @sambailey9949
    @sambailey9949 11 หลายเดือนก่อน

    love this , I started doing it on the different under goals markets depending on the situation / likelihood of goals, sadly my first one I got in on two teams that usually score lots at 0-0...immediately a goal on under 3.5 at 1.3 and the odds jumped to 1.40 and the attacking favourite team was given a red card which screwed it up, there was another goal from the dog but too late and too little, only lost £3 quid though. Tried it again tonight on the under 1.5 on two teams that usually score a lot and it was 0-0 at 60 minutes, got the goal and cashed out for a £5 profit on a £2.75 stake, quite happy with that. Will keep going, I am finding the worst thing is your instinct is usually right, and you can be watching and watching and boom a goal right before you decide to jump in!

  • @grahamsenior6143
    @grahamsenior6143 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    low liability is the holy grail ....well done TTM

  • @silversurfer8552
    @silversurfer8552 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Brilliant this, best trading channel anywhere.

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      This comment is brilliant! The best support 🙌🏻 Thanks Ray 👍🏻

  • @michaelroberts1097
    @michaelroberts1097 2 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    James, you are one clever guy! I was already impressed with the lay the half time score strategy but you’ve taken things to a whole new level with this. You guys are the best, thank you all for all you are doing 👍

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thanks Michael appreciate the kind words 🙌🏻

    • @rotierender_lurch
      @rotierender_lurch 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      It's the reverse of backing but this way more money is needed.

  • @andellio
    @andellio ปีที่แล้ว

    Loving this Strategy doing as James suggests, testing for small stakes 100 with so far good results closing on 40 trades. I have found opportunities of around 6 to 8 on a normal Saturdays fixtures (League)

  • @Peter-mo3pr
    @Peter-mo3pr 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I quite like this, but what do you think of this method? Say you start the second half and you pick an entry point of 1.5, at the same time you select to get out (back) under 1.5 goals at 1.4 giving yourself a small loss if nobody scores. Is it not better to have a few small losses like this so when you do get a winner you'll be making at least three times the average loss, more if you risk leaving the game to run for two goals to be scored?
    Hope that makes sense.

  • @jocke78
    @jocke78 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great video 👍also joined the discord community

  • @dominiquelavergne5233
    @dominiquelavergne5233 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    I saw once more this video and this strategy gave me an idea. I often start a trade by backing the under 1.5 goal in a match with poor scoring teams in the 1st half. About 15 minutes later (I never waited more...accidents can happen), odds are lower and I cash out taking my profit and I move to another match ...or not.
    But, if there is no goal at half time, and if the 2 teams score more in the 2nd half, I could use this strategy to extract more profits from the same match. I will have to think about this next time.
    Thanx for this video.

  • @Scotch85
    @Scotch85 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Loving your videos and loving your discord. Keep up the great work! 🤩🤑

  • @tonymathews4049
    @tonymathews4049 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great video and the group is worth joining some good ideas and members who actually try to help each other , congratulations and thanks to TTM and the guys in the forum...

  • @richardmann160
    @richardmann160 10 หลายเดือนก่อน

    love this video-well done guys-excellent trade!

  • @tdew12
    @tdew12 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    When it's such an early goal like that was on the 57th minute why not stick £10 on the score of 1-0 knowing that will win or you will get the full payout less the correct score stake if there is another goal!

  • @mavevictor
    @mavevictor 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you for this one, more videos like this will be awesome! :)

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Stick with us and you shall receive 😂

  • @rocksagajohn
    @rocksagajohn 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Another great vid James, with an excellent explanation. Happy hols.

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thanks John! Time to put my feet up 😎

  • @markjackson8261
    @markjackson8261 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Gotta love that Wigan accent!!

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      It's a Bolton accent 😂
      Although I am partial to a Galloways Pasty/Pie

  • @Maverick-xs6ui
    @Maverick-xs6ui 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Hiya mate is there a place to download any of these excellent excell sheets?

  • @DaveHayesTV
    @DaveHayesTV 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Watched this a few times now and its a good video, which I plan to try out. The discord groupos is also very good and you will become a better trader for being in therre

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thanks dave! A pleasure to have you with us on the server!!
      And good luck with the strategy 👍🏻

  • @adrianbremner679
    @adrianbremner679 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    fantastic sh1.5 strategy thanks

  • @zaklloyd4335
    @zaklloyd4335 2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

    Isn't it all relative?
    You lay with the bigger liability on the CS and you win 100% vs losing 300% or with this you risk losing 100% for a 30% gain

    • @steveturner9136
      @steveturner9136 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      This is win (cash out from) £100 with £30 at risk. Laying the 0-0 is putting £100 at risk for £30 gain (potential)

  • @HrhFish
    @HrhFish ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Hey James just a thought. I have been watching the stats for a few years. 0-0 at half time could end up 0-0 full time have you thought about taking insurance by backing 0-0 to recover your stake or would you consider going for games that have a goal instead?

    • @jimmynich4791
      @jimmynich4791 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thats a good idea, one goal you'll be able to trade out the overs a lot of the time, if your 0-0 hits it will be okay, only a single late goal would ruin the whole trades.

  • @Chchchyep
    @Chchchyep 9 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Is there an inport code for this strategy for sports iq please. Great content guys.. the discord is awsome too

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  8 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Not as yet... but I will create one and share it in the future 💯

    • @andymac9171
      @andymac9171 6 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@TradingTheMarket Hi James did you make an import code for Sports-IQ as yet?

  • @yosibest
    @yosibest 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great video, worth trying this strategy.

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thanks Jose!!!
      Good Luck with it and Happy Trading!!!

  • @keithevans1088
    @keithevans1088 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Great looking strategy 😂

  • @michabochenek3004
    @michabochenek3004 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Hi, could you tell me, what about when will not goal at all? Do you finish early or play to end?

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  5 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      The trade is until the final whistle. If the goal does not arrive, then we take a loss.
      This is why it's important to stick to a staking system and the odds range to leg in.

  • @lukemcmillan5264
    @lukemcmillan5264 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    can't decide whether to use this strategy or the lay the cs strategy as not much different
    liability could be lower on u1.5 but so could the profit if a goal is scored before the 60th min for example

  • @vijeeshkumarc3332
    @vijeeshkumarc3332 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Grt, do you a exit time of no goals scored.

  • @noahh799
    @noahh799 ปีที่แล้ว

    So at half time if it’s 0-0 you place under 1.5 and then cashout when odds change ?

  • @leesharpe5610
    @leesharpe5610 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Only just come across you ,very glad i did ,im not sure what do ,over 3.5 goals or under 1.5 goals .what would you suggest ? Thanks

  • @stupot1952
    @stupot1952 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    I HAVE JUST DONE THIS LAY UNDER 1.5 AT HALF TIME AND LOST MY STAKE BECAUSE THE MATCH FINISHED 0-0

    • @stupot1952
      @stupot1952 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@beefy32 I did one last night second half and let it run right to the end the result was 0-1 on a lay the 1.5 score but i lost my bet??

    • @stupot1952
      @stupot1952 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@beefy32 THANKS YES I HAD 3 BETS ALL SCORED IN THE SECOND HALF 1-0 SAME AS IN YOUR EXAMPLE TRADE THEN YOU CASHED OUT BUT I COULD NOT CASH OUT IT STOPPED IN THE RED AND ALL 3 MATCHES WENT 1-0 UP LIKE YOURS

  • @neilbrannigan4461
    @neilbrannigan4461 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Just a quickie is there a time limit to trade out ie still 0-0 at say 80 mins or a decimal figure to stick to to keep losses at a minimum

    • @AlexShaw
      @AlexShaw 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      So the decimal figure in his example went down to 1.1 at this point it can't get any lower. The losses on this bet would be small. You could try and cash out near the end but you may find there is little money in the market at this point

  • @andellio
    @andellio ปีที่แล้ว

    If there is a red card in the first half would this strategy be useful if the odds parimeter (1.4 to 1.8) exist?

  • @NA-oe9ch
    @NA-oe9ch 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Is there a stop loss strategy associated with this trade? What happens if you lay 1.5 goals and the game is 0-0 past the 80th minute. Is it recommended to cash out for a loss?

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว +4

      It's entirely up to you, you can cash out for the loss or let it run which is what I usually do.
      For the low amounts of liability and the small amount you would get back at the 80th minute you may as well let it run.
      I've had 85th minute goals and still made a small profit or broke even.

  • @tylertamoli3081
    @tylertamoli3081 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Had to watch again 💥

  • @simonjones2302
    @simonjones2302 ปีที่แล้ว

    Love this strategy, thanks for sharing!
    I’m recently new to the exchange. I’ve been backing the second half goals on B365 with some success but this has put me on a better path. Really glad I found your channel, I’ve been like a headless chicken trying to find someone kosher, Feel I’ve found it now in you and your team. TTM 👏🏼😁
    How do I get involved with you guys forum please. 😊

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Your welcome mate and I see you have joined the discord server 👍🏻

  • @szabolcstrucz2220
    @szabolcstrucz2220 9 หลายเดือนก่อน

    zero game will be odds 1.5 in U1.5g lay at HT. Have to wait a far bit for that.

  • @realestatelithuania377
    @realestatelithuania377 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Where is exit point if no goals?

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  ปีที่แล้ว +1

      There is no exit point, No Goals = A Loss.

  • @FatherJHackett
    @FatherJHackett 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    You say to look for lay odds of between 1.4 and 1.8... So if this game had odds of 1.8 for under 1.5 goals, would you have then laid at 1.8, 1.7, 1.6 an so on?

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Originally yes I would have Layed in this way. I will have a new Under 1.5 video coming soon when the new season begins to further enhance this strategy or if you would like to join our Discord Server I can go through this with you there!

    • @FatherJHackett
      @FatherJHackett 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@TradingTheMarket Thanks, I plan to join that. Gave this a blast on the Sweden vs Switzerland Women's Euros match this evening, which worked great! Looking to automate using BetAngel as well. Almost got it but not quite there yet.

  • @luciananton3900
    @luciananton3900 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Just my thoughts: isn't it more profitable (and easier to do...) to just back over 0.5 goals (or over 1.5, 2.5, depending on the score at the moment of the bet, of course....) at average odds of 1.40 - that's pretty much the odds at the moment of your first bet, which is lay at 1.60?! Like this you will have better returns when the goal comes early after that minute, or even more so, close to the end of the game! It is true that the return is slightly better when the goal comes between 70-80 mins, but it's compensated by the superior outcome in case of scoring take place in 55'-70' and after the 80th... and no more the hassle of "dripping" the stake...

    • @cupidstunt70
      @cupidstunt70 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Very good points Lucian. Traders don't back, backers don't trade etc. The best way to answer your question is to back test, but if the aim to profit from one goal being scored in the 2nd half then your idea seems more logical.

    • @steveturner9136
      @steveturner9136 ปีที่แล้ว +3

      If you place a back bet of £25 @ 1.4 you get a return of £10 if you win. That's a 2.5 times loss if there is no goal. This strategy reduces the liability so that you are laying at an average of 1.3. If you lay, for the same liability (£25), your lay stake would be £83 (return). This is why doing it this way around is more profitable and puts less money at risk.

  • @phoenixstudios7520
    @phoenixstudios7520 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Hello there, very nice and informative channel, I subscribed immediately.
    I was wondering how is this strategy different from the Back Over 1.5 Goals one in the second half. They seem the same to me and I don't know which one is better to use
    Thanks!

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Backing Over 1.5 and Laying Under 1.5 is the same thing.
      Laying just makes having a set stake easier to understand and manage for most people that's all.

    • @phoenixstudios7520
      @phoenixstudios7520 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@TradingTheMarket Thank you for replying. I am having a hard time finding matches that give lay odds at 1.5 in the start of the second half. Most seem to be around 1.8 - 2.00. Would you say it's worth entering with lay odds at 1.8 or wait until it drops?

  • @mustakwaka8518
    @mustakwaka8518 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    could someone please tell me where i can access the spreadsheet
    thanks

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Join the discord pal

    • @mustakwaka8518
      @mustakwaka8518 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@TradingTheMarket hi
      yes i have found it but the excel spread sheet does not work properly..text missing &
      error messages all over the page??

  • @mickcreedon7847
    @mickcreedon7847 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Tried this a few times on low stakes, seem to work so far. If no goal comes when do you recommend trading out for the loss?

    • @AlexShaw
      @AlexShaw 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      You could try and trade out just a few minutes before end of game. Once the odds hit 1.1 they can't go any lower. It might be that there isn't enough money in the market to trade out but the losses are so low anyway

    • @barnes19064
      @barnes19064 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      was thinking same. i guess if your selections are correct your strike rate will take care of the losses

  • @sidmayndog2023
    @sidmayndog2023 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Great strategy, thanks for sharing it. Just wondering why you don't lay the under 0.5 goals? The liability is even lower and you win all the stake when the second half goal goes in. Or am I missing something?

    • @sidmayndog2023
      @sidmayndog2023 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Lol - ignore me, that was late last night and I was looking at the over 0.5 goals market. 🤦‍♂ Obviously, under 0.5 goals is the same as 0-0; so equivalent to your correct score strategy.

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      No problem 👍

  • @paulsmith313
    @paulsmith313 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Do you trade out at a loss or lose the whole stake if there is no goal by 80 minutes?

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Hi Paul i would point you in the direction of our updated version to this strategy in answer to your question - th-cam.com/video/D91FrgC2z3E/w-d-xo.html 👍🏻

  • @zumpy887
    @zumpy887 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Why do you wait the HT and don't laying in first time?

    • @ZiggyLaCont
      @ZiggyLaCont 2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Because the odds will be too high.

  • @Anony-Mousse
    @Anony-Mousse 2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Over 1.5 @ 2.90 at HT ? OMG What kind of shity game should it be to have that kind of odds ?
    Let’s be honest, if you want to start laying the Under 1.5 @ 1.50, most of the time you have to wait until the 55th min no ? So you need a goal in the 30 min bracket otherwise it’s a full loss… Hard to believe this strategy can be profitable on the long run :-/

    • @balazsmenyhart2645
      @balazsmenyhart2645 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I was thinking about the same but nobody wrote any comment about it. Its very rare to find a match with this odds HT. Especially in top leagues. Anyway the video is good, the strategy is not bad. Lets check the second video James mentioned ;)

  • @kevinarmstrong425
    @kevinarmstrong425 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    How do I subscribe to your community please ?

  • @johnnelson7735
    @johnnelson7735 4 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    its lucky if at half time the odds are as low as what you say

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  4 หลายเดือนก่อน

      This can often be the case....
      If the odds have not reached your desired level at HT you could either wait until they do as time decays into the second half or walk away altogether.
      Not every game will reach the odds at HT...
      The risk/reward comes down to how confident you are in your data research to then enter the trade say at 50mins, 60 mins or beyond. 👍

  • @chrisarthur9462
    @chrisarthur9462 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    simply outstanding !!!

  • @ArnautuLucasIulian
    @ArnautuLucasIulian 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Just i tried this strategy right now. Tottenham v wolves. 0-0 at HFT , 1-0 at 63’ . First enter on 1.75 second 1.6 and third 1.5 . I almost made 50% profit . So Thanks I will keep records and I will come back After a month with my P/L

  • @JackSmith-kp2vs
    @JackSmith-kp2vs 2 ปีที่แล้ว +6

    No negativity yet you diss both caan berry and betfair trading community for no reason

  • @rotierender_lurch
    @rotierender_lurch 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Why didn't you back Over 1.5 goals and buy that while the odds go up? Would need much less money.

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Whether you're Backing or Laying, to make the same amount of profit I would still have to place the same stakes, the liability would be the same.
      Backing Over 1.5 Or Laying Under 1.5 is exactly the same thing.

  • @ALLAH1MS2
    @ALLAH1MS2 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks James. So what is our strategy when there is no goal?

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      For me personally I will take the hit and lose.
      You could trade out for a slightly smaller loss after 80 mins but the difference will be peanuts.
      I will have a new video about this coming when the football season starts and show a new staking method that greatly helps this strategy.
      Have you joined our discord server?
      I can explain it in further detail there very easily 👍🏻

    • @steveturner9136
      @steveturner9136 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@TradingTheMarket Was there ever a second video on this? The issues I'm having is that statistically there are 23% of games that end 0-0 if they were 0-0 at HT and 77% have a goal. The trade out value of the 77% is breaking about even with the full loss of the 23% 0-0 draws. It needs some tweaking to steal a bit more value, then I can let it run by itself.

  • @islamalsaady8479
    @islamalsaady8479 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    sound??

  • @tylertamoli3081
    @tylertamoli3081 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Once again a great video!
    So much more knowledge and entertainment given than any of the other trading channels.
    They make me "yawn" 😂
    Literally regurgitate the same 🤬
    Unsub, Unsub, Unsub!!
    TTM all the way 👊🏻
    Keep up the good work Gents!

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      Thanks Tyler!!
      Glad to have you with us!!

  • @glynnallen5516
    @glynnallen5516 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    i cant win whatever system I play I'm so suspicious RM

  • @neilbrannigan4461
    @neilbrannigan4461 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Just read the answer below dohhhhhh 😁

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Hi Neil have you joined our Discord Server? I need to update this Strategy with a new video soon.
      If you would like to talk about this strategy join us 👊🏻

  • @davidnuttall4796
    @davidnuttall4796 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Enjoyed the video but please lose the "boooom" 👍

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      Ah hell no!!!!!
      BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM!!!!!!!!!!!

  • @thescallytrader
    @thescallytrader ปีที่แล้ว +1

    "we do not tolerate negativity" - Well you haven't met me yet. Your Trade is nothing more than a Bet. Laying Under 1.5 goals is EXACTLY the same as Backing over 1.5 goals. What do you do when a goal doesn't happen in the 2nd half or the goal comes to late that the new price is higher than your OP? This is nothing more than you backing over 1.5 goals and hoping for a early goal which might not come. It is insanely basic and fundamentally illogical. if the goal doesn't come you lose your stake. 😂😂

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  ปีที่แล้ว +4

      "And nor will I ever meet you"
      My trade is nothing more than a bet??? 😂
      My trade is a trade. It has a entry and exit point which allows me to take advantage of the price movement.
      And OMFG, Laying Over 1.5 goals is "NOT" the same as Backing Over 1.5 goals. 😂😂😂
      Laying is saying it won't happen, Backing is saying it will happen - you most be so profitable??
      People like you make me laugh so hard, You have no clue, you wake up in a morning thinking you have all the answers whilst stood in front of mummy asking to borrow some money.
      I point you in the direction of the title of the video - "Laying "UNDER" 1.5 goals.
      I'm Laying Under 1.5 not Over 1.5 (Give Me Strength)
      If the goal does not arrive or comes too late in the game we won't get our (Successful Trade) price movement.
      It will result in a loss.
      Nonetheless all trades are the same, if you are successful you make money. If you are not - you don't.
      Your comment not only makes you look like a fool but shows your complete lack of understanding of trading.
      Lucky for you we have a Trading Academy which is completely free, I would start with the "What Is A Back Trade" video.
      Your welcome.
      I take it the "Scally" part of your username refers to your Sub-Par education...
      Finally, thanks for the view and the comment it really does help push the channel.
      Thanks.
      James.

    • @markjackson9827
      @markjackson9827 ปีที่แล้ว

      You cant win every trade, no one does, if youre smart you will bet a percentage of your betting bank, if you have a good strategy and you win more than you lose in the long term you will be in profit

  • @peterlaverty3589
    @peterlaverty3589 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Hi. When i try to join the discord channel i get this error message: Invite Invalid. Do you have an email adress where i could contact you?

    • @TradingTheMarket
      @TradingTheMarket  2 ปีที่แล้ว

      Hi Pete try this link 👍🏻 discord.gg/DHqFkQMCRv