Tough $2/5 Poker Session - Bellagio: Great Reads, Bad Luck & Big Hands | Poker Vlog Ep. 53
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- เผยแพร่เมื่อ 1 ต.ค. 2024
- In this episode, I head back to Bellagio for a $2/5 cash game and face some brutal beats! Despite making some great reads, I couldn’t avoid a run of bad luck. Watch as I break down the key hands, including tough spots with pocket aces and queens that didn’t hold.
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Tough $2/5 Poker Session - Bellagio: Great Reads, Bad Luck & Big Hands | Poker Vlog Ep. 53
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Hey everyone, I misspoke on the 77 hand. No backdoor flush draw came in. Hope you all enjoy the hands!
Nice play with the QQ for last hand. Definitely like thought process. SB should be checking entire hand range on turn. Turn is definitely close between call/jam . Definitely a player dependent hand. How many Kx does my opponent have. Would he 3bet AK to buttons raise? Would he 3bet JJ? Would he 4bet AK/JJ to my 3bet? Does he fold off suit Kx to my 3bet after calling preflop? Would he check/call a set on the flop and now lead the turn when you should be blasting on a Kx a large % of the time. Would he lead a K when you can easily have JJ+/AK/KQ here?
Yeah, a lot of those questions ran through my mind and the conclusion I kept coming to was he doesn’t take a check/call lead turn line with many of any Kx. His line strongly represented draws so then it came down to call or jam. I don’t think calling is a terrible option. Keeps ranges wide and he is going to miss quite often and when he misses he might bluff off his entire stack. I settled on jam though as I’m not sure if he was the type to continue firing on the river when he misses.
QJ hand. solver prefers checking flop. calling turn if sb bets, and mixes bet 66% /check on turn if checked to. If bet turn and called, solver wants to bet 100% pot on river when checked to. Logic being is that you should have a lot of bluff hands on the river and your opponent should not have that many better hands that beat you when called and SB should be calling with 9x, 7x, 4x worse Jx. However 67% of pot is also fine. As long as you bet the river when checked to. And of course, river call is 100% standard.
Damn….. you played the QQ hand to perfection. That sucks….
Sick River 🤢
17:29
Why do people say they BLOCK blah blah blah as if the draw will never come. You have a removal to a draw, you don’t block zhit. 🤫
Just my 2 cent. 😆
Blockers are a consideration when ranging your opponent’s. Thats why you hear people talking about them during hand analysis.
I think on the reraise turn 9 it’s alright to fold because the 9 itself shouldn’t have improved him unless it’s pocket 99s excatly . A9dd which hold Ad . I guess 108dd that wants to press the equity but 9/10 players aren’t thinking THAT deep so sometimes give them credit . I’m sure you know MOST of the time they have it when they pop it like that lol
Yeah, I think they almost always have it when they raise turn. It was just such a small amount of money that I didn’t think I could get away from it in that spot. I guess at the end of the day the amount doesn’t matter. When you’re beat you’re beat, just fold and look for a better spot.
Quads hand, hard to say because A) LJ should be leading full pot on flop if he is going to bet. B) Turn is just way too small. C) River is hard to say because you're never going to be showing Villain a bluff here enough. Like you're not going to call flop with a marginal hand like QsTs and just start blasting turn / river for full pots to get all-in on river.
True. I have seen some of the 2/5 population calling way to light on rivers. Calling big bets with 2nd or even 3rd pair on boards they feel “safe” because draws didn’t come in.
Solid read / thinking process for the QQ hand at the end. In the moment it sucks, but you should be happy how you played despite the outcome. I remember when there was a poker room in the Mirage (the one in the middle, and then the smaller room at the back). I don't play SNGs that often, but remember getting second place in one a few years ago. Mirage will be missed, but hopefully Hard Rock will have a poker room.
Thanks 🙏 after reviewing the QQ hand, I think call turn and evaluate River is the better option. If I put him on mostly draws, and I think I he is capable of continuing to bluff when he misses River, then I think calling is better. I think it allows me to get away from it when straights or flushes complete and call when they miss.
Q8s: If she calls loosely on the flop and then folds most turns, just bet larger on the flop and take the turn fold. No reason to try to get more on the river with no pair no draw.
77: I'd bet larger on the turn after losing value on the flop after it checks through.
AA vs set: I think you can fold turn. Villain did not raise flop, so he likely does not have a draw. Only other likely hands are either sets and 2pr.
QJ: Villain has not shown any strength, the 4 does not bring in any draws, and there is only one possible straight (T8). I wouldn't go for a small bet on the turn. I'd go for a large one. You just got unlucky here imo. KJ is the one hand that isn't good enough to raise preflop or on the flop but still beats you.
QQ: Not sure about the jam. You really don't have enough stack to make it mistake for villain to call with a draw, so I think calling is better.
If he doesn't jam the queens, he's still gonna have to call on the river when the guy hits the straight. Are you suggesting he fold while ahead? Jam or call he's still getting stacked.
mite have to change title to bad reads and lucky I didn't run bad lol
just threw the first 3-4 hands and you played them all bad brother
It will be helpful if you could add some deeper analysis. Playing a hand “bad” doesn’t really mean much and is relative.
You can’t get “value” with a bluff lol. A bluff is designed to get the opponent to fold.
“Value” might be the wrong word. “Profitable” is probably the better word.
Great reads,solid play, remember cream always rises to the top so don't tilt & in long run u will be profitable!
Thank you 🙏
QJo Btn. Interestingly enough, you can open this to 7x and be profitable (and probably 8x and maybe 9x), however 3x is more profitable than 4x-7x-9x raise sizes. But if you're going to play tight, it's a thing to consider since at open button 3x raise size at 100bb deep, you should play around 40% of hands but 4x, you go down to 35% of hands, and roughly 5% less hands when adding 1bb to your raise size (i.e. 4x raise = 35% of hands, 5x raise = 30% of hands and so on).
I.e. if opening to 45$ preflop (9x bb), your range should be roughly 99+, AJo+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, KQo, A4s, A5s.
I do wonder if that inverse holds true though if opening into short stacks into sb/bb. Obviously, one is not going to make a habit of opening 5-9x preflop on button, but if sb/bb have short stacks (much less than 100bb preflop, say 40-60bb), if your range should tighten considerably to those hands (i.e. if bb has 30bb, and you are going to open 3x, you're basically opening to 9x if 100bb deep).
This is interesting and not something I consider often enough. I feel like tournament players are way more in tune with preflop sizing in position vs effective stack size. Definitely an area in my game that needs improvement.
Rough session brother
You have lost it. You thought the fold by opponent on the turn because you wanted to get another street with no hand. Please come play in NY.
One of the liberating things you can learn playing poker is not only can you make people fold when running a bluff, you can also significantly increase the value of your bluffs by getting your opponents to call multiple streets and fold the river. I’m sure I’ll be on the east coast at some point. See you at the tables 👍🏻
21st
Nice read on the QQ hand. Too bad you got punished for it.
Thanks brother, not going to be results oriented. It was the right decision and that means I’m getting better at this poker thing 😂
How much did 8 9 of clubs have behind
He had me covered so I’m estimating it was around $700
89c 🤮🤮
Yeah, it’s a sick 🤢 one 😂
I haven't seen AA OR KK in the past year lol😂😂 unbelievable but I'm ok wit it.. I don't wait for premium hands and I wanna break off the player that does . Good luck out there
He makes some super weak folds would love to have his type at my table. Too scared
Not about being scared it’s about knowing your opponents tendencies and what they are capable of. Most villains don’t bluff often enough and they certainly don’t bluff rivers with a high frequency. Calling in those spots on rivers is just lighting money on fire.
@@panicpoker I can’t imagine you win often. Or you’re really cutting into your profits as scary as you play. Maybe go down in stakes
@@Frosty2211 you’re obviously knew to the channel so welcome to the community. I just recently moved up to $2/5 about two months ago.
8max 3x open utg 10% 8max 3x open utg 10% rake has open range of:
A3s+
JJ+
KTs+
K5s
KQo
with mix of open raise or fold of
ATo/AJo
KTo/KJo
55-TT
K7s-K9s
54s-87s
T9s-JTs
However with the 5% rake that Bellagio has, you can add in these hands to mix open raise or fold utg:
A2s
K4s/K6s
QTs / QJs
However folding suited aces A2s-A9s utg is not bad when opening 3x. Does depend on table line-up.
If your open is 3x your must open range (makes more than 0.02bb+) is:
QQ+
ATs+
AQo+
A5s
KQo
KJs
and with Bellagio (and Aria/Wynn's rake structure) I'd add in JJ, A9s, KTs, and maybe K5s / TT as a 100% open here utg.
8max 2x open utg 10% rake has open range of:
A3s+
K9s+
QJs+
TT+
ATo+
KJo+
K5s+
with a mix or raise or fold utg of:
55-99
A2s
K7s-Ks8s
QTs
JTs
54s-65s-76s
However if you wanted to play tight, this is the 100% open before folding too many hands utg:
A9s+
A5s, A7s, A8s
KTs+
TT+
AJo
KQo
So as we can see, the smaller your open raise size, the looser you can play preflop, even from under the gun.
Ironically, A9s is more of a hand to play UTG than 77
This should be your baseline open range from utg opening 3x from 100+bb deep.
A3s+
KTs+
KQo
TT+
ATo+
This is quite a bit wider than I’m currently opening from UTG. I need to experiment more with this and with the 3x open sizing and 5% rake I feel like mixing in some suite connectors is probably fine as well?
@@panicpokeryou could toss in some suited connectors (54s, 65s, 76s 87s). It would still mix in open raise or folding . So not opening it 100% of the time, compared to the range I listed.
Also mixing in some lower pocket pairs as well 77-99 (if not down to 55-66). Probably mixing open raising and folding these. Also probably mixing in K9s and KJo as well. Maybe some KTo but that’s pushing it.
I would still muck 22-44 utg.
I think you’re playing great . Continue to grind . New supporter .
Thank you 🙏 and welcome to the community!
Also note that roughly 20.5% of hands have 0 EV or higher opening UTG 8 handed 100bb deep at 10% rake, so why are we folding hands that have 0 EV? Because if you get 3-bet, you're going to have to call with your pocket pairs / suited connectors, 4 bet the strong hands (and some A4s/A5s/AQs), but you're going to be folding a large % of the time compared to your opens (roughly continuing with 9%, so folding and losing 3x bb 55% of the time) whereas if your open range utg is 13% and your continue range on a 3-bet is ~6% so even though you're raise/folding about same percentage (55% folding to 3-bet), you're doing it roughly 33% less often plus that 6% range you're continuing with, the top quadrant (AK/KK/AA) makes up around 2% so you're going to be 4-betting 1/3rd of the time. Compared to 1/5th of the time if you had to continue with that 9% range.)