Yeah, I mean some of his thoughts are really interesting and make you think about what could be coming, but many of his opinions come across as hyperbolic. And then there are those predictions that just flat out fail to materialize.
My favorite is probably Teddy Roosevelt. De-monopolized huge companies like the railroad corporations that had a stranglehold on the US, was a great environmentalist that nationalized parks and was a very, very well disciplined and scholarly individual. He was both a fantastic world leader and heavily accomplished man.
Biden could have won.. he was old and he was a man. America's not voting for a woman. FFS 30% of this country are INCELs and you want them to vote for a woman??
Clinton went back on a lot of the assurances GHWB gave Russia not to push nato into every single former Soviet republic but Russia… and you wonder why that Putin guy is so cross.
Surprising Perot is so often forgotten in his role electing Clinton - Bush lost the popular vote by 5% while Perot took 19% of the vote, most of which would have gone to Bush absent Perot. And Perot was essentially self-funded... just a rich guy with an ego and a finger on the election.
Perot was against NAFTA when it was still in drafting phase. He correctly predicted the majority of US manufacturing jobs going to Mexico - calling it a "giant sucking sound" south during a debate. Perot was also against the Gulf War and preferred Saddam take Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the rest of the Gulf states - if Saddam jacks up the price of his newfound oil (he'd be controlling more than 50% if he owned the Gulf), it's the rest of the world's problem, not Washington's. Peter, being pro-free trade and globalization, wouldn't like Perot at all.
Perots company, Citrix, also got some massive contracts after Clinton won. More and more I think Perot was an intentional plant by Slick Willie who ended up winning with 42% of the vote.
2:39 "the moment we had to reshape..." Just after 9/11. We pretty much had the world in our corner and could have reshaped geopolitics for the better. Instead we turned it into 20 years of war and made the world more partisan, more nationalistic, and angrier at the US than ever before.
... and destroyed lives on all sides including our and wasted tillions of $s in the process. Imagine (per Lennon) what could have been. We still might wind up like the USSR!
And as I remember it OBL actually wrote a huge manifesto that stated that the "20 years of useless war" was part of the long plan (his). OBL gambled that USA leaders would do this, and it could end up breaking the "global world order" as led by the USA. Kinda looks like it did. What OBL did not count on, was the ME oil oligarchs would still deal business with the USA and Europe. OBL was a fanatic who thought those regimes would be overthrown by the Islamic zealots. And some were. But it just caused more grief in the ME overall. And ME oil oligarchs are more than willing to cut deals with the other economies in the world that also keeps the oil business profitable. I watch enough Zeihan videos to know he thinks new regional economic alliances could/would form, and most won't be dependent on USA.
Well the choice was to listen to Israel and strengthen their geopolitical position, or to push for peace. Israel has more influence than any pacifists.
Remembered that George Bush lost the election for 2nd term because of raising taxes (after saying no new/higher taxes earlier) even though it was what was needed to reach a deal with democrats who allowed cut in government. I applaud him for making the unpopular (among republicans) political decision because it was the right thing to do unlike now where both parties will just keep increasing the deficit during downturns.
You need to increase the deficit during downturns... It's when the the economy is going well that you need to slow it down and create a surplus, that way you can more or less keep the total debt amount reasonable. It also helps prevent large corrections.
i disagree. one does not break one's word, especially if on eis leader of the free world. would have been better off not making the promise to start but once made...
@@mayastic9570 Folks seem to forget or leave out that that is also what Keynes said. Haven't been any adults in charge for a *long* time. And now it's too late to fix it without a severe crisis - at some point.
I wouldnt have immediately picked G.H.W. Bush. You do raise some great points though. Id have picked Washington (and still probably would) but Bush was such a low key guy. It's easy to gloss over what he did and when he was doing it.
Agreed, Washington. Would have had a bunch more in front of Bush too (Jackson, Lincoln, Reagan, Clinton, Trump, Roosevelt to name a few), but I guess that means i need to look into it.
@alexandersims1613 I've been rethinking it, and I'm still with Washington. After that would probably be Ronald Reagan and/or Donald Trump. I'm not sure who I like more, and might have to wait out Trump's second term to be sure. Also on the list is Chester Arthur, the guy who didn't want the job, but left most contemporaries quite pleased with his work. Interesting bit of history, at least.
Maybe Peter does too much travelling these days to see the winds of change blowing through the swing states. I was always surprised how confident he was on how likely a Harris or previously Biden win would be. Those predictions didn't age well at all.
He's the predictable product of his own echo chamber, which is disappointing for a LARGELY independent thinker. It's actually human nature, so people are being a bit too hard on him for it IMO.
@@NoPe-no4sn I think he forgot the most basic rule in Political Science: People are fickle and they lie *alot*, constantly, about everything. The assasination attempts on Trump turned him into a martyr-like figure for many people, as tends to happen when any leader is attacked (because people are stupid). If we were talking about moderates (who generally don't feel like voting) then his predictions could very well have been correct. But we got loonies on both sides and single issue voters with no brain (again, both sides) voting instead.
I love the fact that its been almost a week since the election and we still havent had a video by Peter about its outcome because he releases everything a week earlier on Patreon.
Harry Truman is my favorite President. He is the epitome of an underdog story. The last President to never go to college, and he had to make more momentous decisions that shaped the world is his first 100 days than Lincoln or FDR. David McCullough's Pulitzer Prize winning book "Truman" is my favorite biography and made me want to become a history teacher.
I’m reading that book at the moment and it’s just extraordinary. Truman was definitely a great - was handed the presidency with no notice or preparation, then built the post-ww2 global order
Truman rebuilt much of the world after the war. Oversaw huge economic problems then growth. Integrated the military. Dropped the bomb, but also saved millions of lives after the war.
Yes, Peter has lost the ability to count now, alongside his inability to pronounce the word nuclear correctly. I think he needs a PET CT Scan to check his brain for bias if not for dementia.
The only answer for me is U.S. Grant. Wasnt a great politician and surrounded himself with awful politicians but he did so much for civil rights with the amendments. Hes underrated overall as a president and general.
Calvin Coolidge, he was one of the few presidents in American history who actually understood what foundations America was built on and he didn't actively try to get America into endless conflicts.
@@stephenphillips6245 The Tariff of 1930 (Smoot-Hawley) was sponsored by U.S. Senator Reed Smoot (R-UT) and U.S. Representative Willis C. Hawley (R-OR), and signed into law by President Herbert Hoover on June 17, 1930, eight months after the Wall Street Crash of 1929. President Coolidge had been out of office for over a year by that time. Incidentally, both Senator Smoot and Congressman Hawley would be out of office after the elections of 1932.
I think Lincoln is best, he steered the US through its darkest hour. America was very lucky it did not end up divided or in an endless cycle of violence and grievance, as is the more common outcome of most civil wars.
In fairness, Bush the First was trying to find a away to replace Bretton Woods, that would reserve the American Alliance system, without having to give away our economy to bribe the allies. The media and the paranoid at the time didn't get it as George did a bad job of educating people about the status quo and why it needed to change.
me too, just waiting for it, because he was 100% certain and laughing that trump wouldnt not win again. curious to see if he will stay silent on his error.
@aresus142 i know, but I am curious to see what he will say about his prediction. Its ok to get it wrong sometimes or even a lot of times, its not ok when you make a prediction saying you are 100% sure and laughing of those who may think otherwise.
Don't know if I agree,however him floating in shark infested waters after being shot down while bravely serving his country is an endearing story,and that he experienced such soul searching made me sleep better when he was in charge.
I’m sure he’s planning on it. Tariffs and deportations are assuredly going to lead to the largest economic collapse in American history, and that sounds like a video that takes a while to prepare.
Peter, analysis is only as good as its input data. When you’ve gotten things wrong in the past how have you adjusted to compensate? How will you do so after the election?
He spends to much time walking around the mountains by himself and didn’t know what the rest of us are actually going through. Smart guy but detached for some reason.
@@Tsevall Yeah, detached insofar as he's a smart guy that thought other people are smart or at least have enough common sense to not vote against their interests. Based on the google trends of people searching "what is a tariff" in the days AFTER the election, it is clear just how big a mistake that was, but I can't blame him for that.
@@QuantumAscension1Who would have thought that a failed musician AND failed podcaster would hold the views you're espousing!?!?😂 But ya, you're so smart and Biden totally had us on the right track! The less influence and access to capital people like you have, the better our country will be. That's why we vote Trump buddy.
@@DaddyAl-Baddie Well the winner writes the History books. George Washington was a British citizen that took up arms and went to war against his own country; if the colonists would have lost George Washington would have been hung as a traitor. It worked out for America because we got a better government but that wasn't decided at the time of the rebellion itself; however, if you look at China's rebellion and Mao in the same light you will find that the government type chosen was the hero and not the Rebel himself.
I think Peter did what most normal, somewhat-educated, patriotic and mature people did - and assumed the crazy train that is the GOP would never ever win. We *all* overestimated the amount of racism, misogyny and economic/political/factual ignorance that has permeated society. Unfortunately this result will affect that population in the WORST of ways.
G.H.W.B was typical of his generation. He did his duty, stayed humble (not easy given his life), took care of his family, and never stopped contributing to society. They were called the Greatest Generation for a reason!
@@mattihaapoja8203Actually GHW deliberately fought brief wars with limited objectives thanks to Colin Powell. But yes all those who followed in train decided to make a financial opportunity out of it.
Bush Sr. didn't bring about the fall of the Soviet Union. He was simply there when the inevitable happened. He genuinely seems to have been a decent man, but he's nowhere near the top of my list of favorite presidents. Personally, I think the GREATEST president is George Washington, if only for the fact that he established the boundaries of presidential power, both in the way he behaved and in the way he gracefully turned over power after two terms. Lincoln is a close second, for obvious reasons. That said, my personal FAVORITE president is Harry Truman. Unexpectedly thrust into the vice presidency, then even MORE unexpectedly becoming president, he skillfully took over the reigns and not only brought World War II to a conclusion but helped establish the new world order -- most notably with the Marshall Plan and the United Nations. And he stubbornly won re-election when everyone (and I mean EVERYONE) had concluded he was doomed to defeat. This was a humble man placed by fate upon the world stage, faced with gargantuan tasks and decisions (i.e. the atomic bomb), but who stepped up and surpassed everyone's expectations (probably his own as well) with his tenacity, perseverance and common sense. If I could be half the man Harry was, I'd consider my life well lived.
@@M2m1x so, defending our ally, then leaving, against what the neocons wanted(they wanted to stay and occupy Iraq in 1991), makes him a neocon? I remember that war, I remember being a child and hearing people talk about how we should have stayed on the news.
Spot on with George HW Bush! Have championed him likewise. And, he built a diverse coalition to repel Saddam, managed Operation Desert Storm efficiently, and resisted the temptation of his generals and advisors to invade Bagdad and overthrow Saddam. George Sr. was vindicated on that position 15 years later when Jr. made that mistake.
Grover Cleveland was President 'Veto'. He wouldn't let Congress pass legislation that spent funds on wasteful pet projects in members' districts, he let his veto pen do the talking. I don't think just having non-consecutive presidential terms is anything but coincidental.
I have been critical of Zeihan, but you're pretty smarmy if you're criticizing him for Fuhrer Dumpsters win, given the bulk of the world thought Harris would win, including Cheeto man himself. You have the highest passing rating of all Monday Morning Quarterbacks
Do you take everything Peter says as fact? I love his video's as it gives a different prospective I might not have heard but a crystal ball he doesn't have.
I really don't see why happening to have been in office at the time the Soviet bloc collapsed makes him a 'great' president in itself. That's just an accident of fate and he didn't do anything that puts him in the first rank of American leaders as far as I can see.
@@islandpapa1024 he's elusive when he wants. "I let you debate about two exceptions" well, this is a forum, questions are asked, don't answer the questions! He should begun by "I was completely wrong about this election and this is why.
You also could have mentioned that Bush attempted (1) a health care reform just short of what Singapore has, restoring market discipline while providing universal coverage (2) a Social Security reform that would have made the system solvent and, last but by no means least (3) the only serious comprehensive immigration reform attempted in my lifetime, and I'm 72. It would have brought the border under control, averting the current crisis by granting guest worker status to foreign job seekers in an orderly way leaving border law enforcement free to concentrate on actual criminals. It was defeated by Nancy Pelosi, who didn't want the GOP to achieve a major legislative victory of that magnitude with the collusion of a handful of nativist GOP Congressmen who at that time were a tiny minority. Bush got embroiled in two wars post 9/11, so he is remembered (and villified by paleocons & tankies) for that, but he came into office determined to implement urgently needed domestic reforms. Zeihan mentions the lost opportunity on the world stage, but the bigger lost opportunity was on the domestic front. Bush was the dying last gasp of the structural reforms of the Reagan years that gave us airline & trucking deregulation. When all his initiatives failed, Senator McCain remarked somberly, "We're a center-right county. We'll be alright." No, we won't.
Got to ask - are you referring to Bush Sr (1989-1983 president) or Bush Jr. (2001-2009 president)? What you wrote above seems mixed up between the two.
@@stevejackson5000 He's partially right on that one. Carter started it by loosening the regulations, Reagan took it to another level of de-regulation bordering on abandonment.
I agree with Peter Zeihan that Bush Sr. was the best president. I forgot another important reason. He took the opportunity of the USSR's failure to negotiate with Russia to drastically reduce the number of nuclear weapons in the world. Instead of storing nuclear weapons-grade material, he had it reprocessed and used in nuclear power plants during the 1990s and 2000s. This is a historic "nuclear swords into energy plowshares" decision for which we should all be eternally grateful. The other presidents implemented it, but it was Bush who got is started.
Zeihan completely omits the 1991 recession, which he lived through as a Gen X , and Bush not knowing the cost of a gallon of milk showing how out of touch with the common man he was. 1987 Black Monday happened on his watch. Zeihan likes presidents who have great foreign policy and poor domestic policy.
Plus the first Iraq War where he failed to achieve complete victory, as the Saudis were afraid if Saddam fell, their enemies the Iranians and other Shiites (They weren't wrong) would come to power in his place. Americans expect a real victory if we are going to go to war and Bush failed to understand that concept. As a consolation, I'm sure the Saudis gave the Bush family billions of dollars for protecting them.
I saw that. Very interesting. For those that didn’t see it, there was another analyst on PBD valuetainment and he was saying that Peter’s analysis is not original and in fact just a summation of others work.
For once I completely agree with Peter. I would add that Bush was also a Navy Aviator in WWII and Ambassador to the UN. Another thing to understand is that Clinton's campaign had a tag line which went "It's the economy, stupid." That is generally the determinant of US elections, not foreign policy. Even in 1980 and 1984 Regan, while strong on foreign policy was primarily running on economic issues. He was all about a strong military and deterrence (Trump has made similar statements) but it really was about the economy. I have seen surveys from this election of the reasons people voted and the top three never included foreign policy (Ukraine) or climate change. The thing is that I would not be too certain that the world order ever could have "fixed". In fact, Bush was impressive not because he was talking about how to cement the world order of the time, but that he wanted to discuss it. His approach gave people, as we would say in today's parlance, "agency". I think he was smart enough, experienced enough and honest enough to know that this was a whole new era. It was a situation that had never happened before. That just adds to his stature in my opinion. Just to enhance Bush's stature a little more, it was under him that the "Powell Doctrine" was put forward. He was talking about military action by the US assuming that diplomacy, etc. had failed. The following list I copied from Wikipedia: 1. Is a vital national security interest threatened? 2. Do we have a clear attainable objective? 3. Have the risks and costs been fully and frankly analyzed? 4. Have all other non-violent policy means been fully exhausted? 5. Is there a plausible exit strategy to avoid endless entanglement? 6. Have the consequences of our action been fully considered? 7. Is the action supported by the American people? 8. Do we have genuine broad international support? Now, just think about this in light of the Ukraine War. We don't have troops there (I think) but we have committed military assets.
Even if he acknowledges he was wrong, he's not going to validate that Trump is some kind of savior, which let's be honest.. that's all that you really want to hear.
That’s an answer I wouldn’t really expect from most people! I had to do an essay on Bush Sr. In HS and he actually is a rather fascinating character. Now I think Roosevelt may be my favorite, for his role in conservation. It was such an amazing foresight to begin drawing up guidelines that early in the industrialization process.
@@MLM68which is more likely, that there was massive mail in voter fraud in 2020, or that Elon zapped those 14 million votes (that were also absent in 2012 and 2016) from low earth orbit?
Interesting. I was not expecting that take but it makes sense with the majority of your content explaining our future after global trade , how we got there and why it’s all going away.
Absolutely, both were true pro-working class and didn't take any bullsh*t from corporations or their CEOs. Too bad we don't really have anyone like that now.
I watched a documentary about how disgusted Teddy was with the slaughter houses for beef and meat products. Teddy was furious. It truly was disgusted 🫣. He is the the reason why we have the FDA and our national parks we still have today . A republican that actually gave a chit of the American people. Such a rare breed of a guy . I've never seen once since . Same for FDR is the reason why Americans have social security upon retirement. Back to then elderly were starving and quality of life was living in a chicken coop . Eleanor was also a pretty amazing lady for those times as well . Again back when the government actually cared about the quality of life for Americans . Such a contrast of where our government is now 😒.
Suddenly being a vice president means credit for Zeihan :D A week ago he said being a vice president for Harris means zero experience. I guess it is easy to just say anything without accountability nowadays.
Almost perfect, I concur. If was not for not handling the Southern Negro situation properly , he would be the all time perfect. He should have listened to Eleanor Roosevelt. A great unheralded humanitarian. Giving all that Government money to Southern Land Owners ( who controlled the Democrat Party in the Deep South ) and not making sure they kicked down to sharecroppers was a costly misjudgement. That is where the lynchings and cross burnings stepped up. Southern Baptist Negroes started to organize to get their fair shake.
I’ve been counting and recounting on my fingers. Maybe he was including Harris or HW? Narcissists must be W, Clinton, trump. I don’t see Obama and Biden that way, but apparently he does.
@@E4439Qv5 Callin Obama self absorbed is an understatement. The dude almost single-handedly kicked off the culture war in the U.S. - his head is so far up his own ass and yet somehow still in the clouds.
he was also a WW2 hero. he was a torpedo bomber. and was shot down. he returned to the fight as soon as he could. he loved his country and sacrificed a lot for it.
@ he referred back to his interview with Institute For Liberal Values in July when Biden dropped out, and Harris took over. He was in Yosemite when Biden dropped out, and said to refer back to that interview. In said interview he explains why he didn’t think Trump could win.
You’re on another level, Zeihan. By another level, I am speaking about an American population where half in May 2024 erroneously characterized the S&P 500 level-a data point obtainable in value and trend on our smartphones in seconds-as down for the year, and a recent election where the majority of America voted for tariffs because they were upset about high prices. So, yeah, your praise of GHW Bush is on another level: accurate and well supported, but conveying a nuanced ask of society that they will never fathom, much less see.
I agree Peter, after Bush senior only narcissists (and I would add or incompetent). And now in January we will have one that exhibits both traits, an incompetent narcissist.
Pres. Bush Sr. used to anger his staff because he knew all of the world leaders after heading the CIA & then being Vice Pres for 8 years, and they would brief him on something and he’d say something like, “Oh I called (first name) last night and we got it all figured out.” Pres. Carter rated him as the best of the century.
Mr Zeihan, I used to agree with you, because he was willing to raise taxes to cover spending deficits, which is what got him tossed out of the office. However, I have since learned that GHWB, after the Tiananmen square massacre, secretly worked out a deal with the Chinese that he wouldn't interfere in their politics, and he further vetoed legislations and personally lobbied senate members to not pass those legislation against the Tiananmen square massacre again. So maybe he did a good job with Russia, but then he basically allowed the creation of another bigger, richer, more powerful Russia-like country.
Peter, let's see if you can complete this sentence: "Read my lips; read my hips..." This was a promise by George H. W. Bush. And then, what did he do which led to his not being reelected?
I would have picked Ronald Reagan since he started the downfall of the russian occupation. Time has shown that it was not handled correctly by the leaders that followed him. EDIT: Bush senior couldn't even finish the gulf war and someone else had to finish it when it was too late.
Well, Reagan also started the downfall of the american middle class. Trickle down economics must be the biggest grift played on anyone at any time in history.
"I was wrong about the election because..." That should be a good one.
that you will never see
@@agustintarzian9450 Oh, say its not true..
What exactly was he wrong about?
Yeah, I mean some of his thoughts are really interesting and make you think about what could be coming, but many of his opinions come across as hyperbolic. And then there are those predictions that just flat out fail to materialize.
He's required to shill for Democrats. He's a contractor and teaches a bloated government about their world.
My favorite is probably Teddy Roosevelt. De-monopolized huge companies like the railroad corporations that had a stranglehold on the US, was a great environmentalist that nationalized parks and was a very, very well disciplined and scholarly individual. He was both a fantastic world leader and heavily accomplished man.
Well said!!
Me too
God only knows when or if we're gonna have an other republican like him
He was violently centrist. He had 3 policies on the far end of every ideology. Antimonoply, big stick, national parks, rebuilding standard oil
@@mason3279 the Chad Teddy…ain’t no prez like good ‘ol Ted
How about that prediction that Trump wouldn't win
That sure didn't age well
Like mostly things that he said
Peter has lost all credibility.
Not on ly that, he mis-predicted, with arrogance, that Biden would win.
HEY PETER; REMEMBER WHEN YOU DIDNT PREDICT AN OUTCOME TO AN ELECTION CORRECTLY? YOURE A BIG FAT PHONY
He said Kamala would lose lol
Isn't this the guy who said that trump would lose by a landslide?
To Biden on top of that
Biden could have won.. he was old and he was a man. America's not voting for a woman. FFS 30% of this country are INCELs and you want them to vote for a woman??
Said there was no chance Trump could win. Hadn’t mentioned that yet.
He's biased like others
This guy is Democrat 👍🏻
Peter probably despises Ross Perot. He is the only reason HW didn’t see a second term.
Now that's a cryin' shame! 🤣
Clinton went back on a lot of the assurances GHWB gave Russia not to push nato into every single former Soviet republic but Russia… and you wonder why that Putin guy is so cross.
Surprising Perot is so often forgotten in his role electing Clinton - Bush lost the popular vote by 5% while Perot took 19% of the vote, most of which would have gone to Bush absent Perot. And Perot was essentially self-funded... just a rich guy with an ego and a finger on the election.
Perot was against NAFTA when it was still in drafting phase. He correctly predicted the majority of US manufacturing jobs going to Mexico - calling it a "giant sucking sound" south during a debate. Perot was also against the Gulf War and preferred Saddam take Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the rest of the Gulf states - if Saddam jacks up the price of his newfound oil (he'd be controlling more than 50% if he owned the Gulf), it's the rest of the world's problem, not Washington's.
Peter, being pro-free trade and globalization, wouldn't like Perot at all.
Perots company, Citrix, also got some massive contracts after Clinton won. More and more I think Perot was an intentional plant by Slick Willie who ended up winning with 42% of the vote.
2:39 "the moment we had to reshape..."
Just after 9/11. We pretty much had the world in our corner and could have reshaped geopolitics for the better. Instead we turned it into 20 years of war and made the world more partisan, more nationalistic, and angrier at the US than ever before.
... and destroyed lives on all sides including our and wasted tillions of $s in the process. Imagine (per Lennon) what could have been. We still might wind up like the USSR!
A world changing missed opportunity that future historians will call a strategic generational blunder!!!
Of course, that was under the other Bush, George W, who was not as accomplished as his father.
And as I remember it OBL actually wrote a huge manifesto that stated that the "20 years of useless war" was part of the long plan (his). OBL gambled that USA leaders would do this, and it could end up breaking the "global world order" as led by the USA. Kinda looks like it did. What OBL did not count on, was the ME oil oligarchs would still deal business with the USA and Europe. OBL was a fanatic who thought those regimes would be overthrown by the Islamic zealots. And some were. But it just caused more grief in the ME overall. And ME oil oligarchs are more than willing to cut deals with the other economies in the world that also keeps the oil business profitable. I watch enough Zeihan videos to know he thinks new regional economic alliances could/would form, and most won't be dependent on USA.
Well the choice was to listen to Israel and strengthen their geopolitical position, or to push for peace. Israel has more influence than any pacifists.
Remembered that George Bush lost the election for 2nd term because of raising taxes (after saying no new/higher taxes earlier) even though it was what was needed to reach a deal with democrats who allowed cut in government. I applaud him for making the unpopular (among republicans) political decision because it was the right thing to do unlike now where both parties will just keep increasing the deficit during downturns.
Yep and he also did so fairly. I hate to see where the president elect will raise or cut taxes.
He made a deal with Demoturds and they screwed him.
😂😂😂
You need to increase the deficit during downturns...
It's when the the economy is going well that you need to slow it down and create a surplus, that way you can more or less keep the total debt amount reasonable. It also helps prevent large corrections.
i disagree. one does not break one's word, especially if on eis leader of the free world. would have been better off not making the promise to start but once made...
@@mayastic9570 Folks seem to forget or leave out that that is also what Keynes said. Haven't been any adults in charge for a *long* time. And now it's too late to fix it without a severe crisis - at some point.
I wouldnt have immediately picked G.H.W. Bush. You do raise some great points though. Id have picked Washington (and still probably would) but Bush was such a low key guy. It's easy to gloss over what he did and when he was doing it.
Agreed, Washington. Would have had a bunch more in front of Bush too (Jackson, Lincoln, Reagan, Clinton, Trump, Roosevelt to name a few), but I guess that means i need to look into it.
Bush did some seriously evil sh*t leading the CIA.
@alexandersims1613 I've been rethinking it, and I'm still with Washington. After that would probably be Ronald Reagan and/or Donald Trump. I'm not sure who I like more, and might have to wait out Trump's second term to be sure. Also on the list is Chester Arthur, the guy who didn't want the job, but left most contemporaries quite pleased with his work. Interesting bit of history, at least.
Washington was great but my vote’s on the Ted.
@@alexandersims1613 Why Ronny? He pretty much destroyed the middle class.
Maybe Peter does too much travelling these days to see the winds of change blowing through the swing states. I was always surprised how confident he was on how likely a Harris or previously Biden win would be. Those predictions didn't age well at all.
not a all! Lol😂
I don't think he actually predicted the left would win, he just wanted them to. Unless you have a video where he predicts that?
He's the predictable product of his own echo chamber, which is disappointing for a LARGELY independent thinker.
It's actually human nature, so people are being a bit too hard on him for it IMO.
I think he just gave Americans way too much credit in decision making. He expected us to make the intelligent choice. Big mistake
@@NoPe-no4sn I think he forgot the most basic rule in Political Science: People are fickle and they lie *alot*, constantly, about everything. The assasination attempts on Trump turned him into a martyr-like figure for many people, as tends to happen when any leader is attacked (because people are stupid). If we were talking about moderates (who generally don't feel like voting) then his predictions could very well have been correct. But we got loonies on both sides and single issue voters with no brain (again, both sides) voting instead.
I love the fact that its been almost a week since the election and we still havent had a video by Peter about its outcome because he releases everything a week earlier on Patreon.
I was thinking about that today, and it seems like a month ago. This is gonna be a long 4 years.
He hasn't covered it on Patreon either
Works for me......
@@MLM68 CNN would call it a gold rush
He's still processing how he was so wrong about his prediction
Harry Truman is my favorite President. He is the epitome of an underdog story. The last President to never go to college, and he had to make more momentous decisions that shaped the world is his first 100 days than Lincoln or FDR. David McCullough's Pulitzer Prize winning book "Truman" is my favorite biography and made me want to become a history teacher.
I’m reading that book at the moment and it’s just extraordinary. Truman was definitely a great - was handed the presidency with no notice or preparation, then built the post-ww2 global order
Truman rebuilt much of the world after the war. Oversaw huge economic problems then growth. Integrated the military. Dropped the bomb, but also saved millions of lives after the war.
Don't spoil it, it's trivial. George HW. Bush. He fawns over him every time he gets.
He's another President from the colonial Singletary tree, isn't he?
What are the other two he thinks were not a failure?
@takeda64
My bets- Clinton and Obama
@@l.b.7543Don’t know about his view of Clinton. But he found Obama ineffective.
@@l.b.7543 nah, he heavily criticizes Obama in his videos, your response makes me think that perhaps it is Clinton and Biden then
No complaining or whining here. I appreciate your comments and your take on the world.
I don't know. Telling the CCP that the US would still support China right after the Tiananmen Square Massacre is an "L" move.
THIS
Peter also predicted trump to lose by an landslide
Hindsight
But in doing so, US essentially made entire China dependent on them for literally everything.
Ethically maybe, but geostrategically?
We've had 5 presidents since George Bush Sr.: Clinton, Bush Jr., Obama, Trump, and Biden.
Yes, Peter has lost the ability to count now, alongside his inability to pronounce the word nuclear correctly. I think he needs a PET CT Scan to check his brain for bias if not for dementia.
Maybe he is talking about Jill Biden?
I was about to say, it doesn’t add up. And he wasn’t counting elections either.
We was probably counting Kamala since he was certain she would win
@@garymeyers1591 Or Dick Cheney ...
The only answer for me is U.S. Grant. Wasnt a great politician and surrounded himself with awful politicians but he did so much for civil rights with the amendments. Hes underrated overall as a president and general.
Grant was based
Calvin Coolidge, he was one of the few presidents in American history who actually understood what foundations America was built on and he didn't actively try to get America into endless conflicts.
He brought the Tariffs into effect that helped lead to the Great Republican Depression... Eisenhower or Lincoln would be a better choice.
@@stephenphillips6245You have the economics knowledge of a teenager.
The last president who understood that the government represents a cost to the taxpayer. And cared about it.
@@jonnyd9351 you must be a Trumpet if you think an insult is an argument.
@@stephenphillips6245 The Tariff of 1930 (Smoot-Hawley) was sponsored by U.S. Senator Reed Smoot (R-UT) and U.S. Representative Willis C. Hawley (R-OR), and signed into law by President Herbert Hoover on June 17, 1930, eight months after the Wall Street Crash of 1929. President Coolidge had been out of office for over a year by that time. Incidentally, both Senator Smoot and Congressman Hawley would be out of office after the elections of 1932.
His answer isnt Teddy Roosevelt, which is always the correct answer
I think Lincoln is best, he steered the US through its darkest hour. America was very lucky it did not end up divided or in an endless cycle of violence and grievance, as is the more common outcome of most civil wars.
Well, that explains a lot.
Man-bun spook likes spook president.
I remember his speech. Create a New World Order.
World with handful of dictators which are easier to find any agreement and bypassing all democratic obstacles
Read my lips 'No new taxes". Lying scumbag.
In fairness, Bush the First was trying to find a away to replace Bretton Woods, that would reserve the American Alliance system, without having to give away our economy to bribe the allies. The media and the paranoid at the time didn't get it as George did a bad job of educating people about the status quo and why it needed to change.
Are we just not going to talk about the fact that you were completely wrong about the election?
me too, just waiting for it, because he was 100% certain and laughing that trump wouldnt not win again. curious to see if he will stay silent on his error.
This video was made before elections, he said it at the start of the video.
@@vincoletto2he will stay silent, he always does. PZ's predictions are pretty much always wrong but he never does a mea culpa.
@aresus142 i know, but I am curious to see what he will say about his prediction. Its ok to get it wrong sometimes or even a lot of times, its not ok when you make a prediction saying you are 100% sure and laughing of those who may think otherwise.
@@asdasdasddgdgdfgdgI like Peter but he is ultra ultra biased on this topic - not sure why. No one is immune from their own emotions it seems.
Don't know if I agree,however him floating in shark infested waters after being shot down while bravely serving his country is an endearing story,and that he experienced such soul searching made me sleep better when he was in charge.
It would be lovely if you would comment on Donald Trump's recent victory, the victory that you were adamant wouldn't occur???
Actually when Kamala started to run Peter admitted no one knows what will happen even him...
I’m sure he’s planning on it. Tariffs and deportations are assuredly going to lead to the largest economic collapse in American history, and that sounds like a video that takes a while to prepare.
These normally run behind his patreon content. Probably will be in a week or so, or if you want to subscribe quicker.
I hope he doesn't feel cowed into changing his tune because of the outcome. Does Peter rely on income from government contracts?
Enjoy this man for the entertainment value, only! Peter is not intellectually honest. He is corrupted!
Peter, analysis is only as good as its input data. When you’ve gotten things wrong in the past how have you adjusted to compensate? How will you do so after the election?
Animus is a bad ingredient when your profession requires absolute objectivity..
Oh boy. The election reaction video will be painful.
Popcorn ready
He spends to much time walking around the mountains by himself and didn’t know what the rest of us are actually going through. Smart guy but detached for some reason.
@@Tsevall Yeah, detached insofar as he's a smart guy that thought other people are smart or at least have enough common sense to not vote against their interests. Based on the google trends of people searching "what is a tariff" in the days AFTER the election, it is clear just how big a mistake that was, but I can't blame him for that.
@@QuantumAscension1Who would have thought that a failed musician AND failed podcaster would hold the views you're espousing!?!?😂 But ya, you're so smart and Biden totally had us on the right track! The less influence and access to capital people like you have, the better our country will be. That's why we vote Trump buddy.
@@Tsevall he is not very smart
Wow. Did not see that coming.
Have you heard of George Washington?
@@DaddyAl-Baddie Is that rhetorical sarcasm I smell?
fellow CIA, of course that's his favorite
@@DaddyAl-Baddie Well the winner writes the History books. George Washington was a British citizen that took up arms and went to war against his own country; if the colonists would have lost George Washington would have been hung as a traitor. It worked out for America because we got a better government but that wasn't decided at the time of the rebellion itself; however, if you look at China's rebellion and Mao in the same light you will find that the government type chosen was the hero and not the Rebel himself.
@@katosplace The Hero? China? when? they were always dictators, they just went from one dictatorship to another
As a European I kind of liked Ronald Reagan, because he was tough on Russia, at least verbally.
Muh Wussia.
It's fun watching Peter's subscriber base plummet. THE PEOPLE HAVE SPOKEN!
Peter - I watch your stuff religiously and really like it. I think a video explaining your prediction and what went wrong would be very interesting.
I think he over emphasized Trump's legal woes, and the Jan 6 stuff in his outlook. He didn't think Americans would vote Trump after all that.
I think Peter did what most normal, somewhat-educated, patriotic and mature people did - and assumed the crazy train that is the GOP would never ever win. We *all* overestimated the amount of racism, misogyny and economic/political/factual ignorance that has permeated society. Unfortunately this result will affect that population in the WORST of ways.
@@mattclark1278well, 75,112,005 Americans disagreed with your opinion. But it’s a free country.
@@TheBaldNP ...and they will disproportionately get hurt. But to your point: they've asked for it.
G.H.W.B was typical of his generation. He did his duty, stayed humble (not easy given his life), took care of his family, and never stopped contributing to society.
They were called the Greatest Generation for a reason!
Pointless forever wars in the middle east. What a great guy.
@@mattihaapoja8203 That was his son maybe.
@@mattihaapoja8203Actually GHW deliberately fought brief wars with limited objectives thanks to Colin Powell.
But yes all those who followed in train decided to make a financial opportunity out of it.
Indeed. Given the subject matter, I'm surprised Peter didn't mention Bush in the Navy during WWII (especially in a video released today).
@@mattihaapoja8203yes US fought operation Desert storm to help Kuwait fight Iraq during George Bush.
Peter, you stated Trump would lose by a landslide, what happened Pete?
just a typo....he meant WIN by landslide
He won....
18mil votes were lost in the post
Lol.....Pete's blind spot!
😂😂😂@@sadface7457
Bush Sr. didn't bring about the fall of the Soviet Union. He was simply there when the inevitable happened. He genuinely seems to have been a decent man, but he's nowhere near the top of my list of favorite presidents.
Personally, I think the GREATEST president is George Washington, if only for the fact that he established the boundaries of presidential power, both in the way he behaved and in the way he gracefully turned over power after two terms. Lincoln is a close second, for obvious reasons.
That said, my personal FAVORITE president is Harry Truman. Unexpectedly thrust into the vice presidency, then even MORE unexpectedly becoming president, he skillfully took over the reigns and not only brought World War II to a conclusion but helped establish the new world order -- most notably with the Marshall Plan and the United Nations. And he stubbornly won re-election when everyone (and I mean EVERYONE) had concluded he was doomed to defeat.
This was a humble man placed by fate upon the world stage, faced with gargantuan tasks and decisions (i.e. the atomic bomb), but who stepped up and surpassed everyone's expectations (probably his own as well) with his tenacity, perseverance and common sense. If I could be half the man Harry was, I'd consider my life well lived.
Peter Zeihan is a neo con was not on my bingo card.
@@stevensko9153 George H. W. Bush was not a NeoCon. His son was, what are you talking about?
You are completely wrong. They are from the same cloth. @@Evirthewarrior
@@Evirthewarrior history, my dear watson
@@M2m1x so, defending our ally, then leaving, against what the neocons wanted(they wanted to stay and occupy Iraq in 1991), makes him a neocon?
I remember that war, I remember being a child and hearing people talk about how we should have stayed on the news.
Spot on with George HW Bush! Have championed him likewise. And, he built a diverse coalition to repel Saddam, managed Operation Desert Storm efficiently, and resisted the temptation of his generals and advisors to invade Bagdad and overthrow Saddam. George Sr. was vindicated on that position 15 years later when Jr. made that mistake.
My personal favorite is James K. Polk. He accomplished an insane amount in 4 years.
Mexico would like to have a word with you, as well ad most indigenous people.....
Grover Cleveland is so underrated guys. He did it before Trump. Absolute Chad
Grover Cleveland was President 'Veto'. He wouldn't let Congress pass legislation that spent funds on wasteful pet projects in members' districts, he let his veto pen do the talking. I don't think just having non-consecutive presidential terms is anything but coincidental.
Peter is still avoiding the actual subject😂😂
I'd say Trump is closest to Andrew Jackson if we had pick his spirit president. Trump has several Jacksonian characteristics for better or for worse.
Agreed.
Jackson at least expanded voting franchise to non landowning white males
This admin will probably raise tariffs and cause an international depression
Jackson? Jackson's the only president that cleared the national debt; incomparable. He's similar to Nixon.
Except Jackson was actually qualified to be President and wasn’t a complete moron.
@@donaldwobamajr6550 imagine losing to a complete moron. Twice. Democrats are beyond unqualified
I'm still waiting for an apology from Peter for his election prediction debacle.
that's what makes a horse race, why is an apology needed?
I remember him saying Biden would win pre debate. Did he make another prediction when Harris got in?
Because peter was arrogant & said a many things like biggest landslide or something @@charlescooper4081
I have been critical of Zeihan, but you're pretty smarmy if you're criticizing him for Fuhrer Dumpsters win, given the bulk of the world thought Harris would win, including Cheeto man himself. You have the highest passing rating of all Monday Morning Quarterbacks
He’s not a partisan politics analyst. He only made a prediction because people kept asking. Why on earth would he have to apologize? 🤡
I liked Eisenhower ( Ike).
50s was good for US economic planning and infrastructure 👌🏾
He was also a great war soldier and strategist 👍🏾
He's my favorite too.
A better question is why did you say Trump wouldn't win....lets rerun that!
Almost everyone thought it was close - until it wasn't. And now, suddenly, everyone seems to have known it all along.
that was back when Biden was in the race and he was probably right
Peter said Harris would win in a landslide 🤭 Peter always strikes me a globalist
Do you take everything Peter says as fact? I love his video's as it gives a different prospective I might not have heard but a crystal ball he doesn't have.
@@Kim-J312When? I don’t think he said that about Harris. I only remember him criticising her.
I really don't see why happening to have been in office at the time the Soviet bloc collapsed makes him a 'great' president in itself. That's just an accident of fate and he didn't do anything that puts him in the first rank of American leaders as far as I can see.
remember when Peter said that there is NO WAY that Trump can win hhaha
Well he is a predator.
Vox Populi, Vox Dei. Means the people's voice is the voice of God.
He did not keep his ear to the ground .
Consultants think a lot of themselves.
@ClannCholmain just like your mum when i am at Bingo playin those numbaaaaas
@@thegigantico more tax cuts for billionaires.
@@thegigantico what did you win?
Car salesman. Talks really smoothly with inaccuracies
Swiss Toni
Don’t just make an accusation without explanation. What do you mean? What inaccuracies?
mmm
@@islandpapa1024 he's elusive when he wants. "I let you debate about two exceptions" well, this is a forum, questions are asked, don't answer the questions! He should begun by "I was completely wrong about this election and this is why.
This is like saying Yoko Ono is your favourite Beatle
or that only 4 of the last 6 were terrible...
Not if you're actually listening to what he said & think about it 🤦
@@ifgwelf Oh no, I'm asserting it was all six... think about it.
Bush Sr is also the last time America faced an existential threat, which has a way of putting priorities in place.
You also could have mentioned that Bush attempted (1) a health care reform just short of what Singapore has, restoring market discipline while providing universal coverage (2) a Social Security reform that would have made the system solvent and, last but by no means least (3) the only serious comprehensive immigration reform attempted in my lifetime, and I'm 72. It would have brought the border under control, averting the current crisis by granting guest worker status to foreign job seekers in an orderly way leaving border law enforcement free to concentrate on actual criminals. It was defeated by Nancy Pelosi, who didn't want the GOP to achieve a major legislative victory of that magnitude with the collusion of a handful of nativist GOP Congressmen who at that time were a tiny minority. Bush got embroiled in two wars post 9/11, so he is remembered (and villified by paleocons & tankies) for that, but he came into office determined to implement urgently needed domestic reforms. Zeihan mentions the lost opportunity on the world stage, but the bigger lost opportunity was on the domestic front. Bush was the dying last gasp of the structural reforms of the Reagan years that gave us airline & trucking deregulation. When all his initiatives failed, Senator McCain remarked somberly, "We're a center-right county. We'll be alright." No, we won't.
Got to ask - are you referring to Bush Sr (1989-1983 president) or Bush Jr. (2001-2009 president)? What you wrote above seems mixed up between the two.
Airlines deregulated by Carter.
Carter deregulated trucking. Look up the Motor Carrier Act of 1980. A major mistake like that makes me disregard the whole comment.
garbage in = garbage out . one bush suddenly becomes another
@@stevejackson5000 He's partially right on that one. Carter started it by loosening the regulations, Reagan took it to another level of de-regulation bordering on abandonment.
I agree with Peter Zeihan that Bush Sr. was the best president. I forgot another important reason. He took the opportunity of the USSR's failure to negotiate with Russia to drastically reduce the number of nuclear weapons in the world. Instead of storing nuclear weapons-grade material, he had it reprocessed and used in nuclear power plants during the 1990s and 2000s.
This is a historic "nuclear swords into energy plowshares" decision for which we should all be eternally grateful. The other presidents implemented it, but it was Bush who got is started.
He should of had 4 more years. He was incredibly qualified .
He was only 64 when he took office, far too young
I remember saying when Bush Sr. took office "This guy is the best qualified president we have ever had".
Yeah but when a third party business man runs against you and eats at the vote you can't really win anymore.
Yeah, except in those four years it was CLINTON who gave us a SURPLUS economy.
I just switched from X to Bluesky and see that you're there. Looking forward to seeing your posts!
This is a unique answer and I respect his opinion. I'm going with Lincoln for presidential goat
Zeihan completely omits the 1991 recession, which he lived through as a Gen X , and Bush not knowing the cost of a gallon of milk showing how out of touch with the common man he was. 1987 Black Monday happened on his watch. Zeihan likes presidents who have great foreign policy and poor domestic policy.
Sounds like you think cosplaying a MacDonald's drive through worker is relatable enough.
Don’t forget when he and his wife were amazed by the grocery store scanner that added up the price for the clerk. 😂😂😂
Black Monday wasn't the president's fault, and he wasn't president yet.
Plus the first Iraq War where he failed to achieve complete victory, as the Saudis were afraid if Saddam fell, their enemies the Iranians and other Shiites (They weren't wrong) would come to power in his place. Americans expect a real victory if we are going to go to war and Bush failed to understand that concept. As a consolation, I'm sure the Saudis gave the Bush family billions of dollars for protecting them.
1987 is under Regan...Bush isn't sworn in until Jan 89
You got called out on PBD. Rightly so.
In what?
I saw that. Very interesting. For those that didn’t see it, there was another analyst on PBD valuetainment and he was saying that Peter’s analysis is not original and in fact just a summation of others work.
@@SkywhiteChannel well unless you research everything yourself you will summate others .
For once I completely agree with Peter.
I would add that Bush was also a Navy Aviator in WWII and Ambassador to the UN.
Another thing to understand is that Clinton's campaign had a tag line which went "It's the economy, stupid." That is generally the determinant of US elections, not foreign policy. Even in 1980 and 1984 Regan, while strong on foreign policy was primarily running on economic issues. He was all about a strong military and deterrence (Trump has made similar statements) but it really was about the economy. I have seen surveys from this election of the reasons people voted and the top three never included foreign policy (Ukraine) or climate change.
The thing is that I would not be too certain that the world order ever could have "fixed". In fact, Bush was impressive not because he was talking about how to cement the world order of the time, but that he wanted to discuss it. His approach gave people, as we would say in today's parlance, "agency". I think he was smart enough, experienced enough and honest enough to know that this was a whole new era. It was a situation that had never happened before. That just adds to his stature in my opinion.
Just to enhance Bush's stature a little more, it was under him that the "Powell Doctrine" was put forward. He was talking about military action by the US assuming that diplomacy, etc. had failed.
The following list I copied from Wikipedia:
1. Is a vital national security interest threatened?
2. Do we have a clear attainable objective?
3. Have the risks and costs been fully and frankly analyzed?
4. Have all other non-violent policy means been fully exhausted?
5. Is there a plausible exit strategy to avoid endless entanglement?
6. Have the consequences of our action been fully considered?
7. Is the action supported by the American people?
8. Do we have genuine broad international support?
Now, just think about this in light of the Ukraine War. We don't have troops there (I think) but we have committed military assets.
6 presidents since bush father? clinton, bush jr, obama, trump, biden - did I misunderstand?
Maybe he counts Trump twice because he’s the MAGA savior 🙄
Yes... MJ Fox
Nethanyahu
Given that he thought trump would lose in a landslide, I’m assuming he is referring to Harris.
@@firstnamelastname7941 good point since this is before the election
The 6 that we’ve had since then?? Clinton, W, Obama, Trump, Biden……who’s the 6th?
Still gonna need an explanation on how you got the ejection so wrong.
yeah i need this
He's not a political analyst and always hedged his predictions that way
Well, you're not going to have it. Next question.
Even if he acknowledges he was wrong, he's not going to validate that Trump is some kind of savior, which let's be honest.. that's all that you really want to hear.
Who could have predicted that Biden would drop out and the race was between Trump and Kamala?
That’s an answer I wouldn’t really expect from most people! I had to do an essay on Bush Sr. In HS and he actually is a rather fascinating character. Now I think Roosevelt may be my favorite, for his role in conservation. It was such an amazing foresight to begin drawing up guidelines that early in the industrialization process.
Still no admission that he could not even make a wild guess and get it right who would win as President?
Who knew that 14 mil people were not voting?
@@MLM68which is more likely, that there was massive mail in voter fraud in 2020, or that Elon zapped those 14 million votes (that were also absent in 2012 and 2016) from low earth orbit?
He said now that Biden is out he won't make any prediction. Is it that hard to udnerstand?
There is no predicting what stupid people do.
Interesting. I was not expecting that take but it makes sense with the majority of your content explaining our future after global trade , how we got there and why it’s all going away.
Vince McMahon, hands down all-time greatest President
Wow, this actually explains a lot about Peter now that i know this
I completely agree. What I wouldn't give to have him back in the white house right now. God rest his soul. Thank you GHWB
Peter Zeihan, coming to us from an alternative universe :-)
My favorite president was Teddy Roosevelt and FDR ❤❤
Me too
Based answer.
Teddy was awesome. He might have even saw a wendigo
Absolutely, both were true pro-working class and didn't take any bullsh*t from corporations or their CEOs. Too bad we don't really have anyone like that now.
I watched a documentary about how disgusted Teddy was with the slaughter houses for beef and meat products. Teddy was furious. It truly was disgusted 🫣. He is the the reason why we have the FDA and our national parks we still have today . A republican that actually gave a chit of the American people. Such a rare breed of a guy . I've never seen once since . Same for FDR is the reason why Americans have social security upon retirement. Back to then elderly were starving and quality of life was living in a chicken coop . Eleanor was also a pretty amazing lady for those times as well . Again back when the government actually cared about the quality of life for Americans . Such a contrast of where our government is now 😒.
always informative to hear your opinion. i am waiting to hear your thoughts on the election results.
Peter said Harris would win in a landslide. Peter always strikes me a globalist
Maybe he just didn't think yall are as dumb as you are apparently.
Guy has to be the worst “forecaster” on the internet.
I like Peter but TDS runs deep in Peter 🤷♂️.
he said Joe Biden would win not Kamala.
When did he say that?
Lincoln, he was given an abysmal hand and he played it well enough to keep the country together.
Suddenly being a vice president means credit for Zeihan :D A week ago he said being a vice president for Harris means zero experience.
I guess it is easy to just say anything without accountability nowadays.
You wanted tampons in boys bathrooms, sorry not happening. Get over it.
vice president was 1 of a list of things - i guess its easy to be negative when you pick and choose the bits you listen to :D
It meant more back then. Less so now.
Bush probably never even clicked on his solitaire.
@@member529 She was also a senator and worked for the government as a prosecutor. True, you just pick the parts you want.
Anything, literally anything but to explain why your election predictions were wrong.
why does it matter . do you bet money using his predictions?
What you do is you speak with absolute confidence and certainness and the sheep will follow, and when you are wrong rinse and repeat .
Which is exactly what Trump does.
@@judewarner1536 yes, but somehow I would much rather hear Peter speak. he has a way of imparting calmness. I am horrified whenever I hear trump!!!!!
"Election ALMOST UPON US"
I’m guessing FDR…
Not even close! 🙈
@@stevebull7105 explain to me why not? Use your words please.
@@MLM68 I guessed FDR & it was way off. What’s to explain? 🤷🏼♂️
Almost perfect, I concur.
If was not for not handling the Southern Negro situation properly , he would be the all time perfect.
He should have listened to Eleanor Roosevelt. A great unheralded humanitarian.
Giving all that Government money to Southern Land Owners ( who controlled the Democrat Party in the Deep South ) and not making sure they kicked down to sharecroppers was a costly misjudgement.
That is where the lynchings and cross burnings stepped up. Southern Baptist Negroes started to organize to get their fair shake.
Peter was talking in his lifetime. But of all presidents FDR has to be at the top.
I like to picture my president wearing a tuxedo t-shirt, cause I like to party so I want my president to look like he parties too.
There have been 5 Presidents after George Herbert Walker Bush, not six.
Let's see... Clinton, the other Bush, Obama, Trump and Biden... yep, still just 5 until Trump gets back in.
I’ve been counting and recounting on my fingers. Maybe he was including Harris or HW?
Narcissists must be W, Clinton, trump. I don’t see Obama and Biden that way, but apparently he does.
@@ncarmstron mm, Obama was pretty self-absorbed, actually. Clinton less so, as long as we're talking about Bill rather than Hillary.
@@E4439Qv5 Callin Obama self absorbed is an understatement. The dude almost single-handedly kicked off the culture war in the U.S. - his head is so far up his own ass and yet somehow still in the clouds.
@@E4439Qv5 trump counts 2 times .
he was also a WW2 hero.
he was a torpedo bomber. and was shot down. he returned to the fight as soon as he could.
he loved his country and sacrificed a lot for it.
that explains a lot...well mine is pretty much the exact opposite. Silent Cal Calvin Coolidge
What about James K Polk? Acquired almost half of the US. Went into office with a to do list, and accomplished every goal in 4 years.
Remember when Peter Zion said that trump would lose ?
Yeah it was long ago and Biden was the candidate not Harris.
Against Biden, yes.
This guy's election prediction aged like milk.
Don’t ever let him
Forget
He predicted Trump would lose to Biden. We didn't get Trump vs Biden.
@ He doubled down with Kamala. He also didn’t think Biden would drop out. No way around it he was wrong.
@@garretthayes9392 Where? Where did he double-down on Kamala? He said a month ago he wasn't gonna give an update on his assessment on the election.
@ he referred back to his interview with Institute For Liberal Values in July when Biden dropped out, and Harris took over. He was in Yosemite when Biden dropped out, and said to refer back to that interview. In said interview he explains why he didn’t think Trump could win.
What about you said Trump will lose.
He was wrong. He said Trump would lose to Biden. But Biden withdrew.
You’re on another level, Zeihan.
By another level, I am speaking about an American population where half in May 2024 erroneously characterized the S&P 500 level-a data point obtainable in value and trend on our smartphones in seconds-as down for the year, and a recent election where the majority of America voted for tariffs because they were upset about high prices.
So, yeah, your praise of GHW Bush is on another level: accurate and well supported, but conveying a nuanced ask of society that they will never fathom, much less see.
I agree Peter, after Bush senior only narcissists (and I would add or incompetent). And now in January we will have one that exhibits both traits, an incompetent narcissist.
Pres. Bush Sr. used to anger his staff because he knew all of the world leaders after heading the CIA & then being Vice Pres for 8 years, and they would brief him on something and he’d say something like, “Oh I called (first name) last night and we got it all figured out.” Pres. Carter rated him as the best of the century.
President Chrisjen Avasarala is the best President in human history
No! John Sheridan.
About to be Trump
I hope the election goes well!
Wait...
Peter, your bias against Trump has tainted your objectivity. Please consider lessons learned. IMHO
“Bitcoin -$1000”
“Harris to beat Trump”
Does this clown get anything right? 😂😂
He didn't fully put in account the stupidity of the American people.
Hey Peter..How about that worthless Bitcoin? You are the most confident person who never gets anything right, lol.
The Donald!🎉🎉🎉🎉
Fun fact: he wasn’t counting also our last true veteran of a foreign war to serve, and our last that served active duty to sit as POTUS.
Calvin Coolidge was the man
Peter zion!
Ronald Reagan rules!
What was your favorite policy of his? The one when he tried to classify ketchup as a vegetable for school lunches?
Yup, my favorite as well.
Thank you.
Mr Zeihan, I used to agree with you, because he was willing to raise taxes to cover spending deficits, which is what got him tossed out of the office. However, I have since learned that GHWB, after the Tiananmen square massacre, secretly worked out a deal with the Chinese that he wouldn't interfere in their politics, and he further vetoed legislations and personally lobbied senate members to not pass those legislation against the Tiananmen square massacre again. So maybe he did a good job with Russia, but then he basically allowed the creation of another bigger, richer, more powerful Russia-like country.
Reagan and Nixon are probably the most popular.
Why? I guess you did not live through them.
@@MLM68 No, I did not. I think those two are quite popular in nowadays internet and their portrayed as positive politicians, especially on you tube.
@MLM68 My dad did and as much he didn't like them they were popular
The most popular man during Nixon's term was Ralph Nader.
Peter, let's see if you can complete this sentence: "Read my lips; read my hips..." This was a promise by George H. W. Bush. And then, what did he do which led to his not being reelected?
George Washington
I would have picked Ronald Reagan since he started the downfall of the russian occupation. Time has shown that it was not handled correctly by the leaders that followed him.
EDIT: Bush senior couldn't even finish the gulf war and someone else had to finish it when it was too late.
Well, Reagan also started the downfall of the american middle class. Trickle down economics must be the biggest grift played on anyone at any time in history.