Hele tijd heel slecht zijn, wonderbaarlijk toch goed zijn in het grote toernooi, eruit tegen de uiteindelijke kampioen in kwartfinale. Zo gaat het ongeveer altijd
Poland and Ukraine with 100% winrate on the euros, lads this clearly means if one of them reach the finals the other team is cooked according to football manager 😭
Especially, that he only played in national team in 4 games - 3 in 2020 and 1 in 2023 with a total of 156 minutes on the pitch. I'd like to see simulations with teams having lists of players according to the real life tournament. Would be really interesting.
Gotta love Mike, remember when i sat there in a discord call helping him make a few of the prints, back when it was for peoples FM saves... seen it come a long way, and have 3 different prints up on my wall made by him, which i love
Since I ended up watching this well after the Euros, I have to say that the net result of the simulations were pretty close to what happened. The top 4 predicted semi-finalists were France (59%), England (50%), Spain (37%) and Netherlands (36%). This was exactly what happened and Germany having trouble getting to the semis was spot on. I did watch that Spain vs Germany and it took some crazy antics from the Spaniards to keep Germany at bay. Dani Carvajal picked up a red card towards the end of extra time to stop the Germans from scoring. The top 8 predictions for quarter finals, apart from the above 4 were Italy, Portugal, Germany and Belgium. Here is where Italy and Belgium didn't make it but Switzerland and Turkey made it. 6 out 8 (75%) being right is still pretty great. Just goes to show how good the FM simulation engine is. Most of the Euros was exciting to watch except for the games where France or England scored first.
Some countries get a higher appreciation in fm as others do. FRANCE GERMANY SPAIN AND ITALY BUT MOSTLY ENGLAND. MAINLY the higher amount of people the higher the odds are and how the players are appreciated. People like to see their country win. BIG nationS have more people so possible more games to sell.
Yeah the bias has been clear for years, there is some hidden data that increases the odds of the english nt and its clubs. Now with the official sponsorship of the Premier League...it's not going to get any better.
@TomFM you should do a similar video of this but do it with all the worst European nations. One of my favourite channels on TH-cam. Keep up the great work
@TomFM you should do a similar video of this but do it with all the worst European nations. One of my favourite channels on TH-cam. Keep up the great work 😊💪
Big props to you Tom for the dedication and time this video must have taken to make. Compiling all of these stats must have been so time consuming. Great video!!
Hey Tom, do you have a link to the editor data file you used to simulate this? Or did you set it up yourself and if so, would you be able to upload the file by any chance? Cheers!
what an impressive video once again Tom ! From France perspective we're seeing the english boys favourites. Hope everyone has a nice tournament without too many referees mistakes.
the fact that turkey didnt advance from the 2nd round that much is because when they finish 2nd in their group, they having a match with france in case of france finishes 1st in their group.
Opposite of the Maignan situation for Belgium; somehow they didn't pick the keeper who just won the Champion's League, and he did pick up a number of the clean sheets awards here. I can see them doing worse than you've got them
Germany did beat France in a friendly not too long ago, but still just a friendly France will show up most likely unless Wirtz scores less than 10 seconds in lmao
In the run you show with England winning, they actually did not win a SINGLE game in 90 mins, even against Georgia. They emulated 2016 Portugal to win that one lol
i think you made a mistake at 4:20. if germany wins group A they will play against 2nd of group C and not the 2nd of group B. if they get 2nd place in A they play against 2nd in B. but i saw the shedules from the serbia win, so it tells me they played against group C and often finished only 2nd in group A. good video tho :)
Hi Tom I have a suggestion. Could you start a new series on football manager 24 with an even lower team in English division? See how low you can get it and then bring them all the way to the top as fast as possible😅😂
@TomFM What if "EURO B" existed? it would be a copy of EURO, but with best teams which did not qualified for Regular EURO, like Wales, Israel, Sweden, Norway, Luxembourg etc.
11:35 You say your life would be complete, but I think your life would've ended to a heart attack before, considering England has to go through three extra times plus penalties in the final.
let's put this into perspective. It is more likely that France wins the tournament than: - Albania getting out of the group - Austria and Switzerland getting to the quarters - Portugal, Belgium and Croatia getting to the semis - Any other team getting to the final Insane.
It will be an interesting reflection video after the tourney....can't wait I'd presume, that even with 100 supposedly educated guesses... None of those simulations will be correct. My £1 is on Hungary to get out of their group.
Seeing Ter Stegen, Areola AND Courtois as the goalkeepers with the most clean sheets is kind of funny considering they most likely won't even play. Nagelsmann seems to prefer Neuer, Maignan always starts over Areola and Courtois didn't get called up because he's a crybaby
Could you do a video where you simulate until Bosnia wins Euros please? They once were top 10 and now it just hurts to watch them so I wish I could escape reality a bit
Also Tom, I watched a video of another content creator and when the mentioned subscribe the subscribe button would light up. Maybe something you should like to do, can imagine your sub count would increase.
No bias in favour of England, right? lol this freaking game somehow is capable of making Portugal feel like a 2nd tier team when stats wise is absolutely top 3. Ridiculous consistent prediction stats even from another video.
Netherlands losing 19 of their 22 finals is so realistic that it hurts me.
Pijn…
Hele tijd heel slecht zijn, wonderbaarlijk toch goed zijn in het grote toernooi, eruit tegen de uiteindelijke kampioen in kwartfinale.
Zo gaat het ongeveer altijd
Spoilers much?!
@@indiegamesarchives7772 grow up
Its de istory of de Netherlands
Seeing the Netherlands win 3 out of 22 finals makes sense. We're terrible in finals.
kut maar waar
Poland won once.. So you're telling me there's a chance lol
well hope can t kill us wright?
Won in final with portugal as revenge for the 2016 euros lmao
Lewangoalski to the rescue
POLSKA GUROM 💪💪💪
8:46 no one tell Tyson Fury
Poland and Ukraine with 100% winrate on the euros, lads this clearly means if one of them reach the finals the other team is cooked according to football manager 😭
And if they both make it to the finals, we can expect the collapse of the entire universe.
Your blurring needs a little work - not leaving much to the imagination! 😉
Will you do a similar video for Copa America?
Potentially! Got a few trips planned in the next month or so and Euro's is my priority, will just depend if I have the time.
Well, Tom, ter Stegen is not Gk number 1 in German team too.
I don't believe in that 98% of Germany making it out of the group stages.
There are no Asian teams in the Euro, so Germany's safe.
😂😂😂😂
I think it might not be 98% but i think its gonna be pretty good
Can you rebuild stirling albion since they just got relegated
@KenanXaers Scotland league 2
Yep will do
Yo Tom, have you heard Saint Ettiene are back to Ligue 1?
6:45 the top 4 teams are actually the semi finalists rn
yeah
Imagine Karbownik scoring that irl
Especially, that he only played in national team in 4 games - 3 in 2020 and 1 in 2023 with a total of 156 minutes on the pitch.
I'd like to see simulations with teams having lists of players according to the real life tournament. Would be really interesting.
Gotta love Mike, remember when i sat there in a discord call helping him make a few of the prints, back when it was for peoples FM saves... seen it come a long way, and have 3 different prints up on my wall made by him, which i love
10:32 The Netherlands just winning 3 times out of 22, sounds about right to me. Wasn't expecting anything else, really. 😉
Since I ended up watching this well after the Euros, I have to say that the net result of the simulations were pretty close to what happened.
The top 4 predicted semi-finalists were France (59%), England (50%), Spain (37%) and Netherlands (36%). This was exactly what happened and Germany having trouble getting to the semis was spot on. I did watch that Spain vs Germany and it took some crazy antics from the Spaniards to keep Germany at bay. Dani Carvajal picked up a red card towards the end of extra time to stop the Germans from scoring.
The top 8 predictions for quarter finals, apart from the above 4 were Italy, Portugal, Germany and Belgium. Here is where Italy and Belgium didn't make it but Switzerland and Turkey made it. 6 out 8 (75%) being right is still pretty great. Just goes to show how good the FM simulation engine is.
Most of the Euros was exciting to watch except for the games where France or England scored first.
courtois is out of the belgium squad cause of issues with the manager so belgium got a buff there
Interesting, I didn't know that! Casteels to be the first choice?
@@TomFM yes, indeed. We can also see Mechele as a defender in de serbia final, but he's not on the squad either
@TomFM that's what I think but idk I heard calls that cells should be the first choice gk
We’ve ALL been waiting for this…
Some countries get a higher appreciation in fm as others do. FRANCE GERMANY SPAIN AND ITALY BUT MOSTLY ENGLAND. MAINLY the higher amount of people the higher the odds are and how the players are appreciated.
People like to see their country win. BIG nationS have more people so possible more games to sell.
Yeah the bias has been clear for years, there is some hidden data that increases the odds of the english nt and its clubs. Now with the official sponsorship of the Premier League...it's not going to get any better.
thank you for being a not obnoxious football youtuber, a rare breed these days
bruh look around the internet goodwin dude jared hd do you even look?
That serbian route to win is insane beating all the big dogs
Fair play to Areola, but ter Stegen neither is Germanys No. 1 keeper.
@TomFM you should do a similar video of this but do it with all the worst European nations. One of my favourite channels on TH-cam. Keep up the great work
@TomFM you should do a similar video of this but do it with all the worst European nations. One of my favourite channels on TH-cam. Keep up the great work 😊💪
superd idea
henlo
Big props to you Tom for the dedication and time this video must have taken to make. Compiling all of these stats must have been so time consuming. Great video!!
Luckily for me I spent a lot of time on trains the other week so I managed to get all the simulations done there which was handy!
Hey Tom, do you have a link to the editor data file you used to simulate this? Or did you set it up yourself and if so, would you be able to upload the file by any chance? Cheers!
did you get any luck finding one?
As a Georgian who is going to our first game, I'm pretending this means we have a 6% chance of reaching the semi finals 😂😂😂
You have a 6% chance of having a very expensive month! 😊
Oh so this is why we didn't make it in the Euros - no Karbownik in the lineup. I'll let our manager know
Must be people from England who created that game. Wishful thinking to see them do so well. Especially in Germany.
what an impressive video once again Tom ! From France perspective we're seeing the english boys favourites.
Hope everyone has a nice tournament without too many referees mistakes.
genuinley i could see simulation 21's final happening. it would be such nice redemption for southgate
Thanks, imma use these results for my work betting game of the euros
Hi Tom! What kind of savegame setup did you use to get the correct groups and line-ups?
the fact that turkey didnt advance from the 2nd round that much is because when they finish 2nd in their group, they having a match with france in case of france finishes 1st in their group.
what I'm getting here is that Croatia is criminally underrated in FM24
Opposite of the Maignan situation for Belgium; somehow they didn't pick the keeper who just won the Champion's League, and he did pick up a number of the clean sheets awards here. I can see them doing worse than you've got them
Drinking game idea - have a drink every time Tom says “percent”, “of”, “the” or “time” 😂
Great simulations 🙌
Yoo its toboloco
Germany did beat France in a friendly not too long ago, but still just a friendly France will show up most likely unless Wirtz scores less than 10 seconds in lmao
I have another great/tearable idea so ever herd of flint town ? nope so in the welsh leuge lets give this club 200m ponds per seson
I didn't expect Poland to win once, revenge for 2016 in the final
In the run you show with England winning, they actually did not win a SINGLE game in 90 mins, even against Georgia. They emulated 2016 Portugal to win that one lol
Throughout this whole video with all the percentages all I can think of is "60% of the time it works every time"
Loves these simulations and they way you put it together is even better
i think you made a mistake at 4:20. if germany wins group A they will play against 2nd of group C and not the 2nd of group B. if they get 2nd place in A they play against 2nd in B. but i saw the shedules from the serbia win, so it tells me they played against group C and often finished only 2nd in group A. good video tho :)
420 meantioned🤩
I'm from poland and 7:50 honestly shocked me i didnt think we would win once but hopefully we win irl
In my FM24 Bayern save, England won two euros and a world cup in a row.
I guess Football manager also keeps in mind how the Netherlands is known for their 2nd places...Damn...
Bro, I'm Dutch and I can't stop laughing. This is spot on! 👌🏽
do you by any chance have the save file of all the groups? been wanting to try and win it with scotland
Is theres any database with real Euro24 groups in FM24 ?
Gotta say Mikes templates are very similar to Vizeh's Mezzala designs..
Give all the medals to the respective teams and we are fine with the Euro for another 400 years.
Denmark being with Romania and Poland hurts to see, i'm quite sure our roster is 10x that of those squads.
This video has strong Sex Panther energy. “80% of the time, it works every time”
The most insane thing in all of this, is that England managed to win by penalties
You should simulate the Copa America too
Hi Tom I have a suggestion. Could you start a new series on football manager 24 with an even lower team in English division? See how low you can get it and then bring them all the way to the top as fast as possible😅😂
Should’ve simulated it 2024 times
@TomFM What if "EURO B" existed? it would be a copy of EURO, but with best teams which did not qualified for Regular EURO, like Wales, Israel, Sweden, Norway, Luxembourg etc.
great vid (i dont know how tf it will be turning out)
Not sure i have seen it yet but throughout your challanges you use the same formation i would love to see a video on that setup :)
So the odds are that no-one will win Euro 2024.
The greatest footballer of all time has uploaded let’s gooooo
11:35 You say your life would be complete, but I think your life would've ended to a heart attack before, considering England has to go through three extra times plus penalties in the final.
Ter Stegen is clearly not german no.1 and Thibaut Courtois didn't even make Belgium squad 😅
there will be nothing worse in the world of football than england winning a major international event....
11:45 I switched off 🤣🤣
let's put this into perspective. It is more likely that France wins the tournament than:
- Albania getting out of the group
- Austria and Switzerland getting to the quarters
- Portugal, Belgium and Croatia getting to the semis
- Any other team getting to the final
Insane.
Who are here after Germany are being very good
So, England won a trophy AHAHHA.. such a unrealistic game
Ter Stegen played for Germany in game? Isn’t it Neuer that will play irl?
great video. how did you simulate with the real squads?
I predict the semi-finalists will be France, Portugal, Germany, and England
Are you starting the simulation at the start of the tournament, so therefore if a player is injured and out, he is out 100 times in the sim?
sorry should have waited till the end before commenting. I see that players are out all the time if injured.
I’m so happy that Poland won and also got their revenge for 2016!!! 🥳🥳🥳
England 15 vs Spain 13, we will see who will win soon.
It will be an interesting reflection video after the tourney....can't wait
I'd presume, that even with 100 supposedly educated guesses...
None of those simulations will be correct.
My £1 is on Hungary to get out of their group.
As a dutch seeing us win 3 out of the possible 22 finals is so hurting but yet so realistic. 😂🥲 The detail this game has is insane
if England were to beat Germany on pens it's possible i die before the trophy is lifted 😂
Does Turkey get to choose what cup they play in. They kinda seem to be in the middle of pretty much everyone
1 minute and i am ready to watch TomFM
Seeing Ter Stegen, Areola AND Courtois as the goalkeepers with the most clean sheets is kind of funny considering they most likely won't even play. Nagelsmann seems to prefer Neuer, Maignan always starts over Areola and Courtois didn't get called up because he's a crybaby
Pretty accurate for Netherlands, they just can't win a final unfortunately
2:17 don't mind me. 23/177= 13% ok that's valid as affirmation. Oh btw i'm a new one is your stats ;)
We will see us in the finals. Greetings from Germany xD
Could you do a video where you simulate until Bosnia wins Euros please?
They once were top 10 and now it just hurts to watch them so I wish I could escape reality a bit
Poland mentioned 🎉 and we even won once against our euro 2016 dream run killer 💪🏻. Will we make it out of the group irl? Probably not 😢
How do you simulate 100 years for example
Last time that France was the favorite to win an international competition they've finished bottom of their group with 0 goal so now i'm scared 😅
Also Tom, I watched a video of another content creator and when the mentioned subscribe the subscribe button would light up. Maybe something you should like to do, can imagine your sub count would increase.
11 seconds, that reaction time
nice pfp
@@AM9DR3 thanks bro
0 wins for the Netherlands out of the 22 would've been more realistic
They’ve won a Euro before
Uve got it wrong your using percent for the quarters onwards wrong u can only use a percent for making the second round as its out of 100 times
Re-do it but with mourinho/klopp/other managers managing england instead of southgate
how long does it take you to play through 1 season
the fist of group A plays against de 2nd team of group C and not group B . Its 2A vs 2B.
I had no hope for my country (Romania) but after this video I somehow have less hope
when are you trying the Jupiler Pro League in Belgium ? :D
Georgia qualifies to the Semi-final for the first european championship in history - I'll take it 🔴⚪
No bias in favour of England, right? lol this freaking game somehow is capable of making Portugal feel like a 2nd tier team when stats wise is absolutely top 3. Ridiculous consistent prediction stats even from another video.