It's tough. Even with a solid edge you could go on very a bad run that makes you question if you even had an edge in the first place. Some days you can on some crazily good runs that put you well above EV and you feel like you can't lose! Though we've got to remember: all that matters is what is the profit over turnover after thousands of bets. That bad run will be negligible and even itself out eventually after thousands of bets.
The best measurement we have the beat the closing line. If you can beat that you can be pretty certain you have an edge. Read this: www.blog.tradematesports.com/sports-betting-strategy/2016/11/16/closing-line-the-most-important-metric-in-sports-trading#:~:text=The%20closing%20line%20represents%20what,for%20the%20different%20game%20outcomes
One of my friends just recently lost $150 Australian dollars on a pokie machine & so he punched the screen and it shattered! Then he ran out before the cops came.
Mentally so challenging, but also the Main reason why people fail!
Couldn't agree more!
Hey, will the staking strategy become less effecient if u get limited and the bookie determines how much you can place?
Yeah it definitely will, so you might have to reduce to a lower Kelly % or just trades on the games where they let you bet what you want to
It's tough. Even with a solid edge you could go on very a bad run that makes you question if you even had an edge in the first place. Some days you can on some crazily good runs that put you well above EV and you feel like you can't lose! Though we've got to remember: all that matters is what is the profit over turnover after thousands of bets. That bad run will be negligible and even itself out eventually after thousands of bets.
Couldn't have said it better myself mate, beating the closing line over thousands of bets = profits long term!
I think you’re referring to the Fernandinho hand in the face with City v Arsenal game, but no VAR in the EFL cup games so wasn’t looked into
From memory I think we were talking about the Walker high boot, but this was way back in October!
@@TrademateSports ahh my bad thought it was recent yeah makes sense, I’m a blue 😉 thought they were all good decisions by the ref 👏
Well deserved win!
Why I reach better results with low volume that with high one, always value betting obviously.
how do you know when you have an edge? can you ever be sure?
The best measurement we have the beat the closing line. If you can beat that you can be pretty certain you have an edge. Read this: www.blog.tradematesports.com/sports-betting-strategy/2016/11/16/closing-line-the-most-important-metric-in-sports-trading#:~:text=The%20closing%20line%20represents%20what,for%20the%20different%20game%20outcomes
Lol I can relate like 2years ago if won like k3 or k4 I would be going crazy in the house screaming and dancing 😂
Tell me about it!
Which games he plays the most?
Most sports mate - mainly MMA, Soccer, Basketball and American Football
@@TrademateSports I meant on Soccer, which exactly like BTTS,Home, Away, over-under 2.5..?
Oh right sorry. The markets that the sharps offer like 1x2, AH, Over/under etc. the most basic ones with the most liquidity
One of my friends just recently lost $150 Australian dollars on a pokie machine & so he punched the screen and it shattered! Then he ran out before the cops came.
Haha what a story!
Turning 5000 in 100000 in a year ... How many customers are lucky enough to do it ?