Decision Tree 1

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 27 พ.ย. 2024

ความคิดเห็น • 76

  • @emmettbrandon8176
    @emmettbrandon8176 ปีที่แล้ว

    You are the only one who expalined this better in youtube 🎉

  • @dgchvz
    @dgchvz 7 ปีที่แล้ว +5

    Thank you so much! This absolutely saved my life and now I can pass my exam! Really this was extremely helpful!

  • @levisosirang2742
    @levisosirang2742 ปีที่แล้ว

    A great teacher indeed you saved me,,be blessed.

  • @oldbeean
    @oldbeean 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Excellent video demonstration for this economic evaluation.

  • @chuksmoxie7150
    @chuksmoxie7150 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you so much for the tutorial. I wish my lecturer had explained it this way, it would have been very comprehensible.

  • @mysapril2440
    @mysapril2440 4 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Thank you for this ❤️ A really big help for unexpected online class due to Covid19.

  • @neelabhac
    @neelabhac 10 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Very nice. Clear cut and to the point :)

  • @akazhkumar4878
    @akazhkumar4878 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    your better at this than my teacher at school
    thanks

  • @Sehru30
    @Sehru30 7 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Highly Appreciated Great Effort.

  • @divinitytarot6
    @divinitytarot6 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    great description, love from India

  • @mziwonkemfiki5951
    @mziwonkemfiki5951 5 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Precise explanation teach, much appreciated.

  • @SIMZALO
    @SIMZALO 10 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Nice, clear presentation, we appreciate.

  • @manoclocknews
    @manoclocknews 10 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Excellent Teaching. clear and methodical. well illustrated.

  • @yousralafdaoui7103
    @yousralafdaoui7103 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    thank u so much your explanation is flawless

    • @thangtran145
      @thangtran145 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      You have a great 80s music playlist. I recommend adding Nothing's gonna stop us now - Starship or Nothing's gonna change my love for you - George Benson.

    • @thangtran145
      @thangtran145 3 ปีที่แล้ว

      And a number of other songs as well :)

  • @user-nd9tp4dm7f
    @user-nd9tp4dm7f หลายเดือนก่อน

    Nice job
    Well explained
    Thank you 🎉

  • @fatimamurnai6065
    @fatimamurnai6065 5 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    This was very helpful, thank you so much!

  • @arnovj1
    @arnovj1 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you for your amazing video. Such easily explained!

  • @Natyler03
    @Natyler03 8 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Awesomeeeeeeeeeeee explanation !

  • @cyrusowino3506
    @cyrusowino3506 4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    PERFECTLY DONE

  • @mkmmanikandan
    @mkmmanikandan 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Very well Explained. Thank You.

  • @mariambayramyan2995
    @mariambayramyan2995 8 ปีที่แล้ว +3

    Thanks for clear explanation ^^

  • @kristinaswanson6063
    @kristinaswanson6063 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Wonderful explanation.

  • @reginagaligao222
    @reginagaligao222 2 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    thank you so much for this video

  • @MrKasbaros
    @MrKasbaros 9 ปีที่แล้ว

    wow... thank you a lot. this simplifies it to the core

  • @mavpph
    @mavpph 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    How did you get the conditional probabilities?

  • @nilendra75
    @nilendra75 10 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Thanks, very clearly explained.

  • @singitacatridgenyambi7229
    @singitacatridgenyambi7229 6 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you I'm going to get total on this and in tomorrow's test

  • @Fsp01
    @Fsp01 5 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    excellent stuff thank you

  • @Zenpill
    @Zenpill 8 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    great explanation ... thank you

  • @rachanakandari
    @rachanakandari 7 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    highly appreciated. thank you very much.

  • @syeda.asiyashah6421
    @syeda.asiyashah6421 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Mam in case of a simple question where just alternatives and values are given and we just have to use the decision tree formula so what should we do just make the decision tree diagram using the given data ? Or we have to subtract the payoff ? Becuz in our case no payoff is given just alternatives with values and probability is given so kindly tell me what should i do becuz i have to submit my assignment ASAP

  • @dilmohammeddilhan9807
    @dilmohammeddilhan9807 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    Very well explanation..

  • @theflyingnovice9869
    @theflyingnovice9869 6 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    Amazing content Thank You!!

  • @bijoycherian242
    @bijoycherian242 10 ปีที่แล้ว

    Many thanks..very very clear explanation..could you please share the software u have used to explain the problem..will be thankful if you can share it.

    • @jwinch2
      @jwinch2  10 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      I used inking in Excel with Wacom Bamboo tablet and used Camtasia Studio to record and edit video. Let me know if this is not what you were asking or if you have further questions.

    • @bijoycherian242
      @bijoycherian242 10 ปีที่แล้ว

      Thanks it is clear and I could do it myself..Thanks again..

  • @kwlweapons
    @kwlweapons 8 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    wouldn't the max expected value from the winning branch be 140 if there is high demand?

    • @jwinch2
      @jwinch2  8 ปีที่แล้ว

      The value of 140 is the payoff if you purchased and the demand happens to be high. Expected value is not the same as an individual payoff. It is the weighted average of the payoffs where the weights are the likelihood of the payoffs. Since we don't know what level of demand will occur before we decide whether to manufacture or purchase, computing the expected value for each alternative gives us some metric on which to base our decision.

    • @kwlweapons
      @kwlweapons 8 ปีที่แล้ว

      gotcha, thanks for clearing that up!

  • @christinemwatha2381
    @christinemwatha2381 4 ปีที่แล้ว

    Well explained

  • @shernee4203
    @shernee4203 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    great explanation!

  • @cristinab16
    @cristinab16 10 ปีที่แล้ว

    Super Clear thank you so much!

  • @alzaytoon3000
    @alzaytoon3000 2 ปีที่แล้ว

    Brilliant

  • @franzellearawas449
    @franzellearawas449 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you so much..

  • @shadowbolt3241
    @shadowbolt3241 9 ปีที่แล้ว +2

    Isnt the payoffs of the research branch supposed to be deducted by 10 because of research costs?

    • @jwinch2
      @jwinch2  9 ปีที่แล้ว +2

      +Shadowbolt
      You can deduct 10 from each payoff that originates from conducting research or you can deduct 10 later when you "roll back" the tree. I chose the latter in this example. So I subtracted 10 just before comparing the expected values at node 2 and 3. Either way is fine.

    • @airmancompressorphilippine2365
      @airmancompressorphilippine2365 9 ปีที่แล้ว

      +jwinch2 Why we use 10?

    • @airmancompressorphilippine2365
      @airmancompressorphilippine2365 9 ปีที่แล้ว

      +jwinch2 how do we get those probability values?

    • @shadowbolt3241
      @shadowbolt3241 9 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      +Jenriel Catuling Because that is the cost of the survey conducted. :) Therefor we subtract the cost to the payoff.

    • @airmancompressorphilippine2365
      @airmancompressorphilippine2365 9 ปีที่แล้ว

      Oww now I understand. how about those probability data? they're from?

  • @117khuram
    @117khuram 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thank you very much!!

  • @ua-isac
    @ua-isac 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    It was very helpful!

  • @abdifatahxiis7462
    @abdifatahxiis7462 9 ปีที่แล้ว +1

    wonderful

  • @dsgdsfhdsghdhdfh
    @dsgdsfhdsghdhdfh 10 ปีที่แล้ว

    thanks too much, god bless you .it was helpful

  • @lakshyathetarget173
    @lakshyathetarget173 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    its realy very benificial..........

  • @Melanielovergirl
    @Melanielovergirl 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Thanks

  • @nursyahirahera
    @nursyahirahera 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    In the question is not stated the cost need to be deducted. So why the value 10 is there? How we want to know how much should be deducted?

    • @jwinch2
      @jwinch2  5 ปีที่แล้ว

      It is given at about 2:28 that the market research is expected to cost $10,000. That's where the cost is given.

    • @mande2403
      @mande2403 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@jwinch2 Thanks , great explanation, Is it possible if I have a probability of favourable and unfavourable(P robabillity f over low demand) market reseach in low , medium and high demand scenario , I put once chance node each for low, medium, high demand followed by another chance node for favorable and unfavourable outcome.

    • @jwinch2
      @jwinch2  4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      @@mande2403 I think you are asking if you know the probability of different demand levels, P(H), P(M), P(L), and conditional probabilities for market research prediction, P(F|H), P(F|M), etc. whether it is correct to have chance nodes of demand levels followed by the chance nodes of market research prediction. Technically yes. But that situation would not be relevant in the context of this example. If knowledge of market condition comes first, then you can just make the decision without doing the market research

    • @mande2403
      @mande2403 4 ปีที่แล้ว

      @@jwinch2 thanks so much , superb explanation , understood , wish you happy holidays....

  • @xxsyl1096
    @xxsyl1096 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    u r a legend

  • @oguguemma
    @oguguemma 7 ปีที่แล้ว

    thanks...really helpful

  • @jesmandzimba
    @jesmandzimba 10 ปีที่แล้ว

    very understandable..thank you

  • @gaming4life25
    @gaming4life25 8 ปีที่แล้ว

    thankyou Ma'am! 👍☺

  • @arfinchowdhuryarif
    @arfinchowdhuryarif 5 ปีที่แล้ว

    I don't understand manufacture=0.3*200+.4*60+.3*(-30)=why 75???? Here correct answer is 73....can you explain mem.please..

    • @jwinch2
      @jwinch2  4 ปีที่แล้ว +1

      0.3*200+0.4*60+0.3*(-30) = 60 + 24 - 9 = 75

  • @mauricemutuku3406
    @mauricemutuku3406 7 หลายเดือนก่อน

    were you in kenya ,would have bought a bottle for you....heko mwalimu

  • @millicentramusi2036
    @millicentramusi2036 9 ปีที่แล้ว

    thank you

  • @lisa6422
    @lisa6422 8 ปีที่แล้ว

    thank you i get it now!

  • @raziyababayeva
    @raziyababayeva 3 ปีที่แล้ว

    Hello Thank you for the video. I have a question: In the very begining you said if the Demand is high we may conduct a research but we found out in the end that we shouldnt conduct a research although the demand may be high. In other words how can you make a decision if you don't know the demand?

    • @jwinch2
      @jwinch2  3 ปีที่แล้ว

      At the beginning, I did not say if the demand is high, we may conduct a research. I said if there is high demand, it is worthwhile to manufacture. But unfortunately, we don't know the demand level before making the decision. The point of the video is making the decision even when we don't know the demand level.

  • @oluwalamideborah4386
    @oluwalamideborah4386 5 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great😂