This Warning Indicator Has Only Happened 3 Other Times

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  • เผยแพร่เมื่อ 9 ก.ย. 2024
  • Though calm was restored after a wild few days in global financial markets, key market signals remained steadfastly negative. One of the most crucial of those even dropped to a level we've only seen three other times in more than 35 years - all three some of the worst cases. Moreover, that one was corroborated by a record low for swaps also set this week.
    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
    CNN Money Fed explains the big rate cut
    money.cnn.com/...
    The New York Times Dow Breaks 3,000 but Ends at 2,980.20
    www.nytimes.co...
    The New York Times 10.08 RISE PUTS DOW AT 1,020.35
    www.nytimes.co...
    www.eurodollar...
    Twitter: / jeffsnider_edu

ความคิดเห็น • 323

  • @DavidCovington-st2id
    @DavidCovington-st2id 29 วันที่ผ่านมา +154

    The continuously changing economic conditions in our society have made it necessary for people to find additional sources of income, thus I am looking at the stock market to fuel my retirement goal of $3m, my only concern is the recent market crash.

    • @tmer831
      @tmer831 29 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      Every crash/collapse brings with it an equivalent market chance if you are early informed and equipped, I've seen folks amass wealth amid economy crisis, and even pull it off easily in favorable conditions. That should be the least of your concern. Also explore the option of working with a CFA to reduce greatly your chances of loss.

    • @SteveDutton-v
      @SteveDutton-v 29 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      You're right, I and a few Neighbors in Bel Air Area work with an Investment Adviser who prefers we DCA across other prospective sectors instead of a lump sum purchase. As a result, my portfolio has recorded significant improvement even during the most unfavorable market season.

    • @SeanTalkoff
      @SeanTalkoff 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I'm intrigued by this. I've searched for investment advisers online but it's kind of hard to get in touch with one. Okay if I ask you for a recommendation??

    • @SteveDutton-v
      @SteveDutton-v 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      'Sharon Ann Meny' is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment

    • @SeanTalkoff
      @SeanTalkoff 29 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Thank you for the recommendation. I'll send her an email, and I hope I'm able to reach her.

  • @DonaldMark-ne7se
    @DonaldMark-ne7se 12 วันที่ผ่านมา +259

    Coming out of facing alot, I knew two things about the stock market: It caused the Great Depression, and the fastest way to make a million on the markets was to start with two million. And then the Great Recession happened only a few years later. So yeah, I wish someone had better explained it to me earlier in life. Having a good entry and exit strategy will make you succeed in the stock market.

    • @kevinmarten
      @kevinmarten 12 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      There are actually a lot of ways to make high yields in a crisis, but such trades are best done under the supervision of Financial advisor.

    • @JacquelinePerrira
      @JacquelinePerrira 12 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      Exactly, most of the investors pays more attention to the profit aspect forgetting that the market involves ups and down. securing your financial position requires lots of patience and proper education on the market so as to know the right profitable stock to buy and invest in. I made over $260k in profits, from just the Q4 of 2021. Investing in the stock market is most profitable when you understand how the market actually works.

    • @Jamessmith-12
      @Jamessmith-12 12 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      I really acknowledge your comment, i have been trading stocks for a while now but i have not been able to make much. how do you achieve this feat?

    • @JacquelinePerrira
      @JacquelinePerrira 12 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      When ‘Carol Vivian Constable’ is trading, there's no nonsense and no excuses. She wins the trade and you win. Take the loss, I promise she'll take one with you.

    • @Jamessmith-12
      @Jamessmith-12 12 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.

  • @stevepiccinnin1157
    @stevepiccinnin1157 หลายเดือนก่อน +61

    The s#*% is hitting the fan but nobody can smell it till it finally smacks us in the face!

    • @DieselRamcharger
      @DieselRamcharger หลายเดือนก่อน +10

      everyones been crying the end is near for so long we are all numb to it.

    • @jasondillon2567
      @jasondillon2567 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      🤣 What an analogy.

    • @stevepiccinnin1157
      @stevepiccinnin1157 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@DieselRamcharger I think it’s gonna start unwinding faster

    • @supersleepygrumpybear
      @supersleepygrumpybear หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      It's that Kombucha 🤣🤣🤣

    • @YokNg
      @YokNg หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      that's what this channel was saying 2 years ago. Until now, NOTHING has changed

  • @robt9374
    @robt9374 หลายเดือนก่อน +42

    300 million Americans have zero clue and don’t want to know what’s going to happen…..

    • @andreast.8243
      @andreast.8243 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      Most of the world is still in the dark about this too. Lucky few aren't bull-trapped in the markets and the insiders are selling

    • @lakelvp
      @lakelvp 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Not only that but the in group will definitely exclude anyone who mentions data or analysis.

  • @chrisryan4292
    @chrisryan4292 หลายเดือนก่อน +82

    Jeff, Harvey Dent, Jim Rickards and George Gammon have predicted 100 of the last 2 recessions. 😂

    • @JoeBlow-nh7mp
      @JoeBlow-nh7mp หลายเดือนก่อน +11

      funny until it isn't

    • @jimbojimbo6873
      @jimbojimbo6873 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      @@JoeBlow-nh7mpwasn’t funny in the first place

    • @gezenews
      @gezenews หลายเดือนก่อน

      Racially and sexually discriminating against the largest demo workforce in the country for the most in demand jobs has predicted 1/1 of societies being doomed to fail.

    • @samnater
      @samnater หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      They need degrees in psychology not economics to see where the market is going 😂😂😂

    • @wagashiohagi
      @wagashiohagi หลายเดือนก่อน +12

      Another thing they all have in common is their ability to successfully run a Confidence Trick on the naive.

  • @tradermunky1998
    @tradermunky1998 หลายเดือนก่อน +30

    Good stuff Jeff. Stock market and employment are always the last to go. Bond market always way ahead of the curve. Same psychology always plays out. 🎉

    • @pinewood6340
      @pinewood6340 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Except that Jeff has been saying the same things for 2 years straight. Once it comes true (and it will), no credit going to Jeff at all. Permabears will always be right if you wait years / decades.

    • @tradermunky1998
      @tradermunky1998 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@pinewood6340 That's dumb. Recessions take years to play out. When people like you finally realize it's happening, it's probably over.

    • @pinewood6340
      @pinewood6340 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@tradermunky1998 I've been waiting for it for years, but I haven't been posting dozens of videos titled "It's happening NOW!". Jeff has.

    • @bostonfrank6739
      @bostonfrank6739 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Institutions are putting money into bonds now because they think a recession is coming & interest rates are going lower

    • @pinewood6340
      @pinewood6340 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@tradermunky1998 I've been expecting the recession for years, but I'm not making clickbait videos that whole time.

  • @wagashiohagi
    @wagashiohagi หลายเดือนก่อน +23

    8/2/20 Video Titled "The Fed Strikes Out! Negative Interest Rates Soon?"
    "We're a hair trigger away from negative nominals, not runaway inflation." -Jeff
    SPY +60%
    QQQ +65
    GLD +21
    TLT -45
    USO +159
    CPI from 0.1 to 9.1 to 3.0.
    It's hilarious that a six percent pullback in the SPY from all time highs, and suddenly "Our savior genius Jeff warned us this was coming!"
    Laughable.

    • @chungang7037
      @chungang7037 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

      thank you someone needed to say it

    • @brendanswift6755
      @brendanswift6755 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I am starting to realise that 90% of youtube "experts" are nothing more than hacks. I can think of a number of names unfortunately. Small wonder this guy hooked up with Steve van metre, the chicken little of the finance world

    • @wagashiohagi
      @wagashiohagi หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      @@chungang7037 It's just confusing to me how anyone could possibly give this guy praise for "being right".

    • @pirahnalasagne
      @pirahnalasagne หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      ​@@wagashiohagi he's a macro analyst. If you want timing, follow a reliable technician or someone who has methods of analysing flows. Just because this method of analysis has limitations in regards to timing, is not to say it doesn't have value when attempting to understand the mechanics of the banking system.

    • @wagashiohagi
      @wagashiohagi หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@pirahnalasagne You seem to have missed the entire point of my comment.

  • @jordyhumby
    @jordyhumby หลายเดือนก่อน +14

    Thank you and very interesting about the gold and copper ratio. Did not know that.

    • @goldspan5666
      @goldspan5666 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      if you want to know about the gold copper ratio check out Jeff Gundlach that is who Jeff Snider stole it from

    • @wagashiohagi
      @wagashiohagi หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      ​@@goldspan5666 True. Not only did Jeff "steal" it and not give credit, but his complete lack of understanding of the subject is simply mind boggling.

    • @wagashiohagi
      @wagashiohagi หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      If you want to actually understand, and take away some useful information, read Jeff Mayberry's paper on the subject over at Doubleline and turn this clown off...permanently!

  • @wemustbecomemachines2012
    @wemustbecomemachines2012 หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    I've been seeing signs of impending doom for 3years...signs of impending doom no longer impress me...

    • @egillis214
      @egillis214 หลายเดือนก่อน

      This

  • @KimJimCastro
    @KimJimCastro หลายเดือนก่อน +84

    I was a late bloomer, but Mary Callahan Erdoes my financial advisor helped me bring it all together and got me into crypto. Now retired for 6 years at 72, my managed portfolio with Mary generates about 9k a month on average more than my RMD on my retirement accounts. Not real big, but together with SS we're able to live reasonably with 160k a year. While being mortgage free.

    • @MarineMaester
      @MarineMaester หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Same here, I got to know about Mary Callahan Erdoes on here in 2020. Since then I've paid off 160,000 USD of debt. Now I'm working on building an emergency fund. I didn't even have a savings account three years ago.

    • @SahlMeyers
      @SahlMeyers หลายเดือนก่อน

      I'll like to associate with this person

    • @MarineMaester
      @MarineMaester 29 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      ​@@SahlMeyers
      Well her name is 'MARY CALLAHAN ERDOES SERVICES'. Just research the name. You'd find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.

    • @RAKelBerquist
      @RAKelBerquist 29 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Great share! Out of curiosity, I searched Mary Callahan Erdoes Services online, found her consulting page ranked at the top, and scheduled a call session. I've read many reviews about advisors, but none seem as impressive as hers.

  • @ceciliaferraro6360
    @ceciliaferraro6360 หลายเดือนก่อน +30

    Tired of waiting for recession.

    • @ericmichel3857
      @ericmichel3857 หลายเดือนก่อน

      You don't have to wait, it's here. What you are waiting for is everyone to acknowledge it, that won't happen until after the election. They won't have a choice, that can't keep just printing money to cover it up because inflation will become insane (more than it already is), and that is when it will hit the fan. It is not a matter of if, just when, and the answer to that appears to be very soon.

    • @theruraloregonian1802
      @theruraloregonian1802 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      We are in a recession if you account for the true rate of inflation and deficit spending. -3%

  • @ufuksenol2005
    @ufuksenol2005 หลายเดือนก่อน +21

    Fear and uncertainty create major wealth. It's those who take the risk and have strong gut to endure the bloody days. When i notice extreme dips i tend to actually move more money to crypto...

    • @PineHosting
      @PineHosting หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      I feel sympathy for our country, low income people are now suffering to survive yet inflation and recession keep increasing daily, many families can't even enhance the good cost of living anymore. You've helped me a lot Sir Brian! Imagine I invested $50,000 and received $190,500 after 14 days

    • @BraunRob
      @BraunRob หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      Very possible! especially at this moment. Profits can be made in many different ways, but such intricate transactions should only be handled by seasoned market professionals.

    • @mbnesbitt
      @mbnesbitt หลายเดือนก่อน

      Some persons think inves'tin is all about buying stocks; I think going into the stock market without a good experience is a big risk, that's why I'm lucky to have seen someone like mr Brian C Nelson.

    • @hamzahamza-bz3rf
      @hamzahamza-bz3rf หลายเดือนก่อน

      Finding yourself a good broker is as same as finding a good wife, which you go less stress, you get just enough with so much little effort at things

    • @nandojuace
      @nandojuace หลายเดือนก่อน

      Brian demonstrates an excellent understanding of market trends, making well informed decisions that leads to consistent profit

  • @Healthwithleo
    @Healthwithleo 29 วันที่ผ่านมา +63

    It seems certain stocks are undervalued, flying under the radar despite their potential. You can't help but wonder when the market will recognize their true worth. How can I invest $600K wisely to ensure our future security?

    • @adelineChulack
      @adelineChulack 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      It's frustrating when market inefficiencies persist, particularly with undervalued stocks. Consider consulting an advisor for smarter investing decisions.

    • @MarcelMcGowan
      @MarcelMcGowan 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      My financial advisor has been a game changer, providing clarity and boosting my confidence in a navigating finance, with their help, I've archived my goals faster than I imagined. highly recommend

    • @RosadorcasSladeWiggins
      @RosadorcasSladeWiggins 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      your advisor appears skilled. how can I contact them? I've recently sold property and aim to invest in stocks, seeking guidance.

    • @MarcelMcGowan
      @MarcelMcGowan 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I'd say a little due diligence on "Dianne Sarah Olson" truly exceptional.

    • @iuordanmatkov261
      @iuordanmatkov261 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I just looked her up and she seems like someone i would like to trust with my port;folio ! glad I was this.. thanks

  • @Pompomgrenade
    @Pompomgrenade หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Your videos have taught me that analysis of patterns is meaningful when looking at economics... By pattern😂 the fourth quarter of the year always has to be up... But that's going to be very challenging, this year 👹

  • @GillerHeston
    @GillerHeston หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    The economic crisis and downturn are all the signs of 2008 market crash 2.0, so my question is do I still save in the US dollar or is it okay to move all emergency and savings to precious metals?

    • @rogerwheelers4322
      @rogerwheelers4322 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      Given the persisting global economic crisis, it's essential for individuals to focus on diversifying their income streams independent of governmental reliance. This involves exploring options such as stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies. Despite the adversity in the economy, now is an opportune moment to contemplate these investment avenues. If you are in cross roads or need sincere advise on the best moves to take now its best you seek a pro who knows about the financial markets. Cheers and good luck!

    • @joshbarney114
      @joshbarney114 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      This is precisely why I like having a portfolio coach guide my day-to-day market decisions: with their extensive knowledge of going long and short at the same time, using risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying it off as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, their skillset makes it nearly impossible for them to underperform. I've been utilizing a portfolio coach for more than two years, and I've made over $800,000.

    • @FabioOdelega876
      @FabioOdelega876 หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      I appreciate the implementation of ideas and strategies that result to unmeasurable progress. Being heavily liquid, I'd rather not reinvent the wheel, thus the search for a reputable advisor, mind sharing info of this person guiding you please?

    • @joshbarney114
      @joshbarney114 หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      Finding financial advisors like Marisa Breton Dollard who can assist you shape your portfolio would be a very creative option. There will be difficult times ahead, and prudent personal money management will be essential to navigating them.

    • @FabioOdelega876
      @FabioOdelega876 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

      Excellent share, just inputted Marisa Breton Dollard on the internet, spotted her consulting page ranked top and was able to schedule a call session. I’ve seen commentaries about advisors but not one looks this phenomenal.

  • @jiujiu
    @jiujiu หลายเดือนก่อน +15

    I went 100% cash until after the election or a 30% drop in the market.

    • @Gary-pogi
      @Gary-pogi หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      I did the same two years ago and am still waiting for the crash

    • @chungang7037
      @chungang7037 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      @@Gary-pogi 😆

    • @nealkelly9757
      @nealkelly9757 หลายเดือนก่อน

      You missed out on epic stock runs​@@Gary-pogi

    • @jonw3602
      @jonw3602 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Dam that sucks for you

  • @trythis2821
    @trythis2821 หลายเดือนก่อน +19

    Enter through the narrow gate. For wide is the gate and broad is the road that leads to destruction, and many enter through it. But small is the gate and narrow the road that leads to life, and only a few find it.

    • @qaz3000
      @qaz3000 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Amen and amen!

    • @lilblackduc7312
      @lilblackduc7312 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

      Continue to nurture a maturing relationship with your Creator. "Spiritual Fortitude" will separate survivors from the losers, soon enough...

  • @radeksparowski7174
    @radeksparowski7174 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    it is fascinating watching high speed camera footage of crash tests....we are in one now in this holodeck......

  • @bostonfrank6739
    @bostonfrank6739 29 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

    You do not need the copper/gold ratio. All you need to do is follow the price of copper. High copper prices mean the economy is strong , low copper prices mean the economy is weak. That is why it is called Doctor Copper

  • @PrayAlways-mn7wh
    @PrayAlways-mn7wh 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Jeff..............very, very good. This youtube is worth listening to and you do an amazing job of showing, why present metrics and market gurus are not worth listening to and then you introduce meaningful leading indicators, copper/gold ratio and then you introduce, hammer perfectly on top of the head of interest rate swap spreads, a direct measure of the health of the banking industry and of our monetary/economic health.

  • @VineetVishwakarma-qn1wj
    @VineetVishwakarma-qn1wj 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Seeing Versidium's progress, I'm beyond impressed!

  • @rolandbraun1197
    @rolandbraun1197 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    In February 2022 , the price of copper per pound was 5.12 us dollars. As at August 2024, the price of copper per pound collapsed to 3.93 US dollars !! This is very bearish for global manufacturing !! 😮

  • @KishanKumar-ij3in
    @KishanKumar-ij3in 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Diving deep into Versidium, liking what I see!

  • @sk-nc4ew
    @sk-nc4ew หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    hard to give such dark outlook a thumbs up - but many thx Jeff for your deep insights into the arcane ;-) parts of our financial system and what they say!

  • @briangman3
    @briangman3 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Great analysis, I see the same thing but no one wants to validate it, tremendous amount of hope is still left in the market that it’s going to be propped up

  • @Mathew-zs3nz
    @Mathew-zs3nz 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +7

    Opinions on the market diverge; some claim overvaluation due to rapid gains, while others cite strong economic fundamentals justifying high valuations. Raises concern for my $600K equities going 8% up and 20% down. Should i hold on or sell off my positions and hold cash?.

    • @Jasonshelton-
      @Jasonshelton- 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +5

      In fact, markets have incorrectly priced in such a pivot six times over the last two years, according to Deutsche Bank, which sounded cautious about this seventh time. Still showing us why pointers from market experts are essential.

    • @Olivia-z5c
      @Olivia-z5c 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +4

      Agreed, After taking charge of my portfolio in early 2017, i stumbled into losses. Upon realizing that a change was necessary, I consulted a fiduciary advisor in 2020 and since then my $3.2m portfolio has gained 28% annually through restructuring and diversification using dividend equities, ETFs, mutual funds, and REITs.

    • @Agatha.wayne0
      @Agatha.wayne0 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +3

      great gains there! mind sharing details of your advisor please?

    • @Olivia-z5c
      @Olivia-z5c 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +2

      "Jessica Lee Horst" is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment

    • @berniceburgos-
      @berniceburgos- 27 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      Thank you for sharing, I must say, Jessica appears to be quite knowledgeable.

  • @markmarkhitton9824
    @markmarkhitton9824 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Well done Jeff !!!!!

  • @SinergiasHolisticas
    @SinergiasHolisticas หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Love it!!!!!!!!!!

  • @JSniderDebunkedgoldspansubstak
    @JSniderDebunkedgoldspansubstak หลายเดือนก่อน +8

    Jeff "I'm weeks away from bankruptcy" Snider. Debunked.

  • @satchel888
    @satchel888 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Did any one predict or anticipate the drawdown from end of the Yen carry trade?

    • @jimdoak3658
      @jimdoak3658 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      On 7/30/24, the day before the announced BOJ rate hike, Jeffrey Kleintop on the Schwab Network indicated the Yen short trade and the US tech trade were so over-crowed, that if the BOJ hiked rates even 10 - 15 BP, it could spark a massive sell off in the tech sector.
      That's the first person that I saw talking about the risks of the Yen carry trade and the possibility of a 15 BP hike.

  • @MR-hu1bx
    @MR-hu1bx หลายเดือนก่อน +6

    Ohhhh my god it’s always the end of the world with you mate!

  • @trailguy
    @trailguy หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I love your stuff. I hope you aren’t just showing us stuff that we want to see. I’d love to see the charts that confound your stated theses.

  • @tracywatt9069
    @tracywatt9069 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    The stock market will stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent!

    • @justinkindler9682
      @justinkindler9682 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Keynes!

    • @jimdoak3658
      @jimdoak3658 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      The stock market will ONLY stay irrational as long as there continues to be massive group-think that the world's central banks won't allow interest rates to rise. Once the masses realize that that isn't happening (and isn't going to happen), then the panic sell-off will become hard and fast. Of course, the insider banksters and friends have to get their money out first though; and that's why they set up the bull trap between 5/7/24 - 7/31/24 with the fake promise of coming rate cuts. You didn't think that the S&P's break-out above all-time highs was based on anything real, did you?
      "The Pavlov's dogs on Wall Street have started to surf a wave of their own saliva"
      --Stanley Druckenmiller (5/7/24)

  • @SurjyaNayek
    @SurjyaNayek 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Versidium's on my radar, looks promising!

  • @eTriumph0719
    @eTriumph0719 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Great history lesson for all of us

  • @cometmall1
    @cometmall1 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    nothing significant will happened unless we have a surprise

  • @PhoolbhangsinghWadiwa
    @PhoolbhangsinghWadiwa หลายเดือนก่อน

    You are on the point, but I invest only in ICOs and presales for Maximum profit. And I think Vematum will do at least 50x after the launch.

  • @PonziZombieKiller
    @PonziZombieKiller หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    Black ☠️ Monday the Sequel...

  • @russelbrown6275
    @russelbrown6275 18 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Regardless of what the indicator maybe it is what that indicator is signaling that is important.

  • @michaelmalter2236
    @michaelmalter2236 หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    I am confused. You have been predicting a huge crash next week for more than a year now… I mean, I am bearish too. It is just that all of your babbling seems to have a pretty low predictive power.

    • @michaels4255
      @michaels4255 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      "next week?" Um, no, your memory is bad. And getting warned well in advance is a GOOD thing. If someone doesn't see it coming until just before it hits, they are too stupid to listen to. And please don't forget that the primary purpose of his channel is EDUCATION, not market timing. That is why it is called eurodollar UNIVERSITY.

    • @michaelmalter2236
      @michaelmalter2236 29 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      @@michaels4255 That make sense. There are good chunks of macro here. I actually enjoy this channel. It is just that lately, my youtube has been full of clickbaity permabears and it is getting tiresome…
      Let us be honnest though, he has given a number of bad advices in the past. Cannot blame him for not trying. But you have to admit that if you take a broad look of all the miniatures in his channel, it is pretty telling.

    • @michaels4255
      @michaels4255 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@michaelmalter2236 Even permabears are right eventually. One day the economy will probably change and it will be the permabulls who are only right once in a while.
      Anyway, I was paying attention to Jeff's interviews even before he started his channel. If you think he has offered "bad advice" in the past, then you should listen more carefully because Jeff does NOT offer advice. He offers education. And after he started his channel, many of his listeners were criticizing him for being a permabull (which was also incorrect, he was basically neutral) until the eurodollar curve inverted, then he immediately and IMO appropriately turned bearish, and now other critics are criticizing him for that. The permabears will reject you if you are not bearish under all conditions. And when you do turn bearish, others will criticize you if your bear case does not immediately materialize.
      The main thing I would fault him for is underestimated for how long inflation would hang around, but he was correct that it is a temporary phenomenon and in fact inflation has been falling for longer than it was rising, just not falling as fast as we would like, or as fast as Jeff expected.
      If people want someone to tell them "buy XYZ company today!" they should tune in to Jim Kramer. But if you want to understand the monetary system and how to understand the significance of changes in certain monetary indicators, Jeff is great. I wouldn't even know where to look for some of the stuff Jeff talks about, and I am better read than most if I may be speak immodestly for a moment.

  • @MR-hu1bx
    @MR-hu1bx หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Has anyone else realised that he has framed glass behind him with nothing in it? I think there is a reason for that.

  • @mohlini1
    @mohlini1 หลายเดือนก่อน

    thanks Jeff

  • @bobbobertson6249
    @bobbobertson6249 หลายเดือนก่อน +2

    Dreading a recession is comical
    There a recession on average every five or six years
    What's with all the fear?

    • @jimdoak3658
      @jimdoak3658 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Recessions SHOULD happen every 5-6 years to allow for the air to come out of asset-price bubbles (allow for asset prices to cyclically contract). The problem is that central banks have NOT allowed a recession to fully play out since the 1980s because they have continued with the unsustainable practice of QE.
      QE only delays economic contractions, it doesn't prevent contractions from happening.
      The fear is that central banks can no longer initiate QE without sparking rampant and severe inflation which will result in even higher consumer interest rates.
      So, if central banks DON'T suppress rising interest rates, then asset prices will crash quickly due to financial de-leveraging.
      If central banks DO temporarily suppress interest rates, then inflation will continue to skyrocket and then asset prices will crash more slowly, and over a longer period of time.
      Central banks now get to choose:
      Fast/severe crash and quick recovery (of asset prices) or
      slow crash and prolonged recovery of asset prices.

  • @user-dn7cm3qx7d
    @user-dn7cm3qx7d 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Versidium = opportunity. Don't sleep on it!

  • @23iam
    @23iam หลายเดือนก่อน

    very interesting, thank u!

  • @rowanmayer
    @rowanmayer หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    love ya bud

  • @waltertodd4479
    @waltertodd4479 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great video! Thank you...

  • @noah5291
    @noah5291 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    This youtube channel is incredible, ive been waiting for your next video obsessivly since the last one.

    • @tradermunky1998
      @tradermunky1998 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      Well yeah, gotta see what color fruit of the loom shirt Jeff has on.

    • @brodyalden
      @brodyalden หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@tradermunky1998LOL

    • @Noallegiance
      @Noallegiance หลายเดือนก่อน +3

      What's really amazing is that his latest video is his most recent one since the last one and is widely predicted to precede his next.

    • @wagashiohagi
      @wagashiohagi หลายเดือนก่อน +8

      It doesn't get any more "paid comment" than that!

    • @noah5291
      @noah5291 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@wagashiohagi I wish

  • @ThrashLawPatentsAndTMs
    @ThrashLawPatentsAndTMs หลายเดือนก่อน

    More great content, Jeff! Question: near the beginning of the video you mention that markets 'crash' after the recession has begun (I've heard this a lot).
    Because recessions are often announced looking back months (or years) later, are you suggesting that we can afford to wait on an "announced recession" and then we'll see a market top?
    Or given that some (DeMartino) believe a recession began last October, does this mean that the top in this cycle may already be in?

  • @budstep7361
    @budstep7361 หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Amazing correlation on the IR Swap Spreads and Copper-Gold ratio! I guess the big players might see some tectonic plate movement while everyone else is in la la land.

    • @nosdalgic
      @nosdalgic หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      The drop in the Nikkei this last week was the earthquake, the ir swaps are the aftershocks. I’d bet in a few months we will have at least one more international bank fail.

  • @nacetroy
    @nacetroy หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    Jeff, I'm a huge fan and have learned an incredible amount from your almost daily vids or you past articles. I remain curious, however, how does one make money from the info or perspective you provide? Besides buying long bond etfs at their lowest lows last Oct. as the stock market grew very well in most of the first half of 2024. I haven't heard much about what is actionable with this info. Thanks for all you do.

    • @jimbojimbo6873
      @jimbojimbo6873 หลายเดือนก่อน

      He ain’t a financial advisor

    • @Useless_Knowledge07
      @Useless_Knowledge07 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      TH-cam videos?

    • @wagashiohagi
      @wagashiohagi หลายเดือนก่อน +6

      You're asking a guy that lost 32% in 2022 when he was co-managing SVM's Portfolio Shield...a guy that has been on the wrong side of The Bond Market for the past four years...a guy whose main source of income is clickbait and subscriptions; how to make money from the info he provides. Talk about ridiculous!

    • @Solafide762
      @Solafide762 หลายเดือนก่อน

      He's an economist. Tbh FX and commodities

    • @Useless_Knowledge07
      @Useless_Knowledge07 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      @@wagashiohagi What happened to using a trailing stop?

  • @User-pu3lc
    @User-pu3lc หลายเดือนก่อน

    AI craze was the “new paradigm” section of the cycle. This is the “return to normal” portion of the cycle.

  • @user-vt2ke7xo6w
    @user-vt2ke7xo6w หลายเดือนก่อน

    Some economists are saying the rise in unemployment is not something to be worried about because the denominator is rising due to the influx of illegal immigrants entering the workforce. Thoughts?

    • @bostonfrank6739
      @bostonfrank6739 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      I think the unemployment data is signalling recession

  • @steve5289
    @steve5289 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Great Show !!

  • @waynesmith2549
    @waynesmith2549 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Be careful, this will get you censored

  • @shakeyspizza01
    @shakeyspizza01 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    Tweet Tweet the birds singing

  • @who2u333
    @who2u333 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I've been watching these for a couple of months and am still left wondering, So what? Since the market has been disconnected from the economy, any market gains you may have don't really care about an economic slowdown, and we can't do anything about an economic slowdown. So how does knowing that an economic slowdown is pending help the average viewer? What action can be taken to 'get ahead' with this information?

  • @williamwhiteside8488
    @williamwhiteside8488 หลายเดือนก่อน

    It's a CRE recession. How much does a downtown high rize cost these days?

  • @calldeltosell
    @calldeltosell หลายเดือนก่อน

    So, 16 minutes to say we are heading for a hard landing? Equities don't link well as any predictor because they are more emotionally speculative than logical. And each cycle, it's the top 4 - 6 that drive the perspective indexes. And each cycle they totally reflect a different social focus. (Reasons for the gains). Copper is linked to demand, gold to inflation sentiment. They are two disparate things. But it's not unlike prices of steak and dining out.
    If China succeeds in controling/tipping bonds to prop stem the flow of Chinese capital out (mainly to the US) AT THE SAME TIME as the FED dumps the target rate --- the combination of lower earnings AND carry trade cash draw-down will panic corporations and crash equities. And that will likely lead to cutting expenses to follow earnings leading to rising unemployment. Loss of income will slap banks hard.
    Not a stitch: not that what you observe is historical, but it's so loosely coupled due to the multivariant economy, the post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy must be considered.
    China doesn't have to fiddle rates up for the above, but will deepen and accelerate the recession.

  • @josho6038
    @josho6038 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    You as an indicator have happened 100s of times...bullish

  • @Mark-ez2vw
    @Mark-ez2vw หลายเดือนก่อน

    Digital silver in a digital age, litecoin is a digital precious metal, not a security. Litecoin is the oldest coin on the market after bitcoin, since its inception in 2011. Scarcity of litecoin is the key feature of its technology. Everyone tends to flock to digital silver and digital gold, litecoin and bitcoin, when things aren't going well. Litecoin is a decentralized digital commodity, just like bitcoin, but not even close so heavily concentrated in a few hands like bitcoin is. Both have Proof-of-Work consensus, and both have limited supply of coins. Only that litecoin is lighter, swifter, and hugely undervalued against bitcoin. Litecoin (LTC) being a digital commodity provides a decent inflation hedge as well because there will be mined only a limited number of 84 million litecoins in total.

  • @kbs7340
    @kbs7340 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    👍👍👍

  • @lilblackduc7312
    @lilblackduc7312 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I wish you'd explain your cockamamie charts, (inverted, extroverted, unconverted, WTH?) instead of assuming your audience understands them, while you're talking...plus...running those obnoxious animations that serve to do nothing besides break the viewer's concentration! Yours is one of the most difficult channels to understand on the internet...

  • @daniell.dingeldein9717
    @daniell.dingeldein9717 หลายเดือนก่อน

    bear markets bottom under 10 p/e or so, so what will the earnings bottom look like and when

  • @EPFForsyth
    @EPFForsyth หลายเดือนก่อน +9

    So Warren Buffet is wrong and you are correct? Are you saying I can not make more wealth in a down turn than not? And you offer nothing except doom and gloom? Calm down young man and go and watch some Peter Zeihan videos...This too shall pass.

    • @mamounakbarawi6837
      @mamounakbarawi6837 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Warren Buffet has been selling, he’s $200 billion in cash & cash equivalent!

    • @richardklein6896
      @richardklein6896 หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      No, Buffett is probably right. That’s why he sold half his Apple stock and has been selling stock and raising cash to all time highs. Because he sees big trouble coming. Like Snider does.

    • @itsallminor6133
      @itsallminor6133 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Other possibilities for cutting apple. 1. It's pe became to high. Over bought 2. Artificial intelligence gains seem to have been pushed further into the distance. 3. The government court cases on tech monopolies, Google included. 4 trump giving apple crap for not making it's products in the United States and the tarriff war. ​@@richardklein6896

  • @daniell.dingeldein9717
    @daniell.dingeldein9717 หลายเดือนก่อน

    replace the income tax with transactional taxes...access fees in and out of markets is one idea along with a flat consumption point of sale tax structure..and tariffs and stuff.

  • @rossderer6154
    @rossderer6154 หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I totally get a depression would be a terrible scenario but I don't see how deflation is equil to depression. Everything thing is so wildly overpriced call it inflation if you want but I just don't see how we can move forward when everyone is struggling to buy existing goods. Things that should be depreciating went up 10k at a time.

    • @Have.An.AmicoDay
      @Have.An.AmicoDay หลายเดือนก่อน

      something people need, price will go up... things people do not need, price will drop like a rock, we are still in the early phase. everything used everywhere will be for sale, people looking to get something out of it. Stores will only lower prices as a last ditch effort... perhaps too late just as they go out of business.

    • @trailguy
      @trailguy หลายเดือนก่อน

      A slow, innovation induced, deflation would be very healthy, like we had in the 1800s. Prices dropped 50% in 100 years. Can you imaging that? The problem with a quick deflation is that people wouldn’t be able to pay their loans because as prices shrink, so would wages, but loan payments would remain the same. This would cause lots of entities to fold up and many crashes would ensue because everything is tied together, and now it’s global. The fed likes inflation because it keeps people paying their bills and also reduces the value of the 35 trillion dollar debt. If money becomes less valuable, it’s easier to pay, but in deflation, taxes would diminish but the debt wouldn’t. Anyway, I wish we could have deflation, but the fed will print like mad before letting that happen, that’s why precious metals and land are smart. Good luck!

    • @badart3204
      @badart3204 หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@trailguyalso they go for inflation because it encourages people to do stuff with their money beyond just hoarding it like a dragon. Deflation encourages everyone to sit in their money and not invest in stuff

    • @bostonfrank6739
      @bostonfrank6739 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      eggs 2 years ago were $1.79 for a dozen large. Now they are $4.49

    • @rossderer6154
      @rossderer6154 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      @@bostonfrank6739 this is what I'm saying! We need deflation.

  • @Yannickille
    @Yannickille หลายเดือนก่อน

    When will interest rates go up?😊

  • @kentuckycowboy7660
    @kentuckycowboy7660 หลายเดือนก่อน

    #CNBC News 🔥 📰 #fiat No Chance of Default, US Can Print Money: Greenspan
    12 years ago - Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan on Sunday ruled out the chance of a US default following S&P's decision to downgrade ...

  • @jamesgoodman3645
    @jamesgoodman3645 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Why are you using the Dow? It is the most useless market to quote.

  • @GameAintBasedOnnSympathy
    @GameAintBasedOnnSympathy หลายเดือนก่อน +3

    Oooo boi gots dem snaggletoofs doe

  • @foamformbeats
    @foamformbeats 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

    after your take on copper/gold I'm almost 100% convinced that you're either malicious or have bear blinders on. have you ever been a bull, ever? I go through your videos and they are all doom going back as far as the eye can see.

  • @Jackn-d8s
    @Jackn-d8s 28 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Hallelujah 🙌🏻!!!!! The daily jesus devotional has been a huge part of my transformation, God is good 🙌🏻🙌🏻. I was owing a loan of $49,000 to the bank for my son's brain surgery, Now I'm no longer in debt after I invested $11,000 and got my payout of $290,500 every month…God bless Mrs Susan jane Christy♥️

  • @Nguyen3-z1o
    @Nguyen3-z1o หลายเดือนก่อน +5

    I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my whole life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small investment, thank you Elizabeth Slone

    • @PandeyRuben
      @PandeyRuben หลายเดือนก่อน

      Wow. I'm a bit perplexed seeing her been mentioned here also Didn't know she has been good to so many people too this is wonderful, i'm in my fifth trade with her and it has been super.

    • @LucyCaderon
      @LucyCaderon หลายเดือนก่อน

      The first step to successful investing is figuring out your goals and risk tolerance either on your own or with the help of a financial professional but is very advisable you make use of a professional.

    • @dr-jamesthomas4716
      @dr-jamesthomas4716 หลายเดือนก่อน

      I was skeptical at first till I decided to try. Its huge returns is awesome. I can't say much

    • @Nguyen3-z1o
      @Nguyen3-z1o หลายเดือนก่อน

      she's mostly on Telegrams, using the user name

    • @Nguyen3-z1o
      @Nguyen3-z1o หลายเดือนก่อน

      Fxslone 💯.that's it

  • @kaganozdemir4332
    @kaganozdemir4332 หลายเดือนก่อน

    i will test this idea as a statistician and will quote you in my blog. thanks for the inspiration!

  • @toddshepard3592
    @toddshepard3592 หลายเดือนก่อน

    I checked..is 0.16 bad?

  • @user-vp3rw4yg6m
    @user-vp3rw4yg6m หลายเดือนก่อน

    half iron and half of clay, try to use iron to Gold.

    • @trythis2821
      @trythis2821 หลายเดือนก่อน

      The feet of iron mixed with clay symbolize the state of government during the end times, shortly before Armageddon when they will all finally be wiped out of existence.

  • @FirdausMolla-mq8iz
    @FirdausMolla-mq8iz หลายเดือนก่อน

    Vematum's approach to data security is unparalleled.

  • @deepakbisht218
    @deepakbisht218 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Versidium's community is strong, love the vibe!

  • @lakers-1
    @lakers-1 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Yet GDP stand at 2.8%

  • @AjayKumar-fp7ty
    @AjayKumar-fp7ty 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Versidium's vision is clear, I'm on board.

  • @jittubauri6918
    @jittubauri6918 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Vematum keeps popping up in my crypto circles. Seems like a rising star!

  • @cherylpringle3397
    @cherylpringle3397 หลายเดือนก่อน

    It has been explained to me that when you short in the stock market and volume goes down--that you lose money because if your stock don't move but volume decreases--that you are in the red.
    Is this true?
    I hear that they say the shorts are still in the grain market because they like that the volume isn't moving and they make money. So when you are looking at copper--you have to look at volume. If the volume is low--you can't really compare it because it may be all shorts. If you look at commodities and the market price is below input--you may not have sellers. If you don't have sellers than you need to look at why. The Japanese market has turned the dollar up and made the price of currency too high for foreign buyers.

    • @wagashiohagi
      @wagashiohagi หลายเดือนก่อน +4

      Who in the world told you that?!

  • @Pradeepa8789
    @Pradeepa8789 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Versidium's momentum is real. Getting on this!

  • @Junaid-x6s
    @Junaid-x6s 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Versidium's tech is next level, truly innovative.

  • @JonM-ts7os
    @JonM-ts7os หลายเดือนก่อน

    Definitely the smartest homeless man

  • @rickbrodston1800
    @rickbrodston1800 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Who does your graphics? Hilarious

  • @shaneferral2506
    @shaneferral2506 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Here's another take. Which one is more correct? th-cam.com/video/q2b6SzrJn_k/w-d-xo.htmlsi=cEn1nRkippnUwrCo

    • @jimdoak3658
      @jimdoak3658 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      Mark Moss' thesis incorrectly assumes that the Fed can continue to suppress consumer interest rates (even if the Fed wanted to suppress consumer interest rates). Moss looks at past periods of Fed QE of 2000 and 2008 and notes that when the Fed monetized the debt in an effort to suppress consumer interest rates, it worked; interest rates were able to be suppressed, and equity markets rebounded higher as a result.
      The difference between 2000 & 2008 QE efforts and post 2020 QE efforts is that as of March 2020, consumer interest rates and treasury yields have been RISING (not falling), despite the Fed having pumped more QE into the economy than during any time in history.
      (Just look at the TREAST charts against the bond yield charts and consumer interest rate charts since March 2020 for proof).
      Bottom line: By July 15th, 2024, the equity market had already priced in hopes of more future Fed QE. As of July 31, 2024, (with the Bank of Japan raising interest rates), Wall Street is now beginning to question if the Fed is even going to initiate more QE at all.
      Once Wall Street realizes that QE has NOT been effective at reducing interest rates since March 2020 and WON'T be effective at reducing interest rates going forward, then the equity market sell-off panic-crash will start gaining more and more momentum going forward. This time the Fed won't be able to put in a bottom.

  • @korodski
    @korodski หลายเดือนก่อน

    Will bitcoin surge

  • @user-kk2pq2vp5v
    @user-kk2pq2vp5v หลายเดือนก่อน

    The liquidity of Vematum tokens is a major plus.

  • @Shubham-bq3xb
    @Shubham-bq3xb 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Holding Versidium tight, expecting big moves!

  • @Patv54
    @Patv54 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Just came here to say the chart on your thumbanil makes no sense.

  • @user-sd4kk8tr3g
    @user-sd4kk8tr3g 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

    Versidium is changing the game, watch out!

  • @CalebFranzen
    @CalebFranzen หลายเดือนก่อน +4

    hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahah keep Doomin' and non-groomin'

  • @petergeddesrensen6567
    @petergeddesrensen6567 หลายเดือนก่อน

    Duck n take cover

  • @Gabber44906
    @Gabber44906 หลายเดือนก่อน +7

    That hair is the worst!

    • @GameAintBasedOnnSympathy
      @GameAintBasedOnnSympathy หลายเดือนก่อน

      Bout dem snaggletoofs doe

    • @TheCJUN
      @TheCJUN หลายเดือนก่อน +1

      He will cut it the day he is proven right.

    • @GameAintBasedOnnSympathy
      @GameAintBasedOnnSympathy หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@TheCJUN him is not neva gonna b rite

    • @TheCJUN
      @TheCJUN หลายเดือนก่อน

      @@GameAintBasedOnnSympathy Bad news for Jeff's near and dear.

    • @FatherGapon-gw6yo
      @FatherGapon-gw6yo 29 วันที่ผ่านมา

      If everyone’s hair was on fire like he says I would think he would want to do some mitigation on the mop.

  • @Stefanie-qj7lw
    @Stefanie-qj7lw หลายเดือนก่อน +1

    I've learned a lot about cryptocurrency advancements and want to get involved. I'm hoping to find a good mentor.

    • @trythis2821
      @trythis2821 หลายเดือนก่อน

      Plenty of scammers can hook you up.

    • @bostonfrank6739
      @bostonfrank6739 29 วันที่ผ่านมา +1

      I would not buy crypto in 2025

  • @ThePeterDislikeShow
    @ThePeterDislikeShow หลายเดือนก่อน

    Do you watch the Peter Shitshow?

  • @tobyk5149
    @tobyk5149 หลายเดือนก่อน

    lol Joe Balestrino Oct 2007. Some clown is going to say the same thing soon.

  • @raymonddee1059
    @raymonddee1059 หลายเดือนก่อน

    invest in your stomach